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1593762211empowering Lake Management Through IDSS
1593762211empowering Lake Management Through IDSS
MANAGEMENT
THROUGH IDSS
Dr. Eugene C. Herrera
Institute of Civil Engineering
University of the Philippines-Diliman
Goal and Purpose
◦ Utilize a holistic, integrated
lake management
◦ Create a healthy,
self-sustaining lake
A lake is a body of
water that is
surrounded by land.
Lentic systems such as
lakes, reservoirs, and ponds
are more susceptible to
pollution than lotic systems
(streams and rivers)
because they act as sinks,
retaining pollutants with
less capacity to flush
pollutants
downstream.
https://www.facebook.com/esmart.im4manilabay/
Temperature (oC)
16 33
12 30
8 27
4 24
0 21
March April May June July August
Currents
Nutrient Sediment
transport transport
Solar Radiation
Bio-chemical processes
Bottom
Geology
The geology of an area determines, in large
part, the mineral makeup of its waters.
Climate
https://www.lakescientist.com
http://www.oceanhealthindex.org/methodology/components/nutrient-pollution
Eutrophication, the
gradual increase in
the concentration
of phosphorus,
nitrogen, and other
plant nutrients in an
aging aquatic
ecosystem such as
a lake.
http://www.britannica,com
http://www.oceanhealthindex.org/methodology/components/nutrient-pollution
The term “internal
load” refers to
nutrients that is
released from
oxygen-free
sediments on the
lake bed (also
called “dead
zones”) to the
Zhen, Wu et al., 2017 water column
Excessive production
because of
excessive nutrient
supply.
• Excessive growth of
floating plants
• Excessive fluctuation in
O2 and CO2 levels
• Excessive SOD
• Loss of diversity
Clean Lakes Program: I.U. School of Public and Environmental Affairs (SPEA)
Management of lakes for the
protection of water quality must be
approached differently in the tropics
compared to temperate latitudes.
Latitudinal distribution of lake surface area Proportions of natural lake types in the tropics
(Herdendorf, 1990) (Lewis, 1996)
The latitudinal trends in maximum and minimum solar irradiance varies
considerably between tropical and temperate latitudes.
Change in the density of water that accompanies a Latitudinal trends in maximum (---) and annual
change in the temperature of 1 0C (Lewis, 2000) minimum irradiance (__) (Lewis, 1987)
The mixed layer dynamics has important
implications on nutrient mixing and
internal loading.
Illustration of the latitudinal distribution of lake types Difference in the dynamics of the mixed layer
based on mixing (Lewis, 2000) between tropical (__) and temperate lakes (--)
(Lewis, 2000)
Temperate lakes are more phosphorous limited, tropical lakes nitrogen limited.
Type and severity of nutrient limitation for tropical Latitudinal trends in annual net primary
(__) and temperate (--) lakes (Lewis, 2000) production of lakes (Lewis, 2000)
Limiting nutrient is a single nutrient that is either scarce or cycles very
slowly, limiting the growth of organisms in an ecosystem.
Impacts Demands
Revise Water Quality Standards/Ordinances; Set control
responsibilities; Revitalize monitoring and research efforts
Monitoring
Analysis
Experiment
Simulation
Field
measurement
Using DEM?
Geospatial Analysis
Short-term and
Hydraulics Water quality long-term?
Intensive model
calibration and
Ecology
validation?
Intensive and
extensive set of
field data?
Watershed Characterization
CHLOROPHYLL-A CONCENTRATION
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
mg/m3
mg/L
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov (2007)
20 36
Chlorophyll-a
Chlorophyll-a (ppb)
Temperature
Temperature (oC)
16 33
12 30
8 27
4 24
0 21
March April May June July August
Rain
Weather Sensor / Instrument Parameter
sensors
gauge Hydrodynamic
Water quality
Compact-EM 2D velocity
Compact-WH Wave height
Water Level Logger Water depth
Water quality
Meteorological
Compact-DO Dissolved oxygen
Data logger Compact-CL Chlorophyll-a, Turbidity
Compact-CT Salinity, Conductivity
Light sensor
Water Temp Pros Water temperature
Hydrodynamic
Meteorological
Weather station Rainfall
Wind speed and
direction
Salinity-DO
meters, Solar radiation
thermometers
Wave and water level Chlorophyll-a Humidity
current meter logger meter, thermistors
Air temperature
Field Survey Methods Field Survey Stations
ADCP
Horizontal
2D velocity
Velocity &
Temperatur
CTD
Long-term e
monitoring
Temperature
Water Intensive surveys
samplin
g
Integrated water resource management with
stakeholder participation and consultation
CHLOROPHYLL-A
1.6
mg/m3
1.2
Piece-wise Incomplete,
0.8
0.4 and sparse inconclusive
0.0
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
(2007)
T D Data Analysis
Database
Not h E
knowledge- r M
and issue- e A Inconsistent,
based a N Divergent
t D
Policy Question s S
Data Integration
Regular
Partisanship Meetings
16
Chlorophyll-a
Temperature
36
33
RS
12 30
8 27
4 24
Mapping and
0 21 Spatial
Analysis
Comprehensive
Database Data Analysis
T D
h E 3D Numerical
r M Modeling Analysis
e A
a N
t D Data Integration
Policy Question
s S
Sustainable Ecosystem
Stakeholder
Science- Analysis
based
www.google.com.ph/search by image
Too much turbid waters
1000 3.0
600 1.8
400 1.2
200 0.6
Wet season (a) solar radiation and light intensity (b) 0 0.0
4.0 30.30
29.70
demonstrated a relatively
2.0
29.50
1.5
29.30
0.0 28.90
4.0
associated to differences in
991.70
3.0
a 1000 3.0
600 1.8
400 1.2
200 0.6
3.5
32.87
2.5 31.53
2.0
1.5 30.20
1.0
defined as temperatures at
29.53
0.5 28.87
0.0
c 3.8
DENSITY Profile unit: kilogram/cubic meter
3.5
2.5
2.0 990.62
1.5 990.34
0.5
990.06
989.78
Speed (m/s)
6
0
-6
-12
1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800
Aug. 29 Aug. 30 Aug. 31
b 4.3
N-S VELOCITY Profile unit: centimeter/second
N
Wet season wind and hydrodynamic conditions {(a) wind
12
4.0
distribution (b) north-south velocity profile (c) east-west
demonstrated relatively
-8
1.5
-12
1.0
3.5
4
2.5 -4
1.0
-20 W
1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800
Aug. 29 Aug. 30 Aug. 31
Herrera, et al., 2015 Time of measurement (hours)
a WIND Temporal Distribution
Speed (m/s)
12
6
0
-6
-12
1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800
Mar. 25 Mar. 26 Mar. 27
b 3.8
N-S VELOCITY Profile unit: centimeter/second
15 N
Dry season wind and hydrodynamic conditions {(a) wind 3.5 13
distribution (b) north-south velocity profile (c) east-west
7
2.5
3
2.0
1
-5
1.0
1.5 -12
general hydrodynamics.
-16
1.0
-20 W
1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800 2100 0000 0300 0600 0900 1200 1500 1800
Herrera, et al., 2015 Mar. 25 Mar. 26
Time of measurement (hours)
Mar. 27
Herrera, et al., 2015
Dry Season
Laguna Lake Surface Diatom Distribution (December) Laguna Lake Total Algal Concentration Surface Distribution (Feb) Laguna Lake Surface Turbidity Distribution (February)
0-2
0 to 2
0-4
0 to 4 0 to 10
0-10
2 to 4 4 to 8 10 to 20
Chlorophyll-a (μg/L)
ebruary) 4 to 6 20 to 30
8 to 12
Diatoms (μg/L)
Concentration (milligram/liter)
6 to 8 12 to 16 30 to 40
0-2
Turbidity (ftu)
0 to 2
2 to 4 8 to 10 16 to 20 40 to 50
N:P Ratio
4 to 6 10 to 12 50 to 60
20 to 24
6 to 8
12 to 14 24 to 28 60 to 70
8 to 10
14 to 16 28 to 32 70 to 80
10 to 12
12 to 14 16 to 18 32 to 36 80 to 90
14-16
14 to 16
18-20
18 to 20 36 to 40
36-40 90-100
90 to 100
Wet Season
◦ Areas with low N:P ratios showed high algal concentrations specially for the dry season, indicative of
active nitrogen assimilation. Algal distribution showed efficient lake nutrient recycling mechanism.
Thermocline development
Manila Bay-Laguna Lake Water Level Difference
Depth Difference (meters); Salinity (psu)
3.5
3.5
Depth (m) ; Salinity (psu)
1.01
0.5
0.5
2
00
Mar-07 Apr/28
Mar/09 Apr-07 Jun/17
Jun-07 Aug/06
Aug-07 Sep/25
Sep-07 Nov-07
Nov/14 Jan-08
Jan/03 Feb-08
Feb/22 Apr-08 Jun/01
Apr/12 Jun-08 Jul/21
Jul-08 Upwelling and Dispersion
Watershed Wind Mixing Nutrient
Time (months) Discharge Input
15
15 150
35
DO concentration (mg/L)
Dissolved oxygen
Chlorophyll-a (microgram/L)
Chlorophyll-a Nutrient
12 120
DO concentration (mg/L)
12 28 Upwelling
99 90
21
3 Agitation
66 60
14 Primary Production
Nutrient-rich Epilimnion
33 30
7 Selective
00 00
4 Flocculation
Settling
Mar/09 Apr/28 Jun/17 Aug/06 Sep/25 Nov/14 Jan/03 Feb/22 Apr/12 Jun/01 Jul/21 Herrera, et al., 2015
Time (months)
INPUT Field Monitoring and Modelling Analysis OUTPUT
Channel geometry
Groundwater discharge
Meteorology
Sediment discharge
Calibration/Validation
Discharge (m3/s)
Rainfall Depth
Rainfall (mm)
480 Simulated Discharge 200
Observed Discharge
320 300
R2=0.84
160 400
0 500
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1400 0
1120 100
River Discharge Validation
Discharge (m3/s)
Rainfall (mm)
840 200
R2=0.53
560 300
280 400
0 500
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
600
River Sediment Discharge Calibration R2=0.53
480
Discharge (mg/l)
360
Observed Sediment Discharge
Simulated Sediemnt Discharge
240
120
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
700
River Sediment Discharge Validation R2=0.45
560
Discharge (mg/L)
420
280
140
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
280000 290000 300000 310000 320000 330000 340000 350000
1640000
1640000
Strong variability in
400 watershed spatial and
1630000
1630000
temporal rainfall distribution
1620000
1620000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
320
415
1610000
1610000
J F M A M J J A S O N D 940
1600000
1600000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
320
1590000
1590000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
J F M A M J J A S O N D
1580000
1580000
835
245
1570000
1570000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
1560000
1560000
530
J F M A M J J A S O N D
340
315
1550000
1550000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
J F M A M J J A S O N D
280000 290000 J F
300000 M 310000
A M J 320000
J A S 330000
O N D 340000 350000
Hydrodynamics : simulation of the non-steady flow and transport
phenomenon resulting from tidal and meteorological forcing.
Transport
→ Circulation characteristics of the lake resulting
from morphology and various forcing factors
Currents
Marikina
River
Laguna Lake
Rosario Mangahan
Weir Bathymetry
Floodway
Geometry
San Juan
Fisheries structures
River
Napindan
Napindan Meteorological forcing Water Level
HCS
Channel Sediment characteristics
Groundwater
Interaction
Manila Pasig (Excess / Deficit:
Bay River uncertainties)
EAST
>= 11.1
Resultant Vector 8.8 - 11.1
Jan. 2008 Feb. 2008 Mar 2008 Apr. 2008 May 2008 Jun. 2008
◦ Salinity intrusion starts in January, attains its peak in May and recedes
from late June. It does not occur every year and is tidally modulated.
INPUT OUTPUT
Laguna Lake Bio-Chemical Components Lake Water Quality Characteristics
Atmosphere
Water Waves
Accrual Export
BOD, DO, NH4,
Currents NO3
Reaeration Degassing
Density effects
Chemical
Dissolved
Photosynthesis Oxygen Nitrification
Algae
Nutrient and Algae
sediment
transport Respiration and Sediment Oxygen
Demand
abiotic oxidation Physical
Inorganic Organic matter
matter
Sediment
0
C 0
x 10-5 6
x 10
turbulent energy (m2/s 2) in layer 5
27-Mar-2008 00:00:00 x 10
-5
DECISION
1.62 8
0 m2/s2 8
structures within WITH
Water Quality
1.61
Scenario
EnergySimulation
WITHOUT 7
1.61
7
Aquaculture Aquaculture
the lake
6
6
5
1.62 1.62 0.05 0.05
y coordinate (m) →
Existing Condition 25% Reduction 200% Increase
AQUACULTURE STRUCTURES/WAQ
y coordinate (m) →
1.59 4
1.59 4
CRITERIA
6
x 10 27-Mar-2008 00:00:00
1.62 3
0.05 3
1.58
1.58
1.61 1.61
7
Eutrophication is 0.05
2
2
0.045 0.04 0.04
1.57
1.57
1.61 1
promoted with
1
0.04
IDSS LESSONS
0.035 0.035
1.56 0
2.8 2.9 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 1.56 0
1.6 x coordinate (m) → 5 1.6 2.8 2.9 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4
x 10 x coordinate (m) → 5
increase in residence
x 10
0.035
Bottom DO
1.6
y coordinate (m) →
0.03
time
y coordinate (m) →
circulation
0.02
0.02 0.02
Anoxia 1.58
1.58
1.58
0.015 0.015
0.01
1.56
2.8 2.9 3 3.1
x coordinate (m) →
3.2 3.3 • Efforts should be a concerted one
3.4
x 10
5
0
0.005 0.005
1.56 1.56 0 0
2.8 2.9 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 2.8 2.9 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4
x coordinate (m) → 5
x 10 x coordinate (m) → x 10
5
Integrated Decision Support System: Is it environmentally acceptable to increase abstraction volume from
the lake for domestic water needs?
ACTIONS
Hydrodynamic ScenarioSimulation
Simulation
Increase Abstraction Case Study
The lake has Water Quality Scenario
sufficient volume Current Circulation Snapshots
PollutedLLDA
WaterRECONSIDERS OPERATION OF THE
Intrusion Snapshots
of water to offer No abstraction NAPINDAN
800 MLDHYDRAULIC CONTROL
1600 MLD
No abstraction 800 MLD
STRUCTURE 1600 MLD
has undergone
LLDA COORDINATES WITHARABLE
CONCERNED
significant land-use 200
1200
1993 2006
1993Land
1993 LandUse
Use LGUs on CLUPs and REFORESTATION
change 180
2005Land
2005 LandUse
Use
PROJECTS
BUILT-UP
CLOSED CANOPY
1000
160 20Year
20 YearProjection
Projection OPEN CANOPY
Discharge(ton/ha)
(mm)
COCONUT
140
Land-use change 800
120 Simulated DECISION
Simulated Sediment Discharge
River Discharge
trends lean more
Discharge
600
100 LLDA need to have inputs on the
towards higher watershed’s comprehensive land-use
80
runoff 400 development plan (CLUPs)
60
Sediment 40
200
discharges are 20
IDSS LESSONS
also significantly 00
•5 Land-use change has10significantly
higher 11 22 33 44 5 66 77 88 99 10 1111 1212
Sedimentation impacted
Month
Month watershed surface runoff
Flooding and sediment discharge
• There is a need to manage land
development plans
• Efforts need be a concerted one
Integrated Decision Support System: How crucial is lake sedimentation and bathymetric change to
ecosystem balance and response?
ACTIONS
a depth averaged velocity
b depth averaged velocity
c temporarily inactive velocity points
Surface-layer Bottom-layer
Lake Sedimentation Case Study
Salinity (psu)
current
has undergone 1.61 current 1.61 1.61
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
Polluted
LLDA COORDINATES WITH CONCERNED
significant land-use 1.6
sea-water
1.6 1.6
y coordinate (m) →
y coordinate (m) →
y coordinate (m) →
PROJECTS
1.59 1.59 1.59
1.6 1.62
x 10
6
depth averaged velocity
18-Dec-2007 00:00:00
1.62
6
x 10
depth averaged velocity
15-Jun-2008 00:00:00
1.62
x 10
6
temporarily inactive velocity points
18-Dec-2007 00:00:00
1.2
x 10 x 10 x 10
1.61 1.61 1.61
0.8
development plan (CLUPs)
y coordinate (m) →
y coordinate (m) →
y coordinate (m) →
0.6 1.59 1.59 1.59
Sediment 0.4
0.2
1.58 1.58 1.58
also significantly
1983 depth averaged velocity depth averaged velocity temporarily inactive velocity points
-0.2 x 10
6
18-Dec-2007 00:00:00 6
x 10 15-Jun-2008 00:00:00 x 10
6
18-Dec-2007 00:00:00
Salinity (psu)
higher
-0.4 1.56
2.8 2.9 3 3.1
x coordinate (m) →
3.2
1.56
3.3 2.8 3.4 2.9
x 10
5
3 3.1
x coordinate (m) →
3.2 3.3
1.56
2.8 3.4
5
x 10
2.9 3
0 2 4
3.1
x coordinate (m) →
6
3.2 3.3
8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 x 10
3.4
5
-0.6
-0.8
and sediment discharge
1.6 1.6 1.6
y coordinate (m) →
y coordinate (m) →
Eutrophic 1.59
vulnerability 1.58
development plans 1.58 1.58
1.57
www.teatown.org
To restore a pond or lake to a healthy condition, we must restore the natural
processes that allow them to assimilate the nutrient load that it receives.
An IDSS is composed of interconnected set of modeling tools. There is a need
for continuous calibration and validation.
With agency limitation in funding support and technical manpower, partnership
with academic and research institutions is vital.
Based on the idea of developing and implementing IWRM, experiences and
key lessons learned should be harnessed.
Confidence, acceptance, and utilization of modeling technologies for local
planning, decision and policy making remain a challenge.
Considering the size of the lake, other agencies, entities and volunteers
dedicated to monitoring/preserving the lake or the watershed is needed.
Lack of common vision for the lake thus the lack of strict consideration for
environmentally sound and viable practice.
Existing and increasing land and water use conflicts. Stakeholder
consultations and IEC’s are essential.
Software and hardware need to be continuously updated, including technical
staff training.
The IDSS should be recognized as part of the implementing agency’s official
decision-making process.
Continuous monitoring and extensive/intensive field surveys and
accompanying data processing and analysis are important and are integral in
understanding lake dynamics.
The implementing agency should receive sufficient government support.
Models are just models. What is more important
in an IDSS is the active network of collaboration
and cooperation among the LGUs,
stakeholders, and researchers in addressing lake
issues. This active network will ensure proper use
and further development of these models
meant for supporting decisions by providing
mechanisms to evaluate scenarios within
acceptable accuracy.