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Leveraged Buy Outs (Lbos) : Key Mechanics, Debt Components & Financial Modelling
Leveraged Buy Outs (Lbos) : Key Mechanics, Debt Components & Financial Modelling
Leveraged Buy Outs (Lbos) : Key Mechanics, Debt Components & Financial Modelling
Visiting address:
Kersten Corporate Finance
Gording 67
5406 CN Uden
The Netherlands
www.joriskersten.nl
Phone: +31 (0)6 8364 0527
Email: joris@kerstencf.nl
Source used
Handbook:
• Leveraged Buyouts: A practical introductory
guide to LBOs (2012). Author: David Pilger.
Publisher: Harriman House Great Britain.
Source used:
Leveraged Buyouts: A practical introductory guide to LBOs (2012).
Author: David Pilger. Publisher: Harriman House Great Britain
Leveraged Buyouts: Key
mechanics
A Leveraged Buyout (LBO) is basically one company
buying another company with using a lot of “debt” in
the process.
The debt used in the acquisition is often secured by
the assets of the target.
So the target company needs to have enough
available “collateral”. And this in the form of “assets”
to allow the buyer to attract the debt capital for the
acquisition.
Concerning the debt of the LBO, this can be done
with “bonds” and “bank loans”.
Bonds and bank loans in LBOs
In the case of “bonds” this means that the debt is issued and sold to
investors in the “capital markets”.
The buyers pay on the bonds a “fixed coupon” rate (interest) to the
creditors.
Bonds in LBOs are often rated below “investment grade” (“junk bonds”),
because of the high levels of debt in LBOs and corresponding large risk.
In the case of bank loans, financing comes directly from banks, rather than
from investors in the capital markets.
The interest expense on the bank loans is often at a “variable rate”.
And here it is common for banks to charge the borrower an interest rate of
LIBOR + an additional amount.
This additional amount is called “spread”, and it corresponds to the risk
involved, and the level of “seniority” of the loan in case of a “default”
(bankruptcy).
LIBOR is the “London Inter Bank Offered Rate”, and this is the daily rate
that banks charge to borrow unsecured funds from each other for a given
period of time.
Loan syndication
Concerning the bank loans in LBOs, these are often
“syndicated” amongst different banks.
So here banks share the risk of borrowing money for an LBO.
In general bank loans are more complicated than bonds, for
example because of the syndication.
But there are also a lot of different bank loans like: Term
loans, revolving credit facilities and payment in kind (PIK)
loans for example.
The interest rates with banks are “floating”, so variable. But
with bonds, the interest rates (coupon) is fixed and these are
sold in the capital markets. I have mentioned this before.
More on the topic “debt” will follow in later blogs since we
need to take a look at this in great detail.
But now let’s first take a look at the goals of LBOs.
Goals of LBOs
The goal of an LBO transaction is to achieve relative high returns on the initial
equity investment.
For example, when you buy a company for 100 million euro, and when you then
sell it one year later for 110 million euro, then you make 10 million euro in a year.
This is a 10% return when it is financed with all equity (10/ 100 = 10%).
But when you buy the company with 10 million euro equity and 90 million euro
debt, then you make a higher return.
Let’s assume you pay on average 7% interest on the debt, this is then:
· 6.3 million euro interest (0.07 * 90 million).
When you sell the company also in 1 year you make again 10 million (110 – 100).
And after the interest this then is: 10 profit – 6.3 interest = 3.7 million euro profit.
But then the return on your equity is: 37% (3.7 profit/ 10 initial equity outlay).
So here the returns are much higher since you use debt which is (relatively)
cheap!!
In other words, the company makes more returns than you need to pay the debt
holders.
And this increases the return on equity (the famous “LEVERAGE”)!
Advantages of LBOs
With a smaller initial equity investment you can buy a relative big
company with an LBO due to the large debt component.
In the extreme, and simple, example above you buy a 100 million
euro company with only 10 million in equity.
This is the first advantage.
The second advantage is that the potential loss (of equity put in
yourself) is limited and relative small.
This again due to the little initial equity outlay. So you basically you
use other’s people’s money for the LBO (money of the debt
holders).
Although no need to feel sorry for the debt holders (bond investors
and banks), these people are professionals and they know how to
research an LBO deal upfront. 😊
A third advantage is that the interest payment on the debt involved
in LBOs is tax deductible (in many countries), or at least for a part of
the interest.
This saves money on the tax bill.
Disadvantage of LBOs
As there are quite some advantages, there is one big
disadvantage:
The high leverage in the capital structure of LBOs brings
along risk!
And the main risk is default risk.
In times of trouble, when the company is not making
profits, leverage can kill the company.
This since in times of trouble still interest (and in LBOs,
this is a lot) needs to be paid.
When they can not pay the interest anymore, so in case
of a bankruptcy, the creditors will stand in line (ahead of
the equity partners) in order to get their money back.
And very (very very very) likely in the end nothing will be
left for the equity holders.
Intro to LBOs: Wrapped up
So in this first blog on LBOs I have explained what an LBO is,
and what the goal is.
Concerning the bid price for an LBO, an investor will look at:
1. The market prices for similar companies as an EBITDA
multiple;
2. Purchase prices in previous transactions of similar
companies as an EBITDA multiple;
3. Discounted cash flow valuation.
Herewith the LBO investor will get an idea of current market
prices for specific companies.
After that they “model” the LBO.
This is basically to check whether they can make a certain
return when they buy the company for a certain price.
I will get in to this process of “LBO modelling” in way more
detail in subsequent blogs.
Intro to LBOs: Wrapped up
But after the deal is done, the game that is played, is about:
· Focusing on “operating efficiency” to increase EBITDA;
· Identifying additional revenue generating opportunities to
increase EBITDA;
· Paying back the debt;
· (making the company more “special” in the holding period to
increase the EBITDA multiplier at the moment of the exit).
So when the company is sold again in 5 years, this is called the
“exit”.
When the company was bought for 8 times EBITDA, then even
when it’s sold for (only) 8 times EBITDA, then the “enterprise value”
gets higher when the EBITDA was increased.
On top of that the debt is reduced, so the final equity received is a
lot higher than the initial equity outlay.
And this most likely will result in a good return, also called “internal
rate of return” (IRR) with LBOs.
Topic 2
Source used:
Leveraged Buyouts: A practical introductory guide to LBOs (2012).
Author: David Pilger. Publisher: Harriman House Great Britain
LBO Investors
An LBO always starts with the investors.
The investor is the individual or “Private Equity” (PE)
party that starts with the LBO process.
In this case they need to start searching for takeover
targets with:
· Small amounts of debt;
· Strong and stable cash flows;
· Assets free to use as collateral;
· Room for cutting costs in the operations.
LBO Investors
The investor analyses the above situation with use of financial
models (in Microsoft Excel).
Moreover, they think about the suggested capital structure
with (lots of) debt.
But obviously here they are also dependent on whether
parties are willing to provide the debt.
An ideal LBO has theoretically the following characteristics, it
has the:
• Greatest amount of debt possible without that it bankrupts
the company;
• Ability to pay down the debt;
• Ability to increase the earnings (EBITDA);
• Ability to improve the company (to increase the exit
multiple of EBITDA in the end).
Lenders/ banks: Senior Bank
Debt
Banks are one of the major lenders in an LBO.
In general banks provide the loans that are “senior”,
and “secured” by the assets of the company that is
acquired.
Banks typically act as “syndicated lenders”, so they
“share” the bank debt amongst multiple banks to
reduce the risk.
An investment bank usually arranges the
“syndication”, and commercial banks become part of
the different lenders, along with investment banks.
High yield debt investors
Debt investors are often the “unsecured” creditors in a
leveraged deal.
And because of this they demand a higher fixed rate of
interest. And this is referred to as “high yield”.
So the interest is relatively high because:
· As mentioned the debt is not “secured”;
· It is “junior debt” so they are “junior” in relation to the
“senior debt” in the pecking order.
Source used:
Leveraged Buyouts: A practical introductory guide to LBOs (2012).
Author: David Pilger. Publisher: Harriman House Great Britain
Financial statements
The analysis of financial statements in LBOs can be
broken down in two parts:
1. Historical financial statements;
2. Forecasted financial statements.
The historical part of the financial statements comes
from the current, and historical, annual or quarterly
financial statements of a company.
This information can be found in the annual or quarterly
financial statements of a company.
And for example in the US these reports are filed with
the SEC (Securities & Exchange Commission) and are
called 10-K and 10-Q.
Income statements
When building an LBO-model we first focus on the
income statement, also called P&L (profit & loss
statement).
In general we base ourselves on the historical income
statements and then we make forecasts.
And with the forecasts we start with “revenue” and then
we look at the “expenses”, also called “operating costs”.
In general cost assumptions are made as a percentage of
revenue. This also enables us to make multiple
"operating scenarios" in excel.
Concerning the forecasts, the forecasts of “revenues” are
the most important ones.
Since if revenues decrease, the company can only cut
costs.
Income statements
However, these costs can only be reduced to a certain point.
Therefore when building an LBO model, close attention needs to be
paid to estimating revenues of a potential buy-out target.
Since only revenues can lead to a strong and steady cash flow!!
This is very important in an LBO due the large amounts of debt
involved, and corresponding mandatory interest and principal
payments.
In addition, good analysis of the “operating costs” is also very
important. Because potential uncovered reductions can increase
the value of the company at the exit.
Since here you might remember that the value of a company is
often calculated as a “multiple on EBTIDA”, so revenues minus
operating costs.
In other words, every dollar saved in the costs, will result in 8
dollars "enterprise value" (e.g. EBITDA factor 8).
So this is good for the IRR (internal rate of return) of the LBO.
Balance sheets
A balance sheet (BS) is only a snapshot of a company’s
financial position.
Within an LBO, the major lines from the BS on the left
hand side are “cash” and other “current assets”.
On the right hand side, the major lines are the “current
liabilities”, “interest bearing liabilities” and also
“equity”.
Especially the "liability side" of the BS gets a lot of
attention in an LBO model.
This because an analyst needs to assess the suggested
“capital structure” closely.
Balance sheets
Moreover, the “interest” in the P&L is an effect again of the
debt on the balance sheet.
And “interest” is modelled from the “beginning balance” of
the debt on the balance sheet.
You can also model “interest” from the “average yearly
debt” or “debt at the end of the year”. But then you have to
deal with so called “circularities” in your model.
You can do this, but you significantly increase the
complexity of your model with "circularities".
I have written about these “circular references” in "financial
modelling" before.
Cash flow statement
The cash flow statement strips out any non-cash expenses
such as depreciation and amortisation.
And it includes money spend on “capital expenditures” and
changes in “net working capital”.
This cash flow is also extremely important in an LBO model,
because this “cash” is used to service the debt of an LBO with:
1. Interest payments;
2. Paying down principle on the debt.
So the cash flows from the company’s operations are
estimated from the estimations made on the:
1. Future P&Ls, and,
2. Future balance sheets.
And again, these “cash outcomes” are so important, because
it enables us to determine what the amount of cash available
is, to pay down the debt.
Debt sweep
In an LBO model the “debt sweep” is used in combination
with the cash flow statement.
Since we like to take a look at the “debt schedule” in
relation to “available cash”.
Cash available to pay down “existing debt” is calculated
based on:
1. Net income;
2. After adding back non-cash charges;
3. And after adjustments for “capital expenditures”;
4. And after adjustments for “net working capital”.
The resulting number of cash is used within a “dept
sweep” to pay back debt to the maximum.
Debt sweep
So basically with a “debt sweep” switched on your model
“throws” all the cash available back to the debt holders based
on "seniority" (e.g. revolver, term loan A, term loan B etc).
Obviously, the debt sweep on your “revolver” (revolving credit
facility) can also “pull” more debt in case of “negative cash”
from you cash flow statements.
So in general, with an LBO model/ analysis we “switch on” the
debt sweep.
As mentioned, herewith debt is paid back to the maximum.
And this has an effect again on the debt on your balance
sheet.
Which affects interest payments in your P&Ls and cash flow
statements.
Which affects debt levels again, and so on and so on!
Ratio analysis
When your LBO model in excel is working well then we
want to measure performance and the financial health of
the company.
With an LBO model ratios that are very important are:
1. Return on assets and return on equity to assess the
leverage effect;
2. Capital structure and leverage (debt to equity) in
order to check “reasonable” debt levels over the years;
3. Credit statistics like “EBITDA/ interest expenses” and
“EBITDA/ total debt” in order to check “reasonable” debt
levels over the years.
Basically within an LBO the trick is to have a good return
(IRR) with realistic “credit statistics” (EBITDA/ total debt)
over the years.
Source used
Handbook:
• Leveraged Buyouts: A practical introductory
guide to LBOs (2012). Author: David Pilger.
Publisher: Harriman House Great Britain.
Any questions …
Training programs face to
face @ The Netherlands
The open training programs of Joris Kersten in The Netherlands take place at the
dates below.
And for registration just write an email (joris@kerstencf.nl) or look at
www.joriskersten.nl.
1. 28, 29, 30, 31 October 2020 + 2, 3 November 2020: 6 days - Business Valuation
& Deal Structuring. Location: Amsterdam Zuidas/ The Netherlands;
2. 16, 17, 18, 19 November 2020: 4 days - Financial Modelling in Excel. Location:
Amsterdam Zuidas/ The Netherlands.
Locations for both training programs: Crown Plaza Hotel @ Amsterdam South
(“Zuidas”).
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On December 1st 2020 you can start (100% online) with obtaining your “Certificate
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In 19 webinars (19 topics) of about 3 hours each, I will teach you the key elements of
“investment management”. And this in 6 main themes.
After the webinars you practice with cases and exercises yourself, including questions from
past CFA exams (level 1, 2 and 3). In the cases and exercises I will also teach you to actively
use “Microsoft Excel” since this is an important tool in Corporate Finance.
The correct answers of the cases and exercises are also presented to you by webinars,
worked out in detail. This in order to check your own work.
When you have finished the 19 webinars and have practised with the exercises and cases (all
online), then there is an online exam to take (whenever you feel ready).
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of “Kersten Corporate Finance”. (pass = grade above 5.5 on a scale of 10)
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Management” of “Kersten Corporate Finance”.
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to 3 months, depending on your own speed.
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cash flow statement and balance sheet. Moreover, a basic understanding of Microsoft excel.
The “course manual” with all info and conditions of the training will be available in the week
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And registration & subscription will also start in the week of June 8th 2020.
The 19 topics of the webinars, divided over 6 main themes are:
Theme 1: Key elements of investments
1) Asset classes and financial instruments. 2) Securities markets. 3) Mutual funds and other
investment companies.
Theme 2: Portfolio theory
4) Risk, return and the historical record. 5) Efficient diversification. 6) Capital asset pricing
model and arbitrage pricing theory. 7) Efficient market hypothesis.
100% online training program
Theme 3: Debt securities
8) Bond prices and yields. 9) Managing bond portfolios.
Theme 4: Security analysis
10) Macroeconomic and industry analysis. 11) Equity valuation. 12) Financial Statement
Analysis.
Theme 5: Derivative markets
13) Option markets. 14) Option valuation. 15) Future markets and risk management.
Theme 6: Active investment management
16) Evaluating investment performance. 17) International diversification. 18) Hedge funds.
19) Taxes, inflation and investment strategy.
The “course manual” with all info and conditions of the training will be available in the week
of June 8th 2020.
(will become July 2020 due to very busy agenda “after” corona)
More info on valuation …
About 60 articles on “Business Valuation” can be found on my linkedin
page under “articles”: www.linkedin.com/in/joriskersten
(On the next slides I will also give you all the links to the (free) articles).
Article 2: Valuating Oil & Gas Companies: The Oil Industry – Part 2
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/valuating-oil-gas-companies-industry-part-2-kersten-
msc-bsc-rab/
60 free articles on valuation
Earlier blogs on “Leveraged Buy-Outs (LBOs)”
Article 1: Debt: Ratio “debt/ GDP” in the US, The Netherlands, Germany and Japan
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/debt-ratio-gdp-us-netherlands-germany-japan-
kersten-msc-bsc-rab/
Article 2: Debt: Why global debt increased over the last 100 years
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/debt-why-global-increased-over-last-100-years-
kersten-msc-bsc-rab/
Article 1: Financial Modelling in Excel: Circular references, interest calculations and iterations
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/financial-modelling-excel-circular-references-kersten-msc-bsc-rab/
Article 2: Excel basics for Finance: SUM, MAX, MIN, AVERAGE, IF, cell referencing, named ranges
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/excel-basics-finance-sum-max-min-average-cell-named-joris/
Article 5: Excel for Business Valuation: NPV, IRR, PMT and EOMONTH
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/excel-business-valuation-npv-irr-pmt-eomonth-kersten-msc-bsc-rab/
Article 6: Excel for Business Valuation: Custom Formatting, Conditional Formatting and Sparklines
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/excel-business-valuation-custom-formatting-sparklines-joris/
60 free articles on valuation
Earlier blogs on “various topics”
Article 2: Valuation: How to adjust for “Operating Lease” (under Dutch GAAP)
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/valuation-how-adjust-operating-lease-under-dutch-gaap-joris/
Article 6: Economics: Do economies have to grow to maintain the same level of prosperity ???
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/economics-do-economies-have-grow-maintain-same-level-joris/
60 free articles on valuation
Earlier blogs on “bonds”
Article 1: M&A Transactions: Share Deals, Asset Deals and Legal Mergers
and Divisions
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ma-transactions-share-deals-asset-legal-
mergers-kersten-msc-bsc-rab/
Article 2: Energy transition: Energy mix of The Netherlands & Goals for co2 reduction
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/energy-transition-mix-netherlands-goals-co2-
reduction-joris/
Article 11: Valuation: Illiquidity discounts, control premiums and minority discounts
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/valuation-illiquidity-discounts-control-premiums-joris/
Visiting address:
Kersten Corporate Finance
Gording 67
5406 CN Uden
The Netherlands
www.joriskersten.nl
Phone: +31 (0)6 8364 0527
Email: joris@kerstencf.nl