Professional Documents
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Marine Policy: Robert Grif Fin, Nicolas Chaumont, Douglas Denu, Anne Guerry, Choong-Ki Kim, Mary Ruckelshaus
Marine Policy: Robert Grif Fin, Nicolas Chaumont, Douglas Denu, Anne Guerry, Choong-Ki Kim, Mary Ruckelshaus
Marine Policy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/marpol
art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Concern about the visibility of large infrastructure development often drives public opposition to these
Received 17 August 2015 projects. However, insufficient analytical tools to assess visibility across a large number of alternate sites
Received in revised form prior to siting typically results in the omission of visibility in multi-criteria siting processes, leading to
18 September 2015
inferior site selection and often costly litigation. This paper presents an approach for deriving visibility
Accepted 18 September 2015
Available online 30 September 2015
maps based on the location and duration of viewing by residents and visitors and demonstrates its use in
illuminating tradeoffs by comparing these maps to wind energy value maps in the context of offshore
Keywords: wind energy development in the Northeastern United States.
Marine spatial planning & 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
Viewshed
license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Visibility
Wind energy
Siting
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.09.024
0308-597X/& 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223 219
Fig. 1. Distribution of visitors across the study area from geotagged photos. Rhode Island state waters around Block Island are shaded blue. High concentrations of visitors
can be seen in the town center (largest concentration of red and orange cells), and the two lighthouses (north and southeast). Note the route that the ferry takes from the
mainland (line of green cells to the north) and a popular recreational fishing location (concentration of green cells to the SE).
This paper expands the cumulative viewshed approach to issues are a primary concern; it has a highly variable population
provide a more comprehensive accounting of where people are throughout the year that is comprised of permanent residents,
over space and time to significantly improve visibility estimates summer residents, and tourists; and finally, it has a high cost of
for planning in wind energy and other infrastructure siting deci- energy that incentivizes locals to support wind energy projects
sions. This first requires information about places where people [27,28]. A lengthy state-level planning effort [29] has led to the
live and visit – two proxy datasets for where residents and visitors approval of a demonstration-scale wind farm that likely will be the
spend most of their time [25]. The locations of residences in the first commercial offshore wind facility operating in the U.S. To
case study presented in this paper are based on maps created to demonstrate the use of these cumulative viewshed maps for siting,
enhance emergency response that combine both field surveys and the outputs of a spatial wind energy value model are compared to
orthophotography; however, many other potential data layers may cumulative viewshed maps where visibility is measured in viewer
be useful for this purpose. To estimate the relative spatial dis- days, a quantitatively meaningful metric that accounts both for
tribution of visitors to the study area (Fig. 1), the case study ex- spatial and temporal variation in visibility across different cate-
ample here employs a global dataset of geotagged photos from a gories of viewers. This flexibility of this siting approach is also
popular photo-sharing site that has been shown to provide an demonstrated by drawing from the extensive visual impact lit-
accurate proxy for the spatial distribution of visitation [26]. These erature to create cumulative visual impact maps that reflect
relative visitation maps are calibrated to nominal visitation maps viewers’ preferences. The methods demonstrated here expand the
using surveyed visitation data to the area. While no dataset can toolbox of planners to incorporate visibility into siting decisions
ever fully represent the exact location, orientation, and duration of for features with a visual impact, and in the specific context of
viewing for all viewers in an area, incorporating visitors is a novel offshore wind, allow for the comparison of tradeoffs between
addition to visual impact assessment that captures more of the visibility, wind energy value, and other objectives as part of a
inherent complexity in landscape viewing patterns. The residence multi-criteria spatial planning process.
and visitation data are inputs to a conventional viewshed algo-
rithm that aggregates the resulting individual viewsheds to gen-
erate cumulative viewshed maps. 2. Methods
The context of a previously completed offshore wind farm sit-
ing decision near Block Island, Rhode Island was selected as a 2.1. Viewers
heuristic demonstration of the core methodology of this cumula-
tive viewshed approach and its use in multi-criteria spatial plan- To characterize where people can see over space, a spatial in-
ning. Block Island is a small (25 km2) island located 21 km off the ventory of viewers over the landscape is required. There are
coast of mainland Rhode Island that is home to approximately multiple potential data sources that can be used to spatially locate
1000-year-round residents and a destination for over 30,000 viewers based in residences, including orthophotography, tax as-
people on a busy summer holiday weekend. The island is re- sessment parcel maps, and maps created for public safety emer-
presentative of many locations on the U.S. east coast and world- gency response. This flexibility increases the applicability of this
wide where favorable wind energy resources are located: it is approach across a wide range of geographies. In the case of Block
close enough to potential wind farm locations such that visibility Island, the state of Rhode Island has an E-911 vector data layer for
220 R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223
use in public safety programs that spatially identifies all structures island in 2009, indicating that there are 536,900 overnight visitors
in Rhode Island that was created using field-verified orthophoto- and visitors from under 50 miles, or 379,300 overnight visitors not
graphy. It includes the number of stories for each structure and the including those from under 50 miles. Unfortunately the data are
street address, as well as classifications for whether it is a re- ambiguous regarding the distribution in the length of stay, so
sidential address or other class of structure. It also includes a sub- based on the observed flickr data the simplifying assumption was
category of whether or not it is a seasonal versus full-time re- made that the median length of stay is one day as observed in the
sidence. From this data, all structures on Block Island were ex- dataset (Table A.1).3 An additional assumption is that this field
tracted and the dataset was further reduced by eliminating all visitation data reflects not only visitation to the island but also to
structures that were not classified in the dataset as full-time the surrounding waters. Much of the activity in surrounding wa-
residences.1 ters, including passenger ferries, charter boats, and sailing is based
Geotagged photos from the online photo hosting service flickr out of the island so this is a reasonable assumption. To assign each
(available via flickr’s public API) were employed to assess the viewpoint a number of total visitor days, the total number of
spatial distribution of where visitors or tourists aggregate. The visitors (536,900) were divided by the number of photos, therefore
global coverage of these photos, the ability to avoid time-con- treating 11,088 photo locations from the flickr dataset equally and
suming and costly surveys, and photos’ inherent linkage to visual assigning each as representative of approximately 48.5 visitor
landscape quality make them a useful data source in this context. days.
A comparison of independent empirical visitation to 836 sites in
31 countries against observed imputed visitation from flickr 2.2. Viewer days and visual impact
showed strong correlations, demonstrating that these data can be
reliably used as a proxy for visitation [26]. Because visitors spend Creating a quantitatively meaningful cumulative viewshed
time in the waters surrounding Block Island for activities such as from input datasets for visitor and resident locations requires that
sailing, charter fishing, and transit from the mainland, all photos the outputs of each viewshed be in the same terms. There are
taken on Block Island or in the marine areas defined by a many potential metrics that could serve as a potential common
60x60 km2 bounding box centered on Block Island were included.2 denominator between visitors and residents, and the choice
This data includes the latitude and longitude, the user id, and the should be informed both by how impacts are internalized by
date the picture was taken. For the study area there were 11,088 viewers and also more practical considerations such as data lim-
photos over the years 2005–2012, comprising 1456 unique user itations, computing resources, and the nature of the questions or
days and 711 unique individuals. The median amount of days decisions that will be made with the results. Based on existing
taking photos in the area per user is one day, with 64% of users research and the limitations of available data, two approaches are
falling into this category. Table S.1 shows the distribution of user presented here: using viewer days and a visual impact index as the
days for the dataset. output metrics for the cumulative viewshed analysis.
Wood et al. [26] found a strong correlation between user days For all locations (cells) in an area of interest, viewer days re-
and field observations of visitation at 836 recreation sites around flects the number of days each viewer can see that particular lo-
the world, demonstrating that this dataset can be reliably used as a cation and then sums those values across all viewers. This is a
proxy for visitation. However, the raw number of observed photo- quantitatively meaningful output of landscape visibility that
user-days significantly underestimates visitation, as naturally not weighs residents’ viewing more than visitors’, addressing research
all visitors to a location take pictures and upload them to this that has found heterogeneous and time-variant visual impacts to
particular web service. The usefulness of these data is based rather different user groups [19]. Viewer days is also an intuitive and
in how it characterizes the distribution of visitors over space. Ta- transparent metric that should be readily understood by policy
ken as a proxy for the distribution of actual visitors to the area, it makers and stakeholders, allowing involved parties to reflect on
can be combined with survey data on nominal visitation to pro- their visual preferences during the iterative stakeholder engage-
vide quantitative estimates of visitation to different locations. ment process typical of nearly all successful spatial planning ef-
Global Insight [30] provides data on the number of visitors to the forts [31].
To expand the viewer days concept from a visibility metric to a
1
visual impact metric requires an understanding of viewers’ pre-
This left 1058 structures, a significant difference from the 514 occupied
ferences for seeing development. Bishop and Miller [32] used a
housing units identified by the 2010 U.S. census. Without a spatial layer identifying
the census housing units, the E-911 data is the best available resource to char- multiple regression analysis with standardized coefficients to ex-
acterize the spatial distribution of year-round residences, even if it significantly amine how different predictors influence the visual impact of
overestimates their number. To partially address this, the 1051 full-time residents wind turbines, finding that distance has the largest effect. For the
identified by the 2010 U.S. Census across all year-round residential units were
purpose of demonstrating a visual impact preference map in this
evenly spread and each viewpoint received (1051/1058)*365 ¼362.6 viewing days
per year. This approach captures the spatial distribution of the year-round re- cumulative viewshed framework, their regression results relating
sidences in the E-911 data while not overestimating the total number of viewer distance to visual impact are employed here, holding other vari-
days. ables at their sample means, yielding the following distance–im-
2
Included in this analysis are the full-time residents of Block Island and visi- pact relationship:
tors both on the island and in surrounding waters. Though the decision context
explored here is siting a wind energy facility in the state waters surrounding Block I = 3.84 − 0.053D (1)
Island, visitors recreating in the waters outside this area are included under the
assumption that they also will be affected and may likely be tied to Block Island’s where I is the visual impact index that ranges from 1 (low impact)
tourist economy. State waters to the north of Block Island extend to within 8 km of
to 5 (high impact), and D is the distance of the wind turbines in
the mainland and generally should be included in an analysis of this type. However
these viewers were not included for two reasons: first, while the particular case kilometers from the viewer. In a cumulative viewshed analysis,
study gives context, the siting decision here has already been made and therefore each individual viewshed raster is weighted by this function prior
this is a heuristic exercise to demonstrate the core cumulative viewshed metho-
dology; second, the wind energy analysis and visibility analysis made it clear that
3
locations to the north of Block Island were inferior to those to the south. Adding in By tracking individual users in the flickr dataset a finer temporal resolution
additional viewers that can only see the north side of the island would have done could be created that breaks visitation time into hours; however, this level of detail
nothing to change the outcome of this (retrospective) policy guidance or advance has not been validated against empirical data and would still be reliant on the
demonstrating the approach. coarser field survey data for translation to total visitation time.
R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223 221
Fig. 2. Comparison of favorable wind (left) and visibility (right) areas over the lifetime of the wind farm (20 years). The cross indicates the planned wind farm location. The
net present value map is negative throughout the area, characteristic for a demonstration-scale farm that is unable to take advantage of economies of scale. As a state-level
decision, the analysis is constrained to the waters surrounding Block Island up to three nautical miles. Net present value is given in 2012 U.S. dollars.
to being summed with other viewsheds. This process was auto- top of structures with no above-grade adjustment. This approx-
mated using the InVEST Scenic Quality model, an open-source imates (with a slight upward bias) the view from top-floor win-
viewshed tool created specifically for weighted viewshed analysis dows of these properties, a likely representation of the best and
[33].4 largest view from each property [37,38].
Wind energy value is given as the lifetime net present value
2.3. Model runs (NPV) of the approved wind farm configuration for all potential
siting locations in the study area, as estimated using the InVEST
In the study area, one-meter resolution LiDAR point cloud data Wind Energy model ([33,39], see Appendix). Due to both the high
exists from which to derive elevation maps [36]. This data is from cost of financing offshore wind energy projects and the high cost
airborne LiDAR data collection done between April 22 and May 6, per megawatt for demonstration-scale projects, the NPV for this
2011. At this latitude, this date captures a point somewhere be- particular wind farm configuration is negative throughout the
tween no- and full-foliage, providing a reasonable median ap- study area.
proximation of surface contours throughout the year. Using the
ArcGIS LAS Dataset to raster tool, the point cloud data were pro-
cessed into a one-meter resolution digital surface model (DSM) 3. Results and discussion
using binning interpolation with “maximum” cell assignment and
natural neighbor void fill. Maximum biases the results to higher As the case study is a state-level decision for siting offshore
elevations by picking up higher elevation points that may be as- wind energy, here the analysis is restricted to the state waters
sociated with trees and structures, important features to capture surrounding Block Island.5 Comparing spatial maps of visibility,
for a viewshed model. At this resolution the study area includes given in viewer days, and wind energy value side-by-side show
5 billion pixels, a significant computational burden for over 12,000 that the demonstration-scale farm was sited in a favorable location
individual viewshed runs using a raster-based viewshed tool like for the two criteria of interest (Fig. 2). Locations to the south and
the ArcGIS viewshed tool, the chosen viewshed model for calcu-
southeast of the island provide higher NPV for a farm of this de-
lating viewer days. To reduce this burden, the DSM LiDAR data was
sign and also result in lower visibility due to the spatial distribu-
resampled to 10 m using bilinear interpolation. While this reduces
tion of viewers and the geomorphology of the southern part of the
the fidelity of the data, it retains important surface features often
island. Tradeoffs between NPV and visibility can be visualized by
missing in bare earth digital elevation modeling.
representing siting locations as a scatter plot (Fig. 3). Points below
To be comparable to the 20-year time horizon of the wind farm
or to the left of the outer envelope in the lower plot indicate lo-
the viewshed results were assumed constant across years and
cations where either visibility or NPV could be improved at no cost
multiplied by a factor of 20. A common refractivity coefficient of
to the other. The outer envelope of points forms the efficiency
0.13 is used for all viewshed runs to correct for distortions based
frontier for siting this wind farm configuration in the state waters
on the Earth’s atmosphere. Each individual’s maximum viewing
surrounding Block Island. Sites on the frontier represent optimal
radius is set at 30 km for the planned 175 m tall (turbine þrotor)
combinations of visibility and wind NPV, and the concave negative
Alstom 6.0 MW turbines in the demonstration wind farm [11].
slope indicates the rate of tradeoff between the two in the set of
Viewpoints representing visitors were assumed to extend 1.55 m
optimal solutions. Maximizing NPV comes at little cost to visibility
vertically above grade, eye-level of the average U.S. citizen
when moving from $11.5 million to $10 million, but further
(1.55 m:1.69 m in height .14 m for the distance between the top
gains in NPV quickly increase the visibility of the farm. Although
of the head and the eyes). Viewpoints for residents were placed on
the planned farm location is very close to the frontier, the plot
shows that an increase in NPV of roughly $0.75 million could come
4
The model calculates raster-based viewsheds using the R2 method described
in [34], but computes the cells in the line of sight using Kreveld’s sweeping tech-
5
nique [35]. The R2 algorithm can compute visibility in time that is proportional to For the sake of demonstrating the core cumulative viewshed approach, the
the viewing radius squared by only computing the line of sight to perimeter cells analysis presented here omits many other important siting considerations that
instead of the exact R3 algorithm that scales as a cubic function because it com- could significantly alter spatial prioritization, such as the location of commercial
putes the line of sight to every cell of the viewing area. Although it is an approx- fishing grounds, marine transport lanes, or restricted military zones [40]. None-
imate method, it is reported to be about 98.8% accurate compared to the exact R3 theless, these can be integrated alongside visibility as constraints or as additional
method [34]. siting criteria in a multi-objective tradeoff analysis for infrastructure siting [22].
222 R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223
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