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Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Marine Policy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/marpol

Incorporating the visibility of coastal energy infrastructure into


multi-criteria siting decisions
Robert Griffin a,n, Nicolas Chaumont a, Douglas Denu a, Anne Guerry b, Choong-Ki Kim c,
Mary Ruckelshaus b
a
The Natural Capital Project, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA 94305, United States
b
The Natural Capital Project, Stanford University, c/o School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Box 352100, Seattle, WA 98195,
United States
c
Division of Natural Resources Conservation, Korea Environment Institute, 370 Sicheong-daero, Sejong-si, 339-007, Korea

art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Concern about the visibility of large infrastructure development often drives public opposition to these
Received 17 August 2015 projects. However, insufficient analytical tools to assess visibility across a large number of alternate sites
Received in revised form prior to siting typically results in the omission of visibility in multi-criteria siting processes, leading to
18 September 2015
inferior site selection and often costly litigation. This paper presents an approach for deriving visibility
Accepted 18 September 2015
Available online 30 September 2015
maps based on the location and duration of viewing by residents and visitors and demonstrates its use in
illuminating tradeoffs by comparing these maps to wind energy value maps in the context of offshore
Keywords: wind energy development in the Northeastern United States.
Marine spatial planning & 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
Viewshed
license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Visibility
Wind energy
Siting

1. Introduction Public opposition to infrastructure development imposes a fi-


nancial burden on local communities and developers via costly
Visual features on the landscape play significant and wide- litigation and, in the context of wind energy, threatens the growth
ranging roles in people’s lives. Research has found links between prospects of a globally important renewable energy source. De-
nature viewing and many aspects of well-being [1,2], real estate spite this, landscape-level siting decisions for wind energy devel-
prices and views [3,4], and a general public preference for natural opment are largely conducted without formal consideration for
and agricultural views accompanied by modest levels of devel- visibility prior to the siting decision. While visual impact analysis
opment [5,6]. Recent high profile opposition to offshore wind has reached a remarkable degree of sophistication over the last 30
farms in the U.S. and Europe has demonstrated how visual impacts years [21], the post-hoc nature of this analysis means that site
can play a significant role in determining the level of public sup- selection is missing potentially important impacts and tradeoffs
port for large scale development in sparsely developed land and related to visibility, resulting in social welfare losses even in the
seascapes [7–10]. Commonly standing 100 m or more, wind tur- absence of litigation [22].
bines are visible from as far as 30 km away [11]. The exposure that To incorporate visibility considerations into infrastructure sit-
produces favorable wind conditions coincides with high inherent ing requires inverting the traditional lens of analysis from asses-
sing visibility from a given point source to assessing where people
visibility and the potential for negative visual impacts to neigh-
in the study area can see over the landscape. The 360° range of
boring communities. Evidence from communities adjacent to
visibility from an observation point, commonly known as a view-
land-based wind farms indicates that, while support for develop-
shed, is limited by such factors as the acuity of the human eye,
ment is conditional on many factors [12], visibility concerns are
intervening topography, the curvature of the earth, and weather.
consistently and frequently cited [13,14]. In coastal settings they
In the fields of landscape planning and archeology, overall land-
are a top concern [7,15] and surveys have shown that coastal re-
scape visibility has been conceptualized by the term cumulative
sidents [16–18] and visitors [19,20] are willing to pay to site wind
viewsheds, the aggregate visibility from multiple observation
farms further from shore where they are less visible. points [23]. This approach is beginning to attract attention in siting
infrastructure [24,25]; however to-date it has been conducted only
n
Corresponding author. from the perspective of a handful of observation points – generally
E-mail address: rmgriff@stanford.edu (R. Griffin). scenic overlooks and population centers.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.09.024
0308-597X/& 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223 219

Fig. 1. Distribution of visitors across the study area from geotagged photos. Rhode Island state waters around Block Island are shaded blue. High concentrations of visitors
can be seen in the town center (largest concentration of red and orange cells), and the two lighthouses (north and southeast). Note the route that the ferry takes from the
mainland (line of green cells to the north) and a popular recreational fishing location (concentration of green cells to the SE).

This paper expands the cumulative viewshed approach to issues are a primary concern; it has a highly variable population
provide a more comprehensive accounting of where people are throughout the year that is comprised of permanent residents,
over space and time to significantly improve visibility estimates summer residents, and tourists; and finally, it has a high cost of
for planning in wind energy and other infrastructure siting deci- energy that incentivizes locals to support wind energy projects
sions. This first requires information about places where people [27,28]. A lengthy state-level planning effort [29] has led to the
live and visit – two proxy datasets for where residents and visitors approval of a demonstration-scale wind farm that likely will be the
spend most of their time [25]. The locations of residences in the first commercial offshore wind facility operating in the U.S. To
case study presented in this paper are based on maps created to demonstrate the use of these cumulative viewshed maps for siting,
enhance emergency response that combine both field surveys and the outputs of a spatial wind energy value model are compared to
orthophotography; however, many other potential data layers may cumulative viewshed maps where visibility is measured in viewer
be useful for this purpose. To estimate the relative spatial dis- days, a quantitatively meaningful metric that accounts both for
tribution of visitors to the study area (Fig. 1), the case study ex- spatial and temporal variation in visibility across different cate-
ample here employs a global dataset of geotagged photos from a gories of viewers. This flexibility of this siting approach is also
popular photo-sharing site that has been shown to provide an demonstrated by drawing from the extensive visual impact lit-
accurate proxy for the spatial distribution of visitation [26]. These erature to create cumulative visual impact maps that reflect
relative visitation maps are calibrated to nominal visitation maps viewers’ preferences. The methods demonstrated here expand the
using surveyed visitation data to the area. While no dataset can toolbox of planners to incorporate visibility into siting decisions
ever fully represent the exact location, orientation, and duration of for features with a visual impact, and in the specific context of
viewing for all viewers in an area, incorporating visitors is a novel offshore wind, allow for the comparison of tradeoffs between
addition to visual impact assessment that captures more of the visibility, wind energy value, and other objectives as part of a
inherent complexity in landscape viewing patterns. The residence multi-criteria spatial planning process.
and visitation data are inputs to a conventional viewshed algo-
rithm that aggregates the resulting individual viewsheds to gen-
erate cumulative viewshed maps. 2. Methods
The context of a previously completed offshore wind farm sit-
ing decision near Block Island, Rhode Island was selected as a 2.1. Viewers
heuristic demonstration of the core methodology of this cumula-
tive viewshed approach and its use in multi-criteria spatial plan- To characterize where people can see over space, a spatial in-
ning. Block Island is a small (25 km2) island located 21 km off the ventory of viewers over the landscape is required. There are
coast of mainland Rhode Island that is home to approximately multiple potential data sources that can be used to spatially locate
1000-year-round residents and a destination for over 30,000 viewers based in residences, including orthophotography, tax as-
people on a busy summer holiday weekend. The island is re- sessment parcel maps, and maps created for public safety emer-
presentative of many locations on the U.S. east coast and world- gency response. This flexibility increases the applicability of this
wide where favorable wind energy resources are located: it is approach across a wide range of geographies. In the case of Block
close enough to potential wind farm locations such that visibility Island, the state of Rhode Island has an E-911 vector data layer for
220 R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223

use in public safety programs that spatially identifies all structures island in 2009, indicating that there are 536,900 overnight visitors
in Rhode Island that was created using field-verified orthophoto- and visitors from under 50 miles, or 379,300 overnight visitors not
graphy. It includes the number of stories for each structure and the including those from under 50 miles. Unfortunately the data are
street address, as well as classifications for whether it is a re- ambiguous regarding the distribution in the length of stay, so
sidential address or other class of structure. It also includes a sub- based on the observed flickr data the simplifying assumption was
category of whether or not it is a seasonal versus full-time re- made that the median length of stay is one day as observed in the
sidence. From this data, all structures on Block Island were ex- dataset (Table A.1).3 An additional assumption is that this field
tracted and the dataset was further reduced by eliminating all visitation data reflects not only visitation to the island but also to
structures that were not classified in the dataset as full-time the surrounding waters. Much of the activity in surrounding wa-
residences.1 ters, including passenger ferries, charter boats, and sailing is based
Geotagged photos from the online photo hosting service flickr out of the island so this is a reasonable assumption. To assign each
(available via flickr’s public API) were employed to assess the viewpoint a number of total visitor days, the total number of
spatial distribution of where visitors or tourists aggregate. The visitors (536,900) were divided by the number of photos, therefore
global coverage of these photos, the ability to avoid time-con- treating 11,088 photo locations from the flickr dataset equally and
suming and costly surveys, and photos’ inherent linkage to visual assigning each as representative of approximately 48.5 visitor
landscape quality make them a useful data source in this context. days.
A comparison of independent empirical visitation to 836 sites in
31 countries against observed imputed visitation from flickr 2.2. Viewer days and visual impact
showed strong correlations, demonstrating that these data can be
reliably used as a proxy for visitation [26]. Because visitors spend Creating a quantitatively meaningful cumulative viewshed
time in the waters surrounding Block Island for activities such as from input datasets for visitor and resident locations requires that
sailing, charter fishing, and transit from the mainland, all photos the outputs of each viewshed be in the same terms. There are
taken on Block Island or in the marine areas defined by a many potential metrics that could serve as a potential common
60x60 km2 bounding box centered on Block Island were included.2 denominator between visitors and residents, and the choice
This data includes the latitude and longitude, the user id, and the should be informed both by how impacts are internalized by
date the picture was taken. For the study area there were 11,088 viewers and also more practical considerations such as data lim-
photos over the years 2005–2012, comprising 1456 unique user itations, computing resources, and the nature of the questions or
days and 711 unique individuals. The median amount of days decisions that will be made with the results. Based on existing
taking photos in the area per user is one day, with 64% of users research and the limitations of available data, two approaches are
falling into this category. Table S.1 shows the distribution of user presented here: using viewer days and a visual impact index as the
days for the dataset. output metrics for the cumulative viewshed analysis.
Wood et al. [26] found a strong correlation between user days For all locations (cells) in an area of interest, viewer days re-
and field observations of visitation at 836 recreation sites around flects the number of days each viewer can see that particular lo-
the world, demonstrating that this dataset can be reliably used as a cation and then sums those values across all viewers. This is a
proxy for visitation. However, the raw number of observed photo- quantitatively meaningful output of landscape visibility that
user-days significantly underestimates visitation, as naturally not weighs residents’ viewing more than visitors’, addressing research
all visitors to a location take pictures and upload them to this that has found heterogeneous and time-variant visual impacts to
particular web service. The usefulness of these data is based rather different user groups [19]. Viewer days is also an intuitive and
in how it characterizes the distribution of visitors over space. Ta- transparent metric that should be readily understood by policy
ken as a proxy for the distribution of actual visitors to the area, it makers and stakeholders, allowing involved parties to reflect on
can be combined with survey data on nominal visitation to pro- their visual preferences during the iterative stakeholder engage-
vide quantitative estimates of visitation to different locations. ment process typical of nearly all successful spatial planning ef-
Global Insight [30] provides data on the number of visitors to the forts [31].
To expand the viewer days concept from a visibility metric to a
1
visual impact metric requires an understanding of viewers’ pre-
This left 1058 structures, a significant difference from the 514 occupied
ferences for seeing development. Bishop and Miller [32] used a
housing units identified by the 2010 U.S. census. Without a spatial layer identifying
the census housing units, the E-911 data is the best available resource to char- multiple regression analysis with standardized coefficients to ex-
acterize the spatial distribution of year-round residences, even if it significantly amine how different predictors influence the visual impact of
overestimates their number. To partially address this, the 1051 full-time residents wind turbines, finding that distance has the largest effect. For the
identified by the 2010 U.S. Census across all year-round residential units were
purpose of demonstrating a visual impact preference map in this
evenly spread and each viewpoint received (1051/1058)*365 ¼362.6 viewing days
per year. This approach captures the spatial distribution of the year-round re- cumulative viewshed framework, their regression results relating
sidences in the E-911 data while not overestimating the total number of viewer distance to visual impact are employed here, holding other vari-
days. ables at their sample means, yielding the following distance–im-
2
Included in this analysis are the full-time residents of Block Island and visi- pact relationship:
tors both on the island and in surrounding waters. Though the decision context
explored here is siting a wind energy facility in the state waters surrounding Block I = 3.84 − 0.053D (1)
Island, visitors recreating in the waters outside this area are included under the
assumption that they also will be affected and may likely be tied to Block Island’s where I is the visual impact index that ranges from 1 (low impact)
tourist economy. State waters to the north of Block Island extend to within 8 km of
to 5 (high impact), and D is the distance of the wind turbines in
the mainland and generally should be included in an analysis of this type. However
these viewers were not included for two reasons: first, while the particular case kilometers from the viewer. In a cumulative viewshed analysis,
study gives context, the siting decision here has already been made and therefore each individual viewshed raster is weighted by this function prior
this is a heuristic exercise to demonstrate the core cumulative viewshed metho-
dology; second, the wind energy analysis and visibility analysis made it clear that
3
locations to the north of Block Island were inferior to those to the south. Adding in By tracking individual users in the flickr dataset a finer temporal resolution
additional viewers that can only see the north side of the island would have done could be created that breaks visitation time into hours; however, this level of detail
nothing to change the outcome of this (retrospective) policy guidance or advance has not been validated against empirical data and would still be reliant on the
demonstrating the approach. coarser field survey data for translation to total visitation time.
R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223 221

Fig. 2. Comparison of favorable wind (left) and visibility (right) areas over the lifetime of the wind farm (20 years). The cross indicates the planned wind farm location. The
net present value map is negative throughout the area, characteristic for a demonstration-scale farm that is unable to take advantage of economies of scale. As a state-level
decision, the analysis is constrained to the waters surrounding Block Island up to three nautical miles. Net present value is given in 2012 U.S. dollars.

to being summed with other viewsheds. This process was auto- top of structures with no above-grade adjustment. This approx-
mated using the InVEST Scenic Quality model, an open-source imates (with a slight upward bias) the view from top-floor win-
viewshed tool created specifically for weighted viewshed analysis dows of these properties, a likely representation of the best and
[33].4 largest view from each property [37,38].
Wind energy value is given as the lifetime net present value
2.3. Model runs (NPV) of the approved wind farm configuration for all potential
siting locations in the study area, as estimated using the InVEST
In the study area, one-meter resolution LiDAR point cloud data Wind Energy model ([33,39], see Appendix). Due to both the high
exists from which to derive elevation maps [36]. This data is from cost of financing offshore wind energy projects and the high cost
airborne LiDAR data collection done between April 22 and May 6, per megawatt for demonstration-scale projects, the NPV for this
2011. At this latitude, this date captures a point somewhere be- particular wind farm configuration is negative throughout the
tween no- and full-foliage, providing a reasonable median ap- study area.
proximation of surface contours throughout the year. Using the
ArcGIS LAS Dataset to raster tool, the point cloud data were pro-
cessed into a one-meter resolution digital surface model (DSM) 3. Results and discussion
using binning interpolation with “maximum” cell assignment and
natural neighbor void fill. Maximum biases the results to higher As the case study is a state-level decision for siting offshore
elevations by picking up higher elevation points that may be as- wind energy, here the analysis is restricted to the state waters
sociated with trees and structures, important features to capture surrounding Block Island.5 Comparing spatial maps of visibility,
for a viewshed model. At this resolution the study area includes given in viewer days, and wind energy value side-by-side show
5 billion pixels, a significant computational burden for over 12,000 that the demonstration-scale farm was sited in a favorable location
individual viewshed runs using a raster-based viewshed tool like for the two criteria of interest (Fig. 2). Locations to the south and
the ArcGIS viewshed tool, the chosen viewshed model for calcu-
southeast of the island provide higher NPV for a farm of this de-
lating viewer days. To reduce this burden, the DSM LiDAR data was
sign and also result in lower visibility due to the spatial distribu-
resampled to 10 m using bilinear interpolation. While this reduces
tion of viewers and the geomorphology of the southern part of the
the fidelity of the data, it retains important surface features often
island. Tradeoffs between NPV and visibility can be visualized by
missing in bare earth digital elevation modeling.
representing siting locations as a scatter plot (Fig. 3). Points below
To be comparable to the 20-year time horizon of the wind farm
or to the left of the outer envelope in the lower plot indicate lo-
the viewshed results were assumed constant across years and
cations where either visibility or NPV could be improved at no cost
multiplied by a factor of 20. A common refractivity coefficient of
to the other. The outer envelope of points forms the efficiency
0.13 is used for all viewshed runs to correct for distortions based
frontier for siting this wind farm configuration in the state waters
on the Earth’s atmosphere. Each individual’s maximum viewing
surrounding Block Island. Sites on the frontier represent optimal
radius is set at 30 km for the planned 175 m tall (turbine þrotor)
combinations of visibility and wind NPV, and the concave negative
Alstom 6.0 MW turbines in the demonstration wind farm [11].
slope indicates the rate of tradeoff between the two in the set of
Viewpoints representing visitors were assumed to extend 1.55 m
optimal solutions. Maximizing NPV comes at little cost to visibility
vertically above grade, eye-level of the average U.S. citizen
when moving from  $11.5 million to $10 million, but further
(1.55 m:1.69 m in height  .14 m for the distance between the top
gains in NPV quickly increase the visibility of the farm. Although
of the head and the eyes). Viewpoints for residents were placed on
the planned farm location is very close to the frontier, the plot
shows that an increase in NPV of roughly $0.75 million could come
4
The model calculates raster-based viewsheds using the R2 method described
in [34], but computes the cells in the line of sight using Kreveld’s sweeping tech-
5
nique [35]. The R2 algorithm can compute visibility in time that is proportional to For the sake of demonstrating the core cumulative viewshed approach, the
the viewing radius squared by only computing the line of sight to perimeter cells analysis presented here omits many other important siting considerations that
instead of the exact R3 algorithm that scales as a cubic function because it com- could significantly alter spatial prioritization, such as the location of commercial
putes the line of sight to every cell of the viewing area. Although it is an approx- fishing grounds, marine transport lanes, or restricted military zones [40]. None-
imate method, it is reported to be about 98.8% accurate compared to the exact R3 theless, these can be integrated alongside visibility as constraints or as additional
method [34]. siting criteria in a multi-objective tradeoff analysis for infrastructure siting [22].
222 R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223

Fig. 4. Cumulative viewshed using visual impact index weighting.

heterogeneous populations. There is considerable remaining re-


search necessary to integrate preference weighting into visual
impact analysis, and this visual impact exercise also abstracted
from important landscape context concerns which are still being
formalized in the literature [9,41]. Nonetheless, the cumulative
viewshed framework presented here is adaptable to the use of
visual impact indices and monetary value functions from will-
ingness-to-pay surveys [16,17,19,20] as this research progresses.
It is important to note that the analysis here is concerned only
with visibility and the visual impacts of infrastructure develop-
ment, not the entire suite of values that may be associated with an
undeveloped (or lightly developed) landscape. The concept of
“value” in economics is categorized by use and non-use value.
Fig. 3. Efficiency frontier for visibility and wind energy net present value. (Top) A Visual impact is a type of use value, as the observer directly ex-
random sample of 10,000 combined wind energy value and viewer days across the
study area for the chosen farm configuration. (Bottom) Values at the outer
periences a change in their well-being from viewing a landscape.
boundary of the top plot demonstrate the efficiency frontier of best possible out- Non-use value is commonly associated with wilderness and empty
comes. Points towards the top of the figure indicate a decrease in visibility; points spaces–people value these and would be willing to pay to keep
to the right indicate increasing NPV. The axis for viewer days is inverted, reflecting them wild (for example by prohibiting wind farms), even if they
a preference for less visible wind energy infrastructure. The black cross indicates
never plan to visit these locations. It is important not to conflate
the combined values for the planned wind farm location, near the edge of the
frontier. these sources of value – see the seminal paper by Walsh et al. [42]
on non-use value and wilderness for more on this distinction.
Estimating other use and non-use values arising from (the lack of)
at no cost to visibility. Similarly, a reduction of a million viewer development in a landscape is challenging but is supported by
days could come at little cost to NPV. These are relatively small other methods from more than 30 years of research in economics.
gains compared to many of the other locations that could have Cumulative viewshed results, regardless of the chosen output
been chosen for this wind farm, which reflects well on the ex- metric, should be considered only as estimates of landscape visi-
haustive planning process that resulted in this location being bility. A primary reason for this is the process for attributing the
chosen despite not having the advantage of the cumulative spatial and temporal attributes of viewers in the study area. This
viewshed model or the wind energy value maps. will always provide an imperfect measure of the exact location
For demonstrating impact-weighted cumulative viewsheds, the and duration of time spent viewing the landscape. Another im-
InVEST Scenic Quality model was run with a coarser 100 m DSM portant reason for this is that viewshed algorithms are computa-
(resampled from the 1 m DSM) and only using the residence tionally intensive and this burden increases exponentially as the
viewpoints. Other values were held constant from the viewerdays resolution of the inputs increases. This is a critical issue in cu-
cumulative viewshed analysis. The results (Fig. 4) demonstrate the mulative viewshed modeling when thousands of individual
visual impact of the demonstration scale wind farm across space. viewshed runs are required across all the observation points.
As each pixel represents the cumulative visual impact at that lo- Current software and hardware limitations require that some sa-
cation, the values are no longer on a 1–5 scale as they are summed. crifices in accuracy must be made to run a cumulative viewshed
To the extent that the application of visual preferences for offshore analysis, one of the major reasons that this type of analysis is
wind turbines from a study done elsewhere apply to Block Island, under-studied.
this map demonstrates the decay of negative visual impact at in- A key advancement of this cumulative viewshed approach is
creasing distances from island residences. Bishop and Miller [32] the fast and accurate production of landscape visibility maps prior
assessed visual preferences for offshore wind turbines by survey- to siting decisions, a crucial missing capacity for planning at a time
ing attitudes about hypothesized predictors that influence the when more than three dozen countries worldwide are starting or
perceived visual impact of offshore wind turbines, such as con- continuing to develop marine spatial plans in reaction to ex-
trast, distance from the viewer, rotor motion, and demographic panding use of coastal waters [43]. Marine aquaculture in parti-
characteristics. Unsurprisingly, many of these factors played a role. cular is another visually sensitive and quickly growing use that is
Demographics poses a particularly difficult challenge for creating being deliberated globally without advance consideration for vi-
visual impact maps, versus visibility maps, in the presence of sual impacts. While it has been introduced in an offshore wind
R. Griffin et al. / Marine Policy 62 (2015) 218–223 223

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