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PERT Example

Example

For the network of a construction project given below determine-


(i) Critical path and its standard deviation

2–3-4
3 – 7 - 17 6 – 12 - 18

1 2–5-8 6 – 8 - 16 8 – 11 - 20 2–5-8
2 4 7 8

2 – 3 - 10

1–2-3
4 – 9 - 20

5 4 – 7 - 16 6

Solution:

/ 13

8 3 12
/0 /5 / 16 / 30 / 38
1 2 4 7 8
tE = 5 9 12 5

4 2
10

5 8 6

/ 20 / 28
Paths ∑tE (along the path)
1-2-3-7-8 30
1-2-3-4-7-8 33
1-2-4-7-8 31
1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 35
1-2-3-4-5-6-8 38
1-2-4-5-6-7-8 33
1-2-4-5-6-8 36

So, Critical Path = 1-2-3-4-5-6-8

Activity σ2 (Variance)
1-2 1
2-3 5.44
3-4 0.11
4-5 1.78
5-6 4
6-8 7.11
2
∑ σ = 19.44

So, Standard deviation of critical path, SDcritical path = √ (∑ σ2)


= √ (19.44)
= 4.41

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