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Approach & Methodology: Objective
Approach & Methodology: Objective
Objective
To obtain appropriate value of Reebok Pre/Post Pandemic and assess its validity
Understanding the financials and operating performance of reebok, its futuristic brand outlook
2 Preparing a Pre-pandemic DCF model basis various technical and qualitative industry metrics
3 Preparing a Post-pandemic DCF model basis various technical and qualitative industry metrics
5 Conclusion
1
Future Outlook- Reebok
DIGITAL FOCUS
DRIVING
OPERATIONAL PRODUCTIVITY
EXCELLENCE AND EFFICIENCY
ACROSS OF SALES
OUR GLOBAL PLATFORM
MARKETS
2
Pre-Pandemic DCF
Valuation
DCF valuation – Fair value as on 31.12.19
$ Millions
Particulars FY 2019 FY 2020 E FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Terminal value
Revenue 2,096 2,346 2,626 2,939 3,289 3,682 4,121
EBIT as a % of Sales 5% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
EBIT 116 259 290 325 363 406
Less: Taxes @ 25% (29) (65) (72) (81) (91) (102)
NOPAT 87 194 217 243 272 305
(Less)/Add: (Increase)/Decrease in
Working Capital - (66) (73) (82) (92) (103)
Free Cash Flow to Firm 87 129 144 161 181 202
Terminal capitalised value 2,944
Present value 80 108 111 114 117 120 1,913
Enterprise value 2,564
Less: Debt 145 EBIT margin Terminal
Add: Cash 20 of FY 2020 growth rate
Equity Value 2,439 has been – 2%
reduced to
Proportionate value of Adidas one-halved
consolidated debt and cash –
basis Reebok share of revenue
4
Assumptions drivers
$ Millions
Revenue
Particulars FY 2016 FY 2019 CAGR Weights
Weighted average of 3 year CAGR of industry
Nike 32,376 39,117 7% 0.30 players
Puma 4,352 6,603 15% 0.35 Weights have been taken considering the size of
Sketchers 3,563 5,220 14% 0.35 the company and hence relatability with Reebok
Weighted Average 12%
Operating Margin
Particulars FY 2019 Weights
Nike 12% 0.30 Weighted average latest operating margins
Puma 8% 0.35 Weights – same as above
Sketchers 10% 0.35
Weighted Average 10%
5
Post-Pandemic DCF
Valuation
DCF valuation – Fair value as on 31.12.20
$ Millions
Particulars FY 2020 (A) FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Terminal value
Revenue 1,691 1,892 2,118 2,370 2,653 2,969
EBIT as a % of Sales 0.4% 3% 5% 10% 10% 10%
EBIT 7 62 104 234 262 293
Less: Taxes @ 25% (2) (16) (26) (58) (65) (73)
NOPAT 5 47 78 175 196 220
(Less)/Add: (Increase)/Decrease in Working Capital
- (46) (53) (59) (66) (74)
Free Cash Flow to Firm 5 1 25 116 130 146
Terminal capitalised value 1,650
Present value 1 21 85 86 86 979
Enterprise value 1,257
Terminal
Less: Debt 266 growth rate
Add: Cash 335 EBIT margin EBIT margin
– 2%
of FY 2021 of FY 2022
Equity Value 1,327
has been has been
Proportionate value of Adidas reduced to reduced to
consolidated debt and cash – one-third one-halved
basis Reebok share of revenue
7
Assumptions drivers
$ Millions
Revenue
Particulars FY 2016 FY 2019 CAGR Weights
Weighted average of 3 year CAGR of industry
Nike 32,376 39,117 7% 0.30
players
Puma 4,352 6,603 15% 0.35 Weights have been taken considering the size of
Sketchers 3,563 5,220 14% 0.35 the company and hence relatability with Reebok
Weighted Average 12%
Operating Margin
Particulars FY 2019 Weights
Nike 12% 0.30 Weighted average latest operating margins
Puma 8% 0.35 Weights – same as above
Sketchers 10% 0.35
Weighted Average 10%
8
Post-Pandemic DCF
Valuation
Trading multiples
$ Millions
Owing to the reasons stated above, trading multiples valuation have been
ignored for our calculation purposes
10
Conclusion
Summary: Valuation of Reebok
$ Millions
Valuation
2,439 1,327
31-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2020
12
Thank you