Quezon City Risk Atlas

Quezon City Risk Atlas
Building a Disaster Resilient

Quezon City Project
Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative

Puno Building, 47 Kalayaan Avenue, Diliman,
Quezon City, Metro Manila, Philippines 1101
T/F: +632 9279643; T: +632 4334074
www.emi-megacities.org
Authors QCG Contributors
Dr. Eng. Fouad Bendimerad, PhD, P.E., Risk Assessment Task Hon. Herbert M. Bautista, City Mayor, QCG
Leader, Project Director, EMI Gen. Elmo DG San Diego (Ret.), Head, DPOS and QC DRRMC
Dr. Bijan Khazai, PhD, Risk Assessment and ICT Expert, EMI Action Officer, Project Director, QCG
Mr. Kristoffer John Dakis, GIS Specialist, EMI Mr. Tomasito Cruz, Head, CPDO, QCG
Ms. Lalaine Bergonia, GIS Specialist, EMI Ms. Consolacion Buenaventura, DPOS, Project Manager, QCG
Mr. Leigh Lingad, GIS Specialist, EMI Dr. Noel Lansang, DPOS, Project Coordinator, QCG
Mr. Eugene Allan Lanuza, Junior GIS Analyst, EMI Project Technical Working Group
Ms. Anne Marie Valera, Junior GIS Analyst, EMI Engr. Robert Beltran, Department of Engineering, Data Cluster
Mr. Paolo Micael Villa, Junior GIS Analyst, EMI Head, QCG
Engr. Robert Germio, PDAD, Data Cluster Head, QCG
Dr. Esperanza Arias, Quezon City Health Department, Data
EMI Contributors Cluster Head, QCG
Building a Disaster Resilient Quezon City Project
Karl Michael Marasigan, DPOS, Data Cluster Head, QCG

Mr. Jerome Zayas, Project Manager, EMI
Ms. Joyce Lyn Salunat-Molina, Co-Project Manager, EMI
Ms. Ma. Bianca Perez, Project Coordinator, EMI
Ms. Marivic Barba, Research Assistant for DRRM, EMI
Ms. Ishtar Padao, Research Assistant for DRRM, EMI
Ms. Narcielyn Rizal, Training Assistant, EMI
Copyright © 2013 QCG and EMI
The concepts, maps and overall design of the Quezon City Risk Atlas are developed by EMI; hence, the aforementioned are intellectual properties of EMI. Parts of
the contents, data, and information contained in this document are properties of Quezon City.
This document is jointly owned by the Quezon City Government and EMI. Permission to use this document is granted provided that its use or parts thereof are
for educational, informational, non-commercial, and personal use only. The Quezon City Government and EMI must be acknowledged in all cases as the source
when reproducing or using any part of this publication.
2
Additional Contributors
Barangay Greater Lagro

Barangay Horseshoe
Barangay Matandang Balara
Barangay Operations Center
Barangay Quirino 2-A
Barangay Teacher’s Village West
About this Document
City Administrator’s Office
City Assessor’s Office The Quezon City Risk Atlas is submitted to the Quezon City
City General Services Department Government as a complementary deliverable in relation to
City Health Department the Memorandum of Agreement between QCG and EMI,
City Planning and Development Office signed by both parties on August 22, 2012. This document is
City Secretary’s Office a compilation of physical, socio-economic, built environment,
City Treasurer’s Office hazards, vulnerability and risks information and maps of
Committee on Environment, Parks and Ecology, City Council
Quezon City. The Risk Atlas was based on the Hazards,
Committee on Public Order and Safety, City Council
Vulnerability, and Risk Assessment Report (EMI, 2013) that
Communication Coordination Center
Community Relations Office provides the scientific foundation for disaster risk reduction
Department of Building Official and management planning.
Department of Engineering
Department of Public Order and Safety
Department of Public Order and Safety – Disaster Control Division

Division of City Schools
Environment Protection and Waste Department
Gender and Development Resource Coordinating Office
Housing and Community Development and Resettlement Department
Information and Technology Development Office
Kapatiran Bayan ng Bagong Filipino Foundation
Office of the Vice Mayor
Parks Development and Administration Department
Public Affairs and Information Office
Quezon City Bureau of Fire Protection
Quezon City General Hospital
Quezon City Police Department
Radio Communications Services
Social Services and Development Department
Task Force COPRISS
Urban Poor Affairs Office
3
Message of the Mayor
With the help of our partner, the Earthquakes concerns us all and it is our collective
and Megacities Initiative (EMI), the Quezon responsibility to keep our families and
City Disaster Risk Reduction and Management our city safe from disasters.
Council (QC DRRMC) developed the Quezon
City Risk Atlas to provide all stakeholders Let us all work together to build a
with relevant information to help us all Disaster Resilient Quezon City. Mabuhay
understand what types of risks we face so we ang Lungsod Quezon!
can better manage them and prepare for their
consequences. We have all seen the devastation
brought about by the recent 7.2 magnitude
earthquake in Bohol and in neighboring Cebu.
The question is not if a similar earthquake
will happen to Metro Manila, but when, and

we need to be prepared when that happens.
The Quezon City Risk Atlas contains maps
that identify which areas are at risk in Quezon
City. This information allows us to focus our
attention and resources to reducing the risk of
areas found to be vulnerable to the impact of
extreme events brought about by earthquake
and flooding.
With the Quezon City Risk Atlas, the QC

DRRMC has the tool to better plan policies,
priorities, and actions to keep Quezon City
residents safe from disasters and to protect
our investments from the adverse effects
of geological and well as climate related
catastrophic events.
I strongly encourage all city government and

barangay officials, employees, development
partners, and stakeholders in Quezon City
to make full use the information contained
in the Quezon City Risk Atlas in planning for
their own work. Disasters is an issue that
4
Message of the Vice Mayor
In the wake of recent earthquake and flooding
events in the country, many local government
units are now impelled to draw up and review
their existing programs on disaster risk reduction
and management. As the largest and most popu-
lated city in Metro Manila, Quezon City is all the
more compelled to ensure the safety of its con-
stituents and protect its development gains.
Through the development of the Quezon City

Risk Atlas, the city has made great leaps in under-
standing the importance of planning effectively to
mitigate, prevent and prepare for the adverse ef-
fects of earthquakes and floods. In a country that
constantly deals with one disaster after another,
quality and science-based information becomes
the next best tool for developing programs, proj-
ects and activities aimed for ensuring the safety of

the city’s constituents. I commend all those who
worked hard in completing the Quezon City Risk
Atlas. With its completion, I am looking forward
to a Disaster-Resilient Quezon City.
Kaya natin to!
5
Message from the Project Directors
PCSUPT (Ret.) Elmo DG San Diego, QC DRRMC Action Officer
The partnership between the Quezon City Gov- and structurally sound environment with a vi-
ernment and Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative brant economy under progressive leadership.’
(EMI) proves that the city recognizes the fact that Now equipped with the outputs from the
risk reduction is the responsibility of all, not just Project, Quezon City now has the tools to
government. The Quezon City Risk Atlas, along reduce its risk and build its capacity towards a
with the products of the “Building a Disaster disaster-resilient city.
Resilient Quezon City Project,” provides the op-
portunity for the city to comply with the national
law and international standards of practice, thus

reducing risks in the long term and enticing devel-
opmental investments to come in the city.
The Quezon City Risk Atlas is a compendium of

maps and information related to hazards, vulnera-
bility and risk. The document constitutes a collec-
tion of key information about the city such as its
demography, infrastructure, land use, essential and
critical facilities, disaster management, and infor-
mation on hazards, vulnerability and risks. With
the availability of information, the integration of
DRRM-related informed strategies, programs,
projects and activities to various aspects of local
government functions, responsibilities and practic-
es is no longer a difficult feat for Quezon City.
The “Building a Disaster Resilient Quezon City

Project” paved way for Quezon City to envision ‘a
Quality City with an empowered and responsive
citizenry who live in a sustainable, well planned,
6
Fouad Bendimerad, Ph.D, P.E., Chairman and Executive Director, EMI
The Quezon City Risk Atlas provides a single reference
on key information on city demographics, environment,
hazard, vulnerability, and risk. Through this document,
city officials, planners, engineers, researchers, and the
general public are able to understand the city’s haz-
ards and risks at a glance. Maps, charts, and figures are
presented to visually represent key statistics and data
on hazards and risks for the city as a whole and for the
identified hotspot barangays. The correlation of expo-
sure and hazard information provides the readers with
relevant information for understanding risk, planning
for its impacts, and for raising awareness and support
to risk reduction activities. ,
The Quezon City Risk Atlas is a product of several

consultation and validation sessions between EMI and
the Quezon City Technical Working Group. By working
together, EMI and Quezon City were able to produce a
product that is scientifically sound and grounded on the
real life experiences of people who are at the forefront
of disaster risk reduction and management activities in
Quezon City.
I am confident that Quezon City will make full use

of the Quezon Risk Atlas and sustain the momentum
towards building a disaster resilient city!
7
Disclaimer
The maps, tables, findings and analyses presented in the
document are based on secondary information collected from various The sources of flood data used in the study include various
studies such as MMEIRS, Project NOAH and others (Refer to the models based on flooding due to Typhoon Ondoy (2009), Habagat
Reference Section, p. 9). Interviews, surveys, mapping exercises, and flooding (2012), as well as mapping exercises with participants from the
group validation processes were conducted to generate and validate Quezon City Government and other organizations. Flood hazard maps
information needed for analyses. Data and documentation needed for are indicative inundation maps for large flood events and useful only for
this document were provided by the Quezon City Government, various knowing where not to be during extremely heavy rainfall. These hazard
government institutions, and particular individuals. Hypotheses and maps are only as good as the topographic map base that was used in the
assumptions were developed by EMI experts with extensive experience flood simulation.
in their respective fields of expertise to treat the datasets and come up
with sound assessments. In order to improve on the assessments, focus Damage impact assessments and projections provided in this
group validations were conducted over several different occasions with report are meant to inform QCG on the hazards and risks provided by
key participants from the Quezon City government and stakeholders. earthquakes and floods so they can improve on their planning and policy
The validation procedures include flooding situations to augment making processes. The information provided in this report is not meant,
flood models, spatial locations and attributes of essential facilities, and and should not be interpreted, to replicate the realities of the impacts of
importance of disaster risk variables in terms of emergency response, an actual event. Consequences from actual events can vary significantly
coping capacities, and hazard exposures. from the projections provided in this report.
The analysis for earthquake related hazards is scenario-based. There were many cases where data was inconsistent or
The magnitude 7.2 earthquake scenario on the West Valley Fault (Model incomplete. A diligent effort was allocated to ascertain the completeness
8 in MMEIRS) is recognized by experts as representing the worst case and validation of the data. However, data improvements and data updates
scenario for Metro Manila. It is considered in this study to develop are continuous tasks. EMI recommends that the document be updated
the planning assumptions and considerations related to earthquake risk. regularly as better data becomes available.
The occurrence of such an earthquake is possible but very rare. Thus,
preparedness activities for magnitude 7.2 cause the greatest stress on Photos and Images: EMI does not own the copyright for the
Quezon City. While earthquakes with lesser magnitudes will provide images. Individual owners and websites still own the rights to their
lower levels of constraints and loss, planning for the worst case scenario images. Citations are indicated in each photo.
is recommended by international standards (e.g., ISO3000) and by recent
experience (e.g., Fukushima Earthquake) because they help organizations
and institutions prepare for the unforeseen.
8
Table of Contents
About this Document................................................................................................................................................ 3
Disclaimer..................................................................................................................................................................... 8
Message of the Mayor ............................................................................................................................................... 4
Message of the Vice Mayor........................................................................................................................................ 5
Message of the Project Directors ...................................................................................................................... 6-7
Acronyms.................................................................................................................................................................... 14
References.................................................................................................................................................................. 15
Definition of Terms .................................................................................................................................................. 16
Acknowledgements.................................................................................................................................................. 18
1 4
Physical and Socio-Economic Profile Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
CHAPTER
Location Map of Quezon City, p.20 A. Earthquake Risk Assessment

A. Physical Profile A.1. Ground Motion Severity, p.41
A.1. Terrain, p.19 A.2. Fire Following Impact, p.50
A.2. Hydrography, p.22 A.3. Liquefaction, p.59
B. Socio - Economic Profile A.4. Building Damage, p.63
B.1. Administrative Boundaries, p.23 A.5. Fatalities, p.81
B.2. Population, p.24 A.6. Injuries, p.82
CHAPTER
B.3. Education, p.25 B. Flood Risk Assessment

B.4. Economy, p.26 B.1. Project Casualty, p.88
2
B.2. Affected Buildings, p.89
Built Environment
CHAPTER CHAPTER
B.3. Affected Population

B.3.1. Population Affected by Flood, p.91
A. Transportation Infrastructure
B.3.2. Displaced Population, p.92
A.1. Road Network and Bridges, p.29
B.4. Economic Impact
B. Buildings, p.30
B.4.1. Capital Stock per Square Kilometer, p.93
C. Critical Facilities, p.32
B.4.2. Projected Economic Loss per Capita, p.94
D. Emergency Management Facilities, p.33
B.5. Projected Infection Rates, p.96
E. High Loss Facilities, p.34
C. Combined Risk Assessment
C.1. UDRI Approach, p. 102
3
C.2. Earthquake Hotspots, p.103
Hazards C.3. Flood Hotspots, p.109
A. Earthquake, p.37 C.4. Socio-economic Hotspots, p.118
B. Flood, p.38 C.5. Combined Risk Hotspots, p.119
9
List of Tables
Table 1. Liquefaction-Prone Barangays................................................................................................................. 59
Table 2. Capital Stock and the GDP and Exchange Rates ............................................................................... 93
Table 3. Cost Ratio Values of Contents and Assets Against Flood Inundation Heights ............................ 95
Table 4. Adjusted Values from the US Environmental Protection Agency
USEPA’s Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund (RAGS) from JICA (2010).......................................... 98
Table 5. E.coli Concentration Ce = 30,000 MPN/100 mL (Nga, 1999) .....................................................100
List of Figures
Figure 1. Melchora Aquino Shrine ................................................................. 19 Figure 19. Building Distribution based on
Figure 2. Location Map of Quezon City ...................................................... 20 Building Height Map of Quezon City ..................................................30
Figure 3. Elevation Map of Quezon City ..................................................... 21 Figure 20. South Triangle .................................................................. 30-31
Figure 4. Hydrography Map of Quezon City .............................................. 22 Figure 21. Building Distribution based on
Building Actual Use Map of Quezon City .......................................... 30
Figure 5. Administrative Boundaries Map of Quezon City ...................... 23
Figure 22. East Avenue Medical Center .............................................. 32
Figure 6. Population and Growth Rate Map of Quezon City ................. 24
Figure 23. Quezon City Daycare and Livelihood Center ............... 32
Figure 7. Population Density Map of Quezon City ................................... 24
Figure 24. Critical Facilities Map of Quezon City ............................ 32
Figure 8. Educational Facilities Map of Quezon City ................................ 25
Figure 25. Philippine Science High School ......................................... 32
Figure 9. Highest Education Level Completed of
Population 5 Years Old and Older, Quezon City, 2007 ............................ 25 Figure 26. Betty Go-Belmonte Super Health Center ..................... 32
Figure 10. University of the Philippines, Diliman ...................................... 25 Figure 27. Philippine Heart Center ..................................................... 32
Figure 11. SM North Edsa ............................................................................. 26 Figure 28. Emergency Management Facilities Map of
Quezon City ............................................................................................. 33
Figure 12. Eastwood, Libis ............................................................................. 26
Figure 29. Armed Forces of the Philippines
Figure 13. Araneta, Cubao ......................................................................... 26-27
General Hospital ..................................................................................... 33
Figure 14. Centris ............................................................................................. 27
Figure 30. Camp Crame ......................................................................... 33
Figure 15. Araneta Center .............................................................................. 27
Figure 31. Trinoma ................................................................................... 34
Figure 16. UP Ayala Technohub ...................................................................... 28
Figure 32. Santo Domingo Church ................................................ 34-35
Figure 17. Road Networks and Bridges Map of Quezon City ................ 29
Figure 33. Balintawak Market ................................................................ 35
Figure 18. Kamias Road ................................................................................... 29
Figure 34. High Loss Facilities Map of Quezon City ........................ 35
10
List of Figures
Figure 35. Hon. Herbert “Bistek” Bautista Figure 51. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of
during the “Habagat” flooding, August 2012 ......................................... 36 Barangay Libis ............................................................................................... 48
Figure 36. West Valley Fault Map of Quezon City ................................ 37 Figure 52. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of
Figure 37. Flood in Quezon City ............................................................. 39 Barangay Batasan Hills ................................................................................. 49
Figure 38. Flood Susceptibility Map of Quezon City ........................... 39 Figure 53. Quezon City Fire Department in Action ............................. 50
Figure 39. Flood in E. Rodriguez road ..................................................... 39 Figure 54. Fire Following Earthquake Map of
District 1, Quezon City .............................................................................. 51
Figure 40. Rescuers transporting people on floodwaters .................. 39
Figure 55. Fire Following Earthquake Map of
Figure 41. QC Department of Public Order and
Safety - Disaster Control Division in Action ........................................ 40
Figure 42. Earthquake Ground Shaking Map of
District 1, Quezon City ............................................................................. 42
District 5, Quezon City ...............................................................................54

District 6 Quezon City .............................................................................. 55
Barangay Don Manuel ................................................................................ 56
Barangay San Isidro ..................................................................................... 56
Figure 48. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Sta. Teresita .................................................................................. 57
Barangay Bagong Silangan .......................................................................... 47
Figure 49. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Sto. Niño ....................................................................................... 57
Barangay Bagumbayan ................................................................................. 47
Figure 50. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Unang Sigaw ................................................................................. 58
Barangay Ugong Norte .............................................................................. 48 Figure 65. Liquefaction Potential Map of
11
List of Figures
Figure 66. Liquefaction Potential Map of Figure 81.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of
District 2, Quezon City ............................................................................. 61 District 1, Quezon City ............................................................................. 73
Figure 67. Liquefaction Potential Map of Figure 82.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of
Figure 83.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of
Figure 68. Liquefaction Potential Map of
Figure 84.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of
Figure 69. Building Damage after a Fire in Quezon City ................... 64 District 4, Quezon City .............................................................................. 75
Figure 70. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of Figure 85.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of
Figure 71. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of Figure 86.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of
Figure 72. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of Figure 87.Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of
District 3, Quezon City ............................................................................. 66 Barangay Bagong Silangan .......................................................................... 78
Figure 88.Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of
Figure 73. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of
Barangay Batasan Hills ................................................................................ 78
Figure 89.Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of
Figure 74. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of Barangay Commonwealth .......................................................................... 79
District 5, Quezon City ............................................................................. 68 Figure 90.Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of
Figure 75. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of Barangay Payatas .......................................................................................... 79
District 6, Quezon City ............................................................................. 69 Figure 91.Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of
Figure 76. Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Matandang Balara ....................................................................... 78
Barangay Bagong Silangan .......................................................................... 70 Figure 92. Projected Fatalities per Barangay Map of
Figure 77. Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Quezon City ................................................................................................. 81
Barangay Batasan Hills ............................................................................... 70 Figure 93. Projected Injuries per Barangay Map of
Quezon City ................................................................................................. 82
Figure 78. Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of
Figure 94. Flood Susceptibility Map for
Barangay Commonwealth ......................................................................... 71
Figure 79. Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Figure 95. Flood Susceptibility Map for
Barangay Holy Spirit ................................................................................... 71 District 2, Quezon City ............................................................................. 83
Figure 80. Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Figure 96. Flood Susceptibility Map for
Barangay Payatas .......................................................................................... 72 District 3, Quezon City ............................................................................. 84
12
List of Figures
Figure 97. Flood Susceptibility Map for Figure 112. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot -
District 4, Quezon City .............................................................................. 85 Barangay St. Ignatius, Quezon City ........................................................ 105
Figure 98. Flood Susceptibility Map for Figure 113. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot -
District 5, Quezon City ............................................................................. 86 Barangay Ugong Norte, Quezon City .................................................. 106
Figure 114. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot -
Figure 99. Flood Susceptibility Map for
Barangay Bagong Silangan, Quezon City .............................................. 107
Figure 115. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot -
Figure 100. Projected Casualties Barangay Batasan Hills, Quezon City ................................................... 108
due to a 100 Year Flood Map, Quezon City .......................................... 88 Figure 116. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot -
Figure 101. Flood Affected Buildings Map, Quezon City .................... 89 Barangay Talayan, Quezon City ............................................................. 110
Figure 102. Population Affected by Flooding Map, Figure 117. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot -
Quezon City ................................................................................................ 91 Barangay Damayang Lagi, Quezon City ............................................... 111
Figure 103. Displaced Population due to Flooding Map, Figure 118. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot -
Quezon City ................................................................................................ 92 Barangay Roxas, Quezon City ............................................................... 112
Figure 119. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot -
Figure 104. Capital Stock per Sq. Km. Map,
Barangay St. Peter, Quezon City ........................................................... 113
Quezon City ................................................................................................ 93
Figure 120. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot -

Figure 105. Projected Economic Losses per Capita Barangay Doña Imelda, Quezon City .................................................... 114
due to Flooding Map, Quezon City ......................................................... 94 Figure 121. Flood Susceptibility Map of
Figure 106. Image of children playing in Flood Waters, Barangay Talayan, Quezon City .............................................................. 115
Quezon City ................................................................................................. 96 Figure 122. Flood Susceptibility Map of
Figure 107. Infection routes through direct and indirect contact Barangay Damayang Lagi, Quezon City ............................................... 115
with contaminated floodwater (JICA, 2010) ........................................... 97 Figure 123. Flood Susceptibility Map of
Figure 108. Flowchart for Infection Risk Calculation after Barangay Roxas, Quezon City ................................................................ 116
JICA (2010) methodology ......................................................................... 99 Figure 124. Flood Susceptibility Map of
Barangay St. Peter, Quezon City .............................................................116
Figure 109. Image of children in Flood Waters,
Figure 125. Flood Susceptibility Map of
Quezon City ................................................................................................ 101
Barangay Doña Imelda, Quezon City .....................................................117
Figure 110. Structure of the Urban Disaster Risk Index .................. 102 Figure 126. Socio-economic Impact Map of Quezon City ................118
Figure 111. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot - Figure 127. Urban Disaster Risk Index Map of
Barangay Bagumbayan, Quezon City ..................................................... 104 Quezon City ............................................................................................. 119
13
Acronyms
BOC Barangay Operations Center NAMRIA National Mapping and Resource Information Authority
BPLO Business Permits and Licensing Office NOAH Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards
CGSO City General Services Office OSM Open Street Map
DEM Digital Elevation Model PDAD Parks Development and Admin Department
DILG Department of Interior and Local Government PHIVOLCS Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology
DOST Department of Science and Technology PRC Philippine Red Cross
DPOS Department of Public Order and Safety PRC Philippine Red Cross
DRGS Disaster Risk Geo-Spatial QC Quezon City
DRR Disaster Risk Reduction QCG Quezon City Government
DRRM Disaster Risk Reduction and Management QC BFP QC Bureau of Fire Protection
DRRMC Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council QC GH Quezon City General Hospital
DRRMMP Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Master Plan QC PD Quezon City Police District
DSM Digital Surface Model RSLUP Risk-Sensitive Land Use Plan
DTM Digital Terrain Model SDI Spatial Data Infrastructure
EPWMD Environmental Protection and Waste Management Department SSDD Social Services Development Department
EMI Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative TWG Technical Working Group
EOP Emergency Operations Plan UPAO Urban Poor Affairs Office
EQ Earthquake
HVRA Hazards, Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
GADRCO Gender and Development Resource and Coordination Office
GIS Geographic Information Systems
ITDO Information Technology and Development Office
JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency
KDD Knowledge Development and Dissemination
LGU Local Government Unit
MGB Mines and Geosciences Bureau
MMDA Metro Manila Development Authority
MMEIRS Metro Manila Earthquake Impact Study
14
References
Department of Science and Technology, Project NOAH, 2012.
Earthquake and Megacities Initiative, Building a Disaster Resilient Quezon City Project: Hazards,
Vulnerability, and Risk Assessment Report , 2013.
Government of the Philippines, Flood Control and Drainage Study on the San Juan River Watershed,
1979.
Government of the Philippines , Study on Flood Control and Drainage System, 1998.
Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), Climate Risks and Adaptation Study, 2008-2010.
Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), Metro Manila Development Authority (MMDA),
Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS), The Metro Manila Earthquake
Impact Reduction Study (MMEIRS), March 2004.

Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), Study on Flood Control and Drainage Project in
Metro Manila, 1990.
Mines and Geosciences Bureau, Flood Hazard Map of Metro Manila, 1995.
OESF, Study on Effective Flood Control Operation System including Telemetering and Flood Warning
System in the Quezon City-Marikina-Laguna Lake Complex, 1985.
The Local Government of Quezon City Website, http://www.quezoncity.gov.ph/
University of the Philippines (UP), Flo2dProject, 2010.
World Bank, Master Plan for Flood Management in Metro Manila and Surrounding Areas, 2012.
15
Definition of Terms1
1 Themes and Issues in Disaster Risk Reduction, A schema for the categorization of DRR knowledge and action, United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR),
November 2011
Capacity
The combination of all the strengths, attributes and resources available within a community, society or organization that can be used to achieve agreed goals.
Critical Facility
Critical facilities are facilities needed for emergency response such as hospitals, fire stations, emergency centers, police stations, certain public buildings that house
functions needed by the public, data centers, and powerplant.
Exposure
The totality of assets (i.e., people, property, infrastructure, cultural heritage, natural and biological systems, services, institutions, or other material elements) present in
hazard zones that are, thereby, subject to potential losses.
Hazard
A dangerous natural phenomenon, substance, human activity or condition that may cause loss of life, injury or other health impacts, property damage, loss of livelihoods
and services, social and economic disruption, or environmental damage.
High loss facility

High loss facilities are facilities whose failure carries a large potential for loss of life, typically they include gas stations and other industrial facilities which contain
hazardous materials, schools, markets, malls, hotels and high occupancy buildings, hospitals, and assembly halls such as churches, sports arenas, and others.
Resilience
The ability of a community, society, institution, or individual to cope and recover from the negative impact of hazardous events.
Risk
The probability (or likelihood) of any exposed asset to sustain a loss should an event happen.
16
Risk Identification & Assessment
A structured analytical process designed to determine the nature and extent of risk by analyzing potential hazards and evaluating existing conditions of
vulnerability that, together, could potentially harm exposed people, property, services, livelihoods and the environment on which they depend.
Social Impacts
Consequences of a hazardous event on the physical, economic and psychological well-being of individuals and on the functioning of a community. Features
of a social system that help to avoid losses and maintain or recover satisfying living conditions after a shock.
Vulnerability
The characteristics and circumstances of an exposed asset that make it susceptible to the damaging effects of a hazard. Sometimes also identified with
“Fragility” of an asset.
Vulnerable Population

The segments of the population which exhibit a greater vulnerability due to their socio-economic conditions or health limitations.
17
Acknowledgements
The members of the Project Technical Working Group (TWG) The Consultative Committee for the pertinent contribution and
and the EMI Project Team are grateful for the valuable time, ideas and counsel to the development of the HVRA Report.
resources invested by the following institutions and organizations:
Select barangay officials of the Quezon City Government for
The Quezon City Government for its commitment, involvement their inputs and participation in the activities conducted by DPOS and
and support, especially the Office of the City Mayor, Office of the Vice EMI for the production of the HVRA Report.
Mayor, City Administrator, the City Council, and other City Departments/
Offices involved in the Project particularly the Department of Public The Office of Civil Defense, the Philippines Institute of
Order and Safety (DPOS),City Planning and Development Office (CPDO), Volcanology and Seismology (PHI-VOLCS) and NAMRIA for providing
Information Technology and Development Office (ITDO), City Assessor’s relevant data and information to the project.
Office, Environmental Protection and Waste Management Department
(EPWMD), Department of City Engineer, Department of Building Photo Credits: PAISO, afpmedicalcenter.com, allvoices.com, Apol
Official, Parks, Development and Admin Department (PDAD), City Seban, en.wikipedia.org, Ernie Uichanco, Eunice Cacatian, farm3.static.
Health Department, Barangay Operations Center (BOC), Community flickr.com, Joa JM Letada, Josh Fernandez, Jun Sanchez, lanavaldemanila.
Relations Office (CRO), City General Services Office (CGSO), Urban com, manilastandardtoday.com, mc.pshs.edu.ph, myphilippinelife.
Poor Affairs Office (UPAO), Social Services Development Department com (Bob and Carol), NewsInquirer.Net, orangemagazinetv.com,
(SSDD), Gender and Development Resource and Coordination Office pinoysnapshots.blogspot.com, skyscrapercity.com, snglguy.wordpress.
(GADRCO), Business Permits and Licensing Office (BPLO), Office of com, tripwow.tripadvisor.com, twicsy.com, and worldngayon.com
the City Secretary, QC General Hospital, Philippine Red Cross-QC
Chapter, Division of City Schools, QC Police District, QC Bureau of The Project TWG, along with the EMI Project Team, appreciates
Fire Protection, and Department of Interior and Local Governance-QC the contribution of these individuals and organizations. Our sincere
Chapter (DILG). apologies are extended to those we might have inadvertently failed to
recognize.
The Steering Committee for the continuous support and
guidance in the implementation of the Project.
18
Physical
1
CHAPTER
and Socio-Economic
Profile
Figure 1 Melchora Aquino Shrine

19
Location Map of Quezon City
Six percent (6%) or 10,669 ha of the city’s land area is Quaternary deposit.
The solid Central Plateau covers 94% of the city. Therefore, the city is
substantially not vulnerable to liquefaction but it does not mean that the
whole area will be safe from it during an earthquake. Also, the Central
Plateau is gently sloping for the most part of the city except where the West
Valley Fault (WVF) lies. Therefore, the city in Model 08 or 7.2 magnitude
earthquake has a low potential for slope failure.
Figure 2. Location Map of Quezon City
20 Physical and Socio-Economic Profile

Figure 3. Elevation Map of Quezon City
Chapter 1.A.
Physical

Profile
Elevation
The Digital Terrain Model (DTM) is a digital representation of bare ground
surface, without vegetation, buildings and other man-made structures. Based
on the DTM, Quezon City’s natural terrain is generally flat, with slopes ranging
from 8-15° particularly on the central and southern portions.
Philippine Reference System

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Steeper slopes can be found on the northern
tip of the city where the La Mesa Watershed
is located. This area is also the city’s highest
elevation which is about 120 meters above
sea level.
The lowest point is situated at

Sta. Mesa Heights at 3 meters above sea level.
1.A.1. Terrain
Physical and Socio-Economic Profile 21
Figure 4. Hydrography Map of Quezon City
Quezon City is drained by five (5) principal river basins namely: Quezon
City River, San Juan River, Tullahan River, Marikina River and Meycauayan
River. These rivers create a network of 44 tributaries that runs through 92
of the city’s 142 barangays with a combined length of 124 kilometers.
1.A.2. Hydrography
The northern half of the city is close to the La Mesa Dam, a 700 hectare
reservoir at 100m above sea level, which was built to supply the domestic
water needs of Quezon City dwellers. When the reservoir reaches spilling
level, the excess water will flow into the Tullahan River in the northern
part of Quezon City and then through the surrounding cities of Malabon,
Valenzuela and Caloocan all the way to Manila Bay.

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Chapter 1.A.
Physical Profile
Figure 5. Administrative Boundaries Map of Quezon City
Quezon City has a land area of 16,112.58 hectares which makes it the
largest city in Metro Manila. The city is located in the north eastern part of
Metro Manila and bounded by Kalookan and Malabon in the west, Marikina
and Pasig in the east and Manila and San Juan in the south.

1.B.1. Administrative
Boundaries
Quezon City is composed of 142 barangays of which 30 barangays are located in
District 2, the largest of the four (4) districts. The land area of District 2 is relatively
large compared with other districts and the proliferation of informal settlers gave it
a wide margin of distinction. Last July 2, 2012, President Benigno S. Aquino III signed
into law the Republic Act No. 10170 which reapportioned District 2 into three (3)
legislative districts making a total of six (6) legislative districts for Quezon City. As a
result of the reapportionment, District 2 has only retained five (5) barangays namely:
Bagong Silangan, Batasan Hills, Commonwealth, Holy Spirit, and Payatas. The newly
created districts, District 5 and 6 are composed of 14 and 11 barangays, respectively.
Chapter 1.B.
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EMI © 2013 Socio-Economic
Physical and Socio-Economic Profile
Profile 23
According to the 2010 Census of Population and Housing (Census 2010),
Quezon City registered a total population of 2, 754, 29. Twenty percent
(20%) of the population live in just four (4) barangays namely,

Commonwealth, Batasan Hills, Payatas and Holy Spirit. There are a number of
barangays, mostly in the central part of the city (District 6) with populations
of at least 60,000. On the other hand, the ten (10) least populated barangays
in Quezon City make up a combined population of less than one percent
(1%) of the city’s total population.
Figure 7. Population Density Map of Quezon City
Chapter 1.B.
Socio-Economic
Profile
Figure 6. Population and Growth Rate Map of Quezon City
The distribution of population is critical in

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simulating impacts of natural hazards and
EMI © 2013 socio-economic vulnerability assessments of
Quezon City.
1.B.2. Population
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1.B.3. Education
In terms of level of education completed1, 36% of the residents of Quezon
City who were 5 years old and above, were able to reach high school
while close to 22% had an elementary education. Only 17% of the 2007
Figure 8. Educational Facilities Map of Quezon City

household population was able to complete a college degree while almost
4% did not complete any grade level (Figure 1).

1 NSO, Census of Population, 2007, http://census.gov.ph/sites/default/files/attachments/hsd/
pressrelease/Quezon%20City_Table%205.pdf

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EMI © 2013 Figure 9. Highest Education
Level Completed of
Population 5 Years Old and
Older, Quezon City, 2007
Chapter 1.B. Socio-Economic Profile

Figure 11. SM North Edsa
Source: en.wikipedia.org
Figure 12. Eastwood, Libis
Source: www.skyscrapercity.com
Quezon City is one of the most competitive cities in the Philippines in terms of
doing business. In 2007, it was regarded as one of the top 10 Asian Cities of the
Future by AsiaBiz Strategy based on economic parameters such as economic
potential, cost effectiveness, human resources and quality of life. During the same
year, the Asian Institute of Management recognized Quezon City as the most
competitive city in Metro Manila and 2nd in the Philippines.
For the year 2010, Quezon City recorded 58,133 registered businesses. 30% of
the service - oriented businesses are into retail, 25% serve as contractors while
1.B.4. Economy
11% are in wholesale trading.

Chapter 1.B.
Socio-Economic Profile
Quezon
Quezon City
City Risk
Risk Atlas
Atlas
1
Quezon City is also emerging as an Information Technology City. Of the country’s
208 Information Technology (IT) Parks registered with the Philippine Export Zone Figure 14. Centris
Authority, thirty-four (34) are located in Quezon City. The largest are the Eastwood Source: akosiapol.blogspot.com
Photo by: Apol Seban
City Cyber Park, spread over 13.29 hectares in District 3 and the UP-Ayala
Technohub, spread over 38.06 hectares in District 4. There are more than 100
companies located in these parks. Majority of these companies are into business
process outsourcing.
Figure 13. Araneta, Cubao Figure 15. Araneta Center

Source: tripwow.tripadvisor.com Source: pinoysnapshots.blogspot.com

2 Built
CHAPTER
Environment
UP Ayala Technohub Figure 16
28
Chapter 2.A.
Transportation
Infrastructure

2.A.1. Road Network and Bridges
The major roads of Quezon City are concentrated mainly on the southern
portion, traversing Districts 1, 3, 4 and 6. On the other hand, Quirino Highway,
Zabarte Avenue, Commonwealth Avenue, Fairview Avenue and Batasan Road
are the main thoroughfares that serve Districts 2 and 5. All of Quezon City’s
main avenues are supplemented by main and secondary intra-city roads as well
as numerous tertiary roads which enhances the city’s internal mobility.
The entire road network of Quezon City has

a continuous connection to the main road and
transportation network and mass transit systems
in Metro Manila, making it very accessible to the
other cities of Manila.
Figure 17. Road Networks and Bridges Map of Quezon City

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Source: Flickr.com
Figure 18. Kamias Road Photo by: Joa JM Letada
Built Environment 29
Figure 19. Building Distribution based on Building Height Map of Quezon City
The city is occupied mostly by low rise to medium rise buildings. The
height of the building, its location, its usage, elevation, estimated peak
ground acceleration and other pertinent characteristics contributes
to the damage it could incur during an earthquake event.
Chapter 2.B.
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Figure 20. South Triangle
30 Built Environment
Figure 21. Building Distribution based on Building Actual Use Map of Quezon City

Damage to these buildings will lead to significant disruption
to the community and its social fabric, causing temporary
or permanent closure of government offices, small
businesses, restaurants, churches, and schools.
Buildings
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Source: http://joshfernandezvideography.wordpress.com
Photo by: Josh Fernandez
Chapter 2.C.
Figure 22. East Avenue Medical Center Figure 25. Philippine Science High School
Figure 24. Critical Facilities Map of Quezon City

Source: mc.pshs.edu.ph
Figure 26. Betty Go-Belmonte Super Health Center
Source: panoramio.com
Photo by: Eunice Cacatian
Source: panoramio.com
Photo by: Ernie Uichanco
Figure 23. Quezon City Daycare and
Critical facilities are key facilities whose disruption, failure or
Livelihood Center destruction may have a serious impact on the functioning of
the society, economy or state of an area in a natural hazard
induced disaster context.
These include the following:
barangay hall
daycare centers
health centers
hospitals
schools

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Source: wikimapia.org
Photo by: Jun Sanchez
Critical Facilities Figure 24. Critical Facilities Map of Quezon City
Figure 27. Philippine Heart Center
Source: myphilippinelife.com
Photo by: Bob and Carol
Chapter 2.D.
Figure 29. Armed Forces of the
Figure 28. Emergency Management Facilities Map of Quezon City

Philippines General Hospital

Source: www.afpmedicalcenter.com
Emergency Management Facilities are those necessary for

emergency response, such as hospitals, fire stations, police
stations, fire hydrants, evacuation shelter, satellite kitchens
and/or logistical distribution centers, among others.
Figure 30. Camp Crame
Emergency
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Source: www. twicsy.com
EMI © 2013
Management Facilities
Figure 32. Santo Domingo Church
Source: www.lanavaldemanila.com
High Loss Facilities are facilities whose

failure can potentially trigger major loss
of life. To determine the impact of floods
and earthquake hazards on buildings
with high loss potential, High Loss
Facilities are identified, counted and
categorized according to their location
in relation to ground shaking severity
and flood susceptibility. These
infrastructures include places of worship,
malls, markets, gas stations, chemical and
industrial facilities, and schools.
Figure 31. Trinoma
Source: snglguy.wordpress.com
Chapter 2.E. High Loss Fa

Figure 34. High Loss Facilities Map of Quezon City
Quezon
Quezon City
City Risk
RiskAtlas
Atlas
Figure 33. Balintawak Market
Source: farm3.static.flickr.com
acilities
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3 Hazards
CHAPTER
Hon. Herbert “Bistek” Bautista

during the “Habagat” flooding, August 2012 Figure 35
36
Earthquakes are among the most devastating natural hazards that an
urban community must continually prepare for in order to lessen the
potential impact. There is tremendous damage potential in terms of
casualty and destruction that even moderate earthquakes can lead to
Quezon
large-scale damage to structures and human casualties. Examples of
Quezon City
these are the recent major urban earthquakes in Japan (2011), New
City Risk
Zealand (2011), Haiti (2010), China (2008) and Iran (2003). Although
RiskAtlas
cities in the Philippines have not experienced a major earthquake in
Atlas
the recent past, the Luzon earthquake in 1990 demonstrated the high
seismic risk in urban areas. It is, therefore, widely considered that
earthquake risk should be taken as an important component for
developing disaster risk management plans, both for regions with
moderate and high seismicity.
The West Valley Fault (WVF) system which transects Metro Manila constitutes the
largest earthquake threat to its communities. Recent studies show that the West
Figure 36. West Valley Fault Map of Quezon City

Valley Fault has moved at least four (4) times and generated strong earthquakes
within the last 1,400 years. The predicted return period of these earthquakes is less
than 500 years but no event along the West Valley Fault is known to have occurred
after the 17th century.
An estimated M7.2 is projected by the 2004 Metro Manila Earthquake Impact 1992
Reduction Study (MMEIRS) in its Model 08 Scenario. EMI © 2013
Chapter 3.A. Earthquake

Hazards 37
Quezon City is a flood prone area and regularly
experiences floods of different magnitudes following heavy
rains. Because much of northern Quezon City consists
of undulating terrain, some areas are typically much more
heavily affected by floodwaters than others which are at

higher ground. As the floodwater moves downstream to the
Quezon City River, low lying barangays such as Tatalon, Sto.
Domingo, Roxas district and Pag-Asa can become flooded,
made more severe by the low grade terrain of the area,
resulting in flood waters remaining for longer
periods of time.
Chapter 3.B. Flood

Figure 37. Flood in Quezon City
Source: orangemagazinetv.com
38 Hazards
,
Another factor for flooding in Quezon City is the poor or
non-existent drainage. The Department of Engineering of
the City Government, however, regularly conducts
drainage cleanups before monsoon season to remove
debris and obstructions. The rapid urbanization in the
Philippines has left a lot of garbage that is not usually
collected or is occasionally dumped into rivers. This is
exacerbated by the slum neighborhoods that had
developed along Quezon City’s river systems.

The Esteros in Quezon City are natural waterways that
help drain the city’s interiors of excess waters. They have
traditionally assisted in the removal of floodwaters during
periods of heavy rainfall. However, buildings have now been
constructed directly on top of esteros, leading to the
inability of the esteros to be effective, thus, restricting
floodwaters to dissipate from Quezon City, adding to the
city’s flood control issues.
Figure 39. Flood in E. Rodriguez road

Source: worldngayon.com
Figure 38. Flood Susceptibility Map of Quezon City
EMI © 2013
1992
Hazards 39
4
CHAPTER
QC Department of Public Order and Safety - Disaster Control Division in Action
Vulnerability
Figure 41
40
and Risk Assessment
Chapter 4.A.
Earthquake Risk Assessment

The top 5 barangays with the strongest intensity of ground motion (Modified Mercalli Intensity,
MMI) are:
1) Bagumbayan (9.76)
2) Ugong Norte (9.36)
3) Batasan Hills (9.28)
4) Libis (9.26)
5) Bagong Silangan (9.25)
These barangays are situated along the fault, on the easternmost part of Quezon City. They gave
the highest values in the MMI scale which depicts the severity of ground shaking. According to the
MMI scale, intensity 8.13 (the lowest possible intensity level in Quezon City) can cause severe
damage to poorly built structures.
4.A.1.
Ground Motion Severity
Vulnerability and Risk Assessment 41
Figure 42. Earthquake Ground Shaking Map of District 1, Quezon City

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42 Vulnerability and Risk Assessment


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Vulnerability and Risk Assessment


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Figure 48. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Bagong Silangan
Figure 49. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Bagumbayan

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Figure 50. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Ugong Norte
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Figure 51. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Libis

Figure 52. Projected Modified Mercalli Intensity Map of Barangay Batasan Hills
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49
Figure 53. Quezon City Fire Department in Action
Chapter 4.A.
Source: www.manilastandardtoday.com

Conflagration may occur in the city in the event of a 7.2 magnitude

earthquake. This scenario is governed by several factors, including,
windspeed, construction density, natural fire breaks (such as wide
roads and streams), and flammability of construction materials.
Based on the Model 8 scenario, a projected estimate of over 4,800
buildings may be burnt in case of a 8 meter per second wind1.
4.A.2. Fire 1 According to the Beaufort scale, an 8 meter per second wind is classified as a “fresh
Following Impact
breeze”. In a fresh breeze, small trees sway and flags flap and ripple.

51
Quezon City Risk Atlas Figure 54. Fire Following Earthquake Map of District 1, Quezon City
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Figure 56. Fire Following Earthquake Map of District 3, Quezon City

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Figure 60. Fire Following Earthquake Map of Barangay Don Manuel
Figure 61. Fire Following Earthquake Map of Barangay San Isidro

Philippine Reference System 1992
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Figure 62. Fire Following Earthquake Map of Barangay Sta. Teresita
Figure 63. Fire Following Earthquake Map of Barangay Sto. Niño

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58
Figure 64. Fire Following Earthquake Map of Barangay Unang Sigaw
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Chapter 4.A. The barangays that have areas susceptible to liquefaction
are, namely:
Earthquake Risk Table 1. Liquefaction-Prone Barangays
Assessment

Liquefaction occurs when ground
movement shakes the soil, causing
lighter materials such as water to rise
and infiltrate the ground. This results
to a liquid-like behavior of the soil,
which compromises structural
foundations. Loose soil, such as
alluvial soils with high water content,
are highly susceptible to liquefaction.
4.A.3.
Liquefaction
60
Figure 65. Liquefaction Potential Map of District 1, Quezon City

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Chapter 4.A.

The estimation of building damage is provided through engineering relationships that provide the damage ratio (i.e. cost
of repair versus replacement value) for a given earthquake severity. MMEIRS provides estimates of damage in terms of
two classifications:
- Heavily Damaged Buildings. This category includes potential buildings that will be heavily or partially damaged.
Occupancy of these buildings may be possible but would require major to minor repair.
- Very Heavily Damaged Buildings. This category includes potential collapsed and heavily damaged buildings
that may require demolition. Occupying these buildings may not be possible.
The estimated number of buildings were calculated using recent semi-empirical relationships that relate earthquake
intensity to collapse ratios for different building classes1. The building classification was developed using remote sensing
technology correlated with building data provided by Quezon City Government. The estimation of building damage
necessitates several variables, including earthquake energy (magnitude), ground motion (peak ground acceleration and/or
velocity), soil conditions, building materials, building height, and engineering methods (or lack thereof).
1 Kishor Jaiswal et al., 2009 (Semi-Empirical Formula)
4.A.4.
Building Damage
Figure 69. Building Damage after a Fire in Quezon City

Source: NewsInquirer.Net
Key Findings for Building Damage and Fatalities

 The following barangays will suffer the most with building collapse are:  The barangays that will suffer the most from buildings that will sustain partial
Batasan Hills (449 buildings), Bagong Silangan (249), Payatas (134), Matandang damages are: Batasan Hills (5,741), Commonwealth (5,198), Payatas (3,705),
Balara (112), and Commowealth (101). These barangays are located towards Holy Spirit (3,236), and Bagong Silangan (3,155).
the eastern region of Quezon City. These same barangays will also suffer the  The barangays that will have most fatalities are: Batasan Hills (1,557),
most with buildings that will receive very heavy damages. Commonwealth (948), Bagong Silangan (878), Holy Spirit (680), and
 The barangays that will suffer the most from buildings sustaining heavy Matandang Balara (650). The barangays that will have the most injuries are:
damages are: Commonwealth (1,414), Batasan Hills (1,348), Payatas (957), Batasan Hills (4,324), Commonwealth (3,130), Tandang Sora (2,571), Bagong
Holy Spirit (908), and Pasong Tamo (747). Silangan (2,442), and Holy Spirit (2,240).

65

Figure 70. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of District 1, Quezon City
EMI © 2013
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Figure 71. Heavy Building Damage per Barangay Map of District 2, Quezon City Building a Disaster Resilient Quezon City Project
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Figure 76.Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Bagong Silangan
Figure 77. Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Batasan Hills

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Philippine Reference System EMI © 2013

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Figure 78.Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Commonwealth
Figure 79. Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Holy Spirit

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Figure 80.Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Payatas Building a Disaster Resilient Quezon City Project
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Figure 81. Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of District 1, Quezon City
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Figure 82.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of District 2, Quezon City
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Figure 85.Very Heavily Building Damage per Barangay Map of District 5, Quezon City

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Figure 87 Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Bagong Silangan
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Figure 88. Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Batasan Hills
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Figure 89 Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Commonwealth
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Figure 90. Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of BarangayPayatas

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Figure 91 Very Heavily Damaged Buildings Map of Barangay Matandang Balara

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Risk Assessment

The results of the Hazards,Vulnerability and Risk
Assessment (HVRA) show that barangays Bagong Silangan,
Batasan Hills, Commonwealth, Holy Spirit and Matandang
Balara have the highest fatality rates with values greater
than 1.20 percent of the population at risk.
Figure 92 Projected Fatalities per Barangay Map of Quezon City

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EMI © 2013 4.A.5.
Fatalities
Risk Assessment
Building aa Disaster
Building Resilient Quezon
Disaster Resilient Project
City Project
Quezon City
Based on the HVRA results, the

barangays that will suffer the most
injuries are Batasan Hills (4,324),
Commonwealth (3,130), Tandang Sora
(2,571), Bagong Silangan (2,442), and
Holy Spirit (2,240).
Figure 93 Projected Injuries per Barangay Map of Quezon City

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4.A.6. Injuries
,

Figure 94. Flood Susceptibility Map for District 1, Quezon City
EMI © 2013
Chapter 4.B.
Flood Risk Assessment
,
,

Figure 95 Flood Susceptibility Map for Districtt 2, Quezon City
EMI © 2013 EMI © 2013
Philippine Reference System Philippine Reference System

1992 1992

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,
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Figure 98 Flood Susceptibility Map for Districtt 5, Quezon City

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,
Chapter 4.B. Flood
Risk Assessment
4.B.1. Projected Casualty

The Quezon City flood susceptibility map was used to determine the
casualties caused by floods. By performing a regression analysis on previous
floods and cyclones for varying flood depths, the number of casualties caused
by the 100-year flood susceptibility map can be estimated for each
susceptibility level in each Barangay.
Key findings:
• It is estimated that a 100-year flood will result in 111 casualties in

Quezon City.
• Areas which are in high flood susceptibility zones (inundation depth
greater than 200cm) are likely to encounter casualties 2.5 times greater
than medium susceptibility areas (inundation depth between 50cm and
Figure 100. Projected Casualties due to a 100 Year Flood Map, Quezon City
200cm) and 5 times greater than low susceptibility areas (inundation
depth below 50cm).
• The largest number of casualties are expected to be in Batasan Hills,
Tatalon, Sta Lucia and Bagong Silangan due to the number of people who
will be affected by high flood exposure levels.
• The top four barangays with casualties have more than the average
number of informal settlement buildings in Quezon City. This is also
probably due to the many informal settlements located near river
systems. Philippine Reference System
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• For every 1,500 informal settlement buildings, an average of one extra
casualty is estimated to occur.
• 30% of the population of Quezon City is under 15 years old and are at
greater risk of becoming a casualty.

4.B.2. Affected
Figure 101. Flood Affected Buildings Map, Quezon City

Buildings
The total floor area flooded in each Barangay was computed

using the flood inundation depths of the flood susceptibility map

and the total floor areas in each Barangay. The total floor area in
each barangay was determined in a Geographic Information
Systems (GIS) using the building footprint and number of storeys.
The building height (ground to roof) was used to compute the
number of storeys assuming a storey height of 3m. Accordingly,
the building height was rounded to the nearest meter and divided
by the 3m storey height to determine the number of storeys. All
buildings under 3m were defined to be one-storey buildings.
For a one-storey building to be affected, a flood height of 0.5
meter had to be reached. For a two-storey building to be affected,
a 3m or higher flood level had to occur. In no case was the third
storey of a building affected as no flood heights reached above
6m in Quezon City. The total floor area flooded per Barangay was
then calculated via spatial analysis using inundation depths and
floor heights. Thus, the footprint of flooded buildings was
multiplied by the number of stories flooded to obtain the total
floor area flooded for each building. This was then aggregated
over each Barangay to create a map of the percent floor area
flooded per Barangay.
Chapter 4.B. Flood

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Risk Assessment
Chapter 4.B. Flood
4.B.3. Affected Population Risk Assessment
Thus, a second method was used in which the flood-affected

population is obtained based on the number of persons residing in
Observations from the Ondoy flood of 2009 were affected buildings. Results of the analyses show that around 650,000
analyzed to determine the number of people displaced by floods to be people are expected to be in buildings that are affected by this
estimated for a 100-year flood event. This was estimated via two scenario (around 22% of the population of Quezon City).
(2) methods. The first method is a regression analysis between the However, in most cases, once flood waters have receded, affected
number of displaced people from the Ondoy flood relative to flood populations go back into the upper stories of buildings. Thus,
height recorded. This however gave results of only around 60,000 long-term displaced populations are determined as persons living in
people displaced by the floods which is lower than the 107,000 one storey buildings (for buildings affected by up to 0.5m flood levels)
persons that were reported to be displaced in Quezon City during or persons that occupy two storey buildings (for buildings affected by
Ondoy (however some of these would have been due to other 1.5m and great flood levels). This method gave a value of just under
reasons). 68,619 people displaced (around 2.4% of the population of Quezon City).
In terms of the total affected population, it is

evident that the most displaced are around the Key findings:
northern locations of Quezon City, however, in
terms of a ratio of population that are long-term • Around 68,619 people are estimated to be displaced.
displaced this occurs towards the south. This is due
• The largest number of people displaced are expected to be
to a combination of low storey heights and higher
in Batasan Hills, Tatalon, Sta Lucia and Bagong Silangan due
flood levels in these areas.
to the larger number of people affected by high flood expo-
It is important to note that power outages and sure levels.
utility problems can also cause additional people to
• There is one casualty for every 1,000 people displaced.
become displaced or affected. This additional factor
is notoriously difficult to quantify and can only be • An additional of around 700,000 people are expected to be
done through the use of indicators and hotspot affected due to possible power or utility issues.
analysis which is shown in the following sections.

4.B.3.1. Population
Affected by Flood
The flood hazard susceptibility map generated for Quezon City was used to estimate
the areas and population affected by floods in each of the Barangays. The percentage
of areas of each of the Barangays that fall within the low, moderate and high flood
1992
susceptibility boundaries was first calculated. The total population in the Barangays
Quezon
Quezon City
EMI © 2013 obtained from the National Statistics Office 2010 Census was then multiplied by
the total flood affected areas to determine the total affected population. The Japan
City Risk
International Cooperation Agency (JICA) model projections were used to simulate
RiskAtlas
Atlas
potential increase in areas affected by floods due to climate change by 2050. The JICA
model projections also allow for scenario where landuse change and flood protection
infrastructure is implemented according to the Master Plan (JICA, 2010).
Key findings:
Figure 102. Population Affected by Flooding Map, Quezon City

• A total of 700,000 are estimated to be affected in Quezon City. (16% in
low susceptibility areas, 30% moderate flood susceptibility areas and 54%
in high flood susceptibility areas).
• The top three barangays that have greater than 80% of its area within high
flood susceptibility are Capri, Talayan and Katipunan.
• The JICA model estimates that climate change can increase the affected
areas in Quezon City by 2050 by as much as 7%.
• The climate change projections do not account for the increase in
population and just show a projected increase in terms of the existing
population due to climate change scenarios.
Quezon City has the largest population of Metro Manila with a population of 2.75 million
people. Quezon City also has the largest area of Metro Manila covering 166.2 km2.

Chapter 4.B.
Flood Risk Assessment
The number of people affected directly by displacement due

to flood waters is calculated using the data on number of
families living in informal settlements and was distributed
among the building footprint within the area. This was based
on data provided by City Planning and Development Office
(CPDO) from 2009. The calculation was limited to
informal settlements since in most cases, people do not die
in houses but are swept away during the process of fleeing
the floodwaters, thus, slum populations living by rivers are
most at risk.
Figure 103. Displaced Population due to Flooding Map, Quezon City

1992
EMI © 2013
4.B.3.2. Displaced Population

Chapter 4.B. Flood Risk Assessment
Figure 104. Capital Stock per Sq. Km. Map, Quezon City
The methodology to determine losses combines the value of capital stock and
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Quezon City, then distributing this combined
values to the building floor area. Affected building floor areas are identified and
extracted. Using loss ratio functions, values were derived for each building
typology. Building typologies are based from the aggregation of residential,
commercial, institutional and industrial building typologies. Losses to building
typologies were calculated in terms of losses to finishings, contents, assets and
other factors.
Quezon
Quezon City
Using the values of the 2009-2011 Gross Regional Product of the NCR
City Risk
region, the capital stock and the GDP are estimated for the total building stock and
RiskAtlas
production (CSO, 2012). Exchange rates and inflation were also taken into account
Atlas
when determining the 2013 value of GDP per capita in Quezon City (Table 2).
Table 2. Capital Stock and the GDP and Exchange Rates
4.B.4.
Economic
Impact
4.B.4.1. Capital
Stock Per Square
Kilometer
Using current prices and taking into account the population increase since the 2010
census to 2013, a 3.3% increase was derived and added to the total GDP value for
Quezon City. This is around 830.5 billion PHP, or around 20.2 billion USD.

The capital stock value for Quezon City is then calculated via the multiplication
1992 of GDP by the net capital stock to output ratio, which gives a total of 1.63
EMI © 2013 trillion PHP or around 40 billion USD as the capital stock of Quezon City. The
total capital stock in Quezon City was distributed over the built land area. It can
be seen that most of the economic exposure per square kilometer built area is
towards the south of Quezon City.

Chapter 4.B. Flood
Risk Assessment
4.B.4.
Economic Impact
The JICA study gives a ratio of 0.32 for losses to GDP and downtime
to capital stock losses. In the Post-Disaster Needs Assessments (PDNA)
study following Ondoy, this value was around 0.29 (GFDRR, 2009).
A value of 0.31 was used in this study to account for the following
production losses:
o Maintenance costs on flood affected roads and infrastructure
o Vehicle costs
Figure 105. Projected Economic Losses per Capita due to Flooding Map, Quezon City
o Travel time costs
o Production losses
o Businesses losses in terms of sales
o Residential income loss
o Production losses not covered in the assets which are taken into
account within capital stock.

The capital stock estimate was then distributed over the entire building EMI © 2013
stock as this is a good proxy for the total building and infrastructure
stock of a certain location. A value of around 5,826 PHP/sqm results
which was distributed into various components of structure, contents
and assets. A ratio of 46% structure to 54% contents and assets was
applied when looking at the relative infrastructure cost. This means that Philippine Reference System 1992
a building has 46% of potential losses and the assets and finishings hold
up to 54%.
4.B.4.2. Projected

The cost ratio values for contents and assets against Table 3. Cost Ratio Values of Contents and Assets Against Flood Inundation Heights
flood inundation heights shown in Table 3 were adapted
from the 2008 JICA study. However, they were reduced
as they would otherwise significantly overestimate the
economic losses when compared to losses following
Ondoy. Research into losses following Ondoy has
shown that most of the contents affected by floods was
re-used after the flood or still of value. The reduced
factors also took into account that assets in commercial

buildings were generally kept in safe environments. In
terms of the losses associated with structures, a
complete loss will never occur given that houses
outside of informal settlements are not often destroyed
by floods.
For structural losses, the inundation depth is multiplied by 0.1 and the
value of the flooded structure. Thus, for less than 1m high inundation, the
Thus, the calculation of floor area is converted to an economic loss structural costs of the flooded floor looking at a 1 storey residence would
using the inundation depth and cost factor relationships shown in Table 3 for be 10%. This agrees well with other flood studies. Accordingly, structural
content (assets) losses. For example, for an inundation depth of less than 1m, losses are obtained as:
the content (assets) losses is calculated as:
5826 * 0.46 * 0.1 * 1m * Capital Stock = Structural Losses if less than 1m.
5826 * 0.54 * Floor Area flooded * 0.06 = Contents/assets Losses if less than 1m.
0.31*(Structural + contents((assets)) = GDP losses
Total losses = Structural + Contents/assets + GDP losses
The total economic loss resulting from this study comes from 319 million USD of which about
245 million USD is related to capital stock. The Ondoy flood estimated damages amounted to
around 8.9 billion PHP (PDNA, 2009) or 570.1 million USD (NDCC Report 42) in Metro
Manila. The PDNA, 2009 points out that the losses in the earlier NDCC reports did not take
into account all building losses and that even higher values could be expected with public
buildings and other components unaccounted for. The value of 245 million USD, thus, correlates
quite well with losses seen in Ondoy, given the huge uncertainties of previous loss estimates of
Economic Losses Per Capita capital stock. In Ondoy, the PDNA gave a final total of $4.5 billion USD as the recovery and
reconstruction value.

Chapter 4.B. Flood Risk Assessment
Health impacts after disasters include mortality and morbidity

in term of injuries, disability, psychological effects, inadequate
treatment of non-communicable and chronic diseases
(e.g., problem with procurement of drugs and medicines),
and increased transmission of infectious diseases (e.g., caused
by parallel systems dysfunction such as water and sanitation,
communication and transport). Systemic failures of healthcare
Source: allvoices.com
Figure 106. Image of children playing in Flood Waters, Quezon City
systems and parallel infrastructure such as the water and
sanitation system or emergency housing system as well as
transport and communication system could lead to increased
4.B.5. fatalities. Often the exaggeration of baseline diseases and

increased transmission of communicable infectious diseases
result from systemic failures. Access to food could also
Projected influence the general condition of the population including

malnutrition and the lack of adequate immunity.
Infection Rates
Diseases commonly associated with floods are measles, acute respiratory infections, acute diarrhea,
influenza, and leptospirosis. Other diseases are acute gastroenteritis, typhoid fever, cholera, dengue, malaria,
and hepatitis A. There can also be accidents and injuries during floodlike contusions, lacerations, fractures, or
electrocution. Common symptoms of water-borne diseases include diarrhea, stomach cramps, nausea, vomiting,
and low-grade fever. Symptoms can occur up to 10 days after drinking contaminated water.

The three levels of the flood hazard Ingestion of contaminated
water through eating and
susceptibility map were selected on the drinking
basis of the “human interaction” Flood
classification as defined in Figure 107. In Water
Concentration
these exposure scenarios, it is assumed of Pathogen in
that direct and indirect contact with water Water
environment
will occur. Probabilities of gastrointestinal Accidental ingestion of
contaminated water through (CFU/mL)
infection were estimated based on daily activities in the flood
period (washing, bathing, moving
established dose-response relationships furniture, etc.)
for the indicator pathogen (E. coli), which
is present in floodwater. Figure 107 shows
the exposure mechanism schematically.
Infection routes
Figure 107. Infection routes through direct and indirect contact with
contaminated floodwater (JICA, 2010).

To determine infection risk, the vulnerabilities, coping Statistics Office (NSO, 2000).The assumptions made in terms of
capacities and response behavior of various groups of the ingestion rate and time spent in water for different flood
people to flooding has to be considered. Among important susceptibility levels is presented in Table 4. In the low flood level
socio-economic factors determining exposure rates are scenario (inundation 0-50cm), direct contact primarily occurs
gender, age, employment, lifestyle, and income. Due to data while walking on roads and the potential route of pathogen
constraints, the analysis focuses only on age. The Quezon City exposure is indirect ingestion of flood water as a result of
population was divided in to four groups: a) 0 to 4 year-olds, hand-to-mouth activities. This is assumed to be significantly
b) 5 to 14 year-olds, c) 15-59 year-olds, and d) those above 60 higher for the under 4 age group.
years old, based on the 2007 census conducted by the National
Table 4. Adjusted Values from the US Environmental Protection Agency USEPA’s Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund (RAGS) from JICA (2010).

Population
<4 5-14 15-59 > 60
years years years years
It is assumed that people in the low flood level scenario
will spend 50% of their time in water. At depths of the
moderate and high flood level scenarios (above 0.50m),
people will likely be in water wherever they go. Thus, Outdoor time Contact time with

it is assumed that 100% of the time outdoors would be flood water
spent in the water. In the high flood scenario (water
levels above 2m), there is a high frequency of water
contact by people staying in flooded houses and it was
assumed that incidental ingestion of floodwater could
Intake Rate Ingestion Volume
be considerably higher. The rates in Table 4 are adapted
from the JICA (2010) study which were derived from
the US Environmental Protection Agency USEPA’s Risk
Assessment Guidance for Superfund (RAGS).
Dose
This has been adjusted as part of the Quezon City study as it is deemed that Infection Risk
the Ingestion Rate in ml/hr for Age<4 and Age>60 will be in fact higher than
zero as stated in the JICA study. Although children may be in buckets or being
transported to safety by parents, they will still be exposed to ingesting water
and are unaware of the consequences, thus are even more vulnerable than the
5-14 age bracket. However, less time is generally spent in the water.
Total Risk
Figure 108. Flowchart for Infection Risk Calculation
after JICA (2010) methodology

The flow of infection risk analysis is summarized in Table 5.
The first step is to aggregate the population for each Barangay in
For each exposure scenario, risk was first calculated for a single Quezon City based on age classes. Time allocation for outdoor
exposure event.The single-exposure illness rate was calculated for time for each age group are assumed from Table 4. By combining
E. coli using the following equations (Hass, 1989). the inundation depth from the flood hazard susceptibility maps the
With Risk = probability of infection; floodwater contact time is derived. Intake rate assumptions are
likewise presented in Table 5. Ingestion was assumed to be through
N50 = medium infectious dose (N50=8.6 x 107) the exposure route. The E. coli concentration in contaminated
α = slope parameter (α=0.1778) surface water value of 30,0000 MPN/100ml from Nga (1999) was
used to evaluate the risk. Using the Hass (1989) dose response
model the single exposure illness rate was computed for each
Barangay.
Table 5. E.coli
Concentration
Ce = 30,000
MPN/100 mL
(Nga, 1999)

Key Findings
 High disease incidence rate after a flood combined  Dose-response relationships for the indicator
Source: allvoices.com
Figure 109. Image of children in Flood Waters, Quezon City
with systemic failures of healthcare systems and pathogen (E. coli) using different ingestion rates as a
parallel infrastructure such as the water and sanitation function of flood inundation depth and age show that
system constitute a major vulnerability. as many as 6,800 people in Quezon City are at risk to
 More than 2,089 people were treated for bacterial gastrointestinal illness via incidental ingestion of flood
infection in Manila and surrounding provinces: water.
162 people have died as a result of Leptospirosis  People under the age of 15 are at significantly higher
infections, more than five times the number of risk.
Leptospirosis deaths in the entire country in 2008
(Balbuena et al., 2010).

Chapter 4.C. Combined UDRI PHYSICAL RISK Earthquake Risk
Risk Assessment UDRI Index Index Index
Our approach for identifying risk hotspots was based on the Urban Flood Risk
Disaster Risk Index (UDRI) methodology, which combines directly the Index
descriptors comprising both the physical risk and the
socio-economic impact factor. According to this procedure, a physical
risk index is obtained, from existing earthquake and flood risk SOCIO-ECONOMIC Social
scenarios, whereas, the total risk index is obtained by multiplying the
direct physical risk from earthquakes and floods by a socio-economic
IMPACT FACTOR Vulnerability
impact factor, based on variables associated with the social vulnerability Index Index
and lack of coping capacity in each of the barangays (Figure 110). The
Figure 110. Structure of the
approach used here for developing the Urban Disaster Risk Index Urban Disaster Risk Index
Lack of
(UDRI) was based on the work of Cardona et al. (2005). EMI has applied Coping Capacities
this methodology in several megacities including Metro Manila, Istanbul, Index
Amman and Mumbai. In each application, the objective was to bring in
the local context of socio-economic vulnerability and coping capacities
of these cities based on the available information and data.
To gain insight on the local context of social vulnerability and
coping capacity and the selection of the respective indicators in
Quezon City, a participatory indicator development workshop was
conducted with 40 stakeholders from 21 city offices and
4.C.1. UDRI Approach

organizations in Quezon City on April 3, 2013. The selection and
weighting of the indicators were based on the workshop outputs
and an intensive data collection effort in partnership with the
various organizations in Quezon City.
The indicators used in the UDRI application were consistent with the core indicators developed by various researchers, which were considered
state-of-the-art in social vulnerability research. Furthermore, as the indicators should be reproducible and used for benchmarking over time, an
important criterion is to use only indicators which are readily available and can be collected over time without the need to conduct special
surveys. As a result, most of the indicators were derived from variables that are readily available from Census Data and other sources.

4.C.2. • Bagumbayan, St. Ignatius, Ugong Norte, Bagong Silangan and
Earthquake Batasan Hills show up consistently as the top five Barangays with the
highest earthquake impact with risk scores of greater than 0.500.
Hotspots • Bagumbayan with a risk score of 0.815 is at a much greater risk of

earthquake impacts compared to other Barangays which have risk scores

below 0.515. The severe intensity shaking in Bagumbayan contributes to
very high casualty rates (1.75% of the population) and damaged buildings
Considering all factors, the top five Barangays to (over 20 percent of the buildings are estimated to collapse or be
prioritize for earthquake impacts are: severely damaged).
1. Bagumbayan • Bagumbayan, St. Ignatius, White Plains, Ugong Norte and Blue
2. St. Ignatius Ridge B have some of the highest fatality rates with values greater than
3. Ugong Norte 1.20 percent of the population at risk (compared to the top five flood
4. Bagong Silangan fatality rate total value of 0.02 percent of the population, earthquakes
5. Batasan Hills clearly have much higher consequences in terms of loss of life).
• Bagumbayan, Libis, Ugong Norte, Batasan Hills and Bagong
Silangan have the highest building damage ratios. Dona Aurora has an
overall high ranking in terms of building damage, but this mostly
In addition to the above, the following Barangays
constitutes heavily damaged buildings, whereas the other barangays in the
constitute a second tier for prioritizing emergency
top five have a high rate of collapsed buildings
management planning and preparedness actions:
• Kaligayahan has the highest number of critical facilities exposed to
6. White Plains
earthquake shaking. Bagong Lipunan ng Crame (hospitals),
7. Blue Ridge B
Bagumbayan and Commonwealth (emergency and rescue
8. Kaligayahan
operation centers and hazardous facilities), and Payatas (roads and
9. Libis
bridges) have the next highest exposure of critical facilities due to
10. Commonwealth
earthquakes.
Chapter 4.C. Combined Risk Assessment UDRI

EMI © 2013
Figure 111. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot - Barangay Bagumbayan, Quezon City

4
EMI © 2013
Figure 112. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot - Barangay St. Ignatius, Quezon City

Figure 113. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot - Barangay Ugong Norte, Quezon City EMI © 2013

Figure 114. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot - Barangay Bagong Silangan, Quezon City
Quezon Atlas
RiskAtlas
City Risk
Quezon City
107
EMI © 2013
Figure 115. 3D Map of an Earthquake Hotspot - Barangay Ugong Norte, Quezon City
EMI © 2013

• Talayan, Damayang Lagi, Roxas, St. Peter and Doña Imelda,
Sto Domingo (Matalahib) and Tatalon show up consistently as the top
seven Barangays with the highest flood impact. Driving the flood risk in these
Barangays is the impact on population in terms of long-term displaced population,
4.C.3. Flood Hotspots
fatalities, affected population and infected persons which make up 40% of the
Flood Hotspot Index. Considering all factors, the top five Barangays to
• Payatas,Tandang Sora, San Bartolome are the top 3 Barangays in terms prioritize for flood impacts are:
of awarded flood protection projects (over 50 million PhP). Interestingly, these

Barangays have some of the lowest flood risks. By contrast Talayan, Roxas and 1. Talayan
St. Peter have the highest flood risk and no flood protection projects awarded 2. Damayang Lagi
or completed (according to the flood protection projects list provided by the 3. Roxas
QC Engineering Office).
4
4. St. Peter
• Silangan which does not show up in the top 10 flood risk Barangays has the 5. Doña Imelda
highest flood infection risk with a value of 3.5% of its population. The second
highest is Sto. Domingo (Matalahib) with 1.6%
• Talayan, Damayang Lagi,Tatalon, Roxas, Bagong Silangan and Libis have
some of the highest fatality rates with values greater than 0.02 percent of the In addition to the above, the following Barangays
population at risk. constitute a second tier for prioritizing emergency
• St. Peter, San Vicente, San Isidro Labrador and Sienna have the highest
levels of long-term displaced population and affected populations. On the 6. Sto. Domingo (Matalahib)
contrary, Matandang Balara, Mangga, Mariblo and West Kamias have high 7. Tatalon
affected populations but have low risk for long-term displacement due to 8. North Fairview
lower flood susceptibilities and based on a lower rate of affected floor areas.
9. Bagumbayan
• Talayan, Dioquino Zobel, St. Domingo, Bagumbayan and Maharlika have 10.Dioquino Zobel
the highest economic losses per capita.
• North Fairview, Doña Imelda,Tatalon, Damayang Lagi, Sto. Domingo
(Matalahib), Bahay Toro, Batasan Hills, Roxas and Talayan have an
estimated total economic losses of over 10 million USD due to flood damage.
Chapter 4.C.
Combined Risk
• Doña Imelda (hospitals), Masambong (emergency and rescue operation
centers), Tatalon (hazardous facilities), Bagumbayan (hazardous facilities) and
Tatalon (roads) have the highest exposure of critical facilities due to floods.
Assessment UDRI
EMI © 2013
Figure 116. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot - Barangay Talayan, Quezon City

4
EMI © 2013
Figure 117. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot - Barangay Damayang Lagi, Quezon City

EMI © 2013
Figure 118. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot - Barangay Roxas, Quezon City

Figure 119. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot - Barangay St. Peter, Quezon City EMI © 2013

EMI © 2013
Figure 120. 3D Map of a Flood Hotspot - Barangay Doña Imelda, Quezon City

Figure 121. Flood Susceptibility Map of Barangay Talayan, Quezon City
1992
EMI © 2013
Figure 122. Flood Susceptibility Map of Barangay Damayang Lagi, Quezon City

1992
EMI © 2013

115

1992
EMI © 2013
1992
EMI © 2013
Figure 124. Flood Susceptibility Map of Barangay St. Peter, Quezon City
Figure 123. Flood Susceptibility Map of Barangay Roxas, Quezon City

Figure 125. Flood Susceptibility Map of Barangay Doña Imelda, Quezon City

1992
EMI © 2013

4.C.4. Socio-Economic Hotspots
Botocan, San Vicente, Krus na Ligas, Escopa 3
and Escopa 1 have the highest social vulnerability and
lowest coping capacities of all Barangays in Quezon

City according to the socio-economic impact factor
ranking.
Tagumpay, Botocan, Escopa 1, Bagumbuhay
and San Vicente have the highest rates of vulnerable
groups (disabled, elderly, children and slum dwellers).
Botocan has the highest population density followed
by Escopa 1 and Capri.
The top 10 Barangays with socio-economic impact factors

higher than 0.430 that also rank among the top 10 Barangays
in terms of flood or earthquake risk include:
Libis Commonwealth
Tatalon Dona Aurora
Batasan Hills Dona Imelda
Bagumbayan Fairview
Roxas Bagong Silangan
Figure 126. Socio - economic Impact Map of Quezon City
Chapter 4.C.
Combined Risk Philippine Reference System
1992
Assessment UDRI
EMI © 2013

Chapter 4.C.
Combined Risk
Assessment UDRI
The ranking of the Barangays according to the Urban Disaster
Risk Index (UDRI) was based on the product of the combined

earthquake and flood risk and the socio-economic impact
factor. Below is the list of key hotspot Barangays based on the
UDRI for Quezon City.
Bagumbayan, Libis, Damayang Lagi,Talayan,
Dioquino Zobel, and Roxas show up consistently as
the top Barangays with the highest UDRI scores of greater
than 0.400.
Considering all factors, the top five Barangays to
prioritize for earthquake and flood impacts are:
1. Bagumbayan,
2. Libis
3. Damayang Lagi
4. Talayan
5. Dioquino Zobel
Figure 127. Urban Disaster Risk Index Map of Quezon City

In addition to the above, the following Barangays
constitute a second tier for prioritizing emergency
6. Tatalon
1992
7. St. Ignatius
EMI © 2013 8. Ugong Norte
9. St. Peter
10. Doña Imelda
4.C.5.
Combined Risk Hotspots
Copyright © 2013 QCG and EMI
The concepts, maps and overall design of the Quezon City Risk Atlas are developed by EMI; hence,
the aforementioned are intellectual properties of EMI. Parts of the contents, data, and information
contained in this document are properties of Quezon City.
This document is jointly owned by the Quezon City Government and EMI. Permission to
use this document is granted provided that its use or parts thereof are for educational,
informational, non-commercial and personal use only. The Quezon City Government and EMI must be
acknowledged in all cases as the source when reproducing or using any part of this publication.

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Building a Disaster Resilient

Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative

Karl Michael Marasigan, DPOS, Data Cluster Head, QCG

Copyright © 2013 QCG and EMI

Barangay Greater Lagro