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J. Hydraul. Eng. 1992.118:323-336
J. Hydraul. Eng. 1992.118:323-336
INTRODUCTION
IJ=^I1 (1)
2
'Lect, Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of Roorkee, Roorkee, 247 667, India.
Pro Vice-Chancellor, Indira Gandhi Nat. Open Univ., New Delhi, India.
Note. Discussion open until luly 1, 1992. To extend the closing date one month,
a written request must be filed with the ASCE Manager of Journals. The manuscript
for this paper was submitted for review and possible publication on February 22,
1990. This paper is part of the Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, Vol. 118, No. 2,
February, 1992. ©ASCE, ISSN 0733-9429/92/0002-0323/$1.00 +$.15 per page. Paper
No. 26542.
323
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Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by New York University on 05/18/15. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.
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RAINFALL STATIONS USED
FOR VERIFICATION OF EQ.(4)
R A I N F A L L STATION USED
\ ' • 1r FOR VARIFICATION OF E Q ( 6 )
V A
;
9
1
OTHER R A I N F A L L STATIONS
NORTHERN Z O N E
\ e 2 CENTRAL ZONE
J1 3 WESTERN ZONE
Vy 5
EASTERN
SOUTHERN
ZONE
ZONE
•
: . 1
FIG. 1. Locations of Rain-Gage Stations and Zonal Boundaries in India
for Indian data than those produced by equations of Ram Babu Tejwani et
al. (1979).
Thus, it can be seen that there is a necessity to develop a generalized
IDF relationship that would produce a realistic estimation of rainfall inten-
sity for Indian conditions and also be applicable to the data from other
countries.
DATA
I OBSERVED tnnm/hr.)
326
LU
| 10 1
o
o
LINE OF AGREEMENT
10 'I I i i i i i i
10" 10^ 2x10'
I.'t (mm/hr)
OBSERVED
2xl0 1 1 - i i i i i | /
10 — — -
' IS/JAO 0 / o
- Z°m+T -
- -
LINE OF
AGREEMENT o /
o
-
NOTATIONS
—i— i i i i , , 1
10 TT 10 2x10'
\ OBSERVED (mm/hr)
327
10v
1 0 ° 1 0 * 10'
I
t(OBSERVED)(mrn/hr>
PROCEDURE
First, the general relationship by Chen (1983) was verified using the long-
period data from 20 rainfall stations in India (Fig. 1). This was not found
to produce satisfactory results, so a new relationship was developed. Re-
lationships having the form of (1) were developed using multiple-regression
analysis. Data from 78 stations in India (Fig. 1) were used only for devel-
328
3X10 5 7 10' 2 3 5
A OBSERVED <mm/h'>
oping the equations reported herein. Data from the remaining two stations
in India, 19 stations in Sri Lanka (Fig. 2), and five stations in the United
States were used only for the verification of the proposed equation. To
assess the accuracy of the equations reported herein, computed values of
If, using the equation concerned were plotted against its observed values;
and the error (E) was computed as
Chen (1983) proposed a general rainfall IDF formula for the United
States, which is given as
alf log (lO 2 -*^- 1 )
IJ = (4)
(t + by
in which If — rainfall intensity in in./hr, corresponding to a return period
of T-year and storm duration t-mm; I\° = 10 year, /-hour rainfall intensity;
x = depth frequenty ratio (R)00IR}°)\ anda, andfo, andc = storm parameters
that are dependent on the regional ratio (R\°/Rlf). Chen (1983) also showed
329
that (4) produces results that are more realistic than those given by Bell's
(1969) relationship [i.e., (2)]. Chen also showed that the 10-year, 1 hr rainfall
(R\°) alone cannot measure the geographical variations of rainfall as indi-
cated by (2). Hence, (2) is not considered for verification in the present
investigation.
In Fig. 3, the IJ values computed using (4) are compared with observed
IJ values. Because the preliminary analysis indicated that (4) overpredicts
the rainfall intensity, a multiplying factor 0.77 was obtained by a few trials,
which produced Fig. 3. Eq. (4) gives results with less than ±50% error for
90% of the time when computed values are multiplied by a factor of 0.77.
The value of this factor was not found to vary with geographical locations.
This accuracy of (4) was not considered satisfactory, and a new analysis of
the data was carried out in order to obtain another relationship for the
realistic estimation of rainfall intensity for Indian conditions.
ANALYSIS OF DATA
As a first step, the effect of duration of rainfall and return period on the
intensity of rainfall was studied using the data from 78 stations in India (Fig.
1). The following relationship was obtained for I J:
^•0.20
^ = 40.10-^ (5)
330
The multiple correlation coefficient for (5) is 0.90. Eq. (5) was found to
produce results with same accuracy as (4) for data from India. Hence, it
was not considered satisfactory; therefore, the effect of some rainfall prop-
erties on rainfall intensity was considered next.
The rainfall amounts observed during different durations are not inde-
pendent events. The rainfalls observed during consecutive hours are strongly
correlated. These observations can be illustrated with estimates of certain
conditional probabilities. Such observations are often used in the synthesis
of hourly rains to obtain larger duration rains, i.e. aggregation (Pattison
1965), and also in disaggregation of larger duration rains into smaller du-
ration rains (Hershenhorn and Woolisher 1987). A long duration rainfall
event is supposed to cover all short-duration events and is likely to be related
to them in some form or another (Gert et al. 1987). To study the effect of
rainfall properties on short-duration rainfall intensity, four rainfall prop-
erties [viz mean annual rainfall (R), mean of the maximum monthly rainfall
(Rmax), ratio (R/Rmax), and 24 hr, two-year rainfall, R%4] were used. To study
the effect of these rainfall properties on rainfall intensity, the same data
used for developing (5) were used. In Table 2, the equations obtained for
IJ in terms of these are given.
A close study of the relationships given in Table 2 reveals that inclusion
of the rainfall property as selected results in improvement in the accuracy
of relationships for rainfall intensity. The following general relationship
gives the most realistic estimates of rainfall intensity among the relationships
given in Table 2:
331
5X10'
't OBSERVED < m , T "hr.)
•ro.20
(6)
where C = a constant having value equal to 8.31 for the whole of the
considered stations. In (6) IJ is in mm/hr; T is in years, t is in hr, and R^
is in mm. Eq. (6) gives results with less than ±30% error for 95% of the
time (Fig. 4) for data from 78 stations in India.
Next, the dependence of constant C in (6) on geographical locations in
the study area was studied. The study area was divided into five zones, as
332
' t OBSERVED ( m m / h r . )
shown in Fig. 1. The geographical divisions are directly adopted from Ram
Babu Tejwani et al. (1979).
Use of different values of C in (6) as given in Table 3 for different
geographical regions in India produces results with less than ± 18% error
for these data (see Fig. 5). This accuracy of (6) with values of C as given
in Table 3 was considered satisfactory, particularly because of given esti-
mation, measurement, and cartographic errors in the analysis.
To verify (6), additional data of two stations, viz Roorkee and Calcutta,
both in India (see Fig. 1), which were not used for establishing (6), were
used. It was found that with values of C given in Table 3 (6) gives results
with less than ±20% error for 90% of time for the independent data from
India (see Fig. 6).
The validity of (6) was also checked using data from Sri Lanka and the
United States. Eq. (6) produces results with less than ±30% error for the
data from Sri Lanka when C = 9.1 is used for all of Sri Lanka (see Fig.
7). Value of C was not found to vary systematically from place to place
within Sri Lanka. Figs. 8-12 compare the If compound using (6) with
observed values of C for Chicago, Hartford, New York, Miami, and New
Orleans. The computations revealed that the use of different values of C
for different stations in (6) (viz C = 6.0 for Chicago; C = 6.0 for Hartford;
333
D t = 12 h r
jfjf^.
2
» t = 24 hr
10
E O t = 5 min
:
0 t = 10 m i n
A t = 15 m i n
10'
-
W/ ;
Jv/ V- ± 25°/o ERROR LINES
-
„
10"
h r )
'{(OBSERVED) <™'
C = 6.0 for New York; C = 8.94 for Miami; and C = 8.97 for New Orleans)
produces more accurate results. With different value of C for these five
stations in the United States, (6) produces results with a maximum error of
±25% for 95% of time (see Figs. 8-12). Figs. 8-12 also leveal that for a
given station C may be different when f «£ 10 min. This reveals that inclusion
of the term R\A in (6) alone cannot represent all the factors affecting If.
However, sufficient data were not available from the United States with
which to study the variation in values of C with duration and geographical
location.
CONCLUSIONS
gage stations spread over India was made to establish a general rainfall IDF
relationship for India. This relationship, which is given by (6) with the values
of C as given in Table 3, produces realistic estimates of rainfall intensity in
India. The correctness of the form of (6) is ascertained by verifying it using
the limited data from Sri Lanka and the United States.
Use of (6) for the limited data from Sri Lanka and the United States
indicated that this equation can produce realistic estimates of rainfall in-
tensity if an appropriate value of constant C is known. The value of constant
C may also vary with the duration of rainfall. With values of C given in
Table 3 (6) can be used in India for estimation of rainfall intensity for design
proposes.
APPENDIX I. REFERENCES
Ayyar, P. S. H., and Tripathi, N. (1973). "One day rainfall of India for different
return period." No. 5, India Met. Dept., New Delhi, India.
Ayyar, P. S. H., and Tripathi, N. (1974). "Rainfall frequency maps of India." No.
6, India Met. Dept., New Delhi, India.
Baghirathan, V. R., and Shaw, E. M. (1978). "Rainfall depth-duration-frequency
studies for Sri Lanka." J. of Hydrol., 37(3), 223-239.
Bernard, M. M. (1932). "Formulas for rainfall intensities of long durations." Trans.
ASCE, Vol. 96, 592-624.
Bell, F. C. (1969). "Generalized rainfall-duration-frequency relationships."/. Hydr.
Engrg., ASCE, 95(1), 311-327.
Chow, V. T. (1964). Handbook of applied hydrology. McGraw-Hill Book Co., New
York, N.Y.
Chen, C. L. (1983). "Rainfall intensity-duration-frequency formulas."/. Hydr. Engrg.,
ASCE, 109(12), 1603-1621.
Dhar, O. N., and Kulkarni, A. K. (1971). "A study of maximum one hour rainfall
at some selected stations in south India." 7th Symp. on Water Resour., Indian
Institute of Science, Bangalore, India, A4:l-A4:10.
Ferreri, G. B., and Ferro, V. (1990). "Short-duration rainfalls in Sicily." /. Hydr.
Engrg., ASCE, 116(3), 430-435.
Gert, A., Wall, D. I., White, E. L., and Dunn, C. N. (1987). "Regional rainfall
intensity-duration-frequency curves for Pennsylvania." Water Resour. Bulletin, 23(3),
479-486.
Garde, R. J., and Kothyari, U. C. (1990). "Flood estimation in Indian catchments."
/. of Hydrol., 113(4), 135-146.
Hargreaves, G. H. (1988). "Extreme rainfall for Africa and other developing areas."
/. Irrig. and Drain. Engrg., ASCE, 114(2), 324-333.
Hershfield, D. M., and Wilson, W. T. (1968). "A comparison of extreme rainfall
depths from tropical and nontropical storms." /. Geophysical Res., 65(3), 959-
982.
Hershenhorn, J., and Woolhiser, D. A. (1987). "Desagragation of daily rainfalls."
/. Hydrol., 95(3/4), 299-322.
Pattison, A. (1965). "Synthesis of hourly rainfalls." Water Resour. Res., 1(4), 489-
498.
Ram Babu Tejwani, K. K., Agarwal, M. C , and Bhushan, L. S. (1979). Rainfall
intensity-duration-return period equations and nomographs of India. CS & WCRII,
Indian Council for Agri. Res., (ICAR), Dehradun, India.
335
a = storm parameter;
ao.a! ,a 2 = constants;
b = storm parameter;
C = regional constant;
c = storm parameter;
T[ = rainfall intensity having duration t and return period T
(mm/hr);
R = mean annual rainfall (mm);
•Rmax = maximum mean monthly rainfall (mm);
RT = T-year, f-hour rainfall depth (mm/hr);
T = return period (years);
/ = storm duration (min/hr); and
x = depth frequency ratio.
336