Table 1.1 U.S.

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate (CLFPR), Civilian Unemployment Rate (CUNR),
and Real Average Hourly Earnings (AHE82) for the Years 1980-2007.

Year CUNR (%) CLFPR (%) AHE82 ($) 68.00

1980 7.10 63.80 8.00
1981 7.60 63.90 7.89
1982 9.70 64.00 7.87 67.00
1983 9.60 64.00 7.96

CLFPR (%)
1984 7.50 64.40 7.96
1985 7.20 64.80 7.92 66.00
1986 7.00 65.30 7.97
1987 6.20 65.60 7.87
1988 5.50 65.90 7.82 65.00
1989 5.30 66.50 7.75
1990 5.60 66.50 7.66
1991 6.80 66.20 7.59 64.00
1992 7.50 66.40 7.55
1993 6.90 66.30 7.54
1994 6.10 66.60 7.54 63.00
1995 5.60 66.60 7.54
1996 5.40 66.80 7.57
1997 4.90 67.10 7.69 62.00
1998 4.50 67.10 7.89 3.00 4.00
1999 4.20 67.10 8.01
2000 4.00 67.10 8.04
2001 4.70 66.80 8.12
2002 5.80 66.60 8.25
2003 6.00 66.20 8.28
2004 5.50 66.00 8.24
2005 5.10 66.00 8.18
2006 4.60 66.20 8.24
2007 4.62 66.00 8.32
 68.00

67.00
CLFPR (%)

66.00

65.00

64.00

63.00

62.00
3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00
CUNR (%)

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.807651307745764
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.652300634903443
R^2 ajustado 0.638927582399729
Error típico 0.631357653326755
Observaciones 28

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 19.4432182103719
Residuos 26 10.3639246467709
Total 27 29.8071428571428

Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción 69.4652438500779 0.52125342524875
Variable X 1 -0.5819186460885 0.083320841506217

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

1 65.3336214628499 -1.53362146284992
2 65.0426621398057 -1.14266213980569
3 63.8206329830199 0.179367016980066
4 63.8788248476288 0.121175152371222
5 65.1008540044145 -0.700854004414524
6 65.2754295982411 -0.475429598241064
7 65.3918133274588 -0.091813327458766
8 65.8573482443295 -0.257348244329535
9 66.2646912965914 -0.364691296591431
10 66.3810750258091 0.118924974190861
11 66.2064994319826 0.293500568017407
12 65.5081970566765 0.691802943323552
13 65.1008540044145 1.29914599558548
14 65.4500051920676 0.84999480793239
15 65.9155401089384 0.684459891061621
16 66.2064994319826 0.393500568017402
17 66.3228831612003 0.477116838799716
18 66.6138424842445 0.48615751575548
19 66.8466099426799 0.253390057320104
20 67.0211855365064 0.078814463493558
21 67.1375692657241 -0.03756926572413
22 66.7302262134622 0.069773786537795
23 66.0901157027649 0.509884297235089
24 65.9737319735472 0.226268026452786
25 66.2646912965914 -0.264691296591437
26 66.4974587550268 -0.497458755026827
27 66.7884180780711 -0.588418078071044
28 66.7787194339696 -0.77871943396957
 68

67

66

Y
65

8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 64

63

62
3.00 4.00 5.00

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

19.4432182103719 48.777243245 2.04537609104E-07
0.398612486414266

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

133.265779149419 2.159151E-38 68.3937920894857 70.536695611
-6.98407067870327 2.045376E-07 -0.75318708865698 -0.410650204
 Curva de regresión ajustada
68

67

66

65 Y
Pronóstico p

64

63

62
3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00
Variable X 1

Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

68.3937920895 70.53669561067
-0.7531870887 -0.41065020352
 Y
Pronóstico para Y

10.00 11.00
Year CLFPR (%) CUNR (%) AHE82 ($)
1980 63.80 7.10 8.00
1981 63.90 7.60 7.89
1982 64.00 9.70 7.87
1983 64.00 9.60 7.96
1984 64.40 7.50 7.96
1985 64.80 7.20 7.92
1986 65.30 7.00 7.97
1987 65.60 6.20 7.87
1988 65.90 5.50 7.82
1989 66.50 5.30 7.75
1990 66.50 5.60 7.66
1991 66.20 6.80 7.59
1992 66.40 7.50 7.55
1993 66.30 6.90 7.54
1994 66.60 6.10 7.54
1995 66.60 5.60 7.54
1996 66.80 5.40 7.57
1997 67.10 4.90 7.69
1998 67.10 4.50 7.89
1999 67.10 4.20 8.01 Resumen
2000 67.10 4.00 8.04
2001 66.80 4.70 8.12 Estadísticas de la regresión
2002 66.60 5.80 8.25 Coeficiente de
2003 66.20 6.00 8.28 Coeficiente d
2004 66.00 5.50 8.24 R^2 ajustad
2005 66.00 5.10 8.18 Error típico
2006 66.20 4.60 8.24 Observacione
2007 66.00 4.62 8.32
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de liberta
Regresión
Residuos
Total

Intercepción
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
adísticas de la regresión
0.87539846
0.76632247
0.74762826
0.52783557
28

ÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
2 22.8418832 11.4209416 40.9925194 1.28148E-08
25 6.96525962 0.27861038
27 29.8071429

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
81.226732 3.39557364 23.9213579 9.54292E-19 74.2334175 88.2200471 74.2334175
-0.6383617 0.07150895 -8.92701847 3.00822E-09 -0.78563713 -0.49108626 -0.78563713
-1.4448829 0.413692 -3.49265373 0.00179832 -2.29689751 -0.59286828 -2.29689751
Superior 95,0%
88.2200471
-0.49108626
-0.59286828