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Market Commentary: August 9, 2021
Market Commentary: August 9, 2021
Market Commentary: August 9, 2021
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia We maintain our Trading Buy recommendation on BBRI with a target price of
IDR4,450, implying FY21 P/B of 2.5x.
Indonesia Daily Focus August 9, 2021
Local flash
KLBF: Kalbe Farma (KLBF) will increase its COVID-19 test capacity to 2,500-
3,000 per day. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the media laboratory business in
Indonesia is increasing. The need for medical laboratories is currently very high
because the number of Covid-19 tests is increasing where the cases of the Covid-
19 virus are still increasing. President Director of PT Kalbe Farma Tbk (KLBF)
Vidjongtius said Kalbe's subsidiary which owns the laboratory is Kalgen Innolab,
the result of a joint venture with a Japanese company. "Currently Kalgen Innolab
has a COVID-19 test capacity of 2,000 tests a day and the current capacity is all
used up. We plan to increase the capacity to 2,500-3,000 tests a day (Kontan)
ENRG: Energi Mega Persada (ENRG) now holds 49% participating interest in
the Sengkang Block. PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) took over the 49%
participating interest owned by PT Energi Maju Abadi (EMA) in the Sengkang Block.
This happened after the certainty of signing a conditional sale and purchase
agreement between ENRG through its subsidiary and EMA for 100% ownership of
EMA shares. (Kontan)
DOID: Delta Dunia Makmur (DOID) is working on mining services for Adaro
Indonesia. PT. Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk (DOID) spurred performance in the
second half of this year. Recently, DOID started working on mining services for PT
Adaro Indonesia. Until the end of the year, this mining service contractor
company is still pursuing a revenue target of USD 780 million - USD 860 million
with the company's income before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization
aka earning before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) of
USD200 million - USD240 million so far this year. (Kontan)
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus August 9, 2021
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-5088-7000 tasrul@miraeasset.co.id
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (August 6, 2021) 6,203.43(-0.03%) Trading range 6,191 – 6,255
Average index performance (%) +2.11 Target
Period 30 - Daily 6,255
r-squared 0.7303 - Weekly 6,247
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.56/-0.45 - Monthly 6,292
Volatility (+/-, point) +34.83/ -27.99Stop loss 6,150
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Demand Supply
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 8/6/2021 : Rp. -162.26 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1%
0.00000
-162.26
18,178,271,232
3
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus August 9, 2021
-49.0289
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 8/6/2021 Open: 6,224 High: 6,264 Low: 6,191 Close: 6,203 Vol. 24,379,447,296 Chg.: -0.03%
Demand Supply
_____ 6,248.2 _____ 6,254.5
S_VWAP _____ 6,190.7 _____ 6,197.9 6,203.43
D_VWAP 6,186.75
6,109.79
18,178,271,232
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus August 9, 2021
77.2746
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 8/6/2021 Open: 6,098 High: 6,264 Low: 6,048 Close: 6,203 Vol. 122,060,062,720 Chg.: 2.20%
6,810.03
Demand Supply 6,456.92
_____ 6,262.7 _____ 6,246.8 6,203.43
S_VWAP D_VWAP _____ 6,087.5 _____ 6,056.3
6,103.81
6,097.56
6,029.22
922.809
0.00000
Figure 4. Daily : 6,191 – 6,255 Figure 5. Weekly : 6,056 – 6,247 Figure 6. Monthly : 6,049 – 6,292
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 8/6/2021 Open: 6,224 High: 6,264 Low: 6,191 Close: 6,203 Vol. 24,379,447,296 Chg.: -0.03%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 8/6/2021 Open: 6,098 High: 6,264 Low: 6,048 Close: 6,203 Vol. 122,060,062,720 Chg.: 2.20%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 8/6/2021 Open: 6,098 High: 6,264 Low: 6,048 Close: 6,203 Vol. 122,060,062,720 Chg.: 2.20%
Demand
Demand Supply Supply
_____ 6,262.7 Supply
_____ 6,246.8
_____ 6,248.2 _____ 6,254.5 Demand
_____ 6,369.7
6,203.43 _____ 6,291.5
6,203.43
_____ 6,190.7 _____ 6,197.9 6,203.43
_____ 6,048.8
_____ 6,087.5 _____ 5,912.6
_____ 6,056.3
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 8/6/2021 : Rp. -162.26 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1% NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 8/6/2021 : Rp. 922.81 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1% NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 8/6/2021 : Rp. 922.81 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1%
922.809
922.809
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
-162.26
^JKSE - Volume = 24,379,447,296.00 ^JKSE - Volume = 122,060,062,720.00 122,060,062,720 ^JKSE - Volume = 122,060,062,720.00
24,379,447,296
122,060,062,720
12 19 26 Aug May Aug Jul 2021
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus August 9, 2021
Chart 7. JCI Vs. USD/IDR Chart 8. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
(pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R) (IDR) (%, %p) Absolute Relative
6,300 14,650 24
20.6
20
6,200 14,550
16
6,100 14,450
12
6,000 14,350
8
4.7
5,900 14,250 2.7
4 2.2 2.2 1.9
0.5
5,800 14,150 0
0.0
5,700 14,050 -4
5/10 6/7 7/5 8/2 1D 1W 1M 1Y
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
500 110
85 8 133
52
0
-9 -62 -3
-245 -73 90
-500
-371
-1,000 70
Korea Taiwan Indonesia Thailand Philippines India 5/10 6/7 7/5 8/2
th
Note: The latest figure for India is August 5 , 2021 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas lIndonesia
(D-3M=100)
110 CPO WTI Coal
Chart 11. Non-ferrous metal price Chart 12. Precious metal price
100
(D-3M=100) (D-3M=100)
Copper Nickel Tin Silver Gold Platinum
120 110
90
110 100
100 90
80
6/27 7/25 8/22 9/19
90 V 80
80 70
05/21 06/21 07/21 08/21 05/21 06/21 07/21 08/21
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus August 9, 2021
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus August 9, 2021
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
All Day JPY Bank Holiday
8:30am CNY CPI y/y 0.8% 1.1%
8:30am CNY PPI y/y 8.6% 8.8%
9th-13th CNY M2 Money Supply y/y 8.7% 8.6%
9th-13th CNY New Loans 1200B 2120B
12:45pm CHF Unemployment Rate 3.0% 3.1%
1:00pm EUR German Trade Balance 13.9B 12.6B
3:30pm EUR Sentix Investor Confidence 29.2 29.8
9:00pm USD FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
9:00pm USD JOLTS Job Openings 9.27M 9.21M
11:00pm USD FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time
Source: Forex Factory
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia