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Tullow Oil PLC: Overview Presentation
Tullow Oil PLC: Overview Presentation
Tullow Oil PLC: Overview Presentation
May 2017
Overview presentation
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that are subject to the
usual risk factors and uncertainties associated with the oil and gas exploration and
production business.
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Overview presentation
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Overview presentation
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OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Overview presentation
This fundraise will give Tullow the financial and operational flexibility to take full advantage of
current industry opportunities and enable growth over the next 3-5 years
Note: all references to “gearing” above refer to the gearing ratio calculated as Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDAX
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Overview presentation
Tullow believes this is the right time to be re-capitalising the business to re-focus on growth
Notes: all references to “gearing” above refer to the gearing ratio calculated as Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDAX; the table above is for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute
actual forecasts by the company
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OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Overview presentation
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800
sheet and market conditions
• Uganda capex expected to be offset after
600
completion of farm-down
400 • Exploration and Appraisal spend focused
on high-impact activities
200
• Portfolio positioned for future growth
0
2015 2016 2017f
Notes:
i) Exploration expenditure is net of Norwegian tax refund
ii) Capital expenditure excludes decommissioning costs; onerous service contracts; and are net of Jubilee turret remediation costs
iii) 2017 Capital expenditure includes: Ghana c.$90m, Kenya pre-development c.$100m, West Africa non-op c.$30m; Exploration c.$125m, Uganda c.$125m (offset by asset farm-down)
iv) Going forwards, Uganda capex will continue to be shown as part of Group capex, but is expected to be offset by deferred consideration following completion of asset farm-down to Total
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Overview presentation
1 Hedging revenue: 2015: $365m, 2016 :$363m. 2 When including 12,000 bopd of lost production insured at $60/bbl, Tullow is effectively ~80% hedged at $60/bbl
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Overview presentation
2
Corporate • Further 12 month extension secured to April 2019 3.3
Facility 3.0
• Commitments and available credit reduced to 3 2
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Overview presentation
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Overview presentation
Uganda
• Estimated 1.7bn bbls of
discovered resources in Uganda,
development progressing;
West Africa non-operated c.230kbopd gross production;
Jubilee field • Maturing production averaged expected capex covered beyond
net WI ~28,000 bopd in 2016 first oil
• FPSO gross capacity of 120,000
bopd (net WI ~40,000 bopd) • Reduced investment in low oil
price environment improves
• Potential to extend field cash flow
production and increase Low-cost producing assets with significant and
commercial reserves through • Potential to sustain production
GJFFD with incremental investments value-adding portfolio opportunities
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Overview presentation
kbopd
Material future production growth
75
• Ghana: Long-term production at TEN & Jubilee
• CWA: Managing mature non-operated portfolio
50
• Uganda: Targeting FID end 2017; momentum
enhanced by recent farm-down
• Kenya: Progressing Full Field Development 25
towards FID
0
2015 2016 2017f 2020s+ inc.
East Africa
* Includes insurance payments relating to the Jubilee field production equivalent to 4,600 bopd in 2016 and 12,000 bopd in 2017f
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Securing the path to stable long-term production Gross Net Net (incl. insurance)
Year bopd bopd bopd
• Utilising opportunity to conduct FPSO reliability work
• Finalise turret remediation and loading buoy projects 2016 73,700 26,200 30,800
• Targeting Government approval of GJFFD plan in mid-2017
2017f 68,500 24,300 36,300
• Plan extends plateau and increases reserves
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Overview presentation
Opex $/bbl
• Targeting underlying cash opex in 2018+ of ~$8/bbl 10.0
$/bbl
Strong resource base
• Significant resource base underpins future production 11.6 10.5
5.0
8.9 9.6
• Drilling programme planned for 2018 to reach and 7.3
sustain plateau levels at Jubilee and TEN
0.0
• Sustained low-cost production 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018*
* target
Material upside potential Jubilee oil (gross)** TEN oil (gross )**
• 4Dseismic being used to target upside resource
potential in both fields
• Near field exploration opportunities under review
**“developed resources” figures are derived from 2P resources; “to be developed resources” figures are
derived from 2C resources; “upside resources” are derived from (3C-2C resources) + (3P-2P resources)
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Overview presentation
50 5
Monetisation expected to deliver ~23,000 bopd of
long-term, low-cost net production whilst covering 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
0
Tullow’s capex exposure to 1st oil Phase 1 capex covered Phase 1 capex exposure
Phase 1 Production
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Overview presentation
• GoK support for c.2,000 bopd gross road export pilot in 2017
• Low cost pilot production utilising existing wells
• Provides valuable dynamic reservoir and production data Pursuing upside potential through
• Implementation experience will assist JV, GoK and Turkana to E&A & progressing towards Full
prepare for FFD Field Development
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OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Overview presentation
Growth options:
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Commercial Screening
Off-limits Exploration Tested at $50/bbl
Low cost of supply
Ultra-deepwater
Value accretive
Deepwater gas High Margin Oil
Shale oil
Arctic Capital & Risk Screening
Onshore Rifts
East Africa Light Oil
Over-heated bid rounds Low capital exposure
Acceptable risk / reward Simple Offshore
Above ground too difficult
Africa &
Control over JV spend
Complex wells South America
Poor rocks Production Heartlands
Significant over-pressures Geology Screening West Africa Light Oil
Over-explored Materiality
Dispersed resources Campaign NPV >$1Bn
New play / territory
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Overview presentation
Block 54 (30%)
Araku wildcat
GUYANA
Kanuku (30%)
GHANA
3D Seismic Jubilee (35.5%)
4D Seismic
Orinduik (60%)
3D Seismic
NAMIBIA ZAMBIA
URUGUAY
PEL 37/PEL 30
Block 31 (100%)
Block 15 (35%) Multiple leads being matured
High Gravity Survey
3D Seismic
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Overview presentation
Uganda
Lake Albert • 17+ oil fields discovered (90% success)
Basin • Estimated 1.7 billion barrels of oil discovered
Kenya
North • Basin margin play unsuccessful at Engomo-1
Turkana Basin • Independent plays away from basin margin untested
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Overview presentation
• Liza-1 deepwater oil discovery significantly de-risks the basin & Tullow’s regional acreage
• Araku: Estimated 500mmbo prospect in four-way structural closure, good seismic amplitude support
• Araku-1 well cost estimated $14 million net to Tullow (Operator 30%), drilling in 2H 2017
• Multiple high-quality prospects identified for follow-up drilling in 2018+
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• Shallow water plays focused around oil kitchen • Multiple Cretaceous leads in high-quality 3D seismic
• Low-cost, high-impact prospects based on 3D seismic • Shallow water (500m) low-cost opportunity
• 2017 3D seismic survey for 2018/19 drilling candidates • Being matured for future drilling, multiple follow-up leads
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Overview presentation
LAKE MWERU
WANTIPA
BASIN
• Mauritania: exploration focus shifted to low-cost shelf-edge oil plays, 3D seismic planned for 2017
• Zambia: extension of East African Rift Basin Play; preparing for High Gravity survey in 2017
• Namibia: material turbidite oil play in low-cost shallow water setting
• Ghana: near field & exploration potential to extend production plateau and increase reserves
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Overview presentation
✓ ✓ ✓
Feb 2016 April 2016 June 2016 2016 2017 2018
Turret remediation costs (covered by insurance)
Gross Capex c.$85m c.$200m c.$50m
Gross Opex c.$115m c.$105m c.$35m
Tullow net: Capex + Opex c.$75m c.$115m c.$30m
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Ghana acreage
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Overview presentation