New Scientist - January 25, 2020 USA

You might also like

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 60

MOON GARDEN

Inside story of
China’s lunar farm
OVER THE HORIZON
How Stone Age travelers
reached Australia
ASTEROID INCOMING
The people with a plan to
prevent an apocalypse
WEEKLY January 25 –31, 2020

MANY
CONDITIONS,
ONE CAUSE?
A radical new theory of mental illness
offers fresh hope for treatment

THE GREAT
NUTRIENT COLLAPSE No3266 US$6.99 CAN$7.99

Is our food really getting less nutritious?


PLUS GOOP LAB SCIENCE / A WOLF CUB PLAYS FETCH/
LIVING CONCRETE / CRISPR CHICKEN / MYSTERY DRONES
Science and technology news www.newscientist.com US jobs in science
Subscription offer

New .
Scientist y

can... ...help make


FREE
BOOK
you fitter
WORTH
£14.99

Whether you want to get fitter, live healthier, change


your perspective or just spark some winning conversation,
New Scientist can help you week in week out.
Subscribe and receive a FREE copy of our latest release, This Book
Could Save Your Life – the ultimate scientific guide to living a longer,
healthier life without faddy diets and unproven exercise crazes.

Get started by visiting


newscientist.com/14154
Or call 1 888 822 3242, quoting reference 14154
...give
you the
edge
...blow
your
mind

Know more. Live better

Free book available while stocks


last. Only in specific countries
What is consciousness?
What is intelligence?
Why do we sleep and dream?
What causes cognitive decline?
Where do our personalities come from?
and many more

MYSTERIES OF
THE HUMAN BR AIN
Explore the intricacies of the most complex object in the known
universe with the latest issue of New Scientist: The Collection

Buy your copy from all good


magazine retailers or digitally.
This week’s issue

MOON GARDEN

On the Inside story of China’s


lunar farm
OVER THE HORIZON
How Stone Age travellers
15 Moon garden
Inside story of China’s
cover
reached Australia
ASTEROID INCOMING
The people with a plan to

WEEKLY 25 January 2020


prevent an apocalypse
lunar farm

34 Many conditions, 38 Over the horizon Instant Expert:


one cause? How Stone Age travellers Human Evolution
A radical new theory of MANY reached Australia Explore the discoveries
CONDITIONS,
mental illness offers fresh ONE CAUSE?
A radical new theory of mental illness
that are rewriting the
hope for treatment offers fresh hope for treatment 42 Asteroid incoming story of our origins
The people with a plan Join six expert speakers
24 The great nutrient to prevent an apocalypse in London on 29 February
collapse THE GREAT
for a one-day masterclass.
NUTRIENT COLLAPSE No3266 £4.95 CAN$7.99

Is our food really getting Is our food really getting less nutritious? 0 4
Find out more at
PLUS GOOP LAB SCIENCE / A WOLF CUB PLAYS FETCH/
LIVING CONCRETE / CRISPR CHICKEN / MYSTERY DRONES
less nutritious? 9 770262 407312

newscientist.com/events

23 Goop Lab science 18 A wolf club plays fetch


18 Living concrete 9 CRISPR chicken 14 Mystery drones

Vol 245 No 3266


Cover image: Angela Southern

News Features
8 Our ghost lineage 34 Many conditions,
Long-lost branch of News one cause?
human history revealed The surprising connections
making us rethink mental health
9 Restoring fertility
Cell injections found to 38 Over the horizon
rejuvenate ovaries The epic Stone Age journey
to discover Australia
20 Allergy food fight
Are baby-weaning guidelines 42 Asteroid incoming
the reason food allergies have A step-by-step guide to how
become more common? we would save the planet

Views The back pages


KATERYNA KON/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

23 Comment 51 Science of cooking


Bad science in The Goop Lab is Make tofu for Chinese
easy to fall for, says Clare Wilson New Year

24 The columnist 52 Puzzles


James Wong on claims A black hole cryptic crossword
that food is less nutritious and a land problem

26 Letters 11 Dopamine hit An AI learning technique is used by our brains too 53 Feedback
Pedestrian-friendly cities Spoon-bending and military
need room to play too dolphins: the week in weird
34 Features
28 Aperture
Making an artificial glacier
“For millennia, we’ve put 54 Almost the last word
Red sky at night and shampoo vs
in the Himalayas psychiatric conditions in shower gel: readers reply

30 Culture
Why civil rights go hand
separate corners, but maybe 56 The Q&A
Brendan Walker on designing
in hand with access to IT that’s not how it works” thrilling experiences

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 3


SECOND EDITION OF
BEING HUMAN

BEING
HUMAN
Take a step back from the everyday
chores of being human to tackle the
big – and small – questions about our
nature, behaviour and existence.

Buy your copy from all good magazine


retailers or digitally.
Find out more at newscientist.com/TheCollection
The leader

Common cause
Genetic analyses point to a new way to think about mental health

THIS year alone, one in four people in professionals, but new DNA sequencing more on treating symptoms. We already
the UK will experience a mental health techniques reveal that many share an know that some interventions can cross
condition. That includes everything underlying genetic link. Of course, diagnostic boundaries: several drugs are
from depression and anxiety to experiences and environment also play effective for a number of conditions, for
schizophrenia and phobias. Meanwhile, a big role. But this common factor – or instance, as are talking therapies.
surveys suggest that our ability to cope “p factor” as researchers call it – may Some mental health professionals
with these issues is getting worse. help explain why some people seem already use a one-size-fits-all version of
The personal costs of all this are cognitive behavioural therapy, called the
huge, as are those to society. And our “This new understanding common elements treatment approach,
treatment options are limited: some suggests putting less emphasis for people with many different
conditions defy treatment, even proven on labelling conditions and conditions. If this new thinking about
interventions don’t always work and more on treating symptoms” mental health is right, these kinds of
many people get no treatment at all. general treatments may actually be the
At the same time, those who experience more prone to mental health issues most useful first interventions for most
one condition often experience others. across their lifetimes. As evidence people and conditions. What’s more, this
But now new research into the for this link grows – and the medical strategy could also increase access to
possible causes of mental illness offers establishment starts to take it treatment where resources are limited.
fresh hope for a better way forward seriously – this understanding brings Perhaps then, in future, we could
(see page 34). Hundreds of distinct new opportunities for treatment. devote less time and money to searching
psychiatric conditions are currently That may start with putting less for separate treatments and more time
recognised by mental health emphasis on labelling conditions and to truly helping people. ❚

PUBLISHING & COMMERCIAL MANAGEMENT EDITORIAL


Display advertising Chief executive Nina Wright Editor Emily Wilson
Tel +44 (0)20 7611 1291 Email displayads@newscientist.com Finance director Jenni Prince Executive editor Richard Webb
Commercial director Chris Martin Chief technology officer Chris Corderoy Creative director Craig Mackie
Display sales manager Justin Viljoen Marketing director Jo Adams News
Lynne Garcia, Bethany Stuart, Henry Vowden, Human resources Shirley Spencer News editor Penny Sarchet
(ANZ) Richard Holliman HR coordinator Serena Robinson Editors Lilian Anekwe, Jacob Aron, Chelsea Whyte
Recruitment advertising Facilities manager Ricci Welch Reporters (UK) Jessica Hamzelou, Michael Le Page,
Tel +44 (0)20 7611 1204 Email nssales@newscientist.com Donna Lu, Adam Vaughan, Clare Wilson
Executive assistant Lorraine Lodge
Recruitment sales manager Viren Vadgama (US) Leah Crane
Receptionist Alice Catling
Nicola Cubeddu, (US) Jeanne Shapiro (Aus) Alice Klein
New Scientist Live Interns Gege Li, Layal Liverpool, Jason Arunn Murugesu
Tel +44 (0)20 7611 1245 Email live@newscientist.com Non-exec chair Bernard Gray Digital
Events director Adrian Newton Senior non-exec director Louise Rogers Digital editor Conrad Quilty-Harper
Creative director Valerie Jamieson Podcast editor Rowan Hooper
Event manager Henry Gomm Web team Anne Marie Conlon,
Sales director Jacqui McCarron David Stock, Sam Wong
Exhibition sales manager Rosie Bolam Features
Marketing manager Katie Cappella
CONTACT US Head of features Catherine de Lange
Events team support manager Rose Garton newscientist.com/contact and Tiffany O’Callaghan
Marketing executive Jessica Lazenby-Murphy General & media enquiries Editors Gilead Amit, Julia Brown, Daniel Cossins,
Marketing US Tel +1 617 283 3213 Kate Douglas, Alison George
Head of campaign marketing James Nicholson PO Box 80247, Portland, OR 97280 Feature writer Graham Lawton
Digital marketing manager Poppy Lepora UK Tel +44 (0)20 7611 1200 Culture and Community
Head of customer experience Emma Robinson 25 Bedford Street, London WC2E 9ES Comment and culture editor Timothy Revell
Email/CRM manager Rose Broomes Australia 418A Elizabeth St, Surry Hills, NSW 2010 Editors Liz Else, Mike Holderness, Simon Ings
Head of data analytics Tom Tiner US Newsstand Education editor Joshua Howgego
Web development Tel +1 973 909 5819 Subeditors
Maria Moreno Garrido, Tom McQuillan, Amardeep Sian Distributed by Time Inc. Retail, a division of Meredith Chief subeditor Eleanor Parsons
Corporation, 6 Upper Pond Road, Parsippany, NJ 07054 Bethan Ackerley, Tom Campbell, Chris Simms, Jon White
© 2020 New Scientist Ltd, England. New Scientist ISSN 0262 4079 is
published weekly except for the last week in December by New Scientist Ltd, Syndication Design
England. New Scientist (Online) ISSN 2059 5387. New Scientist Limited, Tribune Content Agency Art editor Kathryn Brazier
387 Park Avenue South, New York, NY 10016 Tel 1-800-346-8798 Email tca-articlesales@tribpub.com Joe Hetzel, Dave Johnston, Ryan Wills
Periodicals postage paid at New York, NY and other mailing offices Subscriptions Picture desk
Postmaster: Send address changes to New Scientist, PO Box 3806, newscientist.com/subscribe Picture editor Susan Banton
Chesterfield, MO 63006-9953, USA. Tel 1 888 822 3242 Production
Registered at the Post Office as a newspaper and printed in USA by Email newscientist.na.subs@quadrantsubs.com Production manager Alan Blagrove
Fry Communications Inc, Mechanicsburg, PA 17055 Post New Scientist, PO Box 3806, Chesterfield MO 63006-9953 Robin Burton, Melanie Green

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 5


Where did we come from?
How did it all begin?

And where does belly-button fluff come from?


Find the answers in our latest book. On sale now.

Introduction by Professor Stephen Hawking


News
CRISPR poultry Sustainable food Brunch is bad Mystery drones Asgard archaea
Gene editing protects We need to change Eating late at the Are sightings of Getting to know our
chickens from how we farm weekend is linked to unidentified swarms simple, single-celled
common virus p9 worldwide p10 weight gain p12 in the US real? p14 relative p16

Some of those infected


have been treated at
Jinyintan hospital in Wuhan

there are more signs that this


outbreak is serious, we still don’t
know exactly what is going on.”
Over the next week or so, we
will find out how easily the virus
can be passed from one person to
another and whether the infection
is spreading in countries outside
China, she says.
In total, nearly 300 cases of
infection with the virus have been
confirmed. But a report released
on 17 January based on infectious
disease modelling suggests there
may be hundreds more cases in
the city of Wuhan that haven’t
been diagnosed.
Given the number of cases
reported outside China, it
is possible that more than
STR/GETTY

1700 people have been infected


in the city, suggest Natsuko Imai
and her colleagues at Imperial
College London.

Wuhan virus spreads The team reached that


estimate based on the number
of international travellers flying
out of Wuhan, the population
We now know the virus responsible for deaths and infections of Wuhan international airport’s
in China can pass between people, reports Jessica Hamzelou catchment area and the fact
that, on average, it appears to
AT LEAST six people are reported human-to-human transmission. Beyond China, a handful of cases take around 10 days for an
to have died after being infected “It is now clear that there is have been confirmed in Japan, infected person to start
with a new virus spreading in person-to-person transmission, Thailand, South Korea and Taiwan, showing symptoms.
China. The coronavirus can spread which is a worrying development,” all either people from Wuhan or In Australia and several
person to person, the country’s says Rosalind Eggo at the London those who had visited the city. countries in Asia, air passengers
health ministry has confirmed. School of Hygiene and Tropical When New Scientist went to arriving from China will be
The two latest reported deaths Medicine. “We’ve got to wait press, the director-general of screened on arrival to see if they
in China were that of a 66-year-old and see how sustained that the World Health Organization have a raised body temperature or
man and a 48-year-old woman in transmission is.” was due to hold an emergency other symptoms. The US Centers
Wuhan, according to the Wuhan The Wuhan Municipal Health meeting on Wednesday to decide for Disease Control announced
Municipal Health Commission. Commission said that 258 people whether the outbreak constitutes last week that it will begin
Sixty new cases were reported in have been infected in that part a public health emergency of screening travellers from Wuhan
the region on 20 January. Among of China. At the time, 227 of them international concern, and to at airports in San Francisco, New
them are 15 healthcare workers, were still being treated in hospital. issue recommendations on York and Los Angeles.
according to news site China Daily. Cases have also been confirmed how to manage it. We know the pathogen that is
Zhong Nanshan, head of elsewhere in China, in Guangdong “This is a critical point in the spreading in China is from the
the Chinese national health province, Beijing and Shanghai. outbreak,” says Eggo. “Although same family as the SARS and MERS
commission team that is viruses, which can also cause acute
investigating the outbreak, has More on infectious conditions online respiratory illness and which led
now confirmed that two cases For the latest on pathogenic organisms, visit to fears that they could become
of infection had been caused by newscientist.com/infectious-diseases global threats. ❚

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 7


News Discover the story of human evolution
Come to a masterclass in London on 29 February
newscientist.com/science-events
Ancient humans

Our ghost lineage


A pioneering analysis of ancient African DNA has discovered an unknown
branch of our species’ family tree, reports Alison George
DNA evidence from four ancient gatherers, the Central African mainly from looking at the hominins that contributed to
skeletons uncovered in western hunter-gatherers and a lineage genomes of modern-day Africans, the genomes of some African
Cameroon has revealed a long-lost that leads to most other modern which may be why we hadn’t populations.
mystery branch of early modern humans including most East and detected this fourth group, as this About 2 per cent of the DNA
humans, suggesting we may need West Africans. But the bulk of the ancestry has been mostly lost of the Shum Laka people seems
to rethink our species’ family tree. Shum Laka skeletons’ genetic from today’s populations. to have come from an unknown
The skeletons all belonged to make-up doesn’t match any of “It’s exciting to get ancient DNA extinct species that one of their
children who were buried at a rock these three groups. This suggests from Africa, especially central ancestors interbred with.
shelter at a site called Shum Laka. there was a fourth branch early Africa where ancient DNA doesn’t
Two of the skeletons are 8000 on in our species’ history. preserve well because it’s a tropical
years old, and the other two are “What we think is that most of region,” says Sarah Tishkoff at
A great diversity
about 3000 years old. Despite the Shum Laka ancestry is from a the University of Pennsylvania. There are also signs of much
living 5000 years apart, genetic lineage that hadn’t been identified One of the skeletons, a 15-year- interbreeding with other human
analysis by David Reich at old boy from 8000 years ago, populations. All this points to a
Harvard Medical School and “A much more diverse was found to have a variant of time in our history when Africa
his colleagues suggests that landscape of very different a rare genetic signature on his was inhabited by a much greater
they were from the same humans were living a Y chromosome, known as A00. diversity of humans. “If you go
population of modern humans. few thousand years ago” First discovered in 2013, this back in time to a few thousand
The team was interested in the signature showed that our species’ years ago, what you see is a much
skeletons because linguistic before, but was present in very last shared male ancestor lived more diverse landscape of very
studies have suggested that the high proportions as recently as 200,000 to 300,000 years ago. different groups of humans
Bantu languages, which are 3000 years ago at the site and The analysis also found that living in the region,” says Reich.
spoken today by around 30 per presumably other sites too,” the Shum Laka genomes contain Tishkoff says the hypothesis
cent of people in Africa, originated says Reich. He thinks this ghost traces from an archaic hominin that the Shum Laka people
in this region. However, the lineage was later displaced by species that no longer exists. were different from any modern
genetic signature of these remains the Bantu expansion and other Many people around the world populations is interesting, but
look nothing like those of the population changes. carry DNA from extinct hominins isn’t conclusive yet. “Additional
people known to have spread The evidence for the three early like Neanderthals or Denisovans. samples and analysis will be
the Bantu languages across branches of our species has come But less is known about archaic needed to be able to reconstruct
the continent. the complex demographic
By comparing the Shum Laka history of Africa,” she says.
people’s genetic signatures with Joshua Akey at Princeton
those in databanks of modern University says the study
African populations, the team has implications for our
found that a third of the children’s understanding of the origin
DNA was similar to that of Central of humans. “Perhaps modern
African hunter-gatherers – but the humans did not originate in any
rest is a mystery (Nature, DOI: particular location in Africa, but
10.1038/s41586-020-1929-1). “Two- evolved across a broad swathe of
thirds of their ancestry is related the African continent,” he says.
to a modern human lineage that Ultimately, it may have been
we’ve never seen before. That’s genetic “admixture” – mixed up
exciting,” says Reich. DNA that is the result of many
Previous genetic studies have populations interbreeding – that
suggested that the very earliest predominantly contributed to
modern humans split into three the make-up of modern humans,
branches between 250,000 and says Akey.
200,000 years ago. These were Further insights are expected
the southern African hunter- later this year when Tishkoff
and her colleagues publish
ISABELLE RIBOT

Excavating the the largest ever analysis


8000-year-old remains of genomes from across
of two boys in Cameroon contemporary Africa. ❚

8 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Health

Cell injections may restore fertility


lost through cancer treatment
Jessica Hamzelou

IT MAY be possible to rejuvenate and some doctors worry about the could inject follicles,” he says.
ovaries after chemotherapy risk of reimplanting cancer cells. The follicles could also be taken
without the need for surgery, after “If a woman has ovarian cancer from donors, says Dahan, and they
the fertility of female mice was or leukaemia, you wouldn’t want might be easier to obtain than
successfully restored following to put that tissue back in,” says donor eggs. And while people
injections of donor cells. Kyle Orwig at the University who receive donated organs
The approach involves injecting of Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania. need to take drugs to suppress
either stored or donated follicles – “The worst thing you can do is the immune system, those who
the cells in ovaries that contain give cancer back to a survivor.” receive follicles might not need
and eventually release egg cells – Orwig and his colleagues to as “there is a minimal risk of
into the ovaries. The technique is have developed a different rejection”, says Dahan.
“able to rejuvenate the potential approach. Instead of implanting In theory, the approach could

GARRY DELONG/GETTY
of the ovary using donated ovary tissue, the team only be used in humans straight away,
follicles” and could “prolong the implants the follicles. This should says Orwig. Regulatory bodies
fertility of women”, says Michael avoid implanting any cancer cells, allow a person’s own cells to be
Dahan at McGill University in says Orwig. reinjected into them if they have
Montreal, Canada, who wasn’t To test the approach, the team only been exposed to “minimal
involved in the work. gave four female mice varying Ovarian follicles are manipulation”. But Orwig says
Some cancer treatments can doses of two chemotherapy drugs structures that contain his next step will be to trial it in
affect the supply of eggs, and that Orwig says cause infertility in and release eggs monkeys first.
may make it more difficult to humans. The team then collected There are still questions that
conceive after treatment. People follicles from donor mice who features (bioRxiv, doi.org/djqq). need to be answered. We don’t
undergoing these treatments may hadn’t undergone chemotherapy Orwig thinks the approach know how infertile the mice were
have pieces of their ovary removed and injected them into the ovaries could also be used to inject people before the treatment, and whether
and frozen beforehand, in order of the female mice that had. with their own stored follicles. the technique would work if the
to preserve their fertility. These Two of the four mice later gave “You wouldn’t need a surgical mice had no ovaries, for example.
tissues can then be surgically birth to pups, some of which had procedure,” he says. Instead a “It is a unique approach, and
reimplanted if someone wants features of the donor, rather than procedure similar to one already the concept is interesting,” says
to get pregnant. Over 130 babies those of their parents. This led the used to collect eggs for IVF, where a Monica Laronda at Northwestern
have been born following this team to be sure that it had been needle is used to access the ovaries University in Chicago. “But there
type of procedure. the injection of follicles that had via the vagina, could be used. is definitely more [work] that I
But the approach is still new, resulted in pups with the same “Instead of taking eggs out, you would like to see.” ❚

Gene editing

CRISPR-edited Infected birds become ill, than just in a few cells. No strains A company called Biopharm
emaciated and depressed, and of chickens naturally have this is now in discussion with poultry
chickens made often develop tumours. The virus mutation, so it can’t be done producers in Vietnam and China
resistant to virus gets into cells by binding to a by breeding alone. about introducing this change
protein known as chNHE-1. In 2017, Hejnar developed a into commercial breeds. “It’s
CRISPR genome editing has been Hejnar’s team has previously suitable method: using altered germ quite simple to do,” says Hejnar.
used to make chickens resistant to a shown that deleting three DNA cells to restore semen production in Hejnar also plans to use CRISPR
common virus. The approach could letters from the chNHE-1 gene sterilised cockerels. His team then to make chickens resistant to other
boost egg and meat production that makes this protein prevents went on to create a cockerel with viruses, such as bird flu. This could
worldwide while improving welfare. ALV from infecting chicken cells. sperm that have the precise deletion make us all safer: bird flu viruses
The altered chickens showed The challenge was to make this in the chNHE-1 gene. sometimes kill people and there
no signs of disease even when change in entire animals rather By crossing its offspring, they are fears that a mutant strain could
exposed to high doses of the avian have produced a flock of white cause a deadly global pandemic.
leukosis virus (ALV). The virus is a “A company is in discussion leghorn chickens that have this However, it remains to be
problem for poultry farmers around with poultry producers deletion in both copies of the seen whether consumers will
the world, says Jiri Hejnar at the about using the change gene (PNAS, DOI: 10.1073/ want to eat CRISPR chickens. ❚
Czech Academy of Sciences. in commercial breeds” pnas.1913827117). Michael Le Page

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 9


News
Environment

Deforestation for rubber


Sustainable plantation criticised for destroying elephant habitat
Adam Vaughan

TYRE giant Michelin and green Gottingen, Germany, who visited


group WWF have been criticised the village at the end of 2017.
by researchers over a rubber She says the project wasn’t
plantation in Indonesia that entirely negative. Villagers
was billed as protecting the reported that the plantation had
environment, but which villagers created jobs, and one person was
say has caused deforestation, excited by the prospect of being
destroyed elephant habitat and trained in rubber tapping. Some
F OTTEN/UNIVERSITY OF GÖTTINGEN

resulted in land grabs. of the women working for the


In 2015, Michelin began work on plantation were pleased to be
the 66,000 hectare plantation on paid cash in hand. Others said the
the island of Sumatra, partnering economic impact was mixed. One
with WWF as an adviser, to source villager said: “The village economy
rubber from an area that Michelin did not change significantly,
had said had been ravaged by fires sometimes the situation is better,
and logging. The French company, sometimes it is worse.”
one of the world’s biggest buyers A view from the Muara losing land to the plantation, In a statement, Michelin said
of rubber, promised the plantation Sekalo village in Jambi, often because they only held the project was “very important
would be “deforestation-free”, Indonesia rights through custom, not official to Michelin and to all its
“protect flora and fauna” by deeds recognised by government stakeholders” and it regretted
creating a buffer zone for wildlife Villagers also reported that the ministries. One village elder said the researchers hadn’t contacted
and generate 16,000 jobs. plantation had destroyed the of land with trees his ancestors the company.
But a visit by German habitat of elephants, leading had grown: “I feel like it is not fair WWF said it was an adviser on
researchers to the nearby village more of the animals to approach to give the land to the company, the project, but not involved in
of Muara Sekalo in the province the village and become more but then we don’t have any proof running it. “Although we regret
of Jambi has unearthed a very aggressive, destroying farmers’ of the ownership but the trees.” the authors of the report haven’t
different account of the project’s plantations (Journal of Land Use “The main point is really the contacted us to verify the study, we
impact. Farmers from the village, Science, doi.org/djt4). Several mismatch between the framing shall discuss the findings with all
and women working for one of farmers were said to have of sustainable development on those involved and call for them
the plantation’s partners, told the eventually abandoned their the one side and what’s happening to urgently address any concerns
team that forests had been cleared plots as a result. on the ground on the other,” says raised by the local communities,”
to establish the rubber trees. Some of the villagers reported Fenna Otten at the University of a spokesperson says. ❚

Agriculture

How to feed limits that we shouldn’t exceed into where these limits are being areas where these limits
if we want to maintain Earth’s transgressed. By changing what aren’t being exceeded.
Earth’s booming life-support systems. is farmed where, the team says it It could, for example, mean
population Dieter Gerten at the Potsdam would be possible to feed 10 billion restricting fertiliser use in parts
Institute for Climate Impact people within the four limits. of China and central Europe, and
OUR current food system can feed Research in Germany and his This would involve rewilding expanding it in parts of sub-Saharan
only 3.4 billion people without colleagues looked at the four farms in areas where more than Africa and the western US (Nature
transgressing key planetary limits, boundaries that are relevant 5 per cent of species are threatened, Sustainability, doi.org/djt7).
according to an analysis of the to farming: not using too much for instance, and reducing water Such changes would allow the
global farming system. nitrogen; not taking too much withdrawal for irrigation and other sustainable production of enough
However, reorganising what is fresh water from rivers; not purposes where too much is taken. food for 7.8 billion people.
farmed where – along with some cutting down too much forest; Farms could be expanded in Reductions in food waste
changes in diets – would enable and maintaining biodiversity. and a shift away from eating meat
us to feed 10 billion people
sustainably, suggests the study. In
2009, researchers identified nine
The team’s conclusion is that half
of food production today violates
these limits. However, this analysis
10.2bn
How many people we could
could increase this to 10.2 billion,
slightly more than the projected
world population in 2050. ❚
so-called planetary boundaries: is also the first to provide insights feed sustainably, in theory Michael Le Page

10 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Chemistry Artificial intelligence

Bow tie-shaped
molecules change
An AI learning technique
colour in toxic air also works in brains
Alice Klein Donna Lu

A MOLECULE that looks like a tiny DEVELOPMENTS in artificial is tuned to a different level this halfway average outcome
bow tie and changes colour under intelligence often draw of optimism or pessimism. that doesn’t necessarily really
different conditions could be used inspiration from how humans “They all end up signalling occur,” says Dabney.
to monitor air for toxic substances. think, but now AI has turned at different levels of surprise,” When the future is uncertain,
Huan Cong at the Technical the tables to hint at a way says Dabney. “More like a the possible outcomes can
Institute of Physics and Chemistry our brains learn. choir all singing different instead be represented as
in China and his colleagues made Will Dabney at tech firm notes, harmonising together.” a probability distribution:
the substance, which they named DeepMind in London and his The process that inspired some are positive, others
BowtieArene, using a pair of colleagues have found that a the revelation, distributional negative. AIs that use
pentagon-shaped molecules called recent innovation in machine reinforcement learning, is one
pillararenes. These were joined learning called distributional of the techniques that AI has “It’s a nice example
together to create the final product reinforcement learning also used to master games such as of how computational
using a fluorescent molecule called provides a new explanation Go and Starcraft II. This is the algorithms can guide
tetraphenylethylene. This formed for how the reward pathways idea that a reward reinforces us in what to look for”
the “knot” of the bow tie. in a brain work. These pathways the behaviour that led to its
govern our response to acquisition. It requires an distributional reinforcement
pleasurable events and are understanding about how learning algorithms are able
mediated by neurons that a current action leads to a to predict the full spectrum
release the chemical dopamine. future reward. For example, of possible rewards.
“Dopamine in the brain is a dog may learn the command To test whether a brain’s
a type of surprise signal,” says “sit” because it is rewarded dopamine reward pathways also
Dabney. “When things turn with a treat when it does so. work via such a distribution, the
BowtieArene contains a out better than expected, more Previously, models of team recorded responses from
fluorescent molecule dopamine gets released.” reinforcement learning in individual dopamine neurons
It was previously thought both AI and neuroscience in mice trained to perform a
When the team mixed individual that these dopamine neurons focused on learning to predict task. During training, the mice
bow-tie molecules together, they all responded identically, an “average” future reward. were given rewards of varying
stacked neatly on top of each “kind of like a choir but where “But this doesn’t reflect reality and unpredictable sizes.
other. The resulting orderly everyone’s singing the exact as we experience it,” says Dabney. Different dopamine cells
crystals interacted with light same note”, says Dabney. “When someone plays the showed reliably different
to produce blue fluorescence. But the team found that lottery, for example, they levels of surprise (Nature,
In contrast, when the researchers individual dopamine neurons expect to win or they expect doi.org/ggh5kw).
broke these ordered structures actually seem to vary. Each one to lose, but they don’t expect “Associating rewards to
apart, by mechanically grinding certain stimuli or actions
or scratching the crystals, the is of critical importance for
separated bow ties emitted green survival,” says Raul Vicente
or yellow fluorescence. at the University of Tartu in
Next, they showed they could Estonia. “The brain cannot
make the bow ties blue again by afford to throw away any
exposing them to the vapour of a valuable information about
HUAN CONG, TECHNICAL INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY, CHINA

toxic chemical called xylene, which rewards. It’s a nice example of


pulled the individual molecules how computational algorithms
back into an orderly arrangement can guide us in what to look for
(Angewandte Chemie International in neural response.” However,
Edition, doi.org/djt9). more research is needed to
This colour-switching property demonstrate whether the
TEK IMAGE/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

could be used to make sensors results apply to other species


that detect various harmful or to certain regions of the
chemicals in the air, says Cong. brain, he says. ❚
His team is currently designing
variants of the bow-tie molecule Artificial intelligence
that are capable of identifying the may teach us about how
presence of different substances. ❚ human brains work

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 11


News
Environment

Australia’s fire-driven storms are


smoking up the stratosphere
Adam Vaughan

THUNDERSTORMS generated now been calculated by David Philippines, the largest in modern Peterson says the biggest question
by the intense heat of the Peterson at the US Naval Research times. He has done similar work is what role pyroCbs are playing in
bushfires burning in Australia Laboratory, who presented his on the impact of pyroCbs before. the climate system. Some of the
have probably carried as much preliminary findings to the He found that Canadian wildfires smoke plumes carried by these
smoke into the stratosphere as American Meteorological Society in 2017 put as much smoke as clouds are also getting high
a volcanic eruption. at a meeting in Boston last week. a volcano into the stratosphere. enough to affect the ozone layer,
Blazes across the country in “It’s very likely on a volcanic While it is well known that a which is usually at least 15 km up.
the past few weeks have been so scale,” he says. Peterson estimates volcanic eruption can put enough We may have a better idea of
powerful they have generated the effect is similar to a moderate particles into the atmosphere to the smoke’s impact soon, thanks
their own weather. They create eruption, rather than on the have a cooling effect, the different to NASA flying a plane earlier this
rising air that carries ash and scale seen after the massive 1991 chemistry of pyroCbs means the year through the upper level of a
smoke and results in the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the impacts of the fires on global pyroCb generated by US wildfires.
formation of thunderclouds temperatures aren’t yet clear. “It wasn’t as massive as these
called pyrocumulonimbus Smoke from the They may have a warming or Australia plumes but fortunately
(pyroCbs) above the fires. Australian wildfires cooling effect, and it isn’t known at an altitude the aircraft could get
Some of these clouds are has circled the globe how long the smoke will persist. to,” says Peterson. That research
strong enough and rise high will reveal more about relevant
enough to have channelled atmospheric chemistry in the
smoke into the stratosphere – a clouds. Combined with satellite
stable layer of air between 10 and data, this should give us a clearer
50 kilometres up where particles idea of what to expect.
can get trapped and persist for Alan Robock at Rutgers
half a year or longer. Smoke from University in New Jersey says if
the fires has moved eastward in the smoke has a cooling effect, it
the stratosphere and made a is unlikely to be huge at a global
full circuit around the world, level, but could cause cooling of
according to NASA. several degrees C at a local level.
There were at least 20 pyroCbs If the Australian pyroCbs produce
between 28 and 31 December, and twice as much smoke as those
more on 4 January, some of which from Canada in 2017, “it still would
put smoke into the stratosphere. not be a large or long-lasting
NASA

The scale of the smoke there has impact on climate,” he says. ❚

Physiology

Brunch at the University of Barcelona in Spain was at least an hour later on exercised (Nutrients, doi.org/djsc).
wondered if eating meals later weekends than on weekdays. The difference was equivalent to
weekend messes on weekends might have similar Breakfast was the most delayed 4 kilograms in someone who is
with our bodies effects. “It’s common to sleep in meal, tending to become brunch. 170 centimetres tall and weighs
on weekends, so we end up having Students with greater eating 90 kilograms.
EATING meals later on weekends breakfast later and then lunch and jet lag were more likely to be Eating jet lag is probably
than during the week may cause dinner tend to be a bit delayed too,” overweight. Those who reported linked to weight gain because our
weight gain by disturbing the says Zerón-Rugerio. “We call this more than 3.5 hours of eating jet internal biological clocks, known
body’s metabolic rhythms. eating jet lag.” lag on weekends had higher body as circadian systems, prepare
Disrupted sleep patterns are Their team surveyed more than mass indexes on average than those our metabolisms to process food
linked to weight gain, probably 1100 university students in Spain with no eating jet lag, regardless of at specific times, says Izquierdo-
because our bodies aren’t used and Mexico to find out what time their diet or how much they slept or Pulido. If you usually eat breakfast
to processing food eaten at night, they normally ate on weekdays and at 7 am, but at 9 am on weekends,
which seems to lead to the storage weekends. Almost two-thirds had “Your biological clock “your biological clock doesn’t know
of extra fat. an hour or more of eating jet lag on doesn’t know it’s the it’s the weekend,” she says. “It gets
María Fernanda Zerón-Rugerio weekends, meaning the midpoint weekend. It gets confused confused when you eat at 9 am.” ❚
and Maria Izquierdo-Pulido at the between their first and last meal when you eat later” Alice Klein

12 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Discovery
Tours
E C U A DOR

Darwin’s Galapagos
with Jo Ruxton
Explore the Galapagos Islands from the comfort of a luxury
small-berth yacht accompanied by marine conservationist and
documentary producer Jo Ruxton
A paradise for natural history, animal and geology lovers, we have curated a distinctive trip
which includes the UNESCO World Cultural Heritage Site of Quito followed by eight days
exploring at sea and exclusive behind the scenes access at the Galapagos Science Centre.
Departing:
The spacious and stylish yacht Natural Paradise is small enough to get into bays that larger
7 June 2020
expedition ships cannot go near, so you get to experience Galapagos as Darwin did.
11 days for £6,995 (approx $8,885)
Galapagos sea lions, marine iguanas lounging on the shores, blue-footed boobies patrolling
the skies, giant tortoises, sally lightfoot crabs and green sea turtles are just a few of the
To book call
animals native to this fascinating archipelago. +44 1285 601 571
(UK hours Mon to Thu 9-5:30 Fri 9-5 GMT)
Highlights of the tour include:
Or email
k Explore eight varied islands including k Lots of opportunities to visit the many
newscientist@
Isabela, Espanola and Fernandina islands by panga boat and snorkel in these
k Exclusive behind the scenes access at amazing waters
steppestravel.com
the Galapagos Science Centre k Observe a wide variety of wildlife including
k Jo Ruxton will give talks on board reef sharks, nazca, blue-footed boobies, sea
covering marine conservation as well as lions, Galapagos penguins, seahorses, sea
accompanying the daily excursions turtles and the strange yet fascinating mola.
k Local naturalist guides will accompany k Explore Latin America’s largest and best-
the voyage and give seminars at sea and In partnership with Steppes Travel
preserved historic centre and colonial quarters
on land in Ecuador’s capital, Quito

newscientist.com/tours
News
Palaeontology

AI rethinks mass extinctions


Machine learning sheds new light on the history of life on Earth
Michael Le Page

THE best record yet of how have only been able to divide the they analysed 100,000 records The improved resolution is like
biodiversity changed in the past into huge chunks around of 11,000 marine species whose going from considering all people
distant past has been created 10 million years long. fossils have been found in China who lived in the same century as
with the help of machine learning. Now Shuzhong Shen at the and Europe (Science, doi.org/djmn). contemporaries to considering
Among other things, it confirms Nanjing Institute of Geology and This is so computationally only people who lived in the same
that one of the five great mass Palaeontology in China and his intense it would take dozens of period of several months to be so.
extinctions didn’t really happen. colleagues, including Erwin, have years to do on a normal computer. “The mid-late Devonian
It was thought the oceans produced an improved record in So, the team developed machine- diversity decrease is still very clear,
turned toxic around 375 million which each chunk is just 26,000 learning procedures and ran them but it is spread through the whole
years ago, near the end of the years long. Using a statistical on the Tianhe-2 supercomputer. time and not concentrated in
Devonian period, wiping out approach created a decade ago, The record covers 300 million a single mass extinction,” says
many marine species including years, from the Cambrian period palaeontologist Richard Bambach,
almost all trilobites. But the latest Machine learning shows starting 540 million years ago to now retired. He argued in a
study shows no evidence of a one of Earth’s five mass just after the start of the Triassic 2004 paper that there was no
sudden catastrophic change like extinctions didn’t happen period 240 million years ago. late Devonian mass extinction.
the asteroid impact that wiped The idea that there were five
out the dinosaurs. great mass extinctions when
“The late Devonian mass most plant and animal species on
extinction isn’t there,” says Earth died out was first proposed
Doug Erwin at the National in a 1982 paper. Later studies have
Museum of Natural History suggested there were between
in Washington DC. Instead, three and 20.
there was a gradual decline There is no formal definition
over around 50 million years. of a mass extinction, but most
Fossils are used to date rocks. biologists would agree that they
Because most species are only involve a spike in extinctions
around for a few million years, if over a relatively short time. At
WLAD74/GETTY IMAGES

fossils of one species are in rocks the end of the Permian period


from different places, those rocks about 250 million years ago, for
must be roughly the same age. instance, most species died out
Roughly really does mean in just 63,000 years, this new
roughly, though. Previous studies analysis shows. ❚

Security

Odd US drone Some observers assumed the Institute in Pennsylvania says the Richard Gill of UK company Drone
drones were part of a military scale of operation suggests it is Defence says that real sightings
sightings leave exercise, but the US Air Force has the work of an organisation such as may have resulted in a number
authorities baffled denied involvement. There is a university or government, rather of false reports. “People become
no evidence of malicious intent, than a lone individual – assuming hypersensitive after a scare,” he
MYSTERIOUS drone swarms although the drone operators are the drones actually exist. says. “Everything with a flashing
have been seen flying at night in breaking US regulations governing “The first question that the light will get reported.”
Colorado, Nebraska and Wyoming flying at night. task force has to rule out is if we are Small drones are elusive though,
since December, sometimes over The drones are described as not dealing with social media hype. and taking photos of them at night
locations believed to house nuclear resembling model aircraft, with Have these drone swarm sightings is virtually impossible. Even locating
missile silos. A federal task force a wingspan of around 2 metres. now turned into an urban legend?” them with radar is difficult.
has been formed to investigate. None has been recovered or even says Bunker. While the task force is said to be
The Phillips County Sheriff’s Office photographed. Similar drones are looking at getting a fix on a radio
in Colorado reported the first drones
on 20 December. There have been
hundreds of sightings since, some
widely available online for a few
hundred dollars.
Robert Bunker of the US Army
2
Estimated wingspan of the
controller on the ground, Gill says
its best bet may be to bring a drone
down, probably with a jammer. ❚
of drones flying in a grid formation. War College’s Strategic Studies unknown drones, in metres David Hambling

14 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Medical drugs Space exploration

‘Disturbing’ number
of sedatives
How to sprout a garden
prescribed in the US on the moon’s far side
Jessica Hamzelou Donna Lu

BENZODIAZEPINE drugs are CHINA’S Chang’e 4 lunar lander Xie Gengxin


prescribed at about 66 million captivated global attention when with a
doctors’ appointments a year in a cotton seed on board became replica of
the US, according to a report by the first plant ever to germinate his lunar
the US National Center for Health on another world – and now the garden
Statistics. This means that for every engineer behind this moon garden
100 adults visiting an office-based has revealed just how it was done.
doctor, 27 visits result in a Cotton, Arabidopsis, potato
prescription for a benzodiazepine. and rape seeds, as well as yeast
The figures are based on surveys and fruit fly eggs, were all inside
conducted between 2014 and a 2.6-kilogram biosphere on
2016. “The statistics we have Chang’e 4 when it landed on the

DONNA LU
are disturbing, and everyone should moon’s far side in January 2019.
be concerned about bringing them Months of uncertainty and
down,” says Lois Platt at Rush planning led to the successful
University in Chicago. mission, says Xie Gengxin at allowed sunlight to reach The team is uncertain whether
Benzodiazepines are sedatives Chongqing University, the the plants, and the whole the fruit fly eggs hatched, says
often prescribed for sleep disorders experiment’s chief designer. capsule was kept at Earth Xie – if they did, they weren’t
and anxiety. They can be addictive The idea to send a biosphere atmospheric pressure. caught on camera.
and overdoses can be fatal. to the moon was selected from A replica is currently on display The temperature on the surface
A third of the recorded US 257 suggestions submitted by in the Design Museum’s Moving of the moon reaches highs of
benzodiazepine prescriptions Chinese students in 2016. to Mars exhibition in London. 127°C in daytime. But by using
were given alongside a prescription Rice and Arabidopsis have been The real capsule was powered two cooling plates, the team
for an opioid painkiller. This is grown on China’s Tiangong-2 up just under 13 hours after was able to limit the daytime
especially concerning, because space lab and plants have been Chang’e 4 landed, at 11.19 pm temperature inside the biosphere
it is easy to overdose when taking cultivated on the International on 3 January. The first order of to under 36.5°C. The plant lived
the drugs together, says Rebecca Space Station, but those business was remotely watering for the equivalent of nine Earth
McDonald at King’s College London. experiments were conducted the seeds with a measured spritz days, until the moon’s far side
“Benzodiazepine deaths have gone in low Earth orbit, at an altitude of 18 millilitres.
up substantially over the past two of about 400 kilometres. The The team had to consider “If astronauts can see
decades in the US,” she says. “Almost cosmic radiation on the moon – in advance a number of things living, green things
all cases also involved opioids.” 380,000 kilometres from that could go wrong during the in space, it’s sure to
“Our finding suggests that Earth – makes it a more mission. In addition to camera or raise their spirits”
most patients prescribed these data transmission failures, these
medications might be long-term A camera included the possibility that the turned away from the sun.
users of these drugs,” says caught a water might be released too early Temperatures on the moon drop
CHONGQING UNIVERSITY-CLEP

Loredana Santo at the National glimpse of or not at all, or that the pipe to let to -173°C during the lunar night,
Center for Health Statistics. seedlings in sunlight might get blocked by which lasts for a fortnight.
That is also worrying, says on the moon moon dust. Although the team knew the
Benedict Hayhoe at Imperial The capsule’s two cameras plant wouldn’t survive the cold,
College London. “We should be photographed the seedbed every the capsule wasn’t powered
avoiding using benzodiazepines 10 hours. Images confirmed that down until 9 May. After months
in the long term.” the seeds weren’t watered before of experimentation, the capsule
Platt hopes that prescriptions challenging environment. Chang’e 4 launched from Earth had lost some air, with a pressure
in the US will start to fall as more Given limited space on the and that none of the seeds had reading of 0.9 Earth atmospheres.
people become aware of the lander, the experiment had sprouted prematurely. Future research will focus
dangers of benzodiazepines. to be small and light, says Xie. Once on the moon, the cotton on how to improve and cultivate
That is what seems to be The cylindrical capsule his team plant sprouted two leaves and its more ecosystems in space, says
happening in the UK. A report by designed was 19.8 centimetres root system grew horizontally Xie. “If astronauts or space tourists
Public Health England published last high with a diameter of 17.3 cm. rather than down into the soil, can breathe oxygen generated
year found a decrease in prescribing It had a rectangular seedbed probably as a result of the weak by plants and see living, green
rates of benzodiazepines between inside, measuring 800 cubic lunar gravity. The rape and potato things in space, it’s sure to raise
2015/16 and 2017/18. ❚ centimetres. A pipe in the top seeds also sprouted on the moon. their spirits,” he says. ❚

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 15


News
Biology

All complex life may have come


from spider-shaped microbes
Michael Marshall

WE ARE beginning to better inset image, left). The team


understand the single-celled suggests that Asgard archaea
organisms that may be the cooperated with bacteria, which
ancestors of all complex life. first lived swaddled in these
Last year, Hiroyuki Imachi protrusions, before ultimately
JAMSTEC; HIROYUKI IMACHI/SUGAR/X-STAR/JAMSTEC

at the Japan Agency for moving inside the Asgard cells.


Marine-Earth Science and Robert Robinson at Okayama
Technology and his colleagues University in Japan and his team
isolated a strain of Asgard archaea found that Asgard archaea also
and grew it in a lab for the first have mechanisms for assembling
time. That achievement has and breaking down a protein
now been published (Nature, called actin (bioRxiv, doi.org/
doi.org/gghwjg), and a slew gf8bfc). This forms struts within
of recent studies is giving us cells and plays a key role in
more insight into the features enabling membranes to swallow
of our possible ancestor. other cells. Robinson says the
The first Asgard archaea Deep-sea vehicles have that Asgard archaea are the closest Asgard archaea probably use
were described in 2015 after their discovered Asgard archaea known relatives of eukaryotes actin to grow their protrusions.
DNA was found in sediments on (inset) in sediments (Nature Ecology & Evolution, This can’t explain everything,
the Atlantic seabed. Biologists doi.org/ggd7k4). says Purificación López-García
immediately recognised that they are archaea, they carry genes The most crucial feature of at the French National Centre for
could help explain one of the most previously found only in eukaryotes is mitochondria: Scientific Research. She says the
important steps in evolutionary eukaryotes. This implies that sausage-shaped structures outer membranes of eukaryotes
history: the origin of eukaryotes. billions of years ago, eukaryotes within the cells that provide resemble those of bacteria, not
Bacteria and archaea are evolved from an Asgard archaeon. energy. Mitochondria were once archaea. Many eukaryotic genes
both old, single-celled branches The link between them looks bacteria, which were somehow also come from bacteria. She
of life with simple internal increasingly solid. In December, engulfed by a eukaryotic cell. suspects that more than two
structures. But all multicellular Tom Williams at the University The cultured Asgard archaeon, types of microorganism
organisms are eukaryotes, which of Bristol, UK, and his colleagues Prometheoarchaeum, hints at how contributed to eukaryotes. ❚
have larger, more intricate cells analysed more than 3000 gene this happened. When Imachi and Find out more about our
that evolved more recently. families in archaea and his colleagues grew it, they saw long-lost microbial ancestors
While the Asgard microbes eukaryotes. They confirmed long, tentacle-like protrusions (see in next week’s issue.

Conservation

Many orangutans and nursed back to health before During the study period, at least The researchers found that, in
being released. But it is unclear how 620 wild orangutans were also most cases, people weren’t tracking
released into the many of these animals are still alive. picked up outside protected areas the impacts of conservation actions
wild don’t survive To make these estimates, in Kalimantan and released into a (Biodiversitas, doi.org/djs5).
Julie Sherman at Wildlife Impact different wild site, mainly to prevent Their analysis of spending by
THE number of Bornean orangutans in Oregon and her team reviewed potential conflict with people. 145 organisations in 2016 showed
is dwindling, and there is little studies, news stories and public “The assumption translocation that rescue, reintroduction and
evidence that efforts to relocate data on conservation efforts. They practitioners make is that since translocation was the predominant
them from risky areas or also collected data from rescue these are wild orangutans, they will conservation strategy for Bornean
rehabilitate those in captivity centres, government agencies and survive anywhere in the wild,” says orangutans, with more than
bolster their population. zoos on the outcomes of relocation Sherman. Again, the fate of such £3.8 million allocated to it.
Between 2007 and 2017, about or rehabilitation for these apes. animals usually isn’t monitored. Instead of improving the
1200 Bornean orangutans (Pongo The few cases where orangutans status of this ape, however, the
pygmaeus) were released into
natural forests in Kalimantan, the
Indonesian part of Borneo. Nearly
were tracked for more than three
years suggest that fewer than
30 per cent of the released animals
30%
Proportion of released orangutans
species went from being classified
as endangered to critically
endangered in 2016. ❚
500 of those were formerly captive may have survived. that may survive for three years Shreya Dasgupta

16 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Discovery
Tours

S W I T Z E RL A ND / F R A N C E Departing:
18 May 2020
17 September 2020

Explore dark & frozen 6 days for £2,699 (approx $3,429)

matter: CERN & Mont Blanc


Particle physicist Dr Darren Price and science journalist Laura Spinney will lead a fascinating
and insightful tour focusing on CERN, home to the famous Large Hadron Collider, and Mont
Blanc to investigate receding glaciers. Fall in love with the charming lakeside city of Geneva,
famous for its watch-making, high quality chocolate and enchanting old town.

Tour highlights include:


k Evening talks and walking seminars with k The stunning botanical gardens
Dr Darren Price and Laura Spinney k Visit the beautiful small town of
k CERN guided tour to learn about the Chamonix and then on to Mer de Glace
groundbreaking work being carried out to witness an ice cave carved into the
k Walking tour of Geneva’s old town centre glacier itself
and beautiful cruise on Lake Geneva k Trip to Geneva’s Museum of the History
k Cable-car trip to the top of the Auguille du of Science, which features astronomy,
Midi overlooking Mont Blanc microscopy and meteorology exhibits

No single supplements for the first two solo travellers on each departure.
There are only 22 places available per tour, which are expected to fill up very quickly.
Please enquire early to secure your place.

To book call +44 207 593 2284 In partnership with Kirker Holidays

(UK office: Mon-Fri 9am to 6pm, Sat 9am to 4pm GMT)


Or email culturaltours@kirkerholidays.com
newscientist.com/tours
News In brief
Animal behaviour

Howl’s that! We’ve seen


wolf pups fetching balls
RETURNING a thrown ball is one from the 2014 and 2015 litters
of the most quintessential dog flatly ignored the ball. One gave
behaviours. But research suggests it a passing glance.
that it may predate dogs, as some The next year, one pup shocked
wolf pups seem to enjoy the game. the scientists by not only chasing
The first observations of wolf down the ball and snatching it up,
pups fetching balls for people but bringing it back to the person
happened unexpectedly, says when coaxed.
Christina Hansen Wheat at Hansen Wheat was watching
Stockholm University in Sweden. from another room. “I literally got
Her team studies the behavioural goosebumps,” she says, adding that
changes involved in domestication dogs’ ability to interpret socially
by looking at dogs and wolves. The communicative behaviour from
team hand-reared wolf pups from people – like following a person’s
three litters once they were 10 days cues to bring a ball back – has been
old. When they were 8 weeks old, considered a consequence of the
the pups were put through a series domestication process.
of behavioural tests. In the end, three wolves from the
KLEIN & HUBERT/NATURE PL

One of these involved having 2016 litter fetched the balls, and
an unfamiliar person toss a tennis one did it on all three trials of the
ball across the room to see how test. Others played with the ball
much it captured the pup’s but wouldn’t return it (iScience,
attention. Almost all of the pups doi.org/djkv). Jake Buehler

Mental health Biotechnology

She and her team asked in a mould. With heat and


Pregnancy loss 737 women who experienced Bricks grown from sunlight, the bacteria produced
can lead to PTSD a miscarriage during the first bacteria can multiply calcium carbonate crystals around
12 weeks of pregnancy or an the sand particles, in a process
ONE in six women who have ectopic pregnancy – in which LIVING concrete made from similar to how seashells form.
an early miscarriage or ectopic the embryo attaches outside the bacteria could one day help to When cooled, the gelatin
pregnancy have symptoms of uterus, causing pregnancy loss – reduce the environmental impact solidified the mixture into a gel.
post-traumatic stress disorder to complete questionnaires of the construction industry. The team then dehydrated the
nine months later. As people can designed to diagnose anxiety, Wil Srubar at the University of gel to toughen it, with the entire
experience PTSD symptoms for depression and PTSD. The Colorado, Boulder, and his team process taking several hours.
months, it is important they are questionnaires were sent one used Synechococcus bacteria to The researchers liken the
able to get psychological support month after pregnancy loss, create building blocks in a variety material to concrete – a mix of
should they need it, say the and then again three and of shapes (one is pictured below). gravel, sand and cement. But its
researchers behind the work. nine months after the losses. The team combined the bacteria mechanical properties are closer
It is estimated that women Nine months after a pregnancy with gelatin, sand and nutrients in to mortar, a weaker material
have more miscarriages than live loss, 18 per cent of women met the a liquid mixture, then placed this usually made with cement
births over their lifetime. But the criteria for a PTSD diagnosis, 17 per and sand, says Srubar.
psychological effects are often cent reported anxiety and 6 per An advantage of using bacteria
“brushed under the carpet”, says cent of women had symptoms of to create the concrete is that if it
Jessica Farren, an obstetrician moderate to severe depression isn’t dehydrated entirely, it can
and gynaecologist at St Mary’s (American Journal of Obstetrics still grow. With additional sand
COLORADO UNIVERSITY, BOULDER CEAS

Hospital in London. and Gynecology, doi.org/djkz). and nutrient solution, a growing


Women often don’t tell their At the moment, the National brick can be split to create two
friends, family and colleagues Health Service in England bricks (Matter, doi.org/ggh2k9).
that they are pregnant until after doesn’t routinely offer The process has the potential to
their 12-week scan. If that scan psychological support and make energy intensive concrete
reveals a miscarriage, they may counselling to everyone who production less environmentally
feel unable to tell people, so miss experiences pregnancy loss, damaging because of its reliance
out on support, says Farren. says Farren. Jessica Hamzelou on photosynthesis. Donna Lu

18 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


New Scientist Daily
Get the latest scientific discoveries in your inbox
newscientist.com/sign-up
Immunology
Really brief
fully understand the process. djs6). Equivalent chemical sensing
Special nose cells To try to learn more, Lora cells exist in the human nose, says
sniff out allergens Bankova at Harvard University Bankova, but we don’t know if they
and her colleagues isolated cells have a similar function.
LENTINK LAB/STANFORD UNIVERSITY

MICE have thousands of chemical from the noses of mice and sorted The cells are mostly in the bit of
sensing nose cells that can trigger them according to their shape, size the nose involved in smell, which
an allergic reaction. Researchers and the proteins on their surface. hadn’t been thought to play a role
say this discovery could help us They found chemical sensing in allergic responses. This could be
fathom how the immune system cells that react to allergens in the why people with chronic allergies
reacts to allergens we breath air soon after they are inhaled. can lose their sense of smell, says
in and why some people with These cells release molecules that Bankova. “It might be because
allergies lose their sense of smell. cause inflammation in the nose there is so much inflammation
Pigeons inspire We know that in people and before immune cells are delivered in that area that we hadn’t
flying machine mice, inhaling allergens can cause to the nose in the bloodstream. recognised.” Layal Liverpool
nasal inflammation. This prompts Bankova says she was surprised Could weaning babies earlier
A robot that resembles a further allergic response driven to find mice have up to 30,000 of help ease food allergy risks?
a pigeon can make tight by immune cells, but we don’t these nose cells (Science, doi.org/ See p 20
turns like a bird. PigeonBot
is powered by a propeller Space Bionics
and has wings that can
be controlled remotely.
Its average speed is about Orange jelly could
40 kilometres per hour, a become robot skin
bit slower than the average
pigeon (Science Robotics, ARTIFICIAL electrified-skin made
doi.org/djk4). of strange orange jelly can sense
a touch and heal itself. It could
Metal has starring be used to coat prostheses or to
role in bond movie cover robots so they can “feel”.
IRINA DMITRIENKO/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO

Many types of “e-skin” have


A chemical bond has been been made but are usually limited
filmed breaking and to flat sheets that attach only to
forming for the first time. flat surfaces, says Kyeongwoon
Researchers fired a beam Chung at the Korea Institute of
of electrons at a molecule Materials Science in South Korea.
composed of two atoms of Chung and his team made an
the metal rhenium. A bond e-skin that can be 3D printed into
between them broke and any shape. They made pyramids,
reformed. The researchers Great balls of dust seem to rings and a sort of cap that can fit
filmed the atoms changing over a finger. Chung says it would
shape as a result (Science defy pull of vast black hole be possible to make a face shape.
Advances, doi.org/djsb). The e-skin is made out of an
CLOSE to Sagittarius A*, the Milky been called simply G objects. Each orange, jelly-like substance
‘The blob’ is blamed Way’s central, supermassive black of them is on the order of 15 billion composed mainly of water and
for avian massacre hole, six strange objects are defying kilometres across, and from afar acrylic acid. The gel contains both
gravity. They look like clouds of gas they look like huge clouds that have positively charged and negatively
A million seabirds that died and dust, but behave like stars, and signatures of hydrogen atoms and charged particles, so when it is cut
along the US west coast scientists don’t know what they are. don’t emit very much heat. or ripped, those particles attract
were probably the victims The first two of these objects, Like the other two G objects, they one another and it heals itself.
of an unprecedented called G1 and G2, were discovered are orbiting Sagittarius A* the way It can also detect if you touch
marine heatwave in the nearly a decade ago. At the time, stars would, instead of falling in as it. When a weak electric field is
Pacific. The killer appears astronomers thought they were just they would if they were just clouds applied to the skin via two wires,
to have been “the blob”, gas clouds soon to be gobbled up. (Nature, doi.org/djmh). a touch from a finger or any object
a vast, record-breaking But instead of being stretched out Ciurlo suggests these could be that conducts electricity makes
patch of warm water that and swallowed by the black hole, stars hidden by shrouds of gas and current flow through the gel.
occurred off the west coast the clouds continued to orbit it. dust thick enough to obscure their The difference in the current
of North America between Anna Ciurlo at the University of light, possibly the result of stellar intensity at each wire allows the
late 2013 and 2016 California, Los Angeles, and her smash-ups in which two stars point of touch to be identified
(PLoS One, doi.org/djk5). colleagues have spotted four more merge to leave a single large star (ACS Applied Materials & Interfaces,
of these weird clouds, which have surrounded by debris. Leah Crane doi.org/djsg). LC

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 19


News Insight
Immunology

Food fight over allergies


Current baby weaning guidelines may mean we are missing a crucial
window to prevent food allergies. Clare Wilson reports
WHEN you have a child with
food allergies, the fear of a severe
reaction is always there, says
Emma Amoscato. “It’s not just
mealtimes, it’s going to nursery,
family events, soft play. It’s not
something you can ever take
a day off from.”
She is frustrated that some
children, such as hers, could
perhaps have avoided developing
their allergies at all. A growing
body of evidence, including
findings that emerged last
month, suggests that the earlier
babies eat foods like peanuts
and eggs, the less likely they
ELI ASENOVA/GETTY IMAGES

are to develop allergies to them.


But in some countries, such
as the UK, weaning babies onto
solid food early runs counter to
official advice to avoid giving
infants any solid food until they
are 6 months old. Parents face Parents are advised not to World Health Organization likely to get peanut allergy than
conflicting information from give solid food to babies until released guidelines in 2001 those who waited until the age
allergy specialists and the they reach a certain age recommending that babies should of 5; the rates were 3 per cent and
healthcare staff they see most ideally have nothing but breast 17 per cent respectively.
often such as family doctors and modern life prevents us from milk for their first six months. It looked like a wrong turn may
midwives. “You don’t know who encountering many friendly These were adopted by many have been taken. “All this advice
to trust,” says Amoscato, who is and important microbes during countries, including the UK. to delay is not just neutral, it’s
author of Living with Allergies: our childhood. At the time, this advice wasn’t actually harmful,” says Gideon
Practical tips for all the family. But weaning practices are also expected to affect allergies, Lack at King’s College London.
The stakes are high, as was under suspicion, because they because the thinking was that we Why would timing matter? The
highlighted last year by two UK have changed a lot in the past few should delay giving potentially idea is that the immune system
cases in the headlines in which decades. It was once common for risky foods like peanuts to infants learns not to react to things we
teenagers died from allergic parents to start giving babies solid for as long as possible. Children eat when it first encounters food
reactions, both caused by meals food as early as possible to fatten known to be at high risk of peanut proteins in the gut. If weaning is
from a shop or restaurant they them up, sometimes at just a allergy, such as those with affected delayed and babies first encounter
thought were safe. couple of months old or earlier. food proteins through their skin,
Food allergies are now By the 1990s, this was “It was once common for the immune system can become
common. In the UK, for instance, becoming frowned on, partly parents to start babies sensitised to these proteins.
7 per cent of children now have because doctors thought the gut on solids as early as There are several strands of
one, and the number of hospital was too immature. There was possible to fatten them up” evidence for this. One is that
admissions for severe allergic also growing concern about the babies who have moisturisers
reactions has risen six-fold in move away from breastfeeding, siblings, were advised to avoid or nappy creams based on peanut
the past 20 years. especially in developing countries them until they were 3 years old. oil rubbed on their skin have a
Changes in how babies are where there is higher risk of Pregnant women were even seven-fold higher rate of peanut
fed can’t be the only explanation, infections from formula milk told not to eat peanuts. allergy. Another is that infants
because other allergies such as hay made with unsterilised water. Then in 2015 came the first get more allergies if they have
fever and asthma are also on the As more was discovered about randomised trial to look at this eczema, in which skin is inflamed
rise. One idea is a modern take the beneficial substances in breast question. In 530 children, those and cracked – although that
on the hygiene hypothesis, and milk, such as antibodies that who ate peanut snacks before the could just be because eczema
suggests that this may be because protect against microbes, the age of 11 months were much less is also an allergic condition.

20 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


More Insight online Working
Your guide to a rapidly changing world hypothesis
newscientist.com/insight Sorting the week’s
supernovae from
the absolute zeros

It isn’t just babies with eczema Population studies show a link BSACI president Adam Fox says
who are at risk, says Helen Brough, between early weaning and this isn’t at odds with official
also at King’s. Peanut dust stays formula use – although this may advice, as the full government
on the skin for hours, she says. just be a correlation. guidelines say people should aim
“If the parents have eaten a bowl Some studies have suggested to introduce food at 6 months old,
of peanuts before a nappy change, that breastfeeding brings a wider but not before 4 months, and that ▲ Alphabet
they’re applying [peanut dust] range of health benefits than higher-risk families should consult Google’s parent firm
to the skin.” just cutting infections, such as their doctor. Those nuances can has joined the ranks of
At her clinic, she warns parents reducing obesity and diabetes, be lost in advice from healthcare trillion-dollar companies,
against using creams based on although this has been contested. staff and websites and leaflets following Microsoft, Apple
peanut, almond or sesame oil, for aimed at parents, which tend to and Amazon. It still has
instance. “We say no food on skin.” state a blanket 6 months, although some way to hit a googol
Weaning advice has started
to change. Multiple US and
European bodies, such as the
American Academy of Pediatrics
7%
The proportion of children
many families do start before
then. “Parents are feeling quite
lost and confused,” says Amoscato.
To help cut through the noise,
valuation, or $10100.

▲ Wollemi pines
A secret firefighter mission
and the European Food Safety in the UK with a food allergy parents of high-risk children has helped to save the
Authority, now encourage giving would ideally get tailored advice only wild Wollemi pines,
potential allergens from 4 months “There are known benefits of from specialists, but they are ancient trees threatened
onwards, with the proviso that exclusive breastfeeding for around unlikely to get an appointment by the Australian wildfires.
infants should never be given the first six months of a child’s life in time. “If they’re on a waiting
whole nuts in case they choke. and this is best for overall health,” list for three or four months, then ▲ Ancient grains
But the UK hasn’t. One factor is says Adrienne Cullum at Public we have missed that window,” says Dust from a meteorite is
that early weaning clashes with Health England. Lucy Upton, a paediatric dietitian the oldest known material
efforts to promote exclusive One UK body that takes a and a spokesperson for the on Earth. At 7.5 billion
breastfeeding for a child’s first different tone is the British British Dietetic Association. She years old, the particles
six months, which is a major Society for Allergy and Clinical recommends high-risk families are 3 billion years older
focus of child health promotion. Immunology (BSACI), which has follow the BSACI guidance on how than the solar system.
“People may think once you issued guidance urging parents of to give potential allergens safely.
introduce solids you might as children at higher risk of allergies, Upton hopes that UK weaning ▼ Face recognition
well stop breastfeeding,” says Amy such as those with eczema, to start advice will be reconsidered after a The EU is considering
Brown at Swansea University, UK. giving foods from 4 months of age. further trial published last month, a temporary ban on the
which found that high-risk use of face recognition in
children given six potentially public places. Or we could
Can allergies be reversed? allergic foods between the ages all just wear balaclavas.
of 3 and 6 months developed fewer
Parents can try to reduce the Some studies have found that allergies than those who got them ▼ Isle of Wight
TOP: JANECE FLIPPO/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO; BOTTOM: WIM VAN DEN HEEVER/NATURE PL

risk of their babies developing this helps some people, but others later. With its clear finding that One of the six sea eagles
allergies (see main story), but have suggested that in the case of benefits arise from starting before released on the southern
once an allergy has developed, peanut allergy, it raises the risk of 6 months, the clash with official UK island last year
there is nothing you can do anaphylaxis, a serious reaction advice couldn’t be starker. has decided to set up
about it, right? Perhaps not. requiring an injection of adrenaline When New Scientist asked Public home in landlocked
One approach being to keep people breathing. Health England if this changed Oxfordshire instead.
investigated is immunotherapy. Recent research suggests why: things, a spokesperson said: “We
This involves giving people the treatment doesn’t take away wouldn’t change our advice based
gradually increasing amounts the allergy, it just encourages the on one study – we need to look at
of the substance they are allergic body to make antibodies against the totality of the evidence.”
to in an effort to reduce their the immune cells that cause the For Amoscato, the delays
body’s sensitivity to it. It starts reaction. Protection may also only are frustrating. “They have
off with microscopic amounts last while treatment continues, so done the studies. The delay in
and must be done under people would need to keep taking the government passing the
medical supervision for safety. small doses of allergens every day. information on could be putting
children’s lives at risk.” ❚

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 21


Discovery
Tours

JAPAN

Japan: Nature,
culture, science
Discover Japan on a 12-day tour taking you to Tokyo,
Hakone, Kyoto and Kagoshima
In one of world’s most technologically advanced countries, visit leading institutions
and explore advances in space travel, robotics and AI, whilst witnessing exceptional
landscapes, from snow-capped mountains to hot springs and volcanic islands

Tour highlights include:


k Talks and walking seminars k Two bullet train journeys
from New Scientist head of features k JAXA space museum
Rowan Hooper k A traditional meal with a geisha
k Miraikan Museum of Emerging Science k The Sakurajima volcano
k SCMAGLEV and Railway Park k Sailing on Lake Ashi
k Toyota Museum of Industry k National Museum of Nature and Science
and Technology k Space Museum TeNQ
k City tours of Tokyo and Kyoto k Zen temples and Shinto shrines

No single supplements for the first two solo travellers to book.


There are only 15 spaces available on this tour, so please get in touch Departing:
early to ensure you don’t miss out. 18 October 2020
12 days for £6,695 (approx $8,499)

To book call +44 1285 601 571 (UK hours Mon to Thu 9-5:30 Fri 9-5 GMT)
In partnership with Steppes Travel
Or email newscientist@steppestravel.com

newscientist.com/tours
Views
The columnist Letters Aperture Culture Culture columnist
James Wong on Pedestrian-friendly Making an artificial Why civil rights go Jacob Aron on games
claims that food is cities need room to glacier in the hand in hand with that tell the story of
less nutritious p24 play too p26 Himalayas p28 access to IT p30 evolution p32

Comment

Pseudoscience on TV
Alternative health show The Goop Lab on Netflix demonstrates
just how easy it is to fall for bad science, says Clare Wilson

P
SYCHIC readings, energy Clare Wilson is the author of Health
healing and vampire Check, New Scientist’s weekly email
facials are just a few of newsletter about wellbeing. Sign up at:
the adventures had by actor and newscientist.com/sign-up/health
alternative health guru Gwyneth
Paltrow and her team in her new initials and words, a lot of which
Netflix series The Goop Lab. Goop, don’t hit home, but the few that
Paltrow’s natural health firm, is do provoke open-mouthed
already a byword for unrestrained admiration from the Goop team.
woo, but the TV series takes things Paltrow also has a vampire facial
to the next level. Instead of during the series, in which her
turning it off, we should view it face is injected with platelet-rich
to learn how to spot bad science. plasma made from her own blood.
Like a car crash unfolding in It’s true, as the show claims, that
front of me, once I started platelets contain substances that
watching the show I couldn’t look promote healing. But despite
away. In fact, it is so bad it is good: intense efforts, practitioners have
a masterclass in how to use logical failed to show platelet-rich plasma
fallacies, non sequiturs and cherry- has convincing effects on tissue
picking to defend pseudoscience. repair in large, randomised trials.
Take the episode on energy The most annoying part of
healing, also known as Reiki the show for me is when Paltrow
healing. Practitioners say they can paints resistance to her credo
see and manipulate energy fields as anti-feminist, when the Goop
around people’s bodies that are website feels like an online version
invisible to the rest of us. of the most regressive women’s
This looks as outlandish as it the show doesn’t say how many when people rely on them to treat magazine, telling readers they
sounds. While the “patient” lies on people try it without success. serious illnesses it can be deadly. need to spend time and money on
a massage table, the practitioner The practitioner says “the People with cancer who use diet and beauty regimes. Paltrow
touches or waves his hands over technology’s not quite there complementary therapies tend to complains that women face
their body to twiddle their fields to measure energy healing” – a reject conventional treatment and pressure to “look a certain way”.
into place. Members of the Goop textbook evasion. While we may so can be less likely to survive their It’s a bit rich from a Hollywood
team jerk and arch their backs – not be able to quantify these disease than those who don’t. The actor who flogs £125 face creams.
they are either true believers or are apparent energy fields, there is show states at the beginning of Still, Goop was valued at a
going to heroic lengths to suck up nothing to stop measurement of each episode that people shouldn’t quarter of a billion dollars in 2018,
to their boss. Most say they feel the healing part in a randomised take it as medical advice, but the so Paltrow has clearly found an
better afterwards, although one controlled trial. The team also cites impact of a 10-second disclaimer effective business model. She was
says it felt like an exorcism. quantum physics and the double- seems tiny compared with half quoted in The New York Times as
As proof that it works, the show slit experiment, which shows that an hour of beautiful Californians saying that controversies just
wheels out a 57-year-old man who light can act like both waves and saying how awesome they feel. led to more people visiting her
says the technique cured him of particles, although the relevance In another episode, Paltrow’s website, letting her “monetise
numbness in his legs after cancer of this to energy healing is unclear. personal medium comes on and those eyeballs”. It’s hard not to
JOSIE FORD

treatment. But this kind of nerve These kinds of alternative claims to be getting messages suspect that criticism of The Goop
damage often fades with time, and therapies may seem harmless, but from the dead. She calls out a few Lab won’t bother Paltrow one bit. ❚

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 23


Views Columnist
#FactsMatter

The great nutritional collapse Claims that our food is becoming


less nutritious are often bandied about, but the truth is far more
complicated, writes James Wong

Y
OU could be forgiven for in calcium, however most other the same wheat variety in the
thinking we are living in vitamins and minerals stayed next county, are problematic.
the midst of a nutritional pretty stable. What about the Trials have shown, for example,
apocalypse. “You’d have to eat 10 “eight oranges” claim for vitamin that identical types of wheat
tomatoes today to get the same A? Oranges weren’t even part of grown in two different fields in the
level of nutrients as one in the the study, so it is unclear exactly same US state can show an eight-
1950s,” declared an activist on where that statistic originated. fold difference in key minerals like
the radio recently. And the 2004 study is only so selenium. Such a difference far
On Twitter, there was more reliable. In the decades between outweighs the declines observed
James Wong is a botanist and of the same: “One would have to the 1950 and 1999 data sets it used, in the English single-field study.
science writer, with a particular eat eight oranges today to derive everything from crop varieties and Arguably the best evidence
interest in food crops, the same amount of vitamin A testing techniques have changed comes from studies that grow
conservation and the our grandparents would have significantly. So this type of study historical and modern varieties
environment. Trained at the gotten from one.” And at a farming is unlikely to be a like-for-like side-by-side in the same fields,
Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, he conference, a speaker proclaimed comparison. This was something replicating the exercise at various
shares his tiny London flat with that modern farming means that the authors were careful to point locations. Results have been
more than 500 houseplants. fruit and vegetables have been out: “There is no way that you can mixed. In one study by the US
You can follow him on Twitter “drained of their nutrients”, reliably measure the decline for Department for Agriculture,
and Instagram @botanygeek showing falls of “up to 50 per single foods.” This is the opposite broccoli didn’t show a clear trend
cent over 50 years”. But what of what I keep hearing. nutritionally speaking either way
evidence are these claims based in terms of differences between
on? I thought I’d better take a “If the nutrient levels old and new varieties. While
closer look. in modern crops nutritional differences were
James’s week Perhaps the most commonly recorded in terms of the size of
had collapsed to the
What I’m reading cited study used to support this the broccoli head, factors such
As usual, an awful lot narrative is a 2004 paper in the degree claimed, it as weather showed an effect on
of very dry academic Journal of the American College would be clear in the nutritional content up to 10 times
journals. The data of Nutrition. It analyses nutritional human population” greater than crop size. For wheat,
tables are the best bit. data for 43 garden crops in the US while some nutrients did decline
from 1950 and 1999. But scan the Is there any other evidence on in newer varieties, many were
What I’m watching results and a rather different nutrient changes? The Broadbalk stable. This suggests a far more
Mindhunter on Netflix. picture emerges to the popular Wheat Experiment is a pioneering complex picture than many
Often with my hands idea that modern food is lacking. study that has been gathering have claimed.
over my eyes. Instead of showing a nutritional samples of wheat grown in the Most pertinently of all, if the
collapse across the board, the same field in England for 175 years, nutrient content of crops had
What I’m working on research found only about half of making it the world’s longest indeed collapsed to the degree so
Filming a new the 13 nutrients checked showed a running agricultural trial. Between frequently claimed, this would
documentary series statistically reliable decline, while the 1800s and the late 1960s, the be clear in terms of human health.
for the BBC. others remained unchanged. For nutrient levels in the grain grown Yet nutrient deficiencies have
those nutrients that were found there stayed relatively stable. actually declined worldwide by
to have declined, the falls reported However, from then onwards roughly 40 per cent since 1960,
across all 43 crops ranged from a there have been significant falls, according to a University of
modest 6 per cent for protein to especially for minerals like zinc California study, and by as much
a 38 per cent drop for riboflavin, and iron, which neatly coincided as 80 per cent in regions like east
which is a B vitamin. with the introduction of a modern Asia. This was partially due to
What about the 90 per cent variety of wheat. These findings fortification of foods, but mainly
reduction in the overall nutrient are potentially concerning. attributed to modern agriculture
levels in tomatoes I had heard? But while it was an excellent resulting in a more diverse diet. It
Well, no such figure appears to review of the nutrient content for seems modern farming isn’t quite
exist in this study. The single a single crop in a single field in one the dietary demon some say it is.
This column will appear largest fall in the study, which was place, extrapolating its results as I for one can’t wait to see what
monthly. Up next week: in an individual tomato crop, representative of all crops across further research uncovers, but
Chanda Prescod-Weinstein appears to be a 54 per cent drop the whole world, or frankly even there is no need to panic just yet. ❚

24 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Views Your letters

Editor’s pick
Pedestrian-friendly cities
need room to play too
21/28 December 2019, p 10
From Rob Wheway,
Coventry, West Midlands, UK
Researchers in Canada and the
US find that grid street layouts
encourage people to walk rather
than drive, unlike those dominated
by cul-de-sacs, Alice Klein reports.
There are more factors to consider.
In the Children’s Play Advisory
Service report that I co-wrote –
Child’s Play: Facilitating play on
housing estates – we estimate
that if a housing area contains
100 children and roads that are
safe enough for them to play
outside, they will make around
280,000 journeys per year on foot.
Not only is this free exercise, but a
lot of vehicle pollution is avoided.
The domination of the car
prevents children from playing As for cycling, the main problem remind drivers that they don’t per kilometre than others.
freely, an essential part of their in the UK is the weather. If you have priority under Swiss law Incorporating railway stations
physical and social development. commute by bike, you really need a and offer easy and safe passage into more airport passenger
They still do play out in cul-de-sacs shower and clothes storage at your for walkers and cyclists. In the terminals would help reverse
and where there are measures to place of work. Planners could insist UK, anyone crossing the arm the current trend of scheduling
slow traffic: parents permit this on this, in the same way as they of a roundabout is likely to be hundreds of flights between
because the roads are safe. Grid often insist on off-street car parking intimidated by speeding drivers, regional airports, which may be
layouts are more dangerous, and for new business developments. in part because it unnecessarily convenient, but is more unkind
parents understandably keep their has two lanes. to the environment than doing
children indoors, condemning them All parties in the UK’s recent a  final leg by train.
Some things we should
to increased obesity and stress. election promised to promote A jet engine’s maximum
learn about roundabouts cycling and walking for health efficiency is at high throttle
From Graham Jones, 21/28 December 2019, p 65 and climate change advantage. settings. So can we design a plane
Bridgham, Norfolk, UK From Robert Hale, That will be impossible unless we with booster engines used only for
This finding made me think of three Evesham, Worcestershire, UK learn from the Swiss, not only on take-off, with more modest
UK towns: Colchester in Essex, Richard Webb rightly extols the roundabouts, but more generally engines for cruising flight?
where I grew up, Diss in Norfolk, virtues of roundabouts and on road and path design. Running big engines for the
where I worked for many years, and identifies problems implementing entire flight is an absurd waste
Towcester in Northamptonshire, them in the US. There is also great of kerosene and an abuse of the
What more can the
which I visit. In all, residential areas scope for improvement on the atmosphere. Clearly a new design
laid out in the years after 1945 way they are laid out in the UK. I aviation industry do? of aircraft would be needed to stop
have curvy streets with cul-de-sacs. do suspect that our Department of 11 January, p 18 the drag of extra engines ruining
Most of these, though, are Transport may be as intransigent From Butch Dalrymple Smith, the economy gains of the concept.
connected by footpaths, often only as the US authorities. La Ciotat, France
1 or 2 metres in width and ideally I am thinking of a Swiss design What more could the aviation
Vacuum airship plan
suited to pedestrians. So the that allows safe, low-speed entry industry do to reduce carbon
walking route between points up and exit in all traffic conditions for emissions? The decision by Airbus faces an uphill battle
to a half-hour’s walk apart is very all vehicles, including articulated to stop making the double-decker 21/28 December 2019, p 68
nearly a straight line, while the bendy buses, with high traffic A380 in 2021 may need to be From Simon Goodman,
driving route may be as much as flows. This is achieved by slight reviewed. This plane, particularly Griesheim, Germany
five times that distance. Pedestrian curves to the arms, each a single if configured with all seats in The article on vacuum lift airships
access to public transport is a red carriageway just wide enough economy for intercontinental by Philip Ball was, in a manner of
herring in the many places where for bus wheels. Yellow zebra travel, has higher efficiency in speaking, a gas. But some aspects
there are now no buses. pedestrian crossings on each arm terms of fuel used per passenger of the idea sound like so much hot

26 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


air. The greater lift that a vacuum any of the teams doing these of the dead on private land such it would in effect be a human,
gives compared to the same experiments considered using as gardens. I think each local and why would we want to
volume of hydrogen or helium pure deuterium, an isotope of authority can permit this. create another one of them
must be greatly outweighed by the hydrogen? I suspect that the When a friend recently died when we have 7.8 billion already?
weight of the structure needed to pressure required to produce in Gloucestershire, his relatives
contain that vacuum. A container metallic deuterium might be applied to their council to bury
Do students seek long-
evacuated of air produces lift of significantly lower. It would pretty him in their garden. The council
1.28 kilograms per cubic metre, certainly still be much too high for appeared flummoxed by the term relationships?
which is only 0.09 kg/m3 more practical applications, but possibly request. When the relatives said 7 December 2019, p 15
than hydrogen offers. easier to experiment on. that their religion insisted on From Jim Ryan,
So it seems to me that this idea burial within 24 hours, the council Cambridge, Massachusetts, US
will not get off the ground using quickly and graciously agreed it. The dating service Tinder doesn’t
As a community we must
current materials. seem to be as good at finding you
choose our words carefully From Martin Pettinger, a partner as you might think,
Leader, 14 December 2019 Hassocks, West Sussex, UK according to a study that found
More thoughts about From Gordon Stanger, It is already legal in the UK to bury only 25 per cent of participants
metallic hydrogen Adelaide, South Australia loved ones in private gardens, reported using it to find someone
4 January, p 43 I know what you mean when you subject to certain permissions and interested in a long-term
From David Holdsworth, write that there is no such thing as to regulations concerning depth, relationship. This sounds
Settle, North Yorkshire, UK scientific truth – only successive distance from buildings, and so damning, until you read that the
Michael Brooks makes the case for attempts to get closer to it. So, on. Problems arise when the time study subjects were all university
hydrogen existing as a metal by I think, will most New Scientist comes for the survivors to move students. It may equally be a proof
pointing out its position in the readers. But be careful what you house. The emotional wrench of that only 25 per cent of university
periodic table at the head of the write. There are truth corrupters leaving not only a home but also a students are looking for a long-
group of alkali metals. out there who will deliberately dead spouse is considerable. New term relationship.
All elements in this column misrepresent, cherry-pick, and buyers may not always appreciate I met my wife on Tinder, in my
have a single valence, or outer take words out of context. having a body in the garden. 40s. Before I met her, I went on
shell, electron. When this is Creationists, climate change A burial at sea may be an option many other dates from Tinder, all
delocalised and produces denialists and anti-vaccination that would better suit Glover. in my age range and all looking for
electrical conductivity in an activists can, and probably will, a serious relationship. This study
alkali metal, there are still seize upon such quotations in an may say more about our reliance
But the human mind/
electrons in inner shells around attempt to discredit science and on students as study subjects than
the nucleus. This means a stable bolster their absurd claims. brain is deterministic about anything else.
metallic lattice can form. Their lies cause harm. Letters, 4 January
Hydrogen, which has only one Thousands who could and should From Greg Nuttgens,
When a game solves an
electron, would be left with a have been vaccinated against Porthcawl, Glamorgan, UK
naked proton, so a stable lattice diseases such as measles have Sam Edge mentions the common impossible problem
would be much harder to form. died. By 2100, multiple and assumption that conscious 14 December 2019, p 32
We can also put this element complex climate change impacts entities such as human minds are From Paul Whiteley,
on the other side of the periodic will force the relocation of self-causal and non-deterministic. Bittaford, Devon, UK
table, at the top of the group of hundreds of millions of people – Of course, like everything else in Jacob Aron has been playing the
non-metallic elements that a potentially avoidable disaster. the universe, our mind/brain is game Death Stranding, in which
require just a single electron to As a scientific community we deterministic, if you accept that you must carefully choose your
form a complete outer electron must choose our words very every event has a reason or cause. route or die. Has he unwittingly
“shell” – the halogens. carefully and deter cherry-picking. We can’t mechanistically been drawn into a vast data
Metallic hydrogen may be as predict what someone will think accumulation programme that
unusual as a G-clamp with a left- about anything because of the an artificial intelligence can
Practicalities of taking
hand thread, as shown in the brain’s complexity – it has eventually use as a data set for
illustration with the article. back control of our deaths 86 billion neurons and a solving the currently intractable
Letters, 14 December 2019 quadrillion synapses – and also travelling salesman problem? ❚
From Clive Semmens, From Judy Gardner, because of the environmental,
Ely, Cambridgeshire, UK Shrewsbury, Shropshire, UK physical and cultural influences
For the record
If metallic hydrogen were a room- Bryn Glover wonders why which affect our thinking.
temperature superconductor, legislation can’t allow for burial If a machine could do all that, ❚ We misnamed a dog breed on our
experiments on it might produce chart showing their sizes and life
useful information. But, given the expectancies: it is a Bernese
enormous pressures that seem to Want to get in touch? Mountain dog (4 January, p 38).
be required to keep it metallic, it Send letters to New Scientist, 25 Bedford Street, London ❚ It is the nerves within the clitoris
surely isn’t practically useful. WC2E 9ES or letters@newscientist.com; see terms at that are rarely depicted or described
A thought occurs to me: have newscientist.com/letters in textbooks (4 January, p 12).

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 27


Views Aperture

28 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Icy invention

Photographer Greg White

THE Himalayan desert of Ladakh


is home to this majestic tower of
ice, known as an ice stupa, after
the domed Buddhist buildings.
It is effectively an artificial glacier,
created by local people to store
water and designed to start
melting when they need it.
In winter, temperatures in
Ladakh rarely rise much above
-40°C, and can fall below freezing
even on summer nights. The area
receives little rain, so local people
rely on melting glaciers to obtain
water for irrigation and livestock.
But climate change has caused
the glaciers to shrink and the
flow of their meltwater to become
erratic. To get around this, in late
summer, local people catch glacial
meltwater in underground pipes.
The water is sprayed onto a domed
structure at night, where it freezes.
The ice stupa starts to melt in
March and will continue to do so
until around July, when rainfall is at
its lowest. Its conical shape shields
much of the ice from the sun. This
means the tower, which can reach
50 metres in height (see below),
melts slowly, feeding surrounding
streams. The following summer,
the cycle repeats. ❚

Jason Arunn Murugesu

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 29


Views Culture

Black data
matters
Civil rights go hand in hand with access to
information technology, says Lilian Anekwe

Book revolution, McIlwain traces a


Black Software: The path from this “vanguard” to
internet and racial present-day activists, campaigners
justice, from the AfroNet and organisers.
to Black Lives Matter In the first half of the book we
Charlton D. McIlwain learn how black entrepreneurs,
Oxford University Press engineers, information
technicians, hobbyists, journalists
Exhibition and activists connected with each
W. E. B. Du Bois: other, using new technologies
Charting black lives as they emerged: bulletin board
House of Illustration, London systems and the Usenet network
Until 1 March in the 1970s, file-sharing and
CD-ROMs in the 1980s.
DECADES before the creation of The Universal Black Pages, a
social media and the birth of the comprehensive online directory
#BlackLivesMatter movement, of African American-related
early adopters of the internet were internet resources, was launched
using precursors of email, user in July 1994. McIlwain describes its
forums and the web to organise rise and fall, along with websites and connected databases later about, and deprived of access to,
black communities in the US and such as NetNoir and AfroNet. This developed into automated the very technology that would
beyond and push for racial justice. was an experimental era, which policing systems and crime go on to shape their lives.
In his book Black Software, ultimately fell victim to the prediction tools which “began “Black people were not hired
Charlton D. McIlwain at New York dotcom bust in 2000. to lock black people up at as technicians to process the data.
University highlights the lives In the second half of the book, skyrocketing and racially Black people certainly did not
and histories of those pioneers McIlwain delves deeper, back to disparate rates”. design the systems… were not
who explored and used the the origins of the computing This was only possible, McIlwain at the table to contribute to
internet for digital activism, revolution, showing how the argues, because black people, “by conversations about how to
creating a space for the African technology was put to use to and large, didn’t have access to the deploy the outputs,” he writes.
American community. “set America’s principles of white It may have started as “an alien
McIlwain has made excellent supremacy loose to run amuck “We think police technology destined to… grind
use of his position as the founder in new computational systems”. them into submission and exert
algorithms are new;
of New York University’s centre This culminated, McIlwain racial power over their entire
for critical race and digital argues, in the development of
but these technologies existence”, but change was
studies. In the book, he combines law enforcement applications were in use by the ushered in, as members of the
first-person interviews with that applied computing power mid-1960s” African American tech vanguard
historical online and offline to areas such as crime analysis, encouraged others to get online,
correspondence and other archive fingerprint identification and technology being used to profile, harnessing the power of the
© WEB DU BOIS/LIBRARY OF CONGRESS

materials to bring the stories resource allocation. We think of target, and forecast their tendency internet to shape their lives.
and perspectives of these the use of algorithms by police toward criminality”. The early McIlwain quotes one activist:
forgotten figures to light. forces as a new phenomenon; computing industry’s lack of “We… who were ignored by the
Over five decades, beginning McIlwain describes how these diversity and resistance to industrial revolution, cannot
in the 1960s with the rise of the technologies were in use by police attempts at inclusion meant afford to be bypassed by the
civil rights movement in the US forces as early as the mid-1960s. that black people were effectively multimedia communications
and the start of the computing These information systems excluded from conversations revolution inherent in the

30 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Don’t miss

is what they represent: a radical


and stark approach to refuting
racism, using facts and statistics
to counter white supremacy and
challenge and debunk the era’s
prevailing racist stereotypes.
Du Bois wanted to prove, to Visit
an international audience, the Making the Bridge Sing
essential equality of African sees the Victorian Engine
American people. By presenting Rooms of London’s
his own research on the Tower Bridge fill with
achievements of African music from 29 January,
Americans in the short time as artist Di Mainstone
since the emancipation of slaves, documents her efforts to
Du Bois demonstrated that black turn the structure into a
musical instrument.
“Du Bois produced
infographics that
challenged the
pseudoscience
used by racists”
culture had flourished even
within the extreme constraints
of violently enforced racial
segregation across the southern Visit
states of the US. Claudia Andujar, The
The infographics shown at Yanomami Struggle
the Paris Exposition presented is a record of Andujar’s
statistics on issues such as crime, attempts to save what
literacy and affluence in Georgia – little she could of the
at the time the US state with the Amazon’s Yanomami
emerging information Du Bois visualised his highest African American culture. This poignant
superhighway… to avoid our community in a compact population. And rather than let photo exhibition is at
continuing characterisation, and systematic form us fall into the complacency of the Fondation Cartier in
lamented by [W. E. B.] Du Bois, as thinking that race science no Paris from 30 January.

TOP: © DI MAINSTONE/TOWER BRIDGE; MIDDLE: ©CLAUDIA ANDUJAR/FONDATION CARTIER POUR L'ART CONTEMPORAIN
an ‘afterthought of modernity’.” justice of the 20th century. longer exists, the exhibition also
That mention of Du Bois But alongside his famous features original artwork by
is apposite: this influential writings, Du Bois produced an Guardian journalist Mona Chalabi.
African American activist astounding body of infographics This demonstrates the enduring
and intellectual had started a to challenge pseudoscientific relevance of Du Bois’s data
movement in the early 1900s racism, making visual arguments visualisation methods and the
to fight racial segregation. Just every bit as powerful as those in racial inequalities he fought
as the members of McIlwain’s his books. The infographics are the against by updating four of
vanguard are little known subject of an exhibition, W. E. B. Du the 1900 infographics with
despite their innovative use of Bois: Charting black lives, at 21st-century data.
communications technology, so London’s House of Illustration. Both the exhibition and Read
Du Bois’s use of infographics tends This displays, for the first time in McIlwain’s book are utterly How We Learn (Allen
to be omitted from accounts of his the UK, 63 infographics that Du compelling demonstrations of Lane) argues that the
work to end segregation. Bois presented at the 1900 Paris the contributions black people brain isn’t a computer,
As co-founder of the National Exposition, a world fair. have made, and struggle to make and is far more capable
Association for the Advancement Du Bois’s charts, graphs and still, to modern culture. of handling the world.
of Colored People (NAACP), Du maps, the result of collaboration The work Du Bois began in 1900 Neuroscientist Stanislas
Bois is celebrated for his profound with African American students with his data visualisations has Dehaene reveals the
essays and books, including the he taught at his sociology lab at lasted into the internet age, and brain’s strange secrets,
seminal The Souls of Black Folk, Atlanta University in Georgia, the web has become a key venue and how machines
and is considered one of the most are beautiful. Visually, they are for conversations about why black can copy them.
influential activists for racial certainly striking. And then there lives matter. ❚

25 January 2020| New Scientist | 31


Views Culture
The games column

An odyssey too far Games are great if you want to leapfrog a building, grow to a
giant size or outpace a bullet. But their superpowers evaporate when tackling the
epic story of evolution, finds Jacob Aron

Enjoy it while it lasts: the


primate protagonists of
Ancestors try not to die

and objects in an attempt to find


a use for them. Désilets says
they studied the latest science to
inform what went into the game.
My most satisfying experience
Jacob Aron is New Scientist’s while playing was when I realised I
deputy news editor. He has could take a stick, strip the leaves,
been playing video games then use it to poke a beehive and
for 25 years, but still isn’t retrieve honey. Then the bees
very good at them. Follow attacked and I nearly died again.
him on Twitter @jjaron The game progresses as you
PANACHE DIGITAL GAMES

complete new actions with a child


in tow, generating “neuronal
energy” that you can use to
evolve new skills. You can then
choose to advance a generation,
locking in some of those skills,
AN APE-LIKE creature examines her back, ambling through a and eventually evolve, passing
the skeleton of a warthog. As jungle in Africa, before being hundreds of thousands of years
Game horns swell and drums beat, the suddenly killed by a giant bird. You in the blink of an eye.
Ancestors: The animal picks up one of the bones take control of the child and find a It is an interesting view of
humankind odyssey and begins crashing it around. safe place to hide, and then the evolution, but rather Lamarckian:
Panache Digital Games Then it raises a fist to the sky and game shifts to put you in control the idea that animals can gain new
PC, PlayStation 4 slams the bone into the warthog’s of another ape, who must now traits during their lifetime that
and Xbox One skull, smashing it to pieces. attempt to find the lost infant. can be passed on biologically. This
This iconic and spine-tingling My odyssey didn’t start well. view has been widely discredited,
Jacob also scene from the film 2001: A Space Within a few minutes, my ape had as it goes against the accepted
recommends... Odyssey is an attempt by director been eaten by a crocodile, and I theory that what we pass on are
Stanley Kubrick to distil the flashed into the body of another the genes we are born with.
Book moment our distant ancestors The trouble is, the game is quite
Evolution took their first step to becoming “My most satisfying dull. After you evolve, you find
Stephen Baxter modern humans. The game yourself in the same jungle
experience was
Gollancz Ancestors: The humankind location – others, such as a
The best fictional treatment odyssey attempts to go one
learning how to savannah, are available, but I never
of evolution I’ve read, further and depict millions of retrieve honey. Then made it that far into the game. I
because it gets across the years of human evolutionary the bees attacked” just kept doing the same things,
absolute horror of what history – but it falls flat. hoping I wouldn’t randomly die.
millions of years of genetic You can’t fault lead designer creature from the tribe, only to be Other attempts to capture
mutations will do to our Patrice Désilets for his ambition. poisoned by a snake bite, attacked evolution in a game, such as the
species. Baxter’s elephant- He helped create Assassin’s Creed by a warthog and flee in fear. galaxy-spanning Spore or quirky
like post-humans roaming and its sequels, which put players The experience is baffling, by platformer E.V.O.: Search for Eden,
the ruins of modern in historical settings from ancient design, as the game explains very have also flopped. Maybe when it
civilisation haunt me still. Greece to Renaissance Italy. “I little. Just as our ancestors had comes to compressing millions of
went, let’s do the very beginnings to figure out everything for years into a single experience,
of it all, the beginning of the themselves, so do players of only Kubrick’s dramatic genius
odyssey. Not 10,000 BC, let’s go Ancestors. You can use the ape’s will do. Ancestors felt more like an
10 million years ago,” he says. senses of smell and hearing to infinite supply of monkey gamers
The game opens with an ape- search the environment, and hammering relentlessly at a
like creature carrying her child on interact with all manner of plants genetic keyboard. ❚

32 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Discovery
Tours

I C E L A ND

Land of fire and ice


Majestic landscapes, erupting geysers,
hot springs and bubbling mud
Departing:
31 October 2020, 7 November 2020
8 days for £2,249 (approx $2,855)
Iceland is one of the world’s most intriguing destinations for science enthusiasts.
Accompanied by leading academic volcanologist Tamsin Mather, you will go on an
eight-day volcanic and geological adventure around this fascinating island.

Unforgettable experiences on this tour include:


k A chance to see the aurora borealis k Superjeep safari tour of Hvolsvöllur.
during the evenings. k A walk on Europe’s biggest ice cap,
k Visit geological wonder Þingvellir Vatnajökull.
National Park. k Swim in the geothermal waters of the
k A trip to the elegant Seljalandsfoss Secret Lagoon.
waterfall where you can walk behind k Investigate Reykjanes Peninsula to see
the plummeting torrent. where two tectonic plates meet.

Due to high demand we have two departure dates on this tour with only
15 places available per tour. We expect places to be booked quickly, so get
in touch early to secure yours.
In partnership with Intrepid Travel

To book call +44 203 308 9917 (UK office: Mon-Sun 9am to 5.30pm GMT)
Or email groupsuk@intrepidtravel.com
ABTA No.Y0766

newscientist.com/tours
Features Cover story

Rethinking
mental health
Growing evidence that many mental health conditions
share an underlying cause could transform their
treatment, finds Dan Jones

L
IFE can be tough. All of us have It also explains puzzling patterns in the
experienced nagging worries, anxiety, occurrence of these conditions in individuals
sadness, low mood and paranoid and families. Rethinking mental health this way
thoughts. Most of the time this is short-lived. could be revolutionary: “I don’t think there are
But when it persists or worsens, our lives can such things as [discrete] mental disorders,”
quickly unravel. says behavioural geneticist Robert Plomin at
Mental health conditions, including King’s College London. “They’re just fictions
everything from depression and phobias to we create because of the medical model.”
anorexia and schizophrenia, are shockingly At first glance, the idea that different mental
common. In the UK, one in four people health conditions with distinct symptoms
experience them each year, so it is likely that share an underlying cause seems counter-
you, or someone you know, has sought help intuitive. The key to understanding it lies in its
from a professional. That process usually name. “P factor” has intentional parallels with
begins with a diagnosis – a mental health one of the most famous concepts in psychology.
professional evaluates your symptoms More than a century ago, British psychologist
and determines which of the hundreds of Charles Spearman noted that children’s
conditions listed in psychiatry’s classification performance on one kind of mental task,
bible, the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of say verbal fluency, was correlated with their
Mental Disorders, best fits. Then you start on a mental skill in other areas, like mathematical
treatment tailored to your condition. It seems reasoning, spatial manipulation and logic.
an obvious approach, but is it the right one? In other words, children who are good at one
“For millennia, we’ve put all these psychiatric thing tend to be good at another, while those
conditions in separate corners,” says who struggle in one area tend to struggle in
neuroscientist Anke Hammerschlag at Vrije others. Using a statistical tool called factor
University Amsterdam, the Netherlands. “But analysis, Spearman showed that this is because
maybe that’s not how it works biologically.” these different mental abilities are all linked
There is growing and compelling evidence to an overarching cognitive capacity, which he
that she is correct. Instead of being separate named general intelligence, or the g factor.
conditions, many mental health problems A century on, applying the same approach
appear to share an underlying cause, to mental health diagnoses provided the first
something researchers now call the “p factor”. hints that something similar might be going
This realisation could radically change how we on. There are a wide range of mental health
diagnose and treat mental health conditions, conditions that manifest with different
putting more focus on symptoms instead of behavioural and psychological symptoms.
JASU HU

labels and offering more general treatments. Like cognitive skills, they cluster together in

34 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Sign up for our new health newsletter!
All the essential wellbeing news you need delivered to your
inbox every week newscientist.com/sign-up/health

individuals, either at the same time or one


after another. In 2012, Benjamin Lahey at
the University of Chicago and his colleagues
analysed information on such diagnoses
among 30,000 people studied over three
years. Using factor analysis, they found that
the observed patterns of illness were best
explained by a general tendency towards
mental health conditions.
The following year, Avshalom Caspi and
Terrie Moffitt at King’s College London got
the same result. Their study used information
from 1000 people whose health had been
tracked for four decades since their birth in
the early 1970s. It was Moffitt and Caspi who
coined the term p factor to describe an
individual’s broad susceptibility to mental
health problems. “Once you have any given
mental disorder, it increases the likelihood
that you’ll have multiple other kinds of
disorders,” says Caspi.

Puzzling heritability
The p factor can also explain puzzling patterns
of mental health conditions within families.
It had long been known that these conditions
have a genetic basis, and are highly heritable.
Huge twin studies have estimated the
heritability of schizophrenia, for example,
at nearly 80 per cent, and major depression
at about 45 per cent. But having a parent or
sibling diagnosed with a given condition
doesn’t just increase the odds that you will
experience it. It also increases the likelihood
that you will be diagnosed with a different
condition. For instance, if a parent has
schizophrenia, your risk of developing
bipolar disorder doubles, and vice versa.
That makes sense if you inherit not just a
risk for one kind of condition, but a more
generalised risk: the p factor.
Indeed, the application of genetics to
psychiatry in the past decade has provided
key support for the existence of the p factor.
In the early days, psychiatric genetics mostly
entailed a hunt for individual genes conferring
significant risk for developing certain
conditions. But this so-called candidate gene
approach hit the skids. “It was really a dead
loss, but it was all we could do at the time,”
says Plomin. “Then SNP chips came along in
the mid-2000s and changed everything.”
SNP (pronounced “snip”) chips, which look
a bit like the memory card in a digital camera,
allow scientists to use a small DNA sample to
scan someone’s genome and discover which
genetic variants they carry. Everyone has
millions of single-letter differences in DNA’s >

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 35


four-letter code: where one person has a T, for How common are mental psychosocial risk factors as well,” he says.
example, another might have a G (and someone “Child abuse of any kind, for example, predicts
health conditions?
else could have A or C). More than 10 million of every condition under the sun.” The same is
these single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) Around a quarter of people in the UK experience true for drug and alcohol abuse, and traumatic
have been identified, and a single SNP chip can mental health problems each year, with anxiety and experiences during childhood such as being
detect a million or more of them in one go. depression being by far the most prevalent diagnoses displaced by warfare.
The breakthrough for the p factor idea came Plomin and his colleagues recently
a few years before Moffitt and Caspi coined the 30 attempted to quantify the genetic component
MDD = Major depressive disorder
term. In 2009, the International Schizophrenia PTSD = Post traumatic stress disorder of the p factor. Drawing on information from
Consortium used SNP chips to genetically OCD = Obsessive-compulsive disorder more than 7000 pairs of twins, they estimated
Lifetime incidence (per cent)
analyse more than 3000 people diagnosed its heritability at around 55 per cent. This
with the condition. Instead of pulling out one 20
means that genetic differences explain just
or a few genetic variants with big impacts on over half of the variation between people’s
schizophrenia susceptibility, the analysis general susceptibility to mental health
found the condition was linked to thousands problems, with the rest being driven by non-
of variants, each having a small effect. genetic factors. The study also showed that the
Intriguingly, these same variants also 10 p factor is stable across a person’s lifetime.
increased the risk of bipolar disorder. Despite these complications, there is
growing recognition that mental health
conditions have a shared genetic basis, and
Shared genes 0 the search is on to find out how this manifests
r

DD

SD

er

xia
Later, this kind of analysis was extended.

a
biologically. In 2018, Gandal and his colleague
e

ni
OC
rd

rd
PT
M

re

re
so

so

ph
In 2013, an international group called the Dan Geschwind led a team to do just that.
di

An
di

zo
ty

ar

hi
Psychiatric Genomics Consortium completed They analysed gene expression in the cerebral
ie

ol

Sc
x

p
An

Bi

a landmark study. Scientists analysed genomic SOURCES: CDC, HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL doi.org/gd4b88, doi.org/dzvqfw
cortex – the brain’s outer layer where higher
data from more than 30,000 people diagnosed cognition occurs – from 700 post-mortems
with conditions including bipolar disorder, of people diagnosed with mental health
major depression or schizophrenia. Again, symptom severity roughly tracking this curve. conditions. “We found that disorders that share
genetic risk variants cut across the traditional “There’s no break point at which the number the most genetic risk factors, like schizophrenia
diagnostic boundaries of psychiatry. “It’s the of variants suddenly leads to a diagnosable and bipolar disorder, look very similar in the
opposite of what was expected,” says Mike psychiatric disorder,” says Plomin. gene-expression patterns as well,” says Gandal.
Gandal at the University of California, Los It gets messier. Researchers are now Many of the genes involved controlled activity
Angeles. “Until recently, it was thought that discovering some SNPs associated with at synapses, the junctions between neurons.
genetic studies would reveal more biological individual conditions. “There’s this huge A recent study led by Hammerschlag backs
specificity for each disorder, but instead we’re genetic overlap between psychiatric disorders, this up. Her team investigated more than
seeing all this shared genetics.” but there are also some specific genetic factors 7000 sets of genes involved in a wide range of
Tellingly, the story is very different for that make people differ in their symptoms,” biological pathways, and then looked at which
neurological conditions, which affect the says Christel Middeldorp, who studies contained genes with variants linked to five
nervous system itself, such as Alzheimer’s, psychiatric genetics at the University of common mental health conditions. Only 14 fit
Parkinson’s, Huntington’s and multiple Queensland, Australia. “The p factor doesn’t the bill. “Almost all of these gene sets have a
sclerosis. A 2018 study from the Brainstorm explain everything.” function in neurons, and most play a role in
Consortium based at Harvard University In addition, as Caspi is quick to stress, there the synapse,” she says. In other words, the
examined genetic data from more than is more to the story than genes. “The genetic p factor seems to have something to do with
265,000 people with one of 25 psychiatric and work is exciting, but what’s really remarkable communication between brain cells.
neurological conditions. This revealed that about most psychiatric disorders is that they The latest research is even more enlightening.
neurological conditions have little or nothing share the same environmental and Maxime Taquet at the University of Oxford
genetically in common with each other or with and his colleagues believe they have identified
psychiatric conditions, making them a much a “vulnerability network” in the brains of
better fit for the classical medical model. children at high genetic risk of developing
For neurological conditions in which single “There’s a mental health conditions. Comparing their
genes play a big role, people can be divided into
two groups: those who carry the risk variant
huge genetic brain scans with those of children with a low
genetic susceptibility, the team found large
and those who don’t. The picture is much overlap between differences in three key areas: a structure
messier for mental health conditions. The called the default network that is active while
thousands of SNPs underlying them follow mental health the brain is at rest, a second structure involved
a bell-shaped distribution, meaning that a in planning and control, and the part of the
small percentage of people have very few risk conditions” brain that processes vision. In a similar study,
variants, a small percentage have a lot, and Caspi and Moffitt found that people with a
most people fall somewhere in between, with higher p factor have differences in a brain

36 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


circuit crucial for monitoring and processing Talk-based
information so it can be used in higher cortical therapies are
functions such as regulating emotions, used to treat a
thoughts and behaviours. variety of mental
It is still something of a mystery how having health conditions
a brain with these sorts of features might
influence an individual’s psychology. Caspi
and Moffitt think that a high p factor probably
manifests as a combination of disordered
thinking, difficulties regulating emotions
and a tendency towards negative feelings.
However, even if these links aren’t yet clear,
the p factor idea may be useful for diagnosing
and treating mental health conditions.

SOLSTOCK/GETTY IMAGES
Already, many drugs are known to be
beneficial in supposedly distinct diagnoses.
“In practice, we often use the same treatment
for different disorders,” says psychiatrist
Tova Fuller at the University of California, San
Francisco. “Antipsychotics, for example, are
useful not only in psychosis, but also in mania,
delirium, agitation and other conditions.” The transdiagnostic value. “There are always “It’s a front-line cognitive therapy that can be
p factor makes sense of these “transdiagnostic” lessons for the patient on how to reframe offered to everybody who has mental distress,”
therapies. Yet they weren’t developed with it in stressful experiences and look on the bright says Moffitt. “Then, after that, people could be
mind. “If we can figure out the biology of the side, how to identify triggers that set off their referred onwards to a specialist who treats, say,
p factor, then it might be possible to target the symptoms, and guidance on life skills,” says only schizophrenia or panic attacks, depending
mechanisms involved and develop therapies Moffitt. Currently, there are separate on the symptoms present.”
that work better across disorders,” says Gandal. therapeutic guidelines for specific conditions. Moffitt also believes that the existence of the
“These could be given to a large number of However, the p factor idea lends support to p factor should prompt a shift from treating
patients, rather than treating each person clinicians advocating a one-size-fits-all version conditions themselves to treating the often
based on their specific pattern of symptoms.” of CBT called the common elements treatment distressing symptoms people experience.
Talk-based treatments, such as cognitive approach in an attempt to ensure that more “We tend to think: ‘This person has depression
behavioural therapy (CBT), also have people globally get the treatment they need. today, so this is a person who is depressive
and we really need to focus on depression’,”
she says. “We obviously need to treat their
Mental health conditions are not so distinct depressive symptoms, but, knowing that this
Psychiatric conditions have many genes in common, supporting the idea that there patient will present with different symptoms
is an underling cause that makes individuals more or less susceptible to them in the future, we also need to provide them
with tools and skills to cope when they arise.”
Plomin goes even further. For him, the
Anxiety disorder

Bipolar disorder

Schizophrenia

blurred biological lines between mental health


conditions alongside the genetic continuity of
Anorexia

susceptibility across populations demolish the


PTSD
MDD

OCD

100 orthodox view of mental illness. “I think these


diagnostic classifications are mostly a myth,”
Anorexia
he says. That doesn’t mean people don’t
80 experience mental health problems that require
Anxiety disorder
Genetic correlation (per cent)

the help of a professional, but Plomin would be


Bipolar disorder
happy to see the current model of psychiatry
60 go the way of the dodo. “It’s caused a lot of
MDD harm because it implies there are mentally ill
people versus ‘normals’,” he says. “Really we’re
40 all somewhere along a continuum.” ❚
OCD

PTSD
20 Dan Jones is a freelance
MDD = Major depressive disorder
Schizophrenia OCD = Obsessive-compulsive disorder science journalist based
PTSD = Post traumatic stress disorder in Brighton, UK
0
SOURCE: doi.org/gdrmcg

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 37


Features

Finding
Sahul
How did Stone Age people reach the far-flung
continent that contained Australia? It was
no accident, discovers Graham Lawton

LYNN GAIL/GETTY IMAGES

F
OOTPRINTS in the sand marked the Until recently, scholars tended to think that as you can go before our ancestors stop being
beginning of the end of an epic journey. the crossing was accidental. But new evidence fully human. It is about the time they became
They were left fleetingly on a mangrove- suggests more strongly than ever that it was “behaviourally modern”, possessing language,
fringed beach in south-eastern Asia some planned, perhaps involving thousands of symbolic behaviour, abstract thinking and
65,000 years ago, when a group of humans people, many rafts and great seafaring skill. If creativity. But technologically and socially,
lashed together a bamboo raft in the hope we get a better idea of the likely route taken, it they were still firmly in the middle Stone Age:
that it would carry them over the horizon. will allow archaeologists to take their own leap nomadic hunter-gatherers with flint tools
They eventually washed up on the shores of of faith and seek fresh clues to find out how it but no pottery, metal, agriculture, axes,
Sahul, a lost continent made up of Australia, was done, perhaps solving one of the great wheels or domestic animals.
New Guinea, Tasmania and a lot of what is puzzles of the human conquest of the world. That goes a long way to explaining why, until
now seabed. This was the final destination of When Sahul was colonised, the geography recently, the prevailing view was that the sea
the out-of-Africa dispersal that had already of what is now South-East Asia and Australasia crossings between Asia and Sahul presented
peopled much of southern Eurasia. But it was quite different to how it is today. The world such an obstacle that deliberate migration was
wasn’t just another stepping stone. Sahul was was in the grip of an ice age with huge amounts unthinkable. People must have arrived on the
far offshore, requiring a voyage of many days of water locked away in ice caps and glaciers, currents after being washed into the sea by
across a chain of islands separated by deep, so the sea level was up to 85 metres lower. a tsunami or flood, perhaps clinging to a mat
open sea, sometimes with little sight of land. What is now the bottom of the Gulf of of floating vegetation or a raft of pumice.
Exactly how these ancient people did it Carpentaria off northern Australia was dry This so-called “sweepstake colonisation”
remains a mystery. The waters around the land; the submerged Sahul Banks in the Timor is often invoked to explain how terrestrial
island groups they would have navigated are Sea off Western Australia were coastline. reptiles and mammals make it onto distant
treacherous, and it has long been assumed Distances were different too. These days, tropical islands, and it could plausibly account
that early humans didn’t have the necessary the journey from the southernmost tip for the peopling of Sahul. Prevailing ocean
tools, mental or maritime. “It’s the equivalent of Asia to Australia is 463 kilometres. currents are favourable and any floating
of sending a spaceship to the moon,” says Back then it was just 90 kilometres. But castaways caught in them would have found
Michael Westaway at the University of even that is a long voyage, especially for the vast Sahul “hard to miss”, according to
Queensland in Australia. “There’s nothing people with only the most basic kit. archaeologist Jane Balme at the University
comparable in human evolution at that time.” Roughly 60,000 years is about as far back of Western Australia in Perth.

38 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Rocky Point in
Arnhem Land,
Australia, was part
of the interior
when the first
humans arrived

However, such scenarios are increasingly universally accepted. The oldest undisputed coastlines. But the Sahul coast would have
seen as unlikely – for two main reasons. date is 47,000 years ago. been significantly closer to the easternmost
Archaic humans, notably Homo erectus, were But the idea that humans could have been of the south-eastern Asian islands.
present in south-eastern Asia for the million in Sahul some 70,000 years ago is looking That doesn’t necessarily mean the journey
years before people turned up in Sahul, but increasingly plausible. A recently discovered was deliberate, but two fresh lines of evidence
there is no evidence of them ever reaching the settlement on the Indonesian island of seem to support the idea that it was.
continent during that time. The same goes for Sumatra – a possible staging post on the way The first concerns the route taken by the
the region’s other large-bodied mammals. The to Sahul – is roughly that old, and a 2016 colonists. Archaeologists have long recognised
other reason is demographic: even if people analysis of Australian Aboriginal DNA also that there were two plausible options (see map,
were accidentally swept alive to Sahul, they points in the same direction. page 40). The northern route begins on the
were vanishingly unlikely to have arrived in In which case, the journey looks slightly island of Sulawesi, hops across other islands
sufficient numbers to start a viable colony. less daunting. Sea level was 10 metres lower of Wallacea and makes landfall in Sahul on the
Admittedly, deliberate colonisation also 70,000 years ago than it was 50,000 years western tip of New Guinea. The southern route
seems implausible. “Nobody has put the ago, which would have further reduced the starts on the Indonesian island of Java, which
question to bed,” says Michael Bird at James distances involved. That isn’t a major factor in would have been part of the Asian mainland
Cook University in Cairns, Australia. Indonesia’s Wallacea islands, with their steep then, traverses the Lesser Sunda Islands to
One problem with working out how humans Timor, then either heads south to the coast
arrived in Sahul is that the timing is hazy. The of Sahul or continues east to the edge of
ancient archaeological record is sparse, says the – now submerged – Carpentarian Plain.
Bird, perhaps because colonists stuck to coastal “How did ancient Even at the lowest sea level, both routes
regions that are now under water. The oldest
known site is a rock shelter called Madjedbebe
people even know require at least one crossing approaching 100
kilometres and several of 20 to 30 kilometres,
in Australia’s Northern Territory. In the 1970s,
archaeologists dated it to around 50,000 years
Sahul was beyond says Bird. That puts the destination over the
horizon. With no knowledge of the curvature
ago. The most recent excavations have pushed the horizon?” of the planet, how did people know that Sahul
that back to 65,000 years, give or take five was even there? It is possible that they climbed
millennia, though these claims aren’t headlands or peaks to scan for distant land, >

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 39


Over the horizon Bird’s team used computer modelling to drop
Ancient humans could have reached the lost continent of Sahul from south-eastern Asia via several
virtual castaways at 17 possible crossings, then
possible routes, most of which require at least one sea crossing in which no land was visible at launch allow the currents and winds as they would
have been 65,000 years ago to do their stuff.
Present coastline This confirmed that the possibility of
Coastline 65,000 years ago randomly colonising Sahul is vanishingly
small, unless implausibly large numbers
of adults were being washed into the sea

ASIA
at unreasonably high frequencies. But it
also revealed that throwing in a bit of
planning – such as paddling a raft and setting
off during optimal weather and currents –
dramatically increases the chances of success.

Planned migration
Bird’s team also reanalysed visibility along the
FLORES two routes. Contrary to previous work, they
discovered a number of ways of navigating
from south-eastern Asia to Sahul without
ever losing sight of land. All of these are on a
TIMOR northern route, which affords uninterrupted
ROTI
SAHUL views of the high mountains of New Guinea;
for the southern route, all of the final crossings
would have had no sight of land. This doesn’t
rule out the southern route, says Bird,
especially when sea level was very low and
there were islands south of Timor. But it does
suggest that the assumption of a complete
leap into the unknown no longer holds water.
The other new line of evidence supporting
SOURCE: NATURE a planned migration comes from Corey
Bradshaw of Flinders University in Adelaide,
Australia, and his colleagues. They modelled
or inferred its existence from clouds, smoke, the demographics of colonisation, taking
migrating birds or the glow of bushfires. Even account of typical hunter-gatherer fertility
so, at some point, it appeared that they would rates and longevity and the ecological
have had to strike out into the unknown. conditions they would have encountered after
Both routes have their pros and cons. landing in Sahul. The calculations revealed that
The northern route has fewer crossings, the minimum founding population was 1300
a shorter overall distance and plenty of the people, perhaps all at once or in smaller groups
wide-stemmed bamboo that is considered over many years, which all but rules out
ideal for raft-building. But the islands would accidental colonisation.
“One way to find have been heavily forested, making it hard
to climb to vantage points, and prevailing
The peopling of Sahul was “probably
planned”, Bradshaw concludes. Bird agrees. “It
out if the journey north-south currents would have made it is not feasible that people randomly got there,”
tricky to maintain the correct heading. he says. “They had to think about it and they
was possible is The southern route, by and large, has shorter came in large numbers.” Why they came is a
to recreate it” crossings, although the final legs would have
been longer than any on the northern route.
different question. But the chances are they
were driven by dwindling resources, or simply
The vegetation was savannah, which is better the lure of the unknown, says Bird.
for reaching higher ground but worse for raft- And yet the mystery isn’t quite put to bed,
building material. On this route, the ancient says Westaway, because although the new
mariners would have to have used a material analyses are useful, only archaeology and
other than bamboo, or perhaps brought genetics can give us the full story. “What we are
stockpiles, both of which seem unlikely. missing is ancient genomes from Sahul,” he
Deciding which route was more likely says. These would tell us not only when people
depends on a detailed understanding of the arrived in Sahul with more certainty, but also
ancient ocean currents and climate. Last year, whether those people were related to the

40 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


people we know were present in The first mariners
south-eastern Asia around the same probably voyaged
time (see “Only humans?”, below). across the sea
The trouble is that the majority of Sahul, on bamboo rafts
now northern Australia, is desert. “Arid
conditions are not good for the preservation
of Pleistocene human DNA,” says Westway.
“If we’re going to find it, I think it will have
to come from the highlands of New Guinea,

RAY WISE/GETTY IMAGES


but that would require new excavations.”
As for the archaeology, Bird’s colleagues
are carrying out high-resolution surveys
of areas of Sahul that are now underwater,
looking for potential sites of early human
occupation. Again, though, that would
require new excavations, this time on the archaeology project called The First Mariners made from the bark of the sugar palm (Arenga
seabed. “Underwater archaeology gets very is designed to do. The researchers behind the pinnata). Basic steering will be provided by a
expensive,” says Bird. project are now on the southern tip of the rear oar, and the giant leaves of the lontar palm
For the time being, the prospects for Indonesian island of Rote, building a raft using (Borassus flabellifer) will form a rudimentary
new archaeological discoveries seem remote. stone tools and locally available materials, sail. “It’s our secret weapon,” says Hobman. “It’s
When it comes to understanding how such principally a giant bamboo known as betung really not a sail, but it gives wind assistance.
ancient humans were able to navigate to a which can reach 20 metres or more in height. It’s unsophisticated, but it will do the job.”
new continent, we are in the realms of “Almost nothing challenges bamboo for And that is essentially it. The plan is to set
speculation, says Westaway. weight, strength, durability, availability, off across the Timor Sea in early February
What we do know is that the minimum resistance to seawater and its extraordinary when the north-westerly monsoon wind will
requirement is a raft of some kind, probably flotation properties,” says project director and be “fizzing”, Hobman says. The journey will
made from bamboo lashed together with plant maritime historian Bob Hobman. take about 14 days, although they will cross
fibres. But could a fleet of such rudimentary About 250 stems will be lashed together to the drowned coastline of Sahul after about six.
vessels really carry hundreds of people safely create a platform 18 metres long and 4 metres The 10-strong crew will live mainly on fish
from Asia to Sahul? wide. The deck will be supported by cross and monsoon rain. A support vessel will
One way to find out is to recreate the timbers foraged from the forest and held follow in case they get into difficulty in the
journey, which is exactly what an experimental together with around 17,000 metres of rope shark-infested waters, but exactly what will
happen is in the lap of the gods. “It’s totally
experimental,” says Hobman. “And it will
be from the moment we leave, all the way
across the Timor Sea.” But Hobman says
Only humans? he is confident of success – because he has
almost done it before.
South-eastern Asia 60,000 interbreeding events between In 1998, he was part of a crew that sailed a
years ago was a melting pot of our ancestors and Denisovans bamboo raft called Nale Tasih 2 from Timor to
archaic humanity. As well as our in the south-eastern Asia/Sahul within spitting distance of Australia, before
own species, there were at least area. One can be pinpointed to they were forced to abandon ship in heavy
three other hominins in the area: somewhere between Sumatra seas. That voyage took 13 days, but used more
Homo floresiensis (nicknamed and Borneo, but the other is advanced technology than was available in the
the hobbit), the recently centred on New Guinea, which middle Stone Age, including modern tools to
discovered Homo luzonensis was part of Sahul. build the boat and a woven sail.
in the Philippines and the This second event would This time the ancient mariners are going
mysterious Denisovans. There is mean we have another mystery full Palaeolithic. If they make it, it won’t prove
no archaeological evidence that to solve: how and when did that Palaeolithic humans really did navigate to
any hominin other than our Denisovans get to New Guinea, Sahul; that we may never know. But it will mean
species made the challenging and does that indicate that they we can no longer say that it was “impossible”.
sea journey from south-eastern were capable of sea voyages? As soon as humans were fully human, we
Asia to the continent of Sahul “We know so little about them,” didn’t know the meaning of the word. ❚
(see main feature), but genetic says Michael Westaway at
evidence suggests it happened. the University of Queensland
From sequencing modern in Australia. “Denisovans Graham Lawton is a features
human DNA, we know that in New Guinea would be a writer at New Scientist
there were at least two game changer.”

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 41


Features

Asteroid
alert!
The threat of a major collision is real.
Leah Crane guides us through a
step-by-step simulation of how we
would save the planet
I
T IS just after midnight on 29 April 2027. At the other end of the spectrum, there are
The island of Manhattan in New York has asteroids such as the one that hit Chicxulub in
been entirely evacuated. The lights in Times what is now Mexico about 66 million years ago,
Square are off, the streets abandoned. An eerie wiping out the dinosaurs. That one measured
silence hangs over the empty neighbourhoods. somewhere between 10 and 81 kilometres
Overhead, a ball of rock the size of a large across. Thankfully, such monsters are both
building is speeding towards the ground incredibly rare and big enough to see coming
at 19 kilometres per second. In a little over (see “Crater creators”, page 45).
a minute, if the calculations are right, it “We’ve found the vast majority of the
will explode in the sky over Central Park. ‘dinosaur-killing’ class of object, which is
The city has had 60 days to prepare. great, but when it comes to objects just below
Museums have been emptied of exhibits, that size, there are a lot of them out there,” says
nearby nuclear power stations shut down and Amy Mainzer at the University of Arizona’s
fleets of buses requisitioned. Inhabitants of Lunar and Planetary Laboratory. We have only
America’s most populous urban area need to found about one-third of the objects we think
be rehoused. The matter-of-fact briefing notes are capable of flattening a small country,
for the evacuation state: “People will be leaving and less than half of the asteroids that could
permanently. There will be nothing remaining.” destroy a city. Objects of this size pose a real
At 00:01:38, the rock hits. A blast equivalent risk, being both large enough to cause serious
to 1000 Hiroshima atomic bombs turns much damage but small enough to avoid detection.
of New York to rubble. The economic and
financial damage is incalculable. Ten million
people have just lost their homes. When the sky falls in
In a meeting hall in Washington DC, there “An asteroid impact is one of the few
is excited chatter as Paul Chodas declares the natural disasters that we know how to
simulation over. His five-day exercise at the prevent if we detect it far enough ahead of
2019 Planetary Defense Conference has played time,” says Johnson. The majority of asteroid
through the impact of an imaginary asteroid surveys are funded by NASA. In 2005, it
called 2019 PDC from detection to collision set a goal to detect, track and characterise
(follow the progress in italics on the following 90 per cent of the near-Earth objects that are
pages), to try to determine what would happen 140 metres across or larger by the end of 2020.
if – or when – the real thing happens. One way to tell how we are doing is to count
“This is basically the worst-case scenario,” how often our observatories rediscover the
says Chodas. “It all makes for a good movie plot same objects. The fewer new objects we spot,
line, of course, but they are realistic factors.” the more confident we can be that we have
Yet as the room full of astronomers, engineers spotted most of the asteroids out there. So
and government decision-makers has just far, we have found less than half of those
found out, happy endings aren’t guaranteed. that astronomical estimates suggest there
The risk of an asteroid collision is the price should be. Even though none of the ones
we pay for living in our crowded bit of space. we have found has a significant chance of
The sun’s gravity attracts not only the moons hitting Earth in the next 100 years, those
and planets of our solar system, but also many are worrying statistics.
rocky or icy loners and vagabonds that jostle “With the telescope capabilities we have
for room. So far, astronomers have spotted now, not seeing an incoming asteroid in time
more than 21,000 asteroids with orbits that to prevent an impact is a distinct possibility,”
are set to bring them close to our world. says Johnson. Part of the problem is that
Every day, another one of these near-Earth ground-based telescopes need Goldilocks
objects is discovered. conditions in which to work. “They can only
For most of them, the chance of striking operate at night, in clear weather, when the
Earth is close to zero. As for the rest, the vast moon is not full so the sky isn’t too bright,” he
majority aren’t worth worrying about. Tens says. We have failed to observe large asteroids
of thousands of tonnes of material falls from making relatively close passes by Earth several
space every year, most of it in the form of times, including as recently as mid-2019,
inconsequential particles of dust. Even an he says. Luckily, none of those has been on
TOTTO RENNA

asteroid the size of a car would burn up in a collision course with us. That said, the
the atmosphere, putting on a light show but more pressing danger is still likely to be
not causing any destruction on the ground. from something we do see coming. >

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 43


that the global effort be more organised,
In Washington DC, Chodas begins to unveil so the International Asteroid Warning For attendees of the Planetary Defense
the details of his meticulously planned Network was formed with astronomers Conference, that time is now. The date is
exercise. It starts innocuously enough, and space agencies from Europe, Asia and 29 April 2019, and we know that 2019 PDC
with the observation of what appears to North and South America. Should they is likely to cross our planet’s orbit in
be a near-Earth object by the Pan-STARRS all agree that an impact really could be eight years’ time – around the end of
telescope project in Hawaii. The date within catastrophic, the network sends a message April 2027. The probability of a direct
this fictional scenario is 26 March 2019. As to the United Nations Office for Outer Space impact remains low, near 1 per cent.
per protocol, the observation is passed on to Affairs, which gathers member states together Given the asteroid has a diameter of
the Minor Planet Center (MPC), which is run to discuss what they should do about any roughly 200 metres and could cause
by the International Astronomical Union. impending threat. major damage, this is fortunate. On the
The MPC gives it the official designation Their plan will depend significantly on Torino scale used to rank such objects
2019 PDC, and starts collating observations what we know about the asteroid and where from 0 up to 10 – the most dangerous –
made by other astronomers. The Center it is going to hit. In the best-case scenario – it is classified as a 2, which means it
for Near Earth Object Studies at NASA’s if it is a small object likely to burn up in the “merits special attention”. As per UN
Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California is atmosphere or if it will only hit the middle General Assembly resolution 71/90, the
notified. The researchers there alert Lindley of an ocean – we might choose to do nothing, International Asteroid Warning Network
Johnson at NASA’s Planetary Defense or simply warn people in the affected area to begins coordinating preparations.
Coordination Office, who sends the necessary stay away from windows that may be shattered
details to NASA headquarters and the rest by an explosion in the atmosphere. In the “If there is a high probability of
of the US government. For the moment, worst-case scenario, we may not have time impact, and when I say high probability
sustained tracking is the main priority. for anything but evacuation, says Johnson. mean just about 10 per cent, we
There is no reason for immediate concern. Ideally, we would detect the asteroid should not wait to be developing a
decades, or at least years, before it is projected mitigation-capable mission,” says Johnson.
Asteroid watchers make all their data to hit Earth. At that point, we won’t know Because such a mission to intercept an
public, so whenever a potentially dangerous exactly where it is going to hit, but we will asteroid would take about three years,
object is spotted, astronomers in different be able to say with some certainty that it is he adds, “if you wait until you know
countries simultaneously evaluate the risk. headed towards us. The moment we know for sure where it’s going to hit, it’s going 
In 2013, the United Nations recommended that, it is time to start planning. to be too late”.

Australia’s
Wolfe Creek
crater was formed
by an impactor
15 metres across
RANDY OLSON/NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC

44 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Crater creators
Back in Chodas’s simulation, it is 29 July Our patch of the solar system is full of space rocks, many
2019, and the chances of 2019 PDC colliding on a collision course with Earth. Most are too small to cause Diameter
with Earth have just reached 10 per cent. damage and those big enough to wipe us out are easy to ~10 kilometres
Calculations indicate that the most likely see coming. Those in the middle, big enough to destroy Damage
points of impact are in two belts: one a city, are the ones we need to watch out for Global
running from San Francisco to New York Collision frequency
One per 60 million years
in the US, and the other across Africa from Diameter
<1 metre Most recent
Nouakchott in Mauritania to Lilongwe 66 million years ago,
in Malawi. At its newly calculated size of Damage
Chicxulub crater in Mexico.
None
185 metres, it has the potential to render We have detected all the
Collision frequency
entire cities uninhabitable. The advice to estimated objects
Thousands per year.
of this size
space agencies is to begin mitigation work Too many to track
immediately. The first priority: launch a
reconnaissance mission to the asteroid. Diameter
We have less than two years to do so. ~1 metre Diameter
Damage ~1 kilometre
None Damage
Once we know an asteroid is on a collision
Collision frequency Could affect an entire continent
course with Earth, there are two main options: 30 per year. Too Collision frequency

SOURCE: NASA
blow it up or change its trajectory. Shattering many to track One per million years
it with a nuclear bomb, the course favoured in Most recent
disaster movies such as Armageddon and Deep About 900,000 years ago, Zhamanshin crater
Diameter in Kazakhstan. We know of about 80 per cent
Impact, tends to be a non-starter for political ~100 metres
of the estimated number of objects this size
reasons. “There is a problem with international Damage
treaties: you cannot really launch nuclear Could destroy a city
weapons into space,” says Peter Vereš, an Collision frequency
astronomer at the Minor Planet Center. One per 2000 years
Most recent: NOT TO SCALE
It is also an issue of practicality: when Tunguska event in Russia, 1908. We know
you blow up an asteroid, the shrapnel doesn’t of less than half of the objects this size that
just disappear. They are probably still headed astronomers suspect are out there
towards Earth, and they might not all be small
enough to disintegrate in the atmosphere. missile to deflect the asteroid is deemed too reflective asteroids to have lower densities
“You’re not going to eliminate it, so you’re controversial, and so all efforts are devoted because they are a porous mixture of rock and
going to have, instead of a single object to kinetic impactors. To give the asteroid the ice, whereas brighter asteroids are likely to be
coming at you, essentially buckshot,” says shove it needs, six rockets must be launched more solid. Radar data could also let us define
Johnson. “That could spread the devastation at the end of May 2023, scheduled to collide the orbit more precisely and look for any big
over a broader area of Earth.” It also makes in August 2024. This will require the boulders or moons that might be orbiting the
the danger less predictable. collaboration of multiple space agencies, asteroid and making it even more dangerous.
So we are left with one good way of getting each sending the heaviest rockets at their There is a limit to how much we can find
rid of an incoming asteroid: we will have to disposal on a one-way mission. The launch out about asteroids from the ground, though.
push it off course. For a long time, the most times of these rockets are all precisely fixed: That is why NASA’s OSIRIS-REx and Japanese
popular proposal was a gravity tractor, a large the orbital dynamics gives us just one shot space agency JAXA’s Hayabusa 2 missions to
spacecraft that would fly close to an asteroid, at getting this right. bring back samples from potentially hazardous
slowly changing its trajectory via the craft’s asteroids are so important. “Studying
own gravitational attraction without ever Before we can do anything like that, meteorites is great, but with these missions,
actually touching it. This method would we have to learn more about asteroids. “It’s we can see what they look like without getting
be slow, though, so most of the work in much easier to protect ourselves if we know fried by flying through Earth’s atmosphere
recent years has shifted to the use of kinetic our enemy,” says Vereš. We already know that at 20,000 miles per hour,” says Mainzer.
impactors: spacecraft that simply slam into some asteroids are porous bundles of rock So far, both of the asteroids being visited
the approaching rock to change its course. called rubble piles, whereas others are solid by NASA and JAXA – Bennu and Ryugu – are
iron. There is probably a spectrum of different more porous than we expected, with Bennu
The Planetary Defense Conference is now compositions in between. Knowing their being 40 per cent pores and caves, and Ryugu
in its third day. Within the world of the composition matters, says Mainzer. “The as much as 50 per cent empty on the inside.
simulation, that is 30 December 2021, and physics of pushing something out of the That could present a problem for a potential
Recon 1, a spacecraft sent to observe 2019 way is dependent on its nature.” kinetic impactor mission. “If an asteroid is a
PDC, has vital new information. We now So, immediately after detecting a dangerous rubble pile, it has lots of holes inside, so if you
know, with near 100 per cent certainty, asteroid, the race to characterise it will begin. punch it, it might change shape but not change
that the asteroid is on course to impact Earth-based telescopes will tell us its size and its orbit,” says Vereš. “It’s like hitting a sponge
near Denver, Colorado. Deploying a nuclear shape, as well as its reflectivity. We expect less- with a baseball bat.” If these rubble-pile >

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 45


THEY JUST
MIGHT WORK With the right
Two methods are considered the most preparation,
credible ways of helping us divert apocalypse
asteroids on a collision course with Earth can be averted
(see main story), but other, wackier,
ideas are also being taken seriously.
The simplest would be to paint one side
of an asteroid white or silver. The painted
part would then reflect more sunlight
and the energy imparted by the extra
light bouncing off that surface could
change the asteroid’s trajectory.
Alternatively, we could attach
engines to an asteroid and turn it into
a spacecraft, or use high-powered
lasers that could vaporise rock. While
demolishing an entire asteroid with a
laser is unlikely to be  possible, the puff of
dust jetting off the surface could act like a

ALAN POWDRILL/GETTY IMAGES


thruster, allowing us to push it off course.
Such ideas could work, but are untested
and would probably take decades or
require technology we don’t yet have,
so they aren’t part of any official plan.

asteroids are common, which seems likely, Earth rises. But given the asteroid’s small Management Agency] would address after
we need to study and test the effects of a size, any disruption is likely to break it apart, the fact, like they do for other disasters.”
kinetic impactor more carefully. causing a repeat of today’s scenario. A radical But thanks to planetary defence research,
NASA is on the job with the Double Asteroid proposal is raised for a deliberately robust the chances of such a clean-up ever being
Redirect Test (DART) probe. DART is due to collision, shattering the rock into such small necessary are pretty slim. “If we try hard
launch next year to the asteroid Didymos, pieces that no damage to Earth’s surface enough,” says Mainzer, “it’s something
where it will deliberately crash into the will result. That means a nuclear device is that we can cross off our list of worries.”
asteroid’s 150-metre moonlet, nicknamed needed. The legality of such a launch sparks An asteroid probably won’t kill us all.
Didymoon. That is expected to change heated debates. Meanwhile, time ticks on. But it would be good to know for sure.
Didymoon’s orbit enough for the effects
to be visible from Earth. Once we know how Ultimately, a disastrous asteroid strike of A last-ditch nuclear strike on the asteroid
crashing into an asteroid (or, in this case, an this sort remains very unlikely. But we should remnant has been cancelled for lack of
asteroid moon) affects its motion, we will still be prepared. That means working on more time. The collision has been inevitable for
be much better equipped to build a kinetic mission concepts (see “They just might work”, weeks. Last night, the Arecibo Observatory
impactor – and guarantee it works. above), building more telescopes to look for in Puerto Rico confirmed the space rock
asteroids and maybe moving them into orbit would explode above Central Park, New
Chodas has good news and bad news. so that they can operate 24/7. For Chodas, that York, in 10 days’ time, after approaching
The good news is that the kinetic impactor also means running more “what if” scenarios, Manhattan at an angle of 29 degrees south
missions have hit 2019 PDC, and the bulk testing the limits of our contingency planning. of due east. By a quirk of fate, that matches
of the asteroid is no longer on course to hit “In each one of these exercises, we go a little the orientation of many of the island’s
Earth. The bad news is that a fragment about deeper into interesting details and we are streets, giving any life forms in the city an
60 metres across remains on its original forced to think about issues that we haven’t uninterrupted view of the incoming fireball.
trajectory. That isn’t all: contact has been thought about before,” he says. The 9/11 attacks damaged an area of
lost with the Recon 1 spacecraft, probably This most recent scenario, for instance, around 16 acres; 2019 PDC is expected
owing to collision with debris. The resulting brought home to him the scale of the to render 20,480 acres uninhabitable.
lack of information is compounded by the disaster response required. “Evacuating a The evacuations begin immediately. ❚
asteroid now being behind the sun, making large metropolitan area, of course, would be a
it impossible to observe from Earth. Our daunting task,” he says. “What was eye-opening
options are limited. It is now 3 September for me was how long that would take.” As for Leah Crane is a reporter
2024, and as the collision time approaches, how life resumes on the day after the sky falls for New Scientist based
the momentum needed to disrupt the in, that is beyond his remit. “That’s something in Chicago. She tweets
fragment’s trajectory sufficiently to avoid that FEMA [the US Federal Emergency @downhereonearth

46 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


Recruitment Intelligence Community Postdoctoral
Research Program Fellowship Program
The Intelligence Community (IC) Postdoctoral Research Fellowship
Program offers scientists and engineers from a wide variety of
disciplines unique opportunities to conduct research in a wide range of
topics relevant to the Intelligence Community. The research is conducted
by the Postdocs, while working in partnership with a Research Advisor
and collaborating with an advisor from the Intelligence Community.

newscientistjobs.com In partnership with the Research Advisor, the Postdoc composes and
submits a technical proposal that responds to a research opportunity
Recruitment advertising identified at:
https://orise.orau.gov/icpostdoc/current-opportunities.html
Tel +1 617-283-3213
Email nssales@newscientist.com Award Details:
• Annual stipends range from $75,000 to
$79,000, depending on research location
• Annual travel budget of up to $6,000
• Appointments for 2 years, and option
to extend for a third year
• Host institutions receive an annual
laboratory budget of up to $5,000
• Research Advisors receive a $10,000 stipend
and an annual travel budget of up to $2,000

Postdoc Eligibility:
U. S. citizenship required
Ph.D. received within 5 years of the application deadline
To learn more and to apply, please visit
https://orise.orau.gov/icpostdoc/
Applications Accepted January 6 - February 28, 2020

Bring your
career to life
Sign up, create your own job alerts
and discover the latest opportunities
in life sciences at
newscientistjobs.com

Administered by

@science_jobs #sciencejobs Apply at npp.usra.edu

newscientistjobs.com 25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 47


0HGLFDO'LUHFWRU
RI&OLQLFDO5HVHDUFK
Postdoctoral Fellows – Translational
Cancer Research The Clinical Research Medical Director will be responsible
Postdoctoral positions are available immediately to for leading and expanding the Clinical Research Institute
investigate mechanisms of target organ metastatic at St. Elizabeth Healthcare.
VSHFL¿FLW\QRWDEO\WREUDLQ6SHFL¿FDOO\XQLTXHVFLHQWL¿F
Requirements:
RSSRUWXQLWLHV DUH SUHVHQWHG IRU GHFLSKHULQJ WKH ELRORJ\
DQG WKHUDSHXWLF XWLOLWLHV RI &LUFXODWLQJ 7XPRU &HOOV • MD/DO, PharmD, or PhD
&7&V  GLUHFWO\ LVRODWHG DQG FKDUDFWHUL]HG IURP FDQFHU • Minimum of 7 to 10 years of research experience
SDWLHQWV³VHHGV´RIIDWDOPHWDVWDWLFGLVHDVH3RVLWLRQV 3UHIHUUHG4XDOL¿FDWLRQV
relate to highly relevant and innovative programs of
WUDQVODWLRQDOFDQFHUELRORJ\XVLQJFXWWLQJHGJHFRQFHSWV • MPH Experience
DQGWHFKQRORJLHV • Experience authoring research papers for peer
review journals
Postdoctoral Fellows will be responsible implementing • Public speaking experience at conferences /
SURJUDPVLQWKHFHOOPROHFXODUDQGWUDQVODWLRQDOELRORJ\ symposia
RI&7&PHWDVWDWLFVSHFL¿FLW\LQWHUSOD\LQJZLWKGRUPDQF\ • Experience with specialty medications or devices
DQG TXLHVFHQFH LQYROYLQJ WKH XVH RI KXPDQ &7&V
FHOOOLQHVSUHFOLQLFDO&';PRGHOVDQGFOLQLFDOVDPSOHV 5HVSRQVLELOLWLHVLQFOXGH
UHÀHFWLYHRIGLVHDVHVWDWXV3K'LVUHTXLUHG([WHQVLYH • Implement program vision and strategy
VWDWHRIWKHDUW &7& SODWIRUPV WHFKQRORJLHV DQG NQRZ • Establish short and long-range goals for growth
KRZDUHDYDLODEOHLQDZHOOIXQGHGDQGZHOOUXQODERUDWRU\ • Lead intra/inter-departmental teams
Candidates must possess: • Driving physician activation / participation
• Educating physicians on the impact / value of clinical
‡,QWHOOHFWXDOFXULRVLW\LQDKLJKO\IRFXVHGVFLHQWL¿F
research
HQYLURQPHQWDQGDSURIRXQGPRWLYDWLRQWRVXFFHHGDV
• Mentor and coach primary investigators to address
DVFLHQWLVWLQDKLJKO\IRFXVHGVFLHQWL¿FHQYLURQPHQW
VSHFL¿FFOLQLFDOQHHGVDQGLPSOHPHQWEHVWSUDFWLFHV
‡$VWURQJODERUDWRU\H[SHULHQFHZLWKSHQHWUDWLQJ
to conduct clinical research
NQRZOHGJHRIFHOOPROHFXODUELRORJ\WHFKQLTXHV
• Chair the Clinical Research Institute Governance
SUR¿FLHQF\ZLWKDQLPDOH[SHULPHQWDWLRQELRLPDJLQJ
Board
DQGVWURQJDELOLWLHVWRZRUNLQGHSHQGHQWO\ZLWKVHOI
• Ensure compliance / alignment with protocols,
LQLWLDWLYHSURDFWLYHWKLQNLQJDQGDFWLRQ
guidelines, applicable regulations, and standard
‡+LJKHVWZRUNHWKLFDQGVFLHQWL¿FLQWHJULW\
operating procedures
6DODU\DQGEHQH¿WVDUHFRPSHWLWLYHDQGFRPPHQVXUDWH • Monitors designated operating and capital budgets
ZLWKUHVHDUFKH[SHULHQFHDQGEDFNJURXQGWKH\DUHEDVHG • Participate in development opportunities to increase
XSRQ WKH 1,+ 5XWK .LUVFKHQVWHLQ 3RVWGRFWRUDO )HOORZ the visibility of the Clinical Research Institute and
6FDOH  3OHDVH VHQG LQTXLULHV LQFOXGLQJ D &XUULFXOXP generate funding support
9LWDH DQG DUUDQJH IRU WKUHH OHWWHUV RI 5HIHUHQFHV
$ERXW6W(OL]DEHWK+HDOWKFDUH
HPDLOVDUH2. WREHVHQWWR
We are a four-hospital, 1,000 bed community health
Dario Marchetti, PhD
system in a market of 400,000 people. St. Elizabeth is
Professor, Division of Molecular Medicine
home to a Family Medicine Residency Program and, in
Department of Internal Medicine
partnership with the University of Kentucky and Northern
UNM Comprehensive Cancer Center
Kentucky University, a medical school. Through our
Phone: (505) 272-7937
DI¿OLDWLRQV ZLWK WKH 0D\R &OLQLF &DUH 1HWZRUN DQG
E-mail: dmarchetti@salud.unm.edu
the University of Kentucky Markey Cancer Center,
7KH 8QLYHUVLW\ RI 1HZ 0H[LFR &RPSUHKHQVLYH &DQFHU collaboration with both organizations exists for clinical,
&HQWHULVWKH2I¿FLDO&DQFHU&HQWHURI1HZ0H[LFRDQG educational and research purposes.
WKH RQO\ 1DWLRQDO &DQFHU ,QVWLWXWHGHVLJQDWHG &DQFHU
&HQWHULQDPLOHUDGLXV2QHRIWKHSUHPLHUFDQFHU Please contact Michele Kenner at 0LFKHOH.HQQHU#
FHQWHUV QDWLRQZLGH WKH 810 &&& KDV PRUH WKDQ  VWHOL]DEHWKFRP to learn more about this opportunity to
ERDUGFHUWL¿HG RQFRORJ\ SK\VLFLDQV IRUPLQJ 1HZ direct an emerging world class clinical research program
0H[LFR¶VODUJHVWFDQFHUFDUHWHDP in the Greater Cincinnati area.

48 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020 newscientistjobs.com


10th Anniversary

Great minds come together at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany


What’s in it for me? How it works:
If you are a post graduate student with an interest in During a one-week Summer Camp, 50 selected
the pharmaceutical and chemical industry, the students will attend in-depth presentations about
Innovation Cup is your chance to gain in-depth the pharmaceutical and chemical industry given by
knowledge about research and development, to net- researchers and managers at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt,
work with top students from around the world and Germany. The participants will be divided into teams,
-
to build a business case together with experienced work together to develop a business plan and present
professionals. it to a grand jury, who will award the Innovation Cup
for the best plan along with a cash prize of EUR 20,000
Who can apply: plus EUR 5,000 for the runner-up.
Advanced students and post docs in the fields of life
science, material science, data science and business A conference with alumni of previous Innovation Cup
administration from all over the world can apply: editions will be held on the first day of the Summer
• Sciences: Post graduate students on their way Camp.
towards a PhD in biology, medicine, biotech,
bioinformatics, data sciences, biochemistry, Further information about the program and how to
chemistry, pharmacy, physics or engineering. apply online from November 1, 2019, until January
• Business: Advanced MBA students and re- 31, 2020:
cent MBA graduates with an interest in the http://innovationcup.emdgroup.com
pharmaceutical and chemical business and a
science background. Location:
The Innovation Cup will comprise the following team Near Frankfurt, Germany, June 20–26, 2020.
topics: oncology, immuno-oncology, autoimmunity, Travel, accommodation and food expenses will be
drug discovery technologies, digitalization, paid by Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany.
electroceuticals, lithography.

Merck KGaA
Darmstadt, Germany
SOUVENIR ISSUE
MOON LANDING
5OTH ANNIVERSARY
1969-2O19

THE
QUEST
FOR
SPACE
Don’t miss a special souvenir issue from
New Scientist celebrating the 50th anniversary
of the moon landings. Explore the past, present
and future of space exploration with over 100
pages of in-depth articles on the wonders of the
solar system, plus 20 pages of newly resurfaced
historical content from New Scientist’s archive
detailing the original space race as it happened

Available from all good


magazine retailers, digitally in the
New Scientist app or direct from
newscientist.com/thecollection
The back pages
Puzzles Feedback Twisteddoodles Almost the last word The Q&A
A black hole cryptic Spoon-bending and for New Scientist Red sky at night and Brendan Walker
crossword and a military dolphins: A cartoonist’s take shampoo vs shower on designing thrilling
land problem p52 the week in weird p53 on the world p53 gel: readers reply p54 experiences p56

Science of cooking Week 4

A celebration of flavour
For Chinese New Year, why not make tofu and turn it into
a multisensory experience, says Sam Wong

THE Chinese New Year begins on


25 January, and to mark it – and
Veganuary – I am going to make
tofu. Because the subtle charms of
tofu can struggle to win affection,
I am including a tofu-based recipe
that is not only packed with
flavour, but also provides
multisensory stimulation.
Sam Wong is social media One way to do this is with chilli
editor at New Scientist. peppers, which contain a chemical
Follow him @samwong1 called capsaicin. This activates
TRPV1 receptors in your mouth,
which are sensitive to heat.
What you need

JAMES WINSPEAR
Stimulating them sends signals to
Soya beans the brain that we perceive as heat.
Cheesecloth (muslin) Some people find these sensations
Nigari (magnesium chloride) pleasurable, perhaps because they
Container with holes for may stimulate the body to release
drainage hormones called endorphins, Science of cooking online
although this is speculative, All projects are posted at
For next week In Sichuan province, China, newscientist.com/cooking Email: cooking@newscientist.com
Salmon chillies are eaten in prodigious
Salt quantities, often alongside
Sugar another ingredient with strange and blend them with 2 litres of Transfer these to a muslin-lined
Dill properties. Sichuan peppercorns water. Heat the resultant milk container. This needs to allow
come from a tree in the citrus until it begins to boil, then strain liquid to drain out: a plastic
family. Their effect is quite it through muslin and squeeze container with holes in the base
unique: they create a numb, out as much liquid as possible. is fine. Fold the muslin over the
tingling sensation in the mouth Curdle the soya milk by adding curds and put something weighty
similar to pins and needles. nigari, which you can find online. on top to press the liquid out.
The molecule responsible is It is a salt produced from seawater, Keep it there for 20 minutes, or
Next in the series called sanshool. A 2013 study and mostly contains magnesium longer for firmer tofu. Cold water
1 Caramelising onions found that it generated sensations chloride. It acts as a coagulant will help firm it up more.
2 Making cheese that we perceive as a 50-hertz because the positively charged My favourite way to eat tofu,
3 Science of crispiness vibration, a frequency that magnesium ions link up the milk’s from Lizzie Mabbott’s book
4 Tofu and Sichuan pepper activates our Meissner receptors, negatively charged proteins. Chinatown Kitchen, is to dust cubes
5 Gravlax and curing which are responsible for For this, mix 15 grams of nigari of it in cornflour and deep-fry
The science behind an detecting light touch. with 100 millilitres of water. Bring them. Grind and toast a teaspoon
age-old technique Making tofu is a lot like making the milk to a boil again, then of Sichuan peppercorns, then stir-
6 Tempering chocolate cheese, and the first step is to remove from the heat and stir fry for 3 minutes with chopped
7 Umami and flavour create soya milk. Avoid off-the- in half the nigari solution. After chillies. Add chopped garlic, spring
8 Perfect pancakes shelf soya milk because it doesn’t 2 minutes, sprinkle the rest on onion and the tofu cubes, then fry
9 Kimchi and fermentation coagulate well. Soak 250 grams of the milk and stir gently. After 10 for a few minutes more. Serve with
10 Sourdough bread soya beans overnight, then drain minutes, you will have solid curds. rice or noodles. Happy New Year!  ❚

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 51


The back pages Puzzles

Cryptic crossword #23 – The Black Hole set by Sparticle Puzzle set by Rob Eastaway

Editor’s note: Hidden in        #43 Dividing


some of the dark squares Grandma’s field
are supermassive black
holes. These exert an   Two brothers have inherited a plot of land
enormous gravitational from their grandmother. The map below
pull on all white squares shows that the land is made up of five
they share a side with,  
identical squares, and the green dots
filling them with identical indicate the location of four old oak trees.
letters. The resulting 
clusters, read across
  
the grid, spell out
a secret phrase. 

   



 

There are two stipulations in Grandma’s


  will: First, the land must be divided so
that the brothers get exactly half of the
area each, and, second, each brother
ACROSS should have two of the trees on their land.
1 Ellie sounds drunk, 10 Make noise to keep 22 Most efficient vehicle: an The brothers would love to divide the
held upside down like quiet – like this? (8) estate? Only partly (7) land with a single straight fence from
the butt of a pistol (7) 11 Predator hiding out 23 Three French one edge to another. Can you find a
5 Returned “Exclamations in Mallorca (4) swimming trunks (5) line for the fence that fulfils everyone’s
of Pain” poster possibly 13 R. L. Stine’s lost novel about 24 See some average wishes – and without you needing to
fell on its own? (5) people who fix roofs (6) Titians (3,2) do any measurement?
8 Dreadful nuisance kicks 14 Quick! Six is five plus one (6) 25 Least significant entities
the can, being fruitfully 17 Appearance? Call it lose the first tussle (7) Answer next week
employed (2,3) average (4)
9 Cake batter now covered 19 Ice lolly melts with force for
in cheese (7) young hair-grower (8)
#42 Card conundrum
DOWN Solution
1 Stink raised making argyle 6 Possessor of endless disrupts cures (7)
sweaters, say (5) renown is troubled (5) 16 Warbler to mount a X (1—X)
= 1 —
2 Strange sort of luaus the 7 Introduce umpire tremendous opening (6) 6 8
United Nations leads (7) to line patrol (7) 18 Order an English court to
3 Windswept coastline the 12 Secret language pass a bill into law (5) Bob’s solution to this equation was X = 21.
French heroes settled (3,5) where wonder is 20 No extreme misogynists
4 Rebut conspiracy theories under way (3,5) survive… (5) The formula was written on a card and when
from within homemade 13 Convict supports 21 … even in bed with Amy picked up the card she must have
bunker (6) publication delay (4,3) a salamander (4) looked at it upside down (see below).
5 Intensive studier heard to 15 Damn the old-fashioned The upside-down equation has two
deal with mosquito (4) way air conditioning solutions: X = 3 and X = -3.
6
The quiz will be back next week, as well as the next quick 8 = 1 —
crossword and the solution to this crossword.
(X—1) X

Quick Crossword #49 Answers


ACROSS 9 Electrophoresis, 10 Pulsars, 12 MOT test, 13 Scoliosis, 14 Nitro, 15 Arc Weld, 18 Spassky, 21 Ernst,
23 Set theory, 25 Aconite, 26 Felsite, 29 Endocrinologist
Our crosswords are
DOWN 1 Beep, 2 Seal, 3 Steatite, 4 Noesis, 5 Chemists, 6 Proton, 7 Asbestos, 8 Isotropy, 11 Ulcer, 15 Averages, now solvable online
16 Concorde, 17 Dyslexia, 19 Aphelion, 20 Karst, 22 Twitch, 24 Teflon, 27 Iris, 28 Ecto Available at
newscientist.com/crosswords

52 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


The back pages Feedback

Reverend spooner to tell us what it was. Well, maybe


that’s too harsh. We could, at a
Twisteddoodles for New Scientist
Just as the bowl of a telepathically pinch, concede that the number
bent spoon arcs back ceaselessly of unexpected political results has
towards its own handle, Feedback taught us a valuable lesson about
finds itself magnetically drawn to the unpredictability of elections,
international man of cutlery Uri and that a much-ridiculed political
Geller. He has graced our pages on candidate with a habit for odd
numerous occasions since he first tweets can still, somehow, be
rose to prominence, most recently elected president.
(20 April 2019) when he claimed It is with an abundance of relief,
to be able to influence the UK’s therefore, that Feedback notes
Brexit negotiations conducted that spiritual adviser Marianne
by Theresa May’s government. Williamson has abandoned the
Those particular interventions race for the US Democratic Party’s
proved about as useful as a gelatin 2020 presidential nomination.
spork, but that hasn’t stopped him Williamson, we should remind our
seeking out the limelight once less ardently political readers, was
again. After Downing Street adviser the candidate so widely disparaged
Dominic Cummings posted a job in the mainstream press as – in her
advert looking for “assorted words – a “crystal woo-woo lady”
weirdos” earlier this year, Geller that she felt obliged to state:
has put himself forward as the “I’ve never had a crystal, I’ve never
ideal candidate. In an interview written about crystals. I’ve never
with Reuters, he said that he is talked about crystals. I’ve never
probably the only prospective had a crystal on stage with me.”
applicant with genuine telekinetic This may well be true. But she
powers. Good guess, Uri – but your is also the candidate who tweeted:
numbers are off by one. “Let’s see angels surrounding the
nuclear reactors, pouring cold water coming into work every day for Twittersphere wasn’t entirely
Seacret agents over them, keeping radiation from decades, and the only planet we surprised to find that the Trump
escaping into the atmosphere” of have successfully identified is the administration had tweeted a
Iran’s alleged move towards the Fukushima nuclear disaster, and one we are sitting on. photo celebrating the “first snow
nuclear weapon capabilities is that “A new moon eclipse in Pisces Our inner cynic eagerly sniffs of the year!” on a day when highs
much debated. But amid the tonight means huge cosmic forces out conspiracy. Perhaps the in Washington DC exceeded 20°C.
geopolitical brinkmanship of the make enlightened dreams come engineers at NASA deliberately What was going on? Elaborate
past few weeks, Feedback is grateful true. Just saying’:)”. avoid some low-hanging photoshopping in the service
to Military.com for identifying the Let’s just say that if she did planetary fruit in order to reward of climate change denial? An
country’s real super-weapon. have a crystal on stage with her, their interns, just as truffle unexplained microclimate
Per the publication, at around we would have happily voted for farmers supposedly seed their surrounding 1600 Pennsylvania
the turn of the millennium, Iran it over her. Just saying’:) fields to keep the pigs hungry. Avenue? Or yet another attempt
acquired a number of military Alternatively, of course, NASA to troll the liberal snowflakes who
dolphins from Russia, some of could just be particularly good at supposedly populate the internet?
which – assuming low attrition Some watcher of the skies identifying the best and brightest A detailed examination by
rates for flipper-to-flipper They say that social media can young minds in the solar system. Newsweek revealed that the
combat – could still be alive. affect a person’s self-esteem, Feedback, on the other hand, is White House had simply used
Menacing though the fleet of presenting them with a highlight still wondering where that is. a photo taken a week earlier on
“communist killer dolphins” reel of everybody else’s life while 7 January, the actual date of the
envisaged in the article may be, skating over the difficulties. That’s first snowfall of 2020.
there is no doubt they represent a gross overgeneralisation: regular Twitter snowstorm An easy enough mistake
a cuddlier alternative to a third media can do that, too. Take the In these deeply polarised times, to make, though perhaps the
world war. The most sickening story covered in The Times last it can sometimes feel as though administration should consider
aspect of war, it is often said, is week of 17-year-old Wolf Cukier. certain politicians are living buying whoever runs their social
that it has no porpoise. On his third day at an internship on a different planet. So the media feed a window. ❚
with NASA, he discovered a
Presidential dropout previously unknown exoplanet,
now named TOI-1338b. Got a story for Feedback?
If there is one thing we learned That feels like a personal Send it to New Scientist, 25 Bedford Street,
from politics in the 2010s, attack, doesn’t it? His third day. London WC2E 9ES or you can email us at
Feedback would like someone Feedback has been diligently feedback@newscientist.com

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 53


The back pages Almost the last word

How is a smartwatch
Poetic prediction
able to track different
“Red sky at night, shepherds’ types of sleep?
delight; red sky in the morning,
shepherds’ warning.” Putting
Come clean
aside the occupation of the
observer, is there any truth in Is there a difference between
this adage? If so, why is it true? shampoo and shower gel and,
if so, what is it?

OLENA HROMOVA/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO


Richard Swifte
Darmstadt, Germany Cosmetic, Toiletry and
While many pieces of weather Perfumery Association
folklore are rubbish – abundant London, UK
autumn berries meaning the It is true that most shampoos
coming winter will be harsh, for could act as adequate shower gels,
instance – some, such as “red sky but most shower gels won’t work
at night”, contain a kernel of truth. effectively as shampoos. Both
Over most of Europe, the products are based on surfactants,
prevailing winds are westerlies, This week’s new questions which lather when added to water
so weather is most likely to arrive and remove oils and dirt from
from the west. High pressure, Night watch The health-tracking watch I got for Christmas skin and hair. But shampoos
which is usually associated with claims to know when I am awake or in light, REM or deep also contain specific conditioning
fair weather, tends to trap dust sleep. How does it do this? Jenny McCabe, Folkestone, Kent, UK molecules. These are positively
and other small particles in the charged chemicals that are
atmosphere. These increase the Blowing hot and cold In summer, I feel comfortably warm attracted to the hair shaft.
scattering of blue light, leaving when the thermometer in my living room shows 20°C. Yet in They cling to the hair, making
more red light to reach our eyes, winter, I feel cold at the same temperature. What causes this? it smoother and easier to brush.
so we see a reddened sky. Perry Bebbington, Kimberley, Yorkshire, UK
A red sky at sunset indicates Lewis O’Shaughnessy
high pressure to the west, so a good London, UK
chance of fair weather moving in. approaches at sunset, the sun’s the clouds are rain-bearing, you There are some slight differences.
Conversely, a morning red sky rays travel through long paths will get wet that morning. Most importantly, shampoo
indicates that the high pressure of clear air, scattering blue light contains lower levels of surfactants
lies to the east, so it is probably and leaving the red to light up Georgina Skipper than shower gel does. This means
heading away, increasing the any clouds above the horizon. If, Weymouth, Dorset, UK it removes less of your natural oils
chance that a low-pressure system however, the ridge has passed by In the 1980s, a survey of popular than shower gel, allowing hair
is arriving from the west with dawn, then the clear air is to the weather beliefs found this maxim to stay healthier and less dry. The
what is probably poorer weather. east and a rising sun gives a red was one of only two that stood upshot of this is that you can use
Interestingly, a version of the glow to any clouds. In this case, up to scrutiny, the other being shampoo to wash your body –
“red sky at night” saying is quoted the next depression is probably “swallows fly high, there’ll be a you might just need to scrub
by Jesus in some versions of the approaching from the west and blue sky”. The reason for this is more to remove dirt – but you
Bible, in Matthew 16:2-3. the weather will deteriorate that swallows catch flying insects should avoid using shower gel
during the day. on the wing, and such insects are on your hair.
Alan Lapworth almost entirely dependent on
Bedford, UK Natalie Roberts warm updraughts to rise high. Peter Urben
This is said to be around 70 per Watford, Hertfordshire, UK Many folk sayings about Kenilworth, Warwickshire, UK
cent accurate in mid-latitudes, When the sun sets, any clouds weather are local and may not Looking through the immense
although a persistence forecast – it illuminates will either be apply generally, despite being range of shampoo and shower gel
in other words, that tomorrow’s emerging from the west or be accurate for a smaller area. One in supermarkets, both products
weather will be the same as partially overhead and to the that has been adapted for many appear to have the same principal
today’s – is 65 per cent accurate. west. You may have had a wet places is: “If you can’t see (insert ingredients: surfactants and
In mid-latitudes, due to afternoon and it may rain name of place a few miles to the water. I could find no universal
Earth’s rotation, our weather overnight while you sleep, but west), it is raining. If you can see distinction, and some products
tends to come from the west. if there is a red sunset, then any it, it is about to rain.” sensibly claim to act as both.  ❚
In the UK, this often consists low-pressure rain clouds should
of depressions, with wet, windy have passed by morning and the
weather lasting about 24 hours, weather should be fair. But if there Want to send us a question or answer?
interspersed with ridges of are clouds reddened by the dawn, Email us at lastword@newscientist.com
high pressure and fair weather. they will probably be approaching Questions should be about everyday science phenomena
When a high-pressure ridge or directly overhead. Bad luck: if Full terms and conditions at newscientist.com/lw-terms

54 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


LAST FEW WEEKS A fundamentally new approach to the
CLOSES 8 FEB 2020 history of science and technology

“Navigating our collective futures will require us to understand


the changing nature of knowledge. This marvelous book is
an extraordinarily useful guide in that task.”
—Jan Zalasiewicz, coauthor of The Goldilocks Planet
MAKING
SCIENCE
HAPPEN
CRICK.AC.UK/CRAFTANDGRAFT

WHAT HAPPENS
BEHIND THE SCENES?

FREE EXHIBITION
1 MAR – 8 FEB 2020
KINGS CROSS

25 January 2020 | New Scientist | 55


The back pages Q&A
If you could send a message back to yourself
as a kid, what would you say?
“You might feel like you’re giving up art for science,
but you do find a way to combine them later in life.”
Ugh – I’d probably throw this message away,
thinking my dad had written it.

Is there a discovery you wish you’d


made yourself?
Luigi Galvani discovered electricity could be used to
reanimate the legs of a recently deceased frog. It was
the birth of neurology (and a great party trick) and
also inspired Mary Shelley to write Frankenstein.
Thrill engineer Brendan Walker
designs fairground rides and If you could have a conversation with any
spine-tingling virtual reality scientist, living or dead, who would it be?
I’d have a (responsible) drinking competition with
experiences – but says seeking kicks Leonardo da Vinci and Leon Theremin. They both
isn’t just for adrenaline junkies applied creative ingenuity to science and art alike.
I’d have to introduce them to Google Translate first,
which might blow their minds.

As a child, what did you want to do


when you grew up? What’s the most thrilling thing you’ve
A coal miner, a Red Devil with the British Army worked on in your career?
skydiving team, an artist and then a surgeon. In a I’ve worked on roller coasters and ejector seats for
way, they’re all about exploring the unknown. Typhoon jets, but my first virtual-reality swing gave
me goosebumps. The screams as people felt like
Explain your work in one easy paragraph. they were swinging much higher than they were
I use strategies from the arts, design, engineering made me realise I could create thrilling experiences
and psychology to create emotional experiences, for at a fraction of the cost of a new ride or jet plane.
example for clients such as Nissan and Disneyland.
To do that, I sometimes think like a scientist,
as if I were conducting a controlled psychology Do you have an unexpected hobby, and if so,
experiment, and other times laterally as an artist. please will you tell us about it?
I’m training for my third dan black belt in Shotokan
How did you end up working in this field? karate, and have handled whippets at dog shows.
As a kid, I spent a lot of time trying to make
people laugh and feel happy. It thrilled me when I What’s the best thing you’ve read or seen
succeeded, and it still does. I originally trained as an in the past 12 months?
aeronautical engineer, decided to leave my job to do I read Richard Harris’s 1940 patent for a ride called
a foundation course in design and start following the Twister. He shows the different spirographic
my dream. I supported myself flipping burgers and movements riders will experience depending
pulling pints – but I made it. on gear ratios. It’s exciting to see how he makes
connections between psychology and physics.
What’s the secret to thrilling people? “The apocalypse
How useful will your skills be after
might be a little
There’s often a fixation on adrenaline junkies and
extreme thrill-seeking, but pleasure is equally as the apocalypse?
important as arousal in creating a feeling of thrill.
Thrill is subjective, and most people can experience
The apocalypse might be a little stressful, so I’d open
the world’s first post-apocalyptic theme park. stressful, so
the same amount of thrill as an adrenaline junkie
without going to extremes. OK, one last thing: tell us something that
after it I’ll open
will blow our minds… a theme park”
What achievement are you most proud of? I have a defective D4DR gene that means I can’t
My formula for thrill, published in The Taxonomy of process dopamine as effectively as other people, and
Thrill in 2004, which says you’ll maximise it if you need to go to greater extremes to sense pleasure or
can create a huge, rapid rise in pleasure and arousal. be thrilled. I’m quite hard to buy for at Christmas.  ❚
This remains my golden rule in thrill engineering.
Brendan Walker is director of the Thrill Laboratory
What scientific development do you hope and professor of creative industries at Middlesex
to see in your lifetime? University London
Personal electric flying machines. JO LONGHURST

56 | New Scientist | 25 January 2020


SUBSCRIPTION OFFER

Subscribe today
*
from only $1.91 a week

- Free weekly print


delivery to your door
As a - The New Scientist app, giving
New Scientist you instant access anytime,
anywhere, including
subscriber you - Current and back issues of New Scientist
also benefit All issues of New Scientist: The Collection -
exclusively worth $9.99 each!
from: - Full access to newscientist.com with
- Over 30 years of archive content
- 100+ science talk videos
- Early access to magazine features online

For easy online sign-up, visit newscientist.com/13565


Or call 1 888 822 3242, quoting reference 13565

* A digital subscription package to New Scientist costs $1.93 a week, made payable by quarterly continuous payment methods
Discover a world of books and more
for the scientifically minded

Come in, we’re

OPEN

Online
Shop
shop.newscientist.com

You might also like