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New Scientist - January 25, 2020 USA
New Scientist - January 25, 2020 USA
New Scientist - January 25, 2020 USA
Inside story of
China’s lunar farm
OVER THE HORIZON
How Stone Age travelers
reached Australia
ASTEROID INCOMING
The people with a plan to
prevent an apocalypse
WEEKLY January 25 –31, 2020
MANY
CONDITIONS,
ONE CAUSE?
A radical new theory of mental illness
offers fresh hope for treatment
THE GREAT
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MYSTERIES OF
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Is our food really getting Is our food really getting less nutritious? 0 4
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News Features
8 Our ghost lineage 34 Many conditions,
Long-lost branch of News one cause?
human history revealed The surprising connections
making us rethink mental health
9 Restoring fertility
Cell injections found to 38 Over the horizon
rejuvenate ovaries The epic Stone Age journey
to discover Australia
20 Allergy food fight
Are baby-weaning guidelines 42 Asteroid incoming
the reason food allergies have A step-by-step guide to how
become more common? we would save the planet
26 Letters 11 Dopamine hit An AI learning technique is used by our brains too 53 Feedback
Pedestrian-friendly cities Spoon-bending and military
need room to play too dolphins: the week in weird
34 Features
28 Aperture
Making an artificial glacier
“For millennia, we’ve put 54 Almost the last word
Red sky at night and shampoo vs
in the Himalayas psychiatric conditions in shower gel: readers reply
30 Culture
Why civil rights go hand
separate corners, but maybe 56 The Q&A
Brendan Walker on designing
in hand with access to IT that’s not how it works” thrilling experiences
BEING
HUMAN
Take a step back from the everyday
chores of being human to tackle the
big – and small – questions about our
nature, behaviour and existence.
Common cause
Genetic analyses point to a new way to think about mental health
THIS year alone, one in four people in professionals, but new DNA sequencing more on treating symptoms. We already
the UK will experience a mental health techniques reveal that many share an know that some interventions can cross
condition. That includes everything underlying genetic link. Of course, diagnostic boundaries: several drugs are
from depression and anxiety to experiences and environment also play effective for a number of conditions, for
schizophrenia and phobias. Meanwhile, a big role. But this common factor – or instance, as are talking therapies.
surveys suggest that our ability to cope “p factor” as researchers call it – may Some mental health professionals
with these issues is getting worse. help explain why some people seem already use a one-size-fits-all version of
The personal costs of all this are cognitive behavioural therapy, called the
huge, as are those to society. And our “This new understanding common elements treatment approach,
treatment options are limited: some suggests putting less emphasis for people with many different
conditions defy treatment, even proven on labelling conditions and conditions. If this new thinking about
interventions don’t always work and more on treating symptoms” mental health is right, these kinds of
many people get no treatment at all. general treatments may actually be the
At the same time, those who experience more prone to mental health issues most useful first interventions for most
one condition often experience others. across their lifetimes. As evidence people and conditions. What’s more, this
But now new research into the for this link grows – and the medical strategy could also increase access to
possible causes of mental illness offers establishment starts to take it treatment where resources are limited.
fresh hope for a better way forward seriously – this understanding brings Perhaps then, in future, we could
(see page 34). Hundreds of distinct new opportunities for treatment. devote less time and money to searching
psychiatric conditions are currently That may start with putting less for separate treatments and more time
recognised by mental health emphasis on labelling conditions and to truly helping people. ❚
IT MAY be possible to rejuvenate and some doctors worry about the could inject follicles,” he says.
ovaries after chemotherapy risk of reimplanting cancer cells. The follicles could also be taken
without the need for surgery, after “If a woman has ovarian cancer from donors, says Dahan, and they
the fertility of female mice was or leukaemia, you wouldn’t want might be easier to obtain than
successfully restored following to put that tissue back in,” says donor eggs. And while people
injections of donor cells. Kyle Orwig at the University who receive donated organs
The approach involves injecting of Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania. need to take drugs to suppress
either stored or donated follicles – “The worst thing you can do is the immune system, those who
the cells in ovaries that contain give cancer back to a survivor.” receive follicles might not need
and eventually release egg cells – Orwig and his colleagues to as “there is a minimal risk of
into the ovaries. The technique is have developed a different rejection”, says Dahan.
“able to rejuvenate the potential approach. Instead of implanting In theory, the approach could
GARRY DELONG/GETTY
of the ovary using donated ovary tissue, the team only be used in humans straight away,
follicles” and could “prolong the implants the follicles. This should says Orwig. Regulatory bodies
fertility of women”, says Michael avoid implanting any cancer cells, allow a person’s own cells to be
Dahan at McGill University in says Orwig. reinjected into them if they have
Montreal, Canada, who wasn’t To test the approach, the team only been exposed to “minimal
involved in the work. gave four female mice varying Ovarian follicles are manipulation”. But Orwig says
Some cancer treatments can doses of two chemotherapy drugs structures that contain his next step will be to trial it in
affect the supply of eggs, and that Orwig says cause infertility in and release eggs monkeys first.
may make it more difficult to humans. The team then collected There are still questions that
conceive after treatment. People follicles from donor mice who features (bioRxiv, doi.org/djqq). need to be answered. We don’t
undergoing these treatments may hadn’t undergone chemotherapy Orwig thinks the approach know how infertile the mice were
have pieces of their ovary removed and injected them into the ovaries could also be used to inject people before the treatment, and whether
and frozen beforehand, in order of the female mice that had. with their own stored follicles. the technique would work if the
to preserve their fertility. These Two of the four mice later gave “You wouldn’t need a surgical mice had no ovaries, for example.
tissues can then be surgically birth to pups, some of which had procedure,” he says. Instead a “It is a unique approach, and
reimplanted if someone wants features of the donor, rather than procedure similar to one already the concept is interesting,” says
to get pregnant. Over 130 babies those of their parents. This led the used to collect eggs for IVF, where a Monica Laronda at Northwestern
have been born following this team to be sure that it had been needle is used to access the ovaries University in Chicago. “But there
type of procedure. the injection of follicles that had via the vagina, could be used. is definitely more [work] that I
But the approach is still new, resulted in pups with the same “Instead of taking eggs out, you would like to see.” ❚
Gene editing
CRISPR-edited Infected birds become ill, than just in a few cells. No strains A company called Biopharm
emaciated and depressed, and of chickens naturally have this is now in discussion with poultry
chickens made often develop tumours. The virus mutation, so it can’t be done producers in Vietnam and China
resistant to virus gets into cells by binding to a by breeding alone. about introducing this change
protein known as chNHE-1. In 2017, Hejnar developed a into commercial breeds. “It’s
CRISPR genome editing has been Hejnar’s team has previously suitable method: using altered germ quite simple to do,” says Hejnar.
used to make chickens resistant to a shown that deleting three DNA cells to restore semen production in Hejnar also plans to use CRISPR
common virus. The approach could letters from the chNHE-1 gene sterilised cockerels. His team then to make chickens resistant to other
boost egg and meat production that makes this protein prevents went on to create a cockerel with viruses, such as bird flu. This could
worldwide while improving welfare. ALV from infecting chicken cells. sperm that have the precise deletion make us all safer: bird flu viruses
The altered chickens showed The challenge was to make this in the chNHE-1 gene. sometimes kill people and there
no signs of disease even when change in entire animals rather By crossing its offspring, they are fears that a mutant strain could
exposed to high doses of the avian have produced a flock of white cause a deadly global pandemic.
leukosis virus (ALV). The virus is a “A company is in discussion leghorn chickens that have this However, it remains to be
problem for poultry farmers around with poultry producers deletion in both copies of the seen whether consumers will
the world, says Jiri Hejnar at the about using the change gene (PNAS, DOI: 10.1073/ want to eat CRISPR chickens. ❚
Czech Academy of Sciences. in commercial breeds” pnas.1913827117). Michael Le Page
Agriculture
How to feed limits that we shouldn’t exceed into where these limits are being areas where these limits
if we want to maintain Earth’s transgressed. By changing what aren’t being exceeded.
Earth’s booming life-support systems. is farmed where, the team says it It could, for example, mean
population Dieter Gerten at the Potsdam would be possible to feed 10 billion restricting fertiliser use in parts
Institute for Climate Impact people within the four limits. of China and central Europe, and
OUR current food system can feed Research in Germany and his This would involve rewilding expanding it in parts of sub-Saharan
only 3.4 billion people without colleagues looked at the four farms in areas where more than Africa and the western US (Nature
transgressing key planetary limits, boundaries that are relevant 5 per cent of species are threatened, Sustainability, doi.org/djt7).
according to an analysis of the to farming: not using too much for instance, and reducing water Such changes would allow the
global farming system. nitrogen; not taking too much withdrawal for irrigation and other sustainable production of enough
However, reorganising what is fresh water from rivers; not purposes where too much is taken. food for 7.8 billion people.
farmed where – along with some cutting down too much forest; Farms could be expanded in Reductions in food waste
changes in diets – would enable and maintaining biodiversity. and a shift away from eating meat
us to feed 10 billion people
sustainably, suggests the study. In
2009, researchers identified nine
The team’s conclusion is that half
of food production today violates
these limits. However, this analysis
10.2bn
How many people we could
could increase this to 10.2 billion,
slightly more than the projected
world population in 2050. ❚
so-called planetary boundaries: is also the first to provide insights feed sustainably, in theory Michael Le Page
Bow tie-shaped
molecules change
An AI learning technique
colour in toxic air also works in brains
Alice Klein Donna Lu
A MOLECULE that looks like a tiny DEVELOPMENTS in artificial is tuned to a different level this halfway average outcome
bow tie and changes colour under intelligence often draw of optimism or pessimism. that doesn’t necessarily really
different conditions could be used inspiration from how humans “They all end up signalling occur,” says Dabney.
to monitor air for toxic substances. think, but now AI has turned at different levels of surprise,” When the future is uncertain,
Huan Cong at the Technical the tables to hint at a way says Dabney. “More like a the possible outcomes can
Institute of Physics and Chemistry our brains learn. choir all singing different instead be represented as
in China and his colleagues made Will Dabney at tech firm notes, harmonising together.” a probability distribution:
the substance, which they named DeepMind in London and his The process that inspired some are positive, others
BowtieArene, using a pair of colleagues have found that a the revelation, distributional negative. AIs that use
pentagon-shaped molecules called recent innovation in machine reinforcement learning, is one
pillararenes. These were joined learning called distributional of the techniques that AI has “It’s a nice example
together to create the final product reinforcement learning also used to master games such as of how computational
using a fluorescent molecule called provides a new explanation Go and Starcraft II. This is the algorithms can guide
tetraphenylethylene. This formed for how the reward pathways idea that a reward reinforces us in what to look for”
the “knot” of the bow tie. in a brain work. These pathways the behaviour that led to its
govern our response to acquisition. It requires an distributional reinforcement
pleasurable events and are understanding about how learning algorithms are able
mediated by neurons that a current action leads to a to predict the full spectrum
release the chemical dopamine. future reward. For example, of possible rewards.
“Dopamine in the brain is a dog may learn the command To test whether a brain’s
a type of surprise signal,” says “sit” because it is rewarded dopamine reward pathways also
Dabney. “When things turn with a treat when it does so. work via such a distribution, the
BowtieArene contains a out better than expected, more Previously, models of team recorded responses from
fluorescent molecule dopamine gets released.” reinforcement learning in individual dopamine neurons
It was previously thought both AI and neuroscience in mice trained to perform a
When the team mixed individual that these dopamine neurons focused on learning to predict task. During training, the mice
bow-tie molecules together, they all responded identically, an “average” future reward. were given rewards of varying
stacked neatly on top of each “kind of like a choir but where “But this doesn’t reflect reality and unpredictable sizes.
other. The resulting orderly everyone’s singing the exact as we experience it,” says Dabney. Different dopamine cells
crystals interacted with light same note”, says Dabney. “When someone plays the showed reliably different
to produce blue fluorescence. But the team found that lottery, for example, they levels of surprise (Nature,
In contrast, when the researchers individual dopamine neurons expect to win or they expect doi.org/ggh5kw).
broke these ordered structures actually seem to vary. Each one to lose, but they don’t expect “Associating rewards to
apart, by mechanically grinding certain stimuli or actions
or scratching the crystals, the is of critical importance for
separated bow ties emitted green survival,” says Raul Vicente
or yellow fluorescence. at the University of Tartu in
Next, they showed they could Estonia. “The brain cannot
make the bow ties blue again by afford to throw away any
exposing them to the vapour of a valuable information about
HUAN CONG, TECHNICAL INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY, CHINA
THUNDERSTORMS generated now been calculated by David Philippines, the largest in modern Peterson says the biggest question
by the intense heat of the Peterson at the US Naval Research times. He has done similar work is what role pyroCbs are playing in
bushfires burning in Australia Laboratory, who presented his on the impact of pyroCbs before. the climate system. Some of the
have probably carried as much preliminary findings to the He found that Canadian wildfires smoke plumes carried by these
smoke into the stratosphere as American Meteorological Society in 2017 put as much smoke as clouds are also getting high
a volcanic eruption. at a meeting in Boston last week. a volcano into the stratosphere. enough to affect the ozone layer,
Blazes across the country in “It’s very likely on a volcanic While it is well known that a which is usually at least 15 km up.
the past few weeks have been so scale,” he says. Peterson estimates volcanic eruption can put enough We may have a better idea of
powerful they have generated the effect is similar to a moderate particles into the atmosphere to the smoke’s impact soon, thanks
their own weather. They create eruption, rather than on the have a cooling effect, the different to NASA flying a plane earlier this
rising air that carries ash and scale seen after the massive 1991 chemistry of pyroCbs means the year through the upper level of a
smoke and results in the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the impacts of the fires on global pyroCb generated by US wildfires.
formation of thunderclouds temperatures aren’t yet clear. “It wasn’t as massive as these
called pyrocumulonimbus Smoke from the They may have a warming or Australia plumes but fortunately
(pyroCbs) above the fires. Australian wildfires cooling effect, and it isn’t known at an altitude the aircraft could get
Some of these clouds are has circled the globe how long the smoke will persist. to,” says Peterson. That research
strong enough and rise high will reveal more about relevant
enough to have channelled atmospheric chemistry in the
smoke into the stratosphere – a clouds. Combined with satellite
stable layer of air between 10 and data, this should give us a clearer
50 kilometres up where particles idea of what to expect.
can get trapped and persist for Alan Robock at Rutgers
half a year or longer. Smoke from University in New Jersey says if
the fires has moved eastward in the smoke has a cooling effect, it
the stratosphere and made a is unlikely to be huge at a global
full circuit around the world, level, but could cause cooling of
according to NASA. several degrees C at a local level.
There were at least 20 pyroCbs If the Australian pyroCbs produce
between 28 and 31 December, and twice as much smoke as those
more on 4 January, some of which from Canada in 2017, “it still would
put smoke into the stratosphere. not be a large or long-lasting
NASA
Physiology
Brunch at the University of Barcelona in Spain was at least an hour later on exercised (Nutrients, doi.org/djsc).
wondered if eating meals later weekends than on weekdays. The difference was equivalent to
weekend messes on weekends might have similar Breakfast was the most delayed 4 kilograms in someone who is
with our bodies effects. “It’s common to sleep in meal, tending to become brunch. 170 centimetres tall and weighs
on weekends, so we end up having Students with greater eating 90 kilograms.
EATING meals later on weekends breakfast later and then lunch and jet lag were more likely to be Eating jet lag is probably
than during the week may cause dinner tend to be a bit delayed too,” overweight. Those who reported linked to weight gain because our
weight gain by disturbing the says Zerón-Rugerio. “We call this more than 3.5 hours of eating jet internal biological clocks, known
body’s metabolic rhythms. eating jet lag.” lag on weekends had higher body as circadian systems, prepare
Disrupted sleep patterns are Their team surveyed more than mass indexes on average than those our metabolisms to process food
linked to weight gain, probably 1100 university students in Spain with no eating jet lag, regardless of at specific times, says Izquierdo-
because our bodies aren’t used and Mexico to find out what time their diet or how much they slept or Pulido. If you usually eat breakfast
to processing food eaten at night, they normally ate on weekdays and at 7 am, but at 9 am on weekends,
which seems to lead to the storage weekends. Almost two-thirds had “Your biological clock “your biological clock doesn’t know
of extra fat. an hour or more of eating jet lag on doesn’t know it’s the it’s the weekend,” she says. “It gets
María Fernanda Zerón-Rugerio weekends, meaning the midpoint weekend. It gets confused confused when you eat at 9 am.” ❚
and Maria Izquierdo-Pulido at the between their first and last meal when you eat later” Alice Klein
Darwin’s Galapagos
with Jo Ruxton
Explore the Galapagos Islands from the comfort of a luxury
small-berth yacht accompanied by marine conservationist and
documentary producer Jo Ruxton
A paradise for natural history, animal and geology lovers, we have curated a distinctive trip
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Departing:
The spacious and stylish yacht Natural Paradise is small enough to get into bays that larger
7 June 2020
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11 days for £6,995 (approx $8,885)
Galapagos sea lions, marine iguanas lounging on the shores, blue-footed boobies patrolling
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To book call
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k Explore eight varied islands including k Lots of opportunities to visit the many
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News
Palaeontology
THE best record yet of how have only been able to divide the they analysed 100,000 records The improved resolution is like
biodiversity changed in the past into huge chunks around of 11,000 marine species whose going from considering all people
distant past has been created 10 million years long. fossils have been found in China who lived in the same century as
with the help of machine learning. Now Shuzhong Shen at the and Europe (Science, doi.org/djmn). contemporaries to considering
Among other things, it confirms Nanjing Institute of Geology and This is so computationally only people who lived in the same
that one of the five great mass Palaeontology in China and his intense it would take dozens of period of several months to be so.
extinctions didn’t really happen. colleagues, including Erwin, have years to do on a normal computer. “The mid-late Devonian
It was thought the oceans produced an improved record in So, the team developed machine- diversity decrease is still very clear,
turned toxic around 375 million which each chunk is just 26,000 learning procedures and ran them but it is spread through the whole
years ago, near the end of the years long. Using a statistical on the Tianhe-2 supercomputer. time and not concentrated in
Devonian period, wiping out approach created a decade ago, The record covers 300 million a single mass extinction,” says
many marine species including years, from the Cambrian period palaeontologist Richard Bambach,
almost all trilobites. But the latest Machine learning shows starting 540 million years ago to now retired. He argued in a
study shows no evidence of a one of Earth’s five mass just after the start of the Triassic 2004 paper that there was no
sudden catastrophic change like extinctions didn’t happen period 240 million years ago. late Devonian mass extinction.
the asteroid impact that wiped The idea that there were five
out the dinosaurs. great mass extinctions when
“The late Devonian mass most plant and animal species on
extinction isn’t there,” says Earth died out was first proposed
Doug Erwin at the National in a 1982 paper. Later studies have
Museum of Natural History suggested there were between
in Washington DC. Instead, three and 20.
there was a gradual decline There is no formal definition
over around 50 million years. of a mass extinction, but most
Fossils are used to date rocks. biologists would agree that they
Because most species are only involve a spike in extinctions
around for a few million years, if over a relatively short time. At
WLAD74/GETTY IMAGES
Security
Odd US drone Some observers assumed the Institute in Pennsylvania says the Richard Gill of UK company Drone
drones were part of a military scale of operation suggests it is Defence says that real sightings
sightings leave exercise, but the US Air Force has the work of an organisation such as may have resulted in a number
authorities baffled denied involvement. There is a university or government, rather of false reports. “People become
no evidence of malicious intent, than a lone individual – assuming hypersensitive after a scare,” he
MYSTERIOUS drone swarms although the drone operators are the drones actually exist. says. “Everything with a flashing
have been seen flying at night in breaking US regulations governing “The first question that the light will get reported.”
Colorado, Nebraska and Wyoming flying at night. task force has to rule out is if we are Small drones are elusive though,
since December, sometimes over The drones are described as not dealing with social media hype. and taking photos of them at night
locations believed to house nuclear resembling model aircraft, with Have these drone swarm sightings is virtually impossible. Even locating
missile silos. A federal task force a wingspan of around 2 metres. now turned into an urban legend?” them with radar is difficult.
has been formed to investigate. None has been recovered or even says Bunker. While the task force is said to be
The Phillips County Sheriff’s Office photographed. Similar drones are looking at getting a fix on a radio
in Colorado reported the first drones
on 20 December. There have been
hundreds of sightings since, some
widely available online for a few
hundred dollars.
Robert Bunker of the US Army
2
Estimated wingspan of the
controller on the ground, Gill says
its best bet may be to bring a drone
down, probably with a jammer. ❚
of drones flying in a grid formation. War College’s Strategic Studies unknown drones, in metres David Hambling
‘Disturbing’ number
of sedatives
How to sprout a garden
prescribed in the US on the moon’s far side
Jessica Hamzelou Donna Lu
DONNA LU
are disturbing, and everyone should moon’s far side in January 2019.
be concerned about bringing them Months of uncertainty and
down,” says Lois Platt at Rush planning led to the successful
University in Chicago. mission, says Xie Gengxin at allowed sunlight to reach The team is uncertain whether
Benzodiazepines are sedatives Chongqing University, the the plants, and the whole the fruit fly eggs hatched, says
often prescribed for sleep disorders experiment’s chief designer. capsule was kept at Earth Xie – if they did, they weren’t
and anxiety. They can be addictive The idea to send a biosphere atmospheric pressure. caught on camera.
and overdoses can be fatal. to the moon was selected from A replica is currently on display The temperature on the surface
A third of the recorded US 257 suggestions submitted by in the Design Museum’s Moving of the moon reaches highs of
benzodiazepine prescriptions Chinese students in 2016. to Mars exhibition in London. 127°C in daytime. But by using
were given alongside a prescription Rice and Arabidopsis have been The real capsule was powered two cooling plates, the team
for an opioid painkiller. This is grown on China’s Tiangong-2 up just under 13 hours after was able to limit the daytime
especially concerning, because space lab and plants have been Chang’e 4 landed, at 11.19 pm temperature inside the biosphere
it is easy to overdose when taking cultivated on the International on 3 January. The first order of to under 36.5°C. The plant lived
the drugs together, says Rebecca Space Station, but those business was remotely watering for the equivalent of nine Earth
McDonald at King’s College London. experiments were conducted the seeds with a measured spritz days, until the moon’s far side
“Benzodiazepine deaths have gone in low Earth orbit, at an altitude of 18 millilitres.
up substantially over the past two of about 400 kilometres. The The team had to consider “If astronauts can see
decades in the US,” she says. “Almost cosmic radiation on the moon – in advance a number of things living, green things
all cases also involved opioids.” 380,000 kilometres from that could go wrong during the in space, it’s sure to
“Our finding suggests that Earth – makes it a more mission. In addition to camera or raise their spirits”
most patients prescribed these data transmission failures, these
medications might be long-term A camera included the possibility that the turned away from the sun.
users of these drugs,” says caught a water might be released too early Temperatures on the moon drop
CHONGQING UNIVERSITY-CLEP
Loredana Santo at the National glimpse of or not at all, or that the pipe to let to -173°C during the lunar night,
Center for Health Statistics. seedlings in sunlight might get blocked by which lasts for a fortnight.
That is also worrying, says on the moon moon dust. Although the team knew the
Benedict Hayhoe at Imperial The capsule’s two cameras plant wouldn’t survive the cold,
College London. “We should be photographed the seedbed every the capsule wasn’t powered
avoiding using benzodiazepines 10 hours. Images confirmed that down until 9 May. After months
in the long term.” the seeds weren’t watered before of experimentation, the capsule
Platt hopes that prescriptions challenging environment. Chang’e 4 launched from Earth had lost some air, with a pressure
in the US will start to fall as more Given limited space on the and that none of the seeds had reading of 0.9 Earth atmospheres.
people become aware of the lander, the experiment had sprouted prematurely. Future research will focus
dangers of benzodiazepines. to be small and light, says Xie. Once on the moon, the cotton on how to improve and cultivate
That is what seems to be The cylindrical capsule his team plant sprouted two leaves and its more ecosystems in space, says
happening in the UK. A report by designed was 19.8 centimetres root system grew horizontally Xie. “If astronauts or space tourists
Public Health England published last high with a diameter of 17.3 cm. rather than down into the soil, can breathe oxygen generated
year found a decrease in prescribing It had a rectangular seedbed probably as a result of the weak by plants and see living, green
rates of benzodiazepines between inside, measuring 800 cubic lunar gravity. The rape and potato things in space, it’s sure to raise
2015/16 and 2017/18. ❚ centimetres. A pipe in the top seeds also sprouted on the moon. their spirits,” he says. ❚
Conservation
Many orangutans and nursed back to health before During the study period, at least The researchers found that, in
being released. But it is unclear how 620 wild orangutans were also most cases, people weren’t tracking
released into the many of these animals are still alive. picked up outside protected areas the impacts of conservation actions
wild don’t survive To make these estimates, in Kalimantan and released into a (Biodiversitas, doi.org/djs5).
Julie Sherman at Wildlife Impact different wild site, mainly to prevent Their analysis of spending by
THE number of Bornean orangutans in Oregon and her team reviewed potential conflict with people. 145 organisations in 2016 showed
is dwindling, and there is little studies, news stories and public “The assumption translocation that rescue, reintroduction and
evidence that efforts to relocate data on conservation efforts. They practitioners make is that since translocation was the predominant
them from risky areas or also collected data from rescue these are wild orangutans, they will conservation strategy for Bornean
rehabilitate those in captivity centres, government agencies and survive anywhere in the wild,” says orangutans, with more than
bolster their population. zoos on the outcomes of relocation Sherman. Again, the fate of such £3.8 million allocated to it.
Between 2007 and 2017, about or rehabilitation for these apes. animals usually isn’t monitored. Instead of improving the
1200 Bornean orangutans (Pongo The few cases where orangutans status of this ape, however, the
pygmaeus) were released into
natural forests in Kalimantan, the
Indonesian part of Borneo. Nearly
were tracked for more than three
years suggest that fewer than
30 per cent of the released animals
30%
Proportion of released orangutans
species went from being classified
as endangered to critically
endangered in 2016. ❚
500 of those were formerly captive may have survived. that may survive for three years Shreya Dasgupta
S W I T Z E RL A ND / F R A N C E Departing:
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17 September 2020
No single supplements for the first two solo travellers on each departure.
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To book call +44 207 593 2284 In partnership with Kirker Holidays
One of these involved having 2016 litter fetched the balls, and
an unfamiliar person toss a tennis one did it on all three trials of the
ball across the room to see how test. Others played with the ball
much it captured the pup’s but wouldn’t return it (iScience,
attention. Almost all of the pups doi.org/djkv). Jake Buehler
MICE have thousands of chemical from the noses of mice and sorted The cells are mostly in the bit of
sensing nose cells that can trigger them according to their shape, size the nose involved in smell, which
an allergic reaction. Researchers and the proteins on their surface. hadn’t been thought to play a role
say this discovery could help us They found chemical sensing in allergic responses. This could be
fathom how the immune system cells that react to allergens in the why people with chronic allergies
reacts to allergens we breath air soon after they are inhaled. can lose their sense of smell, says
in and why some people with These cells release molecules that Bankova. “It might be because
allergies lose their sense of smell. cause inflammation in the nose there is so much inflammation
Pigeons inspire We know that in people and before immune cells are delivered in that area that we hadn’t
flying machine mice, inhaling allergens can cause to the nose in the bloodstream. recognised.” Layal Liverpool
nasal inflammation. This prompts Bankova says she was surprised Could weaning babies earlier
A robot that resembles a further allergic response driven to find mice have up to 30,000 of help ease food allergy risks?
a pigeon can make tight by immune cells, but we don’t these nose cells (Science, doi.org/ See p 20
turns like a bird. PigeonBot
is powered by a propeller Space Bionics
and has wings that can
be controlled remotely.
Its average speed is about Orange jelly could
40 kilometres per hour, a become robot skin
bit slower than the average
pigeon (Science Robotics, ARTIFICIAL electrified-skin made
doi.org/djk4). of strange orange jelly can sense
a touch and heal itself. It could
Metal has starring be used to coat prostheses or to
role in bond movie cover robots so they can “feel”.
IRINA DMITRIENKO/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO
It isn’t just babies with eczema Population studies show a link BSACI president Adam Fox says
who are at risk, says Helen Brough, between early weaning and this isn’t at odds with official
also at King’s. Peanut dust stays formula use – although this may advice, as the full government
on the skin for hours, she says. just be a correlation. guidelines say people should aim
“If the parents have eaten a bowl Some studies have suggested to introduce food at 6 months old,
of peanuts before a nappy change, that breastfeeding brings a wider but not before 4 months, and that ▲ Alphabet
they’re applying [peanut dust] range of health benefits than higher-risk families should consult Google’s parent firm
to the skin.” just cutting infections, such as their doctor. Those nuances can has joined the ranks of
At her clinic, she warns parents reducing obesity and diabetes, be lost in advice from healthcare trillion-dollar companies,
against using creams based on although this has been contested. staff and websites and leaflets following Microsoft, Apple
peanut, almond or sesame oil, for aimed at parents, which tend to and Amazon. It still has
instance. “We say no food on skin.” state a blanket 6 months, although some way to hit a googol
Weaning advice has started
to change. Multiple US and
European bodies, such as the
American Academy of Pediatrics
7%
The proportion of children
many families do start before
then. “Parents are feeling quite
lost and confused,” says Amoscato.
To help cut through the noise,
valuation, or $10100.
▲ Wollemi pines
A secret firefighter mission
and the European Food Safety in the UK with a food allergy parents of high-risk children has helped to save the
Authority, now encourage giving would ideally get tailored advice only wild Wollemi pines,
potential allergens from 4 months “There are known benefits of from specialists, but they are ancient trees threatened
onwards, with the proviso that exclusive breastfeeding for around unlikely to get an appointment by the Australian wildfires.
infants should never be given the first six months of a child’s life in time. “If they’re on a waiting
whole nuts in case they choke. and this is best for overall health,” list for three or four months, then ▲ Ancient grains
But the UK hasn’t. One factor is says Adrienne Cullum at Public we have missed that window,” says Dust from a meteorite is
that early weaning clashes with Health England. Lucy Upton, a paediatric dietitian the oldest known material
efforts to promote exclusive One UK body that takes a and a spokesperson for the on Earth. At 7.5 billion
breastfeeding for a child’s first different tone is the British British Dietetic Association. She years old, the particles
six months, which is a major Society for Allergy and Clinical recommends high-risk families are 3 billion years older
focus of child health promotion. Immunology (BSACI), which has follow the BSACI guidance on how than the solar system.
“People may think once you issued guidance urging parents of to give potential allergens safely.
introduce solids you might as children at higher risk of allergies, Upton hopes that UK weaning ▼ Face recognition
well stop breastfeeding,” says Amy such as those with eczema, to start advice will be reconsidered after a The EU is considering
Brown at Swansea University, UK. giving foods from 4 months of age. further trial published last month, a temporary ban on the
which found that high-risk use of face recognition in
children given six potentially public places. Or we could
Can allergies be reversed? allergic foods between the ages all just wear balaclavas.
of 3 and 6 months developed fewer
Parents can try to reduce the Some studies have found that allergies than those who got them ▼ Isle of Wight
TOP: JANECE FLIPPO/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO; BOTTOM: WIM VAN DEN HEEVER/NATURE PL
risk of their babies developing this helps some people, but others later. With its clear finding that One of the six sea eagles
allergies (see main story), but have suggested that in the case of benefits arise from starting before released on the southern
once an allergy has developed, peanut allergy, it raises the risk of 6 months, the clash with official UK island last year
there is nothing you can do anaphylaxis, a serious reaction advice couldn’t be starker. has decided to set up
about it, right? Perhaps not. requiring an injection of adrenaline When New Scientist asked Public home in landlocked
One approach being to keep people breathing. Health England if this changed Oxfordshire instead.
investigated is immunotherapy. Recent research suggests why: things, a spokesperson said: “We
This involves giving people the treatment doesn’t take away wouldn’t change our advice based
gradually increasing amounts the allergy, it just encourages the on one study – we need to look at
of the substance they are allergic body to make antibodies against the totality of the evidence.”
to in an effort to reduce their the immune cells that cause the For Amoscato, the delays
body’s sensitivity to it. It starts reaction. Protection may also only are frustrating. “They have
off with microscopic amounts last while treatment continues, so done the studies. The delay in
and must be done under people would need to keep taking the government passing the
medical supervision for safety. small doses of allergens every day. information on could be putting
children’s lives at risk.” ❚
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Views
The columnist Letters Aperture Culture Culture columnist
James Wong on Pedestrian-friendly Making an artificial Why civil rights go Jacob Aron on games
claims that food is cities need room to glacier in the hand in hand with that tell the story of
less nutritious p24 play too p26 Himalayas p28 access to IT p30 evolution p32
Comment
Pseudoscience on TV
Alternative health show The Goop Lab on Netflix demonstrates
just how easy it is to fall for bad science, says Clare Wilson
P
SYCHIC readings, energy Clare Wilson is the author of Health
healing and vampire Check, New Scientist’s weekly email
facials are just a few of newsletter about wellbeing. Sign up at:
the adventures had by actor and newscientist.com/sign-up/health
alternative health guru Gwyneth
Paltrow and her team in her new initials and words, a lot of which
Netflix series The Goop Lab. Goop, don’t hit home, but the few that
Paltrow’s natural health firm, is do provoke open-mouthed
already a byword for unrestrained admiration from the Goop team.
woo, but the TV series takes things Paltrow also has a vampire facial
to the next level. Instead of during the series, in which her
turning it off, we should view it face is injected with platelet-rich
to learn how to spot bad science. plasma made from her own blood.
Like a car crash unfolding in It’s true, as the show claims, that
front of me, once I started platelets contain substances that
watching the show I couldn’t look promote healing. But despite
away. In fact, it is so bad it is good: intense efforts, practitioners have
a masterclass in how to use logical failed to show platelet-rich plasma
fallacies, non sequiturs and cherry- has convincing effects on tissue
picking to defend pseudoscience. repair in large, randomised trials.
Take the episode on energy The most annoying part of
healing, also known as Reiki the show for me is when Paltrow
healing. Practitioners say they can paints resistance to her credo
see and manipulate energy fields as anti-feminist, when the Goop
around people’s bodies that are website feels like an online version
invisible to the rest of us. of the most regressive women’s
This looks as outlandish as it the show doesn’t say how many when people rely on them to treat magazine, telling readers they
sounds. While the “patient” lies on people try it without success. serious illnesses it can be deadly. need to spend time and money on
a massage table, the practitioner The practitioner says “the People with cancer who use diet and beauty regimes. Paltrow
touches or waves his hands over technology’s not quite there complementary therapies tend to complains that women face
their body to twiddle their fields to measure energy healing” – a reject conventional treatment and pressure to “look a certain way”.
into place. Members of the Goop textbook evasion. While we may so can be less likely to survive their It’s a bit rich from a Hollywood
team jerk and arch their backs – not be able to quantify these disease than those who don’t. The actor who flogs £125 face creams.
they are either true believers or are apparent energy fields, there is show states at the beginning of Still, Goop was valued at a
going to heroic lengths to suck up nothing to stop measurement of each episode that people shouldn’t quarter of a billion dollars in 2018,
to their boss. Most say they feel the healing part in a randomised take it as medical advice, but the so Paltrow has clearly found an
better afterwards, although one controlled trial. The team also cites impact of a 10-second disclaimer effective business model. She was
says it felt like an exorcism. quantum physics and the double- seems tiny compared with half quoted in The New York Times as
As proof that it works, the show slit experiment, which shows that an hour of beautiful Californians saying that controversies just
wheels out a 57-year-old man who light can act like both waves and saying how awesome they feel. led to more people visiting her
says the technique cured him of particles, although the relevance In another episode, Paltrow’s website, letting her “monetise
numbness in his legs after cancer of this to energy healing is unclear. personal medium comes on and those eyeballs”. It’s hard not to
JOSIE FORD
treatment. But this kind of nerve These kinds of alternative claims to be getting messages suspect that criticism of The Goop
damage often fades with time, and therapies may seem harmless, but from the dead. She calls out a few Lab won’t bother Paltrow one bit. ❚
Y
OU could be forgiven for in calcium, however most other the same wheat variety in the
thinking we are living in vitamins and minerals stayed next county, are problematic.
the midst of a nutritional pretty stable. What about the Trials have shown, for example,
apocalypse. “You’d have to eat 10 “eight oranges” claim for vitamin that identical types of wheat
tomatoes today to get the same A? Oranges weren’t even part of grown in two different fields in the
level of nutrients as one in the the study, so it is unclear exactly same US state can show an eight-
1950s,” declared an activist on where that statistic originated. fold difference in key minerals like
the radio recently. And the 2004 study is only so selenium. Such a difference far
On Twitter, there was more reliable. In the decades between outweighs the declines observed
James Wong is a botanist and of the same: “One would have to the 1950 and 1999 data sets it used, in the English single-field study.
science writer, with a particular eat eight oranges today to derive everything from crop varieties and Arguably the best evidence
interest in food crops, the same amount of vitamin A testing techniques have changed comes from studies that grow
conservation and the our grandparents would have significantly. So this type of study historical and modern varieties
environment. Trained at the gotten from one.” And at a farming is unlikely to be a like-for-like side-by-side in the same fields,
Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, he conference, a speaker proclaimed comparison. This was something replicating the exercise at various
shares his tiny London flat with that modern farming means that the authors were careful to point locations. Results have been
more than 500 houseplants. fruit and vegetables have been out: “There is no way that you can mixed. In one study by the US
You can follow him on Twitter “drained of their nutrients”, reliably measure the decline for Department for Agriculture,
and Instagram @botanygeek showing falls of “up to 50 per single foods.” This is the opposite broccoli didn’t show a clear trend
cent over 50 years”. But what of what I keep hearing. nutritionally speaking either way
evidence are these claims based in terms of differences between
on? I thought I’d better take a “If the nutrient levels old and new varieties. While
closer look. in modern crops nutritional differences were
James’s week Perhaps the most commonly recorded in terms of the size of
had collapsed to the
What I’m reading cited study used to support this the broccoli head, factors such
As usual, an awful lot narrative is a 2004 paper in the degree claimed, it as weather showed an effect on
of very dry academic Journal of the American College would be clear in the nutritional content up to 10 times
journals. The data of Nutrition. It analyses nutritional human population” greater than crop size. For wheat,
tables are the best bit. data for 43 garden crops in the US while some nutrients did decline
from 1950 and 1999. But scan the Is there any other evidence on in newer varieties, many were
What I’m watching results and a rather different nutrient changes? The Broadbalk stable. This suggests a far more
Mindhunter on Netflix. picture emerges to the popular Wheat Experiment is a pioneering complex picture than many
Often with my hands idea that modern food is lacking. study that has been gathering have claimed.
over my eyes. Instead of showing a nutritional samples of wheat grown in the Most pertinently of all, if the
collapse across the board, the same field in England for 175 years, nutrient content of crops had
What I’m working on research found only about half of making it the world’s longest indeed collapsed to the degree so
Filming a new the 13 nutrients checked showed a running agricultural trial. Between frequently claimed, this would
documentary series statistically reliable decline, while the 1800s and the late 1960s, the be clear in terms of human health.
for the BBC. others remained unchanged. For nutrient levels in the grain grown Yet nutrient deficiencies have
those nutrients that were found there stayed relatively stable. actually declined worldwide by
to have declined, the falls reported However, from then onwards roughly 40 per cent since 1960,
across all 43 crops ranged from a there have been significant falls, according to a University of
modest 6 per cent for protein to especially for minerals like zinc California study, and by as much
a 38 per cent drop for riboflavin, and iron, which neatly coincided as 80 per cent in regions like east
which is a B vitamin. with the introduction of a modern Asia. This was partially due to
What about the 90 per cent variety of wheat. These findings fortification of foods, but mainly
reduction in the overall nutrient are potentially concerning. attributed to modern agriculture
levels in tomatoes I had heard? But while it was an excellent resulting in a more diverse diet. It
Well, no such figure appears to review of the nutrient content for seems modern farming isn’t quite
exist in this study. The single a single crop in a single field in one the dietary demon some say it is.
This column will appear largest fall in the study, which was place, extrapolating its results as I for one can’t wait to see what
monthly. Up next week: in an individual tomato crop, representative of all crops across further research uncovers, but
Chanda Prescod-Weinstein appears to be a 54 per cent drop the whole world, or frankly even there is no need to panic just yet. ❚
Editor’s pick
Pedestrian-friendly cities
need room to play too
21/28 December 2019, p 10
From Rob Wheway,
Coventry, West Midlands, UK
Researchers in Canada and the
US find that grid street layouts
encourage people to walk rather
than drive, unlike those dominated
by cul-de-sacs, Alice Klein reports.
There are more factors to consider.
In the Children’s Play Advisory
Service report that I co-wrote –
Child’s Play: Facilitating play on
housing estates – we estimate
that if a housing area contains
100 children and roads that are
safe enough for them to play
outside, they will make around
280,000 journeys per year on foot.
Not only is this free exercise, but a
lot of vehicle pollution is avoided.
The domination of the car
prevents children from playing As for cycling, the main problem remind drivers that they don’t per kilometre than others.
freely, an essential part of their in the UK is the weather. If you have priority under Swiss law Incorporating railway stations
physical and social development. commute by bike, you really need a and offer easy and safe passage into more airport passenger
They still do play out in cul-de-sacs shower and clothes storage at your for walkers and cyclists. In the terminals would help reverse
and where there are measures to place of work. Planners could insist UK, anyone crossing the arm the current trend of scheduling
slow traffic: parents permit this on this, in the same way as they of a roundabout is likely to be hundreds of flights between
because the roads are safe. Grid often insist on off-street car parking intimidated by speeding drivers, regional airports, which may be
layouts are more dangerous, and for new business developments. in part because it unnecessarily convenient, but is more unkind
parents understandably keep their has two lanes. to the environment than doing
children indoors, condemning them All parties in the UK’s recent a final leg by train.
Some things we should
to increased obesity and stress. election promised to promote A jet engine’s maximum
learn about roundabouts cycling and walking for health efficiency is at high throttle
From Graham Jones, 21/28 December 2019, p 65 and climate change advantage. settings. So can we design a plane
Bridgham, Norfolk, UK From Robert Hale, That will be impossible unless we with booster engines used only for
This finding made me think of three Evesham, Worcestershire, UK learn from the Swiss, not only on take-off, with more modest
UK towns: Colchester in Essex, Richard Webb rightly extols the roundabouts, but more generally engines for cruising flight?
where I grew up, Diss in Norfolk, virtues of roundabouts and on road and path design. Running big engines for the
where I worked for many years, and identifies problems implementing entire flight is an absurd waste
Towcester in Northamptonshire, them in the US. There is also great of kerosene and an abuse of the
What more can the
which I visit. In all, residential areas scope for improvement on the atmosphere. Clearly a new design
laid out in the years after 1945 way they are laid out in the UK. I aviation industry do? of aircraft would be needed to stop
have curvy streets with cul-de-sacs. do suspect that our Department of 11 January, p 18 the drag of extra engines ruining
Most of these, though, are Transport may be as intransigent From Butch Dalrymple Smith, the economy gains of the concept.
connected by footpaths, often only as the US authorities. La Ciotat, France
1 or 2 metres in width and ideally I am thinking of a Swiss design What more could the aviation
Vacuum airship plan
suited to pedestrians. So the that allows safe, low-speed entry industry do to reduce carbon
walking route between points up and exit in all traffic conditions for emissions? The decision by Airbus faces an uphill battle
to a half-hour’s walk apart is very all vehicles, including articulated to stop making the double-decker 21/28 December 2019, p 68
nearly a straight line, while the bendy buses, with high traffic A380 in 2021 may need to be From Simon Goodman,
driving route may be as much as flows. This is achieved by slight reviewed. This plane, particularly Griesheim, Germany
five times that distance. Pedestrian curves to the arms, each a single if configured with all seats in The article on vacuum lift airships
access to public transport is a red carriageway just wide enough economy for intercontinental by Philip Ball was, in a manner of
herring in the many places where for bus wheels. Yellow zebra travel, has higher efficiency in speaking, a gas. But some aspects
there are now no buses. pedestrian crossings on each arm terms of fuel used per passenger of the idea sound like so much hot
Black data
matters
Civil rights go hand in hand with access to
information technology, says Lilian Anekwe
materials to bring the stories resource allocation. We think of target, and forecast their tendency internet to shape their lives.
and perspectives of these the use of algorithms by police toward criminality”. The early McIlwain quotes one activist:
forgotten figures to light. forces as a new phenomenon; computing industry’s lack of “We… who were ignored by the
Over five decades, beginning McIlwain describes how these diversity and resistance to industrial revolution, cannot
in the 1960s with the rise of the technologies were in use by police attempts at inclusion meant afford to be bypassed by the
civil rights movement in the US forces as early as the mid-1960s. that black people were effectively multimedia communications
and the start of the computing These information systems excluded from conversations revolution inherent in the
TOP: © DI MAINSTONE/TOWER BRIDGE; MIDDLE: ©CLAUDIA ANDUJAR/FONDATION CARTIER POUR L'ART CONTEMPORAIN
an ‘afterthought of modernity’.” justice of the 20th century. longer exists, the exhibition also
That mention of Du Bois But alongside his famous features original artwork by
is apposite: this influential writings, Du Bois produced an Guardian journalist Mona Chalabi.
African American activist astounding body of infographics This demonstrates the enduring
and intellectual had started a to challenge pseudoscientific relevance of Du Bois’s data
movement in the early 1900s racism, making visual arguments visualisation methods and the
to fight racial segregation. Just every bit as powerful as those in racial inequalities he fought
as the members of McIlwain’s his books. The infographics are the against by updating four of
vanguard are little known subject of an exhibition, W. E. B. Du the 1900 infographics with
despite their innovative use of Bois: Charting black lives, at 21st-century data.
communications technology, so London’s House of Illustration. Both the exhibition and Read
Du Bois’s use of infographics tends This displays, for the first time in McIlwain’s book are utterly How We Learn (Allen
to be omitted from accounts of his the UK, 63 infographics that Du compelling demonstrations of Lane) argues that the
work to end segregation. Bois presented at the 1900 Paris the contributions black people brain isn’t a computer,
As co-founder of the National Exposition, a world fair. have made, and struggle to make and is far more capable
Association for the Advancement Du Bois’s charts, graphs and still, to modern culture. of handling the world.
of Colored People (NAACP), Du maps, the result of collaboration The work Du Bois began in 1900 Neuroscientist Stanislas
Bois is celebrated for his profound with African American students with his data visualisations has Dehaene reveals the
essays and books, including the he taught at his sociology lab at lasted into the internet age, and brain’s strange secrets,
seminal The Souls of Black Folk, Atlanta University in Georgia, the web has become a key venue and how machines
and is considered one of the most are beautiful. Visually, they are for conversations about why black can copy them.
influential activists for racial certainly striking. And then there lives matter. ❚
An odyssey too far Games are great if you want to leapfrog a building, grow to a
giant size or outpace a bullet. But their superpowers evaporate when tackling the
epic story of evolution, finds Jacob Aron
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Features Cover story
Rethinking
mental health
Growing evidence that many mental health conditions
share an underlying cause could transform their
treatment, finds Dan Jones
L
IFE can be tough. All of us have It also explains puzzling patterns in the
experienced nagging worries, anxiety, occurrence of these conditions in individuals
sadness, low mood and paranoid and families. Rethinking mental health this way
thoughts. Most of the time this is short-lived. could be revolutionary: “I don’t think there are
But when it persists or worsens, our lives can such things as [discrete] mental disorders,”
quickly unravel. says behavioural geneticist Robert Plomin at
Mental health conditions, including King’s College London. “They’re just fictions
everything from depression and phobias to we create because of the medical model.”
anorexia and schizophrenia, are shockingly At first glance, the idea that different mental
common. In the UK, one in four people health conditions with distinct symptoms
experience them each year, so it is likely that share an underlying cause seems counter-
you, or someone you know, has sought help intuitive. The key to understanding it lies in its
from a professional. That process usually name. “P factor” has intentional parallels with
begins with a diagnosis – a mental health one of the most famous concepts in psychology.
professional evaluates your symptoms More than a century ago, British psychologist
and determines which of the hundreds of Charles Spearman noted that children’s
conditions listed in psychiatry’s classification performance on one kind of mental task,
bible, the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of say verbal fluency, was correlated with their
Mental Disorders, best fits. Then you start on a mental skill in other areas, like mathematical
treatment tailored to your condition. It seems reasoning, spatial manipulation and logic.
an obvious approach, but is it the right one? In other words, children who are good at one
“For millennia, we’ve put all these psychiatric thing tend to be good at another, while those
conditions in separate corners,” says who struggle in one area tend to struggle in
neuroscientist Anke Hammerschlag at Vrije others. Using a statistical tool called factor
University Amsterdam, the Netherlands. “But analysis, Spearman showed that this is because
maybe that’s not how it works biologically.” these different mental abilities are all linked
There is growing and compelling evidence to an overarching cognitive capacity, which he
that she is correct. Instead of being separate named general intelligence, or the g factor.
conditions, many mental health problems A century on, applying the same approach
appear to share an underlying cause, to mental health diagnoses provided the first
something researchers now call the “p factor”. hints that something similar might be going
This realisation could radically change how we on. There are a wide range of mental health
diagnose and treat mental health conditions, conditions that manifest with different
putting more focus on symptoms instead of behavioural and psychological symptoms.
JASU HU
labels and offering more general treatments. Like cognitive skills, they cluster together in
Puzzling heritability
The p factor can also explain puzzling patterns
of mental health conditions within families.
It had long been known that these conditions
have a genetic basis, and are highly heritable.
Huge twin studies have estimated the
heritability of schizophrenia, for example,
at nearly 80 per cent, and major depression
at about 45 per cent. But having a parent or
sibling diagnosed with a given condition
doesn’t just increase the odds that you will
experience it. It also increases the likelihood
that you will be diagnosed with a different
condition. For instance, if a parent has
schizophrenia, your risk of developing
bipolar disorder doubles, and vice versa.
That makes sense if you inherit not just a
risk for one kind of condition, but a more
generalised risk: the p factor.
Indeed, the application of genetics to
psychiatry in the past decade has provided
key support for the existence of the p factor.
In the early days, psychiatric genetics mostly
entailed a hunt for individual genes conferring
significant risk for developing certain
conditions. But this so-called candidate gene
approach hit the skids. “It was really a dead
loss, but it was all we could do at the time,”
says Plomin. “Then SNP chips came along in
the mid-2000s and changed everything.”
SNP (pronounced “snip”) chips, which look
a bit like the memory card in a digital camera,
allow scientists to use a small DNA sample to
scan someone’s genome and discover which
genetic variants they carry. Everyone has
millions of single-letter differences in DNA’s >
DD
SD
er
xia
Later, this kind of analysis was extended.
a
biologically. In 2018, Gandal and his colleague
e
ni
OC
rd
rd
PT
M
re
re
so
so
ph
In 2013, an international group called the Dan Geschwind led a team to do just that.
di
An
di
zo
ty
ar
hi
Psychiatric Genomics Consortium completed They analysed gene expression in the cerebral
ie
ol
Sc
x
p
An
Bi
a landmark study. Scientists analysed genomic SOURCES: CDC, HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL doi.org/gd4b88, doi.org/dzvqfw
cortex – the brain’s outer layer where higher
data from more than 30,000 people diagnosed cognition occurs – from 700 post-mortems
with conditions including bipolar disorder, of people diagnosed with mental health
major depression or schizophrenia. Again, symptom severity roughly tracking this curve. conditions. “We found that disorders that share
genetic risk variants cut across the traditional “There’s no break point at which the number the most genetic risk factors, like schizophrenia
diagnostic boundaries of psychiatry. “It’s the of variants suddenly leads to a diagnosable and bipolar disorder, look very similar in the
opposite of what was expected,” says Mike psychiatric disorder,” says Plomin. gene-expression patterns as well,” says Gandal.
Gandal at the University of California, Los It gets messier. Researchers are now Many of the genes involved controlled activity
Angeles. “Until recently, it was thought that discovering some SNPs associated with at synapses, the junctions between neurons.
genetic studies would reveal more biological individual conditions. “There’s this huge A recent study led by Hammerschlag backs
specificity for each disorder, but instead we’re genetic overlap between psychiatric disorders, this up. Her team investigated more than
seeing all this shared genetics.” but there are also some specific genetic factors 7000 sets of genes involved in a wide range of
Tellingly, the story is very different for that make people differ in their symptoms,” biological pathways, and then looked at which
neurological conditions, which affect the says Christel Middeldorp, who studies contained genes with variants linked to five
nervous system itself, such as Alzheimer’s, psychiatric genetics at the University of common mental health conditions. Only 14 fit
Parkinson’s, Huntington’s and multiple Queensland, Australia. “The p factor doesn’t the bill. “Almost all of these gene sets have a
sclerosis. A 2018 study from the Brainstorm explain everything.” function in neurons, and most play a role in
Consortium based at Harvard University In addition, as Caspi is quick to stress, there the synapse,” she says. In other words, the
examined genetic data from more than is more to the story than genes. “The genetic p factor seems to have something to do with
265,000 people with one of 25 psychiatric and work is exciting, but what’s really remarkable communication between brain cells.
neurological conditions. This revealed that about most psychiatric disorders is that they The latest research is even more enlightening.
neurological conditions have little or nothing share the same environmental and Maxime Taquet at the University of Oxford
genetically in common with each other or with and his colleagues believe they have identified
psychiatric conditions, making them a much a “vulnerability network” in the brains of
better fit for the classical medical model. children at high genetic risk of developing
For neurological conditions in which single “There’s a mental health conditions. Comparing their
genes play a big role, people can be divided into
two groups: those who carry the risk variant
huge genetic brain scans with those of children with a low
genetic susceptibility, the team found large
and those who don’t. The picture is much overlap between differences in three key areas: a structure
messier for mental health conditions. The called the default network that is active while
thousands of SNPs underlying them follow mental health the brain is at rest, a second structure involved
a bell-shaped distribution, meaning that a in planning and control, and the part of the
small percentage of people have very few risk conditions” brain that processes vision. In a similar study,
variants, a small percentage have a lot, and Caspi and Moffitt found that people with a
most people fall somewhere in between, with higher p factor have differences in a brain
SOLSTOCK/GETTY IMAGES
Already, many drugs are known to be
beneficial in supposedly distinct diagnoses.
“In practice, we often use the same treatment
for different disorders,” says psychiatrist
Tova Fuller at the University of California, San
Francisco. “Antipsychotics, for example, are
useful not only in psychosis, but also in mania,
delirium, agitation and other conditions.” The transdiagnostic value. “There are always “It’s a front-line cognitive therapy that can be
p factor makes sense of these “transdiagnostic” lessons for the patient on how to reframe offered to everybody who has mental distress,”
therapies. Yet they weren’t developed with it in stressful experiences and look on the bright says Moffitt. “Then, after that, people could be
mind. “If we can figure out the biology of the side, how to identify triggers that set off their referred onwards to a specialist who treats, say,
p factor, then it might be possible to target the symptoms, and guidance on life skills,” says only schizophrenia or panic attacks, depending
mechanisms involved and develop therapies Moffitt. Currently, there are separate on the symptoms present.”
that work better across disorders,” says Gandal. therapeutic guidelines for specific conditions. Moffitt also believes that the existence of the
“These could be given to a large number of However, the p factor idea lends support to p factor should prompt a shift from treating
patients, rather than treating each person clinicians advocating a one-size-fits-all version conditions themselves to treating the often
based on their specific pattern of symptoms.” of CBT called the common elements treatment distressing symptoms people experience.
Talk-based treatments, such as cognitive approach in an attempt to ensure that more “We tend to think: ‘This person has depression
behavioural therapy (CBT), also have people globally get the treatment they need. today, so this is a person who is depressive
and we really need to focus on depression’,”
she says. “We obviously need to treat their
Mental health conditions are not so distinct depressive symptoms, but, knowing that this
Psychiatric conditions have many genes in common, supporting the idea that there patient will present with different symptoms
is an underling cause that makes individuals more or less susceptible to them in the future, we also need to provide them
with tools and skills to cope when they arise.”
Plomin goes even further. For him, the
Anxiety disorder
Bipolar disorder
Schizophrenia
OCD
PTSD
20 Dan Jones is a freelance
MDD = Major depressive disorder
Schizophrenia OCD = Obsessive-compulsive disorder science journalist based
PTSD = Post traumatic stress disorder in Brighton, UK
0
SOURCE: doi.org/gdrmcg
Finding
Sahul
How did Stone Age people reach the far-flung
continent that contained Australia? It was
no accident, discovers Graham Lawton
F
OOTPRINTS in the sand marked the Until recently, scholars tended to think that as you can go before our ancestors stop being
beginning of the end of an epic journey. the crossing was accidental. But new evidence fully human. It is about the time they became
They were left fleetingly on a mangrove- suggests more strongly than ever that it was “behaviourally modern”, possessing language,
fringed beach in south-eastern Asia some planned, perhaps involving thousands of symbolic behaviour, abstract thinking and
65,000 years ago, when a group of humans people, many rafts and great seafaring skill. If creativity. But technologically and socially,
lashed together a bamboo raft in the hope we get a better idea of the likely route taken, it they were still firmly in the middle Stone Age:
that it would carry them over the horizon. will allow archaeologists to take their own leap nomadic hunter-gatherers with flint tools
They eventually washed up on the shores of of faith and seek fresh clues to find out how it but no pottery, metal, agriculture, axes,
Sahul, a lost continent made up of Australia, was done, perhaps solving one of the great wheels or domestic animals.
New Guinea, Tasmania and a lot of what is puzzles of the human conquest of the world. That goes a long way to explaining why, until
now seabed. This was the final destination of When Sahul was colonised, the geography recently, the prevailing view was that the sea
the out-of-Africa dispersal that had already of what is now South-East Asia and Australasia crossings between Asia and Sahul presented
peopled much of southern Eurasia. But it was quite different to how it is today. The world such an obstacle that deliberate migration was
wasn’t just another stepping stone. Sahul was was in the grip of an ice age with huge amounts unthinkable. People must have arrived on the
far offshore, requiring a voyage of many days of water locked away in ice caps and glaciers, currents after being washed into the sea by
across a chain of islands separated by deep, so the sea level was up to 85 metres lower. a tsunami or flood, perhaps clinging to a mat
open sea, sometimes with little sight of land. What is now the bottom of the Gulf of of floating vegetation or a raft of pumice.
Exactly how these ancient people did it Carpentaria off northern Australia was dry This so-called “sweepstake colonisation”
remains a mystery. The waters around the land; the submerged Sahul Banks in the Timor is often invoked to explain how terrestrial
island groups they would have navigated are Sea off Western Australia were coastline. reptiles and mammals make it onto distant
treacherous, and it has long been assumed Distances were different too. These days, tropical islands, and it could plausibly account
that early humans didn’t have the necessary the journey from the southernmost tip for the peopling of Sahul. Prevailing ocean
tools, mental or maritime. “It’s the equivalent of Asia to Australia is 463 kilometres. currents are favourable and any floating
of sending a spaceship to the moon,” says Back then it was just 90 kilometres. But castaways caught in them would have found
Michael Westaway at the University of even that is a long voyage, especially for the vast Sahul “hard to miss”, according to
Queensland in Australia. “There’s nothing people with only the most basic kit. archaeologist Jane Balme at the University
comparable in human evolution at that time.” Roughly 60,000 years is about as far back of Western Australia in Perth.
However, such scenarios are increasingly universally accepted. The oldest undisputed coastlines. But the Sahul coast would have
seen as unlikely – for two main reasons. date is 47,000 years ago. been significantly closer to the easternmost
Archaic humans, notably Homo erectus, were But the idea that humans could have been of the south-eastern Asian islands.
present in south-eastern Asia for the million in Sahul some 70,000 years ago is looking That doesn’t necessarily mean the journey
years before people turned up in Sahul, but increasingly plausible. A recently discovered was deliberate, but two fresh lines of evidence
there is no evidence of them ever reaching the settlement on the Indonesian island of seem to support the idea that it was.
continent during that time. The same goes for Sumatra – a possible staging post on the way The first concerns the route taken by the
the region’s other large-bodied mammals. The to Sahul – is roughly that old, and a 2016 colonists. Archaeologists have long recognised
other reason is demographic: even if people analysis of Australian Aboriginal DNA also that there were two plausible options (see map,
were accidentally swept alive to Sahul, they points in the same direction. page 40). The northern route begins on the
were vanishingly unlikely to have arrived in In which case, the journey looks slightly island of Sulawesi, hops across other islands
sufficient numbers to start a viable colony. less daunting. Sea level was 10 metres lower of Wallacea and makes landfall in Sahul on the
Admittedly, deliberate colonisation also 70,000 years ago than it was 50,000 years western tip of New Guinea. The southern route
seems implausible. “Nobody has put the ago, which would have further reduced the starts on the Indonesian island of Java, which
question to bed,” says Michael Bird at James distances involved. That isn’t a major factor in would have been part of the Asian mainland
Cook University in Cairns, Australia. Indonesia’s Wallacea islands, with their steep then, traverses the Lesser Sunda Islands to
One problem with working out how humans Timor, then either heads south to the coast
arrived in Sahul is that the timing is hazy. The of Sahul or continues east to the edge of
ancient archaeological record is sparse, says the – now submerged – Carpentarian Plain.
Bird, perhaps because colonists stuck to coastal “How did ancient Even at the lowest sea level, both routes
regions that are now under water. The oldest
known site is a rock shelter called Madjedbebe
people even know require at least one crossing approaching 100
kilometres and several of 20 to 30 kilometres,
in Australia’s Northern Territory. In the 1970s,
archaeologists dated it to around 50,000 years
Sahul was beyond says Bird. That puts the destination over the
horizon. With no knowledge of the curvature
ago. The most recent excavations have pushed the horizon?” of the planet, how did people know that Sahul
that back to 65,000 years, give or take five was even there? It is possible that they climbed
millennia, though these claims aren’t headlands or peaks to scan for distant land, >
ASIA
at unreasonably high frequencies. But it
also revealed that throwing in a bit of
planning – such as paddling a raft and setting
off during optimal weather and currents –
dramatically increases the chances of success.
Planned migration
Bird’s team also reanalysed visibility along the
FLORES two routes. Contrary to previous work, they
discovered a number of ways of navigating
from south-eastern Asia to Sahul without
ever losing sight of land. All of these are on a
TIMOR northern route, which affords uninterrupted
ROTI
SAHUL views of the high mountains of New Guinea;
for the southern route, all of the final crossings
would have had no sight of land. This doesn’t
rule out the southern route, says Bird,
especially when sea level was very low and
there were islands south of Timor. But it does
suggest that the assumption of a complete
leap into the unknown no longer holds water.
The other new line of evidence supporting
SOURCE: NATURE a planned migration comes from Corey
Bradshaw of Flinders University in Adelaide,
Australia, and his colleagues. They modelled
or inferred its existence from clouds, smoke, the demographics of colonisation, taking
migrating birds or the glow of bushfires. Even account of typical hunter-gatherer fertility
so, at some point, it appeared that they would rates and longevity and the ecological
have had to strike out into the unknown. conditions they would have encountered after
Both routes have their pros and cons. landing in Sahul. The calculations revealed that
The northern route has fewer crossings, the minimum founding population was 1300
a shorter overall distance and plenty of the people, perhaps all at once or in smaller groups
wide-stemmed bamboo that is considered over many years, which all but rules out
ideal for raft-building. But the islands would accidental colonisation.
“One way to find have been heavily forested, making it hard
to climb to vantage points, and prevailing
The peopling of Sahul was “probably
planned”, Bradshaw concludes. Bird agrees. “It
out if the journey north-south currents would have made it is not feasible that people randomly got there,”
tricky to maintain the correct heading. he says. “They had to think about it and they
was possible is The southern route, by and large, has shorter came in large numbers.” Why they came is a
to recreate it” crossings, although the final legs would have
been longer than any on the northern route.
different question. But the chances are they
were driven by dwindling resources, or simply
The vegetation was savannah, which is better the lure of the unknown, says Bird.
for reaching higher ground but worse for raft- And yet the mystery isn’t quite put to bed,
building material. On this route, the ancient says Westaway, because although the new
mariners would have to have used a material analyses are useful, only archaeology and
other than bamboo, or perhaps brought genetics can give us the full story. “What we are
stockpiles, both of which seem unlikely. missing is ancient genomes from Sahul,” he
Deciding which route was more likely says. These would tell us not only when people
depends on a detailed understanding of the arrived in Sahul with more certainty, but also
ancient ocean currents and climate. Last year, whether those people were related to the
Asteroid
alert!
The threat of a major collision is real.
Leah Crane guides us through a
step-by-step simulation of how we
would save the planet
I
T IS just after midnight on 29 April 2027. At the other end of the spectrum, there are
The island of Manhattan in New York has asteroids such as the one that hit Chicxulub in
been entirely evacuated. The lights in Times what is now Mexico about 66 million years ago,
Square are off, the streets abandoned. An eerie wiping out the dinosaurs. That one measured
silence hangs over the empty neighbourhoods. somewhere between 10 and 81 kilometres
Overhead, a ball of rock the size of a large across. Thankfully, such monsters are both
building is speeding towards the ground incredibly rare and big enough to see coming
at 19 kilometres per second. In a little over (see “Crater creators”, page 45).
a minute, if the calculations are right, it “We’ve found the vast majority of the
will explode in the sky over Central Park. ‘dinosaur-killing’ class of object, which is
The city has had 60 days to prepare. great, but when it comes to objects just below
Museums have been emptied of exhibits, that size, there are a lot of them out there,” says
nearby nuclear power stations shut down and Amy Mainzer at the University of Arizona’s
fleets of buses requisitioned. Inhabitants of Lunar and Planetary Laboratory. We have only
America’s most populous urban area need to found about one-third of the objects we think
be rehoused. The matter-of-fact briefing notes are capable of flattening a small country,
for the evacuation state: “People will be leaving and less than half of the asteroids that could
permanently. There will be nothing remaining.” destroy a city. Objects of this size pose a real
At 00:01:38, the rock hits. A blast equivalent risk, being both large enough to cause serious
to 1000 Hiroshima atomic bombs turns much damage but small enough to avoid detection.
of New York to rubble. The economic and
financial damage is incalculable. Ten million
people have just lost their homes. When the sky falls in
In a meeting hall in Washington DC, there “An asteroid impact is one of the few
is excited chatter as Paul Chodas declares the natural disasters that we know how to
simulation over. His five-day exercise at the prevent if we detect it far enough ahead of
2019 Planetary Defense Conference has played time,” says Johnson. The majority of asteroid
through the impact of an imaginary asteroid surveys are funded by NASA. In 2005, it
called 2019 PDC from detection to collision set a goal to detect, track and characterise
(follow the progress in italics on the following 90 per cent of the near-Earth objects that are
pages), to try to determine what would happen 140 metres across or larger by the end of 2020.
if – or when – the real thing happens. One way to tell how we are doing is to count
“This is basically the worst-case scenario,” how often our observatories rediscover the
says Chodas. “It all makes for a good movie plot same objects. The fewer new objects we spot,
line, of course, but they are realistic factors.” the more confident we can be that we have
Yet as the room full of astronomers, engineers spotted most of the asteroids out there. So
and government decision-makers has just far, we have found less than half of those
found out, happy endings aren’t guaranteed. that astronomical estimates suggest there
The risk of an asteroid collision is the price should be. Even though none of the ones
we pay for living in our crowded bit of space. we have found has a significant chance of
The sun’s gravity attracts not only the moons hitting Earth in the next 100 years, those
and planets of our solar system, but also many are worrying statistics.
rocky or icy loners and vagabonds that jostle “With the telescope capabilities we have
for room. So far, astronomers have spotted now, not seeing an incoming asteroid in time
more than 21,000 asteroids with orbits that to prevent an impact is a distinct possibility,”
are set to bring them close to our world. says Johnson. Part of the problem is that
Every day, another one of these near-Earth ground-based telescopes need Goldilocks
objects is discovered. conditions in which to work. “They can only
For most of them, the chance of striking operate at night, in clear weather, when the
Earth is close to zero. As for the rest, the vast moon is not full so the sky isn’t too bright,” he
majority aren’t worth worrying about. Tens says. We have failed to observe large asteroids
of thousands of tonnes of material falls from making relatively close passes by Earth several
space every year, most of it in the form of times, including as recently as mid-2019,
inconsequential particles of dust. Even an he says. Luckily, none of those has been on
TOTTO RENNA
asteroid the size of a car would burn up in a collision course with us. That said, the
the atmosphere, putting on a light show but more pressing danger is still likely to be
not causing any destruction on the ground. from something we do see coming. >
Australia’s
Wolfe Creek
crater was formed
by an impactor
15 metres across
RANDY OLSON/NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
SOURCE: NASA
blow it up or change its trajectory. Shattering many to track One per million years
it with a nuclear bomb, the course favoured in Most recent
disaster movies such as Armageddon and Deep About 900,000 years ago, Zhamanshin crater
Diameter in Kazakhstan. We know of about 80 per cent
Impact, tends to be a non-starter for political ~100 metres
of the estimated number of objects this size
reasons. “There is a problem with international Damage
treaties: you cannot really launch nuclear Could destroy a city
weapons into space,” says Peter Vereš, an Collision frequency
astronomer at the Minor Planet Center. One per 2000 years
Most recent: NOT TO SCALE
It is also an issue of practicality: when Tunguska event in Russia, 1908. We know
you blow up an asteroid, the shrapnel doesn’t of less than half of the objects this size that
just disappear. They are probably still headed astronomers suspect are out there
towards Earth, and they might not all be small
enough to disintegrate in the atmosphere. missile to deflect the asteroid is deemed too reflective asteroids to have lower densities
“You’re not going to eliminate it, so you’re controversial, and so all efforts are devoted because they are a porous mixture of rock and
going to have, instead of a single object to kinetic impactors. To give the asteroid the ice, whereas brighter asteroids are likely to be
coming at you, essentially buckshot,” says shove it needs, six rockets must be launched more solid. Radar data could also let us define
Johnson. “That could spread the devastation at the end of May 2023, scheduled to collide the orbit more precisely and look for any big
over a broader area of Earth.” It also makes in August 2024. This will require the boulders or moons that might be orbiting the
the danger less predictable. collaboration of multiple space agencies, asteroid and making it even more dangerous.
So we are left with one good way of getting each sending the heaviest rockets at their There is a limit to how much we can find
rid of an incoming asteroid: we will have to disposal on a one-way mission. The launch out about asteroids from the ground, though.
push it off course. For a long time, the most times of these rockets are all precisely fixed: That is why NASA’s OSIRIS-REx and Japanese
popular proposal was a gravity tractor, a large the orbital dynamics gives us just one shot space agency JAXA’s Hayabusa 2 missions to
spacecraft that would fly close to an asteroid, at getting this right. bring back samples from potentially hazardous
slowly changing its trajectory via the craft’s asteroids are so important. “Studying
own gravitational attraction without ever Before we can do anything like that, meteorites is great, but with these missions,
actually touching it. This method would we have to learn more about asteroids. “It’s we can see what they look like without getting
be slow, though, so most of the work in much easier to protect ourselves if we know fried by flying through Earth’s atmosphere
recent years has shifted to the use of kinetic our enemy,” says Vereš. We already know that at 20,000 miles per hour,” says Mainzer.
impactors: spacecraft that simply slam into some asteroids are porous bundles of rock So far, both of the asteroids being visited
the approaching rock to change its course. called rubble piles, whereas others are solid by NASA and JAXA – Bennu and Ryugu – are
iron. There is probably a spectrum of different more porous than we expected, with Bennu
The Planetary Defense Conference is now compositions in between. Knowing their being 40 per cent pores and caves, and Ryugu
in its third day. Within the world of the composition matters, says Mainzer. “The as much as 50 per cent empty on the inside.
simulation, that is 30 December 2021, and physics of pushing something out of the That could present a problem for a potential
Recon 1, a spacecraft sent to observe 2019 way is dependent on its nature.” kinetic impactor mission. “If an asteroid is a
PDC, has vital new information. We now So, immediately after detecting a dangerous rubble pile, it has lots of holes inside, so if you
know, with near 100 per cent certainty, asteroid, the race to characterise it will begin. punch it, it might change shape but not change
that the asteroid is on course to impact Earth-based telescopes will tell us its size and its orbit,” says Vereš. “It’s like hitting a sponge
near Denver, Colorado. Deploying a nuclear shape, as well as its reflectivity. We expect less- with a baseball bat.” If these rubble-pile >
asteroids are common, which seems likely, Earth rises. But given the asteroid’s small Management Agency] would address after
we need to study and test the effects of a size, any disruption is likely to break it apart, the fact, like they do for other disasters.”
kinetic impactor more carefully. causing a repeat of today’s scenario. A radical But thanks to planetary defence research,
NASA is on the job with the Double Asteroid proposal is raised for a deliberately robust the chances of such a clean-up ever being
Redirect Test (DART) probe. DART is due to collision, shattering the rock into such small necessary are pretty slim. “If we try hard
launch next year to the asteroid Didymos, pieces that no damage to Earth’s surface enough,” says Mainzer, “it’s something
where it will deliberately crash into the will result. That means a nuclear device is that we can cross off our list of worries.”
asteroid’s 150-metre moonlet, nicknamed needed. The legality of such a launch sparks An asteroid probably won’t kill us all.
Didymoon. That is expected to change heated debates. Meanwhile, time ticks on. But it would be good to know for sure.
Didymoon’s orbit enough for the effects
to be visible from Earth. Once we know how Ultimately, a disastrous asteroid strike of A last-ditch nuclear strike on the asteroid
crashing into an asteroid (or, in this case, an this sort remains very unlikely. But we should remnant has been cancelled for lack of
asteroid moon) affects its motion, we will still be prepared. That means working on more time. The collision has been inevitable for
be much better equipped to build a kinetic mission concepts (see “They just might work”, weeks. Last night, the Arecibo Observatory
impactor – and guarantee it works. above), building more telescopes to look for in Puerto Rico confirmed the space rock
asteroids and maybe moving them into orbit would explode above Central Park, New
Chodas has good news and bad news. so that they can operate 24/7. For Chodas, that York, in 10 days’ time, after approaching
The good news is that the kinetic impactor also means running more “what if” scenarios, Manhattan at an angle of 29 degrees south
missions have hit 2019 PDC, and the bulk testing the limits of our contingency planning. of due east. By a quirk of fate, that matches
of the asteroid is no longer on course to hit “In each one of these exercises, we go a little the orientation of many of the island’s
Earth. The bad news is that a fragment about deeper into interesting details and we are streets, giving any life forms in the city an
60 metres across remains on its original forced to think about issues that we haven’t uninterrupted view of the incoming fireball.
trajectory. That isn’t all: contact has been thought about before,” he says. The 9/11 attacks damaged an area of
lost with the Recon 1 spacecraft, probably This most recent scenario, for instance, around 16 acres; 2019 PDC is expected
owing to collision with debris. The resulting brought home to him the scale of the to render 20,480 acres uninhabitable.
lack of information is compounded by the disaster response required. “Evacuating a The evacuations begin immediately. ❚
asteroid now being behind the sun, making large metropolitan area, of course, would be a
it impossible to observe from Earth. Our daunting task,” he says. “What was eye-opening
options are limited. It is now 3 September for me was how long that would take.” As for Leah Crane is a reporter
2024, and as the collision time approaches, how life resumes on the day after the sky falls for New Scientist based
the momentum needed to disrupt the in, that is beyond his remit. “That’s something in Chicago. She tweets
fragment’s trajectory sufficiently to avoid that FEMA [the US Federal Emergency @downhereonearth
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SOUVENIR ISSUE
MOON LANDING
5OTH ANNIVERSARY
1969-2O19
THE
QUEST
FOR
SPACE
Don’t miss a special souvenir issue from
New Scientist celebrating the 50th anniversary
of the moon landings. Explore the past, present
and future of space exploration with over 100
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solar system, plus 20 pages of newly resurfaced
historical content from New Scientist’s archive
detailing the original space race as it happened
A celebration of flavour
For Chinese New Year, why not make tofu and turn it into
a multisensory experience, says Sam Wong
JAMES WINSPEAR
Stimulating them sends signals to
Soya beans the brain that we perceive as heat.
Cheesecloth (muslin) Some people find these sensations
Nigari (magnesium chloride) pleasurable, perhaps because they
Container with holes for may stimulate the body to release
drainage hormones called endorphins, Science of cooking online
although this is speculative, All projects are posted at
For next week In Sichuan province, China, newscientist.com/cooking Email: cooking@newscientist.com
Salmon chillies are eaten in prodigious
Salt quantities, often alongside
Sugar another ingredient with strange and blend them with 2 litres of Transfer these to a muslin-lined
Dill properties. Sichuan peppercorns water. Heat the resultant milk container. This needs to allow
come from a tree in the citrus until it begins to boil, then strain liquid to drain out: a plastic
family. Their effect is quite it through muslin and squeeze container with holes in the base
unique: they create a numb, out as much liquid as possible. is fine. Fold the muslin over the
tingling sensation in the mouth Curdle the soya milk by adding curds and put something weighty
similar to pins and needles. nigari, which you can find online. on top to press the liquid out.
The molecule responsible is It is a salt produced from seawater, Keep it there for 20 minutes, or
Next in the series called sanshool. A 2013 study and mostly contains magnesium longer for firmer tofu. Cold water
1 Caramelising onions found that it generated sensations chloride. It acts as a coagulant will help firm it up more.
2 Making cheese that we perceive as a 50-hertz because the positively charged My favourite way to eat tofu,
3 Science of crispiness vibration, a frequency that magnesium ions link up the milk’s from Lizzie Mabbott’s book
4 Tofu and Sichuan pepper activates our Meissner receptors, negatively charged proteins. Chinatown Kitchen, is to dust cubes
5 Gravlax and curing which are responsible for For this, mix 15 grams of nigari of it in cornflour and deep-fry
The science behind an detecting light touch. with 100 millilitres of water. Bring them. Grind and toast a teaspoon
age-old technique Making tofu is a lot like making the milk to a boil again, then of Sichuan peppercorns, then stir-
6 Tempering chocolate cheese, and the first step is to remove from the heat and stir fry for 3 minutes with chopped
7 Umami and flavour create soya milk. Avoid off-the- in half the nigari solution. After chillies. Add chopped garlic, spring
8 Perfect pancakes shelf soya milk because it doesn’t 2 minutes, sprinkle the rest on onion and the tofu cubes, then fry
9 Kimchi and fermentation coagulate well. Soak 250 grams of the milk and stir gently. After 10 for a few minutes more. Serve with
10 Sourdough bread soya beans overnight, then drain minutes, you will have solid curds. rice or noodles. Happy New Year! ❚
Cryptic crossword #23 – The Black Hole set by Sparticle Puzzle set by Rob Eastaway
How is a smartwatch
Poetic prediction
able to track different
“Red sky at night, shepherds’ types of sleep?
delight; red sky in the morning,
shepherds’ warning.” Putting
Come clean
aside the occupation of the
observer, is there any truth in Is there a difference between
this adage? If so, why is it true? shampoo and shower gel and,
if so, what is it?
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