Week 13 Practice Problems Solutions

You might also like

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 5

Practice Problems Week 13 Solutions. Microeconomics. Econ 300.

Professor
Singh.

1) John has a concave utility function of U(W) = W0.5. His only asset is
shares in an Internet start-up company. Tomorrow he will learn the
stock’s value. He believes that it is worth $144 with probability 2/3
and $225 with probability 1/3. What is his expected utility? What risk
premium would he pay to avoid bearing the risk?

John’s expected wealth is EW = (2/3 * $144) + (1/3 * $225) = $96 + $75 =


$171. His expected utility is EU = (2/3 * U(144)) + (1/3*U(225)) = (2/3*12)
+ (1/3*15) = 13. He would pay up to an amount P to avoid bearing the risk,
where U(EW – P) = U(171 – P) = √(171 – P) = 13 = EU. Squaring both sides
we find (171 – P) = 169, so P = 2. So John would accept an offer today for
his stock today of $169 or more, which reflects a risk premium of $2.

m
er as
co
eH w
o.
2) Jacob’s utility function is U(W) = W0.33, where W is wealth. Is he risk
rs e
averse? Jacob has an initial wealth of $27,000. How much of a risk
ou urc
premium would he require to participate in a gamble that has 50%
probability of raising his wealth to $29,791 and a 50% probability of
lowering his wealth to $24,389?
o
aC s
vi y re

Yes, Jacob is risk averse because he has a declining marginal utility of


wealth (MUW = 1/3W-2/3). The risk premium is the amount that a risk-
averse person would pay to avoid taking a risk. The expected value of the
ed d

gamble is EV = 0.5*29,791 + 0.5*24389 = $27,091. Jacob’s expected utility


from the gamble is EU = 0.5*29,7911/3 + 0.5*24,3891/3 = 30. Note that this
ar stu

is equal to his original utility of wealth (27,0001/3 = 30), so he is indifferent


between the gamble and his initial wealth level. As such, we know his
required risk premium is EV - $27,000 = $27,091 - $27,000 = $91.
is
Th

3) Jamie just inherited a vineyard from a distant relative. In good years


(when there is no rain or frost during harvest season), she earns
$100,000 from the sale of grapes from the vineyard. If the weather is
sh

poor, she loses $20,000. Jamie’s estimate of the probability of good


weather is 60%.
a. Calculate the expected value and the variance of Jamie’s income
from the vineyard.

This study source was downloaded by 100000805188850 from CourseHero.com on 05-26-2021 09:36:03 GMT -05:00

https://www.coursehero.com/file/30768030/Week-13-Practice-Problems-Solutionsdocx/
EV = 0.6*$100,000 + 0.4*(-$20,000) = $52,000. Var = 0.6*(100,000 –
52,000)2 + 0.4*(-20,000 – 52,000)2 = 3,456,000,000.

b. Jamie is risk averse. James, a grape buyer, offers Jamie a


guaranteed payment of $70,000 each year in exchange for her
entire harvest. Will Jamie accept this offer? Explain.

Yes, she would accept the offer because the expected value of the harvest
($52,000) is below that of the sure thing offer of $70,000.

m
er as
c. Why might James make such an offer?

co
eH w
James may have a different idea of the probabilities of good weather and
bad weather. If he believes the chance of good weather is 90%, he is making

o.
a good investment from his perspective. It is also possible that he is risk-
rs e
loving. If his expected utility from the harvest is greater than his utility of
ou urc
$70,000 with certainty, he will make the purchase. See the figure below.
o
aC s
vi y re
ed d
ar stu
is
Th
sh

This study source was downloaded by 100000805188850 from CourseHero.com on 05-26-2021 09:36:03 GMT -05:00

https://www.coursehero.com/file/30768030/Week-13-Practice-Problems-Solutionsdocx/
m
er as
co
eH w
o.
rs e
ou urc
o
aC s
vi y re
ed d

4) Suppose that Anna’s utility function with respect to wealth is U(W) =


100 + 100W – W2. Show that for W < 10, Anna’s Arrow-Pratt risk-
ar stu

aversion measure increases with her wealth.


is
Th
sh

This study source was downloaded by 100000805188850 from CourseHero.com on 05-26-2021 09:36:03 GMT -05:00

https://www.coursehero.com/file/30768030/Week-13-Practice-Problems-Solutionsdocx/
m
er as
co
eH w
o.
rs e
ou urc
o
aC s
vi y re
ed d

5) Greg and Bob are neighbors. Each owns a car valued at $10,000.
ar stu

Neither has comprehensive insurance (which covers losses due to


theft). Greg’s wealth, including the value of his car is $80,000. Bob’s
wealth, including the value of his car is $20,000. Greg and Bob have
is

identical utility of wealth functions U(W) = W0.4. Greg and Bob can
park their cars on the street or rent space in a garage. In their
Th

neighborhood, there is a 50% probability that a street-parked car will


be stolen during the year. A garage-parked car will not be stolen.
a. What is the largest amount that Greg is willing to pay to park
sh

his car in the garage? What is the maximum amount that Bob is
willing to pay?

EUGreg = 0.5(80,000 – 10,000)0.4 + 0.5*80,0000.4 = 89.08. EUBob = 0.5(20,000


– 10,000)0.4 + 0.5*10,0000.4 = 46.17. Let pg be the largest amount Greg is
willing to pay and pb be the largest amount Bob is willing to pay, then:

This study source was downloaded by 100000805188850 from CourseHero.com on 05-26-2021 09:36:03 GMT -05:00

https://www.coursehero.com/file/30768030/Week-13-Practice-Problems-Solutionsdocx/
u(80,000 – pg) = EUGreg = 89.08 -> pc = 5100.11 and u(20,000 – pb) = EUBob
= 46.17 -> pb = 5515.13

b. Compare Greg’s willingness-to-pay to Bob’s. Why do they differ?


Include a comparison of their Arrow-Pratt measure of risk
aversion.

Note that pg < pb because Bob is more risk-averse than Greg. The Arrow-
Pratt measure of risk aversion at any wealth level W is:

which is a decreasing function of the wealth level W.

m
er as
co
eH w
o.
rs e
ou urc
o
aC s
vi y re
ed d
ar stu
is
Th
sh

This study source was downloaded by 100000805188850 from CourseHero.com on 05-26-2021 09:36:03 GMT -05:00

https://www.coursehero.com/file/30768030/Week-13-Practice-Problems-Solutionsdocx/
Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)

You might also like