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Chaos Theory The Hunt is ON Why Price Patterns?

10 Cool Ways to Live Again


Learn how using chaos Tell us your stories, the Underpinning nature, Want to improve your life
theory can clear things up! good, the bad and the ugly underpinning the Forex and your trading?

issue 2 | Second Edition

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG
F X G r o u n d w o r k s . c o m / Yo u r P a t t e r n T r a d i n g R e s o u r c e

Jump Start
A 6 month program that will jump start your journey
as an pattern trader.

Education, Got it?


You can spend years figuring it out, or you can start
reading the articles inside this issue!

Trade Validation
A New Proven Tool With Sophisticated Algorithms!

1,450,000+ Patterns
In Our Database
Knowing the statistical odds.

The Hunt is ON!


Another force is at work here...

Brought to you by the leaders in fibonaccipattern trading; FXGroundworks.com


Second Edition

CONTENTS
3. Fibonacci Patterns and have a life?
FXGroundworks
Fibonacci Pattern Trading is the 19. The biggest trade of 2011
most effective way of trading Meet Beezer, the winner of our largest
the Forex Market, with a 70% winning trade.
success rate.
20. Change - why should we?
4. Chaos Theory and the Are you profitable, or not?
Financial Markets
Heard of the butterfly effect? 21. Actions and Reactions
There is order in randomness. Sir Isaac Newton’s law applies to the
Forex too.
5. Strange Attractors
What are they? Are they useful? 22. Riding out Retracements
Can you - do you?
6. The Hunt is ON
How reliable are your brokers? 23. Jump Start your trading
Which ones have cared about 6 months intensive training course for
whether you succeed or fail as a the savvy trader.
trader?

8. Pattern Selection
Good patterns make the differ-
FXGROUNDWORKSMAG
ence between a good pattern
the best practical trading mag
trader and a great pattern trader.
EDITORIAL TEAM
10. Chart Replication John Breen
Joanna Simpson
13. Gambling or trading?
PROOF READERS
How do we know the difference Maggie Smith
between whether we trade or Simone Vaughan
just gamble? Toni-Lee Reardon

14. Coping with Volatility ADVISORS AND RESEARCH


Mike Anderson
How do we manage to keep our
Lana Frederickson
heads when the market is whip-
ping our trades to shreds? And I almost forgot, we want
to thank our readers for their
18. 10 Cool ways to live dedication and faithfulness to this
again magazine. You rock!
Are you so bogged down in the
Copyright © 2012
trading cycle you can’t seem to FXGroundworksMag
FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition
STRATEGIES | Methods

FIBONACCI PATTERNS &


FXGROUNDWORKS
FXGroundworks.com is the only website that specializes in fibonacci pattern trading by sifting through over 570
charts on every tick of the market to alert traders to specific price patterns. They provide you with the most ad-
vanced tools to seek out the most highly profitable patterns that fit into your trading plan. They focus on finding
price patterns for Forex Traders who want to trade with 70% probability on their side.
By FXGroundworks

F XG R O U N D W O R K S F I B O N A CC I PAT T E R N T R A D I N G I S
T H E M O S T E F F E C T I V E WAY O F T R A D I N G T H E F O R E X
M A R K E T. W I T H A ~70% S U CC E S S R AT E , L I T T L E W O N -
OVER
DER THE POPULARIT Y IT ’S GAINED OVER RECENT 1,450,000
YEARS.
PATTERNS
Fibonacci pattern trading sorts through the chaos of the currency
market and uses its power to harness patterns that make you less
IN THE
emotional when trading to earn money. DATABASE,
FXGroundworks also awakens you to the sheer beauty of the world STATISTICS
around us. They teach you to appreciate the marvel that is in and
around each of us and then they relate that to the currency market. ARE NOT A
The patterns they alert but it ain’t easy. If you’ve traded for a
GUESS, BUT A
you to give you the opportu- while and struggled to make a consis- FACT.
nity to sort out which ones tent profit, you will have learned that
suit your trading plan and already. The market has a mind of its
the most probable trades. own and a will of its own.

Their Education Center However with FXGroundworks,


is one of the best teaching the learning curve is sure and steady.
tools that one could want to You will convert to a safe and reliable
experience and their research currency trader once you become a
and development in this con- member of the site, learn the methods
tinually shifting environment thoroughly and adopt the harmonic
makes sure you learn to stay principles and practices.
at the top of your game.
Want to know more? Go to www.
Don’t let anyone tell you fxgroundworks.com and start your
that trading the Forex is fast journey towards a new career or kick
and easy. It might be fast start your old one as a currency trader.

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


CHAOS
THEORY
AND THE
FINANCIAL
MARKETS
a period of time the environment
does change from what might
have ultimately happened on any
given day. For instance, instead of
a tsunami devastating some island
nation, there may be a tornado in
North America.

These types of incidents are fre-


quently attributed to Chaos Theory
where a small alteration in condi-
tions can have a profound effect on
the longer term state of affairs of a
region.

Lorenz believed it was not fea-


sible to accurately forecast weather
however his experiment ultimately
CHAOS THEORY AND THE FINANCIAL MARKETS became known as Chaos Theory.
BY FXGROUNDWORKS His theory was based on the fact
that starting with the number 2 the
end result could be totally different
C H A O S T H E O R Y I S T H E S T U DY O F N O N - L I N E A R DY N A M I C S . I T S from a result with a starting value of
P R I N C I PA L P U R P O S E I S TO P R O V E T H AT T H E R E I S O R D E R I N 2.000001.
RANDOMNESS.
Using Chaos Theory provides us
with a way of taking something very
The Markets (Stocks, Futures or Forex), being non-linear, chaotic like the financial markets
suit this type of theory – the theory that from repetitive, and organizing the data so that we
seemingly haphazard behaviour, an orderly pattern emerges. can forecast future moves. We orga-
nize this data by using patterns and
In 1960, a meteorologist named Edward Lorenz set up an different principles.
experiment in which he attempted to model the weather. His
experiment eventually led to what has been termed ‘the but- We cannot calculate every pos-
terfly effect’ whereby the difference in the starting points of sible move in the market and which
an event could be so tiny that it can be compared to a butter- events will unfold and which will
fly flapping its wings. not, however we can use this infor-
mation to give us a statistical edge
Such flapping of a butterfly’s wings can produce a minus- and then it would just be a matter of
cule alteration in the atmosphere. The theory goes that over playing the odds and obeying your

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition


money management rules when you
trade. STRANGE
Fibonacci Pattern Trading is one
such method that embraces Chaos
Theory and attempts to harness its
ATTRACTORS
pandemonium into predicted direc- Strange attractors are used in the
tions within the financial markets. market to further help us pinpoint
when we should be trading, and When trading around the attrac-
FXGroundworks.com is the pri- when we should just be watching. tor we have to be extremely care-
mary educational site that can teach ful, as price could tend to get very
traders about Chaos Theory, Fractals Have you ever looked at a chart violent and sporadic. When price
and human repetition. and wondered when it’s the right moves away from the attractor we
time to get in? Of course - and this can gain more of a statistical edge.
Amid the chaos of the market how is the problem our attractors can One of the first questions people
can we predict where price might go? solve for us and further organize our usually ask about an attractor is how
How can we envisage that self-or- charts. they can spot them or see them in
ganising clusters of price bars might the market.
show us that there is order in chaos? An attractor is a set towards which
a variable, moving according to We have many lessons on this
FXGroundworks.com have the dictates of a dynamic system, however the best way is presented
utilised a way discovered many evolves over time - such as the in our videos in the Educational Cen-
years ago to harness the power of financial markets. ter. These quick resources will bring
fibonacci pattern trading and to to you everything you need to know
organise those patterns into their There are different types of about attractors.
site to give a more predictable way attractors - for instance the LORENZ
of trading. point attractor or the limit cycle
attractor, however we use a strange ATTRACTOR
Not all of these patterns will work attractor because it is a non-integer
out well and unless we keep the dimension attractor. (EXAMPLE OF
losses on those pattern trades small,
and let the patterns that do work out An example of a strange attractor A STRANGE
well have their head, we won’t suc- would be the Lorenz system. It looks
ceed as traders. like a crazy 8 type pattern. ATTRACTOR)

Price will not always go where


we want it to go, however fibonacci
pattern alerts give you many op-
portunities to test the Chaos Theory.
In markets there is much success
to be had when price follows the
predicted pattern conjecture.

MANY

PATTERN

TRADERS USE

ATTRACTORS

TO HELP

EXPLAIN THE
F XG R O U N D W O R K S E D U C AT I O N A L C E N T E R
MARKET.
MORE IN CHAPTER 7 OF OUR VIDEO EDUCATION

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


THE HUNT IS ON
I N T H I S V O L AT I L E F O R E X M A R K E T, H O W H A R D I S I T F O R U S TO F I N D A
R E P U TA B L E B R O K E R T H AT O F F E R S U S T H E B E S T S E R V I C E P O S S I B L E ?

How do we know which brokers have We all have stories of our successes
BY FXGROUNDWORKS
good spreads and which ones may and failures with brokers. At the
widen spreads on us in times of time of writing, some of us have
unpredictable price fluctuation? had several negative experiences
with brokers. One trader told us that
The answer lies in examining the his broker closed a trade for a loss
brokers’ service and keeping an eye when price went nowhere near his
on how they deal with our accounts. stop – making it painfully obvious
This can be a time-consuming they were after his money. In this
exercise, with many traders too instance when challenged, the broker
busy analyzing charts and watching reinstated his trade, realizing that
for good opportunities to be able they had hunted stops before price
to closely monitor the brokers’ had even reached that point.
activities. However unless we can do
that regularly, we may be susceptible An experience with a different broker
to some creative market makers came about when another trader
making off with more of our hard- had a stop at break-even and a
earned pips than we want them to. news event occurred, causing price

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition


Most people when asked what constitutes a decent broker will reply,
‘one where I know my money is safe, and where they’re not likely to
go into liquidation, taking my money with them’.
to spike. The broker stopped the trade out for -34 pips,
even though it was at break-even. In this instance, they Others might say, ‘a decent broker is one who doesn’t hunt my stops
would not make good the trade nor reinstate it to break- and allows me to have a fair go when trading’. Yet others have an
even and the money was lost. The broker’s reasoning opinion of good customer service getting their vote.
was that they could not prevent some trades from being
affected in high-volatility markets and they could not These things would be ideal but we know we don’t live in an ideal
guarantee stops even though this trade was at break- world. Brokers would not be in business if traders won all the time
even. In effect they assured the trader that having her and they (the brokers) lost money.
trades at break-even was not safe during high-volatility
market movement. So be aware of this problem if you So the hunt for a reliable, ‘decent’ broker is on.
have an open trade in a volatile environment such as
NFP or around news announcements; there may be a We’d like your stories – horror stories or good stories so we can
detrimental effect on your pair of choice. collate a general overview of traders’ best and worst experiences.
Email your stories to:
These and other instances leave us wondering how we
find a decent broker and what does the term ‘decent’ info@fxgroundworks.com
mean? .

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


PATTERN
SELECTION
MADE EASY
Pattern selection and pattern
validation techniques can mean the
difference between a good pattern built upon. When we take out the microscope
trader, and a great pattern trader. we can start to examine more of the
This can best be explained by specifics.
As we commenced the develop- a little adventure I had recently.
ment of creating the “score” that How many bars should a pattern
analyzes the validation of the struc- I was looking at an invest- contain before it’s considered struc-
ture of the pattern (and thus help us ment property that was right turally sound? How many pips from
with our pattern selection) we took along the Atlantic Ocean. A the first fib of the reversal zone to
into account over 1,450,000 pat- beautiful Condo with suites large the last valid fib of the reversal zone
terns that are now in our database. enough to be considered the do we allow when giving the trade
same area as your medium-sized enough time to work out?
Statistics play a huge role in your house. However, the developer
decision making skills, and with well ran into a problem. The build- We can dive deeper and ask the
over half a million patterns turning ing was later ruled unsafe and question, what is more important, a
out some of the most tested fibo- didn’t get licensed because the pattern with lots of bars or a pattern
nacci pattern research the industry ground it was built on, wasn’t where the ratios are most preferred?
has yet to see, you can be confident safe. So even though the build- Does one give more significance
that the information we share with ing looked great, the investment than the other?
you is well tested. did not.
All these questions have answers;
There are two critical conditions Likewise with patterns, even and all the answers once compiled
when looking at the structure of the if a pattern looks good, some- give us results. When you use the
pattern. One of the most critical times the investment or trade pattern validation tool at FXGround-
conditions you can observe when we make doesn’t always make works you will discover the ability
looking at a pattern is the internal sense based on external factors. to quickly identify the structure of
structure, and the other; the external In the building example, the every pattern without the need to
structure. Both get presented at the building could fall over, and in do all the analysis yourself.
time a pattern is identified and both our case the trade would stand
are equally important. a greater chance of failing. Experience fibonacci patterns
without the difficulties most pat-
Imagine you’re building an apart- What goes into the pattern tern traders face. Just another tool
ment building that is going to be 18 validation? Understand that the available at FXGroundworks.com.
stories high. The internal strucutre elements we use to “score”
(the support columns for example) of these patterns are long and
the building has to be engineered to rather complex. We don’t just
hold the weight of all the floors, to look at the pattern, but we look
stand up during an earth quake and at the surrounding candlesticks
to be able to withstand strong winds. of the pattern to identify the vol-
The external structure also has to be atility of the external structure.
strong - that could be likened to the
soil that the building is going to be And this is just the beginning.

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition


Pattern Validation
Analyzes the structure of every fibonacci pattern!

Now Available!

FXGroundworks.com

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


ONE OF THE BIGGEST CHALLENGES TRADERS FACE
DA I LY I S F I G U R I N G O U T H O W M U C H TO R I S K O N
ANY PAR TICULAR TR ADE. C AN WE C ALCULATE IT
Bad Example
S TAT I S T I C A L LY ?
Risk is equal to
GAMBLING OR the reward.
TRADING?
The long-term outcome of gambling is loss.

Gamblers who started the habit in their teens are


around three times more likely to remain habitual adult
gamblers. Life in general seems to endorse gambling,
with lotteries, well-known horse races, dog races; in fact
some people will bet on two flies crawling up a wall, if
they have a predilection to gamble. Gambling is a very
broad problem and is not as clear cut as we think. It is
in every walk of life.

As traders, we need to learn not to be gamblers. Our


approach when trading should be based on consid-

ered, practical and techni-


cal evaluation of our price
pattern trading opportu-
nity; our position and our
risk. The question to ask
ourselves is, are we gam-
bling instead of trading? Do
we need to get immediate
results from trading, or are
we content to let a trade
ride and be able to accept
a small loss or appreciate a
good winner.
Bad
If traders gamble, they consider jumping into a trade loss will sometimes hold the platform until price moves
around news, trying to capitalize on which way the in their brokerage’s favor. The trader who has closed out
market might head. Some traders take what’s known as the short trade is now forced into a losing position that
OCO trades (one cancels the other) which simply means can’t be closed out because the broker may have frozen
they will put two trades on the same pair, one short, the the platform. This freezing of the platform and move-
other long. They are gambling with a 50-50 chance of be- ment of the spread by the broker, is called slippage.
ing right (or wrong). The difficulty with this gamble is the Brokers often blame this slippage on their liquidity
stop placement and the risk involved and the fact that providers. It could be a combination of both companies
price may not continue the way they think it should. For conspiring against the poor luckless news trader.
instance a pair might go up (long) which results in the
trader closing out his short position. The pair can move Risk versus reward objectives help counter the tendency
up 20 - 30 pips before slamming back down again in one for traders to jump into a trade based on emotion. They
fell swoop. The broker, unable and unwilling to take the can take a considered approach based on pure math-

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition


ematical calculations. This objective is consequently tak-

Good Example ing away the aspect of gambling on a trade and replacing
it with more of a premeditated assessment of a reason-
able outcome.
Risk is half the Analysis and decision-making helps remove the emo-

reward. tional (gambling) aspect and allows traders to confine


their prospective trading strategy to a 1:2 – 1:6 risk ver-
sus reward base.

Anything less than 1:2 becomes unworthy of the time


to trade when the return is no more than risking one
pip to gain one or one and one half pips. Anything more
than a ratio of 1:6 becomes an improbable trading sce-
nario.

If we find we are unable to cease trading breakouts,


fake-outs, news and volatility then we know we have an
urge to gamble. And we know our long-term prognosis as
traders if we are just gamblers, is failure. So, don’t let’s
speculate on the news events or similar volatile times
like Non-farm Payroll (NFP) out of the United States.
Let’s take a studied, calculated statistical approach.

While we cannot predict when we’re going to take a


winning trade, we can use fibonacci pattern trading to
give us an edge to know that 70% of the time, the PRZ
will give us a measured point where price might turn.
Good Let’s not gamble at all...let’s use price pattern trading to
give us an edge.

That edge is available through the tools at FXGround-


works where the site automatically scans for a valid risk
vs reward and then lets you filter these results to show
the good patterns to take rather than the bad.

Good
LEGEND
Yellow is the entry point.

Red is the point where you get


out of the trade.

Green = Target Point (1st)

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


BY FXGROUNDWORKS
COPING WITH
VOLATILITY
2008 = Subprime Mortgage Crisis

FOR A FEW MONTHS A YEAR, For a few months a year, we


WE WONDER WHY WE CHOSE wonder why we chose the career we
THE CAREER WE CARVED OUT carved out for ourselves as currency
F O R O U R S E LV E S A S C U R R E N C Y traders.
TRADERS. VOLATILIT Y WILL PLAY Those months are generally when
A B I G R O L E I N YO U R B I G G E S T the market movers are on holidays
W I N N E R S A N D YO U R B I G G E S T and volume dries up. It can also
LO S E R S . H O W E V E R , I F YO U R happen when countries intervene in
MONE Y MANAGEMENT IS TIGHT the future of their home currency to
E N O U G H YO U R LO S E R S W I L L B E influence its strength and bring their
K E P T S H O R T, A N D YO U R W I N - currency back to a more manageable
N E R S W I L L B E L E F T TO G R O W level.
A N D T U R N O U T TO B E S O M E O F There are reasons markets are
T H E G R E AT E S T T R A D E S YO U ’ V E volatile. It is generally caused by
EVER MADE. human intervention or catastrophic
events that are beyond our control.
As pattern traders, we need to care
less about that unpredictability – all less you’re riding it in the right direc-
we need to do is lower our risk and tion, and unless you have decisive
make the most of our opportunities and affordable stops in place, it can
after these large movements occur. be a heart stopper.
VOLATILITY Ever been in a trade where you If a trader was holding a short po-
have no stop or have placed a wide sition on a pair that has a high ATR,
CAN HURT stop to try to avoid that ever-present they could suffer a shattering 1,000
threat of being stopped out? The pip move against them within a
YOU IF NOT precariousness of the market can couple of days. If they’d had a valid
impact on traders who have this long price pattern and it went their
RESPECTED. approach to trading. It is the most way, giving them 1,000 pips in the
probable way of draining your ac- bank, they would have been happy
USE IT count balance. with the direction and figured they
These explosive trades that move were a hero.
CAREFULLY. hundreds of pips in a day or two are It shows what can happen in the
the ones some people clamour to market in the blink of an eye and
ride all the way to the bank. But un- gives the reason for setting valid

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition


Wall Street crash of 1987
more opportunity for traders to place the saying ‘there is no such thing as
stops even more importance. their trades. a free lunch’ has never been more
Volatility is not a long term recipe The other thing to consider is that self-evident. Borrowed money is
for success as a trader; it can be a with economies struggling through never acceptable to use as collateral;
recipe for a short term career as a the financial burdens of depres- if you find you’re in trouble after a
trader. sion or the heady signs of regrowth, particularly volatile trade and your
Not all markets experience volatil- many traders tend to speculate on account is compromised, make sure
ity. The more stable markets don’t which way they think the currencies you don’t use borrowed money to
experience it so much but the Forex may go. Given the thrashing about in top up your account balance.
market, with its high demand - trad- the European economies, it’s almost So the next time you’re tempted
ers moving money around - is often impossible to get a handle on that or to place an order with no stop or
quite volatile. There are pairs that know which way the Euro will head. a wide stop, think again and put
are not as volatile as others and Rescue packages abound where something manageable in place.
these pairs suit the more conserva- countries are financially ‘propped up’ Better to take a small loss if things
tive trader. The pairs that are volatile by others however in the long run, don’t go your way, than a huge one.
need a well disciplined trader who is someone has to pay the fiddler and
able to control their trade and their
risk and not take profits too soon.
Currency pairs that are unstable
are not preferred for the special-
ist trader. Low volume in the Forex
market is also an environment where STOCK MARKET
many gains can be wiped out be-
cause traders feel they ‘have to be in CRASH OF 1929.
a trade’ no matter whether the rest
of the world is on holiday, or not. ONE OF THE
Price levels themselves are not
only critical, it is the movement of MOST VOLATILE
price levels that we focus on to form
our patterns. Of course, if volume is DAYS IN THE
low it takes much more time for pat-
terns to form but in higher volume HISTORY OF
environments, the patterns form
more quickly and therefore offer TRADING.

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


exit trades. Choose a time frame that trade.

10
suits your lifestyle and the hours
you want to devote to trading. Lower 6. Be satisfied to take targets at
time frames mean more volatile set points.
price movement and more attention;
higher timeframes (with stops to Don't trust your emotional self to be
suit and with less volatility) allow us able to figure out whether to stay
more time away from the screen. in a trade or not. Trust the pattern
points and take some of your trade
3. Are you managing your risk off when price reaches those targets.
so that a couple of trades don't wipe Even though Michael Douglas made
out your account balance and end the phrase well known in the movie

COOL WAYS your trading career?

Place stops in a logical place and


'Wall Street', ‘Greed is good’, greed is
not good.

TO HELP leave them there. If they get hit,


then you're as well out of the trade.
7. Don't take things personally.

IMPROVE If you move them, you stand to lose


more pips if price continues to move
We are not wrong when we take a
trade and it goes against us - it's

YOUR against you. Although if a big move


looks like it's going against you and
just the way the market is moving.
If you become depressed or in the

TRADING you think your stop will be taken


out, consider killing the trade early if
you have a reasonably wide stop.
doldrums because you've had sev-
eral losing trades, re-evaluate your
reasons for taking the trades in the
AND LIVE 4. Watch news events - are you
first place (FXGW teaches us how to
do that) otherwise we do ourselves
LIFE AGAIN up to speed with where your pairs
are and when they are at the mercy
an injustice. It isn't personal - it's
merely a losing trade.
of news?
8. Get up early (unless you
1. Have a look whether the Always look to see what news events trade a session that doesn't al-
method you're using is allowing are scheduled before entering a new low you to trade until the wee
you to live the lifestyle you want. trade. You need to consider your cur- small hours of the morning) and go
rent trade too, if you are in a trade through your charts diligently.
If it isn't, then it's time to look for with scheduled news. Don't neces-
a new method. Some people think sarily close the trade out, but make Go to bed early (don't burn the
the harmonic method of trading is sure your stops are either at break- midnight oil) and get up early. Tired
hard, but things are only as hard as even or are at a place where you traders are not the best traders to be
we make them. You've heard many can protect some pips if price goes around or to be making decisions.
people say, 'trade what you see'. against your trade. Many trades that we shouldn't have
That also applies to harmonic trad- taken are taken when our concentra-
ing. Don't try to guess where the 5. Don't invent ways to stay in tion levels are shot.
harmonic trade might go - use the a losing trade.
pattern alerts on FXGroundworks. 9. Never stop learning about
com to show you the trades, and Necessity is the mother of all inven- the markets and learn as much as
wait until the pattern forms be- tions. However it isn't necessary for you can about how your preferred
fore choosing your entry and stop you to stay in a losing trade but it pairs fluctuate.
points. is essential to make sure your stops
are not at the point where the los- Without studying the markets, the
2. Are you stuck in front of ing trade is killing your account. If charts and the pairs you want to
the screen all day, worried that if you've placed a reasonable stop then trade, you will be bewildered when
you leave it you will miss a great be satisfied with that choice. If you things don't go your way and pleas-
opportunity or get stopped out? are sure price is going to turn in the antly surprised if they do. Knowledge
next time frame or you know there's is power - the power to make good,
Harmonic trading allows us to see a news event coming up later that harmonic trading decisions.
more clearly where to enter and day and you move your stops, you
are inventing ways to stay in that 10. Improve your memory.

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition


Study pairs more closely so you can
tune in to where your trade is without YOUR BEST
necessarily being in front of your screen.
A good memory (such as counting the
cards as they come out in poker) will
FIBONACCI TRADE?
always give you an edge. It will also help LARGEST TRADE OF 2011
you remember that person you bump Instrument: GBPCHF
into in the street :)
Timeframe: H1
Pattern: Butterfly
Method: HAT - Harmonic Auto Trader

Most traders at some point INTERVIEW: was almost fun to see how far I
in a year of trading will hit a FXGW: Beezer, the GBPCHF trade could let it go, and once we got
worked out really well for you. over 1600 pips I had pulled the
losing streak no matter what Can you tell us when this trade plug. By the time the trade was
system you trade. was fired off and what you were done I only had 1 lot left.
doing?
The question is, can you
BEEZER: It was automatically FXGW: Was that a record trade for
keep doing what you’re do- triggered in July. I was actually you?
ing regardless of the results, asleep at the time as it was a
knowing you will overcome trade that got fired during the BEEZER: Yes, but when you take
these losses? European session. When I woke trades like this there is also a little
up it was up about 30 pips. luck on your side. I can’t remem-
ber a time in recent past I saw any
If one trade matters to you, FXGW: Can you tell me about the pair drop almost 2,000 pips in a
then you’re trading the trade? How many lots you had couple weeks. I’ve had a couple of
on? Where you took profit? Or any other trades around 500+ and love
wrong way. However, if you other information you recall about to see the patterns work out like
are basing your results over the trade etc... this. 50 pips seems small now!
many trades, then you’re
going to understand that BEEZER: I had 3 lots that were FXGW: How has your trading been
entered for me and I always take going since you started with har-
sitting through both winning one of the lots off at the B point. monics and the HAT?
and losing streaks becomes a From there I did let the trade run
walk in the park. and it seemed like every day it BEEZER: Good, overall I’ve been
kept going and going. Soon it pleased. I feel like I’ve been mak-
ing a lot of progress.

FXGW: Well thank you for letting us


know all about the GBP/CHF. Amaz-
ing trade and great job!

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


CHANGE?
SHOULD WE CHANGE WHAT WE ARE DOING?
H O W N E C E S S A R Y I S I T T H AT, W E C H A N G E T H E WAY W E T R A D E ?

what we’ve learned so far has not


given us the edge we need.

Many traders use systems that


How neccessary is change in our trading?

rely on linear math but as the Forex


market is non-linear it’s impossible
to see how two such systems fit
together. Fibonacci Pattern Trading
is based on non-linear data and an
approach that sends clear signals on
entry and exit points.

Some people are uncomfortable


with the fact they have to learn pat-
tern ratios and fib levels; some over-
analyze and try to micro-manage
the process of learning the patterns.
We can make learning pattern trad-
ing easy or we can make it hard.

The method itself is simple


Change...should we? involves personal growth, along with enough; it’s we humans who tend
a shift in mindset to face the fact to over-complicate things. The fact
How necessary is it that we that we will never succeed as traders that these fibonacci patterns are
change the way we trade and the unless we understand that maybe found in nature, found in wildlife
method we trade with? our approach and our attitude need and subsequently found in the
modification. Forex market, make them a strong
The answer is simple. If we are influence and give a physiological
making plenty of money trading the We need a clear picture of where connection with traders.
method we’re using and there’s little we want to be as traders and then
or no room for improvement, change take the steps to get to our goal. It’s FXGroundworks teaches traders
isn’t necessary. not enough to say, ‘I want to be rich the Fibonacci pattern trading ap-
beyond my dreams’ because unless proach and they provide those pat-
But if we’re not making money; if we have a great method of how to terns alerted on the MT4 platform,
we’re in that group of 95% of trad- ‘get rich’ we simply can’t succeed. to make it easy to learn the method.
ers who can’t seem to succeed; if
we’re digging ourselves into a hole So how do we succeed? Go to FXGroundworks.com and
with our account balance plummet- check out the patterns. Make time
ing, it’s time to alter our approach. To some degree we need to ‘re- for a change.
The messenger for change is our lack program’ our view of the market and
of success in our chosen career as a the signals it sends us. We need to
trader. revisit our trading plan to make sure
our risk is within acceptable bound-
We need to employ a strategy that aries and we need to realise that

FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition


ACTIONS REACTIONS
The trader who is yet to learn the
law of action and reaction might set
no stop or a stop hundreds of pips
away thinking that the currency
couldn’t possible move that far.

The trader might learn that currency


pairs with a high ATR (average true
range) can move hundreds of pips in
one market trading day, if an unex-
pected (or even an expected) event
occurs.

Traders who trade longer term time


frames such as Daily / Weekly /
Thrust is the forward force that pushes the engine and, therefore, Monthly, may have a reasonably
the airplane forward. Sir Isaac Newton discovered that for “every distant stop but they should never
action there is an equal and opposite reaction.” An engine uses trade without a stop.
this principle.
Traders who trade 15 minute up to
Let’s consider Sir Isaac Newton’s third The main thing to remember when 4-hour time frames should place a
law of motion: ‘To every action there is trading the market, is the ebb and more limited stop, based on their
always an equal and opposite reaction: flow of money that is based on peo- positions and their trading plan
or the forces of two bodies on each ple’s emotions. So you take a trade, which will include their risk toler-
other are always equal and are direct- an unexpected news event comes ance. The lower the time frame, the
ed in opposite directions’. out and fear and greed take over. The smaller the stop but remember, the
trade goes your way...you feel like the lower the time frame, also the more
This is very true when applied to the world is your oyster. You take another volatile price action may be.
Bull and Bear Forex Market. If fear trade and it also goes your way and
grips the trading world, the herd you’re flying high. Trading takes some time to learn
mentality seems to take effect and and price pattern trading is no ex-
stampedes people into selling what Then the rot sets in. The unkind ception. However, it’s an easier path
they consider to be a currency that is market takes a swing at your position than trying to figure out moving
at risk. (literally) and heads the wrong way. averages or complicated indicators
This is the time for your action and and trying to trade a method that
The equal and opposite reaction is reaction to come into play. uses linear math in a non-linear
when other traders see the sell-off of market.
the currency as an opportunity and So, have you set a reasonable stop,
begin buying the currency, causing it to so that the market won’t trample your Better to trade fibonacci patterns,
rise in value once more, albeit a little account on its way to oblivion? Or the method that uses non-linear
slower than the rush of selling. (Gen- have you set a wide stop, or no stop math.
erally, the bearish trade moves three in the hope of lasting the swing out
times more quickly than the bullish and recovering the pips you thought Go check out FXGroundworks.com
trade - the exception to this rule is on you’d already won? and take the six-month Jump Start
NFP data and news releases.) Program for the best leg-in to trading
The law of the Forex Market is to un- The smart trader, who will live to fight you can get.
derstand the risk and keep that risk to another day, sets a reasonable stop.
a minimum; that way, we will survive Always. And doesn’t move their stop.
the roar of the market whether it goes Ever.
for us, or against us. Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG
The importance of stop placement.

RIDING OUT THE RE


One of the most emotional parts of
trading is watching our pair retrace,
either working itself toward our stop
or cutting some of our profits.

WHY DO MOST PEOPLE LOSE MONEY AS So how do we survive the emo-


tional roller coaster of retracements?
INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS OR TRADERS?
The first step is recognizing that
BECAUSE THEY’RE NOT FOCUSING ON there is a retracement. The second
step is realizing our emotional self
LOSING MONEY. THEY NEED TO FOCUS ON and that self is fearful that price will
go against us.
THE MONEY THAT THEY HAVE AT RISK
William Delbert (WD) Gann (1878 -
AND HOW MUCH CAPITAL IS AT RISK IN 1955), one of the recorded greatest
traders in technical trading grew up
ANY SINGLE INVESTMENT THEY HAVE. IF a Christian on cotton land. At the
tender age of 24 in 1902, he made
EVERYONE SPENT 90 PERCENT OF THEIR his first trade in cotton futures and
became a devotee of trading.
TIME ON THAT, NOT 90 PERCENT OF
Studying many forms and move-
THE TIME ON PIE-IN-THE-SKY IDEAS ON ment of the markets, he concluded
that the market was moved by ‘vi-
HOW MUCH MONEY THEY’RE GOING TO brations’. He claimed that he could
forecast the market’s movement with
MAKE, THEN THEY WOULD BE INCREDIBLY mathematics.

SUCCESSFUL INVESTORS. Opinions are divided over the rel-


evance or the accuracy of his analy-
sis. So be that as it may, how do we
make the most of Gann’s theories to
help us with controlling our emo-
tions?

18 | Magazine First Edition


FXGROUNDWORKSMAG Second Edition
Have you heard some of the stories your
colleagues tell about the trade that ‘was’?
H AV E A G O O D W I N N I N G T R A D E T U R N I N TO A B A D LO S I N G T R A D E?
TRADERS BLOWING A GOOD OPPORTUNIT Y? THIS DOESN’ T HAPPEN
I F YO U L E A R N TO T R A D E W I T H F XG W - K E E P YO U R P R O F I T S

RETRACEMENTS no loss); only to see the loss esca-


By considering the Gann principle It’s up to us to ignore the fear of late as price retreats further from
(whether we believe his work was missing out, the fear of losing our our entry and turns into a bad losing
accurate or not), where geometrical hard-won pips, the fear of being trade.
mathematics and vibrations move wrong and it’s up to us to keep our
the market, we can start to under- losses within our budget and make So watch these retracements;
stand that pullbacks, reversals or the most of our profits. figure out if you need to trail stops;
movements in the market are natural consider your trading plan and stick
and those movements are non-linear. Fear is also our primary emotion if to it. A lot of traders don’t focus on
we let our winning trade turn into a how they take profits - that it is just
The market does not and can- losing trade. as important as how they protect
not move in a straight line. Humans themselves from risk.
move the market, entering and exit- Many traders have second-
ing trades many times in one day, guessed their strategy after they’ve We need to have a little faith in
with over three trillion dollars traded witnessed a reasonable profit return ourselves, a little faith in our meth-
daily - a phenomenal feat, unheard to their entry point; march endlessly od, a little faith in our trading plan
of in Gann’s time. on past the break-even mark (where and a whole lot of patience.
they could have exited the trade for
Therefore it’s necessary to recog-
nize that we can always expect price
to move around, not descending or
ascending in a straight line but in
an ordered chaotic method and once
we make sense of that, we can then
cope with the fact that retracements
will always occur.

Fear is one of several emotions


that drives traders to reconsider their
positions when they see their pips
being eroded; greed is not an emo-
tion but is an offshoot of fear. Put
these two things together and they
make a powerful force to be reck- U S E S E N S I B L E S TO P P L A C E M E N T S , R E L A X A N D H AV E P E A C E
oned with. O F M I N D.
BY FXGROUNDWORKS

Second Edition FXGROUNDWORKSMAG


JUMP START!
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