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1 - Traditional ABC and Time-Driven ABC
1 - Traditional ABC and Time-Driven ABC
An Experimental Investigation
Karl Schuhmacher∗† Michael Burkert∗
University of Lausanne
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estimates in traditional ABC (different from TD-ABC) have to add up to 100 % not allowing for
consistent under-/over-estimation bias. Therefore, Kaplan and Anderson (2004, 2007) claim that
TD-ABC (1) is more accurate, (2) allows to account for unused capacity, and (3) is cheaper to
adapt and implement, arguments highly relevant to practitioners.
In order to investigate such aspects more in detail, we build on the study by Cardinaels and
Labro (2008) and extend their research question asking how different time-driven costing ap-
proaches, i.e., traditional ABC and TD-ABC, influence measurement error in cost systems. In
particular, we apply a 2×2 between-subjects design varying time-driven costing approach and
number of tasks performed per activity manipulating heterogeneity between activities. All partici-
pants in our experiment perform a set of 20 tasks, each belonging to one of four different activities.
While one group performs 5 tasks per activity, the other group performs 6/4/3/7 tasks for the re-
spective activities. Subsequently, participants provide time estimates for the four activities which
are benchmarked against true time (as measured by the computer). Participants estimate time
according to either traditional ABC or to TD-ABC.
We intend to add to literature by investigating cognitive limitations that arise within traditional
ABC and TD-ABC. Specifically, we compare the top-down approach in traditional ABC with total
work as reference point and the bottom-up approach in TD-ABC with single activities as reference
points. We argue that time estimation in TD-ABC is cognitively less demanding and, thus, more
accurate testing different arguments for TD-ABC. First, estimates in TD-ABC refer directly to
the single activities without having to refer to total work time making it easier to come up with
time estimates. While traditional ABC asks for time estimates as partition of total time, i.e., “how
much of total work time did you spend on activity X”, TD-ABC directly asks “how much time
did you spend ... on activity X ...”. Moreover, as time estimates in traditional ABC are typically
demanded in relative units, i.e., percentages (“what percentage of total work time did you spend
on activity X”), we argue that it is cognitively less demanding to provide estimates in absolute
units, i.e., minutes and seconds (“how much time did you spend ... on activity X ...”). Similar to
probabilities, percentages are cognitively challenging constructs (e.g., Kahneman et al. 1982).
Second, we argue that estimates in TD-ABC are more accurate as it is only required to estimate
the average duration to perform an activity once (“how much time did you spend on average on
activity X to perform it once”). However, traditional ABC requires employees to account for the
number of times a specific activity has been performed relying on an internal count of tasks per
activity (‘ ‘what percentage of total work time did you spend on activity X”). Thus, we do not
expect that the accuracy of time estimates in TD-ABC differs depending on the number of times
different activities have been performed. However, estimates in traditional ABC are likely to be
less accurate the more activities differ in the amount of times they have been performed.1
Especially, when we correct for consistent under-/over-estimation bias in TD-ABC, we expect
TD-ABC to be more accurate than traditional ABC. However, when we do not correct for consistent
1
Costing systems typically keep count of the number of times a certain activity has been performed.
2
under-/over-estimation in TD-ABC, these advantages of TD-ABC are likely to be destroyed. As
estimates in traditional ABC have to add up to 100 %, total work time respectively, consistent
under-/overestimation is automatically eliminated. Due to the detachment from total work time in
TD-ABC, proponents of traditional ABC argue that TD-ABC is prone to consistent under-/over-
estimation bias. Such consistent estimation biases endanger implications on practical capacity.
Importantly, our time-driven costing manipulation differs from the differentiation between ab-
solute and relative units in Cardinaels and Labro (2008) in two aspects: First, we make a difference
between the top-down (percentages) and bottom-up estimation approach (minutes and seconds),
while Cardinaels and Labro (2008) refer for both absolute and relative time units to the top-down
approach. Second, we vary estimation technique between subjects, while Cardinaels and Labro
(2008) vary estimation technique within subjects. However, we rely on the approach by Cardinaels
and Labro (2008) in a second time estimation to verify the robustness of our results.
In total, we recruited 78 students from a participants pool for experiments at a large West-
ern European university to participate in our experiment. In order to motivate participants to
estimate activity durations as precise as possible, we compensated them based on the accuracy of
their time estimates. We find that the accuracy of estimates in TD-ABC does not depend on the
number of times different activities are performed. Contrary, the accuracy of estimates in tradi-
tional ABC deteriorates significantly with the amount of times activities are performed. Moreover,
when we correct for consistent under-/over-estimation bias in TD-ABC, we do not find support for
our hypotheses that estimates in TD-ABC are more accurate than estimates in traditional ABC.2
However, when we allow for consistent under-/over-estimation bias in TD-ABC, we find that par-
ticipants have a strong tendency to underestimate time in TD-ABC. We provide analyses indicating
that this bias turns estimates in traditional ABC to be significantly more accurate than estimates
in TD-ABC. This is due to the fact that estimates in TD-ABC have to add up to 100 %, total work
time respectively, and do not allow for consistent under- or over-estimation.
Moreover, our results remain consistent in a second estimation (robustness check). In this
estimation, participants in the traditional ABC condition have to estimate total time in absolute
units and, subsequently, allocate it to each activity, whereas participants in the TD-ABC condition
directly estimate overall time spent on an activity without estimating total work time before.3 This
reflects the idea that traditional ABC represents a top-down approach, whereas TD-ABC rather
represents a bottom-up approach. Interestingly, the results of our robustness check indicate that
participants in the TD-ABC condition continue to underestimate time, while participants in the
traditional ABC condition heavily overestimate time.
We contribute to accounting literature as we directly compare the accuracy of time estimates
2
This evidence is somewhat contrary to a similar study that we conduct on the accuracy of different time
estimation approaches in costing.
3
In order to retain the advantage of TD-ABC that participants do not have to keep an internal count of
times a specific activity has been performed, we provide participants in TD-ABC in the second estimation
with information on the amount of times they have performed a specific activity.
3
in traditional ABC and TD-ABC. Our results suggest that estimates in TD-ABC – corrected for
consistent under-/over-estimation bias – are more accurate than estimates in traditional ABC when
number of tasks per activity varies. However, not corrected for consistent bias, estimates in TD-
ABC are less accurate than estimates in traditional ABC. As estimates in absolute units are a lot
less expensive, we consider our results directly relevant for designers of cost systems. However,
conclusions about practical capacity from estimates in TD-ABC need to be treated with caution.
In the next section, we develop our hypotheses. Section 3 describes the experimental design,
participant recruitment and payment, as well as the manipulations. Section 4 presents our results
and, in section 5, we conclude with final remarks pointing out directions for future research.
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for each activity are provided as a proportion of total work time making the estimation procedure
a top-down approach portioning total time into time consumed by each activity. Thus, employees
refer to total work time when estimating time according to traditional ABC.
A large drawback of traditional ABC arises when the amount of tasks per activity varies across
time periods. This problem occurs because estimates in traditional ABC are based on overall time
spent on one activity. Specifically, estimates have to account for the amount of times different
activities are performed. Consequently, practitioners have to frequently update their systems and
time estimates accounting for the variation in the number of times different activities are performed.
Therefore, traditional ABC is considered quite time- and cost-consuming occupying a large amount
of human resources with the elicitation of time estimates. Moreover, when a new activity enters
or a standardized activity is adapted in the system, all other estimates also have to be updated
making ABC itself a large pool of costs.
Due to these drawbacks of traditional ABC, Kaplan and Anderson (2004, 2007) have introduced
a rivaling approach to time-driven costing, namely Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing (TD-ABC).
In particular, they propose to estimate time with a bottom-up approach focusing directly on the
activities without referring to total time. Typically, estimates in TD-ABC are provided in absolute
units, i.e., hours, minutes, and seconds. Importantly, estimates are not provided for overall time
spent on a specific activity in a given time period. Rather, employees have to estimate the average
time spent to perform the specific activity once (“how much time did you spend on average on
activity X to perform it once”). For example, assuming that it takes 30 minutes to perform a
specific activity once and this activity is carried out 10 times in a given time period, TD-ABC
(different from traditional ABC) is not interested in the figure displaying the overall time spent on
the activity, i.e., 5 hours (30 minutes × 10 times), but rather in the figure displaying the time to
perform this activity once, i.e., 30 minutes.
As cost systems usually keep track of the amount of times different activities are performed,
it is sufficient to estimate the average duration spent to perform an activity once. Thus, practical
capacity, can be calculated within cost systems multiplying the amount of times an activity has
been performed and average time to perform the activity once making this method a bottom-
up approach to time-driven costing. Kaplan and Anderson (2004, 2007) argue that TD-ABC (1)
provides more detailed and precise time estimates, (2) allows to account for unused capacity, and
(3) is cheaper to implement and adapt in comparison to traditional ABC. The presumption of their
approach is that information is available concerning the amount of times different activities are
performed in a specific time period. However, a large disadvantage of this method is that it allows
for consistent under-/over-estimation potentially working against the proposed advantages.
Literature provides considerable case-based evidence on the use and implementation of TD-
ABC in practice (Pernot et al. 2007; Everaert et al. 2008; Demeere et al. 2009; Dalci et al. 2010;
Hoozée and Bruggeman 2010; Öker and Adigüzel 2010; Everaert et al. 2012). Moreover, Hoozée
et al. (2012) investigate the refinement of time equations used in TD-ABC analytically. In general,
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there is an extensive body of research focusing on the accuracy of cost systems in the domain of
analytical modeling (e.g., Datar and Gupta 1994; Christensen and Demski 1995), which has been
extended by large simulation studies (Labro and Vanhoucke 2007, 2008; Balakrishnan et al. 2011).
Different from these streams of literature, we investigate errors in cost systems that result from
cognitive limitations.
Cardinaels and Labro (2008) provide first evidence for errors resulting from cognitive limitations
in time-driven costing. They conduct an experimental study investigating the accuracy of time
estimates in costing. Specifically, they ask participants to perform 20 tasks (belonging to three
main activities, respectively, six sub-activities) and, subsequently, to estimate the time spent on the
different activities. They find that estimates are more accurate when activities are estimated on an
aggregated level and when participants are prospectively notified about estimation. Moreover, they
ask participants to estimate time, first, in relative units (percentages) and, then, in absolute units
(minutes). Precisely, they ask participants in the second estimation (absolute units) to estimate
total time and, subsequently, to allocate estimated total time to the different activities. They find
that participants tend to over-estimate time when they estimate in absolute units and argue that
“[t]his overestimation bias is likely to undo the intended effect of the minutes-based response on
allocating only practical capacity rather than full capacity” (Cardinaels and Labro 2008, p. 737).
Importantly, Cardinaels and Labro (2008) ask participants to estimate time using the top-down
approach known from traditional ABC for both response modes, i.e., relative units and absolute
units. Moreover, they vary response mode within-subjects to provide a sensitivity check for their
results.
In this study, we want to extend the framework provided by Cardinaels and Labro (2008)
varying the approach to costing (traditional ABC versus TD-ABC) and the number of tasks per
activity. The different approaches to time-driven costing can be nicely compared from a reference
point perspective. While the reference point for estimation in traditional ABC is total work time,
TD-ABC directly focuses on the single activities. Therefore, we consider TD-ABC a cost system
with a bottom-up approach estimating single activities durations and, eventually, ending up with
practical capacity; whereas we consider traditional ABC a cost system with a top-down approach
starting out at full (or practical) capacity and establishing activity durations as final output of the
costing process.
2.2 Hypotheses
Comparing the two approaches to time-driven costing, i.e., traditional ABC and TD-ABC, we
argue that providing estimates in traditional ABC is cognitively more demanding than providing
estimates in TD-ABC when consistent under-/over-estimation is accounted for. In particular, we
elaborate on two different arguments to support our hypotheses. However, when consistent under-
/over-estimation in TD-ABC is not corrected for, we suppose that potential benefits from TD-ABC
are likely to be eliminated.
6
The main difference between the two approaches to time-driven costing is their reference point
in time estimation. While traditional ABC asks for estimates as a proportion of total time, i.e.,
“how much of total work time did you spend on activity X”, TD-ABC directly asks for time spent on
a specific activity, i.e., “how much time did you spend ... on activity X ...”. Therefore, employees
can directly focus on the activity itself (as in TD-ABC) without having to make the detour via total
work time (as in traditional ABC). We argue that it is cognitively more challenging to process the
top-down approach in traditional ABC (referring to total work time) compared to the estimation
process in TD-ABC, where employees simply have to picture how they perform the specific activity
once.
Another difference between traditional ABC and time-driven ABC is that time estimates are
typically provided in different response modes in the two approaches. While traditional ABC usually
relies on estimates in relative units, i.e., percentages (“what percentage of total work time did you
spend on activity X”), TD-ABC relies on estimates in absolute units, i.e., minutes (“how much time
did you spend ... on activity X ...”). We argue that it is cognitively more challenging to come up
with time estimates in relative units as compared to time estimates in absolute units. Similar to
probabilities, percentages are perceived as complex constructs that individuals have difficulties to
capture (e.g., Kahneman et al. 1982). However, absolute time units are concepts that individuals
use on a daily basis and are, therefore, better used to estimate time in absolute units.
Finally, when time estimates are provided as a proportion of total work time (as in traditional
ABC), it is likely that individuals have to adapt their initial estimates in order for estimates to add
up to 100 %, total work time respectively. It is not clear, how this adaptation process influences the
accuracy of time estimates. Importantly, time estimates in absolute units are not subject to such
restrictions and can be freely varied. However, they are potentially subject to consistent under- or
over-estimation bias. We correct estimates in TD-ABC for such bias in order to solely focus on the
arguments presented before.5 Based on these arguments, we derive the following hypothesis:
Hypothesis 1 Estimates in traditional ABC are less accurate than estimates in TD-ABC – cor-
rected for potential under-/over-estimation bias – as estimating time in traditional ABC is cogni-
tively more demanding (when the number of tasks per activity does not vary).
However, time estimates in TD-ABC are rarely corrected for consistent under-/over-estimation
bias in practice. Nevertheless, such biases are likely to influence the accuracy of time estimates in
TD-ABC. On the other hand, time estimates in traditional ABC, by definition, do not allow for
consistent under-/over-estimation bias as they have to add up to 100 %, total work time respectively.
Cardinaels and Labro (2008, p. 737) find that participants tend to over-estimate time when they
estimate in absolute units and argue that “[t]his overestimation bias is likely to undo the intended
effect of the minutes-based response on allocating only practical capacity rather than full capacity”.
5
We correct for consistent under-/over-estimation bias rescaling time estimates in TD-ABC assuming
that implicitly estimated total work time corresponds to true total work time as measured by the computer.
7
Moreover, research in psychology provides evidence that individuals tend to consistently under-
/over-estimate time when their estimates are not restricted as in traditional ABC (e.g., Fortin and
Rousseau 1998). Therefore, we argue that benefits from TD-ABC as described above are likely to
be eliminated due to consistent estimation bias when we do not correct time estimates in TD-ABC
for such bias, which leads us to propose the following hypothesis:
Hypothesis 2 Estimates in traditional ABC are more accurate than estimates in TD-ABC – not
corrected for potential under-/over-estimation bias – as estimates in traditional ABC do not allow
for consistent under-/over-estimation bias.
Finally, traditional ABC and TD-ABC differ in one further major aspect. Whereas estimates
in traditional ABC have to account for overall time spent on a specific activity (“what percentage
of total work time did you spend on activity X”), estimates in TD-ABC only have to account for
the average time spent to perform an activity once (“how much time did you spend on average
on activity X to perform it once”). Consequently, employees have to include the number of tasks
performed per activity when they estimate time in traditional ABC, whereas employees solely have
to estimate the time spent on the average task per activity in TD-ABC. Therefore, they have
to additionally rely on an internal count of tasks in traditional ABC making time estimation in
traditional ABC cognitively more demanding than time estimation in TD-ABC.
We argue that it is more challenging to picture, process, and estimate overall time of an activity
including all tasks that have been performed (as in traditional ABC) as compared to the average
duration to perform a specific activity once (as in TD-ABC). However, we do not expect this
difference between the two costing approaches to result in significantly different results when each
activity is performed the same amount of times (symmetry between amount tasks). In this case,
the count of tasks can be ignored and the average tasks can be evaluated as in TD-ABC. However,
when different activities are performed more or less often (asymmetry between amounts of tasks),
task count becomes relevant. Therefore, we argue that it is cognitively more challenging to come
up with time estimates in traditional ABC when the amount of tasks per activity varies. However,
the amount of tasks per activity changes little when estimating time in TD-ABC. This leads to the
following hypotheses:
Hypothesis 3 Compared to estimates in TD-ABC, estimates in traditional ABC are less accurate
when the amount of tasks per activity varies.
3 Experimental Setting
In order to test our hypotheses, we conduct a computerized experiment with 78 student participants
at a large Western European university. We build our experimental set-up on Cardinaels and
Labro (2008). Employing a 2×2 between-subjects design, we vary time-driven costing approach
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and number of tasks per activity. Particularly, we ask participants to provide time estimates for
activity durations after they have performed a set of 20 tasks which belong to one out of four
different activities (5 tasks per activity versus 6/4/3/7 tasks per activity). Specifically, we compare
two approaches to time estimation and, more specifically, to time-driven costing (traditional ABC
versus TD-ABC). In order to evaluate the accuracy of time estimates we benchmark them against
true time spent on these activities as measured by the computer.
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what kind of product to produce.8 Moreover, information about the batch size needs to be pro-
grammed. Based on a color draft in a 3 × 3 matrix, participants have to enter a program code
transforming colors into numbers. They are given a color table indicating the numbers that cor-
respond to the respective color (10 different colors in total - 0 to 9). Each color has a unique
structure that allows participants to clearly assign numbers to colors when they have problems to
differentiate between colors. Workers either have to program an “L-shaped” code, or an “S-shaped”
code.
Activity C (Material Requests) demands workers to treat material requests from a work station
requiring different colors. Firstly, workers have to indicate which workstation is in need of new
materials (A or B). Moreover, based on a graphic indicating the levels of paint in stock (10 different
colors as in Machine Programming), workers have to initiate replenishments of those colors that
fall below a certain threshold (i.e., 50). Specifically, workers have to demand the difference between
the actual levels of stocks and the maximum possible level (i.e., 100). Color replenishments are
only necessary for those colors that fall below the threshold.
Finally, participants have to bill customers in activity D (Billing [D]). Based on an email from
the Shipping Department, workers have to enter for each product ordered the amount indicated,
the colors included, as well as cuts needed to manufacture the wooden block. Moreover, they
have to indicate whether each article needs a product surcharge for S-shaped articles and a volume
discount. Volume discounts apply when the amount ordered per article exceeds ten. Workers have
to enter two products per bill into the billing system.
Appendix B provides screen shots of the different activities.
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participants in traditional ABC to provide time estimates according to the top-down approach on
overall time spent per activity in relative units, i.e., percentages; participants in TD-ABC estimate
time according to the bottom-up approach on the average duration of a task per activity in absolute
units, i.e., seconds. Thus, we ask participants in traditional ABC “What percentage of total work
time did you spend on activity X?”, whereas we as ask participants in TD-ABC “How much time
did you spend on average on activity X to perform it once?” reflecting the two different approaches.
Importantly estimates in traditional ABC have to add up to 100 %. In our second manipulation,
we vary number of tasks per activity (equal number -5- versus unequal number -6/4/3/7).
Moreover, we ask each participant to provide a second estimation that we use as a robustness
check for our analyses. Similar to Cardinaels and Labro (2008), we ask participants in traditional
ABC – for the second estimation – to provide an estimate of total work time (in minutes and
seconds) spent on the set of 20 tasks (“How much time did you spend in total on all 20 tasks?”).
Subsequently, they have to allocate this total estimatedtime to the 4 different activities guaranteeing
that total time is fully allocated (“Distribute estimated total time to the four activities without
residual.”). This estimation procedure resembles the top-down approach of traditional ABC in
which the reference point is total work time. On the other hand, we ask participants in TD-ABC –
for the second estimation – to provide an estimate (in minutes and seconds) on the total time spent
on each activity (“How much time did you spend in total on those tasks that belong to activity X?”).
That is the time spent on all tasks per activity.9 This approach reflects the bottom-up approach
with the single activities as direct reference point in TD-ABC.
Table 1 summarizes the questions asked in the first and second time estimation reflecting the
top-down approach in traditional ABC and the bottom-up approach in TD-ABC.
Summing up absolute errors per activity assures that over-estimation in one activity cannot com-
pensate for under-estimation in another activity. % true timei is defined as true overall time spent
on activity i (sum of all tasks belonging to activity i ) divided by true total time spent on all 20
9
In this second part, we indicate to participants in TD-ABC the amount of tasks spent on each activity
to have similar conditions as in the first estimation.
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Table 1: Estimation Approaches
1) What percentage of total work time did 1) How much time did you spend on aver-
you spend on activity X? age on activity X to perform it once?
......... % ......... seconds
2) How much time did you spend in total 2) How much time did you spend in total
on all 20 tasks? on those tasks that belong to activity X?
...... min ......... seconds ...... min ......... sec
Distribute estimated total time to the
four activities without residual!
...... min ......... seconds
% true timei =
While % estimated timei is simply taken as estimated for traditional ABC, we need to transform
estimates for TD-ABC in order to compare the two approaches to time-driven costing. To do so,
we follow two different procedures resulting in an error term that corrects for consistent estimation
bias and another error term that does not correct for bias. First, correcting for consistent under-
/over-estimation bias, we multiply estimates from TD-ABC with the number of tasks per activity
ni and divide this term by total estimated time. Dividing by total estimated time assures that
transformed estimates add up to 100 %:
Second, allowing for consistent under-/over-estimation bias, we multiple again estimates from TD-
ABC with the number of tasks per activity ni , but divide this term by true total time spent on all
20 tasks:
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% estimated timei in TD-ABC (not corrected for consistent under-/over-estimation bias) =
Thus, consistent over-estimation (under-estimation) bias will result in estimates that are larger
(smaller) than those when correcting for estimation bias. When consistent estimation bias is present
in TD-ABC, transformed estimates do not add up to 100 %.
We derive error terms similarly for the second estimation (our robustness check). % true timei
is exactly calculated as before. For traditional ABC, we calculate proportions dividing estimated
time per activity by estimated total time. For TD-ABC, we differentiate again as indicated above
between an error term corrected for consistent estimation bias, and another error term not corrected
for consistent bias.
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different activities. In addition, we tell them that their compensation is tournament based. That
is, for each per experimental condition, those participants that perform in the first quartile get the
highest compensation. Compensation decreases with descending quartiles. Specifically, participants
performing in the first quartile receive CHF 24, CHF 22 in the second quartile, CHF 20 in the third
quartile, and, finally, CHF 18 in the last quartile. Importantly, we tell participants prospectively
that they have to estimate time. We do so, as Cardinaels and Labro (2008) find that time estimates
are more accurate when participants are prospectively notified about time estimation.
After the training session, participants perform the set of 20 tasks with pauses of 6 seconds
between subsequent tasks. Each task is shown on one screen and participants can only move on to
the next screen when all information is correctly provided. Thus, time continues to be measured
until all information is provided correctly reinforcing time as quality measure. While participants
perform the tasks, the computer measures the time that they spend on each task. After participants
have successfully finished all tasks they receive a questionnaire on the set of 20 tasks. When they
have finished this questionnaire they begin with the estimation task. Before subjects provide their
estimates, they receive detailed information on the estimation process. After participants have
finished the first estimation, they are asked to provide a second set of estimates. For both estima-
tions, participants are compensated based on the accuracy of their estimates. This compensation
is again done in tournament form. For each experimental condition, the first quartile with the
most accurate estimates receives CHF 14, the second quartile receives CHF 10, the third quartile
receives CHF 6, and, finally, the fourth quartile receives CHF 2. They receive this compensation
for each of the two estimations they perform. Finally, participants have to fill in a final question-
naire with manipulation and comprehension checks before they are told about their performance.
Before participants end the experiment, they also receive a short debriefing about the purpose of
the experiment.
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time in TD-ABC (mean is 3.74; Festi (1,76) = 14.82; p < 0.001).
4 Results
First, we report descriptive results indicating absolute levels of measurement error. Consequently,
we test our hypotheses applying OLS regressions.11 Finally, we provide some additional analyses
investigating under-/over-estimation for the different time estimation approaches.
15
Table 2: Descriptive Results - Error First Estimation
16
Table 3: OLS Regression Results – Measurement Error Type 1 – First Estimation
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
VARIABLES Total Activity A Activity B Activity C Activity D
Observations 78 78 78 78 78
R-squared 0.131 0.073 0.017 0.073 0.212
Note: ***,**,* denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level (one-tailed) and parentheses
show the corresponding t-statistics. The table indicates results for OLS regressions of the
log of measurement error on ‘TD-ABC’, ‘ASYMMETRY’ and their ‘INTERACTION’ term.
‘TD-ABC’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and values of 0 for traditional ABC. ‘ASYMME-
TRY’ takes values of 1 for unequal amounts of tasks per activity and 0 for equal amounts
of tasks per activity. ‘INTERACTION’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and Asymmetry
equalling 1 and values of 0 otherwise.
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evidence from our robustness check (second estimation) indicates similar results.13
Providing more conclusive evidence for hypothesis 3, we see from the coefficient for ’Asymme-
try’ in Table 3 (b = 0.593, t = 3.145, p < 0.01 – two tailed) that estimates in traditional TD-ABC
are significantly less accurate when number of tasks per activity varies. On the other hand, addi-
tional analysis, i.e., testing the joint effect of ‘Asymmetry’ and the ‘Interaction’ term, reveals that
estimates in TD-ABC are not significantly different when the number of tasks per activity varies
(b = 0.171, F(1, 74) = 0.39, p = 0.3666 – two-tailed). These results provide evidence for our third
hypotheses following our argumentation that the accuracy of estimates in TD-ABC is not affected
by the amount of times an activity is performed. Contrary, the accuracy of estimates in traditional
ABC is largely affected by the amount of times an activity is performed.
Moreover, the coefficient of ‘TD-ABC’ in Table 3 – model (1) – (b = 0.117, t = 0.626, p =
0.533 – two-tailed) indicates that estimates in TD-ABC are not (significantly) more accurate than
estimates in traditional ABC when the amount of tasks remains equal. This result provides contrary
evidence to our first hypothesis that percentage estimates are cognitively more challenging even
when the amount of tasks remains equal across activities. Thus, we reject hypothesis 1.14
In order to test our second hypothesis, we look at Table 4 displaying OLS regression results for
errors – not corrected for consistent under-/over-estimation bias in TD-ABC. Again the interaction
effect is negatively significant and here more pronounced (b = - 0.542, t = - 2.023, p < 0.05 – two
tailed). To analyze whether hypothesis 2 holds, we, therefore, look at two effects in more detail:
(1) The effect of ‘TD-ABC’ to account for differences between traditional ABC and TD-ABC when
the amount of tasks per activity remains equal (b = 1.074, t = 5.746, p < 0.05 – two tailed)
and (2) the joint effect of ‘TD-ABC’ and the ‘Interaction’ term to account for differences between
traditional ABC and TD-ABC when the amount of tasks per activity varies (b = 0.532, F(1,74)=
7.70, p < 0.01 – two tailed). Both effects indicate that estimates in TD-ABC are significantly less
accurate than estimates in traditional ABC providing support for our second hypothesis.
Furthermore, we find additional support for our third hypothesis. Whereas, estimates in TD-
ABC do not become significantly less accurate when number of tasks per activity varies (b = 0.051,
F(1,74) = 0.07, p = 0.7876 – two-tailed), accuracy of estimates in traditional ABC significantly
deteriorates with task asymmetry (b = 0.593, t = 3.132, p < 0.01 – two tailed).
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Table 4: OLS Regression Results – Measurement Error Type 2 – First Estimation
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
VARIABLES Total Activity A Activity B Activity C Activity D
Observations 78 78 78 78 78
R-squared 0.386 0.270 0.142 0.250 0.412
Note: ***,**,* denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level (one-tailed) and parentheses
show the corresponding t-statistics. The table indicates results for OLS regressions of the
log of measurement error on ‘TD-ABC’, ‘ASYMMETRY’ and their ‘INTERACTION’ term.
‘TD-ABC’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and values of 0 for traditional ABC. ‘ASYMME-
TRY’ takes values of 1 for unequal amounts of tasks per activity and 0 for equal amounts
of tasks per activity. ‘INTERACTION’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and Asymmetry
equalling 1 and values of 0 otherwise.
19
Table 5: Under-/Over-Estimation – First Estimation
A B C D A B C D
ABC -1.30 2.87 -1.72 0.15 -1.99 2.63 6.17 -6.81
(70%) (30%) (55%) (50%) (68%) (32%) (21%) (79%)
A B C D A B C D
TD-ABC -6.62 -5.84 -8.67 -7.83 -5.05 -4.52 -4.12 -7.40
(85%) (90%) (90%) (80%) (79%) (79%) (74%) (74%)
Note: This table indicates, for each of the four experimental cells, the average measurement er-
ror per activity (in bold) and the percentage of participants underestimating time per activity
(in brackets). A negative average measurement error reflects underestimation, a positive aver-
age measurement error reflects overestimation. Notice that the sum of average measurement
errors across activities adds up to zero in traditional ABC.
absolute units and not corrected for consistent estimation bias). In Table 5 average measurement
errors per activity add up to zero in traditional ABC as percentage estimates reflect a zero-sum
game. However, average measurement errors in TD-ABC are all largely negative indicating that
participants suffer from consistent under-estimation bias. Figures in brackets show the percent-
ages of participants per cell that actually under-estimate time. Again, figures provided for TD-ABC
indicate that the vast majority consistently under-estimates time (more than 70 % for each activity.
Table 6 reflects the same measures for the second estimation investigating consistent estimation
bias with the sole difference that we base estimated time in traditional ABC on total true time
allowing also estimates in traditional ABC to suffer from consistent under-/over-estimation bias.
Consistent with Cardinaels and Labro (2008), we find that participants heavily overestimate time
in the second estimation in traditional ABC. Interestingly, participants in TD-ABC carry their
underestimation bias over to the second estimation when they estimate the total duration for all
tasks per activity. This result is somewhat puzzling given the fact that psychology literature argues
that short durations below 2 to 5 minutes tend to be over-estimated compared to longer durations
(above this threshold) which tend to be under-estimated.
5 Discussion
In sum, our results suggest that time should only be estimated in TD-ABC when corrected for
consistent under-/over-estimation. However, when estimates in TD-ABC are not corrected for con-
sistent estimation bias, the benefits of TD-ABC are likely to be eliminated by this bias. Moreover,
we provide evidence showing that estimates in TD-ABC are not affected by the amount of times
20
Table 6: Under-/Over-Estimation – Second Estimation
A B C D A B C D
ABC 9.92 18.17 15.05 13.41 13.37 14.51 17.75 12.44
(35%) (15%) (25%) (15%) (32%) (21%) (21%) (42%)
A B C D A B C D
TD-ABC -6.27 -5.23 -7.75 -6.45 -2.83 -2.13 -1.34 -6.81
(90%) (90%) (85%) (80%) (68%) (58%) (58%) (63%)
Note: This table indicates, for each of the four experimental cells, the average measurement
error per activity (in bold) and the percentage of participants underestimating time per activ-
ity (in brackets). A negative average measurement error reflects underestimation, a positive
average measurement error reflects overestimation.
an activity is performed. However, estimates in traditional ABC are largely affected in their ac-
curacy when the amount of tasks per activity varies. This supports the idea that TD-ABC is a
bottom-up approach allowing employees to directly focus on the single activities when estimating
time. Finally, we provide evidence for different estimation biases in the two estimation approaches,
i.e., under-estimation in TD-ABC and over-estimation in traditional ABC. However, generalizing
on the directions of consistent estimation bias has to be done with care. Nevertheless, we deem
further studies in this direction of interest for research in psychology.
We believe that we contribute to accounting literature in different aspects. To our best knowl-
edge, we are the first to directly compare the different approaches to time-driven costing in an
empirical study. More importantly, we find that task heterogeneity is not an issue in TD-ABC,
whereas it is highly problematic in traditional ABC. In addition, our results suggest that designers
of cost systems should rely on time estimation as suggested in TD-ABC only if corrected for con-
sistent under-/over-estimation bias. Therefore, conclusions about practical capacity in TD-ABC
need to be drawn with caution.
Moreover, further avenues for experimental research in time-driven costing seem worthwhile to
pursue. We restrict our analyses to activities on a rather aggregated level. Moreover, an interaction
of task coherence with number of tasks performed per activity seems to be worthwhile to investigate.
Our results must be treated with caution concerning two aspects: (1) Our sample size is rather
small and more data is needed to underpin our results. (2) Researchers should not conclude
from our results whether activity durations are generally under- or over-estimated when employees
provide best estimates. Under- and over-estimation biases seem to depend very much on the general
duration of a task.
Finally, we deem our results to be highly interesting for practitioners applying time-driven
21
costing.
22
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24
Table A.1: Descriptive Results - Error Second Estimation
25
Table A.2: OLS Regression Results – Measurement Error Type 1 – Second Estimation
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
VARIABLES Total Activity A Activity B Activity C Activity D
Observations 78 78 78 78 78
R-squared 0.103 0.091 0.062 0.004 0.194
Note: ***,**,* denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level (one-tailed) and parentheses
show the corresponding t-statistics. The table indicates results for OLS regressions of the
log of measurement error on ‘TD-ABC’, ‘ASYMMETRY’ and their ‘INTERACTION’ term.
‘TD-ABC’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and values of 0 for traditional ABC. ‘ASYMME-
TRY’ takes values of 1 for unequal amounts of tasks per activity and 0 for equal amounts
of tasks per activity. ‘INTERACTION’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and Asymmetry
equalling 1 and values of 0 otherwise.
26
Table A.3: OLS Regression Results – Measurement Error Type 2 – Second Estimation
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
VARIABLES Total Activity A Activity B Activity C Activity D
Observations 78 78 78 78 78
R-squared 0.374 0.216 0.127 0.223 0.351
Note: ***,**,* denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level (one-tailed) and parentheses
show the corresponding t-statistics. The table indicates results for OLS regressions of the
log of measurement error on ‘TD-ABC’, ‘ASYMMETRY’ and their ‘INTERACTION’ term.
‘TD-ABC’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and values of 0 for traditional ABC. ‘ASYMME-
TRY’ takes values of 1 for unequal amounts of tasks per activity and 0 for equal amounts
of tasks per activity. ‘INTERACTION’ takes values of 1 for TD-ABC and Asymmetry
equalling 1 and values of 0 otherwise.
27
Table B.1: Screen Shot - Activity A
28
Table B.2: Screen Shot - Activity B
29
Table B.3: Screen Shot - Activity C
30
Table B.4: Screen Shot - Activity D
31