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20-21 PRM Monte Carlo Coursework
20-21 PRM Monte Carlo Coursework
20-21 PRM Monte Carlo Coursework
Please note, the Monte Carlo simulation is to be done in a group and is worth 30% of
the total mark.
The final report is an individual effort and is worth 10%. For the simulation, every
group will use a unique set of values (refer to the table at the end of this document).
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profits for each production batch size? You should consider the key statistics (mean,
maximum profit etc) and a graph of the frequency distribution.
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Spreadsheet. Your group should submit a spreadsheet showing your calculations for
Parts A and B. (Calculations of expected profits for both batch sizes and project
duration time). The spreadsheet should also include a separate sheet that describes
briefly how you have reached your conclusions. It should also include a brief section
where you discuss technical issues such as the choice of the correct probability
distributions and the number of iterations or repetitions to run; do you think your
models and results are realistic? You might also include some brief comments about
any extreme or unusual results.
Presentation: Slides, spreadsheet and recording due no later than 4pm on 20th
August 2021. Individual Report submission: 4pm, 11 26th August 2021 - via
Moodle/Turnitin.
Please make sure you have re-read the assessment and group work guidelines
from the qualitative analysis course work.
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Appendix A – Manufacturing Times from Previous Projects
A sample of manufacturing times (days) from previous projects (P1–P5).
P1 P2 P3 P4 P5
A 28.2 36.0 34.1 30.8 33.4
B 37.0 34.0 38.9 29.8 28.7
C 37.0 31.1 28.1 34.2 29.7
D 28.5 30.4 32.5 35.3 29.0
E 33.0 33.7 45.0 30.0 25.7
F 31.4 42.0 31.2 26.3 26.3
G 30.4 36.4 35.3 43.0 41.2
H 30.3 37.0 30.6 31.9 32.0
I 38.0 42.0 33.4 35.0 31.9
J 33.8 28.0 32.4 27.5 35.6
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Appendix B – Coursework Unique Data Values
The following table gives the values reserved for each of the numbered coursework
groups. If you have not already added your name to the group list on myUWS, please
do so in order to determine your group number and corresponding values.
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