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Reed, Baron - (2007) How To Think About Fallibilism
Reed, Baron - (2007) How To Think About Fallibilism
Reed, Baron - (2007) How To Think About Fallibilism
1. INTRODUCTION
(FK1) S fallibly knows that p =df (1) S knows that p on the basis
of justification j and yet (2) S’s belief that p on the basis
of j could have been false.
(FK2) S fallibly knows that p =df (1) S knows that p on the basis
of justification j even though (2) j does not entail that S’s
belief that p is true.
Philosophers who speak of fallibilism in accordance with (FK1)
tend to say that, despite the good justification underlying one’s
knowledge, it nevertheless could have been mistaken or wrong or
false.6 Philosophers who prefer (FK2) tend to say that, although
HOW TO THINK ABOUT FALLIBILISM 145
one’s justification for a belief can be quite good, it does not entail or
guarantee that the belief is true.7
The two definitions are equivalent, given the usual understanding
of entailment. To say that p entails q means that it is logically
impossible for p to be true and q false. Thus, to deny that p entails q
is to say that it is logically possible that p is true and q is false. So,
when (FK2) says that j does not entail that p, this means that it is
logically possible for S to have j and yet it be false that p. Or, in other
words, S’s belief that p on the basis of j could have been false, just
as (FK1) says. (FK1) and (FK2), then, are alternative expressions of
what we might call the standard account of fallibilism.
knows that p, and surely in that case it is false that, for all S knows,
∼p. Hence, S always will have knowledge (namely, the knowledge
that p) that precludes ∼p from being epistemically possible.
Even if we bracket S’s knowledge that p so that it plays no role in
determining the epistemic possibility that ∼p, the problem remains.
For the belief that p will almost certainly fit into a coherent set of
beliefs (even if its justification doesn’t depend on that coherence).
For example, the belief that I am now standing coheres well with the
beliefs that I was standing an instant ago, that nothing has happened
that would lead to my not standing, that if I were now to look in a
mirror I would see myself to be standing, that other people know I
am now standing, etc. Even if we bracket the belief that I am now
standing, these other beliefs also seem to preclude from epistemic
possibility that I am not now standing. It simply isn’t true that for all
I know I am not now standing. We could try bracketing not only the
belief that p but also all of the evidence for it and the consequences
of it. But then we would have no claim to be capturing what it means
to say that for all we know it’s false that p. Epistemic possibility just
doesn’t give us the account of fallibilism we want.
Susan Haack and Keith Lehrer suggest a fourth option for the
second clause of (FK1): it is logically possible that S mistakenly
believes that p or it is possible that p is true yet S does not believe
that p.12 Lehrer takes the italicized possibility to be logical, whereas
Haack says it should be read as psychological possibility. In making
this suggestion, Lehrer intends to offer an account of infallibility
capable of explaining, for a foundationalist, how basic beliefs can
be knowledge. He therefore does not presuppose that S knows that
p. Similarly, Haack is offering an account of fallibilism that is meant
to cover propositions in general rather than simply propositions
that a subject knows. To bring their proposals squarely to bear on
the standard account, two changes must be made. First, we should
presuppose the first clause of the standard account, i.e., S knows that
p on the basis of justification j. This doesn’t affect their views but
only the purposes for which they can be put to use. Second, we must
factor justification into their proposals for the second clause. Doing
so yields:
entail the conclusion is true, but that’s not why it ends up in the class
of justified beliefs.
There are, of course, many different ways of explaining how
beliefs end up in the class of justified beliefs. According to historical
reliabilism, for example, the class will contain all the beliefs that
have come from the same belief-producing process. They will all
be justified just in case most of the beliefs in the class are true.25
According to other views, the class of justified beliefs will be those
that have some sort of evidential support, or coherence relations, or
that have been caused in the right sort of way. What they all have
in common, though, is the gap between the truth of a belief and the
justification for it. Although the gap is sometimes bridged, it is also
possible for the bridge to go out. It is the threat of this happening
that makes knowledge fallible, even in the best of times.
5. CONCLUDING REMARKS
NOTES
1 Cf. Cohen (1988), p. 91.
2 For example, philosophers concerned primarily with the debate over founda-
tional beliefs often begin by considering whether those beliefs are infallible.
3 Cf. Lehrer (1974) and Nakhnikian (1968). Lehrer (1990) complicates matters:
(1992). Also, cf. Ayer (1963), p. 73, where he does clearly distinguish the two.
This usage accords better, I believe, with the usual definition of ‘incorrigible’ as
“not easily influenced or changed.”
5 All of the definitions in this paper should be understood as containing temporal
qualifiers (“S fallibly knows that p at t” etc.). I have omitted these for the sake of
simplicity. Also, I am not presupposing any particular account of justification in
these definitions. So, for example, the sense in which j is the basis for the belief
that p can be, but need not be, construed as an evidential relationship.
6 See, for example, Ayer (1956), pp. 54–56; BonJour (1985), p. 26; BonJour
(1998), p. 16; and Alston’s entry on ‘infallibility’ in Dancy and Sosa (1992). See
also Hetherington’s characterization of fallible, as opposed to failable, knowledge
in his (1999), p. 565, and Lehrer’s initial characterizations of incorrigibility in his
(1974), p. 81, and his (1990), p. 45.
7 See, for example, Cohen (1988), p. 91; Fogelin (1994), pp. 88–89; and Jeshion
(2000), pp. 334–335. Audi (1998) typically uses phrasing reminiscent of (FK1)
but ultimately explains infallibility in terms of (FK2); see pp. 82, 84, 255, and
292–4.
8 Cf. Lehrer (1974), pp. 82–83. Hetherington (1999), p. 565, says that most
epistemologists are so firmly committed to the standard account, even with the
difficulty raised by necessary truths, that he is willing to concede to them the term
‘fallibilism’. Instead, he will offer an account of failable knowledge that captures
more fully what he thinks is the underlying basis for the traditional conception
of fallibilism. I disagree with Hetherington’s assessment of how firmly other
epistemologists are committed to the standard account, and so I shall ignore his
concession in what follows. His theory of knowing failably, then, is a version of
what I am calling fallibilism, though it is not a version of the standard account of
fallibilism.
154 BARON REED
her reason for doing so is a bit different from the one I give.
12 Lehrer (1990), p. 47, and Haack (1979), p. 52. I have transformed Lehrer’s
he calls “incorrigibility”) more plausible. Lehrer says that if S knows that p with
infallibility, then the following must be true: it is logically necessary that if p then
S believes that p. But when it is necessarily true that p this makes it necessarily
true that S believes that p. Surely, no foundationalist would say that – there are
possible worlds in which, for example, S either does not exist or is brain dead
and has no beliefs at all. These worlds are precluded, however, if we require only
that necessarily S believes that p in those worlds in which S has j. Cf. Fumerton
(1995), pp. 69–71.
14 Cf. Hetherington (1999), p. 566, on how knowledge can be failable because S
priori knowledge as well (p. 370). The option based on Carrier’s view, presented
in (FK4), is weaker than this statement; I would like to allow for the possibility
that at least some empirical propositions are known with infallibility (the cogito
springs to mind as a likely candidate).
16 Carrier (1993), pp. 366, 369.
17 Cf. Alston (1980).
18 Lehrer (1974) and (1990) rejects this option because it would make an account
could have failed to satisfy any one of the first three conditions of (K) while
meeting the other two. We disagree, therefore, over whether possibly failing (K2)
or (K3) makes S’s knowledge fallible. I have argued above, in considering the
Haack/Lehrer proposal, that possible worlds in which S has j but doesn’t believe
that p are largely irrelevant to S’s actual knowledge that p. Similar considerations
apply to those worlds in which (K3) isn’t satisfied – i.e., S has a true but unjustified
belief that p. Although it is certainly true that S doesn’t know that p in those
worlds, they seem to be irrelevant to S’s actual knowledge that p. It simply is a
different cognitive situation when S’s belief that p is not based on justification j
and thus does not affect S’s knowledge that p when the belief is in fact based on j.
Hetherington also thinks that we have (very failable) Knowledge in Gettier cases
and so leaves (K4) out of his schematic account of knowledge. I don’t find this
to be plausible, but I won’t offer further comment on it except to say that if we
disallow the possible failure of (K2) and (K3) his account has no other resources
for resolving the difficulty with necessity. His account of failable knowledge, then,
does not accomplish its stated goal of capturing “the kind of failing that underlies
the traditional concept of knowing fallibly” (p. 565).
22 As far as I know, Ginet (1975), p. 54, is the only epistemologist to explicitly
connect fallibility with possibly being subject to a Gettier case. The barn façade
example comes from Ginet via Goldman (1976).
23 Types of justification can be individuated broadly or narrowly (e.g., justified
because formed on the basis of reason or justified because formed on the basis of
modus ponens). I leave open which strategy is preferable.
24 Cohen (1988) says that “a fallibilist theory allows that S can know q on the
basis of r where r only makes q probable” (p. 91). This sounds like an endorsement
156 BARON REED
REFERENCES