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AI-From Data To ROI White Paper of Cognizat
AI-From Data To ROI White Paper of Cognizat
September 2020
In our global study,
almost two-thirds of Contents
Click a link below to jump to that section.
senior executives –
regardless of industry 3
5
Introduction: AI Meets Its Moment
All Eyes on AI
or region – see AI as 9 It’s All About the Data (But Not Just Any Data)
businesses.
25 How to Accelerate the ROI of AI
28 Methodology
So far this year, the world has been faced with the COVID-19 pandemic, social unrest, economic upheaval and
vast uncertainty. Amid the chaos, individuals and organizations have desperately sought anything that provides a
glimmer of insight into an unknowable future. That’s why 2020 will also be known as the tipping point for artificial
intelligence (AI).
Our groundbreaking research, conducted during the outbreak, reveals It’s no wonder, then, that businesses have little interest in returning to the old
executives are turning en masse to AI to make better, more intelligent ways of working. Over the next three years, twice as many businesses expect
decisions, especially when much of the information and decision models to be in the advanced stages of AI maturity vs. today, and annual spending
needed are fast-changing or unknown. In our global study of 1,200 increases will nearly double from 4.6% to 8.3%.
companies, conducted in conjunction with ESI ThoughtLab, almost two-
However, while AI ultimately offers significant ROI, it can be difficult to
thirds of senior executives – regardless of industry or region – see AI as highly
achieve and does not come overnight. While currently more than half
important to the future of their businesses (see methodology, page 28).
of businesses are seeing positive returns on their AI investments, the
From the early days of the pandemic, it became painfully clear to most average ROI is just 1.3%. Further, with potentially high upfront costs in data
businesses that they didn’t have the data they needed to make intelligent modernization, technology adoption and people development, it can take 17
decisions in the face of chaos. Even now, their data isn’t always current, months on average to realize positive payback.
accurate or relevant enough to be of use to them, and it’s hard to interpret.
Their forecast models, which were previously “good enough” are now way
off-target. Many realize they can no longer trust their old decision systems.
The pandemic cast a spotlight on the need for AI. AI is crucial across industries
A decisive majority – 64% – of executives in our study
Percent of respondents rating AI as having high importance.
believe AI is considerably or very important for the future
of their business (see Figure 2). That figure jumps to 98% for Automotive 77%
respondents at the highest levels of AI maturity, and to 85% for Banks 75%
the largest organizations in our study (revenue over $20 billion). Technology 75%
As the world went online, many businesses had difficulty grasping Healthcare 74%
the continuously shifting dynamics that ensued. Predictive Life sciences 66%
models failed to account for the sudden and ongoing changes Telecom 66%
to customer, market and supply chain behaviors. The experience Manufacturing 64%
shifted AI into high gear. All industries 64%
Insurance 63%
Consumer/retail 60%
Energy 59%
Media 52%
Investment 42%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Most companies, however, are in the early stages of AI adoption, with Two-thirds of businesses in most industries will reach
just 29% of respondents across industries at a maturing or advanced advanced levels of AI maturity
level in implementing AI (see Figure 3). Most AI projects are in pilot or
Percent of respondents at a mature or advanced stage of AI.
early deployment stages, and even among AI leaders, just about one-
% Change
quarter of AI projects are now in widespread deployment. Investment management 327%
This will change dramatically, however, in the next three years, when the Insurance 306%
percent of businesses that expect to be at a maturing or advanced stage Media and entertainment 273%
of AI adoption will more than double to 63%. In industries that are in the Consumer and retail 235%
earlier stages of their AI journey – such as insurance, wealth and asset Energy and utilities 210%
management, and media and entertainment – the increase will be fourfold. Technology 136%
Life sciences 119%
Currently, the sectors with the highest percentage of AI leaders are the
All industries 117%
automotive, healthcare and banking industries. While the auto industry
Manufacturing 97%
isn’t often the first sector that comes to mind when it comes to AI (beyond
Telecoms 84%
self-driving cars), automakers’ use of AI is far-ranging, including driver-assist
Banks 57%
features, connected vehicles, manufacturing, quality control and product
Healthcare 52%
design. General Motors, for example, is using AI-driven “generative design”
Automotive
to shave unnecessary weight from car parts, while Volkswagen is increasing Now 50%
the precision of its market forecasts with AI analytics, pulling in data on In three years 0 20 40 60 80 100
Financial services: When a global Insurance: We worked with an Healthcare: A leading healthcare Life sciences: A biotech company
financial services organization wanted industry-leading P&C insurer that services provider wanted to wanted to improve patient
to reduce its fraud risk, we worked wanted to improve the quality of its proactively identify potential drug- adherence to medication regimes.
with the organization to develop a call-center customer interactions. seeking behavior in order to reduce We developed a solution that
machine-learning system that flags We helped this carrier develop an addiction among its patients. We uses AI, machine learning and
potential fraud in near-real-time. AI-driven analytics platform that developed an AI-driven machine- natural language processing to
The technology compares scanned automates call monitoring and learning solution that analyzes data pull insights from case notes that
images of handwritten checks enables agents to respond more from three sources: physicians’ notes reveal what motivates patients to
against a growing database of checks empathetically and effectively to from patient visits recording their start, discontinue and switch use of
previously identified as fraudulent. It customers during calls. The system impressions of a patient’s behavior, medications. Using these insights,
then flags potential counterfeits while was taught to recognize agents’ appearance and diagnoses; the the company was able to identify
deposit transactions are in process. progress through a 40-point checklist drugs the patient had previously adherence roadblocks and improve
The system has demonstrated for each call, as well as improve been prescribed; and the behaviors patient support through more
50% savings on fraud losses and is agents’ real-time response to and symptoms caused by each effective KPIs, recommendations and
forecast to reduce annual fraud losses customers through speech analytics, drug. The system uses text analytics documentation.
by $20 million. which interprets word choice, diction and advanced machine learning
and tone. Agents have improved to generate system alerts when
the customer experience through a pattern of at-risk behavior is
personality profiling and conversation identified. This enables caregivers to
cues. intercede with patients in real time
and take corrective actions. Using
the system, the health provider has
identified 85,000 at-risk patients and
anticipates a potential $60 million
reduction in care costs.
8 / AI: From Data to ROI < Back to Contents
It’s All About the Data (But Not Just Any Data)
Nearly all AI leaders have mature data It’s clear from our study that there’s an inextricable link between AI
modernization practices maturity and data management (what we call “data modernization”):
the work involved with ensuring the accessibility, reliability and
Percent of respondents who say they’re maturing or advanced in data management.
timeliness of data for AI and analytics. Nine out of 10 AI leaders say
Now
they’re in the maturing or advanced stages of data management,
In three years
while literally none of the AI beginners rate themselves that way (see
Figure 4). At the same time, having a proper IT architecture and data
100
modernization processes in place was the most important lesson
97%
91% learned for beginners (60%).
80 85%
74% What’s more, more than half of healthcare, banking and auto manufacturing
60
businesses – the industries with the highest percentage of leaders in
53% them – have already made significant progress in modernizing their data,
40
and an overwhelming majority expect to by 2023.
35%
20
20%
0%
0
Leader Advancer Implementer Beginner
Increasingly, businesses are finding the most easily Data sources will expand greatly in three years
accessible data sets aren’t enough to make the most
intelligent decisions. By 2023, we’ll see businesses pulling Data used for AI today Fastest growing over three years
Percent of respondents integrating each type of data Percent growth in the use of each type of data.
from wider and more diverse data sets for AI-driven into their AI applications.
types of data integrated into AI applications. In many cases, Internal 43% Geospatial 76%
this is simply because of the sheer volume of accessible Social media 21% Real-time 75%
data generated by sensors and customer interactions. But Real-time 20% Social media 60%
other forms of data are where the greatest insights often lie, Manufacturing 18% Macro 41%
particularly when such data is combined. Supply chain 18% Supply chain 35%
With data modernization comes challenges – most of which don’t ease Top 10 data challenges
up to any great degree as maturity increases (see Figure 7). This makes % gap between
Percent of respondents naming each as a top challenge.
sense, given that advanced AI maturity also means more scaling of 'leaders' and
'nonleaders'
pilot solutions, more use of diverse data sets and a greater shift toward Data integrity/quality 38% -5%
modernizing data (i.e., through the use of data lakes and the cloud) vs.
Governance/compliance 36% 5%
simply managing data (i.e., with databases and storage).
Data security 36% -1%
Compliance, for example, becomes more difficult as organizations scale
their AI solutions around the world, and cleaning and normalizing data Integrating data 36% -10%
becomes twice as difficult for leaders compared with non-leaders as Identifying trusted data 35% -2%
they leverage richer data sets. Identifying trusted data continues to be a
Identifying corrupt records 25% -6%
challenge as businesses turn to third-parties for external data, as does
ensuring data integrity as businesses work to ensure ethical algorithmic Size/frequency of data 22% 0%
decisions. In short, as AI gets used for more powerful business outcomes, Availability of data 17% -9%
the responsibility grows to meet ever higher standards.
Data silos in organization 16% -3%
On average, companies expect to increase their spending on AI by a factor of two. The rise and fall in AI spending rates
While companies increased their AI investments by 4.6% on average over the last
Percent increase in AI spending, last year and in three years.
year, that will accelerate to an 8.3% increase in annual AI spending over the next
three years (see Figure 8). Last year In three years
10
A closer look reveals that it’s the non-leaders accounting for the spending increases.
9%
While non-leaders expect to double the rate of their AI investment – from a 4.4% increase 8 8.3%
over the last year to 9% annually over the next three years – AI leaders expect to trim their
spending growth, from 6% over the last year to 4.5% over the next three years. Yet since
leaders say they are spending 2.6 times others in absolute dollars, they still expect to 6
6%
outspend their non-leader counterparts.
4 4.4% 4.5% 4.6%
Some sectors plan to ramp up spending at more than twice the rate of last year: media,
investment management, and consumer and retail.
2
While spending expectations may be moderated due to budgetary pressures during
the pandemic, it’s very likely that businesses will feel similarly pressured to invest in AI to
navigate the COVID crisis with modern decisioning. 0
Non-leader Leader All respondents
When companies start out in AI, they spend over half of With AI maturity comes a shift in spending toward people
their AI budgets on technology and only 15% on people.
Percent of budget invested today in people, process and technology.
But as they mature, a greater share of their spending goes
to training and hiring people to achieve their goals (see
Beginner Implementer Advancer Leader
Figure 9).
Leaders in our study reveal the path ahead for where to spend on Spending will shift to advanced AI
AI technologies. Already, leaders spend 40% of their AI budget on
Percent of budget allocated to advanced AI technologies vs. basic AI.
advanced AI technologies, such as machine learning, deep learning,
computer vision and natural language processing, whereas non- 50 Today In three years
growth as they’re well ahead in applying AI to R&D and innovation. Response base: 1,200
Source: ESI ThoughtLab/Cognizant
Figure 11
21 / AI: From Data to ROI < Back to Contents
Outcomes shift as maturity grows
Because non-leaders are more focused on internal operations, it stands Top five benefits of AI
to reason that they’re also more intent on looking for value in those areas.
Percent of non-leaders realizing each benefit of AI.
That’s why we see non-leaders reporting value creation in areas such as
increased productivity, profitability, employee engagement and customer Higher productivity 49%
Meanwhile, as businesses grow in maturity, the focus shifts toward driving Improved employee engagement 38%
a growth strategy. As such, leaders are seeking – and often finding – value Improved profitability 32%
in the areas of increased revenue, greater market share, and new products
New products/services 19%
and services. Importantly, one-quarter of leaders (vs. just 16% of non-
leaders) are focusing their AI efforts on modern decisioning, which will be 0 10 20 30 40 50
vital for navigating the pandemic and beyond. As we see on the next page,
Percent of leaders realizing each benefit of AI.
intelligent decision-making is also an area of high ROI.
Higher productivity/increased revenue 31%
0 10 20 30 40 50
Response base: 1,200
Source: ESI ThoughtLab/Cognizant
22 / AI: From Data to ROI Figure 12 < Back to Contents
Customer experience is a high-return
place to start
Most businesses are seeing positive returns on the 19 AI areas included in The ROI of AI across functions
our study. The area generating a positive ROI for the largest percentage of
Percent of respondents seeing positive returns in each area.
companies is customer service and experience, followed by IT operations
and planning/decision making (see Figure 13).
Customer service and experience 74%
IT operations and IT infrastructure 69%
Other activities to note are pricing and business models, brand Planning and decision making 66%
management and reputation, and distribution and logistics. The percentage Risk management 62%
of businesses with positive returns in these areas is particularly high given R&D and innovation 62%
Supply chain, procurement 62%
that fewer are focusing their efforts there. Connected devices and products 61%
Pricing and business models 61%
Underperforming areas include sales and business development, finance Average across all functions 60%
and auditing, fraud detection, and marketing and promotions. Data security and privacy 60%
Brand management and reputation 60%
Customer onboarding/admin 59%
Distribution and logistics 59%
Legal and compliance 58%
E-commerce/customer platforms 58%
Market and customer analysis 57%
Marketing, promotion, channels 57%
Fraud detection and mitigation 57%
Finance and auditing 53%
Sales and business development 51%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
So much hope has been invested in AI to pull businesses through Leaders report an average ROI of over 4.3%, with nearly 40% reporting an
today’s chaotic environment that it’s easy for expectations to exceed ROI of over 5%. All leaders report positive returns, while no beginners or
reality when it comes to ROI. As our study shows, achieving ROI on AI implementers post returns over 5%.
initiatives takes time, smart deployment and the ability to scale.
Generating ROI from AI is a slow-burning process. With the average
On average, businesses have seen an ROI of just 1.3% from their AI payback period at 17 months (see Figure 15), it clearly takes time to identify
investments. However, that varies considerably based on AI maturity (see the appropriate business case, acquire and prepare the right data, and then
Figure 14). Businesses in the first half of their AI journey hardly break even. It build, test, refine and deploy working models. Management teams will want
is only when companies are advanced in AI and more widely implementing to set realistic targets that consider not just the short-term financial gains
it across their organizations that they start to see the fruits of their labor. from AI, but also the longer-term strategic benefits.
1
1
Begin with pilots, but then scale AI applications across Once pilots succeed, it’s essential to follow through. The real
the enterprise. Companies starting out should focus on value of AI is not in the models themselves, but in a company’s
working closely with business teams to identify use cases ability to scale them across their organizations. It’s telling that
and demonstrate their value through pilots. It’s important to 75% of organizations with high ROI have scaled AI across
identify multiple use cases, since some AI initiatives will fail. businesses units.
2
2
Use a hybrid organizational structure to scale AI
initiatives. Beginners often start out with a centralized
approach to AI, with a core of data scientists. But these efforts
For example, we recently worked with a company that realized
its supply chain predictive models didn’t work anymore due
to COVID-19. They immediately put data scientists in with
5
struggle because the teams are often not sponsored by the the supply chain team and deployed new models in just two
3
business lines, which are the ones with many of the ideas. weeks. The models went into production quickly because they
3 5
These central service teams are slow and ultimately collapse were tied to a business outcome and the people responsible
under their own weight. Business people, on the other hand, for those outcomes.
tend to work in a decentralized way. AI teams need to be close
Once the organization grows its AI maturity, it can start
to them, as well as the HR leader, the marketing leader, the
establishing standards. How do you know when you’re using
supply chain leader, the ops leaders. AI should be seen as a
responsible AI? How do you eliminate bias? What tool sets are
service to them, not something that’s centrally controlled.
appropriate? How do you integrate third-party data? Which
partners do you need? These types of decisions are better
served centrally but executed locally as you scale.
Solve the human side of the equation. AI is not just about businesses in our study with high ROI have been successful at
technology; it’s also about people. Tellingly, AI leaders spend developing and acquiring the right people. It’s also important
27% of their AI budget on people, almost twice the percentage to consider other people issues when adopting AI. Before
that AI beginners and implementers spend. It’s critical to scaling projects, businesses should put an HR plan in place to
hire AI talent that can understand business needs and create address jobs that may be disrupted.
solutions, not just build models. Eighty-three percent of
5
Adopt a culture of collaboration and learning. About 85% non-data scientists with the skills and tools to use AI on their
5
of businesses that generate large AI returns ensure close own. AI leaders are also more likely to have chief AI and
collaboration between AI experts and business teams. Also, analytics officers in place and multiple executives working
83% of high performers are advanced at developing and together to lead AI initiatives.
acquiring AI talent, and nearly nine out of 10 excel at providing
Bret Greenstein is Global Vice-President and Head strategy and marketing, and served as IBM’s CIO
of Cognizant Digital Business’s AI & Analytics for Asia-Pacific. He has worked globally in these
Practice, focusing on technology and business roles, including living in China for five years,
strategy, go-to-market and innovation, helping working with clients and transforming IBM’s IT
clients realize their potential through digital environment. Bret holds patents in the area of
transformation. Prior to Cognizant, Bret led IBM collaboration systems. He holds a bachelor’s degree
Watson’s Internet of Things offerings, establishing in electrical engineering and a master’s degree
new IoT products and services for the Industrial in manufacturing systems engineering from
Internet of Things. He built his career in technology Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. He can be reached
and business leadership across a range of roles at Bret.Greenstein@cognizant.com |
throughout IBM in software, services, consulting, www.linkedin.com/in/bretgreenstein/.
About Cognizant Artificial Intelligence Practice About Cognizant About ESI ThoughtLab
As part of Cognizant Digital Business, Cognizant’s Artificial Intelligence Practice Cognizant (Nasdaq-100: CTSH) is one of the world’s leading professional services ESI ThoughtLab is an innovative thought leadership firm that creates fresh thinking
provides advanced data collection and management expertise, as well as artificial companies, transforming clients’ business, operating and technology models for and actionable insights through rigorous research and evidence-based analysis.
intelligence and analytics capabilities that help clients create highly personalized the digital era. Our unique industry-based, consultative approach helps clients It specializes in using the latest quantitative and qualitative tools to examine the
digital experiences, products and services at every touchpoint of the customer envision, build and run more innovative and efficient businesses. Headquartered impact of technology on companies, cities, industries, and business performance.
journey. Our AI solutions glean insights from data to inform decision-making, in the U.S., Cognizant is ranked 194 on the Fortune 500 and is consistently listed ESI ThoughtLab is the thought leadership arm of Econsult Solutions, a leading
improve operations efficiencies and reduce costs. We apply Evolutionary AI, among the most admired companies in the world. Learn how Cognizant helps economic consultancy.
Conversational AI and decision support solutions built on machine learning, deep clients lead with digital at www.cognizant.com or follow us @Cognizant.
The ESI ThoughtLab report “Driving ROI Through AI” was the source for the data
learning and advanced analytics techniques to help ourclients optimize their
and much of the analysis in this ebook.
business/IT strategy, identify new growth areas and outperform the competition. To
learn more, visit us at cognizant.com/ai. To learn more, visit esithoughtlab.com.
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