Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Disaster Management
Disaster Management
PREPAREDNESS
RESPONSE
RECOVERY
Recovery is the fourth phase of disaster and is the restoration of all aspects of
the disaster’s impact on a community and the return of the local economy to
some sense of normalcy. By this time, the impacted region has achieved a
degree of physical, environmental, economic and social stability.
The recovery phase of disaster can be broken into two periods. The short-
term phase typically lasts from six months to at least one year and involves
delivering immediate services to businesses. The long-term phase, which can
range up to decades, requires thoughtful strategic planning and action to
address more serious or permanent impacts of a disaster. Investment in
economic development capacity building becomes essential to foster
economic diversification, attain new resources, build new partnerships and
implement effective recovery strategies and tactics. Communities must access
and deploy a range of public and private resources to enable long-term
economic recovery.
There are different types on natural disasters and depending on different types of
disasters the causes are also different. For example, the causes of earthquake
cannot be same as that of forestfire. Natural disasters are caused due to different
reasons like soil erosion, seismic activity, tectonic movements, air pressure, and
ocean currents etc. natural disaster is not a new phenomenon these natural events
have occurred since the earth began forming and continue to cause serious damage
and loss of life all over the globe from many years. The root causes of most of the
natural disasters that occur on earth can be attributed to the imbalance created in
our environment. This imbalance may either be in the form of air pollution, noise
pollution or water pollution and the collective effect of these imbalances are also
one of the few reasons for natural disaster. Though it also a fact that we cannot
blame anyone because this is just one of the few reasons. Natural disasters like
earthquake, floods etc have also occurred in past era when human was far away
from modernization. So it would not be fair enough to blame modernization for the
same. Natural Disasters are a set of naturally occurring events which can directly
or indirectly cause severe threats to human health and well-being and adversely
affects the human life for quite some time. It has been witnessed that the natural
disasters have their root causes in the normal activities of the earth. However
during past few years we have witnessed some rapid modernization and growth,
man's increased knowledge and technology has served to trigger for some natural
disasters. Flooding and erosion can occur is really prone to the areas where mining,
deforestation, and manufacturing have taken place. Global warming, which could
eventually effect the ocean currents, has its roots in modern man's overuse of fossil
fuels. Earthquakes resulting as a result of tectonic movements and movements of
plates inside the earth’s crust can also be triggered by drilling, bombing, mining,
and construction.
We can analyse this by looking at how slow and rapid-onset disasters create
different kinds of human movement.
Sometimes hazards are not obvious until pointed out. For example we wash our
hands to avoid biohazards such as viruses and bacteria even though they are too
small to see. We are told that some foods are poisonous (a biohazard) so we don’t
eat them.
All geological hazards (geohazards) could be considered dormant until they are
triggered.
When the hazard occurs it may then be called an event, accident, emergency,
incident, or disaster. The study and monitoring of geohazards helps us to better
prepare ourselves and respond to these geological events when they do occur.
Geohazards can be small features that have an impact only on their local area such
as a small landslide that partially blocks a road or track through to large
earthquakes that affect entire cities. They can also be very large events that have a
widespread impact such as large tsunami.
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Types of geohazard
Geohazards include:
landslides
earthquakes
tsunamis
volcanoes
lahars
hydrothermal eruptions
Common geohazards
New Zealand is geologically active. This is because it sits across the boundary
between the Indo-Australian and Pacific tectonic plates. These moving plates
create huge forces that have shaped our spectacular landscape; uplifting mountains,
carving out lakes and rivers and creating our rugged coastline. These forces
continue to form the land today and can also cause frequent earthquakes,
landslides, volcanic eruptions, hydrothermal activity and even tsunami.
Earthquakes
Earthquakes are caused when rocks break due to the stress applied by movement of
the tectonic plates that make up the outer layer of the Earth. About 15,000
earthquakes occur every year in New Zealand, but we only feel about 150-200 of
these earthquakes a year. While many are small, those that are strong and close to
towns or cities can cause great damage and sometimes loss of life. For this reason
it is important for New Zealanders to know how to prepare for and respond safely
to earthquakes.
Tsunami
Volcanoes
Lahars
Eruptions may trigger lahars by quickly melting snow and ice on a volcano or
ejecting water from a crater lake. Lahars are also formed by heavy rainfall during
or after an eruption, when volcanic ash is washed off the volcano. Some of the
largest lahars begin as landslides.
Hydrothermal activity
Hydrothermal activity is usually confined to hot springs, geysers and warm ground.
However, if they become unstable eruptions can occur. Hydrothermal processes
are often acidic and can alter the nature of rocks and soils, leading to slumping and
collapse of ground, which can cause damage to property and harm people.
Hydrogen sulphide gas can also be emitted and if there are high levels it can be
harmful.
Landslides
A landslide is a movement of soil, rock and debris down a slope. Landslides often
happen as a result of other natural disasters, such as earthquakes, volcanic
eruptions and floods (rainfall).
Sometimes hazards are not easy to see. For example, we wash our hands to avoid
germs (biohazards) even though they are too small to see. We are told that some
foods are poisonous (a biohazard) so we don’t eat them.
All geological hazards (geohazards) could be called dormant until they are
triggered.
When the hazard occurs it may then be called an event, accident, emergency,
incident, or disaster. The study and monitoring of geohazards helps us to better
prepare ourselves and helps us respond to these geological events when they do
occur.
Geohazards can be small features that have an impact only on their local area such
as a small landslide that partially blocks a road or track, through to large
earthquakes that affect whole cities. They can also be very large events that have a
widespread impact such as large tsunami.
Geologic hazards are responsible for great loss of life and destruction of property.
In the twentieth century more than a million people worldwide have been killed by
earthquakes alone, and the value of the property destroyed by earthquakes,
volcanoes, and tsunamis amounts to scores of billions of dollars.
What Climatology Is
Climatology, or sometimes known as climate science, is the study of the Earth's
weather patterns and the systems that cause them. From the ocean oscillations to
trade winds, pressure systems that drives temperature, airborne particles that
influence local conditions and even the phases of the moon and Earth's wobble all
affect the climate (1). The word “climatology” comes, as may scientific words and
• Earth –
–Solid- Geosphere : Geology, Geomorphology, Mineralogy, Seismology
– Liquid – hydrosphere : Hydrology
– Gases – Atmosphere : Meteorology – Hydrology + Meteorology =
Hydrometeorology
• Hydrology
– deals with occurrence, circulation and distribution of water in the
earth, their physical and chemical properties and their reaction with the
environment
– main concern is - quantities and time distribution of water passing
through the various phases
Phases –
• Atmosphere – water vapor and clouds
• Earth surface – snow, ice, dew, mist, water in streams, lakes and
oceans
• Below surface – soil moisture and groundwater
• Study problems such as floods and droughts and strategies to combat them
• weather forecasting
Hydrologic Cycle
• natural circulation of water from the oceans and land surface to the air, air to
land, and back to the ocean
The hydrologic cycle can be subdivided into three major systems: The oceans
being the major reservoir and source of water, the atmosphere functioning as the
carrier and deliverer of water and the land as the user of water. The amount of
water available at a particular place changes with time because of changes in the
supply and delivery. On a global basis, the water movement is a closed system but
on a local basis it is an open system.
The major components of the hydrologic cycle are precipitation (rainfall, snowfall,
hale, sleet, fog, dew, drizzle, etc.), interception, depression storage, evaporation,
transpiration, infiltration, percolation, moisture storage in the unsaturated zone, and
runoff (surface runoff, interflow, and baseflow).
This immense movement of water is mainly driven by solar energy: the excess of
incoming radiation over the outgoing radiation. Therefore, sun is the prime mover
of the hydrologic cycle. The energy for evaporation of water from streams, lakes,
ponds and oceans and other open water bodies comes from sun. A substantial
quantity of moisture is added to the atmosphere by transpiration of water from
vegetation. Living beings also supply water vapor to the atmosphere through
perspiration. Gravity has an important role in the movement of water on the earth’s
surface and anthroprogenic activities also have an increasingly important influence
on the water movement.
An interesting feature of the hydrologic cycle is that at some point in each phase,
there usually occur: (a) transportation of water, (b) temporary storage, and (c)
change of state. For example, in the atmospheric phase, there occurs vapor flow,
vapor storage in the atmosphere and condensation or formation of precipitation
created by a change from vapor to either the liquid or solid state. Moreover, in the
atmosphere, water is present in the vapor form while it is mostly (saline) liquid in
the oceans.
Coastal Zones
A coastal zone is the interface between the land and water. These zones are important
because a majority of the world's population inhabit such zones. Coastal zones are
The coastal hazards in Liberia can be generalized by change in two major aspects: change in
water level and change in land area. The change in water level can be due to sea/wave action,
local tidal variations, current patterns, flooding from rivers and/or combination of those. The
change in land area can be due to erosion (or accretion) in the coastal area. These factors lead to
a situation where the coastal area is prone to hazards like flooding and erosion. The coast is
exposed and dominated, throughout the year, by consistent patterns of long period low to
moderate energy swell waves originating from storms a long distance away in the Atlantic
Ocean. Therefore, swell waves, with longer periods, can pack a lot more energy than locally
generated waves.
Coastal Erosion
Basic Concept of Coastal Erosion
Coastal erosion is a result of human activities and natural environment
changes making the coastal dynamic action (wave, current, wind) lose
balance in the coastal process, and the long-term loss of sediments of coastal
zone results in the destruction process of coastline retreat and beach erosion.
The concept of coastal erosion is different from transgression. Transgression
is also called sea forwarding; it is the large landward movement of coastline
caused by relative long-term sea level rise, and it is the sea and land change
process in geological history. In temporal and spatial scales, transgression has
much larger space distribution and much longer duration than the coastal
erosion, and its formation mechanism is the planet tectonic evolution and sea
level rise. The concept of coastal erosion is also different from that of
Erosion
Erosion is the wearing away of rock along the
coastline. Destructive waves are responsible for erosion on the
coastline. There are four types of erosion:
Hydraulic action - this is the sheer power of the waves as they
smash against the cliff. Air becomes trapped in the cracks in the rock
and causes the rock to break apart.
Abrasion - this is when pebbles grind along a rock platform, much
like sandpaper. Over time the rock becomes smooth.
Attrition - this is when rocks that the sea is carrying knock against
each other. They break apart to become smaller and more rounded.
Solution - this is when sea water dissolves certain types of rocks.
In the UK, chalk and limestone cliffs are prone to this type of erosion.
Beaches are natural systems that are continuously evolving according to dynamics that
are dictated by climate, context and several other forcings including human impact.
Their evolution is also characterized by shocks, like for instance extreme
meteorological and/or marine events, that may cause sudden changes of the beach's
configuration. Beach evolution is studied by beach hydrodynamics and
morphodynamics. Beach evolution is sometimes conflicting with the need of
maintaining a morphological structure of beaches that ensures the maximum benefit for
the ecosystems and the recreational activities that provide fuel to tourism. In order to
maintain an optima configuration for beaches, humans have devised protection and
recovery strategies.
Interventions to hold the line and to move the shoreline forward are also called "direct
measures for shore defense". They include infrastructures that are located in the beach
area to control its morphological evolution. These are also called "hard engineering
methods" and include (1) active measures which modify the local hydrodynamic
behaviors in the seashore and therefore sediment transport, and (2) passive measures
that protect the coast from erosion without modifying the hydrodynamic circulation of
marine water.
Breakwaters;
Groins;
Beach nourishment (also called beach replenishment);
Sand by-pass systems.
2. Direct measures
However, one should not underestimate the impact of beach nourishment. First of all, a
relevant question is the selection of the sand grain size. Some authors suggest to use
larges size sediments, in order to limit the subsequent erosion that would be favored by
the increased availability of material. This strategy, however, may impact the touristic
appeal of the beach that would look different from its original configuration. Therefore,
other authors suggest to use sand of the same original grain size. Furthermore, one
should consider that the volume of sand one needs to allocate is higher than expected,
especially if increased particle size of the new sand is used, which may induce
"overfilling".
Sand by-passing is the process where the longshore sand transport (littoral drift) along
the shoreline travels across inlets in the direction of the net sediment transport. A bar
may therefore form across the inlet to transport sand to the other side. Training walls
may be erected along the cross-shore direction to avoid the formation of the bar to aid
navigation. As a result, the training walls trap the littoral drift such that the updrift
beach accumulates against the training wall, whilst the downdrift beach erodes due to a
lack of sand supply. To avoid the erosion of the downdrift beach a sand by-pass system
may be adopted to transport sand in the eroded location. Different strategies may be
adopted to transport sand. An interesting example of sand by-pass system is the Tweed
Sand Bypassing Project in Australia.
Groins and breakwaters are hard interventions that may impact the natural environment
of beaches. With respect to breakwaters, groins present the advantage of preventing
longshore transport and keeping the seaward visual open, as in natural pocket beaches.
Moreover, groines have a reduced impact on water circulation. On the other hand,
breakwaters may be more effective in the presence of significant orthogonal currents.
They also do not induce rip currents and may provide more safe conditions for bather
and swimmers.
The avoid the disadvantages provided by each solution, the idea is to integrate their
advantages by combining breakwaters and groins (see Figure 2 and 3).
In the presence of even limited longitudinal transport the bar should be associated to
groins, submerged or not, to create a series of rectangular cells (see Figure 3). The
limited exchange of material between neighboring cells increases the durability of the
solution. These structures may be created with boulders, sand bags, or geotextiles filled
with sand. These interventions have been frequently adopted in Italy in the past
decades and the results turned out to be not always good.
Nourishments may also be protected with groins only. The most effective solution
seems to be the use of long groins placed at large longitudinal distance, therefore
creating "pocket beaches". Particular care should be taken in checking the possible
presence of rip currents, namely, orthogonal seaward currents which may move the
nourishment away, may undermine the stability of the groins and may be dangerous for
swimmers. T groins are a possible solution to avoid rip currents. They are more
expensive as the extremity of the groins is directly exposed, along the longitudinal
direction, to sea waves. Therefore, the T groins need robust foundations.
A less impacting protection measure is berm protection with hard structures. The berm
is the nearly sub-horizontal portion of beach that stays dry except during extremely
high tides and storms. If the berm is protected with a hard revetment then a barrier
against erosion is created therefore preserving the berm itself. This measure does not
protect the beach face and the swash zone. Moreover, berm protection may have a
relevant impact on the landscape and therefore it may be not useful for preserving the
touristic appeal.
3. Indirect measures
Indirect measures that are gaining more and more popularity in recent times are attempts to reconstruct the
natural environment of the beach that has been eroded. These measures may be advisable to recover the cases
where erosion has been triggered by an extreme event that destroyed the natural structure and vegetation of the
beach. The measures may include beach nourishment to reconstruct the form of the beach, including berm and
foredune, berm protection with boulder and/or cobbles, and reconstruction of the native vegetation of the dune.
The wave climate and the orientation of the shoreline (see Classification of sandy coastlines)
The extent of the structure relative to the width of the surf zone
The detailed shape of the coastal structure
The typical impact on coastal processes and related shore erosion problems for different types of
structures will be discussed briefly in the following. A more comprehensive description of the structures
and their function is given in Hard coastal protection structures. The relation between structures and
coastal erosion is also described in the articles: Dealing with coastal erosion, Port breakwaters and coastal
erosion and Accretion and erosion for different coastal types.
The impact of seawalls on coastal erosion depends, among other things, on the location of the structure in
the coastal profile, on the littoral drift and on the natural beach evolution [4].
In the case of a naturally accreting coast, the main reason for building a seawall is to protect coastal
settlements from storm surge damage or to protect low-lying hinterland from flooding. The seawall is
usually fronted by a wide beach and its impact on beach dynamics is negligible.
Seawalls are built most often on eroding coasts; their primary function is to stop erosion. However, the
erosion process seaward of the structure continues and may even be enhanced. After some time no beach
will be left in front of the seawall. At that stage the toe of the seawall will be scoured by waves and the
structure will collapse if the toe is not sufficiently protected [5] (Fig.3). Whether a seawall enhances
erosion before the beach has disappeared (so-called 'active erosion') is site dependent. Active erosion
increases with decreasing beach width. Three processes play a role:
creation of reservoirs for power production and irrigation purposes by the construction of river
dams,
deepening of navigation channels,
mining of river sand.
River dams
Thousands of dams have been constructed on rivers worldwide, creating reservoirs which retain a large
part of the sediment discharge from the catchment areas (Fig.5). Perhaps the best-known example of
coastal erosion related to sediment trapping behind a river dam is the erosion of the Nile Delta coast after
the construction of the High Aswan Dam in the 1960´s, see Fig.6. The promontory propagated until 1909
and then began to erode. The reasons for the erosion of 42 m/year during the period 1909-1971 were
mainly a reduction in the river discharge and the construction of the Low Aswan Dam, whereas the
drastically increased erosion rate of 129 m/year after 1971 was caused by the construction of the High
Aswan Dam.
Sand mining in rivers
Sand mining in rivers is a major cause of coastal erosion in many countries. Sand mining in a river lowers
the river bed, causes bank erosion and reduces the supply of sand to the coast. There are five components
in the sediment balance for a degrading river section, schematically represented in Fig.7.
Sand from another bay passing by littoral drift along one of the headlands, Q B;
Sand supply from a river, QR.
The overall transport mechanisms in a crescent-shaped bay can be characterised as follows. The supply of
sand from the upstream bay QB will pass the headland and cross the bay via a bar. If a river also
contributes QR to the littoral budget, this material will be transported downdrift into the bay, partly along
the shoreline and partly onto the bar. These transport processes are fairly complicated and 2-dimensional
in nature, but they result in the supply of Q B + QR to the straight downdrift section of the crescent-shaped
shoreline of the bay. The direction of this straight section is given by the wave climate and the actual sum
QS1 = QB + QR according to the transport correlation between incident wave direction α 1 and the transport
QS1, shown in Fig.8 (The dependence of littoral drift on the wave incidence angle is explained in Shallow-
water wave theory and Littoral drift and shoreline modelling).
The shape of the crescent-shaped bay is stable, apart from seasonal variations, as long as the supply of
material to the bay QS1 is not changed. However, if the supply of material to the bay is reduced, typically
Fig. 1. Increasing littoral drift rate along Skaw Spit, Denmark. This causes coastal erosion along the entire 25 km
long section.
One cause of ongoing natural coastal erosion is a longshore increase of sand transport: in this case more
sand is leaving a coastal section than entering. As longshore sand transport (also called littoral drift)
depends primarily on the direction and height of breaking waves, a gradient in longshore transport can be
due to longshore varying wave conditions, coastline curvature, or nearshore bathymetric features. An
example of this kind of coastal condition is the West Coast of Skaw Spit, the northernmost tip of
Denmark. The presence of the headland and the port at Hirtshals, combined with the shadow effect of
southern Norway, results in increasing transport along the section of coastline some kilometres east of
Hirtshals to Gammel Skagen. For this reason the entire NW-oriented section of the Skaw spit is exposed
to erosion.
A wide vegetated dune area can trap fine sands carried inland from the beach by onshore winds. When the
dunes along the Dutch coast were fixed by vegetation from the 16th century they started growing by
capturing large amounts of sand. This contributed to fast shoreline retreat, illustrated in Fig. 3. The import
of beach sand to the dune area at the Dutch is estimated at 5-35 m3/m/year [2] Assuming that this sand
volume is withdrawn from the active zone (width of the order of 2 km, average slope of the order of
1/100), the resulting shoreline retreat can be estimated at 0.2-2 m/year.
Offshore sand loss under extreme wave and storm surge conditions
High energetic waves cause seaward migration of breaker bars and high storm surges further cause an
offshore movement of sand due to non-equilibrium in the profile during the high surge. Sand that is
transported sufficiently far offshore will not return to the coast by wave-induced onshore transport under
a milder wave climate.
Offshore sand loss to canyons
If there is a deep canyon close to the shore, sand may be lost into the canyon by littoral drift.
Offshore transport at the tip of a sand spit
Sand can get lost by littoral drift into deep water at the tip of a sand spit forming the end point of a littoral
cell. Sand lost in this way causes accumulative shore and shoal features in the deposition areas, at the
expense of the downstream coast. An example of this is the Skaw Spit, see Fig.4.
Fig. 5. Grünerevle at the north coast of Fehmarn Island (grey colour), Germany. Littoral drift is from west to east
(left to right in the figure). Sand spit formation at Grünerevle, parallel to the coast, starves the downstream
coastline. Sand capture by the spit also explains the absence of sand accumulation west of the downstream port.
Fig. 6. The NW coast of North Zealand, Denmark, an example of a simplificated coast. The moraine landscape
(red) has been cut back to a nearly straight line; the marine platform (yellow) has been formed in between.
The loss of material from a protruding area to one or two sides is a natural cause of coastal erosion. This
typically happens at till/sandstone headlands, where fine eroded material is washed away by currents and
coarse material is transported alongshore or offshore away from the headland. More generally, any semi-
hard seaward-concave section of a coastline will suffer erosion in case of insufficient supply of sand from
rivers. The natural state of such a coastline is erosion and straightening; the straightened coastline is
referred to as a simplificated coast, see Fig. 6.
Marine deposit shorelines suspended between eroding headlands (till or sandstone, for example) will
retreat similarly. The headlands have historically provided material for building up the sedimentary
shorelines and the suspended shoreline is consequently dependent on the presence of the headlands.
However, as the headlands continue to erode, the sedimentary shorelines will follow suit despite the fact
that they were originally accumulative forms. This development is part of the simplificated coast (see
previous paragraph).
Erosion also occurs at deltas coasts when the natural fluvial sand supply is reduced, depriving the delta
http://www.coastalwiki.org/wiki/Natural_causes_of_coastal_erosion
Ans.Endogenic is a geologic term describing internal processes of the earth, such as, the operation of plate tectonics.
Tectonic disasters therefore, relate to the same phenomena, referring to disasters that occur due to the tectonic activities of
the continental plates, which manifest themselves in earthquakes and volcanic eruptions.
An earthquake is a perceptible vibration of the surface of the earth. The crust of the earth, the lithosphere, is a
patchwork of continental plates, that slowly, and constantly move in diverse directions, shoving against one another.
When the tensions in the plates, deriving from the movement and shoving, exceed the strength of the crust, an
earthquake occurs. These “tectonic” earthquakes are the most frequent and strongest, but they can also derive from
volcanic eruptions or mining activities.
Volcanism describes geological activities that are connected with the rising of magma from the mantle of the earth
up to the surface. Volcanoes can evolve at the collision lines of the continental plates, oceanic trenches, on mid-
ocean ridges and at so called hot spots – irregular formations in the crust underneath the continental plates. Volcanic
eruption material can be solid, liquid or gaseous.
The most popular form of volcanoes are shield volcanoes, that erupt extremely hot, pure, liquid lava. As it flows
with great speed (60 km/h), it leaves a large area covered with a huge flat shield.
Stratovolcanoes erupt all kinds of volcanic material. The magma of stratovolcanoes derives from upper layers of the
mantle, from the bottom of the crust, and from an upper layer of the interior and contains more gas, therefore
different kinds of volcanic material erupt in phases of explosions of solid material, ashes, lava and gases.
Earthquakes and volcanic eruptions can also trigger other disasters such as, tsunamis, volcanic winters, glacial lake
outburst floods (Icelandic: “Jökulhlaup”) or Lahars.
Tremendous volcanic eruptions can burst huge amounts of ashes into the atmosphere which can shield the earth
from the radiation of the sun and as a consequence diminish the earth’s temperature or the average temperature on
earth for some amount of time. For example, the outbreak of Mount Tambora in Indonesia in 1815, caused the “year
without a summer”, frost and snow in the summer in England and the USA, harvest failures, famines and emigration
waves resulted until 1819.
In 1991, the eruption of Mount Pinatubo on the Philippines interrupted the trend of global warming for two or three
years.
A glacial outburst flood occurs when a volcano covered by a glacier erupts, melts the ice and releases a tremendous
flood wave.
A lahar is a gigantic mudflow caused by a volcanic outburst, consisting of mixture of erupted material, loose soil
and water, that can be extremely dangerous, covering large areas with a height of some meters and a possible
breadth of more than a hundred meters, running with a speed of up to 100 km/h.
Some of the questions we hope to answer for each possible natural disaster are:
As discussed before, natural disasters are produced by processes that have been
operating since the Earth formed. Such processes are beneficial to us as humans
because they are responsible for things that make the Earth a habitable planet for
life. For example:
Earthquakes are one of the processes responsible for the formation of mountain ranges
which which direct water to flow downhill to form rivers and lakes.
Erosional processes, including flooding, landslides, and windstorms replenishes soil and
helps sustain life.
Such processes are only considered hazardous when they adversely affect
humans and their activities.
Natural Hazards and the natural disasters that result can be divided into several
different categories:
Geologic Hazards - These are the main subject of this course and include:
o Earthquakes
o Volcanic Eruptions
o Tsunami
o Landslides
o Floods
o Subsidence
o Impacts with space objects
Atmospheric Hazards - These are also natural hazards but processes operating in the
atmosphere are mainly responsible. They will also be considered in this course, and
include:
o Tropical Cyclones
o Tornadoes
o Droughts
o Severe Thunderstorms
o Lightening
Other Natural Hazards - These are hazards that may occur naturally, but don't fall in to
either of the categories above. They will not be considered to any great extent in this
course, but include:
Natural Hazards can also be divided into rapid onset hazards, such as Volcanic
Eruptions, Earthquakes, Flash floods, Landslides, Severe Thunderstorms,
Lightening, and wildfires, which develop with little warning and strike
rapidly. Slow onset hazards, like drought, insect infestations, and disease
epidemics take years to develop.
Anthropogenic Hazards
These are hazards that occur as a result of human interaction with the
environment. They include Technological Hazards, which occur due to exposure
to hazardous substances, such as radon, mercury, asbestos fibers, and coal dust.
They also include other hazards that have formed only through human interaction,
such as acid rain, and contamination of the atmosphere or surface waters with
harmful substances, as well as the potential for human destruction of the ozone
layer and potential global warming.
Effects of Hazards
Hazardous process of all types can have primary, secondary, and tertiary effects.
Primary Effects occur as a result of the process itself. For example water damage
during a flood or collapse of buildings during an earthquake, landslide, or hurricane.
Secondary Effects occur only because a primary effect has caused them. For example,
fires ignited as a result of earthquakes, disruption of electrical power and water service
as a result of an earthquake, flood, or hurricane, or flooding caused by a landslide into a
lake or river.
Vulnerability to Hazards and Disasters
Vulnerability refers the way a hazard or disaster will affect human life and
property Vulnerability to a given hazard depends on:
In general, less developed countries are more vulnerable to natural hazards than
are industrialized countries because of lack of understanding, education,
infrastructure, building codes, etc. Poverty also plays a role - since poverty leads
to poor building structure, increased population density, and lack of
communication and infrastructure.
Human intervention in natural processes can also increase vulnerability by
Development and habitation of lands susceptible to hazards, For example, building on
floodplains subject to floods, sea cliffs subject to landslides, coastlines subject to
hurricanes and floods, or volcanic slopes subject to volcanic eruptions.
Affluence can also play a role, since affluence often controls where habitation
takes place, for example along coastlines, or on volcanic slopes. Affluence also
likely contributes to global warming, since it is the affluent societies that burn the
most fossil fuels adding CO2 to the atmosphere.
Risk assessment aids decision makers and scientists to compare and evaluate
potential hazards, set priorities on what kinds of mitigation are possible, and set
priorities on where to focus resources and further study.
Prediction and Warning
Prediction
Prediction involves:
Such observation usually involves monitoring of the process in order to identify some
kind of precursor event(s) - an anomalous small physical change that may be known to
lead to a more devastating event. - Examples:
Forecasting
Sometimes the word "forecast" is used synonymously with prediction and other
times it is not.
In the prediction of floods, hurricanes, and other weather related phenomena the word
forecast refers to short-term prediction in terms of the magnitude, location, date, and
time of an event. Most of us are familiar with weather forecasts.
In the prediction of earthquakes, the word forecast is used in a much less precise way -
referring to a long-term probability that is not specific in terms of the exact time that the
event will occur. For example: Prior to the October 17 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake
(also know as the World Series Earthquake) the U.S. Geological Survey had forecast a
50% probability that a large earthquake would occur in this area within the next 30
years. Even after the event, the current forecast is for a 63% probability that a major
earthquake will occur in this area in the next 30 years.
Early Warning
Frequency of Natural Disasters
For example:
Humans coexist with rivers all the time and benefit from them as a source of water and
transportation.
Only when the volume of water in the river becomes greater than the capacity of the
stream channel is there a resulting disaster.
For example:
A hurricane that makes landfall on a coast where few people live, will not result in a
disaster.
So, what we have to worry about is large events that strike areas where humans
live.
For just about any event, statistical analysis will reveal that larger events occur
less frequently than small events.
Statistical analysis of some types of events for specific locations allow one to
determine the return period or recurrence interval.
Examples:
Flood Frequency -
Although we as humans have not had the opportunity (fortunately) of observing large asteroid
or meteorite impacts, the data suggest that impacts of large asteroids (1 km or larger) occurs
only once every 10 million years.
As we have just noted, large earthquakes occur much less frequently than smaller earthquakes.
Those with magnitudes greater than 8.5 only occur once every 3 years on the average (see Table
3.3 in your text
or https://www.iris.edu/gallery3/general/posters/exploring_earth/EarthquakeFrequency)
Are natural disasters becoming more frequent as it seems from news reports of recent activity?
The short answer appears to be that yes, natural disasters are increasing in frequency
(see https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Trends_in_natural_disasters.jpg. But, this
suggests some other important questions before we start making conclusions about the end of
the world:
2. Why is the frequency of natural disasters increasing (what could explain the trend)?
First, Is the frequency of hazardous events increasing? This is much more difficult to answer
since natural events responsible for natural disasters have been occurring throughout the 4.5
billion year history of the Earth. Nevertheless, there is no evidence to suggest that hazardous
events are occurring more frequently.
What about global warming? There is evidence to suggest that weather related disasters are
becoming more frequent, compared to other disasters like earthquakes. For example, the
frequency of disasters from tropical cyclones and floods has been increasing, the frequency of
earthquakes has changed little. Although this is what we expect from global warming, there is
not yet enough statistical data to prove this right now.
Second, is there another explanation for the the frequency of natural disasters increasing? First
consider the following facts:
Human population has been increasing at an exponential rate. With more people, vulnerability
increases because there are more people to be affected by otherwise natural events.
Our ability to communicate news of natural disasters has been increasing, especially since the
invention of the internet. Earlier in human history there may have been just as many disasters,
but there were few ways the news of such disasters could be communicated throughout the
Meanwhile: Deaths from natural disasters has decreased in developed countries and increased in
developing countries. What could explain this? Politics? Economics? Cultural Differences?
Education?
The cost of natural disasters has been increasing in developed countries. What could explain
this? Economics?
This Course
This course is not about the political, cultural, or economic aspects of natural disasters.
It is about the science of natural disasters and how can use our knowledge of the scientific
aspects of disasters to reduce the death and destruction caused by otherwise natural events.
Textbook Theme
The textbook selected for this course uses 5 fundamental concepts in the study of natural
hazards and disasters:
Ans • Slow onset hazards, like drought, insect infestations, and disease
epidemics take months or years to develop.
• A slow-onset emergency or disaster is defined as one that does not emerge from a
single, distinct event but one that emerges gradually over time, often based on a
confluence of different events.
• Two main slow onset hazards related to climate change are expected to have an
impact on population mobility
– Crop damage and failure, lower yields, livestock deaths, and wildfires;
– Water stress
– Food and water shortages, risk of malnutrition, risk of water and food-borne
diseases
• it will worsen saline intrusions, inundation, storm surges, erosion, and other
coastal hazards, the threat is particularly grave vis-à-vis island communities
• What is expected?
• most environmentally induced migration would remain within national
boundaries, particularly in the case of sea-level rise, eventually increasing the
numbers of IDPs (internally displaced people)
• international migration is highly likely and indeed may be the only option in the
cases of small-island states (e.g. Tuvalu and Maldives) and of countries that share
threatened coastal areas (e.g. India and Bangladesh)
UNIT-2
There are different types of disaster. Some are natural and some are
manmade. Nuclear holocausts, Fire accidents are manmade disasters but
floods, cyclones, drought, earthquakes are natural disaster as they are due
to changes in the natural conditions.
1. Floods:
Floods are due to passage of water to habitation. Water stays for longer
time covering the land area having human beings, plants and animals.
Flood is a direct result of heavy rainfall in a continuous way for longer
days. Indian states suffer due to flood every year.
Ganga, Brahmaputra is two major rivers which a use floods every year.
Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Assam are the states which suffer much due to floods
of these rivers. In Orissa, it is Mahanadi and Baitarani which cause floods
in the adjoining areas of Cuttack, Puri, Balasore etc.
Floods are caused due to many reasons: heavy and prolonged rainfall,
heavy molting of snow, changes in the course of a river, silting of river
beds, dam collapse, landslides, deforestation, land utilisation in an
unscientific manner and tsunamis.
In India, floods cause greater damage than any other single disaster. They
affect human lives, crops and livestock, devastate land and other property,
and disrupt transport and communication lines. They occur in almost all
parts of India, except the hilly and mountainous regions.
Most of the flood-prone areas are in the middle and lower Ganga and
Brahmaputra plains. The states of Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Uttar
Pradesh, West Bengal, Manipur, Gujarat, Punjab, Haryana and Tamil Nadu
are most affected. Apart from the Ganga and Brahmaputra, the Yamuna,
Satluj, Jhelum, Krishna, Godavari, Mahanadi and Cauvery record frequent
floods.
The government of India has taken planned steps to check floods. In the
initial phase of the flood control plan, multi-purpose projects were
designed: the Damodar Valley, Kosi, Bhakhra, Hirakud, Rihand among
others. In 1976, the National Flood Commission was set up. The
Commission identified the areas prone to flooding.
(iii) The rivers that are prone to floods are identified and the channels of
these are deepened and widened to reduce floods. Canals are built to divert
excessive river water due to rains.
(iv) Dams and multi-purpose projects across rivers store surplus water in
the reservoirs and reduce run-off of the river water.
(vi) There must be detailed maps of the flood- prone areas after examining
the flood cycles in a region or vis-a-vis a river, based on information
regarding floodways in relation to land use.
Management:
Floods can be prevented and controlled by the following ways:
2. Inflow of water from the upper catchment to the river should be stopped
by building artificial reservoir.
3. Proper network of inter connected river will greatly manage flood water
by diverting excess water to the deficit areas
2. Cyclones:
Cyclones are atmospheric storm. It is caused due to rise in temperature in
the sea surface for a longer time. It is built in the sea water and moves to
the land area in a swirling fashion taking lots of moisture in the air.
Cyclone also strikes suddenly out of low pressure formed in the sea water;
Cyclones are very regular event in India. Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, Tamil
Nadu are few states which are frequently affected by cyclone. The recent
cyclone to hit Orissa coast was in 1999. Cyclones Rita hit Southern USA
in the year 2005 causing extensive damages to man and environment.
There is very less option to prevent the happening of cyclones. The only
way is to check the intensity of damage to human lives and property. Trees
plantation along the coastal areas help in checking the speed of air.
Mangrove plantations have proved to be the best to check damages during
Cyclones. Good scientific information can help to know about the direction
and speed of cyclone.
3. Earthquakes:
Earthquakes are the effect of events happening inside the earth’s interior.
Earthquakes are seismic waves coming from the interior of the earth when
one continental late moves over another plate floating inside the fluid of
interior earth. There are many continental plates in the earth’s interior over
which the landmasses are present. Any shift or cracks on those plates cause
earthquake whose effect is felt on the population present on the landmass
over the plates.
One major earthquake was happened in the boarder of Pakistan and India
along Jammu Kashmir in 2005 killing about one lakh people and damaging
many buildings and bridges. Asian countries like Japan, China, and Iran
are always affected by earthquakes. Turkey is another country in Europe
where earthquakes are regular phenomena. Our North Eastern regions are
very earthquake prone. There is very little to prevent earthquake as it
occurs inside earth due to natural causes. The precautions are very
important to save various losses.
6. It is the building which takes life and not the quake so structure of the
building should take all preventive measures particularly in areas declared
as earthquake prone by Geological Survey of India.
A flood is an overflow of water onto land that is normally dry. Floods can happen
almost anywhere. They can cover an area with just a few inches of water or they can
bring enough water to cover the roof of a house. Floods can be dangerous for
communities, lasting days, weeks or sometimes even longer.
Many different situations can cause a flood. Here are just a few:
Here are eight of the most common causes of flooding, both natural and human-induced. And
the consequences of flooding can be savage.
1. Heavy Rains
The simplest explanation for flooding is heavy rains. No matter where you live, you are
surrounded by infrastructure and systems designed to move rainwater into appropriate basins and
reservoirs. In most cases, the infrastructure does its job, and you never have to think about where
the rain goes when it runs off.
When it rains heavily, however, those systems are overwhelmed, and that water doesn’t drain
nearly as quickly as it needs to. In short, the drainage systems back up, and the water rises —
2. Overflowing Rivers
You do not necessarily need to have heavy rains to experience flooding in your area. For
example, if you live along a river and areas upstream from you experience heavy rains, it could
lead to a serious overflow where you live. Most larger rivers include a series of dams to help
manage large amounts of rainfall, and most river systems are managed by government
authorities.
Sometimes, however, those authorities have to make tough decisions about how to operate dams.
They often can manage the water and prevent flooding altogether — but not always.
3. Broken Dams
Much of America’s infrastructure was built in the 20th century, so it is getting old. When heavy
rains come, and water levels rise, aging dams can fail and unleash torrents of water on
unsuspecting households.
This is part of what happened after Hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans in 2005. Levees failed
and made the flooding far worse than it would have been otherwise. While we have come to
depend on 20th-century architecture, and much of it does its job well, there is always a
possibility that a structure will fail.
Many of our cities are made of mostly concrete and other impermeable material. When you have
an urban drainage basin that is made of concrete, there is no ground for water to sink into. So,
when those drainage basins fill up, it is going to mean flooding for low-lying areas.
This is mostly the case in large urban areas — think Houston and Los Angeles. When heavy
rains strike, the basins used to drain them cannot always handle the load.
Rain is not always the culprit when it comes to flooding. Storm surges related to hurricanes and
other storms can lead to significant flooding, as can tsunamis that are sometimes caused by
underwater earthquakes.
Given modern technology, we often know about storm surges and tsunamis before they arrive,
but this is not always the case. For example, in 2004, an earthquake off the coast of Indonesia
created a tsunami that gave little warning before coming ashore.
Flooding often occurs when there is fast runoff into lakes, rivers and other reservoirs. This is
often the case with rivers and other channels that feature steep sides. It is a similar issue to
having a lack of vegetation, which is explained in more detail below.
7. A Lack of Vegetation
Vegetation can help slow runoff and prevent flooding. When there is a lack of vegetation,
however, there is little to stop water from running off. This can be a bit of a conundrum after a
drought.
While area residents likely welcome the rain, the lack of vegetation after the drought can cause
flash flooding. This does not always happen given that basins and reservoirs are close to empty,
but it can occur in cases of extreme rains following long periods of drought.
A winter of heavy snow and other precipitation can lead to a spring of flooding. After all, that
snow and ice have to go somewhere when they melt. Most mountainous areas experience
relatively consistent snowfall totals from year to year, but an unusually heavy winter of
precipitation can spell bad news for low-lying areas around the mountains when spring hits.
The good news is that sustained winter precipitation provides a long lead time to prepare for
potential flooding. That is a silver lining at the very least.
These are just a few examples of common causes of floods, but there does not need to be an
incredible weather event for you to experience flooding at your home. You can experience
devastating flooding simply due to a clogged or broken pipe as well as other plumbing issues. No
matter how or why you experience a flood, you need a qualified water restoration professional
with quality tools to help you get your home back into working order again.
Geography can also make an area more likely to flood. For example, areas near
rivers are often at risk for floods. Urban areas (areas near cities) are also at higher
risk for floods because rooftops funnel rainfall to the ground below, and paved
surfaces such as highways and parking lots prevent the ground from absorbing the
rain.
Mountains or steep hills can increase an area’s flood risk, too. Rain or snowmelt
running down a mountain can cause streams and rivers to rise quickly. In fact, if a
They can also send a rush of water from the ocean onto coastlines in an event
called a storm surge, which floods low-lying areas
Strong atmospheric rivers can deliver enormous amounts of rain and snow in
California, the Pacific Northwest and Alaska, especially during the winter months.
This can lead to serious flooding and mudslides.
Primary Effects
Again, the primary effects of floods are those due to direct contact with the flood
waters. As seen in the video last lecture, water velocities tend to be high in floods.
As discharge increases velocity increases.
Water entering human built structures cause water damage. Even with minor
flooding of homes, furniture is ruined, floors and walls are damaged, and
anything that comes in contact with the water is likely to be damaged or lost.
Flooding of automobiles usually results in damage that cannot easily be
repaired.
The high velocity of flood waters allows the water to carry more sediment as
suspended load. When the flood waters retreat, velocity is generally much
lower and sediment is deposited. After retreat of the floodwaters everything
is usually covered with a thick layer of stream deposited mud, including the
interior of buildings.
Flooding of farmland usually results in crop loss. Livestock, pets, and other
animals are often carried away and drown.
Humans that get caught in the high velocity flood waters are often drowned
by the water.
Floodwaters can concentrate garbage, debris, and toxic pollutants that can
cause the secondary effects of health hazards.
Disruption of services -
Floods can be such devastating disasters that anyone can be affected at almost
anytime. As we have seen, when water falls on the surface of the Earth, it has to go
somewhere. In order to reduce the risk due to floods, three main approaches are
taken to flood prediction. Statistical studies can be undertaken to attempt to
70 | P a g e creater sumyth chauhan
determine the probability and frequency of high discharges of streams that cause
flooding. Floods can be modeled and maps can be made to determine the extent of
possible flooding when it occurs in the future. And, since the main causes of
flooding are abnormal amounts of rainfall and sudden thawing of snow or ice,
storms and snow levels can be monitored to provide short-term flood prediction.
Frequency of Flooding
In your homework exercise you will see how flood frequencies can be determined
for any given stream if data is available for discharge of the stream over an
extended period of time. Such data allows statistical analysis to determine how
often a given discharge or stage of a river is expected. From this analysis a
recurrence interval can be determined and a probability calculated for the likelihood
of a given discharge in the stream for any year. The data needed to perform this
analysis are the yearly maximum discharge of a stream from one gaging station
over a long enough period of time.
In order to determine the recurrence interval, the yearly discharge values are first ranked.
Each discharge is associated with a rank, m, with m = 1 given to the maximum discharge
over the years of record, m = 2 given to the second highest discharge, m = 3 given to the
third highest discharge, etc.
The smallest discharge will receive a rank equal to the number of years over
which there is a record, n. Thus, the discharge with the smallest value will
have m = n.
The number of years of record, n, and the rank for each peak discharge are
then used to calculate recurrence interval, R by the following equation, called
the Weibull equation:
R = (n+1)/m
A best-fit line is then drawn through the data points. From the best-fit line, one can
determine the discharge associated with the a flood with a recurrence interval of say 10
years. This would be called the 10-year flood.
For the data on the Red River, above, the discharge associated with the 10-year flood is
about 12,000 cubic feet per second. Similarly the discharge associated with a flood with a
recurrence interval of 50 years (the 50-year flood) would have a discharge of about 21,000
cubic feet per second. The 100-year flood would have a discharge of about 25,000 cubic
feet per second.
Note that for the Red River data, shown above, the April 18, 1997 flood had a
discharge of 30,000 ft3/sec, which is equivalent to a 250-year flood. Also
note that a flood that reached a similar stage occurred on the Red River in
Fargo in the year 1887, only 110 years before. Furthermore, the Red River
reached a bit more than 30,000 ft3/sec in 2009. Does this make the statistical
analysis unreliable? The answer is no. As we shall see, it is possible to have
two 100-year floods occurring 100 years apart, 50 years apart, or even 2 in
the same year.
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The probability, Pe, of a certain discharge can be calculated using the inverse
of the Weibull equation:
Pe = m/(n+1)
Note that such probabilities are the same for every year. So, for example,
the probability that discharge of the Red River at Fargo, North Dakota will
exceed 25,000 ft3/sec (the discharge of the 100-year flood) this year or any
other year would 1%. You can think of this in the same way you would think
about rolling dice. The probability on any roll that you will end up with a
six, rolling only on die, is 1 in 6 or 16.67%. Each time you roll that one die
the probability is the same, although you know that it is possible to roll two
or three sixes in a row.
Thus, it is important to remember that even though a 250-year flood occurred in Fargo in
1997 and 2009, there is still a 0.4% probability that such a flood, or one of even greater
magnitude, will occur this year.
Despite the fact that the 100 year flood has only a 1% chance of occurring each year, the
probabilities do accumulate over time.
Pt = 1-(1-Pe)n
where Pt is the probability of occurrence over the entire time period, n, and Pe is the
probability of occurrence in any year.
We can use this equation to calculate how the probabilities change over time. The
result is depicted in the graph below for Pe = 0.01 (100 year flood)
1. The probability of a 100 year flood occurring in 100 years is NOT 100%! (See below)
2. The probability of a 100 year flood occurring in 30 years (the lifetime of the average home
mortgage) is 26.0%!
Food hazard mapping is used to determine the areas susceptible to flooding when
discharge of a stream exceeds the bank-full stage. Using historical data on river
stages and discharge of previous floods, along with topographic data, maps can be
constructed to show areas expected to be covered with floodwaters for various
discharges or stages.
In constructing such maps aerial photographs and satellite images of prior floods are studied to
help to determine the areas that would be covered. The illustration above shows a possible hazard
map based on estimated discharges or river stages for a hypothetical 10-year flood, 50-year flood,
and 100-year flood.
In addition, scale models are often constructed of areas prone to flooding. Such
models only work if they are kept up to date with current flood prevention
structures and drainage modifications.
Humans can modify the landscape in many ways. Sometimes humans attempt to
modify drainage systems to prevent flooding, but sometimes these efforts have
adverse effects and actually help to cause flooding in other areas. Any modification
of the landscape has the potential to cause changes in the drainage system, and such
changes can have severe consequences.
Channel Modifications
Humans often decide that a stream should flow along a specified path for such
reasons as flood control, enhancement of drainage, control of erosion, increasing
access to the floodplain for development, or improvement of the appearance of the
channel. Such channel modifications involve measures such as the straightening
the channel, deepening or widening the channel, clearing vegetation from the banks,
or lining the channel with concrete. These modifications are referred to
as channelization.
While channelization for flood control may reduce the incidence of flooding
in the channelized area, it often results in more severe flooding both upstream
and downstream from the channelized area.
Channelization can also interfere with the natural habitat of the stream
system and decrease the aesthetic value of the stream.
Channelization - As
noted above, most
channelization is
undertaken to reduce
flood hazards. But,
channelization is also
undertaken to allow
development on the
floodplain.
Storm Sewers - In order to collect run off from streets, parking lots, and
buildings, all of which block the infiltration of water into the soil, storm
sewers are installed to provide underground drainage of the surface. While
this may prevent local flooding of streets, it moves water more rapidly to the
major stream systems and thus decreases the lag time and increases the peak
discharge of the streams collecting the runoff from the storm sewers.
Reduction of infiltration - Any time the surface materials of the Earth are
Engineering Approaches
Retention ponds - Retention ponds serve a similar purpose to dams. Water can be trapped
in a retention pond and then released at a controlled discharge to prevent flooding
downstream.
Levees, Dikes, and Floodwalls - These are structures built along side the channel to
increase the stage at which the stream floods. Some controversy has developed
concerning the use of such structures. For example, during the 1993 floods on the upper
Floodways - Floodways are areas that can be built to provide an outlet to a stream and
allow it flood into an area that has been designated as a floodway. Floodways are areas
where no construction is allowed, and where the land is used for agricultural or
recreational purposes when there is no threat of a flood, but which provide an outlet for
flood waters during periods of high discharge. The Bonnet Carrie Spillway west of New
Orleans is such a floodway. During low stages of the Mississippi River the land between
the River and Lake Pontchartrain is used for recreational purposes - hunting, fishing, and
dirt bike riding for example. During high stages of the River when there is a potential for
the River to rise to flood stage in New Orleans, the spillway is opened so that water drains
into Lake Pontchartrain. This lowers the level of water in the Mississippi and reduces the
possibility of a levee break or water overtopping the levee.
Floodplain zoning - Laws can be passed that restrict construction and habitation of
floodplains. Instead floodplains can be zoned for agricultural use, recreation, or other uses
wherein lives and property are not endangered when (note that I did not use the word if)
flood waters re-occupy the floodplain.
Floodplain building codes - Structures that are allowed within the floodplain could be
restricted those that can withstand the high velocity of flood waters and are high enough
off the ground to reduce risk of contact with water.
Floodplain buyout programs - In areas that have been recently flooded, it may be more
cost effective for the government, which usually pays for flood damage either through
subsidized flood insurance or direct disaster relief, to buy the rights to the land rather than
pay the cost of reconstruction and then have to pay again the next time the river floods.
Flood forecasting
Flood forecasting is the use of
forecasted precipitation and streamflow data in rainfall-
runoff and streamflow routing models to forecast flow rates and water
levels for periods ranging from a few hours to days ahead, depending on
the size of the watershed or river basin.[1] Flood forecasting can also
make use of forecasts of precipitation in an attempt to extend the lead-
time available.
Flood forecasting is an important component of flood warning, where
the distinction between the two is that the outcome of flood forecasting
is a set of forecast time-profiles of channel flows or river levels at
various locations, while "flood warning" is the task of making use of
these forecasts to tell decisions on warnings of floods.
Real-time flood forecasting at regional area can be done within seconds
by using the technology of artificial neural network.[2] Effective real-time
flood forecasting models could be useful for early warning and disaster
prevention.
The goal of flood forecast is to issue advance warning about water level or discharge
large enough that threatens safety of structures and flood plain activities. As observed
in previous module, an advance warning of this nature help authorities adopt a series
of measures to contain adverse impacts of flood.
Unlike several other disasters, approaching flood can be forecast ahead of its occurrence
with advance collection of hydro-meteorological data, and its transformation into flood
water level or flood hydrograph. Succeeding paragraphs of this module unfolds a range
of commonly employed models in India.
FLOOD FORECASTING TECHNIQUES
According to the various concepts used in developing models, the models can be classified into five
categories.
Forecasters in India have developed a large set of correlation, and coaxial diagrams
which display the pattern of correlation exhibited by two or more variables. Such charts
are relatively less complex, and are quite popular among its users. Nevertheless, they
need periodical updating to account for constant alteration in catchment characteristics
and river regime. One out of several such diagrams used in India is shown here. When
a number of tributaries affect the water level at the forecasting station, the variation in
water level at base station (base station is a location upstream of forecast station) on the
main river as well as base stations on the tributariesare considered to prepare co-axial
diagrams. One such diagram developed for formulation of forecast at Patna
(Gandhighat) on river Ganga is shown in Fig.1. In this diagram, water level fluctuation
at Patna takes into account the variation in water level at Buxar on river Ganga; Darauli
on river Ghaghra; Chopan on river Sone; and Rewaghat on river Gandak.
This concept can also be extended to account for rainfall in upland area. Fig.2
is for formulating the forecasts at Khowang on river Brahmaputra considering
rise and fall in water level at Naharkatia site. Additionally, rainfall
observation at Naharkatia is also accounted for to incorporate its likely
influence to the water level at Khowang.
However, these charts carry limitations in that they provide only peak flow or
water level information, and drop no hint about the shape of likely flood
c.1 Rainfall-Runoff Models
Top of page
Top of page
To demonstrate the strength of this approach through an example, the succeeding part of this module
illustrates the application of HEC-RAS software in routing an unsteady flow hydraulically. HEC-RAS
software is a one-dimensional flow hydraulic model designed to aid hydraulic engineers in channel
flow analysis and flood-plain determination. The results of the model can be applied in floodplain
management studies including flood forecasting. Like HEC-HMS, this software is also available for
free, and can be downloaded from web-page http://www.hec.usace.army.mil/software/hec-ras/hecras-
download.html .
In this part, a real case study of unsteady flood modelling through HEC-RAS has been dealt with for a
reach (Karad - Kurundwad, chainage 140 km to 260 km) in Krishna river. Lateral inflows to the main
river on the corresponding dates have been considered at Sangam, where tributary Panchganga
contributes to the Krishna flow. The technique provides a reliableinitialization of stage/discharge
profile for the flood forecast. The examinations includingthe initialization of stage profile, conservation
of mass, iteration convergence, Manning's N,effectiveness evaluation, and convergence with optimum
theta (implicit weighing factor) values are conductedto verify the forecast capability.The forecasting
results show that the stage recalculated by updatingthe Manning N, in current time has a good
agreementwith the observed stage.
Sometimes,it is argued that deterministic, reductionist models are inappropriate for real-time
forecasting because of the inherent uncertainty that characterizes river catchment dynamics
and the problems of model overparameterization. The advantages of alternative, efficiently
parameterized data-based mechanistic models, identified and estimated using statistical
methods, are discussed.
Neuromorphic modelling techniques are now well established methods for describing
physical processes occurring in the aquatic environment. The development in information
An artificial neural network is nothing but a collection of interconnected processing elements (PEs).
The connection strengths, also called the network weights, can be adapted such that the network's
output matches a desired response.
ii) Fuzzy expert system design for flood forecasting
Linguistic terms are chosen to describe the input variable stage and the results. Further
refinement of the models could not be achieved by adding extra membership functions.
Gaussian membership functions (the function is generally suited for Indian rivers) can be
used. Applying a similar method of data classification, membership functions are determined
for the output variable discharge.
Rule definition
Some years of average hourlystage data and expert knowledge are used to create a rule base
for the fuzzy logic model. Rules are defined for both the high and low extreme conditions,
with regard to actual occurrences, because of the physical nature of the relationships.
Depending on number of membership functions for each input variable; the minimum rule
base is created. For each data point, all rules are evaluated.
The platform selected for the fuzzy logic expert system is MATLAB and MATLAB'S Fuzzy
Logic Toolbox. The variables are combined into rules using the concept of 'AND'. The fuzzy
operator 'minimum' is applied as the 'AND' function to combine the variables. No weightings
are applied, which means no rule is emphasized as more important in respect to estimating the
discharge. Implication is performed with the minimum function, and aggregation is
Sensitivity analysis
A sensitivity analysis is performed for the fuzzy logic operator AND, and for methods of
implication, aggregation and defuzzification. The results of changing a single operator or
method while the rest of the model is held constant are compared with the results from the
baseline model. The results are evaluated on the basis of correct linguistic matches. Based on
this sensitivity analysis, the AND operator 'minimum' and the implication method 'minimum'
are found to perform better than the product method. The fuzzy logic and ANN models are
evaluated based on their ability to predict the discharge.
Top of page
The hybrid system of learning has been attempted at combining ANN and fuzzy logic for
developing the stage-discharge relationship to achieve a faster rate of convergence by controlling
the learning rate parameter with fuzzy rules. The objective is to get a minimizer, which has a low
computing cost and a large convergence domain. This learning ability is achieved by presenting a
training set of different examples to the network and using learning algorithm, which changes the
weights in such a way that the network reproduces a correct output with the correct input values.
The main dissimilarity between fuzzy logic system (FLS) and neural network is that FLS uses
heuristic knowledge to form rules and tunes these rules using sample data, whereas NN forms
"rules" based entirely on data. Sugeno type ANFIS can be used. Gaussian membership functions
can be used with rule bases, because of their low computational requirements and as it has the
important properties of smooth mapping, universal approximation, normal distributions can be
approximated well by this type of functions.Learning rate control by fuzzy logic has been depicted
at fig 41. ( FLC - fuzzy logic controller, MLP - multilayer perceptron
The ANN, fuzzy and neuro-fuzzy models thus developed is validated and compared with the
observed data points and the statistical measures of goodness-of-fit of the neuromorphic models.
Numerous goodness of fit statistical criteria are proposed in the literature for evaluating
hydrological modelling results. Goodness of fit can be tested from standard statistics literature as
has been shown in the aforesaid ANN paragraph.Fig 42 shows the validation and comparison of
models with observed data.
Conclusions
As could be seen in preceding paragraphs, advance warning about the incoming flood peak and its
probable time of occurrence can be achieved by several models. However, selection of a particular
method or model, and its accuracy for a given site is largely governed by threefactors - data
availability; forecaster's knowledge of, and his experience with the basin; and forecaster's
familiarity with software to be used in the forecast process.
The illustrated texts mentioned in this module are just the trail of a beginning and more of the
Flood control:
Flood control refers to all methods used to reduce or prevent the damaging effects of
flood waters. Some of the common techniques used for flood control are the installation
of rock beams, rock rip-raps, sand bags, maintenance of normal slopes with vegetation
or application of soil cements on steeper slopes and construction or expansion of
drainage. Other methods include dykes, dams, retention basins or detention. Following
2005-Hurricane Katrina disaster in the United States, some areas prefer not to have
dykes as flood controls. Communities have chosen to improve drainage structures with
detention basins.
Some methods of flood control have been practiced since Antiquity. These methods
include planting vegetation to retain excess water, terrace slopes to reduce slope flow,
and building alluviums (man-made channels to divert water from flooding), construction
of dykes, dams, reservoirs or holding tanks to store extra water during flood periods.
In many countries, flood-prone rivers are often carefully managed. Defenses such as
dykes, reservoirs and dams are used to keep rivers from overflowing. A dam is one of
the methods of flood protection, which reduces the risk of flooding compared to other
methods, once it can help preventing damage. However, it is best to combine dykes
with other flood control methods to reduce the risk of a collapsed embankment. When
these defenses fail, emergency measures such as sandbags or portable inflatable tubes
are used. Coastal floods have been controlled in Europe and North America with
defenses such as ocean walls or barrier islands that are narrow, long strips of sand
usually parallel to the coastline.
The engineering works that can prevent and mitigate the effects of floods are as follows:
1) On highways, the implantation of steel pipes should take water by gravity away from
the road from catchment basins; 2) The severe flooding problems in a city that paved
much of its soil would be alleviated in part by the construction of great swimming pools
that are large underground water tanks to store the waters; 3) Mandatory placement of
permeable drainage floors in huge courtyards of parking lots in malls, supermarkets and
cinemas, to allow the water infiltration in part of the ground, being the same for
monuments and spaces around buildings; 4) using drains and gutters around all houses
to divert rainwater to a reservoir or disposal area; 5) Maintenance, whenever possible,
of some green areas so that the water is reabsorbed by the soil; 6) Rectification of rivers
and streams, construction of dams and canals in large rivers that extend their
containment basins; and 7) Implementation of a civil defense system that should be
able to at least warn people and have a scheme to remove them from homes in time
with some belongings and accommodate them.
Hydrological experts recommend that, in order to avoid flooding in urban areas, the
following measures should be adopted: 1) Combating erosion by minimizing
sedimentation of natural drainage and built up through rigorous and extensive soil
erosion control and irregular disposition of urban garbage and construction rubble , as
well as the expansion of the river gutters; 2) Combating waterproofing with the creation
of domestic and business reservoirs, as well as the expansion of green areas; 3)
Forbidding traffic on high traffic avenues when nearby rivers overflow; 4) Implantation of
avenues covered by vegetation that, in cases of overflowing rivers or streams, water
would be absorbed by the pavement free soil; 5) Constructing great swimming pools to
receive rainwater and mini swimming pools in houses and buildings; 6) Investing in
small and large streams of the urban center to support the increase of water and act as
containment barriers; 7) Review of occupied areas – continuous planning and land-use
planning; and 8) Action and planning – preparation of a plan to deal with the occurrence
of floods as well as extreme climatic variations, and construction of reservoirs capable
of storing billions of cubic meters of water and their use for non-potable purposes.
Correction and prevention measures to minimize flood damage are classified according
to their nature into structural and non-structural measures. The structural measures
correspond to the works that can be implemented aiming at the correction and / or
prevention of problems arising from floods. Non-structural measures are those that seek
to prevent and/or reduce the damages and consequences of floods, not by means of
work, but by the introduction of norms, regulations and programs that aim at, for
example, disciplining land use and occupation, implementing warning systems and the
awareness of the population.
The structural measures comprise the engineering works, which can be characterized
as intensive and extensive measures. Intensive measures, according to their purpose,
can be of four types:
On the other hand, the extensive measures correspond to small storage in basin,
Structural measures can create a sense of false security and even induce the
expansion of flood areas occupation. Non-structural actions can be effective at lower
costs and longer horizons, as well as territorial discipline, people's behavior and
economic activities.
In certain cases where structural measures are technically or economically unviable (or
even untimely), non-structural measures, such as warning systems, can reduce
expected damage in a short-term, with small investments.
Inada [13] discusses issues related to structural and non-structural flood prevention
measures. He reports that disaster management and flood protection were a prominent
theme at the 2nd Asia-Pacific Water Summit in Chiang Mai. He said that there is a large
gap between the groups who prefer "structural" solutions to disaster management and
those who prefer "non-structural" solutions. Structural solutions include engineered
solutions such as redesigning buildings and designing physical barriers to disaster
events in order to reduce damage. Non-structural solutions include social solutions such
as early warning, evacuation planning, and emergency response preparedness.
Structural groups, which are often comprised of engineers, insist that only structural
solutions can surely prevent countries from economic loss and contribute to the
development of the nation. On the other hand, non-structural groups often warn, "Do not
trust engineering solutions because they sometime do not work. Early warnings, quick
evacuations and emergency response are easy investments."Which solution is more
important? This question will cause endless discussions.
Inada [13] reports that the term "resilience" has recently been introduced to disaster
management dialogue. The word implies that people should accept damages from a
disaster and have plans in place for recovery. As you know, warning, evacuation and
emergency response can help save lives; however, it cannot protect properties and
physical assets. For structural groups, non-structural solutions are not investments at
Chakravartty [14] states that any combination of structural and non-structural additions,
changes, or adjustments to structures which reduce or eliminate flood damage to real
estate or improved real property, water and sanitary facilities, structures and their
contents is called flood-proofing. Flood-proofing requires that home owners, builders,
architects, engineers and planners engage in detailed assessment of the feasibility of
building in high-risk flood-prone areas. Also, flood-proofing structural measures and
plans to initiate standby or emergency measures in anticipation to the flood preparation
have to be adopted, such as sandbagging and moving furniture and valuables to high
floors, blocking openings or safely evacuating. Flood-proofing is not a cure for all flood
problems; it is just one of the many available flood damage reduction tools.
Chakravartty [14] states that most commercial and industrial buildings have sufficient
anchorage and connections and that they are massive enough to resist to lateral forces
produced by floodwaters. In contrast, residential buildings often require special design
modifications because they usually have neither the necessary anchorage nor the
strength to resist lateral forces. Uplift and lateral forces against a foundation slab and
walls caused by the infiltration of floodwaters through the foundation backfill are
especially significant in building design and construction.
Chakravartty [14] points out that the decision to use flood-proofing techniques, alone or
in combination with flood protection working as dykes requires a cost-benefit analysis. If
you are seriously considering adapting any flood damage reduction methods, get the
services of a qualified professional engineer to help you select and design the right
measure tailored to your particular needs. This is especially important if the house or
light-framed structure is or will be located in an area that is susceptible to fast-moving
flood waters or if the cost involved is substantial.
Chakravartty [14] says that flood-proofing measures will not necessarily eliminate the
risk of the house being flooded. If anticipated benefits exceed the estimated cost, then
Flood management:
In order to deal with flood risks, it is essential that prevention and precaution measures
are adopted to avoid catastrophic events. The Preliminary Environmental Impact
Assessment of Floods is an important instrument for the formulation of civil defense
plans as it is used to assess, predict and prevent further economic and social damages
resulting from floods. It should be noted that preventive or precautionary measures
should be based on risk management policies and, above all, be present in the
proposals and actions of the Civil Defense in dealing with the floods.
Prevention and precaution are two prudence aspects that are put in front of situations
when there is the possibility of damage. These principles should guide any flood
protection policy. The distinction between potential and proven risks underpins the
parallel distinction between precaution and prevention. Precaution is about potential
risks and prevention about proven risks. The potential risk corresponds to a dangerous
event that may or may not occur to which no probability can be attributed, while proven
risks can be attributed to events with probabilities of occurrence.
The prevention principle is applicable to impacts caused by known floods and from
which it is possible to establish a set of causal links that is sufficient to identify the most
likely future impacts; that is, when there is already an information history about them.
The principle of prevention is intended, in a narrow sense, to avoid immediate, imminent
and concrete dangers, according to an immediate logic, as a search, in a broad sense,
to remove any future risks, even if not yet entirely determinable, according to a logic
prospective of anticipation of future events. In case of certainty of the economic and
social damage caused by floods, this must be prevented, as recommended by the
principle of prevention.
Attention must, therefore, be drawn to the distinction between the risk of a future nature,
on which the precautionary principle is based, and danger of an immediate nature,
associated to the logic of prevention. Prevention means the act of anticipating and
precaution, in turn, means to early admission of care. The economic calculation should
serve as a basis for decisions related to prevention and precaution. In deciding on the
economic alternatives to be adopted, one factor that greatly complicates the solution of
a problem is uncertainty. Another complicating factor is insufficient information.
In deciding about the most appropriate alternative, the decision rule used in Decision
Theory can be adopted: Maximin, Minimax, Maximax and Minimin. The Maximin
criterion is based on a pessimistic view of the problem. Maximin aims to maximize the
minimum gain. The alternative to be chosen will be the one that is the best among the
worst options of all alternatives considered. Economically, one should determine the
minimum economic benefit for each alternative and then choose the alternative with the
highest minimum benefit. In the case of floods, the minimum economic benefit would
correspond to the smallest difference between the economic loss that would result from
them if nothing was done and the cost to avoid them. The Minimax criterion is a
decision rule to minimize the possible loss for a worst-case scenario, that is, to choose
the lowest of the possible maximum costs. In the case of floods, would be chosen the
alternative of minor maximum cost to avoid flooding.
Therefore, any intervention to improve the use of the river basin assets
(both in terms of water and land) cannot ignore that flood risk and its
consequences (i.e. economic and human life losses) cannot be totally
controlled. The concept of IFM thus brings an innovation: although reducing
loss of life should remain the top priority, the objective of flood loss
reduction should be secondary to the overall goal of the optimal utilization
of floodplains.
In this sense, the defining feature of IFM, i.e. integration, is intended both in
a horizontal and a vertical direction. While the first indicates a cross-
sectoral decision-making process, the second entails a participatory and
transparent approach. Together, they materialize in different forms: an
appropriate mix of strategies, carefully selected points of interventions, and
appropriate types of measures (structural or non-structural, short or long-
term).
The APFM was founded in 2001, at the end of a decade of great attention
and activism around the concept of Integrated Water Resources
Management (IWRM), firstly raised during the international conferences of
Dublin and Rio de Janeiro in 1992. Driven by the individuation of a sectoral
gap in IWRM concerning flood management, WMO presented a project
proposal for the creation of a programme specifically dealing with this topic,
later endorsed by GWP.
• Rapid Guidance, to get in touch with the APFM Technical Support Unit
and obtain guidance on flood management policy, law and strategy;
• Capacity Building, to request the organization of training courses tailored
on the needs of the applicant;
• Pilot Projects, to get assistance to implement IFM principles in the field, in
cooperation with regional, national and local organizations.
On the other hand, through the Help Yourself function users can access
four sub-sections:
• Tools and Publications, from which it is possible to download the whole
range of publications developed over the years (the Policy Series, the Tool
Series, Training Manuals, Case Studies);
• Education, a wide range of material to facilitate self-study targeting
different kinds of readers (teachers and kids, flood managers, policy-
makers, trainers);
• Reference Centre Database, a set of interactive databases gathering
institutions, policies and literature related to flood management;
• Questions & Answers, a collection of Frequently Asked Questions to re-
direct the user to the relevant section.
To provide data, information and knowledge support for improved flood management in
the State, during both flood and normal periods
To develop, maintain and upgrade flood website for effective stakeholder dissemination,
interaction and utilization
To build capacity within FMISC and in UPIWRD for sustained flood management,
through workshops, training, national and international visits, expert visits, etc.
FMISC Objective
The overall objective is to strengthen existing institutional capacity and
arrangements for flood management in the state and make extensive use of
modern technology (e.g. satellite remote sensing, Geographic Information System
(GIS), internet, etc.).
Information Products
Heavy rainfall & Flood Alert- Forecast of rainfall, Flood level & discharge strong
the river upto 3 days in advance; real-time, flood warning: predicted & actual
flood inundation maps
Water-related Hazards
Water-related hazards like floods, droughts, pollution and related issues, are
increasing in frequency and intensity almost everywhere around the globe due to
population growth and effects of climate change.
Challenges
Water-related disasters pose both direct impacts (e.g. damage to buildings, crops and
infrastructure, and loss of life and property) and indirect impacts (e.g. losses in
productivity and livelihoods, increased investment risk, indebtedness and human health
impacts).
The increasing economic cost and toll of disasters should be a significant incentive for
governments and humanitarian organizations to focus more attention on preparedness,
prevention and addressing the root causes of vulnerability.
Opportunities
In the very center of the storm, air sinks, forming an "eye" that is mostly cloud-
free.
The Eye
But why does an eye form? The cause of eye formation is still not fully
understood. It probably has to do with the combination of "the conservation
of angular momentum" and centrifugal force. The conservation of angular
momentum means is objects will spin faster as they move toward the
One way of looking at this is watching figure skaters spin. The closer they
hold their hands to the body, the faster they spin. Conversely, the farther
the hands are from the body the slower they spin. In tropical cyclone, as
the air moves toward the center, the speed must increase.
Around 74 mph (119 km/h) the strong rotation of air around the cyclone
balances inflow to the center, causing air to ascend about 10-20 miles
(16-32 km) from the center forming the eyewall. This strong rotation
also creates a vacuum of air at the center, causing some of the air
flowing out the top of the eyewall to turn inward and sink to replace the
loss of air mass near the center.
Trapped birds are sometimes seen circling in the eye, and ships trapped
in a hurricane report hundreds of exhausted birds resting on their decks.
The landfall of Hurricane Gloria (1985) on southern New England was
accompanied by thousands of birds in the eye.
Some people experiencing light wind and fair weather of an eye may
think the hurricane has passed. Actually, the storm is only half over with
dangerous eyewall winds returning shortly, this time from the opposite
direction.
Where the strong wind gets as close as it can is the eyewall. The eyewall
consists of a ring of tall thunderstorms that produce heavy rains and usually
the strongest winds. Changes in the structure of the eye and eyewall can
cause changes in the wind speed, which is an indicator of the storm's
intensity. The eye can grow or shrink in size, and double (concentric)
eyewalls can form.
In intense tropical cyclones, some of the outer rainbands may organize into
an outer ring of thunderstorms that slowly moves inward and robs the inner
eyewall of its needed moisture and momentum. During this phase, the
tropical cyclone is weakening.
Eventually the outer eyewall replaces the inner one completely and the
storm can be the same intensity as it was previously or, in some cases,
even stronger.
Rainbands
Curved bands of clouds and thunderstorms that trail away from the eye wall
in a spiral fashion. These bands are capable of producing heavy bursts of
rain and wind, as well as tornadoes. There are sometimes gaps in between
spiral rain bands where no rain or wind is found.
In fact, if one were to travel between the outer edge of a hurricane to its
center, one would normally progress from light rain and wind, to dry and
weak breeze, then back to increasingly heavier rainfall and stronger wind,
over and over again with each period of rainfall and wind being more
intense and lasting longer.
Cyclones nature
What is Cyclone?
In meteorology, the term cyclone can be defined as the rapid inward
circulation of air masses about a low-pressure centre which is circling
counter-clockwise in the northern hemisphere and clockwise in the
southern.
The temperature difference between the warm, rising and the cooler
environment led to the rise of air to become buoyant and then moves to
upward. Then the high-pressure area fills the air in the low-pressure
area. This cycle continues as warm air rises and a low-pressure area filled
with cool air. They build up over a period of time. The warm, moist air
rises and cools the water in the air and forms clouds. The whole system
of clouds and wind spins and grows, fed by the ocean’s heat and water
evaporating from the ocean surface.
(3) impact area of Coriolis force so that low pressure can be developed
Types of Cyclone
1. Tropical Cyclone: It occurs over tropical ocean regions. it is two
types- Hurricanes and typhoons. Hurricanes are found in the Atlantic and
Northeast Pacific, whereas typhoons are found in the Northwest Pacific.
On the basis of intensity and wind speed, this cyclone is classified into
five categories- 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5. Category 5 has a wind speed of 155 mph
or above.
2. Polar Cyclone: It occurs over Polar Regions of Greenland, Siberia and
Antarctica. It is strong during the winter season.
3. Mesocyclone: It is a vortex of air within a convective storm. It is the
air that rises and rotates around a vertical axis, usually in the same
direction as low-pressure systems in a given hemisphere. These types of
cyclones are accompanied by the rotating air within the thunderstorm.
A tsunami is a series of ocean waves that send surges of water on to land. In the
open sea, tsunami waves are very small and almost unnoticeable. But as they
near shallower waters their energy increases and they gain height of over 100
feet (30.5metres). They cause large scale destruction on the shores.
Tsunamis are different from tidal waves or storm surges. The latter is caused by
rise in sea levels, hurricanes and combined with tidal forces.
Causes
Underwater earthquakes.
Underwater landslides
Underwater volcanic eruptions
Nuclear device detonations under the sea
Glacier carvings
Meteorite impacts
Since tsunami is not a single wave but a series of them, the duration of the
flooding and strong currents can be seen for hours. The seas drawback and the
massive waves hit the shores nearly every 12 minutes. The force of the wave
carries it at least a mile inland destroying any structure in its path. When it draws
back the debris in carried in to the sea.
The world's immediate attention has been focused on the relief effort
and the disaster's impact on internal displacement. However,
policymakers will need to think about the tsunami's wider and longer-
term implications for international migration. Already, the tsunami is
affecting international migration trends, and, as a result, the migration
policies of a number of countries have already shifted.
Resettlement of Victims
A number of traditional immigration countries have adjusted their
immigration and visa policies to make it easier for victims of the
tsunami to be accepted as permanent immigrants.
Conclusion
This article has sketched a few of the most immediate effects of the
tsunami disaster on international migration and suggested that the
disaster is likely to have a longer-term impact on internal and
international migration in Asia.
The main monsoon season in Myanmar runs from June to October, and the
country usually encounters flash floods, strong winds, and heavy rains since the
beginning of the monsoon season. Normally, floods occur in Myanmar as water
overflows from the monsoon months of June to October, but the country suffers its
monsoon flooding most in July and August. This can occur in a multitude of ways.
Rain water flows into the Ayeyawady, the Chindwin, the Sittaung and the Thanlwin
rivers as well as into many of its tributaries, which can lead to overflowing of the
waterways. Storms can also cause unexpected flooding sometimes. Heavy
rainfalls, accompanied by a storm surge, can cause flash flooding in many towns
and villages located near the rivers.
A flash flood occurs when water overflows on or inundates land that is normally
dry. Rivers can overflow their banks to cause flooding, and sea waters can be
pushed towards land by massive winds, which then causes flooding. Rainfalls
over an extended period can cause major rivers to overflow their banks. Rivers
can overflow their banks, causing flooding during heavy rains, severe storms and
dam breaks. Huge amounts of water flowing in rivers are due to incessant heavy
rains and melting of snow, resulting in severe flooding. Flash flood normally
happens during the monsoon season. Around this time, potholes can overflow
fast, breaking and damaging the river banks.
Flash flooding
Generally, most flash flooding can be caused by a number of things due to slow-
moving thunderstorms or a multiple of thunderstorms moving over the same area.
Flash floods often carry away some trees along the river, and these floods can
destroy buildings, roads, bridges, etc.
Coastal flooding can result from heavy rains due to cyclones or tropical storms,
causing sea water to flow towards inland. Moreover, tsunamis are caused by an
underwater earthquake and a volcanic eruption, and these can carry away
sampans and motor boats into the sea. Flooding in urban areas can be caused by
flash floods, coastal or river floods, but there is also a specific flood type that is
called urban flooding.
Causes of landslides
Almost every landslide has multiple causes. Slope movement occurs when forces
acting down-slope exceed the strength of the earth materials that compose the
slope. Causes include factors that increase the effects of downward-slope forces
and factors that contribute to low or reduced strength. Landslides can be initiated
in slopes already on the verge of movement by rainfall, snowmelt, changes in
water level, stream erosion, changes in ground water, earthquakes, volcanic
activity, disturbances of human activities, or any combination of these factors.
Earthquake movements and other factors can also induce landslides underwater.
These landslides are called submarine landslides. Submarine landslides
sometimes cause tsunamis that damage coastal areas. Landslides can also be
caused on account of heavy rains and instabilities in slopes. Slope movement
occurs with forces acting downwards-slope. There are also other factors that
cause underwater landslides.
Flash flooding can have devastating consequences and can have effects on the
economy, environment and its people. During floods, especially flash flooding,
houses, offices, hospitals, transportation, roads, bridges, water tanks are
destroyed. People become homeless. Additionally, the government deploys
firemen, police and other emergency apparatuses to the affected areas. It usually
takes years for affected communities to be rebuilt and resettle in order to be back
to normalcy. The environment also suffers when floods occur. Moreover,
chemicals and other hazardous substances end up in water and eventually
contaminate the water bodies that floods end up in. In addition, flooding can
destroy the natural balance of the ecosystem.
What Is a Tsunami?
Imagine a giant wall of water growing out of the ocean, big enough to wipe out entire coastal
towns and capable of killing hundreds of thousands of people caught in its path. This is the
power created by a tsunami, which is a series of waves caused by an earthquake, underwater
volcanic eruption, landslide or other abrupt disturbance. Tsunamis are capable of creating
massive devastation when they hit land. In this lesson, you will learn how tsunamis are created
and the effects they have on people and the environment.
The word tsunami comes from the Japanese language. The prefix 'tsu' means 'harbor' and the
suffix 'nami' means 'wave.' Therefore, the word literally means 'harbor wave.' In March of 2011,
Japan was hit by a powerful tsunami that was triggered by a 9.0 magnitude earthquake. The
tsunami killed more than 15,000 people and caused billions of dollars of damage, including
damage to several nuclear reactors.
1. Destruction
2. Death
3. Disease
4. Environmental impacts
5. Cost
6. Psychological effects
Destruction
The amount of energy and water contained in a huge tsunami can cause
extreme destruction when it strikes land.
The initial wave of a huge tsunami is extremely tall; however, most damage
is not sustained by this wave. Most of the damage is caused by the huge
mass of water behind the initial wave front, as the height of the sea keeps
rising fast and floods powerfully into the coastal area. It is the power behind
the waves, the endless rushing water that causes devastation and loss of
Death
One of the biggest and worst effects of a tsunami is the cost to human life
because unfortunately escaping a tsunami is nearly impossible. Hundreds and
thousands of people are killed by tsunamis. Since 1850 alone, tsunamis have been
responsible for the loss of more than 430,000 lives. There is very
little warning before a tsunamis hits land. As the water rushes toward land, it
leaves very little time to map an escape plan.
People living in coastal regions, towns and villages have no time to escape. The
violent force of the tsunami results in instant death, most commonly by drowning.
Buildings collapsing, electrocution, and explosions from gas, damaged tanks and
floating debris are another cause of death. The tsunami of December 2004 that
struck South East Asia and East Africa killed over 31,000 people in Sri Lanka only,
leaving 23,000 injured.
Disease
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Tsunami waves and the receding water are very destructive to structures in
the run-up zone. The areas close to the coast are flooded with sea water,
damaging the infrastructure such as sewage and fresh water supplies for drinking.
Flooding and contamination of drinking water can cause disease to spread in the
tsunami hit areas. Illnesses such as malaria arise when water is stagnant and
contaminated. Under these conditions it is difficult for people to stay healthy and
for diseases to be treated, so infections and illnesses can spread very quickly,
causing more death.
Environmental impacts
Tsunamis not only destroy human life, but have a devastating effect on insects,
animals, plants, and natural resources. A tsunami changes the landscape. It
uproots trees and plants and destroys animal habitats such as nesting sites for
birds. Land animals are killed by drowning and sea animals are killed by pollution if
dangerous chemicals are washed away into the sea, thus poisoning the marine
life.
The impact of a tsunami on the environment relates not only to the landscape and
animal life, but also to the man-made aspects of the environment. Solid waste and
disaster debris are the most critical environmental problem faced by a tsunami-hit
country.
Recycling and disposal of this waste in an environmentally sensitive manner
where possible (crushing concrete, bricks, etc. to produce aggregate for rebuilding
and road reconstruction) are critical.
Combined with the issue of waste is that of hazardous materials and toxic
substances that can be inadvertently mixed up with ordinary debris. These
include asbestos, oil fuel, and other industrial raw materials and chemicals.
Rapid clean-up of affected areas can result in inappropriate disposal
methods, including air burning and open dumping, leading to secondary
impacts on the environment.
Contamination of soil and water is the second key environmental impact of
a tsunami. Salination of water bodies such as rivers, wells, inland lakes, and
groundwater aquifers can occur in most cases. This also affects the soil
fertility of agricultural lands, due to salination and debris contamination,
which will affect yields in the medium and long term. Sewage, septic tanks
and toilets are damaged contaminating the water supply.
Last but not least, there may be radiation resulting from damage to nuclear
plants, as it happened in Japan in March 2011. Since radiation exists for a
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long time, it has the capacity to inflict damage upon anything exposed to it.
Radiation is most dangerous to animals and humans causing destruction as
molecules loose their electrons. The damage caused by radiation to the
DNA structure determines birth defects, cancers even death.
Cost
Massive costs hit communities and nations when a tsunami happens.
Victims and survivors of the tsunami need immediate help from rescue
teams.
Governments around the world may help with the cost of bringing aid to
devastated areas. National institutions, the United Nations, other
international organizations, community groups and NGOs , and a variety of
other entities come together to provide different kinds of aid and services.
There might also be appeals and donations from people who have seen
pictures of the area in the media.
Reconstruction and clean up after a tsunami is a huge cost problem.
Infrastructure must be replaced, unsafe buildings demolished and rubbish
cleared. Loss of income in the local economy and future losses from the
destruction of infrastructure will be a problem for some time to come.
The total financial cost of the tsunami could be millions or even billions of
dollars of damage to coastal structures and habitats. It is difficult to put an
exact figure on the monetary cost but the cost may represent an important
share of a nation's GDP.
Psychological effects
Victims of tsunami events often suffer psychological problems which can
last for days, years or an entire lifetime. Survivors of the Sri Lankan tsunami
of December 2004 were found to have PTSD (post traumatic stress
disorder) when examined by the World Health Organization (WHO): 14% to
39% of these were children, 40% of adolescents and 20% of mothers of
these adolescents were found to have PTSD 4 months after the tsunami.
These people were suffering from grief and depression as their homes,
businesses and loved ones were taken from them. Many still had PTSD.
Periliya Village counts 2,000 dead and 400 families became homeless.
These people were found to still have psychological problems 2 years after
the tsunami.
- In the South Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean, it is known as Tropical
cyclones.
In fact, the strength of the hurricane also varies from Category 1to 5
according to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale in use in the
Caribbean Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, the North Atlantic Ocean and therefore
the eastern and central North Pacific Ocean.
- Damages basic infrastructure including food and water supplies and safe
shelter.
It is also said that the impact of tropical cyclone also depends upon the
number of individuals living in low-lying coastal areas within the storm's
direct path, the built environment like the design of the building and also
on the sufficient time for warning and evacuation.
2. At the second region that is the eyewall, wind speed attains their
maximum value which is typically 15 to 30 Km from the centre of the
storm.
If the surface of the sea is too cool then there will not be enough heat
available and the rate of evaporation will be low to provide fuel to the
tropical cyclone. Even the supply of energy will also be cut off due to
warm surface water layer is not enough deep.
Let us tell you that the vertical motion of the warm air is not enough to
initiate the formation of a tropical cyclone. Therefore, if the warm, moist
air flows into a pre-existing atmosphere disturbance then only
development will occur.
The rising air warms the core of the disturbance by releasing both latent
heat and direct heat transfer from the surface of the sea and the
atmospheric pressure in the centre of the disturbance becomes lower. As
a result, the pressure decreases and causes the surface winds to
increase, which in turn increases the vapour and heat transfer and
contributes further to the rising of the air. The core becomes warm and
the increased surface winds thus fortify or reinforce each other in a
positive feedback mechanism.
So now you may have understood about the tropical cyclone, types,
formation and its impact.
Earthquake
Earthquake, any sudden shaking of the ground caused by the
passage of seismic waves through Earth’s rocks. Seismic waves are
produced when some form of energy stored in Earth’s crust is
suddenly released, usually when masses of rock straining against
one another suddenly fracture and “slip.” Earthquakes occur most
often along geologic faults, narrow zones where rock masses move
in relation to one another. The major fault lines of the world are
located at the fringes of the huge tectonic plates that make up
Earth’s crust. (See the table of major earthquakes.)
Little was understood about earthquakes until the emergence of
seismology at the beginning of the 20th century. Seismology, which
involves the scientific study of all aspects of earthquakes, has
yielded answers to such long-standing questions as why and how
earthquakes occur.
About 50,000 earthquakes large enough to be noticed without the
aid of instruments occur annually over the entire Earth. Of these,
approximately 100 are of sufficient size to produce substantial
damage if their centres are near areas of habitation. Very great
earthquakes occur on average about once per year. Over the
centuries they have been responsible for millions of deaths and an
incalculable amount of damage to property.
Causes of earthquakes
Natural forces
Tectonics
Artificial induction
Reservoir induction
Effects of earthquakes
tsunami
Seiches
Intensity scales
Earthquake magnitude
less than 1.0 to generally not felt by people, though recorded on local
micro more than 100,000
2.9 instruments
moderat
5.0–5.9 some damage to weak structures 200–2,000
e
7.0–7.9 major serious damage over large areas; loss of life 3–20
8.0 and higher great severe destruction and loss of life over large areas fewer than 3
Earthquake Hazards
The type of hazard depends on the strength of seismic activity, along with
such factors as local topographic and built features, subsurface geology
and groundwater. A large earthquake will always be followed by a
sequence of aftershocks.
Ground Shaking
If an earthquake generates a large enough shaking intensity, structures like
buildings, bridges and dams can be severley damaged, and cliffs and
sloping ground destabilised. Perched or stacked objects may fall and injure
or bury anyone close by. In the largest earthquakes whole districts can be
devastated by the multiple consequences of ground shaking.
Groundshaking will vary over an area due to such factors as topography,
bedrock type, and the location and orientation of the fault rupture. These all
affect the way the seismic waves travel through the ground.
Tsunami
Liquefaction
When the vibrations stop the sediments settle down again, squeezing
groundwater out of fissures and holes in the ground to cause flooding. The
aftermath of liquefaction can leave large areas covered in a deep layer of
mud.
Flooding - Flooding is a secondary effect that may occur due to rupture
of human made dams and levees, due to tsunami, and as a result of
ground subsidence after an earthquake.
Earthquake Risk
Many seismologists have said that "earthquakes don't kill people, buildings
do". This is because most deaths from earthquakes are caused by buildings
or other human construction falling down during an earthquake.
1. Population density
2. Construction standards (building codes)
3. Emergency preparedness
Table of Contents
Extrusive Volcanic Landforms
o Conical Vent and Fissure Vent
o Mid-Ocean Ridges
o Composite Type Volcanic Landforms
o Shield Type Volcanic Landforms
o Fissure Type Flood Basalt Landforms (Lava Plateaus)
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o Crater
o Caldera
o Cinder cone
o Lava Dome
o Pseudo volcanic features
Intrusive Volcanic Landforms
o Batholiths
o Laccoliths
o Lapolith
o Phacolith
o Sills
o Dykes
Volcanic landforms are divided into extrusive and intrusive
landforms based on whether magma cools within the crust or above
the crust.
Rocks formed by the cooling of magma within the crust are
called Plutonic rocks.
Rocks formed by the cooling of lava above the surface are
called Igneous rocks.
In general, the term ‘Igneous rocks’ is used to refer to all rocks of
volcanic origin.
Fissure vent
Conical vent
Newsletter Telegram
Table of Contents
Extrusive Volcanic Landforms
Fissure vent
Conical vent
Mid-Ocean Ridges
https://www.pmfias.com/volcanic-landforms-extrusive-intrusive-composite-shield-
fissure-type-volcano/
Intrusive landforms are formed when magma cools within the crust.
Batholiths
Laccoliths
Lapolith
As and when the lava moves upwards, a portion of the same may
tend to move in a horizontal direction wherever it finds a weak plane. It
may get rested in different forms.
In case it develops into a saucer shape, concave to the sky body, it is
called Lapolith.
Phacolith
Sills
The near horizontal bodies of the intrusive igneous rocks are called
sill. The thinner ones are called sheets.
When the lava makes its way through cracks and the fissures
developed in the land, it solidifies almost perpendicular to the ground.
It gets cooled in the same position to develop a wall-like structure.
Such structures are called dykes.
These are the most commonly found intrusive forms in the western
Maharashtra area.
These are considered the feeders for the eruptions that led to the
development of the Deccan traps.
volcanic eruptions
Volcanic eruptions happen when lava and gas are discharged from a volcanic vent.
The most common consequences of this are population movements as large
numbers of people are often forced to flee the moving lava flow. Volcanic eruptions
often cause temporary food shortages and volcanic ash landslides called Lahar.
Types of eruptions
Multiple types of eruptions can occur at each of New Zealand’s volcanoes -
the eruption type can vary minute to minute. The style of eruption depends
on a number of factors, including the magma chemistry and content,
temperature, viscosity (how runny the magma is), volume and how much
Hydrothermal eruption
An eruption driven by the heat in a hydrothermal systems. Hydrothermal
eruptions pulverise surrounding rocks and can produce ash, but do not
include magma. These are typically very small eruptions
Phreatic eruption
An eruption driven by the heat from magma interacting with water. The
water can be from groundwater, hydrothermal systems, surface runoff, a
lake or the sea. Phreatic eruptions pulverise surrounding rocks and can
produce ash, but do not include new magma.
Phreatomagmatic eruption
An eruption resulting from the interaction of new magma or lava with water
and can be very explosive. The water can be from groundwater,
hydrothermal systems, surface runoff, a lake or the sea.
Lava
Lava is molten rock erupted at the ground surface. When molten rock is
beneath the ground, it is called magma.
Vulcanian eruptions
Vulcanian eruptions are small to moderate explosive eruptions, lasting
seconds to minutes. Ash columns can be up to 20 km in height, and lava
blocks and bombs may be ejected from the vent.
After the disaster there should be the following priorities in terms of disaster risk
reduction and mitigation:
The entire community will become able to cope with disasters in a quick and
effective way. Every human and material resource will be most effectively
mobilized in cases of emergency. Clear procedures will ensure close cooperation
between the community, local and international NGOs and government institutions
on all levels.
Detailed risk reduction and disaster mitigation measures to be taken based on the
Community Action Planning concept,
The CBRA starts with the assessment of hazards, their type, nature,
frequency and magnitude. It follows the assessment of vulnerability ƒ
Material aspects: ƒ
Food security ƒ
Availability of basic services, i.e. education, health care, water supply and
sanitation, etc
Aspects of motivation: ƒ
Facilitators should inform the community members what personal measures they
can take in order to reduce their risk before a disaster and in order to protect them
during and in the immediate aftermath of a disaster. As an example, in the case of
earthquake risk, the following instructions should be provided:
If possible, get outside and move to an open space. Keep safe distance from
trees, signs, buildings, electrical wires and poles ƒ
Do not use elevators, use only stairs ƒ
Beware of objects falling down in the street ƒ
If you cannot get out: position yourself under a sturdy table or cot so that
you are not hurt by falling objects; protect your head with a pillow or soft
protective material; open the door; turn off cookers, electric supplies, gas
cylinder etc.; move away from windows, doors tall cabinets and heavy
objects that could fall
Enhance the knowledge and capacity of the trainers and facilitators on disaster
preparedness and mitigation issues ƒ
Guide them to facilitate the development of a Community Action Plan (CAP) for
villagers who are specifically at risk of earthquakes
Landslide
Landslide, also called landslip, the movement downslope of a mass
of rock, debris, earth, or soil (soil being a mixture of earth and debris).
Landslides occur when gravitational and other types of shear
stresses within a slope exceed the shear strength (resistance to
shearing) of the materials that form the slope. Shear stresses can be
built up within a slope by a number of processes. These include
oversteepening of the base of the slope, such as by natural erosion or
excavation, and loading of the slope, such as by an inflow of water, a
rise in the groundwater table, or the accumulation of debris on the
slope’s surface. Short-term stresses, such as those imposed
by earthquakes and rainstorms, can likewise contribute to the
activation of landslides. Landslides can also be activated by processes
that weaken the shear strength of a slope’s material. Shear strength is
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dependent mainly on two factors: frictional strength, which is the
resistance to movement between the slope material’s
interacting constituent particles, and cohesive strength, which is the
bonding between the particles. Coarse particles such as sand grains
have high frictional strength but low cohesive strength, whereas the
opposite is true for clays, which are composed of fine particles.
Another factor that affects the shear strength of a slope-forming
material is the spatial disposition of its constituent particles, referred
to as the sediment fabric. Some materials with a loose, open sediment
fabric will weaken if they are mechanically disturbed or flooded
with water. An increase in water content, resulting from either natural
causes or human activity, typically weakens sandy materials through
the reduction of interparticle friction and weakens clays through the
dissolution of interparticle cements, the hydration of clay minerals,
and the elimination of interparticle (capillary) tension.
Types Of Landslides
Definition of 'Mitigation'
Definition: Mitigation means reducing risk of loss from the occurrence of any
undesirable event. This is an important element for any insurance business so as to
avoid unnecessary losses.
She pointed out that the text also included a new element on the
component of response when addressing needs protection. The draft,
as well, emphasized the protection of personnel to ensure the
wounded and sick received treatment as soon as possible. Speaking for
India and her country, she stressed that prevention was better than
treatment, especially in light of recent events such as the Haiyan
typhoon. More should be done to minimize the gap between relief and
long-term development, a sentiment echoed by many delegates.
During the debate, which featured over 18 speakers, the Assembly also
heard the introduction by Ukraine’s representative of the draft
resolution on the strengthening of international cooperation and
coordination of efforts to study, mitigate and minimize the
consequences of the Chernobyl disaster. The representative of Fiji,
speaking for the “Group of 77” developing countries and China,
introduced the draft resolution on international cooperation on
humanitarian assistance in the field of natural disasters, from relief to
development.
Background
Delivering a statement on behalf of her country and India, she said the
report had provided a solid overview of both disasters caused by
natural hazards and those triggered by complex emergencies.
Challenges remained, including the need to broaden partnerships and
access populations affected by crises. In view of events such as the
Haiyan typhoon, prevention was better than treatment and more
should be done to minimize the gap between relief and long-term
development.
Statements
LIU JIEYI ( China), recalling the many recent humanitarian crises due to
natural disaster, armed conflict and protracted crises, coupled with the
effects of the financial and food crisis, underscored that developing
countries had insufficient resources to address such challenges. The
United Nations and the international community should strengthen
coordination and support of humanitarian relief and improve aid
effectiveness. However, in order to be effective, such assistance should
follow the principles of respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity
of recipient countries and avoid politicization. As well, partnerships
and technological innovation could increase the speed and
DAVID ROET ( Israel) recalled the many recent tragedies and disasters
that occurred in the Central African Republic, South Sudan and Syria,
among others. He noted that, because of the obligation by Jewish law
BASHAR JA’AFARI ( Syria) said the crisis ravaging his country was due to
flagrant attacks originating from outside its borders. Those armed
RAJA REZA BIN RAJA ZAIB SHAH ( Malaysia) said that, with uncertainties
caused by climate change, environmental degradation, population
growth and rapid unplanned urbanization, disasters around the world
would be expected to increase. No country was immune from the
impact of such global environmental changes. Building resilience over
the long-term through development programming was the
responsibility of individual Governments. His country encouraged all
Member States to work closely with the private sector, national
institutions, academicians and the non-governmental sector.
Malaysia’s involvement in humanitarian and disaster relief assistance
was based on a three-pronged approach, namely, Government-to-
Government, partnerships with non-governmental organizations and
people-to-people participation.
Right of Reply
* *** *
Frank Press was one of the two laureates of the 1993 Japan Prize for
his contributions in Safety Engineering and Disaster Mitigation. He
is a geologist by profession and known as one of the pioneering
scientists in modern seismology.
Almost four years have passed since then. But effective actions
taken to materialize its goals are few. There have been scores of
large and small conferences and symposia which carried IDNDR in
their names, and dozens of international academic organizations
have published brochures stating their dreams to actively cooperate
in the Decade project if some international funding becomes
available.
The moral underlying these and other familiar stories is that even
developed countries are not immune to natural disasters. In the last
20 years, the United Nations reports that natural disasters have
claimed almost three million lives and have adversely affected more
than 800 million people world-wide.
In 1891, about 100 years ago, we had one of the worst earthquake
disasters in the history of Japan. It destroyed more than 140,000
houses and killed more than 7,000 people. The earthquake occurred
during the period in which Japan was importing western technology.
We realized then that, unless we consider earthquake effects in our
construction technology, there would not be a safe tomorrow for us.
Until 1950, however, there had been seven earthquakes which killed
more than 1,000 people, that is about every four or five years.
Statistics clearly show, however, life loss due to earthquakes has
become very small after 1950. I am not prepared to say that this is
completely due to advancements in science and technology. We have
to admit that a really big earthquake has not since hit densely
populated, urbanized areas.
However, we now know-at least better than most of the peoples in the
other parts of the world-that analysis, design, and construction alone
"What better way to start the new millennium than a world better
organized to reduce suffering from natural disasters. I believe that the
involvement of dedicated scientists and engineers ... is the key to
achieving these essential global goals."
https://archive.unu.edu/unupress/lecture8.html
Policy arena[edit]
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Chennai damage after 2004 Indian Ocean Earthquake
4. Some people had trouble paying contractors they had hired because
their insurance check was being held by their bank or mortgage
servicer.
5. Some people found that they still owed money on their auto loans
even after their car was declared a total loss by their insurance
company.
Ninety five per cent of active volcanoes occur close to the major
tectonic plate margins, the rest occur in intraplate locations and are
often associated with hotspot activity. Despite their apparent
similarity, volcanoes differ in cause, structure and effect.
Volcanic hazards
Earthquakes
Moving magma shakes the ground, so the number and size
of earthquakes increases before an eruption. A volcano that is
about to erupt may produce a sequence of earthquakes. Scientists
use seismographs that record the length and strength of each
earthquake to try to determine if an eruption is imminent. Magma
and gas can push the volcano’s slope upward. Most ground
deformation is subtle and can only be detected by tiltmeters, which
are instruments that measure the angle of the slope of a volcano. But
ground swelling may sometimes create huge changes in the shape of
a volcano. Mount St. Helens grew a bulge on its north side before its
Gas Emissions
Gases may be able to escape a volcano before magma reaches the
surface. Scientists measure gas emissions in vents on or around the
volcano. Gases, such as sulfur dioxide (SO2), carbon dioxide (CO2),
hydrochloric acid (HCl), and even water vapor (H2O) can be
measured at the site or, in some cases, from a distance using
satellites. The amounts of gases and their ratios are calculated to
help predict eruptions.
Remote Monitoring
Some gases can be monitored using satellite technology. Satellites
also monitor temperature readings and deformation. As technology
improves, scientists are better able to detect changes in a volcano
accurately and safely.Since volcanologists are usually uncertain
about an eruption, officials may not know whether to require an
evacuation. If people are evacuated and the eruption doesn’t
happen, the people will be displeased and less likely to evacuate the
next time there is a threat of an eruption. The costs of disrupting
business are great. However, scientists continue to work to improve
the accuracy of their predictions.
Ground Shaking
If an earthquake generates a large enough shaking intensity, structures like
buildings, bridges and dams can be severley damaged, and cliffs and sloping
ground destabilised. Perched or stacked objects may fall and injure or bury
anyone close by. In the largest earthquakes whole districts can be devastated
by the multiple consequences of ground shaking.
Groundshaking will vary over an area due to such factors as topography,
bedrock type, and the location and orientation of the fault rupture. These all
affect the way the seismic waves travel through the ground. For an
explanation of the exceptional high energy of the Christchurch earthquakes in
2011 have a look at this video.
A number of waves may be produced and they can travel long distances at
high speeds to flood far-off shores. The height of a tsunami varies and may be
affected by the sea floor depth and shape, and other factors. New Zealand is
susceptible to tsunamis originating from distance sources around the Pacific
Ring of Fire as well as from very close to our coastline. Near source tsunamis
will allow for very little warning.
Check out this video about the Rockfall Impacts of the Christchurch Quake,
This may be due to downward vertical displacement on one side of a fault, and
can sometimes affect a huge area of land. Coastal areas can become
permanently flooded as a result.
Liquefaction
When the vibrations stop the sediments settle down again, squeezing
groundwater out of fissures and holes in the ground to cause flooding. The
aftermath of liquefaction can leave large areas covered in a deep layer of mud.
Building damage is also greatest in areas of soft sediments,
and multi-storey buildings tend to be more seriously
damaged than smaller ones. Buildings can be designed to
withstand most earthquakes, and this practice is
increasingly applied in earthquake-prone regions. Turkey is
one such region, and even though Turkey had a relatively
strong building code in the 1990s, adherence to the code
was poor, as builders did whatever they could to save costs,
including using inappropriate materials in concrete and
reducing the amount of steel reinforcing. The result was that
there were over 17,000 deaths in the 1999 M7.6 Izmit
earthquake (Figure 11.18). After two devastating
earthquakes that year, Turkish authorities strengthened the
building code further, but the new code has been applied
only in a few regions, and enforcement of the code is still
weak, as revealed by the amount of damage from a M7.1
earthquake in eastern Turkey in 2011.
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Figure 11.18 Buildings damaged by the 1999 earthquake in
the Izmit area, Turkey. [from U.S. Geological Survey at:
http://gallery.usgs.gov/sets/1999_Izmit,_Turkey_Earthquak
e/thumb/_/1]
Fires are commonly associated with earthquakes because
fuel pipelines rupture and electrical lines are damaged when
the ground shakes (Figure 11.19). Most of the damage in the
great 1906 San Francisco earthquake was caused by massive
fires in the downtown area of the city (Figure 11.20). Some
25,000 buildings were destroyed by those fires, which were
fuelled by broken gas pipes. Fighting the fires was difficult
because water mains had also ruptured. The risk of fires can
be reduced through P-wave early warning systems if utility
operators can reduce pipeline pressure and close electrical
circuits.
Earthquakes are important triggers for failures on slopes
that are already weak. An example is the Las Colinas slide in
the city of Santa Tecla, El Salvador, which was triggered by a
M7.6 offshore earthquake in January 2001 (Figure 11.21).
As you were moving your feet up and down or thumping the pot, it’s
likely that you soon discovered the most effective rate for getting
the sand to liquefy; this would have been close to the natural
harmonic frequency for that body of material. Stepping up and down
as fast as you can (several times per second) on the wet beach
would not have been effective, nor would you have achieved much
by stepping once every several seconds. The body of sand vibrates
most readily in response to shaking that is close to its natural
harmonic frequency, and liquefaction is also most likely to occur at
that frequency.
2 marks
The hailstone will reach a size and weight where gravity will begin
to act on it and pull it down. However, this is not necessarily the end
of its formation, as it could be pulled into another strong updraft
and remain in the upper part of the cloud. A stone the size of a golf
ball would need an updraft flowing at 60 miles per hour (mph) to
keep it elevated in the cloud. The size the hailstone reaches depends
on the amount of time it spends surrounded by supercooled water
droplets, but eventually gravity causes the stone to fall to the Earth.
The Earth is in a constant state of change. Earth’s crust, called the lithosphere, consists
of 15 to 20 moving tectonic plates. The plates can be thought of like pieces of a cracked
shell that rest on the hot, molten rock of Earth’s mantle and fit snugly against one
another. The heat from radioactive processes within the planet’s interior causes the
plates to move, sometimes toward and sometimes away from each other. This
movement is called plate motion, or tectonic shift.
The huge continent eventually broke apart, creating new and ever-changing land
masses and oceans. Have you ever noticed how the east coast of South America looks
like it would fit neatly into the west coast of Africa? That’s because it did, millions of
years before tectonic shift separated the two great continents.
Earth’s land masses move toward and away from each other at an average rate of
about 0.6 inch a year. That’s about the rate that human toenails grow! Some regions,
such as coastal California, move quite fast in geological terms — almost two inches a
year — relative to the more stable interior of the continental United States. At the
“seams” where tectonic plates come in contact, the crustal rocks may grind violently
against each other, causing earthquakes and volcano eruptions. The relatively fast
movement of the tectonic plates under California explains the frequent earthquakes that
occur there.
Tides are caused by the gravitational pull of the moon and the sun. ... This
occurs as a result of inertia and centrifugal force, as the gravitational pull is
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weaker here and the ocean bulges out as a result. The areas at 90-degree
angle to the moon at this time will experience low tides.
The majority of all high-energy swells produced on the planet peak during
winter in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere.
They can be visible arriving on the horizon in evenly spaced out, parallel
lines of waves.
Swells are not generated by local winds blowing, for example, near the
shore.
Instead, they're the result of the interaction of severe storms with a large
fetch of water that takes place in the open ocean, thousands of miles away
from landmasses.
A storm acts like a pebble dropped in a pond, sending out ripples of energy
in concentric circles.
The longer and harder the wind blows, the bigger the swell.
As a swell moves away from the storm, wave trains with a longer
wavelength will travel faster and overtake shorter wavelength swells.
As waves propagate into shallow water, they start to slow down, the
wavelength is shortened, and the wave height rises.
In a gently sloping beach, waves will arrive mushy and crumbling, breaking
in water deeper than a depth of 1.3 multiplied by the wave height.
A steep slope or reef will form hollow, pitching waves in shallower waters.
When they reach the shoreline, it has already accumulated a lot of energy
and period (in seconds) between consistent and powerful wave trains.
Long-period swells harness energy, travel faster, and can easily cope with
local winds and currents, resulting in larger beach waves.
The first waves of a long-period swell are called forerunners and usually
move faster than the remaining carriages of the wave train.
The swell height corresponds to the average size of the highest one-third of
the waves in a given period.
It is measured from trough to peak. The seconds between one peak and
the next can be determined by ocean buoys to calculate swell height.
The harder the wind, the greater the distance it blows on the fetch, and the
longer the period, the bigger the wave, the longer the wavelength, and the
longer the period between crests will be observed.
A sustained and consistent 50-knot wind blowing for nearly three days over
a minimum distance of 1,600 miles (2,600 kilometers) could generate wave
heights of 50 feet (15 meters).
As waves propagate away from the source, they start grouping into lines of
swell and traveling and spreading in a circumferential dispersion.
And for every doubling of the propagation distance, the height reduces by
about one-third.
In terms of wavelength, the longer the distance between two crests, the
faster the waves will travel across the open ocean, meaning that faster
waves with longer wavelengths will progressively overtake the slower,
shorter wavelength swells.
When the peaks of two different wave trains coincide, a larger wave will
result.
A swell is a group of waves that have gathered enough energy from the
wind to reach another stage of maturity that allows them to travel well
beyond the place of their origin.
It can pass through and under another one or even more than one swell
and absorb them in their path, resulting in more organized, well-spaced,
and well-defined swell lines.
A simple ripple (photo below) will not be able to travel thousands of miles
without strong winds blowing for a long period.
Unlike swells, waves do not ride on top of each other for a long period of
time.
3. Swells: groups of waves with a period between crests of more than ten
seconds;
Swells tend to bend around the islands and spread out in the channels
between them.
As a result, when these storms occur, the ocean will host E swells, mostly.
Tropical storms only form when the temperature contrasts between air and
ocean are at their maximum.
They both have the same period, and the whole train of waves advances
by one wavelength in one period of the oscillation.
Physicists call this a traveling wave train. Common people can call it a
swell.
Later, in 1963, he proved that swell decays very little after it travels a
distance from the edge of a storm equal to the storm's diameter.
Talus
landform
lava
Definition: Volcanoes often contain molten rock or magma. When a
volcano erupts, this molten rock is erupted onto the Earth’s surface
and forms lava which is liquid. As the lava cools down, the lava
becomes solid rock.
Types of Lava
There are several different types of volcanoes: steep
stratovolcanoes, wide shield volcanoes, and mounded lava domes.
The shape of a volcano actually depends on the types of lava that it’s
made up of. And so, there are several different types of lava.
A’a
Pronounced “ah-ah”, this is a basaltic lava that doesn’t flow very
quickly. It looks like a slowly moving mass of hot jello, with cooler,
rough surface. Once it hardens, the sharp spiny surface of a’a lava is
extremely difficult to walk across. These types of lava erupt at
temperatures above 1000 to 1100 degrees C.
Pahoehoe
Pronounced “pa-ho-ho”, this type of lava is much thinner and less
viscous than a’a. It can flow down the slopes of a volcano in vast
rivers. The surface of the lava congeals into a thin crust that looks
very smooth. Pahoehoe lava can also form lava tubes, where the
rock hardens around a fast-moving liquid core. When that core
flows out of the tube, a long tunnel remains. Pahoehoe erupts at
temperatures of 1100 to 1200 C.
Pillow Lava
Pillow lava is typically found erupting from underwater volcano
vents. As soon as the lava contacts the water, it’s cooled down and
forms a hardened shell. As more lava issues from the vent, the shell
of lava cracks and more “pillows” come out of these cracks.