WEEK CALLS Formula Forecast A=0.

1 Error Error^2
1 50 50.000 0.000 0.000
2 35 50+0.1(50-50) 50.000 15.000 225.000
3 25 50+0.1(35-50) 48.500 23.500 552.25
4 40 48.5+0.1(25-48.5) 46.150 6.150 37.823
5 45 46.15+0.1(40-46.15) 45.535 0.535 0.286
6 35 45.535+0.1(45-45.535) 45.482 10.482 109.862

8 30 44.433+0.1(20-44.433) 0.000 30.000 900.000

9 35 41.99+0.1(30-41.99) 3.000 32.000 1,024.000
10 20 40.791+0.1(35-40.791) 6.200 13.800 190.440
11 15 40.212+0.1(20-40.212) 7.580 7.420 55.056
12 40 38.191+0.1(15-38.191) 8.322 31.678 1,003.496
13 55 35.872+0.1(40-35.872) 11.490 43.510 1,893.138
14 35 36.284+0.1(55-36.284) 15.841 19.159 367.074
15 25 38.156+0.1(35-38.156) 17.757 7.243 52.465
16 55 37.84+0.1(25-37.84) 18.481 36.519 1,333.633
17 55 36.556+0.1(55-36.556) 22.133 32.867 1,080.242
18 40 38.401+0.1(55-38.401) 25.420 14.580 212.586
19 35 40.061+0.1(40-40.061) 26.878 8.122 65.972
20 60 40.055+0.1(35-40.055) 27.690 32.310 1,043.941
21 75 39.549+0.1(60-39.549) 30.921 44.079 1,942.964
22 50 41.594+0.1(75-41.594) 35.329 14.671 215.243
23 40 44.935+0.1(50-44.594) 36.796 3.204 10.266
24 65 45.441+0.1(40-45.441) 37.116 27.884 777.497
25 85 44.897+0.1(65-44.897) 39.905 45.095 2,033.584
SUM OF DEVIATIONS 499.809 15,126.817
MAD 21.731
MSE 657.688

0.1 0.300
1 70,000 65,000.000 5,000.000 65,000.000 5,000.000
2 68,500 65,500.000 3,000.000 66,500.000 2,000.000
3 64,800 65,800.000 1,000.000 67,100.000 2,300.000
4 71,700 65,700.000 6,000.000 66,410.000 5,290.000
5 71,300 66,300.000 5,000.000 67,997.000 3,303.000
6 72,800 66,800.000 6,000.000 68,987.900 3,812.100
7
MAD 4,200.000 3,341.020
WEEK CALLS Formula Forecast A=0.6 MAD WEEK CALLS
1 50 50.000 0.000 1 50
2 35 50.000 15.000 2 35
3 25 41.000 16.000 3 25
4 40 31.400 8.600 4 40
5 45 36.560 8.440 5 45
6 35 41.624 6.624 6 35
7 20 37.650 17.650 7 20
8 30 27.060 2.940 8 30
9 35 28.824 6.176 9 35
10 20 32.530 12.530 10 20
11 15 25.012 10.012 11 15
12 40 19.005 20.995 12 40
13 55 31.602 23.398 13 55
14 35 45.641 10.641 14 35
15 25 39.256 14.256 15 25
16 55 30.703 24.297 16 55
17 55 45.281 9.719 17 55
18 40 51.112 11.112 18 40
19 35 44.445 9.445 19 35
20 60 38.778 21.222 20 60
21 75 51.511 23.489 21 75
22 50 65.604 15.604 22 50
23 40 56.242 16.242 23 40
24 65 46.497 18.503 24 65
25 85 57.599 27.401 25 85
350.297
14.596
Formula Forecast A=0.9 MAD
50.000 0.000
50.000 15.000
36.500 11.500
26.150 13.850
38.615 6.385
44.362 9.362
35.936 15.936
21.594 8.406
29.159 5.841
34.416 14.416
21.442 6.442
15.644 24.356
37.564 17.436
53.256 18.256
36.826 11.826
26.183 28.817
52.118 2.882
54.712 14.712
41.471 6.471
35.647 24.353
57.565 17.435
73.256 23.256
52.326 12.326
41.233 23.767
62.623 22.377
355.407
14.809
WEEK Actual Forecast 1 Error Error^2 Error/Actual
1 492 488.000 4.000 16.000 0.008
2 470 484.000 14.000 196.000 0.030
3 485 480.000 5.000 25.000 0.010
4 493 490.000 3.000 9.000 0.006
5 498 497.000 1.000 1.000 0.002
6 492 493.000 1.000 1.000 0.002
SUM OF DEVIATIONS 28.000 248.000 0.058
MAD 4.667
MSE 41.333
MAPE 0.010
WEEK CALLS 3 MONTH-MOVING AVERAGE ERROR ERROR2 ERROR/ACTUAL
1 50 0.000
2 35 0.000
3 25 0.000
4 40 36.667 3.333 11.111 0.278
5 45 33.333 11.667 136.111 3.025
6 35 36.667 1.667 2.778 0.079
7 20 40.000 20.000 400.000 20.000
8 30 33.333 3.333 11.111 0.370
9 35 28.333 6.667 44.444 1.270
10 20 28.333 8.333 69.444 3.472
11 15 28.333 13.333 177.778 11.852
12 40 23.333 16.667 277.778 6.944
13 55 25.000 30.000 900.000 16.364
14 35 36.667 1.667 2.778 0.079
15 25 43.333 18.333 336.111 13.444
16 55 38.333 16.667 277.778 5.051
17 55 38.333 16.667 277.778 5.051
18 40 45.000 5.000 25.000 0.625
19 35 50.000 15.000 225.000 6.429
20 60 43.333 16.667 277.778 4.630
21 75 45.000 30.000 900.000 12.000
22 50 56.667 6.667 44.444 0.889
23 40 61.667 21.667 469.444 11.736
24 65 55.000 10.000 100.000 1.538
25 85 51.667 33.333 1111.111 13.072
SUM 306.667 6077.778 138.198
MAD 26.667
MSE 276.263
MAPE 6.282
3 MONTH - WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE ERROR ERROR2 ERROR/ACTUAL

32.500 7.500 56.250 0.188

34.167 10.833 117.361 0.241
40.000 5.000 25.000 0.143
39.167 19.167 367.361 0.958
29.167 0.833 0.694 0.028
27.500 7.500 56.250 0.214
30.833 10.833 117.361 0.542
26.667 11.667 136.111 0.778
20.000 20.000 400.000 0.500
28.333 26.667 711.111 0.485
43.333 8.333 69.444 0.238
42.500 17.500 306.250 0.700
33.333 21.667 469.444 0.394
41.667 13.333 177.778 0.242
50.000 10.000 100.000 0.250
47.500 12.500 156.250 0.357
40.000 20.000 400.000 0.333
48.333 26.667 711.111 0.356
63.333 13.333 177.778 0.267
60.000 20.000 400.000 0.500
49.167 15.833 250.694 0.244
54.167 30.833 950.694 0.363
330.000 6156.944 8.319
28.696
279.861
0.378
PRICE SALES
450.00 38,000.00
480.00 35,000.00
490.00 30,000.00
460.00 36,000.00
475.00 37,000.00