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Fire Risk Assessment For Large-Scale Commercial Buildings Based On Structure Entropy Weight Method
Fire Risk Assessment For Large-Scale Commercial Buildings Based On Structure Entropy Weight Method
Safety Science
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ssci
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Based on the fire characteristic and the maintenance of fire equipment in the large-scale commercial
Received 20 March 2016 buildings, this paper proposed a fire risk assessment system for large-scale commercial buildings. The
Received in revised form 25 November 2016 assessment system focus on evaluating the safety performance of the fire protection system in the build-
Accepted 11 December 2016
ings. Firstly, the index system of the assessment system was determined by on-site investigation and
experts’ suggestions. Secondly, the weight of each index was determined by the structure entropy weight
method. Thirdly, the score rules were determined according to the regulations from the relevant laws and
Keywords:
design codes. Finally, the score and the corresponding fire risk level could be obtained. Moreover, four
Fire
Risk assessment
large-scale commercial buildings in Chongqing, China have been taken as examples to calculate the val-
Structure entropy weight method ues of the fire risk level by the proposed assessment system. In addition, the fire safety performance of
Large-scale commercial buildings the four buildings were analyzed.
Ó 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2016.12.009
0925-7535/Ó 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
F. Liu et al. / Safety Science 94 (2017) 26–40 27
Generally speaking, each assessment model has its own charac- ation of fire equipment and fire safety management, in order to
teristics and applicable scope. The model adoption should depend reduce the possibility of a fire and increase the possibility of fire
on the specific case during the assessment process, moreover, the extinction, five main aspects including causing disaster factors,
precondition and the restriction should be understood adequately. passive fire protection method, active fire protection method, fire
In most cases, the models rely on a large number of input data and protection management, and fire-fighting ability of fire brigade
particular fire scenario, in addition, the application condition is have been covered. This research mainly includes four steps: 1.
very strict. According to the target of evaluation, previous On-site investigation and risk identification to determine the fire
researchers have developed some assessment models based on risk assessment index system of large-scale commercial buildings.
the system theory. For examples: Qian et al. built an urban fire risk 2. Use the structure entropy weight method to determine the index
assessment index system according to the possibility and the weight. 3. Determine the scoring principle, score for the real com-
severity of urban fire (Qian, 2012). Ke-xuan et al. built a fire risk mercial building and determine the fire risk level. 4. Case study.
assessment index system for large-scale shopping centers accord- Four steps were described as follows:
ing to the fire characteristics (Ke-xuan, 2013). Omidvari et al.
who comes from Iran built a fire risk assessment system for educa- Step 1: Build a targeted fire risk assessment index system for
tion center laboratories based on RPN method (Omidvari et al., large-scale commercial buildings. First of all, the related fire
2015). Li et al. built a fire risk assessment system for coal mines, data, the status quo of fire risk assessment and the fire influence
based on TOPSIS method (Li et al., 2011). Jiang et al. built a fire risk factors of large-scale commercial buildings were achieved
assessment system for super high-rise buildings (Jiang et al., 2015). through on-site investigation, reading relevant literatures and
Zheng conducted a fire risk assessment on the Main Stadium of the visiting the insurance company and the third party fire risk
12th National Games of China by using the analytic hierarchy pro- assessment institution. Under the comprehensive consideration
cess (AHP) method (Zheng, 2014). Sun and Luo, also built a fire risk of reducing the possibility of a fire and increasing the possibility
assessment system for super high-rise buildings (Sun and Luo, of fire extinction, the assessment index system was preliminar-
2014). Yang et al. built a fire risk assessment system for under- ily built thereafter. Some fire experts from design companies,
ground buildings by using grey relational analysis (Yang et al., consult organizations, management departments, research
2012). institutions and fire brigades who engaged in fire engineering
Most of the mentioned fire risk assessment systems are based were invited to evaluate the preliminary index system. Accord-
on the features of target buildings and equipment of the fire pro- ing to experts’ suggestions, this system mainly focused on the
tection system. Nevertheless, fire risk level in the two same build- maintenance of fire equipment and fire safety management in
ings with same fire equipment will be different, if the maintenance large-scale commercial buildings. Therefore, considering the
situation of the fire equipment and the fire safety management reliability of fire safety system in the large-scale commercial
capability are different. Besides, the existing large-scale commer- buildings, the characteristic of commercial buildings needed a
cial buildings have relatively high fire safety requirements and var- further consideration in assessment system and the index sys-
ious of fire equipment, therefore, only relying on the installed fire tem needed to be refined to every part of the fire-fighting
equipment to evaluate the fire risk is not enough. equipment. The establishment of index system was similar to
There is no special fire risk assessment system for the large- the analytic hierarchy process (AHP); indexes were divided into
scale commercial buildings, and the application of the existing fire several layers. Five main aspects, including causing disaster fac-
risk assessment system is lack of the consideration of the fire char- tors, passive fire protection method, active fire protection
acteristic in the large-scale commercial buildings. Therefore, to method, fire protection management, and fire-fighting ability
establish a fire risk assessment system considering the mainte- of fire brigade, have been covered. Finally, the fire risk assess-
nance situation of the fire equipment for the large-scale commer- ment index system used in the large-scale commercial build-
cial buildings will provide significant theoretical and practical ings was established.
values. Step 2: After the index system was determined, the index
A fire risk assessment system for large-scale commercial build- weight should be assigned to all indexes in each layer. If the tra-
ings will be established in this paper, the comprehensive evalua- ditional AHP method was used to assign the index weights, it
tion method was adopted and the detailed scoring system for all would greatly increase experts’ workload. Compared with the
fire indexes were included in this system. Firstly, the investigation AHP method, this paper introduced a new method, Structure
and research on the management departments, maintenance Entropy Weight Method, to assign the index weight. It com-
departments, insurance companies of the large-scale commercial bined methods of subjective and objective assignments, as well
buildings were carried out. Secondly, the indexes in the fire risk as the qualitative and quantitative analysis. The detailed princi-
assessment system for large-scale commercial buildings was ple and application method of the structure entropy weight
established by using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method, method will be explained in Section 2.3.
and the weights of the indexes were obtained by questionnaire Step 3: To achieve the quantification of the assessment results,
and structure entropy weight method. Thirdly, the score of each it is necessary to assign the scores of the indexes in the bottom
index was provided by on-site investigation. Finally, the fire risk layer. For different types of bottom indexes, Grade Security
of the large-scale commercial buildings was evaluated by the total Assessment and the Scoring Method were adopted respectively
score calculated from the proposed fire risk assessment system. according to the difference of the indexes. Combined with Chi-
na’s actual situation, the evaluation criteria have been
improved. The scoring methods were approved by the experts,
2. Methodology and the details will be explained in Section 2.4. Through the
previous steps, the index weights in each layer and the bottom
The purpose of this research is to establish a fire risk assessment indexes scores could be acquired.
system for large-scale commercial buildings, and take some real In this paper, in order to eliminate the difference between dif-
large-scale commercial buildings as examples to calculate the total ferent layers used different methods, the bottom indexes were
score based on the system. Therefore, the fire risk level depends on processed uniformly by Hundred-mark score transferred. The
the total score. Based on the architectural characteristics of large- value and level of the fire risk of the large-scale commercial
scale commercial buildings and considering the maintenance situ- buildings could be calculated and evaluated finally.
28 F. Liu et al. / Safety Science 94 (2017) 26–40
Fig. 12. The assessment index system for large-scale commercial buildings.
independent hierarchical grades. The execution steps are as fol- an experts’ comments collection table. Experts need to fill in the
lows (Qi-yue, 2010): form with the indexes’ order of importance.
Questionnaire forms of indexes weights was designed for The potential deviation and uncertainty of the experts’ com-
experts to decide the qualitative ranking of indexes. Several ments on the indexes rank might be appeared due to the noisy
experts were invited to complete the questionnaire form in accor- data. In order to eliminate noisy data and reduce uncertainty, the
dance with the procedure and requirement of the Delphi method qualitative judgment conclusion from the experts should be statis-
(Dalkey, 1969). Moreover, the selection of the experts should be tical analyzed and dealt with. In order to reduce the uncertainty of
representative, authoritative and fair. The experts ranked the expert ranking, the entropy value was calculated by the entropy
importance of each index independently according to their own theory. The execution steps are as follows:
knowledge and experience. The indexes were ranked from high Supposing that k experts were invited to take the questionnaire
to low according to their importance, for example, mark ‘‘1” repre- survey, then k questionnaire forms would be returned, every form
sented ‘‘the most important”, mark ‘‘2” represented ‘‘more impor- was recognized as an index set, marked as U ¼ fu1 ; u2 ; . . . ; uk g, ui
tant”, mark ‘‘3” represented ‘‘important” and so on. Some indexes refers to the expert ranking array denoted by
could be allowed to recognize as equally important, and the final fai1 ; ai2 ; . . . ; ain gði ¼ 12 . . . kÞ, ai1 ; ai2 ; . . . ; ain can be any natural num-
rank of the indexes could be discussed by the experts. Table 3 is ber from f1; 2; . . . ; ng. As previously mentioned, ‘‘1” represented
32 F. Liu et al. / Safety Science 94 (2017) 26–40
Table 1
Bottom indexes of A2 .
the highest level of importance. The index sort matrix obtained b1j þ b2j þ . . . þ bkj
bj ¼ ð5Þ
from the k table is shown as a matrix A. k
0 1 Blind understanding degree rj was defined as the uncertainty of
a11 a12 a13 . . . a1n
Ba a22 a23 . . . a2n C the evaluation on the index uj from k experts.
B 21 C
A¼B C ð1Þ
@ ... ... ... ... ... A rj ¼ jf½maxðb1j ; b2j ; . . . bkj Þ bj þ ½bj minðb1j ; b2j ; . . . bkj Þg=2j
ak1 ak2 ak3 ... akn ð6Þ
In which aij represents the i th expert’s evaluation on the jth The global understanding degree xj was defined as the degree of
index. the evaluation on every index uj from all k experts who have been
The qualitative ranking result could be transformed into quan- invited.
titative result by a membership function, it can be defined as:
xj ¼ bj ð1 rj Þ ð7Þ
vðIÞ ¼ kpn ðIÞ ln pn ðIÞ ð2Þ
The evaluation vector of the index uj from k experts was express
In which, pn ðIÞ ¼ m1
mI
; k ¼ lnðm1Þ
1
, they can be put into Eq. (2): as X ¼ ðx1 ; x2 ; . . . xk Þ.
1 mI mI
vðIÞ ¼ ln ð3Þ (3) Normalized treatment
lnðm 1Þ m 1 m1
In order to obtain the weight of index uj , the Eq. (7) need further
ðmIÞ
Divided by ðm1Þ for both sides, assume 1 vðIÞ= ðm1Þ
ðmIÞ
¼ lðIÞ. And
normalized treatment
then, ,
Xk
lðIÞ ¼
lnðm IÞ
ð4Þ
xj ¼ xj xj ð8Þ
lnðm 1Þ j¼1
P
I was defined as the qualitative ranking number of a certain Obviously, xj > 0, and kj¼1 xj ¼ 1. The x ¼ ðx1 ; x2 ; . . . ; xj Þ was
index evaluated by an expert. For example, a set of qualitative expressed as the weight vector of index set U ¼ ðu1 ; u2 ; . . . ; uj Þ.
ranking numbers 5, 2, 3, 4, 1 for five indexes A1 ; A2 ; A3 ; A4 ; A5 was
evaluated by one expert. Thus, it means the index A5 was the most 2.3.2. Calculation of the index weight
important, for the index A5 , I ¼ 1. m was the transformation In the proposed fire risk assessment system, the index weight
parameter, defined as m ¼ j þ 2, and j is the number of indexes. was determined from the first grade, it means that the indexes
The qualitative ranking number I was put into the Eq. (4), the A1 ; A2 ; A3 ; A4 and A5 would be determined first. Similarly, the
quantitative transformation value of bij would be obtained. weight of the indexes on the second and third grade could be
bij ¼ lðaij Þ was referred to as the membership degree of the quali- determined in sequence. Because the proposed system focused
tative ranking number I, and the matrix B ¼ ðbij Þkn was defined as on the fire equipment maintenance, the reliability of their opera-
the membership degree matrix. A new parameter, average under- tion should be a key consideration in the qualitative ranking eval-
standing degree bj , was introduced. It presented the consistency uated from the experts.
degree of the evaluation on the index uj from k experts, its calcula- During the study, 4 groups of experts, and 8 experts in each
tion is as follows: group, totally 32 experts from industries including architecture,
F. Liu et al. / Safety Science 94 (2017) 26–40 33
Table 2
Bottom indexes of A3 .
Table 2 (continued)
Table 3
Experts’ comments collection table. (5) Based on the previous results and Eqs. (5) and (6), the blind
Index 1 Index 2 Index 3 Index 4 Index 5 ... understanding degree rj on the indexes from all experts
Expert 1 could be obtained. Then the evaluation vector X could be cal-
Expert 2 culated according to the blind understanding degree rj and
Expert 3 Eq. (7). Finally, the weight of each index could be achieved
Expert 4
by the normalized treatment method. The calculated result
...
of each parameter is shown in Table 5.
A2 , A3 belong to secondary indexes, and should be ranked indi-
Table 4 vidually to determine the weight index. Similarly, weight distribu-
The rank result from experts. tion of the third grade indexes can also be obtained by refining. The
index distribution is shown in Tables 6 and 7.
Index A1 Index A2 Index A3 Index A4 Index A5
Group 1 2 1 1 3 4
Group 2 3 2 1 4 5
Group 3 1 2 2 3 4 2.4. Scoring and calculation
Group 4 3 2 1 4 5
2.4.1. Scoring instructions
All indexes extended from the first grade should be scored, it
HVAC, electric and fire protection were invited to evaluate the means that the second grade indexes from causing disaster factor,
qualitative rank on all indexes except the indexes in the bottom fire protection management and fire-fighting ability of fire brigade,
grade. The weight determination of the indexes in the first grade the third grade indexes of passive fire prevention measures, and
was taken as an example: the fourth grade indexes of active fire prevention measures should
be scored.
(1) The rank result from the 4 groups of experts were collected The score of ‘‘1” to ‘‘5” points was given to each index in the sec-
in Table 4: ond grade of index A1 , A4 , A5 , and the scoring standards mainly
(2) The obtained rank matrix: based on the CIBW14 ‘‘work report” finished by the International
Architectural Research Union, Code for fire prevention design of
0 1 interior decoration of buildings (GB50222-2015) (Supervision,
2 1 1 3 4
B3 4 1 4 5C 2015) and Unified standard for reliability design of building struc-
B C
A¼B C ð9Þ tures (GB50068-2008) (PRC, 2008), some specific details referred
@1 2 2 3 4A
to national standards guide for fire risk assessment of building
3 2 1 4 5 property insurance(draft) (Yumin, 2014). Scoring rules of indexes
in the grade of index A1 , A4 , A5 are shown in Table 8.
(3) The calculated membership matrix B based on the Eqs. (4) For the bottom indexes of index A2 and A3 the scoring method of
‘‘0-1-3-5”and ‘‘0-1-5-7” was adopted based on the instruction in
0and (9), m was taken as 7. 1 the relevant codes (Hai-yun, 2011). This method of scoring was
0:8982 1 1 0:7737 0:6131
B 0:7737 0:6131 1 0:6131 0:3869 C
originated from the Grade Security Assessment, which is a semi
B C
B¼B C ð10Þ quantitative investigation method used for the preparation of
@ 1 0:8982 0:8982 0:7737 0:6131 A chemical industry proposed by Philli Petroleum Company (Zhang,
0:7737 0:8982 1 0:6131 0:3869 2011). According to the actual situation of China, the scoring
method has been improved, and the score is distinguished based
(4) The average understanding degree on a particular dimension on the specific words in the regulations, such as the positive words
from all experts: ‘‘should”, ‘‘must” and the negative words ‘‘should not”, ‘‘cannot”
b1j þ b2j þ b3j þ b4j and ‘‘must not”. For example, positive word ‘‘should” and negative
bj ¼ ¼ ð0:8614; 0:8524; 0:9746; 0:6934; 0:5000Þ words ‘‘should not” were used in the code regulations, the medium
4
ð11Þ risk score series ‘‘0-1-3-5” could be applied. Similarly, positive
word ‘‘must” and negative words ‘‘must not” were used in the code
F. Liu et al. / Safety Science 94 (2017) 26–40 35
Table 5
Weight distribution of the first grade index.
Table 8
Detailed scoring rules of A1 , A4 , A5 .
Table 8 (continued)
Fire safety training A43 1. Neither of the two aspects cannot be executed 1 Including t two aspects:
2. Only the first aspect can be executed 2 1. Pre-job fire safety training and regular fire safety education
3. Only the second aspect can be executed 3 should be carried out for all the staff
4. Both two aspects can be executed without record 4 2. The special workers engaged in dangerous materials and
5. Both two aspects can be executed with clear record 5 processes and fire safety system should be certified by cor-
responding credentials
Fire safety inspection A44 1. None of three aspects cannot be executed 1 Including three aspects:
2. Any one aspect cannot be executed 3 1. Determination of the key location and work position
3. All three aspects can be executed 5 2. Implementation of daily inspection, and establishment of
inspection record
3. Timely rectification of the potential fire risk
Fire lane A51 1. Not satisfy the code requirements or cannot be ensured 1 According to the regulation of 7.1 in the code of GB50016-2013
smooth
2. Satisfy the code requirements and can be ensured smooth 5
Rescue capability of the 1. Any one aspect is not satisfied 1 Including three aspects:
local fire brigade A52 2. Both two aspects are satisfied 5 1. Arrive at fire scene in 5 min after receive the fire alarm
2. Rescue equipment satisfy the requirements of the code
‘‘Construction Standards on Urban Fire Station”
Table 9
Security classification score sheet.
Table 10 experts who have significant impact on the fire risk evaluation
Scoring instructions. have been invited to score all the bottom indexes.
Score Instruction
Take BUILDING 1 for example, the result of all bottom indexes
scored from the expert group is shown in Fig. 14.
5 Maintenance management is perfect
The scores of G1 , G2 , G3 , G4 and G5 corresponding the five
4 Maintenance management is good
3 Maintenance management is mediocre indexes in the first grade could be calculated based on the pro-
2 Maintenance management is poor posed method and the Eqs. (12) to (18), the final score G and its fire
1 Maintenance management is very poor risk level of the BUILDING 1 could be achieved based on Table 11at
last. Similarly, the total scores and their fire risk levels of BUILDING
2, BUILDING 3 and BUILDING 4 could be obtained. The results of
where Gi is the score of the first grade index Ai ; xi is the weight of BUILDING 1, BUILDING 2, BUILDING 3, and BUILDING 4 are shown
the index Ai . in Table 12.
As a result, the corresponding fire risk level of large-scale com-
mercial buildings could be identified as shown Table 11. The algo-
rithm used in this study is illustrated in Fig. 13. 4. Discussions
Establishing the indexes Establishing the indexes Establishing the Establishing the Establishing the
system of causing system of passive measures. indexes system of indexes system of indexes system of fire
disaster factors. active measures. fire management. brigade fire ability.
Scoring the third
Scoring the second Scoring the fourth Scoring the second
grade indexes. Scoring the second
grade indexes. grade indexes. grade indexes.
grade indexes.
Calculating the score of
Calculating the Calculating the score of Calculating the Calculating
the second grade and
score of the first the third grade, second score of the first the score of the
the first grade indexes,
grade indexes. grade and the first grade grade indexes. first grade indexes.
in turn.
indexes, in turn.
Table 12
Scores and risk levels of 4 buildings.
G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G Level
BUILDING 1 68.57 80.91 89.07 90.00 60.00 79.36 II
BUILDING 2 60.00 71.26 77.53 70.00 60.00 68.77 III
BUILDING 3 91.42 80.91 79.65 90.00 100.00 87.02 II
BUILDING 4 88.57 88.97 94.46 85.00 100.00 91.03 I
out of work, hence the fire compartment could not be divided by caused by subjective factors could be avoided. The proposed
the fire shutter. So the G2 score of BUILDING 2 was lower than assessment system is not only easy but also practical applied in
the other 3 buildings. the engineering project. However, in order to widely use this sys-
In the aspect of active fire protection method (G3 in Table 12): tem in the engineering project, further optimization need to be car-
The G3 of BUILDING 2 and BUILDING 3 were lower than the other ried out.
two buildings. This was mainly due to the scheduled maintenance The case study shows that the proposed system can be applied
and periodic inspection were lacked in BUILDING 2 and BUILDING feasibility and operability in the four large-scale commercial build-
3. To be sure that the operation reliability of fire equipment would ings. In the four buildings, the fire safety adjustments in BUILDING
be lower without scheduled maintenance and periodic inspection. 2 need to be conducted to reduce its fire risk, because it was under
In these buildings, it was found that some devices were rusty or the highest fire risk.
even abandoned. During the on-site inspection, some truth was
found, such as some devices were rusty or even abandoned, some Acknowledgements
functions of the on-line monitoring system were out of use, etc. In
general, the performance of active fire protection in the four build- This work was supported by key program foundation of Min-
ing were good, and the average score of was over 77. istry of Public Security, China (Grant 2011ZDYJCQXF019), graduate
In the aspect of fire protection management capacity (G4 in scientific research and innovation foundation of Chongqing, China
Table 12), on-site investigation indicated that only few staff from (Grant No. CYB16006) and the 111Project, No. B13041. We grate-
the four buildings have participated the regular fire training. There fully acknowledge the assistance of Mr. Shujiang Liao and Mr.
was no plan on the perambulation and inspection of fire hazard in Xiangyang Zhang from Chongqing public security fire department
some high risk and important areas. But the overall result shown a in the on-site investigation and data collection.
good behavior in fire safety responsibility, because all staff was
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