Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2019 Seizing Opportunities Making CRE Agile in A Dynamic Business Environment
2019 Seizing Opportunities Making CRE Agile in A Dynamic Business Environment
2019 Seizing Opportunities Making CRE Agile in A Dynamic Business Environment
Over the last few decades, India has been one of the
most preferred global hubs for back-office services. While
residential property is front runner in terms of volume,
there is no denying the sizeable impact that Commercial
Property makes on the sector. But there is a lot impacting
the market – technology and data usage; new business
models; changing occupier demands; policy reforms etc.
Therefore, a changing world means a new focus on how
business is conducted – only the agile will survive and
thrive.
Overall, the last five years have been momentous for CRE, but we
believe that the next five years will have the potential to take the
sector to great heights as the sector embraces professionalism,
and better corporate governance. Together, all stakeholders need
to come together as an industry to make it more sustainable, and
urge the government to create a stable policy environment by
making the real estate sector transparent, expediting approval
process, promoting single-window clearance for projects, and
rationalizing labor laws.
However, despite the ongoing sluggishness, Moody’s Figure 1: India ranking in ‘Ease of doing business’
Investors’ Service is forecasting the economy to
accelerate moderately to 6.2% in 2019. We believe
the growth to be driven by firming of investments,
and policy measures that will further strengthen
2018
investors’ confidence. 77
India has been consistently rising in the World
Bank’s Ease of Doing Business index.
2017
100
government
1 https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indias-gdp-growth-slows-to-5-in-april-june-2019/articleshow/70910682.cms
Smart Cities
Mission
> Overlapping implementation authority
including city-specific Special Purpose
Vehicle (SPV) regulations delaying Real estate
implementation
Make in India investment trusts
> Lack of enforcement of
> Proposals not inclusive 2 and difficult for
economically disadvantaged to access (REITs)
contracts
> Industry lacks technical skills and > Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
> Lack of skilled workforce across exposure to massive developments, reduced the minimum subscription limit for REITs
industries delaying implementation of the from INR2 lakh (USD2,900) to INR50,000
plan (USD725)
> Challenges in land acquisition
> Exemption of dividend distribution tax on REIT
> Intermittent power and SPV
infrastructure
> Investment cap in under-construction projects is
raised from 10.0% to 20.0%
Goods and
Services Tax
(GST)
Foreign Direct > Since the enforcement of the GST in July
Investment (FDI) 2017, tax base has risen 50.0%, with the
addition of about 3.4 million more tax
norms liberalization payers5
Challenges
In our view, the period
between 2015-2018 has
been instrumental in Upcoming Delays in approvals from
changing the face of the sunset clause statutory authorities cause
sector, with developers for special cost escalation for
placing importance on
corporate governance
economic zones developers. Approval and
and fiscal prudence. (SEZs) compliance costs account
We also expect the for 10.0%-15.0% of total
commercial sector’s
fast-paced move towards
project costs for a developer
institutionalization, as
foreign investors buy
into the rapidly growing
sector. We think investor
confidence is strength-
ening, with foreign
OUR
investors having invest-
ed USD15 billion
(INR103,520 crore) in
the Indian real estate
industry over
recommendations
2015-H12019. Despite
the reforms initiated by
the government, there
are certain operational
concerns that remain. The government A Single window clearance system
The table below identi- should extend the should be adopted wherever regulatory
fies the top challenges sunset date for approvals are required
faced by the sector, and income tax benefits
recommendations to for units in SEZs by Deemed approvals should be
ensure success. five years. The implemented in case of failure to
sunset clause allows approve within set timelines. This
SEZs set up before should enable developers to speed up
March 31 2020 to projects and more successfully manage
claim tax benefits their development cycle
The government The government Capital gains must The real estate sector
should consider should prioritize be exempted on the needs a well-defined
removing investment roadway development transfer of assets legislation that details
threshold limits for and also incentivize from SPV to REIT, standards for fire safety,
foreign portfolio developers to develop for at least the initial building control, parking
investors into real infrastructure three years and accessibility,
estate through listed amongst other factors
/ unlisted The government Exemption or
non-convertible should consider standardization of As the sector moves
debentures under increasing the Floor stamp duties should towards transparency
the FPI route. Space Index (FSI) for make REITs more brought about by
developers who meet attractive professional
This should help certain infrastructure management, consistent
broaden investment development disclosure and reporting
channels in CRE thresholds norms need to be
adopted across the
sector
H1 2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Office Residential Mixed Use Retail Others
Domestic
57%
Chart 2: India, investor-origin share, 2008-H1 2019
Source: Colliers International
Since 2008, we note that private-equity (PE) This has also led to keen interest in projects
players have pumped nearly USD56 billion under-construction in top markets. Between 2014-H1
(INR402,640 crore) into real estate, with domestic 2019, Colliers notes that foreign investors accounted
investors accounting for 57.0% of the inflows. Over for 70.0% of total office investments.
the last five years, foreign investors have been
focused on commercial office assets. Blackstone’s We advise investors to enter into
emergence as the biggest landlord in the Indian partnerships and Joint Ventures (JV)
market has been telling of the robust investor for assets under-construction, keeping
confidence in the continued healthy demand and in view the higher risks.
the resultant rental growth in the Indian commercial
office market. Blackstone has invested about Colliers’ future supply projection of 160-180 million
USD4 billion10 (INR28,760 crore) in office assets sq feet (14.8-16.7 million sq meters) over 2019-2021 3
in India, with operational space of about 69.0 should support investors’ appetite, who till now faced
million sq feet (6.4 million sq meters), and a lack of investible assets in cities like Bengaluru and
under-construction space of 45.0 million sq feet Hyderabad.
(4.2 million sq meters).
We believe that foreign investors now have a
Following Blackstone, investment groups such as long-term view of the market, instead of being merely
GIC, Brookfield, Xander and Canada Pension Plan opportunistic. In fact, we note that foreign investors
Investment Board (CPPIB) have been betting on the chasing portfolio-level deals have increased since last
commercial office market. Investor confidence has year, signaling long-term commitment in the Indian
surged, buoyed by strong demand by domestic and market. Typically, portfolio-level deals span across
foreign occupiers, and the slow institutionalization projects and locations, and involve larger financial
of the sector, that is adopting better corporate investment.
governance standards.
10 http://www.forbesindia.com/article/boardroom/how-blackstone-made-india-its-largest-market-in-asia/53849/1
Retail Sector
11 https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/blackstone-k-raheja-plan-reit-for-commercial-portfolio/articleshow/71043640.cms?from=mdr
1 2 3
1 2 3 3
Established markets
Emerging markets
OFFICE RESIDENTIAL RETAIL HOSPITALITY INDUSTRIAL/
LOGISTICS
*Preferences are based on average ranking of cities in the survey. The cities have been classified into established markets, and emerging markets for analysis
Source: Colliers International
12 https://campaigns.colliers.com.au/s/eeca5c2165eefb949ad366af49e4e76c41fcd1c1
The sluggishness in the residential market continues with respect to low sales
and reduced credit from NBFCs. Hence, we anticipate a slow recovery, as the
government plans to stabilise the sector by implementing policy reforms. We
believe that the government’s guidelines to infuse INR1 lakh crores (USD14.3
billion) into a partial guarantee scheme should provide much-needed liquidity to
the NBFC sector and, in turn, enable them to continue to play their role in
meeting the financing requirements of the productive sectors of economy,
including MSME, retail and housing.
Over the next two years, we expect to India is the second fastest digitizing economy
see investors announcing or raising funds after Indonesia, according to a recent study by
specifically for distressed assets. Over the last McKinsey Global Institute, and the Indian cloud
few months, entities including Embassy REIT computing market will likely grow14 to USD7.1
SPV and Kotak Realty Fund have set their eyes billion (INR51,050 crore) in the next three years,
on stressed assets, with an aim to turn them from USD2.5 billion (INR 17,980 crore) in 2018.
around. In such a scenario, we believe that India stands
to gain as a data center destination, with foreign
According to our report, Investors in internet companies such as Google, Amazon
India look to Office, Data centers April likely to drive demand.
201913 , in the coming year, around
63.0% of the investors said they are As companies jump onto the bandwagon, we
likely to invest up to 20.0% of their foresee investors scouting for opportunities in
investments in distressed assets. data centers. Private equity firm Actis is in talks
with global IT companies to set up data centers
We believe that while distressed assets in India15. Additionally, Bain Capital-backed
are a good opportunity for investors to Bridge Data Centers is investing in data centers
acquire assets below market value, it is in India16.
often fraught with legal challenges in
India, and therefore, should only be The rising demand for data centers has resulted
attempted by the most sophisticated in large Indian conglomerates venturing into this
and well capitalized investors with segment. For instance, Hiranandani Group and
sufficient appetite for risk. Adani have announced a foray into the data
center market in India, intensifying the race for
market share.
13 https://campaigns.colliers.com.au/s/eeca5c2165eefb949ad366af49e4e76c41fcd1c1
14 https://medium.com/redact/indias-cloud-computing-market-to-exceed-usd-7-1-billion-by-2022-61ba841f7aa1
15 https://data-economy.com/actis-sets-aside-2-1bn-for-data-centres-in-india/
16 https://data-economy.com/bain-capital-to-create-the-pan-asian-data-centre-platform-by-establishing-chindata-group/
We believe data centers receive a huge boost Between 2017-H1 2019, investors pumped
from the Personal Data Protection Bill 2018, USD1.5 billion (INR 10,785 crore) into
which mandates that data needs to be stored logistics and warehousing assets, with
and processed in India. Moreover, as foreign investors accounting for 90.0% of
companies increasingly move towards cloud the inflows. The government’s granting of
platforms, we foresee increased need for data infrastructure status to the logistics sector
centers. has enabled cheaper finance. Moreover, the
adoption of the GST is spurring
We do, however, recommend that development of centralised, and modern
investors enter the segment only if warehouses.
they can sustain long investment
cycles, as data centers take longer time We are now noting that developers
for achieve returns. are providing specialised
specifications for warehouses,
We expect Mumbai to continue to lead in data customizing it for sectorial
center growth, as it has the highest submarine requirements, such as e-commerce,
cables landing in the country. electronics, FMCG, or
pharmaceuticals.
We advise state governments to ensure
that digital infrastructure such as fiber 3
17 https://campaigns.colliers.com.au/s/e4f7a743c30ce5fe860372038ba80d2c37595f8f
Forecast 18%
16%
14%
80 12%
70 10%
60 8%
in mn sq ft
50 6%
40 4%
2%
30
0%
20
2023
10 2022
2021
2020
0 2019
2018
2017
18 Namely Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi-NCR, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai and Pune Source: Colliers International
19 https://www.colliers.com/-/media/files/apac/india/market%20insights/2019-tech-jewels.pdf?la=en-GB
60.0 1.0
50.0 0.8
40.0 0.6
30.0 0.4
20.0 0.2
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Overall, we expect the buoyant leasing momentum In April this year, the Telangana government
to escalate overall city rents from INR45.8 per sq unveiled the Look East plan, under which it plans to
foot per month (USD0.6 per sq foot per month) in develop the eastern part of the city as an IT corri-
H1 2019 to INR52.0 per sq foot per month (USD0.7 dor. Over the next ten years, we can expect some
per sq foot per month) by end of 2023. developer activity in areas such as Uppal, LB Nagar,
Keesara and Shamirpet.
Despite the influx of a huge quantum of
Grade A supply, we see a preference for
Grade A premium buildings by occupiers in
Hyderabad and hence project a rental
increase of 2.1% CAGR over 2019-2023.
2018
Others
IT-BPM
18%
42%
Consulting
5%
Engineering &
Manufacturing
9%
Source: Colliers International BFSI Flexible workspace
12% 14%
Others
18%
2014
IT-BPM
Pharmaceuticals
4% 59%
3
BFSI
5%
Consulting
Engineering &
6% Manufacturing
10%
*Others includes Logistics, FMCG, Energy, Chemicals, Telecom
Source: Colliers International
Since 2014, with about 1.0 million employees working in over 1,250
centers, GICs in India have increasingly been undertaking high-end
work like product engineering and innovation, that are critical to
their organizations’ success. As of 2019, India is the undisputed
leader in the GIC market led by a change in strategy among
multi-national companies (MNCs), further aided by competitively
affordable rents in certain markets (that offer sub-dollar per sq foot
per month rentals), a strong IT infrastructure, tax breaks and a
highly skilled, english-speaking talent pool.
While Bengaluru should likely remain the first choice for GICs, we
recommend occupiers consider Hyderabad, led by its ease of doing
business, talent pool and quality upcoming supply.
20 “Take Action, Gain Traction: Inclusion and Diversity in the UK Workplace” prepared by the consulting firm Bain & Company
21 https://www.bbva.com/en/the-benefits-of-diversity-in-the-workplace/
Employee-friendly
environment 76% 20% 4%
Employee
Engagement 26% 54% 20%
Economic/Political
uncertainty 17% 83%
Collaborative
spaces 48% 38% 14%
Environment
controlled space 43% 57%
Facilities
management 48% 48% 4%
Diversity &
Inclusion 33% 57% 10%
Most important
Somewhat important
Less important
Telecom 5G
23 https://www.livemint.com/Politics/uP1RGLG2uiSX6Ei8BNM9jJ/Gen-Z-is-on-course-to-outnumber-millennials-within-a-year.html
24 https://thefutureorganization.com/employee-experience-index/
25 https://spacestor.com/insights/top-8-workplace-trends-for-2019/
25 https://labs.com/how-good-office-design-can-improve-productivity/
Diversity and inclusion are playing an increasingly Companies are looking to improve the work life
important role in attracting and retaining talent. balance of the employees who spend a significant part
Companies in India are becoming more aware of the of the day in office. To enhance work life balance,
importance of diversity of the success of their bottom smartly designed office spaces can lower attrition,
line. India Inc. is looking to increase the participation absenteeism, boost productivity and improve creativity.
of the lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBTQ) Wellness spaces may be in the form of recharge rooms
workforce as marginalization and discrimination where employees can take a few minutes of downtime
shrinks the existing talent pool, restrict markets and to zone out, relax, do yoga, zumba and stretch, or take
slow down economic growth26. a nap in sleeping pods or even meditate. One such
example is Airbus’ office in Bengaluru, which
introduced balance for business teams at the global
level that were tasked with finding ways to improve
work-life balance.
26 https://indiaculturelab.org/assets/Uploads/Godrej-India-Culture-Lab-Trans-Inclusion-Manifesto-Paper3.pdf
Wellness impacts
We note that should
innovative bea assessed
design, seamless through a balanced
assimilation of technology, and wellness
mix of tech-enabled
facilities for employees indicators and employee feedback.
are being implemented
to drive loyalty and employee satisfaction.
Colliers believes that companies are investing
time and resources to understand how to
retain and attract fresh talent.
Once wellness infrastructure or initiatives are in place,
companies are keen to measure them. While the push
Landlords are adopting new building
for wellness is growing thanks to positive linkages to
technologies and design features such as
profitability, employee satisfaction and productivity,
double-height windows and exterior glazing
the direct benefits to businesses have often been
that allow
difficult in natural light while incorporating
to quantify.
green spaces, which research shows helps
Theenhance
good news employee health
is that there are awhile
growinglowering
number of
tools – suchbills.
energy as real-time
Features indoor
such airas
quality monitors,
stairways in the
mobile platforms, and scientifically designed guidelines,
middle of the office can also help attract larger
checklists
tenantsandwho scorecards
prefer the– that enable the
flexibility of more
expanding
effective assessment of programmes
into multiple levels in a building and theirwant
and impactto
on corporate bottom lines over time.12 Furthermore, the
encourage people to move more throughout
Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark (GRESB),
the day – a key principle of achieving wellness.
which introduced a Health and Wellbeing module, is in
Colliers research demonstrates that these
the third year of evaluating “how property companies
andfeatures
funds areare at the forefront
promoting health and of workplace
well-being in their
internal operations and through the real estatelight
conversations, as air quality, natural products
andand recreational
services they offerspace are all key
to customers.” 13 drivers of
relocation decisions in markets such as
ByoBeat
Hong isKong.
working on another model to help companies
measure RoI by correlating lower health scores with
higher
Once employee-associated costs. ByoBeat
wellness infrastructure founder
or initiatives
Rachael Lau also points to technological developments
are in place, companies are keen to measure
in neuropsychology, which are helping develop devices long-term indicator of whether or not the initiatives that
them. While the push for wellness is growing
to monitor behaviour in ways that was not possible until we are putting into place are having an impact. If you
thanks to positive linkages to profitability,
recently. One example is a cutting-edge approach to don’t like the space, you’re going to leave. There are
employee
picking satisfaction
up signals and and
from the brain productivity, the to
heart in tandem other places you can go.”Therefore seeking a baseline
directthe
examine benefits to workplace
impact of businesses have
stress on often been
employees’ understanding becomes even more important for
difficult
mental to quantify.
and physical health.The good news is that employers and landlords alike.
there are a growing number of tools – such as
However, while
real-time technology
indoor is a big monitors,
air quality help in gauging
mobile There is no question wellness will only become more
outcomes, according to Lau, employee
platforms, and scientifically designed feedback integral to the workplace as technological advancements
should be considered an even more crucial indicator continue to extend the possibilities and ease the
guidelines, checklists and scorecards – thatin
developing meaningful wellness initiatives. “It’s great we implementation of fresh initiatives, as well as better
enable the more effective assessment of
can use technology to measure everything,” she says. measure their efficacy in terms of improved health,
programmes and their impact on corporate
“But we shouldn’t lose the human element, and the productivity and financial performance.
bottom lines over time.
element of trust in our bodies’ ability to communicate to
us what is working and what isn’t.” Those landlords and tenants that act early to
prioritise effective assessment of programmes while
Indeed, metrics based on human feedback can be considering the human element at their core – including
especially valuable for landlords, as they might provide management buy-in and employee participation – will
insight on the likely duration of a company’s tenancy. be cultivating a clear source of competitive advantage in
As Perino puts it: “The retention rate is the biggest the highly competitive markets for property and talent.
27
A SIX-STEP PATH TO WELLNESS SUCCESS14
1 Define a baseline
3 Create a cross-
functional wellness
committee
4
Identify key technologies
that can support the strategy
across space, organisation
and individual
5 Communicate – use
technology to promote and
measure benefits
6
Evaluate performance
by analysing metrics
and continuously
soliciting feedback
For more information on RICS, contact: For more information about Colliers International India, contact:
Vaishnavi Bala
Assistant General Manager | Research
vaishnavi.bala@colliers.com
ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult
their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.