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Financial Management Report: On "Repo Rate and Impact On GDP"
Financial Management Report: On "Repo Rate and Impact On GDP"
On
“Repo rate and impact on GDP”
SUBMITTED BY:
Mehak bhatia
Enrolment no. 21BSP0898
SUBMITTED TO:
Prof. PRAPTI PAUL
Acknowledgement
I would like to express my special thanks of gratitude to my teacher prof. Prapti Paul who
gave me this golden opportunity to do this wonderful report on topic repo rate and its impact
on GDP, which also helped me in doing a lot of research and i came to know about many
terms related to it. With all my efforts and hard work, I have completed this report within the
prescribed time given to me.
Abstract
The main purpose of this report is to study the repo rate and reverse repo rate as a monetary
policy instrument and its impact on GDP. This report analyses the changes taking place in
the repo rate for the period 2019-2021. Monetary Policy refers to a policy introduced by the
Central Bank or monetary authority to control money supply with an overall objective of
maintaining price stability and promotion of economic growth. Since, independence, the RBI
has been using different policy instruments to achieve the objectives of monetary policy.
During the period 1951-1990, the RBI has been using Bank rate, CRR and SLR for achieving
the objectives. During 1990s, when the government of India initiated economic reforms of
liberalisation, privatisation and globalisation, bank rate was still considered and used as a
significant monetary policy instrument. But, with the recommendations of Narsimhan
Committee, Repo Rate went on to become the most significant monetary policy instrument in
India’s Monetary Policy.
INTRODUCTION
Monetary policy of India is under the domain of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) with
government playing only an advisory role in its formulation and decisions. The RBI makes
major announcements regarding the monetary policy pursued by it twice a year i.e., one, in
the month of April or May and other in the month of October or November. Whenever, such
announcements are made, they are intended to give out indications regarding the stand taken
by the central bank with regards to monetary and credit policy.
During April 1997, the practice of automatic monetisation by issuing ad-hoc treasury bills
was completely eliminated. Subsequently, the RBI introduced the concept of ‘multiple
indicator approach’. In this approach, apart from broad money, a number of macro-economic
indicators such as rate of returns in different markets, currency, credit given by banks and
financial institutions, fiscal position, capital inflows, trade, rate of inflation, exchange rates,
refinancing and transactions in foreign exchange were considered and analysed in the process
of formulation of monetary policy. On the recommendations of Narsimhan Committee on
banking sector reforms (1998), the RBI introduced an Interim-Liquidity Adjustment Facility
in April 1999. As per the policy measures announced in June 2000 a full-fledged Liquidity
Adjustment Facility was introduced by the RBI. Later on, revisions were made in the years
2001 and 2004. On October 2004, a revised scheme of LAF was announced and international
usage of terms was adopted. Since then, Repo rate has become key policy rate of RBI’s
monetary policy.
1. Repo:
Repo stands for ‘repurchase option’ or ‘repurchase agreement’. It is a secured way of
raising short term capital that allows banks or financial institutions to borrow money from
other banks or financial institutions against government securities with an agreement to
buy those securities back after a specified time period and at a predetermined price
(which is higher than the initial sell price).The duration of these loans generally varies
between one day to a fortnight. In this system, the borrower enters into a repo or
repurchase agreement, whereas, for the lender, it’s a reverse repurchase agreement or
reverse repo. RBI uses repo and reverse repo to maintain economic stability in the
country.
2. CRR and SLR:
Cash reserve ratio or CRR is a portion of a commercial bank’s total deposits that needs to
be maintained at the central bank of the country (which is RBI in India). The limit of
CRR to be maintained is also determined by RBI. However, here the deposit is in the
form of liquid cash and has to be kept in an account with the RBI. Banks are not allowed
to utilise the CRR deposited for giving out loans or for other lending purposes. Apart
from that, CRR deposits are also not eligible for earning interests. CRR helps in ensuring
that the bank always has enough cash to disburse when depositors need it. The purpose of
this monetary policy is to check inflation in the economy. When CRR is increased, the
cash reserves of commercial banks are depleted which limits their lending capacity. This
reduces borrowings and helps in controlling inflation.
Statutory liquidity ratio or SLR refers to the minimum percentage of deposits that needs
to be maintained by commercial banks in the form of liquid assets, cash, gold,
government securities, etc. SLR is essentially a portion of the bank’s Net Demand and
Time Liabilities (NDTL) or total demand deposits and time-based deposits. Just like
CRR, the limit of SLR for commercial banks is also decided by the central bank of the
country (Reserve Bank of India or RBI in India) but the deposits are maintained by the
respective banks themselves.
However, the SLR cannot be used by the bank for lending. The deposits designated
towards SLR are eligible for earning interests. This monetary policy of the RBI is aimed
at ensuring the solvency of the banks or ensuring that the banks, at any point in time, are
capable of paying back their liabilities. When there is inflation, RBI increases the SLR to
restrict the lending capacity of the bank. And when there is a need to infuse cash into the
system, RBI reduces the SLR to help banks offer loans at better rates and improve
borrowings.
3. Repo Rate and Reverse Repo Rate:
Repo rate is the most effective and efficient tool used by the Reserve bank of India(RBI)
to regulate country’s money supply, inflation and liquidity. In India, the Reserve Bank of
India or RBI (which is the central bank in the country) lends money to commercial banks
with an interest rate which is called repo rate. This interest rate is also applicable when
RBI borrows money from commercial banks. RBI uses repo and reverse repo to maintain
economic stability in the country. The levels of repo have a direct impact on the cost of
borrowings for banks. Higher the repo rate, higher will be the cost of borrowings for
banks and vice versa. On 4 April 2019, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) revised the repo rate. This rate was decreased by 25 basis
points, from 6.25% to 6%. Even the reverse repo rate saw revisions with a decrease of 25
basis points, which then stands at 5.75%.
PROBLEM STATEMENT
Repo rate has become the most important tool of monetary policy pursued by the RBI in
recent times. It has been observed that any changes made in policy rates have significant
impact in economic growth in India. Changes made in Repo rate have a direct impact on
banking sector and its lending capacity. In recent years, the government, the banking sector,
the industry and even the general public seems to be very interested in the review of
monetary policy done by the RBI twice a year. Hence, the present study is an attempt to test
the impact of changes in Repo rate announced by the RBI on Quarterly growth rate of GDP at
current prices.
CHANGES IN THE REPO RATE
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) makes changes in the Repo rate according to the changing
macroeconomic factors. In a bi-monthly monetary meet held on April 7, 2021, RBI
announced that the current repo rate has been kept at 4% and the reverse repo rate at 3.35%.
This is the fifth time in a row that these crucial rates haven’t been revised. In May 2020, the
repo rate was reduced by 40 basis points from 4.4% to 4% and the reverse repo rate was
made 3.35%.Repo rate and reverse repo rate are monetary policies used by RBI to maintain
economic stability in the country. Suppose the country is going through a cash crunch. In this
case, RBI will reduce the repo rate to help banks borrow more and make loans available to
the public at reduced rates. Now, if the country’s economy is experiencing inflation, RBI will
increase the reverse repo rate to limit borrowings by commercial banks. This, in turn, will
reduce their lending capacity and keep inflation in check.
Repo rate expected to remain unchanged in fiscal 2022
Reserve Bank of India's repo rate is expected to remain unchanged during FY22, said Emkay
Global in a report. A lower repo rate, or short-term lending rate for commercial banks, will
reduce the interest cost on automobile and home loans, thereby ushering in growth. However,
lower repo rate might trigger inflation as well.
Earlier this month, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the central bank voted to
maintain the repo rate, or short-term lending rate, for commercial banks, at 4 per cent.
Likewise, the reverse repo rate was kept unchanged at 3.35 per cent, and the marginal
standing facility (MSF) rate and the 'Bank Rate' at 4.25 per cent. The MPC outcome was
widely expected as India suffers from a massive spike in Covid-19 infections.
"We do not see any rate actions in FY22. We reckon RBI's focus on keeping the term premia
low will gather pace as global financial conditions might start to tighten gradually through the
year," said Madhavi Arora, Lead Economist, Global Financial Service in the report. "We also
expect core inflation to remain high, outdo headline and average comfortably above 6 per
cent in FY22. That said, RBI may still take solace in the fact that headline inflation may still
average sub 6 per cent in FY22 and thus could justify their policy accommodation." On bond
yields, she cited that in the near term, 'we are neutral on bonds amid the central bank's active
support anchored at the benchmark 10-year paper'. However, we do see yields inching up in
an orderly and gradual fashion in H2FY22. "We expect the yield curve to bear-flatten and see
benchmark 10-yr yield in the range of 6-6.40 per cent for the remainder of FY22.
Major differences between Repo Rate and Reverse Repo Rate
Besides the way these rates work, there are other differentiators which includes:
A high repo rate helps drain excess liquidity from the market, whereas a high reverse
repo rate helps inject liquidity into the economic system.
The repo rate is always higher than the reverse repo rate.
Repo rate is used to control inflation and reverse repo rate is used to control the money
supply.
To conclude, the major difference between these two is that an increase in the repo rate will
make commercial banks borrow less. Whereas an increase in the reverse repo rate will allow
commercial banks to transfer more funds to RBI, which contributes to the money supply.
IMPACT OF REPO RATE ON INDIAN ECONOMY
Repo rate is a powerful arm of the Indian monetary policy that can regulate the country’s
money supply, inflation levels, and liquidity. Additionally, the levels of repo have a direct
impact on the cost of borrowing for banks. Higher the repo rate, higher will be the cost of
borrowing for banks and vice-versa.
a. RISE IN INFLATION: During high levels of inflation, RBI makes strong attempts to
bring down the flow of money in the economy. One way to do this is by increasing the
repo rate. This makes borrowing a costly affair for businesses and industries, which in
turn slows down investment and money supply in the market. As a result, it negatively
impacts the growth of the economy, which helps in controlling inflation.
b. INCREASING LIQUIDITY IN THE MARKET: On the other hand, when the RBI
needs to pump funds into the system, it lowers the repo rate. Consequently, businesses
and industries find it cheaper to borrow money for different investment purposes. It also
increases the overall supply of money in the economy. This ultimately boosts the growth
rate of the economy.