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1996 - Dennis Et Al. - EVA For Banks - Value Creation, Risk Management and Profitability Measurment - 326 Citations
1996 - Dennis Et Al. - EVA For Banks - Value Creation, Risk Management and Profitability Measurment - 326 Citations
S U M M E R 1 9 9 6 V O L U M E 9. 2
AND PROFITABILITY
MEASUREMENT
ne of the classic challenges of corporate the level of individual products, account officers,
O governance has been to define and imple-
ment an unambiguous measure of per-
and customer relationships. It is the purpose of this
paper to provide an overview of the aspects of the
formance that correlates well with share- measurements and analyses necessary to use EVA at
holder wealth creation. Economic Value Added has all levels of banking organizations. While this paper
been broadly accepted over the past 15 years as the focuses on commercial banks, the principles articu-
measure of financial performance that is most highly lated here can be applied with minor modification
correlated with increases in market value. Industrial to finance companies, insurance companies, bro-
companies that have incorporated EVA as the pri- kerage houses, mutual funds, and other financial
mary measure of performance and the basis for services companies.
incentive compensation have achieved noteworthy The first section of this paper discusses the
success by aligning the interests of management and concept of shareholder wealth and summarizes the
shareholders. results of Stern Stewart & Co.’s newly-released
EVA is an operational measure that differs from ranking of the 100 largest bank holding companies.
conventional earnings measures in two ways: The second section defines the EVA measurement as
It explicitly charges for the use of capital and, for it pertains to banks, and presents evidence of EVA’s
this reason, is sometimes referred to as a “residual stronger correlation with bank market values than
income” measure; and traditional financial measures. The third section
It adjusts reported earnings to minimize account- discusses how the EVA concept can be applied
ing distortions and to better match the timing of within the organization to specific products, organi-
revenue and expense recognition. zational units, or customers. It also discusses the
While the general concepts necessary for de- major components of profitability measurement:
veloping a complete EVA financial management funds transfer pricing, indirect cost allocations, and
system for industrial companies have been well economic capital allocations. Finally, it shows how
known for over ten years, it is only recently that the EVA can be used as the basis for all financial
methods have been formalized for financial institu- management activities, including the design of in-
tions in a manner that facilitates analyses down to centive compensation programs.
94
BANK OF AMERICA
JOURNAL OF
JOURNAL
APPLIEDOF
CORPORATE
APPLIED CORPORATE
FINANCE FINANCE
MVA: SHAREHOLDER WEALTH CREATION invested $13.4 billion in creating an operation val-
IN BANKING ued at $11.3 billion. Thus, Norwest had created $3.0
billion of MVA ($8.4 – $5.4) while Chase had
Bank executives, analysts, and investors have destroyed $2.1 billion ($11.3 – $13.4) of shareholder
traditionally focused on a variety of performance value.
measures to assess how well banks and bank When managers succeed in widening the spread
holding companies are performing for their share- between the market value of capital and the amount
holders. Among the most popular measures are of capital invested, they increase the wealth of their
earnings per share growth, return on equity, balance shareholders. Indeed, MVA is synonymous with the
sheet growth, market capitalization, and the effi- Net Present Value (NPV) of the firm. By increasing
ciency ratio. None of these measures, however, MVA, managers are in fact increasing the NPV of
provides a direct answer to the most fundamental forecasted cash flows for their shareholders. That is,
question about the success of the management team: they are realizing returns in excess of the cost of the
Has the value of the shareholders’ investment in- capital being invested.
creased? And, if so, by how much? Stern Stewart has calculated the MVA of a
Maximizing shareholders’ wealth, however, is sample of the largest 100 bank holding companies
not the same as maximizing the total market value of (in total assets as of December 31, 1995) and has
a company. The reason is that market value can be ranked them according to both MVA and MVA as a
increased either by increasing the market value of percentage of capital. This is the first MVA ranking
each invested dollar (which is always good for inves- for the banking industry.
tors) or by increasing the number of dollars invested As of the end of 1995, Citibank was first in the
(which can be bad for investors if the market value industry in shareholder wealth creation. It had
of the incremental investment ends up worth less generated $8.6 billion in MVA, a vast improvement
than the original amount invested). If the goal is to from its 1994 MVA of –$349 million, which had
increase shareholder wealth, then the candidate placed them a lowly 92nd among the 100 largest
method should measure not market value per se, but banks. Norwest finished second with MVA of $6.3
the value added to shareholders’ investment. billion, followed by NationsBank $6.3bn, First Inter-
A measure of shareholder wealth creation that state $6.1bn and Wells Fargo $5.7bn. (The complete
attempts to capture this value added is called Market rankings are presented in the Appendices.)
Value Added, or MVA.1 It is defined as the difference In reviewing the MVA rankings, larger compa-
between the current market value of all capital nies may expect to rank higher in a dollar-based
elements and the historic dollar amount of capital ranking (such as we present in Appendix I). There
invested in the company. That is, are two ways to “normalize” the ranking for size. One
is to compare the dollar MVA rank with the company
MVA = Market Capital – Invested Capital asset size rank. Citicorp is first both in MVA and in
asset size. In this sense, its performance may not be
A comparison between Norwest and Chase extraordinary. In contrast, among the top 10 in MVA
Manhattan (prior to its merger with Chemical Bank) rank, Norwest, First Interstate, Wells Fargo, Wachovia,
illustrates this difference. At the end of 1994, Chase and Mellon all have asset positions significantly
had a market value of $11.3 billion, while Norwest smaller than their MVA ranks. That is, for their size,
had a market value of $8.4 billion. Which had these banks have created unusually large share-
performed better for its shareholders? Without know- holder values added.
ing how much capital each bank had invested to Another way to normalize for size is to rank
create their respective market values, it is impossible banks according to MVA as a percent of capital,
to tell. which we call “standardized MVA” (see Appendix
Our MVA analysis revealed that Norwest had II). A bank’s standardized MVA is analogous to its
invested only $5.4 billion of investors’ capital to market-to-book ratio. As such, it is not directly
achieve a value of $8.4 billion, whereas Chase had proportional to wealth creation; nor is maximizing
1. See Irwin Ross, “The Stern Stewart Perfomance 1,000,” Journal of Applied
Corporate Finance, Vol. 8 No. 4 (Winter 1996).
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VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
standardized MVA a wealth-maximizing corporate and Wells Fargo. These organizations rank at the top
objective. That is, a bank can improve its standard- of the industry in both capital deployed and MVA
ized MVA by making decisions that reduce its dollar generated per dollar of capital. Two companies
MVA—for example, by forgoing positive-NPV growth deserve special congratulations. Fifth Third and
opportunities that will reduce its average rate of Norwest have ranked in the top quintile in both
return. Maximizing wealth creation requires balanc- rankings every year from 1990 through 1995.
ing high returns per dollar of capital with deploying
as much capital as can be expected to provide THE CASE FOR EVA AS A PERFORMANCE
returns in excess of the cost of capital, such that the MEASURE
product of these two factors (MVA in dollar terms)
is maximized. (We will return to this critical point in While MVA is the ultimate measure of share-
the next section.) holder wealth creation, it is not practical as an
Especially noteworthy are those banks that are internal performance measure for several reasons:
in the top quintile in both MVA rankings. They are Operating units do not usually have share prices
Fifth Third, First Bank System, First Interstate, Norwest, or market-determined valuations;
2. Wells Fargo 1995 Annual Report, Letter to the Shareholders. See also in this 3. Wells Fargo 1995 Annual Report.
issue Joel Houston and Michael Ryngaert, “The Value Added by Bank Mergers: 4. Charles B. Wendel, The New Financiers.
Lessons From Wells Fargo’s Acquisition of First Interstate.”
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JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
Traditional performance measures (net income, ROA, ROE, and earnings per share)
do not properly reflect risk and therefore reinforce behavior that is either too
aggressive (that is, aims to maximize earnings) or too conservative (aims to prevent
dilution of returns).
Not all companies are publicly traded; and 1. NOPAT reflects operational profits adjusted to
Market values are subject to significant market minimize accounting conventions that misrepre-
volatility that may be unrelated to the operating sent economic flows (for example, misclassifications
decisions of management. of capital investments as operating expenses), or
If MVA is not appropriate, then the question that distort the proper matching of revenues and
remains: Which operational performance measure expenses.
should banks select? The following criteria should be 2. EVA assumes that management must generate
considered: sufficient revenues not only to cover operating
It should show a strong correlation with changes expenses and the interest charges on debt, but also
in MVA; to provide the return that shareholders require to
It should be robust enough to be used for all compensate them for the riskiness of their equity
financial management activities; investment in the company. Hence, a charge for all
It should be measurable at all levels of the organi- debt and equity is subtracted from NOPAT.
zation, and in all dimensions—line of business, While not permitted under GAAP accounting,
functional department, product, and customer; charging for the use of capital ensures that manage-
It should be practical and effective as the basis for ment is at all times conscious of its obligation to
a value-based incentive compensation program. shareholders. It also provides an explicit mechanism
The candidates that will be considered are: to formalize and quantify the overall risk structure of
1. Net income the business, both in the amount of capital allocated
2. Earnings per share (which reflects the volatility, or “total risk,” of the
3. Return on assets business) and in the cost of capital (which is based
4. Return on equity on “systematic risk,” or the correlation of returns with
5. Economic Value Added (EVA) the market).
The first four are traditional performance measures.
The last has been well-developed for industrial EVA versus Traditional Measures of
companies, but has only recently been applied to Performance
financial institutions. It will be described in the next
section. Using EVA as a measure of economic perfor-
mance can lead to management decisions that are
EVA Defined fundamentally different from those based on tradi-
tional measures. To illustrate this, consider the
Economic Value Added (EVA) is a measure of following situation.6
a firm’s profit after subtracting the cost of all capital A lending unit of a bank has six new loan
employed.5 It is defined as the current-period, opportunities. All loans will have a one-year term. All
after-tax economic earnings net of a charge for the will have balances outstanding of $1 million, and all
use of capital. It can be developed in formulas as have identical overall risk characteristics such that
follows: they all receive the same capital allocations. Each of
the six loans, however, has a different profitability
EVA = (Return on Capital – Cost of Capital) * Capital estimate. A summary of each of the six incremental
= (Capital * Return on Capital – Capital * Cost of Capital) opportunities with their expected profitability esti-
= NOPAT – (Capital * Cost of Capital) mates is summarized in Table 1.
= NOPAT – Capital Charge The net income values shown in Table 1 are
assumed to be fully burdened in the sense that they
where NOPAT represents “net operating profits, are net of funds transfer pricing (including an
after-tax” and the “capital charge” is the amount of earnings credit on allocated capital) and indirect
capital multiplied by the cost of capital. EVA differs expense allocations. For simplicity, NOPAT is as-
from conventional earnings in two important ways: sumed to be equal to net income. ROA and ROE are
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VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
TABLE 1 Loan Opportunities: #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6
INCREMENTAL LOAN
OPPORTUNITIES* Balance 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
Capital Allocation 50 50 50 50 50 50
Net Income/NOPAT 40 20 10 5.0 2.0 1.0
Return on Assets (ROA) 4.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Return on Equity (ROE) 80% 40% 20% 10% 4% 2%
Capital Charge (12%) 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0
EVA 34 14 4.0 (1.0) (4.0) (5.0)
defined as net income divided by assets and equity, question is not trite: The number of loans that should
respectively. EVA is NOPAT less the capital charge be accepted is a direct function of the incentive
of $6,000, which is the $50,000 capital allocation compensation goal of the lending unit.
multiplied by the assumed cost of equity of 12%. For example, if the unit is evaluated and bo-
The pivotal question is: How many loans should nuses are based on its earnings performance, then it
the lending unit accept? An ancillary question is: is perfectly rational for the unit to accept all six loans
Which of the four performance measures best cor- to maximize its prospective earnings and bonuses. In
relates with shareholder value creation? contrast, if it is evaluated on its ROA or ROE, it will
Before proceeding, it is necessary to recast the stop after accepting only the first loan. To accept any
incremental financials shown in Table 1 into portfo- more would “dilute” the high return of the best loan.
lios of loans based on the number of loans ac- Neither result maximizes shareholder value
cepted. This is essential because performance as- creation. Recall from Table 1 that loans #1, #2, and
sessment is virtually never conducted on a loan-by- #3 all provide returns in excess of the cost of capital
loan basis, but rather on portfolios of loans. The (12%). Therefore, the value-maximizing decision is
results from grouping the loans into portfolios are to accept the first three loans and reject the rest. The
shown in Table 2. only performance measure that is consistent with
Notice that if two loans were accepted, we value maximization is EVA maximization. That is, if
assume that incremental opportunities #1 and #2, the lending unit were evaluated on its EVA, the unit
being the most profitable, would be selected. The would indeed accept the first three loans and reject
resulting portfolio would show $2 million in the last three.
outstandings, have $100,000 in allocated capital, and Traditional performance measures (net income,
$60,000 in expected net income. ROA, ROE, and earnings per share) do not properly
In considering performance measurement, it is reflect risk and therefore reinforce behavior that is
portfolio results, not the profitability of incremental either too aggressive (that is, aims to maximize
transactions, that is the deciding factor. Once again, earnings) or too conservative (aims to prevent
the question is raised: How many loans should the dilution of returns). While the incremental ROE of
lending unit accept? The rational answer to this each individual loan can be used as a clear economic
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JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
Among all of the performance measures, EVA has the strongest correlation
with MVA.
FIGURE 1
CORRELATIONS OF
VARIOUS PERFORMANCE
MEASURES WITH MVA
signal for decision-making as well as the EVA, it is not accurate beacon to all, both on the margin and for
realistic to expect that the incremental ROE for each a portfolio, to guide decision-making and perfor-
loan can be calculated and used for ex post perfor- mance evaluation toward the common goal of
mance measurement. shareholder wealth maximization.
Most important, the portfolio ROE results shown
in Table 2 bear no direct relationship to value Statistical Correlation between EVA and MVA
creation or the cost of capital “hurdle rate.” Notice
that the portfolio ROEs for the various numbers of The case study example suggests that the per-
loans range from a high of 80% down to 26%, all of formance measure that best correlates with share-
which are well above the hurdle rate of 12%. holder wealth maximization is EVA. To test this
Furthermore, it is not possible to know which of the hypothesis, the performance results for the largest
values correlates with value maximization. In par- 100 bank holding companies (as of December 31,
ticular, it appears perverse that a 47% ROE is 1995) were analyzed for the ten-year period 1986
“superior” (in a value creation sense) to the 80% ROE through 1995. The statistical correlations between
of the first loan. MVA and a variety of performance measures were
The conclusion is that no “return” or “ratio” evaluated. The results are summarized in Figure 1
measure can accurately assess shareholder value and Table 3.
creation for a portfolio of activities. Ratios and Among all of the performance measures, EVA
returns indicate only average profitability. The ad- has the strongest correlation with MVA. The results
vantage of EVA is that it is dollar-based. As such, shown here relate to MVA as a dollar measure. An
wealth maximization correlates with EVA maximiza- alternative approach involves regressing changes in
tion. Any negative EVA transaction on the margin the various performance measures against stan-
will lower both the incremental and the overall dardized MVA. The results of this analysis are
portfolio EVAs. It can therefore serve as a clear and summarized in Figure 2 and Table 4.
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VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
FIGURE 2
CORRELATIONS OF
VARIOUS PERFORMANCE
MEASURES WITH CHANGES
IN MVA
In this analysis, the changes in standardized Figure 4 shows the aggregate standardized
MVA were calculated for every five-year interval MVA, standardized EVA, and aggregate ROE for
during 1986 through 1995. These changes were the same group of banks. (The aggregate ROA
regressed against the five-year changes in standard- profile is similar to that shown for ROE.) Here
ized EVA (defined as EVA divided by capital) and the again, there is a much stronger correspondence
other listed performance measures. Once again, EVA between the MVA and EVA lines. As reflected in
provides the strongest correlation with MVA. the ROE measure, the volatility in large bank earn-
This conclusion was also reached in a similar ings due to the large LDC provisions taken in 1987
analysis of the Stern Stewart 1000 sample of industrial is apparent. In 1988, there was a “rebound” as
companies. Therefore, the empirical data strongly provisions were significantly lower. The striking
support the concept that EVA provides the best changes in earnings and ROEs reported in 1987
operational performance measure. and 1988 were virtually ignored by the market-
Figure 3 shows the aggregate MVA, EVA, and place (as judged by the MVA line). This provides
net income for the largest 100 bank holding com- empirical evidence that markets are less concerned
panies from 1986 through 1995. Notice that the about provision levels (and, hence, current earn-
profile for the aggregate MVA correlates better with ings) than other factors that are reflected in EVA.
the EVA pattern than with the net income profile. This point will be discussed further in the next
In particular, the deteriorating trend from 1986 section.
through 1991 is reflected in both the MVA and EVA
lines. Then, from 1991 through 1995, there was a EVA Measurement for Commercial Banks
pattern of significant improvement in both, with
the exception of 1994 when a sharp increase in This section will present the concepts neces-
interest rates depressed the performance of this sary to calculate EVA for consolidated banks. A
group of banks. subsequent section will consider the issues related
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JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
Loan loss provisions tend to “smooth” earnings in a manner that is
counterproductive for economic performance measurement. For internal
performance evaluation, risks should be recognized on a “real time” basis, not on a
subjective, anticipated basis.
FIGURE 3
AGGREGATE MVA, EVA,
AND NET INCOME FOR
THE 100 LARGEST
BANKING COMPANIES,
1986 THROUGH 1995
(BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)
FIGURE 4
AGGREGATE
STANDARDIZED MVA,
STANDARDIZED EVA, AND
ROE FOR THE 100 LARGEST
BANKING COMPANIES,
1986 THROUGH 1995
to undertaking the EVA measurement for lines of Data availability: The data needed to make the
businesses, products, and customer relationships. adjustment should be accessible and available for
To calculate EVA, it is necessary to determine reporting.
NOPAT and the capital charge. NOPAT, or net op- There are four major adjustments that are com-
erating profits after-tax, represents the operational mon in customizing EVA for banks:
profits of the company restated in such a way that 1. Loan loss provision;
conventional accounting profit (“net income”) is 2. Taxes;
adjusted to better reflect the current economics of the 3. Non-recurring events (such as restructuring
business. charges); and
To date, over 160 potential accounting adjust- 4. Securities accounting.
ments have been identified and catalogued.7 For any We discuss each below.
single company, however, it is rare to make more Loan Loss Provision and Loan Loss Reserve.
than 10 adjustments of GAAP accounting. The filter The single largest adjustment for most banks relates
criteria applied to determine the necessary adjust- to the loan loss provision and loan loss reserve. In
ments are as follows: theory, the loan loss reserve should be sufficient to
Materiality: The adjustment should be significant absorb the present value of all future loan losses. In
enough to be material to performance measurement. any single reporting period, net chargeoffs reduce
Effect on behavior: It should drive value increasing the reserve and the loan loss provision replenishes
behavior. It should not cause distortions or promote it. The provision should include any adjustments to
manipulation. the loss estimates for pre-existing loans, as well as an
Ease of understanding: It should be clearly under- estimate of the future loan losses related to newly
stood by management. originated loans.
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VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
While this convention is certainly conservative, and include cash operating taxes. For capital, in-
it distorts performance measurement. In essence, all clude any net deferred tax credits. (Net deferred tax
loan losses must be “pre-funded” out of current debits would reduce the capital accounts.)
earnings. While diligent monitoring of loan loss Non-recurring Events. Non-recurring events
exposures is laudable from a management perspec- must be considered on a case-by-case basis. A com-
tive, the result is that provisions are often “opportu- mon non-recurring event in banking in recent years
nistic”—larger than necessary when the bank has is the restructuring charge. To the extent that such a
strong operating earnings, and smaller when earn- charge represents a disinvestment, the charge should
ings are “under pressure.” That is, provisions tend to not be considered a reduction of operating profits,
“smooth” earnings in a manner that is counterpro- but as an adjustment to capital. Again, this adjust-
ductive for economic performance measurement. In ment should be conducted on an after-tax basis.
reality, economic performance is risky. Risk mani- Securities Accounting. The accounting for in-
fests itself as volatility in economic profits, i.e., vestment securities has been changed such that “avail-
NOPAT. At least for purposes of internal perfor- able for sale” securities are marked-to-market through
mance evaluation, risks should be recognized on a the capital accounts. Such adjustments have little or
“real time” basis, not on a subjective, anticipated no economic meaning if the liabilities funding the
basis. Therefore, a bank’s measure of operating securities are not also marked to market. That is, the
profits, NOPAT, should not include loan loss provi- balance sheet may contain natural hedges through
sions, but instead should contain net chargeoffs as matched-maturity funding that would make such
the current period estimate of losses due to credit adjustments irrelevant, if not misleading. Also, under
risk. (As will be discussed in a later section, the MVA and EVA, it is conventional to treat capital on
volatility patterns associated with risk-taking provide a historic basis, not on a current market basis. The
critical information in allocating capital and estimat- rationale is that it would be impractical to attempt to
ing the cost of capital.) adjust all activities to their current market value. This
Does this adjustment imply that the loan loss would add unwarranted volatility to the EVA calcu-
provision and reserve should be ignored altogether? lation and negate its effectiveness as the basis for risk
No. The loss reserve (on an after-tax basis) repre- assessment or incentive compensation programs.
sents an estimate of the present value of expected Therefore, any adjustments conducted under FAS
future loan losses. As such, it should be viewed as 115 are removed from all EVA calculations.
a component of the economic capital of the com- Securities gains and losses have historically been
pany. Economic capital, or “risk capital” as it will viewed skeptically as an earnings management de-
be described in a subsequent section, is composed vice. From an economic perspective, selling an “un-
of estimates of “expected” and “unexpected” loss der-water” security (i.e., a security with a coupon
exposures. below the current market yield) and using the pro-
The loan loss reserve should not be included in ceeds to replace it with a current market yield secu-
capital on a pre-tax basis. The reason is that the loan rity is a zero-NPV transaction (before taxes). Hence,
loss provision is not an allowable expense for tax securities transactions should not be rewarded or
purposes, and therefore does not shelter the com- penalized. Presumably, they occur as a natural con-
pany from taxes. Therefore, the reserve should be sequence of bank investment, liquidity, and interest
included in capital net of its corresponding deferred rate risk management activities. To remove the ef-
tax debit. fects of gains and losses, such amounts should be
Taxes. Most corporations show characteristic excluded from NOPAT when incurred, but amor-
and persistent differences between their “book tax tized against NOPAT over the remaining lives of the
provisions” and their cash tax payments that give rise securities that were sold. In this way, EVA is unaf-
to deferred tax balances. Banks are no exception. To fected by the decision to hold or sell the security.
the extent that such differences are quasi-permanent The Definition of Capital. Capital for consoli-
for going concerns, deferred taxes should be consid- dated banks can now be summarized from the
ered a permanent funding source, i.e., capital. various adjustments discussed above for NOPAT.
This treatment is quite analogous to the discus- Briefly, capital is composed of:
sion of the loan loss provision and reserve. In Shareholders’ equity, excluding FAS 115 adjustments;
calculating NOPAT, exclude the book tax provision Loan loss reserves (net of deferred tax debits);
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JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
EVA is normally applied as a “top-down” process. This means that all analysis begins
at the highest level of the organization and is “drilled-down” to lower levels only as
warranted by the need and benefit of such additional detail.
Other net deferred tax credits; correct the situation. Management can consider
Non-recurring events, such as restructuring charges such options as:
(after taxes); and, Improving the profitability of the activity through
Unamortized securities gains and losses (after repricing or resetting terms and conditions;
taxes). Growing the activity, perhaps via more aggressive
Notice that whenever an item is removed from pricing, to realize improved economies of scale or
earnings, such as the loan loss provision, it is cost efficiencies; or
included in capital. This ensures that if an item is not Shrinking the activity to redeploy the capital to
considered a component of current operations, it superior opportunities, even if that includes return-
will be capitalized and will be assessed a capital ing the capital to shareholders.
charge. In this way, the net present value of any Moreover, it is possible to discern which aspects
activity is not changed due to whatever final battery of each detailed activity are most important in the
of accounting adjustments is necessary. EVA outcome of the analysis. This type of analysis is
referred to as an “EVA drivers” analysis in that it
THE EVA FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEM identifies the specific aspects and parameters of any
FOR BANKS product or service that are key to realizing a sustain-
able, positive EVA.
The previous discussion has focused on the
application of EVA and MVA to consolidated bank EVA and Profitability Measurement
holding companies. While this is important for an
overall assessment of the economic performance of Such comprehensive profitability measurement
an organization from a shareholder perspective, the may appear to be a daunting undertaking. But that
use of EVA for the financial management of banks need not be the case, especially when three prin-
and other financial institutions requires dealing with ciples are observed:
more detailed levels of risk assessment and profit- The 80/20 Rule is the empirical observation that
ability measurement. This section and those that one can obtain 80% of the information sought by
follow will discuss how EVA can be used to “drill- analyzing the most significant 20% of the data. For
down” to lower levels of the organization to deter- example, it is often observed that about 80% of the
mine the performance characteristics and “EVA profitability dynamics of a portfolio can usually be
drivers” of specific activities. The advantage of such explained by analyzing the largest 20% of all ac-
a “top-down” process is that it can provide manage- counts. For most situations, such a degree of under-
ment and the Board of Directors with valuable standing is more than sufficient.
comparative risk-and-return metrics for each of the EVA is normally applied as a “top-down” process.
major lines of businesses, product lines, and cus- This means that all analysis begins at the highest level
tomer segments within the consolidated company. of the organization and is “drilled-down” to lower
The EVA Financial Management System encom- levels only as warranted by the need and benefit of
passes the calculation and use of EVA for all aspects such additional detail. The major advantages of this
of financial measurement and decision-making at all and the 80/20 Rule are that analyses can be con-
levels of the organization. These activities include, ducted on entire product categories or portfolios
but are not limited to, budgeting, strategic planning, rather than on individual accounts.
product pricing, financial reporting, internal and Line managers should be held accountable only
external communications, and acquisition pricing. It for the risk-types they are allowed and expected to
also entails calculating EVA at various hierarchical manage. For example, lending unit managers are
levels and in various dimensions, including lines of responsible for credit risk and loan pricing, but are
businesses, functional departments, products, cus- not in control of interest rate or liquidity risk
tomer segments, and customer relationships. management. Hence, their EVA should be affected
Such detail allows management to discern which by credit risk dynamics, but should not be subjected
businesses, products, and customer relationships to interest rate movements. This accountability con-
are creating value and which are not. Once under- cept simplifies the EVA analysis of the major line
performing units, products, or relationships are units by limiting the risk dimensions and cost
identified, it is then possible to formulate a plan to allocation types that should be undertaken.
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VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
With these principles, the cost and feasibility of Lending Unit:
EVA profitability analysis become quite tractable.
The major components of EVA profitability $1MM Loan, 1-yr, 7%
measurement are:
Funds Transfer Pricing (FTP) Branch Unit:
Indirect Expense Allocations (or Cost Accounting)
Economic Capital Allocations. $1MM CD, 3-month, 4%
Funds Transfer Pricing. Funds transfer pric-
ing is a procedure that creates a matched-maturity Under FTP, the correct procedure would entail
cost of funds for all loans and investments and an determining the appropriate transfer rates for three-
appropriate matched-maturity earnings credit for month and one-year maturities. Suppose that the
all funding sources, such as deposits and borrow- appropriate transfer rates are:
ings. In this way, the net interest margins calcu- Three-month transfer rate: 5.0%
lated for all line units are only minimally exposed One-year transfer rate: 5.5%
to unexpected shifts in market interest rates or to One then assigns a one-year $1 million transfer
changes in the price of liquidity. Again, line liability at 5.5% to the lending unit with an offsetting
managers should not be held accountable for one-year $1 million transfer asset at 5.5% to the
interest rate risk if they are not empowered or Treasury unit, which acts as a funding “clearing-
expected to manage that risk. house” for the bank. A three-month $1 million
When undertaken, funds transfer pricing is transfer asset at 5.0% is assigned to the branch unit
often conducted at an account level of detail. That is, as an “earnings credit” for the deposit. The offsetting
each loan account is transfer-priced individually, as transfer liability is booked in the Treasury unit. The
is each deposit account. This necessarily involves final books would be:
building extremely large and costly FTP systems. In
the experience of the authors, such detailed and Lending Unit:
costly systems are rarely needed for management
purposes. It is usually more than sufficient to transfer $1MM Loan, 1-year, 7.0% $1MM Trans. Liab.,
price product portfolios using regression techniques 1-year, 5.5%
rather than account-by-account analyses. Such tech-
niques can easily be conducted in spreadsheets on Branch Unit:
a single personal computer, rather than in much
larger “data warehouse”-type systems. In dealing $1MM Trans. Asset, $1MM CD, 3-month, 4.0%
with portfolios rather than accounts, the amount of 3-month, 5.0%
analysis required can be lowered by three to six
orders of magnitude! Treasury Unit:
A proper funds transfer pricing system will
“sweep” all of the balance sheet repricing mis- $1MM Trans. Asset, $1MM Trans. Liab.,
matches into a central “ALCO” (Asset and Liability 1-year, 5.5% 3-month, 5.0%
Committee) or Treasury unit. (The proper approach
to calculating the EVA of the Treasury unit will be Notice that it is only after FTP that the correct net
discussed in a later section.) As an illustration, interest margins for each unit can be determined.
consider a simple bank that has two line units: a The Lending Unit has a matched-maturity margin of
lending unit and a branch unit. The lending unit 1.5%, the Branch Unit shows 1.0%, and the Treasury
makes a single one-year, fixed rate $1 million loan Unit 0.5%. The Treasury Unit’s margin is an appro-
yielding 7%. The branch unit issues a $1 million priate spread determined by the transfer yield curve.
three-month CD costing 4%. The bank in consoli- It represents the consensus margin necessary to
dation has a net interest margin of 3%. How should compensate the Treasury unit for the interest rate
this margin be apportioned between the two line mismatch it “owns.”
units? Of course, the manager of the Treasury unit may
The starting situation may be illustrated using a opt to reduce the mismatch using on- or off-balance-
“T”-account format as follows: sheet hedging strategies. If it were to rid the bank of
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JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
the mismatch completely, it would presumably also Virtually every large financial institution has an
lower the bank’s overall net interest margin from active Treasury unit that engages in these activities
3.0% to 2.5% because it would eliminate the mis- to some extent. It is surprising, then, how little is
match risk by giving up the 0.5% spread. This could understood about the proper criteria to use to assess
be accomplished by borrowing $1 million for one the economic performance of the Treasury unit.
year at 5.5% and investing the proceeds for three It is recommended that three different EVA
months at a yield of 5.0%. calculations be performed:
Indirect Expense Allocations. As with FTP, 1. Unmanaged Mismatch EVA: An EVA calculation
indirect expense allocations can be conducted at a should be conducted on the bank’s inherent mis-
detailed account-level of detail or using portfolio matches before consideration of any of Treasury’s
characteristics. The latter approach not only simpli- transactions. These mismatch positions are the
fies the system and resource requirements, it has the transfer pricing offsets generated by the FTP system
added benefit that it lowers the potential conten- that were developed in the Funds Transfer Pricing
tiousness of the cost allocation process itself. Indeed, section above. Over full interest rate and economic
while portfolio activity statistics such as routine cycles, the unmanaged mismatch EVA will tend to be
transaction counts, special handling counts, credit somewhat negative.
quality ratings, telephone inquiry counts, and so 2. Treasury Unit EVA: This calculation should
forth may provide the basis for “activity-based” include the transfer pricing offsets along with all
allocations, a procedure as simple as an informal other Treasury positions, including investments,
survey form where each support manager allocates borrowings, and off-balance-sheet hedges—but
his or her unit’s time by product type or by line unit excluding any trading activities.
can suffice. 3. Trading Portfolio EVA: This analysis should
In considering the design of a cost allocation isolate all speculative or risk-taking strategies as
process, it is recommended that a product-based set distinguished from more conventional risk-reduc-
of “standard unit costs” be used for analyses in all tion and funding activities.
dimensions. A product-based approach has the The EVA contribution of the Treasury unit is the
considerable advantage that it establishes a practical incremental EVA improvement between the first two
basis for the EVA calculation in all dimensions: calculations. That is, if the Treasury did not exist, the
products, lines of businesses, line units, or customer organization would generally show negative EVA
relationships. To handle situations where transac- due to the natural balance sheet mismatches gener-
tions counts have material effects on account prof- ated in the course of normal business activities.
itability calculations, such as with demand deposit However, due to the Treasury and ALCO activities,
accounts (“DDA”), it is a straightforward matter the negative EVA can usually be substantially re-
either to create several classes of DDA correspond- duced to quite tolerable levels through the Treasury’s
ing to degrees of transaction activity or to assign costs risk reduction and risk management activities. Re-
based in whole or in part on transactions counts at ducing a negative EVA to a value closer to zero can
a portfolio level (as opposed to an account level) for be as valuable to the shareholder as any other
each line unit. wealth-creating activity. Using this approach, the risk
management activities of the Treasury can be prop-
Treasury Unit EVA Calculation erly recognized and rewarded.
It is strongly recommended that the risk reduction
The Treasury unit is normally responsible for activities of the Treasury be evaluated separately from
several major activities: the trading or other risk-taking activities. In the frame-
Management of the investment portfolio; work presented here, this can be accommodated by
Management of incremental short-term funds bor- creating the third Treasury unit to calculate the NOPAT
rowings or placements as a component of liquidity attributable to trading and speculative positions.
management;
Execution of wholesale borrowing, debt and eq- Support Unit EVA Calculation
uity issuances;
Management of interest rate risk mismatches; and Support units such as credit administration,
Trading activities. data processing, operations, and marketing play
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VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
critical roles in facilitating the origination, servic- Economic Capital Allocation: Cash Capital vs.
ing, and risk management priorities of the organi- Risk Capital
zation. Often such units do not have EVAs per se
because, in most organizations, they do not for- While funds transfer pricing and support cost
mally charge market prices for their services. allocations are well-known and fairly widely prac-
(Under cost allocations, they allocate their actual ticed in the industry, the concept of economic capital
or budgeted expenses with no profit margin.) In allocations is another story altogether.
such circumstances, it is common to tie the Due to the extreme influence of the regulatory
incentive compensation of support units either to capital standards since the mid-1980s, far too many
the EVA performance of the consolidated com- bankers default their views on capital allocation to
pany or to the EVA performance of the specific the risk-based capital rules. This is most unfortunate,
line units supported. For example, credit admin- because those standards were never intended for
istration may have its bonuses tied to the EVA of such internal managerial applications.
the lending units in the bank. The first breakthrough—and a critical step to-
However, with the advent of outsourcing of ward an economic approach to capital—was “RAROC”
data processing, operations, internal audit, and as developed by Bankers Trust.8 Recently, the use of
credit administration, market pricing is becom- such “market value at risk” measures has broadened
ing available. Therefore, if the organization considerably—indeed, to the point where they are
wishes, it is possible to create formal market becoming de facto standards in the industry. The
transfer prices for many support activities and to following discussion is consistent with these con-
calculate support unit EVAs as if they were stand- cepts in principle, but the “top-down” framework we
alone “profit centers.” propose is considerably easier to implement than the
bottom-up approach now used by many banks.
EVA and Overhead Cost Allocations For financial institutions, the role of capital can
be viewed as providing a reasonable margin of loss
The issue of overhead allocation revolves absorption capacity to meet business uncertainties
around the issue of whether line unit EVAs will be and contingencies. This viewpoint leads to a funda-
calculated on a “fully burdened” basis or not. mentally different perspective on capital for financial
Those that argue in favor of such allocations versus industrial companies. Industrial companies
observe that overhead and other fixed costs must deploy capital in real assets that can be tallied
be covered and that to ignore such costs leads to without severe difficulties. Financial institutions le-
overstated line unit EVAs. Those who argue verage their invested capital with financial risks that
against allocated overhead assert that line units can overwhelm the specific amount of capital histori-
have no management control or accountability for cally invested in the company.
corporate overhead; hence, they should not be The potential discrepancy between the capital
burdened with it. The accountability principle on hand and the amount of capital at risk is crucial
described above is consistent with this latter to the proper calculation of EVA with any financial
perspective. institution. “Cash capital” refers to the historic amount
Whether or not overhead expenses are allo- of capital invested in the business and available to
cated, there should be no instance in which a cost absorb losses. This is the classic amount of capital
overrun in an overhead unit keeps a line unit from that is normally associated with EVA calculations for
achieving its EVA goal. To prevent such a circum- industrial companies. “Risk capital” is a probabilistic
stance, it is a simple matter to allocate budgeted concept that refers to the amount of market value that
overhead expenses, and not actual overhead can be lost with an adverse event that is often
expenses. In this way, overhead departments quantified as two- to three-standard deviations of
cannot cause adverse budget variances in line market value volatility.9 These two concepts can
units. differ substantially.
8. See in this issue “RAROC at Bank of America: From Theory to Practice.” of Applied Corporate Finance, Vol 6, No. 3 (Fall 1993). Our method of calculating
9. The concepts of cash capital and risk capital are formulated by Robert risk capital differs somewhat from that of Merton and Perold.
Merton and Andre Perold, in “Theory of Risk Capital in Financial Firms,” Journal
106
JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
The volatility characteristics of a NOPAT time series will reflect all of the business
risks of any line of business, product, or customer relationship. The significant
advantage of using NOPAT volatility is that it allows EVA analysis at any these levels
in a way that captures the volatility effects from all sources of risk (credit, interest
rates, liquidity, or operations).
Consider, for example, the purchase of $100 To use NOPAT volatility to estimate risk capital,
million of 90-day Treasury bills. The “cash capital” the standard deviation of NOPAT is capitalized to
amount would correspond to the full $100 million. create a proxy for market value volatility. There are
However, the amount of “risk capital” from an several questions that need to be addressed:
economic perspective would be close to zero dol- How many standard deviations of market value
lars, regardless of one’s definition of “risk.” This is an volatility should be used?
example where cash capital far exceeds risk capital. Do all risk types require the same number of
Conversely, consider an indexed, amortizing standard deviations for equivalent risk coverage?
interest rate swap with a 5-year term and notional Over how long a time period should the standard
principal of $100 million. The amount of conven- deviation be measured?
tional cash capital deployed may well be $0, since in How should business cycle effects be incorporated
many instances no cash is exchanged at the outset in the calculation?
of such transactions. However, many millions of Can historic volatilities be used as estimates of
dollars of capital have been put at risk. In this case, current risk capital?
risk capital far exceeds cash capital. Which units should receive the benefit of risk
For financial institutions, it is imperative to diversification?
analyze both cash capital and risk capital. For How is the amount of risk capital reconciled to
internal profitability measurement, risk capital should regulatory and rating agency capital standards?
be the operative concept to establish a proper capital These questions will be discussed in sequence.
charge to calculate EVA. Number of Standard Deviations. Usually, from
two to three standard deviations of market value
Capital Allocation Methodologies volatility are used as the capital allocation. For a
normal distribution, the following percentage cover-
To calculate EVA in all profitability dimensions, age of risk is implied for various numbers of standard
it is essential that a robust economic capital alloca- deviations:
tion methodology be adopted. There are four meth-
ods that can be used: Number of Std Dev % Coverage of Risk
1. Peer benchmarking 1.00 84.1%
2. Market value volatility 2.00 97.7%
3. Option pricing theory 2.33 99.0%
4. NOPAT volatility 2.58 99.5%
For EVA calculations related to lines of busi- 3.00 99.9%
nesses, any of the four are potentially applicable.
However, for product EVA or customer relationship Standard Deviations by Risk Type. In practice,
EVA calculations, NOPAT volatility provides the risk distributions tend to show more skewness than
most straightforward and intuitive approach. normal distributions. Empirically, it has been found
Choosing NOPAT volatility as a surrogate for that three standard deviations are usually adequate
market value volatility may seem surprising at first to cover about 99% of any risk distribution.
glace. However, the volatility characteristics of a Length of Time Frame and Business Cycles.
NOPAT time series will reflect all of the business risks The next two questions are related. That is, should
of any line of business, product or customer relation- a time period long enough to cover a full economic
ship. The significant advantage of using NOPAT cycle be used, or is it better to focus on a shorter time
volatility is that it allows EVA analysis in any dimen- frame? Full economic cycles can run from four to
sion (units, products, or customers) in a way that seven years. The problems with using a full cycle are
captures the volatility effects from all sources of risk as follows:
(credit, interest rates, liquidity, or operations). Fi- A capital allocation based on full business cycle
nally, it quantifies the effects of business risk diver- periods will have the effect of “averaging out” the
sification when the volatility characteristics at the risk parameters. Relying on shorter time periods has
consolidated level are compared to the volatilities of the advantage that structural shifts and unprec-
the individual lines of businesses, product types, or edented risk episodes will be quickly reflected in the
customer segments. capital allocation.
107
VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
A longer-term capital allocation based on full cussed in the “risk management” section below, an
business cycles will be “sticky” in that efforts to lower alternative is to incorporate the effects of risk diver-
business volatility will not be reflected in signifi- sification in the cost of capital calculation, rather
cantly lower capital allocations for several years. than the amount of capital allocated. Alternatively,
Shorter-term allocations will be more responsive to diversification effects may be shared among all
current trends in business risks, both rising and units by multiplying all capital allocations by a
falling. This issue can be very important in situations constant adjustment factor.
where a unit experiences a “blow up” that results in Reconciliation of Cash Capital and Risk Capi-
significant improvements in risk assessments and tal. Usually, the economic allocation of risk capi-
controls. Using a five-year or longer volatility period tal results in levels of capital quite a bit lower than
would imply that management will be burdened actually exist in the consolidated company. This
with the effects of the old volatility for many years should not be surprising, as bank capital levels
before it can realize the benefit of its improved are subject to regulatory and rating agency stan-
standards through a lower capital allocation. dards that tend to be higher than needed to
We recommend using shorter-term time frames, support the company on an economic basis. How
but a large enough number of standard deviations to should the amounts of cash capital and risk
compensate for adverse business cycle movements. capital be reconciled?
It is not unusual to use from 18 to 36 months of A simple procedure is to proportionately gross
volatility. up the allocated risk capital values by a standard
Historic vs. Forecasted Volatilities. For most multiplicative factor to achieve a desired “target
core operating activities, such as lending, deposit- capital” level that in management’s opinion is suffi-
gathering, and fee-based services, historic volatilities cient to meet regulatory and rating agency standards.
are often quite reliable. However, historic volatilities Furthermore, a contingency amount of capital may
cannot be expected to be accurate for the Treasury be retained for discretionary activities at the parent
unit regarding interest rate risk. There are two company level. Any cash capital in excess of such
reasons: “target” and “discretionary” amounts would be avail-
The Treasury unit can quickly and radically alter its able for distribution to shareholders through share
net mismatch positions. In some cases, it may need repurchases or dividends. In calculating line of
to shift from a net long (liability sensitive) to a net business EVA, it is only the target capital amounts
short (asset sensitive) posture within a month. Such that are allocated to the line units. Any discretionary
rapid changes in risk profile may not be reflected or excess capital would be unallocated and held at
properly in a historic volatility analysis. the parent level.
If the historic time period being analyzed happens
not to have experienced significant yield curve EVA and Top-Down Risk Management
volatility, then the capital allocation will be artificially
low, regardless of the size of the balance sheet To assess the economic performance of any set
mismatches. of financial transactions, it is necessary to analyze
For both reasons, it is essential that interest rate three parameters: (1) returns, (2) volatilities of re-
risk be assessed on a “going forward” basis. To do turns, and (3) the correlation of returns with the
this, the theoretical market value change associated market. The EVA Financial Management System
with a hypothetical three-standard deviation rate described here formally recognizes these parameters
shift should be determined for the Treasury unit and as follows:
for the “unmanaged mismatch” book.
Business Risk Diversification. Diversification Returns Volatilities Correlations
effects can be extremely difficult to attribute unam-
biguously. One attempt would be to measure the Measure: NOPAT Standard Deviation Covariances
incremental volatility effect of each line unit rela-
tive to the consolidation of all remaining units. EVA elements: NOPAT Risk Capital Cost of Capital
Unfortunately, the results can be nonsensical and
can change significantly from time to time due to EVA equation:
subtle changes in circumstances. As will be dis- EVA= NOPAT – (Risk Capital * Cost of Capital)
108
JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
The best performance measurement framework will have little behavioral effect on
an organization if the company is unwilling to establish clear incentive
compensation programs focused on the measure.
is Senior Vice President of Stern Stewart & Co., in charge of Stern are Vice Presidents of Stern Stewart & Co.
Stewart’s bank advisory service. He was formerly CFO of Silicon
Valley Bank in Santa Clara, California.
109
VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
APPENDIX I BANKS RANKED BY 1995 MARKET VALUE ADDED
110
JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
APPENDIX I (Continued)
111
VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
APPENDIX II BANKS RANKED BY 1995 MVA AS A PERCENTAGE OF CAPITAL
MVA as % EVA as %
of Cap Rank of Cap Rank 1995 MVA 1995 EVA Return On Cost Of
Asset as % of as % of Capital Capital
Name Rank 95 94 90 95 94 90 Capital Capital % %
112
JOURNAL OF APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE
APPENDIX II (Continued)
MVA as % EVA as %
of Cap Rank of Cap Rank 1995 MVA 1995 EVA Return On Cost Of
Asset as % of as % of Capital Capital
Name Rank 95 94 90 95 94 90 Capital Capital % %
113
VOLUME 9 NUMBER 2 SUMMER 1996
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