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Introduction To Retail: Smitu Malhotra
Introduction To Retail: Smitu Malhotra
SMITU MALHOTRA
1
WHAT IS RETAIL?
2
FUNCTIONS
• BULK BREAKING
• ASSORTMENT
• AFTER SALES SERVICE
• INFORMATION FLOW TO THE CO.
• AND NOW
• EXPERIENCE
• CONVENIENCE
3
THE MARKETING – RETAIL
EQUATION
Wholesaler
Retailer
Retailer
Feedback
4
THE RISE OF THE RETAILER -THE POWER
SHIFT
5
Source : https://www.statista.com/chart/22016/top-10-global-retailers/
Top Global Retailers by FY2020 Growth
Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/consumer-business/articles/global-powers-of-retailing.html
Source: https://www.marketingcharts.com/charts/the-10-most-valuable-global-retail-brands-in-2020/attachment/brandz-
most-valuable-global-retail-brands-may2020
Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/consumer-business/articles/global-powers-of-retailing.html
Impact of COVID-19 on leading global retailers
Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/consumer-business/articles/global-powers-of-retailing.html
I M PA C T O F C O V I D -19 O N LEA D I N G G LO BA L
R ETA I LER S
In the United Kingdom, the proportion of retail sales spent online soared to 35.2% in January 2021, up from
19.5% in January 2020.”
“In France, the online share of retail reached 13.4% in 2020, up from 9.8% in 2019. Sales of products were
up by 32%, while sales of services were down by 10%.”
“In Germany, online grocery sales grew by almost 90% in the second half of 2020, compared to the same
period in 2019.”
“In the United States, online share of retail increased from 11.8% in the first quarter of 2020 to 16.1% in the
second quarter of 2020.”
“In China, the online share of retail rose to 24.6% in August 2020, up from 19.4% in August 2019.”
“In Thailand, downloads of shopping apps jumped by 60% in a single month in March 2020.”
“In Latin America, online marketplace Mercado Libre saw deliveries per day more than double for the
second quarter of 2020 compared to 2019.”
“In Argentina, the online share of retail jumped from 18% to 49% in the first half of 2020.”
Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/consumer-business/articles/global-powers-of-retailing.html
Source: https://www.smartinsights.com/digital-marketing-strategy/online-retail-sales-growth
Source: https://www.smartinsights.com/digital-marketing-strategy/online-retail-sales-growth/
INDIA - THE TOP RETAIL DESTINATION
• The retail market in India has undergone a major transformation and has witnessed tremendous
growth in the last 10 years.
• The overall retail market is set to cross the $1.75 tn mark by 2026 from $795 bn in 2017.
• India’s e-commerce retail market which stood at $30 bn in 2019 is also set to grow at a CAGR
of 30% for gross merchandise value to be worth $200 bn by 2026.
• The Indian e-commerce sector is expected to grow at a 27% CAGR over 2019-24 and is
expected to reach $99 bn by 2024
• Direct-to-Consumer segment could have a $100 billion addressable market by 2025.
• The number of households carrying out online transactions in India is estimated to grow from
154 mn in 2020 to 233 mn in 2025
• India ranked No. 2 in Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) in 2019.
• Retail is India's largest industry, currently accounting for over 10% of the country's GDP and
8% of total employment.
Recent policy changes allow 100% FDI under the automatic route for single-brand retail trading.
Source: https://www.investindia.gov.in/sector/retail-e-commerce
India - The Top Retail
Destination
Source: https://static.investindia.gov.in/s3fs-public/202006/Retail%20Sector%20Brochure_0.pdf
India - The Top Retail Destination
Source: https://www.ibef.org/industry/retail-india.aspx
India - The Top Retail Destination
Source: https://www.aidio.in/yoy-retail-market-challenges-in-india-2020/#page-content
India - The Top Retail Destination
Source: https://www.aidio.in/yoy-retail-market-challenges-in-india-2020/#page-content
E-commerce Industry in India
Source :https://www.ibef.org/industry/ecommerce/infographic
E-commerce Industry in India
Source: https://www.ibef.org/industry/ecommerce/infographic
Source: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/info-tech/pandemic-tailwinds-push-e-commerce-growth-estimate-
to-40-in-2020/article32620816.ece
Source: https://www.proschoolonline.com/blog/top-5-reasons-why-india-is-a-hot-e-commerce-destination
POTENTIAL UNTAPPED MARKET
15 Mn outlets in India, 96% of which are smaller than 500 sq ft
100% 10%
20% 20%
30%
80% 40% 36%
55%
60% 81%
85%
40%
20%
0%
US Taiwan Malaysia Thailand Brazil Indonesia Poland China India
25
TOP 10 RETAILERS -- FORTUNE 500 list 2013
Wal-Mart
1 Stores 469,162 5 16,999 8.3
40 CVS Caremark 123,133 14.3 3,877 12
59 Carrefour 105,996 -12.9 1,585 207.2
63 Tesco 104,425 0.6 197 -95.6
Costco
67 Wholesale 99,137 11.5 1,709 16.9
72 Kroger 96,751 7.1 1,497 148.6
87 Metro 85,768 -7.5 4 -99.6
106 Home Depot 74,754 6.2 4,535 16.8
113 Target 73,301 4.9 2,999 2.4
120 Walgreen 71,633 -0.8 2,127 -21.6
27
Source: https://www.patentlyapple.com/patently-apple/2019/05/the-2018-fortune-500-list-published-today-ranks-apple-3.html
Here’s the top 10 with projected global retail sales for 2019:
https://www.producebluebook.com/2019/06/01/kantars-top-50-world-retailers-for-2019/
Geograp
hic
Analysis
Source: https://www.thebalancesmb.com/worlds-largest-us-retail-chains-2892856
•Seven U.S. retail chains have
been included in the list’s top
10 with four of the them
leading in the top four
rankings.
Source: https://www.thebalancesmb.com/worlds-largest-us-retail-chains-2892856
31
Source: https://wearesocial.com/blog/2020/01/digital-2020-3-8-billion-people-use-social-media
RETAILING-TWO CAREER
PATHS
32
A TYPIC AL RETAIL BUSINESS:
FUNCTIONS, MERCHANDISE
FLOW AND STAKEHOLDERS
Store Manager
Buyer Zonal /
Vendors Regional
Warehouses
Retail
Stores
Vendors Company DCs
Zonal /
Regional
Warehouses
Vendors Merchandiser
Retail
Stores
The movement of merchandise across the channel
Is regarded as the supply chain.
MAIN RESOURCES AT THE DISPOSAL OF
THE RETAILER ?
• SPACE
• INVENTORY
• PEOPLE
2
Strategic Management Tasks
Performed in a Retail Firm
Merchandise Management Tasks
Performed in a Retail Firm
Store Management Tasks
Performed in a Retail Firm
Recruit Motivate
Prevent Shrinkage Maintain Facilities
Food Type of
Retailers Retailing Ownership
General
Merchandize Non-Store
Retailers Retailers
FOOD RETAILERS – CLASSIFIC ATION
Supercentres
Supermarkets A C Hypermarkets
FOOD
RETAILERS
Convenience E D Warehouse
Stores Clubs
FOOD RETAILERS
SUPERMARKETS
• Self Service Food Store
• 70-80% of sales comes from Food Products
• 20000-30000 sq ft Size
• Limited assortment Supermarkets: Stock lesser number
of SKU’s than conventional supermarket; Limited variety and
assortment of brands
• Example: Food Bazaar
FOOD RETAILERS
SUPERCENTRES
• Combines a supermarket and a full line discount store
• Broad Assortment
• One stop shopping experience
• Usually outside the city, customers have to travel distances
• 150000-220000 sq ft in size
FOOD RETAILERS
HYPERMARKETS
• Combination of Food (60-70%) and General Merchandize
stores (30-40%)
• Carry larger proportion of food items than supercentres with
high emphasis on Perishables
• Stock fewer SKU’s than supercentres
• 100000-300000 sq ft in size
• Example: Big Bazaar
FOOD RETAILERS
WAREHOUSE CLUBS
• Offers a limited and irregular assortment of food and general
merchandize
• Low Prices for the small Businesses
• Equivalent to Wholesalers in India
• 100000-150000 sq ft in Size
FOOD RETAILERS
CONVINIENCE STORES
• Convenient Location near residential areas
• Limited variety and assortment
• Easy access, storefront parking, quick in and out access are key
benefits
• Open for long hours, seven days a week
• Modern version of conventional mom and pop stores
• Example: In & Out
GENERAL MERCHANDIZE RETAILERS
DEPARTMENT STORES
• Broad Variety and Deep Assortment
• Offer Customer Services
• Not very convenient as usually located inside large malls and
not the local neighborhood
• Example: Shoppers Stop
SPECIALITY STORES
• Offer a limited number of complimentary merchandize
categories
• Focus towards very specific market segment
• Offer deep but narrow assortment
• Example: Archies Gallery, Planet M
DRUGSTORES
• Concentrate on Health and Personal Grooming merchandize
• Pharmaceuticals represent over 50% of sales
• Highly fragmented market in India
• Example: 98.4, Apollo Pharmacies
GENERAL MERCHANDIZE RETAILERS
CATEGORY SPECIALISTS
• Discount Stores with narrow but deep assortment of
merchandize
• Also known as “category killers” for offering very low prices in
the category they operate in
FACTORY OUTLETS
• Sell Branded Merchandize at discounted price
• Located away from conventional shopping places
NON STORE RETAILERS
CHANNEL MODE OF COMMUNICATION FEATURES
Electronic Dramatically changed the traditional
Internet
retailing
Catalog Catalog General and specialty catalog retailers
Successful with rural customers who
Direct Mail
Letters and Brochures lacked access to retail stores. Compete
with CRM
Direct selling
Salespeople Party plan system , Multi level network
Logistics Suppliers
Service Price
Knowledge People Value
Climate Quality
Est theory for Retail Success
•The Est theory derives from the word best, and it
essentially says that a retailer must be best at one
proposition that’s important to a specific group of
customers
•Retailers must strive for a specific positioning to a
specific set of customers rather than attempting to
be great at everything to everybody
Customer Location
Service
Communication Pricing
Mix
11
Wal-Mart’s Retail Mix
Location Strategy
Free-standing Stores
Customer
Service
Communication
Mix Pricing
12
Wal-Mart’s Retail Mix
Assortment Strategy
Customer
Service Location
Large Number
Store Design
and Display
of Categories
Few Items
Communication
Mix Pricing
in Each Category
13
Wal-Mart’s Retail Mix
Location
Pricing Strategy
Customer
Merchandise
Service
Assortment
Store Design
and Display
Communication
Mix Low, EDLP
14
Wal-Mart’s Retail Mix
Customer
Service Location
Communication Mix
Store Design Merchandise
and Display Assortment
Pricing
TV and Newspaper
Insert Ads
15
Wal-Mart’s Retail Mix
Customer
Service Location
Basic, Special
Merchandise
Displays Assortments
for Products
Communication
Mix Pricing
16
Wal-Mart’s Retail Mix
Customer Service
Limited
Location
Merchandise
Assortment
Store Design
and Display Pricing
Communication
Mix
17
CONSUMER DECISION
MAKING
Why People Go Shopping?
Personal motives
Role playing
Diversion
Self gratification
Learning about new trends
Physical activity
Sensory stimulation
2
Why People Go Shopping?
Social motives
Social experience
Communication with others
Peer group attraction
Status and authority
Pleasure of bargaining
3
SHOPPER
THE NEW CONSUMER
Constantly connected
More Free time
Higher Level Skills
Experience focused
FUNNEL TO
FISH
UNBUNDLING
DECOUPLING
DIGITAL DECOUPLING
PURCHASE COSTS
USAGE COSTS
SEARCH COSTS
SUBSCRIPTION SERVICES
PEER TO PEER
AMAZONS PRICE APP SHARING
Hema
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEbYNJZ9iJ4&list=RDCMUC9awv94A7Wz
WuTUP2frSuDA&index=1
New retail – hema example – 11.11
reality
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H9p5jaiOxD8&list=RDCMUC9awv94A7Wz
WuTUP2frSuDA&index=3
Retail Mix
Customer Location
Service
Communication Pricing
Mix
1
Retail Mix
Location Strategy
Customer
Service
Communication
Mix Pricing
2
LOCATION ANALYSIS
SMITU MALHOTRA
3
Why is Store Location Important for a Retailer?
4
location research – why ?
SALES POTENTIAL OF A STORE
5
ERGO ------ USEFUL WHEN ??
• FIRM SEEKS TO EXPAND /IMPROVE MARKET
• PROPOSES TO OPEN STORES IN NEW AREAS
• CONSIDERS AN ACQUISITION
6
Issues in Location Planning
• Rollout / extension (increase in floor space)
• Relocation (combining two nearby stores or moving to a better
location)
7
WHAT INFLUENCES LOCATION
DECISIONS?
CONSUMER BEHAVIOR
DENSITY OF TG
UNIQUENESS OF RETAIL OFFERING
COMPETITION
COSTS OF OPERATION
8
Effect of Competition
Why do retailers cluster around together?
Hotelling’s rule
9
Geographic Planning -----Central
Place Theory
10
Shopping Behavior of Consumers
in Retailer’s Target Market
Consumer Shopping Situations
Convenience shopping
Comparison shopping
Specialty shopping
11
Convenience Shopping
Minimize the
customer’s effort to
get the product or
service by locating
12
Comparison Shopping
14
What kinds of locations are
available to the retailer ?
FREE STANDING
CITY
BUSINESS DISTRICT – CP IN DELHI
MAIN STREET / HIGH STREET - JANPATH
MALLS AND SHOPPING CENTERS
OUTLET MALLS
SPECIALIZED
AIRPORTS
15
FOUR LEVELS OF LOCATION
DECISIONS
What region of the country?
What city or community?
What area of the city?
What specific site?
16
Location – 2
FOUR LEVELS OF LOCATION
DECISIONS
What region of the country?
What city or community?
What area of the city?
What specific site?
2
Three Levels of Analysis
3
Global Retail Development Index
Source AT Kearney
Source: https://www.co.kearney.com/global-retail-development-index/2019
1. What region of the country?
Consider:
Tax variables
Type of market coverage
1. Regional Dominance
2. Saturation
3. Smaller communities
6
2.What City?
Must consider:
7
Economic Regulation
Characteristics Characteristics
• Number and type of • Taxes
industries • Licensing
• Dominant industries • Zoning restrictions
• Growth projections • Local ordinances
• Financial Base
2. What City?
Must consider:
Population Competitive
Characteristics Characteristics
• Total size of trading • Saturation level
area • Number and size of
• Age and income competitors
distribution • Geographic coverage
• Growth trends
• Competitive growth
• Education levels trends
• Occupation distribution
and trends
8
What City?
Must consider:
Location Supply
9
Characteristics Characteristics
• Number and type of • Delivery time
locations
• Delivery costs
• Costs
• Availability and
• Accessibility to customers
reliability
• Accessibility to
transportation • Storage facilities
• Owning/leasing options
• Utility Adequacy
What City?
Must consider:
Promotion
10
Labor Characteristics
Characteristics
• Availability of
• Type of media
Management
coverage
Clerical
• Media overlap
Skilled
• Wage levels • Costs
• Unions
• Training
Indices for Assessing Sales Potential
11
Cluster/Town Finalization
12
MPV – List of Top Towns
All India
Grade MPV Popn.'000 MPV Per cap
Rank
17
SIZE OF THE TRADE AREA
DEPENDS UPON
NATURAL AND PHYSICAL BOUNDARIES
TYPE OF STORE – DESTINATION OR PARASITE
COMPETITION
18
Oblong Trade Area Caused by
Major Highways and Natural
Boundaries
19
TRADING AREA ANALYSIS
HOW DOES IT HELP THE RETAILER?
ESTIMATE THE NO. OF POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS
LIFESTYLE OF CONSUMERS
COMMUNICATION STRATEGIES THAT CAN BE ADOPTED
NO. OF STORES THAT CAN BE LOCATED
CANNABALISATION ISSUES
20
The Trading Areas of Current and
Proposed Outlets
21
QUANTIFYING THE TRADING AREA
OBSERVATIONAL METHODS
NATURAL CATCHMENT BOUNDARIES LIKE RIVERS , MOTORWAYS,
RAILWAY TRACKS ETC
CUSTOMER SPOTTING
GIS
22
CUSTOMER SPOTTING
23
GIS Software
population demographics
data on customer purchases
listings
of current, proposed, and
competitor locations
24
GIS Components
25
GIS Software in Action
26
Analysis of competition in catchment area
Number of Players
By size
Pricing
Assortment & Range
Promotions – quality and range and frequency
Facilities available at stores
Location of competitor store
Competitor USP
Index of Retail Saturation
Understored
Overstored
Saturated
Ci * REi
IRSi =
RFi
Where
IRSi = Index of retail saturation for area i (where i is the local market)
Ci = number of customers in area i for the product service catgory
REi = retail expenditures per customer in area i for product/service category
RFi = total retail square footage in area i allocated to the product / service category
Question
Parameter 1 2 3
Number of Customers buying 60000 30000 10000
Daily
Average annual purchases per 60 75 100
customer
Total sq. ft including the current 20000 15000 75000
store
Compare the breakeven sales of the company with the IRS. Choose the
site with IRS>Breakeven sales.
IMPORTANT: INCLUDE THE STORE IN QUESTION IN THE CALCULATIONS
OR ELSE, THERE WILL BE DISTORTIONS.
Analog Model
Regression Model
Huff’s Model/
Gravity Model
Reilly’s Law
33
The Analog Approach
3 Steps:
34
1. Current trade area is determined by using the
customer spotting technique.
35
the customer spotting technique
• Primary, secondary, and tertiary zones are
determined by plotting customers on a map
• Select appropriate measures of performance,
such as per capita sales or market share
• Select a set of variables that may be useful in
predicting performance
• Solve the regression equation and use it to
project performance for future sites
Illustration of Regression Approach
36
WHERE WOULD YOU LOCATE YOUR
STORE ?
37
REILLY’S LAW OF RETAIL GRAVITATION
38
Reilly’s Law of Gravitation
d
Dab =
Pb
1+
Pa
41
Huff’s Law/Gravity Model
42
Huff’s Model Formula
S j Tij b
Pij n
43
S j Tij b
j 1
Where
Pij Probabilit y of a customer at a given point of origin i traveling to a
particular shopping center j
S j Size of shopping center j
44
University and Shopping Centers:
EXISTING STORE
PROPOSED
EXISTING STORE
45
Huff’s Model: The Solution
Pij = 1000 32
(1000 32) + (500 52) + (100 12)
Probability = .48
Repeat steps 1 to 3 for the remaining areas and then sum them.
46
What specific site?
47
Location/ Site Evaluation Checklist
48
Business Viability in location finalization
TRADE AREA EVALUATION AND FEASIBILITY for a 3000 sft store
The Break Even requires RGM/SFT Of Min Rs 150/ at a Sale/Sft of Rs 789 at 19% GM.
51
11/08/20 0
Merchandising
Significance
What is the hallmark of a successful retail operation?
Introduction Quality,
Price,
And
Selection
The goal of merchandising
Consumer
Suppliers s
STORE
Suppliers BUYERS MERCHANDISERS Consumer
MANAGEMENT
s
Suppliers
Retail Objective Consumer
~ Positioning 11/08/20 7
s
ANALYSIS
PLANNING
ACQUISITION
IN DETAIL IT HANDLING/STOCK MANAGEMENT
MEANS - CONTROL
11/08/20 8
ANALYSIS – identification of customers and their needs
PLANNING – as merchandise is purchased 6-12 months
before
ACQUISITION – bought from wholesalers/vendors
HANDLING/STOCK MANAGEMENT – where is it needed
IN DETAIL IT
and in proper shape
MEANS - CONTROL – of large money inventory to ensure financial
return
11/08/20 9
Merchandising decisions in retail is equivalent to the
product line decisions in marketing
11/08/20 10
Product Line & Product Mix
• Product Mix
Product Product Product
Line 1 Line 2 Line 3
Merchandise strategy
Variety + assortment
Low High
11/08/20 13
assortment
The heart of merchandising is
balancing variety, assortment and depth
11/08/20 17
Advantages Disadvantages
Broad Market Low Variety Within
High Level of Customer Produce Lines
Traffic Some Disappointed
Emphasis on Customers
Convenience Customers Weak Image
Less Costly Than Wide Many Items with Low
and Deep Turnover
One-Stop Shopping Reduced Customer
Loyalty
11/08/20 18
Advantages Disadvantages
Special Image Too Much Emphasis on
Good Customer Choice One Category
in Category(ies) No One-Stop Shopping
Specialized Personnel More Susceptible to
Customer Loyalty Trends/Cycles
Greater Effort Needed
No Disappointed
Customers to Enlarge the Size of
the Trading Area
Less Costly Than Wide
Little (no) Scrambled
and Deep
Merchandising
11/08/20 19
Advantages Disadvantages
Aimed at Convenience Little Width and Depth
Customers No One-Stop Shopping
Least Costly Some Disappointed
High Turnover of Items Customers
Weak Image
Limited Customer
Loyalty
Small Trading Area
Little (no) Scrambled
Merchandising
11/08/20 20
Manufacturer (National)
Private Label (Dealer)
11/08/20 21
Buying Organization Formats & Processes
11/08/20 22
Formal
Level of Formality
Informal
Centralized
Degree of Centralization
Decentralized
General
Breadth
Specialized
Internal
Source of Personnel External
Resident Buying Office
Cooperative Buying
Merchandising
Philosophy
Buying
Staffing Buyer
11/08/20 23
Sales Manager
Merchandise Heirarchy
Company TESCO India
Conditioner &
Product Group Shampoo Colorants
Oil & Gels
11/08/20 25
MERCHANDISING II
Smitu Malhotra
MERCHANDISE PLANNING PROCESS
• FORECASTING SALES
• DEVELOP AN ASSORTMENT PLAN
• DETERMINE APPROPRIATE INVENTORY LEVELS
• DEVELOPING A CONTROL SYSTEM FOR MANAGING INVENTORY
• ALLOCATE MERCHANDISE TO STORES
• BUY MERCHANDISE
• MONITOR AND EVALUATE PERFORMANCE
FORECAST CATEGORY SALES
TYPES
Staple Merchandise Fashion Merchandise
Predictable Demand Unpredictable Demand
History of Past Sales Limited Sales History
Relatively Accurate Forecasts Difficult to Forecast Sales
TYPES OF MERCHANDISE
• Staple merchandise
• Assortment merchandise
• Fashion merchandise
• Seasonal merchandise
• Fad merchandise
STAPLE MERCHANDISE
• Apparel, furniture, auto, and other products for which the retailer must carry
a variety of products in order to give customers a proper selection
• Decisions on Assortment
• Product lines, styles, designs, and colors are projected
• Model stock plan
FASHION AND SEASONAL
MERCHANDISE
• Fashion Merchandise: Products that may have cyclical sales due to changing
tastes and life-styles
• Seasonal Merchandise: Products that sell well over nonconsecutive time
periods
FORECAST CATEGORY SALES
• HISTORICAL SALES
• ADJUSTMENTS FOR CONTROLLABLE FACTORS
FORECAST CATEGORY SALES
Month Actual Sales Monthly Sales Index Monthly Sales Forecast 2017
2016 ($)
January 46,800 67 73,423 * .67 = 49,193
February 40,864 58 73,423 * .58 = 42,585
March 48,000 69 73,423 * .69 = 50,662
April 6,600 94 73,423 * .94 = 69,018
May 112,196 160 73,423 * 1.60 = 117,477
June 103,800 148 73,423 * 1.48 = 108,666
July 104,560 149 73,423 * 1.49 = 109,400
August 62,800 90 73,423 * .90 = 66,081
September 46,904 67 73,423 * .67 = 49,193
October 46,800 67 73,423 * .67 = 49,193
November 66,884 96 73,423 * .96 = 70,486
December 94,792 135 73,423 * 1.35 = 99,121
Total Sales 840,000 Total sales forecast 881,080
Average monthly sales 70,000 Average monthly forecast 73,423
ASSORTMENT PLANNING
ASSORTMENT PLAN
16
Assortment Plan for Girls’ Jeans
Styles T R A D I T I O N A L
Price levels $20 $20 $35 $35 $45 $45
Fabric Reg denim Stone- Reg denim Stone- Reg denim Stone-
composition washed washed washed
Colors Light blue Light blue Light blue Light blue Light blue Light blue
B O O T C U T
Price levels $25 $25 $40 $40
Fabric Reg denim Stone- Reg denim Stone-
composition washed washed
Colors Light blue Light blue Light blue Light blue
Indigo Indigo Indigo Indigo
Black Black Black Black
17
Model stock plan –
Size Distribution for Traditional $20
Denim Jeans in Light Blue for a Large Store
Length/SIZE
1 2 4 5 6 8 10 12 14
Short 2 4 7 6 8 5 7 4 2 %
9 17 30 26 34 21 30 17 9 units
Medium 2 4 7 5 8 4 6 3 2 %
9 17 30 21 34 17 26 12 9 units
Long 0 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 0 %
0 9 9 9 12 9 9 4 0 units
Total 100%
429 units
• An assortment plan indicates that a buyer can purchase 1,000 units
of fashion wristwatches.The buyer must choose between buying 20
styles of 50 units each or 5 styles of 200 units each. In terms of the
store’s philosophy toward risk and space utilization, how does the
buyer make this decision?
• The buyer must understand the corporate philosophy
toward risk and space. If the philosophy is to take less risk
and/or if there is plenty of space, then the buyer will want
to select the 20 styles of 50 units each, because the general
rule of thumb is that a retailer will have less risk of large
losses if the assortment is diversified. Also a diversified
assortment requires more space to be devoted to it. If, on
the other hand, the corporate philosophy is to encourage
risk and/or there is limited space, then the buyer will
probably want to choose 5 styles of 200 units.
INVENTORY PLANNING
• Inventory levels are planned for a time period. The level must be sufficient to
meet sales expectations, allowing a margin for error
• The objective is to manage flow of merchandise into the stores so that the
amount of inventory is minimized but the merchandize is still available for
customers.
FOR STAPLE MERCHANDISE
• How the orders, deliveries ,inventory levels and merchandise sales will evolve
over time ?
• So control system to manage the flow of merchandise
• – for staple good – automatic continuous replenishment control system
INVENTORY PLANNING
• Basic stock (at retail) = Average monthly stock at retail – Average monthly sales
• BOM = Planned sales at retail + Basic stock
• The weeks’ supply method forecasts average sales weekly, so beginning inventory equals
several weeks’ expected sales:
be stocked
• the stock-to-sales method, a retailer wants to maintain a specified ratio of goods on hand
to sales.
• A ratio of 1.3 means If sales are 69018 – then inventory shd be 89723 at retail .
MONTH PLAN SALES -$
JAN 30,000
FEB 60,000
BASIC STOCK METHOD MAR 90,000
APRIL 60,000
MAY 60,000
OCT 90,000
NOV 120,000
DEC 30,000
TOTAL 720,000
• TURNOVER = NET SALES/AVG
INVENTORY
• 4= 720000/X
• AVG INVENTORY = 720,000/4=180,000
• AVG SALES = 720,000/12=60,000
• BASIC STOCK = AVG INVENTORY – AVG
SALES
• =180,000-60,000=120,000
• WEEKS SUPPLY METHOD
• WEEKS OF SUPPLY = 52/ TURNOVER
INVENTORY
PLANNING • IF TURNOVER =6 THEN WEEKS SUPPLY = 52/6=8.7
• PLAN INVENTORY = PLAN SALES X WEEKS OF
SUPPLY
• = $5000 x 8.7 = $43,500
• Reorder points are based on three factors.
• Order lead time is the period from the date an order is
placed by a retailer to the date merchandise is ready for
sale.
• Usage rate refers to average sales per day, in units, of
WHEN TO REORDER merchandise.
• Safety stock is the extra inventory that protects against
out-of-stock conditions due to unexpected demand and
delays in delivery.
• Reorder point = Usage rate x Lead time + Safety stock
FOR FASHION MERCHANDISE
Six-Month Merchandise
Budget Plan for Men’s Tailored Suits
• Forecast Six Month Sales for Category
• Breakdown Total Sales Forecast into Forecast for
each Month (lines 1, 2)
• Plan Reductions for Each Month (lines 3, 4)
STEPS IN PREPARING • Determine Beginning of the Month (BOM) Stock to
PLAN Sales Ratio (line 5)
• Calculate BOM Inventory (line 6)
• Calculate EOM Inventory (line 7)
• Calculate Monthly Additions to Stock (line 8)
OPEN TO BUY
• Contribution Margin
• Sales Value
• Sales in Units
• Gross Margin
• GMROI
Use more than one criteria
ABC Analysis for Dress Shirts
C 100
10% Sales
90
B
20% 80
Percentage of Sales Dollars 70
60
A 50
70% 40
30
20
10
0
No Sales
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
A
5% B
10% 65% C 20% D
Percentage of Items
Sell-through Analysis for Blouses
Week 1 Week 2
Stock Actual-to-Plan Actual-to-Plan
Number Description Plan Actual Percent. Plan Actual Percent.
1011 -Sm White silk V-neck 20 15 -25 20 10 -50
i1
I j * P ij = Sum of the expression
1 = Not important
10 = Very important
Evaluating a Vendor:
A Weighted Average Approach
Performance Evaluation of Individual
Brands Across Issues
Importance
Evaluation Brand A Brand B Brand C Brand D
Issues of Issues (I) (Pa) (Pb) (Pc) (Pd)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Vendor reputation 9 5 9 4 8
Service 8 6 6 4 6
Meets delivery dates 6 5 7 4 4
Merchandise quality 5 5 4 6 5
Markup opportunity 5 5 4 4 5
Country of origin 6 5 3 3 8
Product fashionability 7 6 6 3 8
Selling history 3 5 5 5 5
Promotional assistance 4 5 3 4 7
Overall evaluation = n 290 298 212 341
I *P
i 1
j ij
• INTEGRATING DOLLAR AND UNIT CONTROLS
FINANCIAL
INVENTORY
• Stock turnover
CONTROL
• GMROI
ILLUSTRATION
49
• The buyer / merchandiser has control over the
merchandise they buy (inventory), cost of the said
E VA L UAT I N G merchandise and the price at which it is sold
MERCHANDISE
M A N AG E M E N T • The financial ratio that is important to plan and
PERFORMANCE measure merchandising performance is a return on
investment measure called gross margin return on
inventory investment (GMROI)
50
• It measures how many gross margin dollars are
earned on every dollar of inventory investment.
E VA L UAT I N G
• GMROI is a very similar concept to return on assets,
MERCHANDISE
only its components are under the control of the
M A N AG E M E N T
PERFORMANCE buyer / merchandiser rather than higher level
executives.
51
GMROI
53
• NO. OF UNITS SOLD / AVG NO. OF UNITS
CARRIED
• COGS/COST OF AVG INVENTORY
STOCK TURNOVER
• NET SALES / AVG INVENTORY @ RETAIL
• NET SALES / COST OF AVG INVENTORY= SALES
TO STOCK RATIO
INVENTORY TURNOVER CONCEPT
GM%