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ECON Quiz 2 Reviewer From Adrian
ECON Quiz 2 Reviewer From Adrian
Inelastic Demand
Demand is inelastic if the absolute value of the own price
elasticity is less than 1.
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 2
Elasticity and Total Revenue As we move up the demand curve from point A to point I,
demand becomes increasingly elastic. At point E, where
demand is unitary elastic, total revenue is maximized. At
points to the northwest of E, demand is elastic and total
revenue decreases as price increases. At points to the
southeast of E, demand is inelastic and total revenue
increases when price increases. This relationship among
the changes in price, elasticity, and total revenue is
called the total revenue test.
Available Substitutes
The more substitutes available for the good, the
more elastic the demand for it. In these
circumstances, a price increase leads consumers to
substitute toward another product, thus reducing
considerably the quantity demanded of the good.
EXAMPLE 2
Suppose a restaurant earns P4,000 per week in revenues
from hamburger sales (X) and P2,000 per week from soda
sales (Y).
EXAMPLE
Other Elasticities
Given the general notion of an elasticity, it is not difficult
to conceptualize how the impact of changes in other
variables, such as advertising, may be analyzed in
elasticity terms.
The elasticities are Notice that when demand is log-linear, the elasticity with
respect to a given variable is simply the coefficient of the
corresponding logarithm.
EXAMPLE
An analyst for a major apparel company estimates that the
demand for its raincoats is given by:
ln Qxd = 10 - 12 ln Px + 3 ln R - 2 ln Ay
-2 (25) / 50 = -1
Own Price Elasticity = -1 (Unitary Elastic)
Confidence Intervals
Given a parameter estimate, its standard error, and the
necessary technical assumptions mentioned previously,
the firm manager can construct upper and lower bounds
on the true value of the estimated coefficient by
constructing a 95 percent confidence interval.
Note that for any line drawn through the points, there will
be some discrepancy between the actual points and the
line.
● 𝑛 is total observations.
● 𝑘 is the number of estimated coefficients.
When the t-statistic for a parameter estimate is large ● 𝑛−𝑘 is the degrees of freedom for the regression.
in absolute value, then you can be confident that the
true parameter is not zero. The F-Statistics
● The reason for this is that when the absolute The F-statistic provides a measure of the total variation
value of the t-statistic is large, the standard error explained by the regression relative to the total
of the parameter estimate is small relative to the unexplained variation. The greater the F-statistic, the
absolute value of the parameter estimate. better the overall fit of the regression line through the
actual data.
A useful rule of thumb is that if the absolute value of a
t-statistic is greater than or equal to 2, then the The primary advantage of the F-statistic stems from the
corresponding parameter estimate is statistically fact that its statistical properties are known. Thus, one
different from zero. can objectively determine the statistical significance of
any reported F value.
P-Values
P-value(s) shows more precise measure of significance; Regressions that have F-statistics with significance
the lower the P-value the more confident you are in an values of 5 percent or less are generally considered
estimate. significant.
Usually, P-values of .05 or lower are considered low Equivalently, the P-value is another measure of the
enough for a researcher to be confident that the F-statistic.
estimated coefficient is statistically significant. ● Lower P-values are associated with better
overall regression fit.
Evaluating the Overall Fit of the Regression Line
The R-Square Regression for Nonlinear Functions and Multiple
The R-square (also called the coefficient of Regression
determination) tells the fraction of the total variation in Regression for Nonlinear Functions
the dependent variable that is explained by the Sometimes, a plot of the data will reveal nonlinearities in
regression. the data. Here, it appears that price and quantity are not
linearly related: The demand function is a curve.
It is computed as the ratio of the sum of squared errors
from the regression (SSRegression) to the total sum of
squared errors (SSTotal):
which is linear in Q′ and P′. Therefore, one can use Additional insights excluding the intercept (a0)
procedures identical to those described earlier and ● Positive means an independent variable has a
regress the transformed Q′ on P′ to obtain parameter direct relationship to the dependent variable,
estimates. negative means inverse relationship with the
dependent variable
Multiple Regression
In general, the demand for a good will depend not only
on the good’s price, but also on demand shifters.
Regression techniques can also be used to perform Standard error
multiple regressions— regressions of a dependent ● the mean of all absolute values of errors
variable on multiple explanatory variables. ● The smaller the standard error of an estimated
coefficient, the smaller the variation in the
estimate given data from different outlets
where the α’s are the parameters to be estimated; Py, M, (different samples of data).
and H are demand shifters; and e is the random error
term that has a zero mean. T stat
● A useful rule of thumb is that if the absolute
Alternatively, a log-linear specification might be value of a t-statistic is greater than or equal to 2,
appropriate if the quantity demanded is not linearly then the corresponding parameter estimate is
related to the explanatory variables: statistically different from zero.
P value
● If the p-value is less than or equal to 0.05, then
NOTES:
the estimated coefficient is statistically significant
True (or population) regression model
at 5% level.
𝑌=𝑎+𝑏𝑋+𝑒
F Stat
least squares regression. ● the greater the value, the better the overall
regression fit
Multiple R Significance F
● coefficient of correlation ● Regressions that have F-statistics with
● "There is a (strong negative, negative, positive, significance values of 5 percent or less are
strong positive) relationship between the generally considered significant.
variables."
EXAMPLE 1: CASE PROBLEM - SIMPLE
R-Square REGRESSION ANALYSIS
● coefficient of determination, the percentage of
variation explained by the regression line.
ANSWERS
1.
Y = f (Xt) or
Sales t = f (Adst)
Null: There is no significant relationship between X(ads)
and Y (sales)
ANSWERS
2. 1. Y = 7.6 + 3.53X1
- If firms don’t spend on Ads, sales will be +7.6m
and for every one peso/ dollar increase in ads,
sales will increase by 3.53m.
3.
ANSWERS
1.
a0 = 17.94
a1 = 1.87
a2 = 1.92
Y = 17.94 + 1.87X1 +1.91X2 +et
2.
F Stat = 46.61
Tabulated F = 4.7374
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 13
CHAPTER 4: THEORY OF INDIVIDUAL would claim not to know whether he or she preferred
bundle A to bundle B, or preferred bundle B to A or was
BEHAVIOR indifferent between the two bundles.
This chapter develops tools that help a manager If the consumer cannot express her or his own
understand the behavior of individuals, such as preference for or indifference among goods, the
consumers and workers, and the impact of alternative manager can hardly predict that individual’s consumption
incentives on their decisions. patterns with reasonable accuracy.
Changes in Prices
Now suppose the consumer’s income remains fixed at
M, but the price of good X decreases to Px1 < Px0.
Furthermore, suppose the price of good Y remains
unchanged.
● Since the slope of the budget line is given by
−Px /Py, the reduction in the price of good X
changes the slope, making it flatter than before.
Suppose the
consumer’s initial
income in the
Figure is M0. What
happens if M0
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 16
Note that from bundle A to D, bundle C represents the When goods X and Y are complements, a reduction in
consumer's equilibrium choice. The term equilibrium the price of X would lead the consumer to move from
refers to the fact that the consumer has no incentive to point A in the Figure to a point such as B, where more of
change to a different affordable bundle once this point is Y is consumed than before.
reached
From a managerial perspective, the key thing to note is
The term equilibrium refers to the fact that the that changes in prices affect the market rate at which a
consumer has no incentive to change to a different consumer can substitute among various goods.
affordable bundle once this point is reached. Therefore, changes in prices will change the behavior of
consumers.
An important property of consumer equilibrium is that
at the equilibrium consumption bundle, the slope of the Income Changes and Consumer Behavior
indifference curve is equal to the slope of the budget A change in income also will lead to a change in the
line. consumption patterns of consumers.
● If this condition did not hold, the personal rate at ● The reason is that changes in income either
which the consumer is willing to substitute expand or contract the consumer’s budget
between goods X and Y would differ from the constraint, and the consumer therefore finds it
market rate at which he or she is able to optimal to choose a new equilibrium bundle.
substitute between the goods.
Income increases (decreases) reduce (expand) a
Comparative Statics consumer’s budget set.
Price Changes and Consumer Behavior
Price and income changes impact a consumer’s budget As in the case of a price change, the exact location of
set and level of satisfaction that can be achieved. the new equilibrium point will depend on consumer
● This implies that price and income changes will preferences.
lead to consumer equilibrium changes.
● Precisely where the new equilibrium point lies Good X is:
along the new budget line after a price change ● a normal good when an increase (decrease) in
depends on consumer preferences income leads to an increase (decrease) in the
consumption of X.
Price Changes and Equilibrium ● an inferior good when an increase (decrease)
Price increases (decreases) reduce (expand) a in income leads to a decrease (increase) in the
consumer’s budget set. consumption of X.
The new consumer equilibrium resulting from a price
change depends on consumer preferences: