California Polling

Contact: Bobby Hymel, 407-327-9910

Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 729 likely California voters. The poll was conducted from August 25th to August
27th and has a margin of error of 3.6%. The survey was collected from respondents using an online panel of cell phone users and interactive voice responses.
The results are weighted by relevant voting demographics. The survey was paid for by Gravis Marketing Institute.
1) On the first question of the ballot, you have the opportunity to vote YES to recall current Governor Gavin Newson, or NO to retain the current Governor in
office. How do you plan to vote?

Race Age group Gender

African-
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male
Q1: No (to not 87% 53% 39% 48% 48% 65% 42% 42% 57% 53% 45%
NEWSOMREMOVAL recall)
Uncertain 0% 19% 6% 2% 4% 3% 9% 10% 2% 5% 8%
Yes (to recall) 13% 29% 55% 50% 47% 32% 49% 48% 40% 42% 47%
2) If you had to choose between voting YES to recall and No to not recall?

Race Age group Gender

Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male
Q2: NEWSOMREMOVAL2 No (to not recall) 0% 18% 0% 41% 0% 37% 0% 20% 14% 20%
Uncertain 92% 53% 100% 51% 27% 59% 88% 72% 62% 74%
Yes (to recall) 8% 29% 0% 8% 73% 4% 12% 8% 23% 6%
3) For the second question of the recall election, voters will have the opportunity to choose a replacement for Governor Newsom. On the second question, whom
do you plan to vote for?
 Race Age group Gender
African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male
Q3: Democrat Kevin 7% 15% 20% 3% 9% 16% 18% 8% 6% 14% 11%
GOVREPLACEMENT Paffrath
Green Party candidate 5% 2% 1% 0% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1%
Daniel Kapelovitz
Other 15% 7% 12% 18% 12% 2% 6% 15% 23% 11% 13%
Republican Caitlyn 22% 0% 5% 0% 1% 14% 2% 1% 1% 4% 3%
Jenner
Republican Jeff Hewitt 0% 0% 4% 0% 2% 8% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2%
Republican John Cox 1% 1% 3% 2% 4% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4%
Republican Kevin 0% 8% 1% 1% 7% 5% 2% 7% 8% 5% 5%
Faulconer
Republican Kevin Kiley 0% 14% 2% 3% 3% 10% 4% 3% 1% 4% 4%
Republican Larry Elder 4% 8% 25% 39% 25% 9% 20% 26% 28% 19% 24%
Republican Ted Gaines 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 3% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2%
Some other candidate 7% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 5% 4% 0% 3% 3%
Uncertain 39% 41% 23% 30% 32% 24% 37% 32% 29% 35% 28%
4) If you had to vote for a candidate on the second question, who are you leaning towards voting for?
 Race Age group Gender
African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male
Q4: Democrat Kevin 0% 39% 8% 0% 18% 48% 10% 10% 35% 31% 4%
GOVREPLACEMENT2 Paffrath
Green Party candidate 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 3% 10% 1% 3%
Daniel Kapelovitz
Other 9% 0% 5% 28% 3% 0% 0% 6% 15% 4% 2%
Republican Caitlyn 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Jenner
Republican John Cox 0% 0% 8% 0% 0% 10% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0%
Republican Kevin 0% 0% 6% 6% 5% 0% 4% 7% 3% 3% 6%
Faulconer
Republican Kevin Kiley 0% 0% 0% 30% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1% 1% 0%
Republican Larry Elder 0% 0% 3% 8% 4% 0% 0% 10% 4% 5% 0%
Republican Ted 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Gaines
Some other candidate 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0%
Uncertain 91% 61% 67% 27% 65% 41% 85% 62% 29% 51% 84%
5) Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gavin Newsom is doing as Governor?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male
Q5: Somewhat Approve 14% 41% 16% 12% 13% 36% 19% 12% 12% 23% 13%
NEWSOMAPPROVAL Somewhat 0% 20% 17% 0% 11% 21% 14% 12% 3% 15% 10%
Disapprove
Strongly Approve 62% 14% 34% 34% 35% 30% 29% 32% 45% 34% 33%
Strongly Disapprove 24% 14% 29% 48% 39% 13% 33% 39% 37% 26% 38%
Uncertain 0% 11% 4% 5% 2% 1% 5% 6% 3% 2% 6%
6) Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male
Q6: Joe Biden Somewhat Approve 29% 42% 24% 8% 16% 35% 30% 16% 10% 26% 20%
APPROVAL Somewhat 18% 21% 15% 12% 11% 37% 14% 8% 3% 12% 16%
Disapprove
Strongly Approve 46% 17% 24% 30% 35% 14% 22% 34% 49% 33% 27%
Strongly Disapprove 6% 14% 33% 46% 37% 13% 30% 38% 37% 28% 34%
Uncertain 0% 6% 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 4% 1% 1% 4%
7) Thinking back to the 2020 Presidential election, do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the election, or the election was stolen from Donald Trump?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male
Q7: Joe Biden legitimately 98% 70% 66% 61% 60% 75% 65% 61% 67% 71% 60%
LEGITIMATEVOTE won the election
The election was stolen 2% 21% 26% 28% 32% 20% 26% 31% 28% 24% 30%
from Donald Trump
Unsure 0% 9% 8% 10% 7% 5% 9% 9% 6% 5% 10%

8) Looking at the California Recall Election, are you confident in the integrity of the Recall Election?
 Race Age group Gender
African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male
Q8: Confident in the 63% 48% 48% 28% 46% 48% 48% 51% 41% 49% 46%
RECALLINTEGRITY integrity of the recall
election
Not confident in the 28% 27% 33% 56% 41% 41% 29% 37% 43% 34% 39%
integrity of the recall
election
Unsure 9% 25% 19% 16% 13% 11% 23% 12% 15% 17% 15%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

9) Are you registered to vote in the state of California?

10) California will be holding a Gubernatorial recall election in September to remove Governor Gavin Newsom from office and vote on a possible replacement.
How likely are you to vote in this recall election?
11) What is your party affiliation?

12) How would you best characterize your political preferences?

13) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?
14) What race do you identify yourself as?

15) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

16) What is the highest level of education you have completed?

17) How old are you?

18) What is your gender?