Barely 15 months before Gujarat is meant to choose its next

government, Vijay Rupani resigned today as Chief Minister; so did his

cabinet. They got the memo from the BJP high command.

"Operation Gandhinagar" as it is being called in Gujarat was handled by

B L Santosh, the powerful BJP General Secretary (Organization) and
union minister Bhupender Yadav; both are presently meeting MLAs in
Gujarat. Santosh met Rupani last night in Gandhinagar and asked him
to quit. Home Minister Amit Shah also met Rupani on his recent trip to
Gandhinagar. According to sources, Shah conveyed to Rupani that he
was unable to back him anymore.

Authoritative sources in the BJP told me that the prime reason for the
removal of Rupani, 65, was the Prime Minister's anger at his
mishandling of the second vicious wave of the pandemic. Rupani, a
protege of Amit Shah, was catapulted to the top job in 2016; his serial
Covid missteps in the PM's home state reportedly had the PM seriously
upset.

Vijay Rupani with Amit Shah (File photo)

The Gujarat High Court had in May, 2020 castigated the Rupani
administration for the "alarming number of deaths in Ahmedabad
hospitals". A senior BJP leader now in contention for the Chief Minister's
position says, "Rupani showed a complete lack of focus in handling the
pandemic, even in containment zones. Shah repeatedly reached out to
him asking him to act better and faster, but Rupani seemed
overwhelmed by the crisis.

The background to the Rupani exit is also the fact that he seemed to be
unable to come to grips with handling the Gujarat administration even
after five years in office. Senior officials and MLAs compared him
unfavourably to the PM, who, as the state's three-time Chief Minister,
had an iron grip on the administration; even his successor, Anandiben
Patel, who is currently the Governor of Uttar Pradesh was seen as more
in control.

Significantly, Amit Shah had forced her removal as Chief Minister;

Rupani took over from her. Amit Shah had a long rivalry with Anandiben
Patel, dating back to when they were both in the Modi cabinet in
Gujarat. Rupani was his choice and now is the fall guy for the Covid
chaos. MLAs and officials also claim that Rupani's family, especially his
wife Anjali Rupani, were seen as interfering in the administration
including through calling up officials directly. These "Super CM" stories
did not go down well with the PM.
Vijay Rupani and his wife Anjali Rupani
Those privy to the prepping for today's whole-scale culling of the Rupani
government believe the action will allow the BJP to deflect anti-
incumbency and shore up governance in its citadel of Gujarat before the
election, which the party reportedly wants to approach with a "fresh
young face" and a new team.

Gandhinagar BJP circles believe that that Mansukh Mandaviya, Union

Health Minister and a firm Modi favourite, will replace Rupani. But
ahead of a possible Third Wave, a change in the Health portfolio could
be seen as detrimental. That, and the fact that Mandaviya is a Rajya
Sabha MP and will have to be elected to the assembly may keep him
tethered to Delhi.

Significantly, Modi with this hard reset in Gujarat seems to have firmly
taken back the political and electoral reins in Gujarat. The PM may
spring a total political surprise as the new Gujarat Chief Minister as he
likes to keep opponents and the media guessing.
Vijay Rupani and PM Modi (File photo)
In 2017, the BJP formed the government in Gujarat for the sixth straight
time with 99 seats. The Congress gave it a scare as they won 77
seats.That election had been billed as a thanksgiving for Modi by Shah
but Modi's own appraisal of the state saw him increasing his campaign
visits to his home state, where he made emotional appeals to voters.
Since then, as is so often the case with the Congress, it has lost the
momentum it had gained and is now in complete disarray in Gujarat. 

Rupani's exit continues the exercise of power by Modi and Shah in

removing Chief Ministers they see as problematic or liabilities - in
Uttarakhand, Tirath Singh Rawat, who took office in March, was
replaced by Pushkar Singh Dhami in July.

Karnataka saw the tempestuous B S Yediyurappa make way for B

Bommai. More proof, if it were needed, that Modi-Shah are perma-
focused on elections.