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Artificial Neural Networks For The Prediction of Mechanical
Artificial Neural Networks For The Prediction of Mechanical
1 Introduction
In road projects, the soil is an important factor, since it gives a stable behavior to the
structure. That is why the soil study is carried out to determine the physical and me-
chanical properties of the soils, since these come to have an influence on the designs of
the flexible or rigid pavement structures.
In large structures such as long-distance highways, soil studies are not detailed, since
conducting this type of test by traditional methods implied a high cost, time and labor-
atory availability; This allowed to apply a methodology based on artificial neural net-
works (ANN) in order to predict the mechanical properties of soils, in that way this
method can be efficient, accurate in the results, reducing time and cost in studies.
The objective of the study was to predict the mechanical properties of soils using
software based on artificial neural network algorithms.
The neural models were obtained with Neural Tools software, these will obtain the
mechanical properties values predictions of the soils in order to elaborate a first budget;
making it clear that laboratory tests will not be replaced but will be applied in certain
phases of a project, especially in the preliminary, profile and pre-feasibility phases[1].
The quantity of samples obtained for the soil study was determined according to the
“Soil, Geology, Geotechnics and Pavement Highways Manual” or in the term of refer-
ence (TOR). Once the quantity of samples was obtained, the tests were carried out in
the soil laboratory, in which the physical and mechanical properties of the soils were
determined; These tests are the granulometry (percentage of gravel, percentage of sand,
percentage of fines), consistency limits (liquid limit, plastic limit, plasticity index),
modified proctor (maximum dry density, optimal moisture content) and the value of
California support (CBR).
Finally, artificial neural models were developed, taking as input data the percentages
of gravel, sand, fines, liquid limit, plastic limit, plasticity index, and the maximum dry
density, the optimal moisture content to cbr95%mdd and cbr100%mdd were the results
as an output data. These data were used to training, test and validate the neural network
data, in which the determination factor (R2) and Pearson's correlation coefficient (r)
were obtained as a reliability indicator.
3
2 Methodology
In this research, the methodological procedure for predicting the values of the mechan-
ical properties of soils using artificial neural networks (ANN) were described as shown
in figure 1.
Stage 1. A database of the Provias Nacional entity was compiled, of which 289 val-
ues of granulometric tests (percentage of gravel, percentage of sand, percentage of
fines), consistency limits (liquid limit, plastic limit, plasticity index), proctor (maxi-
mum dry density, optimum moisture content) and California support value (CBR), was
organized in a tabulation matrix generating 4 Excel files, which were cleaned according
to the variables measurements.
Stage 2: A preliminary analysis was carried out with the database from the first stage,
where the input and output data for the development of the neural network were iden-
tified.
Stage 3: Once all the data from the second stage have been obtained, the artificial
neural model began to be developed in the Neural Tools software, where the training,
test and data validation were made, in which the factor of determination (R2) was eval-
uated between the values determined according to the artificial neural network (pre-
dicted) and those of the laboratory (the real data).
4
Stage 4: The neural network training was carried out, with the physical properties of
the soil within certain ranges as shown in the following table 1.
Table 1. Values that were used for the training of the artificial neural network.
Input variable ranges
Variables Lower Upper
% Gravel 0.00 83.60
%Sand 7.80 64.60
% Fine 0.00 76.10
% Liquid 0.00 52.00
% Plastic Limit 0.00 36.77
% Plasticity Index 0.00 28.07
Stage 5: Table 2 is used for the validation of the artificial neuronal model. These
values indicate how a model is qualified according to the coefficient of determination
(R2) [2].
Stage 6: With the Neural Tools software, a predictive model based on artificial neu-
ral networks (ANN) was obtained for the prediction of the mechanical properties of
soils.
Stage 7: Once the appropriate model was obtained, the prediction of the maximum
dry density, optimum moisture content, CBR at 95% maximum dry density and CBR
at 100% maximum dry density was made.
Stage 8: To finalize this research, a data comparison was made between the ANN
values and the values of the laboratory tests.
Vila Zuñiga [4] aimed in his research to determine the linear behavior of the flexible
pavement structure using artificial neural networks. His methodology was to use the
5
Backvid and Michback software to perform the linear analysis of the structure and thus
carry out the design of the neural model. In summary, an optimal neural network was
built, composed of 5 layers, 13 input neurons, 25 neurons in the first two hidden layers,
5 in the last hidden layer and 5 neurons in the output layer.
Boza Capani & Merino Ortiz [5] aims in their research to determine the variation
and correlation of the shear strength parameters of soils (friction angle and cohesion)
from their physical properties (grain size, Atterberg limits, humidity and specific grav-
ity) using artificial neural networks. The model was trained in which several simula-
tions were carried out using the reverse propagation methodology (Feed – Forward
Backprop). The results obtained by the statistical analysis of mean error are divided
into: Training (r = 0.93), validation (r = 0.99), test (r = 0.96), obtaining an artificial
neural network model equal to r = 0.95).
Paytán Ordoñez [6] mentions that in recent decades it has been shown that poor
management of road infrastructure maintenance can result in costly expenses for the
whole nation, reducing the useful life of the roads, increasing the operating costs of the
vehicles and also increasing the travel time of the users. For this reason, his research
aims to determine the value of the intentional regularity index of the PE-1S pathway
using an artificial neural model of the value obtained by the laser profilometer. The
results were compared with the IRI values obtained from measurements with the laser
profilometer. The correlation coefficient obtained was r = 0.365, reflecting a weak re-
lationship between the values and led them to conclude that Artificial Neural Networks
did not perform well in this specific pathway.
Chávez Castro & Reyes Velásquez [7] in their research aimed to develop a computer
vision system that allows the identification of superficial flaws in flexible pavement.
As a result, they had 4 convolutional models, with a data set of 7200 images, being
1440 for training, 360 for validation and 77 for testing. It was 98.03% effective, 95.06%
sensitive, and 95.63% specialty.
Tello Cifuentes; Aguirre Sánchez; Díaz Paz & Hernández [8] carried out an evalua-
tion of the deterioration of the roads in Colombia through manual inventories and visual
inspections. The road condition assessment methods adopted by INVIAS are VIZIR
and PCI, they determine the severity of damage to the flexible and rigid pavement;
however, they can be tedious and require the expertise of a road condition assessor.
This research presents an efficient methodology, with a reduction of time and cost using
photometry and neural networks. The methodology was evaluated with real images of
the pavement with three types of deterioration: longitudinal crack, crocodile skin and
bump. As classifier, the multilayer neural network with configuration (12 12 3) was
used, trained by the Levenberg Marquardt backpropagation algorithm. A precision of
96% was obtained in the classifier, a sensitivity of 93.33% and a kappa index of 0.936.
6
Neural models
According to Serrano [11] he affirms that every artificial neural model has four basic
elements:
in such a way that the existing structural contribution of the land can be quantified by
the sectorization of the road and the final design of the pavement structure.
Once the physic-mechanical properties of the soils have been determined and if the
results are correctly interpreted, it will be possible to predict future behaviors of a given
soil [13].
According to the Peruvian technical standard NTP 339.127 and MTC -108 / ASTM
D-2216 [14], [15], it defines: moisture or moisture content as the ratio of the weight of
water in a given mass of soil, to the weight of solid particles, expressed as a percentage.
In other words, it indicates the amount of water that a sample contains. This is calcu-
lated with equation 3.
Water weight
W = Kiln Dry Soil Weight x100 (3)
To obtain the values of the percentages of gravel, sand, fines, the granulometric test
was carried out by sieving as shown in table 4.
9
According to NTP 339.129 [17] it mentions that Albert Atterberg originally defined
six “consistency limits” for fine-grained soils: the upper limit of viscous flow, the liquid
limit, the stickiness limit, the cohesion limit, the plastic limit and the shrinkage limit.
In engineering, the liquid limit, the plastic limit and in some references the shrinkage
limit are frequently used.
According to the Peruvian technical standard NTP 339.129 [17] defines: it is the
range of moisture content over which a soil behaves plastically. Numerically it is the
difference between the liquid limit and the plastic limit as shown in equation 4.
𝑃𝐼 = 𝐿𝐿 − 𝑃𝐿 (4)
Where:
PI: Plasticity index
10
According to the Peruvian technical standard NTP 339.142 [18], this test method
covers the laboratory compaction procedures used to determine the relationships be-
tween the water content and the dry unit weight of soils (Compaction Curve) compacted
in a 101.6 0 152.4 mm (4 or 6 in) diameter mold with a 24.4 N (5.5-lbf) piston that
drops to a height of 305 mm (12 in) producing a compaction stress of (600 KN-m / m3
or 12,000 ft-lb / ft3).
The wet unit weight of the soil is calculated with the following equation 5:
𝑊
𝛾 = 𝑉(𝑚) (5)
Where:
W: Compacted soil weight in the mold
V(m): Mold volume (943.3 cm3)
If the moisture content is known, the dry unit weight of the soil is calculated with
the following equation 6:
𝛾
𝛾𝑑 = 𝑤 (%) (6)
1+
100
Where:
W (%): Percentage of moisture content
The values of the dry density of the soil can be plotted in relation to the moisture
content to obtain the maximum dry unit weight and the optimum moisture content.
For each moisture content of the soil, a theoretical maximum unit weight is obtained,
this occurs when there is no air in the empty spaces, this is when the degree of saturation
is equal to 100%. Therefore, the maximum dry unit weight at a given moisture content
with zero air voids can be given by the following equation 7:
𝛾𝑤
𝛾𝑐𝑣𝑎 = 1 (7)
𝑤+
𝐺𝑠
Where:
γcva: Unit weight with zero air voids (gr/cm3).
γw: Unit weight of water (gr/cm3).
w: moisture content (%).
11
According to NTP 339.141 and Mtc-e115/ASTM D-1557 [14], [19] defines: This
test method covers laboratory compaction procedures used to determine the relation-
ships between water content and dry unit weight of soils (Compaction Curve) com-
pacted in a 101.6 or 152.4 mm (4 or 6 in.) diameter mold with a 44.5-N (10-lbf) piston
dropping to a height of 457 mm (18 in.) Producing a compaction stress of (2,700 KN-
m / m3 (56,000 ft-lb / ft3)).
The modified proctor arises due to the development of heavy rollers and the use in
compaction in order to better represent field conditions.
The calculations performed in this test method are the same as those used in the
standard proctor test method.
According to NTP 339.145 and MTC E-132/ASTM D -1883 [14], [20] defines: this
test method comprises the determination of the CBR (California Support Ratio) of sub-
grade of pavements, sub-base, base and materials granular specimens compacted in the
laboratory. The test method is primarily to evaluate the strength of cohesive materials,
with a maximum particle size of 3/4 in. (19.0mm), however it is not limited to this.
The standard PTS 339.145 [20] also mentions that this test is responsible for deter-
mining the CBR of a material with an optimal water content or a range of water content
from compaction tests or a specified dry unit weight. The dry unit weight is generally
presented as a percentage of the maximum dry unit weight of the compaction tests of
the test methods PTS 339.141 or PTS 339.142.
The added compaction moisture can be calculated with the following equation 8:
𝐻−ℎ
%𝑚𝑜𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑎𝑑𝑑 = 𝑥100 (8)
100+ℎ
Where:
H= Preset humidity
h: natural humidity
The soil sample, compacted with the required humidity according to the proctor test,
is kept submerged for 4 days confined in a mold, with an overload equal to the weight
of the pavement, this overload simulates the weight of the pavement, it is given by
means of rings, in any case the total overload pressure should be less than 4.54kg [14].
𝐿2−𝐿1
%𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛 = 𝑋100 (9)
127
Donde:
Where:
L1: Final reading in mm.
L2: Final reading in mm.
The results and analysis according to the proposed methodology are shown below.
1.8
1.6
1.4
2
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
Real
Fig. 5. Maximum dry density training results with 80% of the record.
3.5.2 Relative impact analysis of the variable maximum dry density (MDD)
Figure 6 shows the most influential variables in the development of the artificial
neural network. In this way, it is evident that knowing the value of the physical prop-
erties it is possible to determine the MDD of a soil.
14
24
22 R² = 0.7771
20
18
Prediction
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
6
22
2
4
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
24
26
Real
Fig. 7. Optimal moisture content training results with 80% of the record.
3.5.5 Regression analysis of CBR training 95% MDD with 80% of the
record
A scatter diagram was made with training prediction data at 80% of the record vs the
data collected from Provias Nacional as shown in figure 9, according to the shape of
the points, it shows us how close they are to each other. with respect to the trend line,
therefore, as a result we obtain a good coefficient of determination equal to R 2= 0.789.
40 R² = 0.789
Prediction
30
20
10
0
5
35
0
10
15
20
25
30
40
45
50
Real
Fig. 9. Results of the training of the CBR 95% MDD with 80% of the record.
Over time, various investigations were recorded in search of the correct correlation
between values
3.5.6 Analysis of the relative impact of the variable CBR 95% MDD
Figure 10 shows the most influential variables in the development of the artificial
neural network. In this way, it is evident that once the value of the physical properties
is known, it is possible to determine CBR 95% MDD of a soil.
16
3.5.7 Regression analysis of CBR training 100% MDD with 80% of the
record
A scatter diagram was elaborated with training prediction data at 80% of the registry
vs the data collected from the national provinces as shown in figure 11, according to
the shape of the points shows us how close they are with respect to the trend line, there-
fore, as a result we obtain a good coefficient of determination equal to R 2= 0.811.
Prediction and Royals (Training)
80
60 R² = 0.811
Prediction
40
20
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Real
Fig. 11. Results of the training of the CBR 100% MDD with 80% of the record.
Table 5. Search for the best network – maximum dry density (gr/cm3)
Best Network Search - MDD (gr / cm3)
%Error RMS
Topology Training time Training stop reason
(Root mean square error)
Linear prediction 0.09 00:00:00 Auto-stop
GRNN 0.09 00:00:00 Auto-stop
MLFN 2 nodes 0.10 02:00:00 Auto-stop
Decision
The significance of the variables MDD, OMC, CBR95% and CBR100% are less
than 0.05, so we reject the Ho and accept the Ha, that is, the data do not have a normal
distribution, therefore, we apply non-parametric statistics.
2.400
R² = 0.7376
2.200
2.000
1.800
1.600
1.600 1.800 2.000 2.200 2.400
Values that were tested in the soil laboratory
Fig. 13. Results of the prediction of the maximum dry density (gr / cm3).
19
17 R² = 0.7815
15
13
11
9
7
7 9 11 13 15 17
Values that were tested in the soil laboratory
Fig. 14. Results of the prediction of the optimum moisture content (%).
30 R² = 0.7935
25
20
15
10
5
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Values that were tested in the soil laboratory
50
Values predicted by the ANN
40 R² = 0.8232
30
20
10
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Values that were tested in the soil laboratory
Table 10. Comparative table between the trained model vs the validation of the model.
Regression analysis of the trained model vs model validation
Variables Training Model Parameter
ANN validation criteria
Maximum dry 0.7487 0.7376 Good
density (gr / cm3)
Optimal moisture 0.7771 0.7815 Good
content (%)
CBR 95% MDD 0.789 0.7935 Good
CBR 100% MDD 0.811 0.8232 Good
Table 11. Comparative table between the trained model vs the validation of the model
Regression analysis of the trained model vs model validation
Variables Training ANN Model Parameter
validation criteria
Maximum dry 0.8653 0.7376 Good
density (gr / cm3)
Optimal moisture 0.8818 0.7815 Good
content (%)
CBR 95% MDD 0.8789 0.7935 Good
CBR 100% MDD 0.8948 0.8232 Good
Table 12. ANN comparison table of soil laboratory data vs data predicted by ANN
CUADRO COMPARATIVO ENTRE LOS RESULTADOS DE LABORATORIO VS ANN
CBR (95% CBR (100%
SUCS MDD (gr/cm3) OMC (%)
MDD) MDD)
LAB ANN LAB ANN LAB ANN LAB ANN
SM 2.017 2.005 10.35 10.44 25.30 25.67 37.07 40.42
SP 1.905 1.907 10.29 10.44 24.80 27.38 36.47 33.78
SM 1.890 1.861 10.28 10.78 14.60 16.55 20.21 18.77
SM 1.884 1.864 10.03 10.41 17.60 17.72 34.49 30.54
CL 1.769 1.725 15.70 16.54 6.70 5.38 8.47 8.06
GM 2.020 2.143 9.66 8.78 29.10 27.49 34.53 35.05
CL 1.790 1.800 15.97 15.40 8.30 6.43 10.16 9.11
GC 2.030 2.079 10.97 10.16 15.60 13.94 22.21 22.17
GM 2.010 2.074 8.43 10.29 18.90 16.16 25.47 26.15
SM 1.923 1.992 10.85 10.06 22.40 19.51 25.52 26.00
GC 2.150 2.030 10.56 10.50 16.10 14.92 31.19 24.12
GC 2.230 2.099 9.55 9.09 20.50 18.86 37.43 29.58
GC 2.200 2.242 10.08 8.69 20.60 20.70 33.37 34.25
GC 1.950 2.035 11.28 10.63 13.00 14.54 18.30 21.78
GC 2.060 2.086 9.46 9.78 19.10 18.66 32.72 26.69
SC 1.900 1.956 12.31 11.22 10.20 13.33 10.95 18.28
22
Discussion: The residual analysis shows that the minimum variation that exists be-
tween LAB value of soils vs ANN is equal to 0.002% in the maximum dry density,
0.061% in the optimal moisture content, 0.029% in the CBR95% MDD, 0.037% in the
CBR100% MDD, this minimum variation occurred in a type of soil gravelly sand with
little or no fines (SP). However, in gravelly clayey soils (GC) from the tests of CBR95%
MDD, CBR100% MDD presents a significant variation of 4.991% and 8.609%.
4 Conclusion
A data cleaning had to be carried out, leaving 289 values to be evaluated and trained
with the artificial neural network.
The GRNN and MLFN neural models works to predict unknown data, resulting in a
coefficient of determination of 73.76% at the maximum dry density, 78.15% at the op-
timal moisture content, 79.35% at CBR, 95% MDD and 82.32%. in the CBR100%
MDD.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
To God for allowing this investigation to be carried out, to our advisor Leopoldo
Choque Flores for the contribution of his professional knowledge, for the advice and
review in this investigation. To our co-advisor Juan J. Soria, for sharing his knowledge
in the field of artificial intelligence, for supporting us in the publication of our scientific
article in an indexed journal. To our colleague, Eng. Axel Y. Montes for his knowledge
provided in the field of civil engineering.
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