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AB1201 Financial Management Week 7: The Cost of Capital: Wacc W R (1-T) + W R + W R
AB1201 Financial Management Week 7: The Cost of Capital: Wacc W R (1-T) + W R + W R
Financial Management
Desired optimal mix of equity and debt financing that most firms attempt to maintain in the long run
Why should we use weighted average cost Use weighted average of cost of capital that takes into account LT financing plans
of capital?
Why use market value weights instead of Market weights are calculated using market value of stocks, bonds and preferred stocks and this is appealing because market
book weights? value of securities represent actual amount of financing risk by firm when they sell the stocks and bonds and component
costs are calculated based on current market conditions
Book weights are calculated using common values of common equity, debt and preferred stock as recorded in balance sheet
Why use marginal cost instead of historical Marginal cost is the marginal cost of raising an additional dollar of capital today
cost?
The cost of capital is used primarily to make decisions that involve raising new capital so we should focus on today’s
marginal cost
Only rd needs tax adjustment because debt is tax deductible. Preferred stock dividends and common stock dividends are not
tax deductible
Component Cost of Debt, rd - rd is the marginal cost of debt capital (cost of raising an additional dollar of debt today)
- The YTM (Interest Rate) on outstanding LT debt is used to measure r d (coupon rate is historical cost)
- Interest is tax deductible so we need to adjust r d
- Assume funds raised through sale of bonds and bonds pay annual coupon
Why is the YTM on existing debt a good estimate of the cost of raising new debt?
- YTM reflects current market condition therefore good proxy of cost of new debt if the firm is to go to the market and
borrow money now
Component Cost of Preferred Stock, rp - Marginal cost of preferred stock, which is the return investors require on a firm’s preferred stock
- Use nominal rp because preferred dividends are not tax deductible
- rp = Dp / Pp (dividends per share/amount preferred stock is currently sold for)
Component Cost of Common Equity, rs - rs is the marginal cost of common equity using retained earnings
- Rate of return investors require on the firm’s common equity using new common stock is r e
If low risk company is evaluating high risk project, it may adjust its composite WACC upwards
AB1201
Financial Management
- NPV indicates how much shareholders’ wealth will increase if project is taken up (Higher NPV Higher increase in
shareholders’ wealth)
If IRR>cost of capital, the project’s return exceeds its costs and there is some return leftover to boost stockholders’ returns
The conflict between NPV and IRR arises due to timing differences in cash flows and differences in project size (scale)
When there are differences in cash flow timing or project scale, this implies that the firm will have different amounts to
reinvest at various years depending on which of the mutually exclusive projects it accepts
The rate at which the intermediate cash flows are reinvested at is a critical issue
Why is NPV superior to IRR? 1. Reinvestment Rate Assumption
o NPV method assumes intermediate CFs are reinvested at the cost of capital
o IRR method assumes intermediate CFs are reinvested at IRR
o Assuming CFs reinvested at the cost of capital is more realistic
Modified IRR (MIRR) Discount rate that causes the PV of a project’s terminal value (TV) to equal the PV of costs. TV is found by compounding
inflows at cost of capital
To determine which project to accept:
- Mutually exclusive: accept project with higher MIRR
- Independent: accept project with MIRR>Cost of Capital
Why use MIRR instead of IRR? Managers like rate of return comparisons and MIRR is better for this than IRR
- MIRR assumes reinvestment at cost of capital which is more realistic than IRR assuming intermediate cash inflows
are reinvested at IRR rate
- MIRR also avoids the multiple IRRs problem
Is MIRR superior or equivalent to NPV? When evaluating mutually exclusive projects, NPV is superior to MIRR but MIRR is superior to IRR
MIRR has the same problem with IRR when evaluating projects with different scale
But when evaluating independent projects, the 3 criteria give the same accept/reject decisions
Multiple IRRs Suspect multiple IRRs problem if the CFs are non-normal and if cash inflows and outflows are roughly similar in magnitude
AB1201
Financial Management
Week 9: Cash Flow Estimation, Risk Analysis, And The Optimal Capital Budget
Why are we interested in cash flows instead In finance, cash is king. Valuation of assets is based on cash flows the asset is expected to produce.
of accounting income? Net income and operating income are not cash. They are accounting numbers. Under accrual-based accounting, revenues and
expenses are booked when they occur, not when the cash is received/paid. When evaluating projects, we are interested in the
cash flows that the project produces
Relevant cash flow Incremental cash flows that will occur if and only if the project is accepted
Determining Annual Depreciation Do not minus salvage value regardless of whether we are using MACRS or Straight line depreciation
Terminal Cash Flow Find after-tax salvage value
- Tax paid = Tax x (SV – remaining BV at time of sale)
- After tax salvage value = SV – Tax paid
Combining with NOWC
- Recovery of NOWC + After-tax salvage value = Terminal CF
Do we need to consider cash flows No, if there are no changes in NOWC in the interim years, then no CF is incurred in the interim years. To make life simpler,
associated with NOWC in the interim we assume that changes in NOWC take places only at the beginning of the project (t=0) and end of the project (t=N)
years?
Sensitivity Analysis Examines how sensitive NPV is to changes in each input variable. All other variables are held constant at base value
Scenario Analysis Possible alternative scenarios with different input values are proposed.
Probabilities are assigned to each scenario Project’s expected NPV and standard deviation/CV of NPV
Monte Carlo Simulation Simulation techniques where the NPV for many scenarios are calculated Project’s expected NPV and standard deviation
(CV) of NPV
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash No. Dividends and Interest expense should not be included in the analysis. When we calculate NPV, we are dividing by cost
Flows 1: Interest charges of capital, so financing charges are already being accounted for when we divide by the cost of capital
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash Relevant cash flows are incremental CF that occur if and only if you accept the project.
Flow 2: Sunk Costs Sunk cost would be incurred regardless of whether you accept/reject the project
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash Yes. By accepting the project, the firm foregoes a possible annual cash flow of $25,000 which is an opportunity cost to be
Flow 3: Opportunity Costs charged for the project and this should be charged to the project. There is an incremental cash flow.
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash Yes. The effect on other businesses of the firm is an externality. The after-tax CF loss per year on the other business lines
Flow 4: Externalities would be a cost to this project.
Cannibalisation When the new business takes away the existing business
Replacement projects
Leasing To obtain use of assets, company can buy the asset or lease the asset
Lessor: Party owning the leased asset
Lessee: Party using the leased asset
Lease vs Borrow-and-buy FCF revisited:
FCF = [(EBIT)(1-T) + Dep] – [Capex + Change in NOWC]
= (sales – cash op exp – depreciation)(1-T) + dep
= sales(1-T) – cash op exp(1-T) – dep(1-T) + dep
= sales (1-T) – cash op exp (1-T) + Txdep Txdep is the depreciation tax savings
Optimal Capital Budget Theory: Accept all positive NPV projects
Amount of investment that will lead to value maximisation
WACC increases as level of financing increases because as we raise more capital we will run out of retained earnings so we
will issue more common stock which is more expensive. Furthermore, as you issue more debt and preferred stock, the cost of
debt and preferred stock also increases because the likelihood of default increases with more debt being raised.
Leasing
AB1201
Financial Management
Commonly used ratio: Debt to capital ratio = Debt/(Debt + Equity + Preferred Stock)
Business Risk Risk inherent in a firm’s operations (Risk that deals with the operations of the firm)
- Uncertainty about future operating income (EBIT)
Measured using standard deviation of EBIT Area under curve = likelihood of EBIT falling within E(EBIT) (expected
EBIT) flatter curve shows higher risk
Determination of Business Risk EBIT = Sales – Operating Cost
= Quantity*Price – Operating Cost
Stock price is affected by future CF and risk of CF so when we find optimal capital structure, we trade off higher expected
profitability against higher risk when we increase debt
Goal: Find the stock price at each level of debt and the debt level that maximises stock prices is the optimal capital structure
Determining the impact of changing capital
structure on stock price
To find expected stock price at each debt level, we must find the EPS and appropriate r s at each debt level
Stock dividends and stock split are not exactly distributions but they are dividend policies
Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) Shareholders choose to receive the cash dividends or to have the company use the dividends to buy more stock in the firm on
behalf of the investor
- Shareholders can automatically reinvest their dividends in shares of the company’s common stock
- Get more stock than cash
2 types of plans:
- Open market
- New stock
DRIP: Open Market Purchase Plan vs New Open market purchase plan: Dollars to be reinvested are turned over to the trustee who buys shares on the open market
Stock Plan - Brokerage costs are reduced by volume purchases
- Convenient, easy way to invest thus useful for investors
New stock plan: Firm issues new stock to DRIP enrolees (usually at a discount from the market price), keeps money and uses
it to buy assets
- Helps conserve cash
- Companies that need capital use new stock plans
Stock Repurchases When companies decide to pay out cash instead of retaining it, they can choose to pay cash dividends or buy back their own
stock from stockholders.
Shares outstanding is reduced. The shares bought back are held as treasury stock and can be resold in the future to raise
capital
Stock Dividends and Stock Splits Stock dividend: Firms issue new shares in lieu of paying a cash dividend
- If a 10% stock dividend is announced, shareholders get 10 shares for each 100 shares owned
- Shares outstanding increases
Stock split: Firm increases the number of shares outstanding, say 2:1. Shareholders get more shares.
- Example: Assume a company has 100 shares outstanding and each share is trading at $10. The company announces a
2-for-1 stock split. After the split, the company would have 200 shares outstanding and each share should be worth
$5
- Market value of equity remains at $1000
Stock dividends and stock splits increases the number of shares outstanding so “the pile is divided into smaller pieces”
Unless the stock dividend or split conveys information, the stock price falls so as to keep each investor’s wealth unchanged
But splits/stock dividends may get us to an “optimal price range”
- Optimal price range for stocks is $20 to $80. Stock splits and stock dividends can be used to keep the price in this
optimal range
Effects of Stock Splits and Stock Dividends Stock splits and stock dividends are viewed as positive signals that the management is confident about future earnings.
on Firm’s Value Therefore stock price may increase as a result.
- On average, stocks tend to outperform the market in the year following a split
By creating more shares and lowering the stock price, stock splits may increase the stock’s liquidity and may tend to increase
the firm’s value