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AB1201

Financial Management

Week 7: The Cost of Capital


What is the WACC formula? WACC = wdrd(1-T) + wprp + wcrs (Assuming 3 costs)
What is Target Capital Structure? Optimal capital structure that maximise stock price or maximise WACC

Desired optimal mix of equity and debt financing that most firms attempt to maintain in the long run
Why should we use weighted average cost Use weighted average of cost of capital that takes into account LT financing plans
of capital?
Why use market value weights instead of Market weights are calculated using market value of stocks, bonds and preferred stocks and this is appealing because market
book weights? value of securities represent actual amount of financing risk by firm when they sell the stocks and bonds and component
costs are calculated based on current market conditions

Book weights are calculated using common values of common equity, debt and preferred stock as recorded in balance sheet
Why use marginal cost instead of historical Marginal cost is the marginal cost of raising an additional dollar of capital today
cost?
The cost of capital is used primarily to make decisions that involve raising new capital so we should focus on today’s
marginal cost

The historical cost of existing financing on the firm’s books is irrelevant


Why use after tax capital cost for rd? Shareholders focus on after tax cash flows so we should use after tax capital costs

Only rd needs tax adjustment because debt is tax deductible. Preferred stock dividends and common stock dividends are not
tax deductible
Component Cost of Debt, rd - rd is the marginal cost of debt capital (cost of raising an additional dollar of debt today)
- The YTM (Interest Rate) on outstanding LT debt is used to measure r d (coupon rate is historical cost)
- Interest is tax deductible so we need to adjust r d
- Assume funds raised through sale of bonds and bonds pay annual coupon

Why is the YTM on existing debt a good estimate of the cost of raising new debt?
- YTM reflects current market condition therefore good proxy of cost of new debt if the firm is to go to the market and
borrow money now
Component Cost of Preferred Stock, rp - Marginal cost of preferred stock, which is the return investors require on a firm’s preferred stock
- Use nominal rp because preferred dividends are not tax deductible
- rp = Dp / Pp (dividends per share/amount preferred stock is currently sold for)
Component Cost of Common Equity, rs - rs is the marginal cost of common equity using retained earnings
- Rate of return investors require on the firm’s common equity using new common stock is r e

- CAPM: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)b


- DCF: rs = (D1/P0) + g
- Own bond yield plus risk premium: rs = rd + RP
Why is there a Cost for Retained Earnings? - Earnings can be retained and reinvested or paid out as dividends
- Investors could also buy other securities and earn a return
- If earnings are retained, there is an opportunity cost (the return that stockholders could earn on alternative
investments of equal risk)  investors can buy similar stocks and earn rs
Why is the cost of retained earnings - When a company issues new common stock they also have to pay flotation costs (total cost company incurred when
cheaper than the cost of new common offering its securities to the public) to the underwriter (investment banks that help company sell shares to the public)
stock? - To account for flotation costs:
o Add flotation costs to the initial project cost
o Adjust the cost of capital
Find re if issuing new common stock incurs re = [D0(1+g)]/[P0(1-F)] + g
a flotation cost
What factors influence a company’s 1. Market conditions
composite WACC? (overall WACC for the o Affect risk free rate that goes into cost of debt and cost of equity also affect RP M and inflation premium etc
whole term) 2. Firm’s capital structure and dividend policy  if firms distribute as dividends, firms will have very little internal
cash to fund investment project so they issue new common stock, hence r s = re in WACC
o Affect W (increase debt, increase default risk  rd may increase (if bond rating change), r s will also increase
as you will demand higher returns and beta increases)
o Affect cost of equity and preferred stock
3. The firm’s investment policy. Firms with riskier projects generally have a higher WACC
o Assets riskier  investors require a higher return
What happens when you increase debt?
- rd increases
- beta increases  rs increases
Hurdle rate Projects should be accepted if and only if their estimated returns exceed their cost of capital (hurdle rate)

- riskier project  higher WACC  higher hurdle rate


Should the company use the composite No. The composite WACC reflects the risk of an average project undertaken by the firm. Therefore, the WACC only
WACC as the hurdle rate for each of its represents the “hurdle rate” for a typical project with similar risk as the form as whole.
projects?
Different projects have different risks. The project’s WACC should be adjusted to reflect the project’s risk

If low risk company is evaluating high risk project, it may adjust its composite WACC upwards
AB1201
Financial Management

Week 8: The Basics of Capital Budgeting


Normal cash flow stream Cost (negative CF) followed by a series of positive cash inflows.
- One change of sign
Non-normal cash flow stream 2 or more changes of sign
- Eg: Cost (negative CF) then a string of positive CFs, then cost to close project (negative CF)
- Eg: Nuclear power plant
Short term v Long term projects Long term: bulk of the cash flows are happening towards the end
Short term: most cash flows come in at the start
Independent projects If the CFs of one are unaffected by the acceptance of the other
- Can accept one, accept both or accept none
Mutually exclusive projects If one is accepted, the other would have to be rejected
CF of one project will affect the other projects
- Accept one or accept one only
Capital Budgeting Decision Criteria 1. Payback
o Discounted payback
2. Net Present Value (NPV)
3. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
o Modified IRR (MIRR)
Payback period Number of years required to recover a project’s cost
Calculated by adding project’s cash inflows to its cost until the cumulative cash flows for the project turns positive
Assume CF arrive uniformly during the 3rd year

To determine which project to accept:


- Mutually exclusive: Choose the one with the shorter payback
- Independent: Subjective benchmark has to be used (look at pack project to determine benchmark only project less
than bench mark accepted)
What are the weaknesses of payback 1. Arbitrary benchmark
method? o Benchmark set subjectively by management based on factors such as project’s perceived risk and also based
on past projects payback period  does not say anything about whether shareholder’s wealth is maximised

2. Ignores the time value of money


o Shouldn’t be adding up CFs at different periods of time
3. Ignores CFs occurring after payback period
What are the strengths of payback method? 1. Easy to calculate and understand
2. Provides an indication of a project’s risk and liquidity
Discounted payback method Since one of the weakness of payback method is that it ignores TVM, we can use Discounted Payback Method
Calculate PV of CF by discounted the cost of capital
Net Present value (NPV) Sum of the PV of all cash inflows and outflows of a project

NPV = PV of Inflows – PV of Costs


= Net gain in shareholder’s wealth

- NPV indicates how much shareholders’ wealth will increase if project is taken up (Higher NPV  Higher increase in
shareholders’ wealth)

To determine which project to accept:


- Mutually exclusive: accept project with the highest positive NPV (those that add the most value to shareholders’
wealth)
- Independent: accept project as long as NPV > 0
NPV Profiles 1. Downward sloping NPV profiles
o Discount rate increases, NPV decreases due to discounting in NPV formula
2. Profiles have different slopes so NPV profiles cross
3. At crossover point, NPVL=NPVS
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Discount rate that forces NPV = 0 (Present value = Investment Cost)
IRR is the expected annual rate of return that the firm will earn if it invests in the project and receives the given cash flows

If IRR>cost of capital, the project’s return exceeds its costs and there is some return leftover to boost stockholders’ returns

To determine which project to accept:


- Mutually exclusive: accept project with highest IRR provided IRR>cost of capital
- Independent:
o If IRR>cost of capital: accept project
o If IRR<cost of capital: reject project
Comparing NPV and IRR methods If projects are independent, the 2 methods always lead to the same accept/reject decisions
If projects are mutually exclusive,
- If discount rate > crossover rate, the methods lead to the same decision and there is no conflict
- If discount rate < crossover rate, the methods lead to different accept/reject decisions

The conflict between NPV and IRR arises due to timing differences in cash flows and differences in project size (scale)
When there are differences in cash flow timing or project scale, this implies that the firm will have different amounts to
reinvest at various years depending on which of the mutually exclusive projects it accepts
The rate at which the intermediate cash flows are reinvested at is a critical issue
Why is NPV superior to IRR? 1. Reinvestment Rate Assumption
o NPV method assumes intermediate CFs are reinvested at the cost of capital
o IRR method assumes intermediate CFs are reinvested at IRR
o Assuming CFs reinvested at the cost of capital is more realistic

2. Projects with different scales


o Allows you to get at the question of “Which project will maximise shareholder’s wealth?”
Why do managers prefer IRR? Preference for rates of return (IRR) rather than actual dollar of return (NPV)

Modified IRR (MIRR) Discount rate that causes the PV of a project’s terminal value (TV) to equal the PV of costs. TV is found by compounding
inflows at cost of capital
To determine which project to accept:
- Mutually exclusive: accept project with higher MIRR
- Independent: accept project with MIRR>Cost of Capital
Why use MIRR instead of IRR? Managers like rate of return comparisons and MIRR is better for this than IRR
- MIRR assumes reinvestment at cost of capital which is more realistic than IRR assuming intermediate cash inflows
are reinvested at IRR rate
- MIRR also avoids the multiple IRRs problem
Is MIRR superior or equivalent to NPV? When evaluating mutually exclusive projects, NPV is superior to MIRR but MIRR is superior to IRR
MIRR has the same problem with IRR when evaluating projects with different scale

But when evaluating independent projects, the 3 criteria give the same accept/reject decisions
Multiple IRRs Suspect multiple IRRs problem if the CFs are non-normal and if cash inflows and outflows are roughly similar in magnitude
AB1201
Financial Management

Week 9: Cash Flow Estimation, Risk Analysis, And The Optimal Capital Budget
Why are we interested in cash flows instead In finance, cash is king. Valuation of assets is based on cash flows the asset is expected to produce.
of accounting income? Net income and operating income are not cash. They are accounting numbers. Under accrual-based accounting, revenues and
expenses are booked when they occur, not when the cash is received/paid. When evaluating projects, we are interested in the
cash flows that the project produces
Relevant cash flow Incremental cash flows that will occur if and only if the project is accepted

CF if project is accepted VS CF if project is not accepted  difference is the incremental CF


Net Operating Working Capital (NOWC) External costly finds needed to finance current assets

NOWC = Current assets – (Accrued wages and taxes + Accounts payable)


NOWC = Current assets – (Current liabilities – notes payable)
Free Cash Flow (FCF) Cash flows available to shareholders and debtholders less the need for re-investment to operate and produce future CFs

FCF = [EBIT(1-T) + Depreciation] – [Capital expenditures + Change in NOWC]

Determining Annual Depreciation Do not minus salvage value regardless of whether we are using MACRS or Straight line depreciation
Terminal Cash Flow Find after-tax salvage value
- Tax paid = Tax x (SV – remaining BV at time of sale)
- After tax salvage value = SV – Tax paid
Combining with NOWC
- Recovery of NOWC + After-tax salvage value = Terminal CF
Do we need to consider cash flows No, if there are no changes in NOWC in the interim years, then no CF is incurred in the interim years. To make life simpler,
associated with NOWC in the interim we assume that changes in NOWC take places only at the beginning of the project (t=0) and end of the project (t=N)
years?
Sensitivity Analysis Examines how sensitive NPV is to changes in each input variable. All other variables are held constant at base value
Scenario Analysis Possible alternative scenarios with different input values are proposed.
Probabilities are assigned to each scenario  Project’s expected NPV and standard deviation/CV of NPV
Monte Carlo Simulation Simulation techniques where the NPV for many scenarios are calculated  Project’s expected NPV and standard deviation
(CV) of NPV
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash No. Dividends and Interest expense should not be included in the analysis. When we calculate NPV, we are dividing by cost
Flows 1: Interest charges of capital, so financing charges are already being accounted for when we divide by the cost of capital
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash Relevant cash flows are incremental CF that occur if and only if you accept the project.
Flow 2: Sunk Costs Sunk cost would be incurred regardless of whether you accept/reject the project
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash Yes. By accepting the project, the firm foregoes a possible annual cash flow of $25,000 which is an opportunity cost to be
Flow 3: Opportunity Costs charged for the project and this should be charged to the project. There is an incremental cash flow.
Not-So-Obvious Relevant/Irrelevant Cash Yes. The effect on other businesses of the firm is an externality. The after-tax CF loss per year on the other business lines
Flow 4: Externalities would be a cost to this project.
Cannibalisation When the new business takes away the existing business
Replacement projects

Leasing To obtain use of assets, company can buy the asset or lease the asset
Lessor: Party owning the leased asset
Lessee: Party using the leased asset
Lease vs Borrow-and-buy FCF revisited:
FCF = [(EBIT)(1-T) + Dep] – [Capex + Change in NOWC]
= (sales – cash op exp – depreciation)(1-T) + dep
= sales(1-T) – cash op exp(1-T) – dep(1-T) + dep
= sales (1-T) – cash op exp (1-T) + Txdep  Txdep is the depreciation tax savings
Optimal Capital Budget Theory: Accept all positive NPV projects
Amount of investment that will lead to value maximisation

WACC increases as level of financing increases because as we raise more capital we will run out of retained earnings so we
will issue more common stock which is more expensive. Furthermore, as you issue more debt and preferred stock, the cost of
debt and preferred stock also increases because the likelihood of default increases with more debt being raised.

Intersection between WACC and IRR is the optimal capital budget

Leasing
AB1201
Financial Management

Week 11: Capital Structure and Leverage


Sources of Capital: Debt A firm promises to make fixed payments (interest and principal) regularly. However, when the firm defaults on payment,
bankruptcy may occur

Eg: bank debt, bonds


Sources of Capital: Equity Equity holders receives whatever cash flows that is left over in the firm after paying the debtholders.
Equity holders have residual claims  residual claimant

Eg: Common stock, retained earnings


Hybrid financing Eg: Convertible bonds, preferred stock, lease

Have features of both debt and equity


Capital Structure Percentage of debt, preferred stock and common equity that is used to finance a firm’s assets

Commonly used ratio: Debt to capital ratio = Debt/(Debt + Equity + Preferred Stock)
Business Risk Risk inherent in a firm’s operations (Risk that deals with the operations of the firm)
- Uncertainty about future operating income (EBIT)
Measured using standard deviation of EBIT  Area under curve = likelihood of EBIT falling within E(EBIT) (expected
EBIT)  flatter curve shows higher risk
Determination of Business Risk EBIT = Sales – Operating Cost
= Quantity*Price – Operating Cost

Hence, determination of business risk


- Uncertainty about demand (sales)
- Uncertainty about output prices
- Uncertainty about costs
- Product, other types of liabilities  potential of lawsuits
- Operating leverage
Effects of Operating Leverage on Business Operating leverage is the use of fixed costs other than variable costs
Risk More fixed cost  more operating leverage  more business risk (small sales decline causes a big EBIT decline)
Trade-off when using operating leverage Although operating leverage comes with higher business risk, it is also accompanied by higher E(EBIT)  Higher operating
income
Financial Leverage Use of debt and preferred stock which incurs fixed financial charges
Financial Risk Additional risk concentrated on common stockholders as a result of financial leverage
- More debt, more financial risk

Higher debt  Higher profitability  Higher risk


Optimal Capital Structure Capital structure (mix of debt, preferred and common equity) at which stock price is maximised/ maximises shareholder’s
wealth

Stock price is affected by future CF and risk of CF so when we find optimal capital structure, we trade off higher expected
profitability against higher risk when we increase debt

Goal: Find the stock price at each level of debt and the debt level that maximises stock prices is the optimal capital structure
Determining the impact of changing capital
structure on stock price

To find expected stock price at each debt level, we must find the EPS and appropriate r s at each debt level

EPS = (EBIT – rdD)(1-T)/Shares outstanding


Finding the Optimal Capital Structure: Recapitalisation: financial restructuring process where firms make drastic changes to its capital structure
Sequence of events in a recapitalisation 1. A firm announces the recapitalisation
2. New debt is issued
3. Proceeds from debt issuance are used to repurchase stock (eg firms may use shares in stockmarket and buy up shares
in open market)
o Total capital does not change
o The number of shares repurchased is equal to the amount of debt issued divided by price per share
Should we set the optimal capital structure No. When we maximise EPS  also comes with higher risk (Trade off)
at the debt/capital ratio where EPS is
maximised?
What effect does more debt have on a Higher financial leverage
firm’s cost of equity and EPS? - Higher EPS (Generally)
- Higher financial risk by shareholders  Higher required return by shareholders  Higher cost of equity, rs
Hamada equation bL = bU [1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
Shows how higher financial leverage leads to a higher cost of equity
2 Methods to Find Optimal Capital 1. Maximise stock price
Structure 2. Minimise WACC
Capital Structure in Reality - Need to make calculations as we did but should also recognise that inputs are estimates
- As a result of imprecise numbers, capital structure decisions have a large judgmental content
- We end up with capital structures varying widely among firms, even similar ones in the same industry
Relaxing Assumption 1: Tax benefit of debt Interest expense is tax deductible  Pay less taxes. But distributions to shareholders eg dividends do not reduce taxes
Relaxing Assumption 2: Bankruptcy costs Expected bankruptcy costs depends on:
- Probability of bankruptcy: How volatile is your future cash flow?
- Actual costs incurred when in bankruptcy: Legal and accounting fees, liquidation of assets at fire-sales, loss of
customers, suppliers, employees etc
- Indirect costs due to the threat of bankruptcy: Customers and suppliers refuse to do business with the firm because
they think that the firm may go bankrupt anytime
Relaxing Assumption 3: Signalling effects - Under MM’s Irrelevance Theory, shareholders and managers have the same information about a firm’s prospects
(Symmetric information)
- But in reality, managers have more information than outside shareholders
- Signalling theory suggests firms use less debt than what trade-off theory suggests
o This unused debt capacity helps avoid stock sales, which depress stock price because of signalling effects
Relaxing Assumption 4: Agency costs - Conflicts may arise between managers and shareholders  agency problems
- When they have excess cash, managers tend to spend the cash on their pet projects or perquisites
- Debt can constrain managers because the managers must now make sure they earn enough to cover the regular
interest payments. Failing to do so, may force the firms to go into bankruptcy and the managers will lose their jobs as
a result
AB1201
Financial Management

Week 12: Distributions to Shareholders


Dividend Policy Dividend policy has to do with the decision of whether to pay dividends versus retaining funds to reinvest, and also the
decision to pay back using cash dividends or repurchase shares
Optimal Dividend Policy Optimal dividend policy should maximise stock price

Increasing dividend has 2 opposing effects on the stock price


- Increase dividends  Increase D1  upward pressure on stock price
- Increase dividends  less is available for reinvestment  Decrease g  Downward pressure on stock price
Dividend Irrelevance Theory - Proposed by Modigliani and Miller (1961)
- Stock price is determined only by the earning power and risk of its assets (investments)  dividends don’t matter
- Investors are indifferent between dividends and retention-generated capital gains
- Investors can create their own dividend policy
o If they want cash, they can sell stock
o If they do not want cash, they can use dividends to buy stock
- Implication: Any payout is okay  dividend do not affect stock price
Bird-in-Hand Theory: Investors Prefer - Investors may think dividends obtained today are less risky than potential future capital gains, hence investors prefer
Dividends dividends
- Stocks with high dividends  Less risky  Shareholders require lower return, rs  High stock price
- Implication: Set a high payout
Tax Issues: Investors Prefer Capital Gains - Avoid transaction costs from investing of dividends
- Tax advantages of capital gains:
o Capital gains are usually taxed at a lower rate than dividends but this differs depending on tax regimes
o Taxes on dividends are due in the year they are received, taxes on capital gains are due when the stock is
sold
o Favourable capital gains tax treatment on inherited stock
- To the extent that dividends have a tax disadvantage relative to capital gains, shareholders prefer capital gains
- Implication: Set a low payout
Stock Price Reactions to Dividend Changes Results seem to suggest shareholder prefer dividends
Signalling (Information Content) Investors view dividend changes as signals of management’s view of the future
Hypothesis - Since managers hate to cut dividends, they will not raise dividends unless they think the raise is sustainable
- Dividend increase  Good future prospects
- Dividends decrease  Bad future prospects
Therefore, a stock price increase at the time of a dividend increase could reflect higher expectations for future EPS, not a
preference for dividends
Clientele Effect Different groups of investors, or clienteles, prefer different dividend policies. For example,
- Working adults with regular salaries may prefer capital gains
- Retired individuals without regular salaries may prefer dividends
Firm’s past dividend policy determines its current clientele of investors
Implication: Clientele effects impede changing dividend policy. Taxes and brokerage costs hurt investors who have to switch
companies
Other Distributions Other than cash dividends, other forms of distributions include:
- Dividend reinvestment plans
- Stock repurchases

Stock dividends and stock split are not exactly distributions but they are dividend policies
Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) Shareholders choose to receive the cash dividends or to have the company use the dividends to buy more stock in the firm on
behalf of the investor
- Shareholders can automatically reinvest their dividends in shares of the company’s common stock
- Get more stock than cash

2 types of plans:
- Open market
- New stock
DRIP: Open Market Purchase Plan vs New Open market purchase plan: Dollars to be reinvested are turned over to the trustee who buys shares on the open market
Stock Plan - Brokerage costs are reduced by volume purchases
- Convenient, easy way to invest thus useful for investors

New stock plan: Firm issues new stock to DRIP enrolees (usually at a discount from the market price), keeps money and uses
it to buy assets
- Helps conserve cash
- Companies that need capital use new stock plans
Stock Repurchases When companies decide to pay out cash instead of retaining it, they can choose to pay cash dividends or buy back their own
stock from stockholders.
Shares outstanding is reduced. The shares bought back are held as treasury stock and can be resold in the future to raise
capital
Stock Dividends and Stock Splits Stock dividend: Firms issue new shares in lieu of paying a cash dividend
- If a 10% stock dividend is announced, shareholders get 10 shares for each 100 shares owned
- Shares outstanding increases

Stock split: Firm increases the number of shares outstanding, say 2:1. Shareholders get more shares.
- Example: Assume a company has 100 shares outstanding and each share is trading at $10. The company announces a
2-for-1 stock split. After the split, the company would have 200 shares outstanding and each share should be worth
$5
- Market value of equity remains at $1000

Stock dividends and stock splits increases the number of shares outstanding so “the pile is divided into smaller pieces”
Unless the stock dividend or split conveys information, the stock price falls so as to keep each investor’s wealth unchanged
But splits/stock dividends may get us to an “optimal price range”
- Optimal price range for stocks is $20 to $80. Stock splits and stock dividends can be used to keep the price in this
optimal range
Effects of Stock Splits and Stock Dividends Stock splits and stock dividends are viewed as positive signals that the management is confident about future earnings.
on Firm’s Value Therefore stock price may increase as a result.
- On average, stocks tend to outperform the market in the year following a split

By creating more shares and lowering the stock price, stock splits may increase the stock’s liquidity and may tend to increase
the firm’s value

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