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Statistics and Probability
Statistics and Probability
Probability
Quarter 4 – Module 7:
Drawing Conclusion About
Population Mean Based on
Test Statistic Value and
Critical Region
Statistics and Probability – Grade 11
Alternative Delivery Mode
Quarter 4 – Module 7: Drawing Conclusion About Population Mean Based on
Test Statistic Value and Rejection Region
First Edition, 2020
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Published by the Department of Education
Secretary: Leonor Magtolis Briones
Undersecretary: Diosdado M. San Antonio
Development Team of the Module
Writer: Nelda L. Oabel
Editors: Jerome A. Chavez, Gilberto M. Delfina, Garry S. Villaverde, and Pelagia L.
Manalang
Reviewers: Josephine V. Cabulong, and Nenita N. De Leon
Illustrator: Jeewel C. Cabriga
Layout Artist: Edna E. Eclavea
Management Team: Wilfredo E. Cabral, Regional Director
Job S. Zape Jr., CLMD Chief
Elaine T. Balaogan, Regional ADM Coordinator
Fe M. Ong-ongowan, Regional Librarian
Aniano M. Ogayon, Schools Division Superintendent
Maylani L. Galicia, Assistant Schools Division Superintendent
Randy D. Punzalan, Assistant Schools Division Superintendent
Imelda C. Raymundo, CID Chief
Generosa F. Zubieta, EPS In-charge of LRMS
Pelagia L. Manalang, EPS
Welcome to the Statistics and Probability for Senior High School Alternative
Delivery Mode (ADM) Module on Drawing Conclusion About Population
Mean Based on Test Statistic Value and Rejection Region!
This learning resource hopes to engage the learners into guided and
independent learning activities at their own pace and time. Furthermore,
this also aims to help learners acquire the needed 21st century skills while
taking into consideration their needs and circumstances.
In addition to the material in the main text, you will also see this box in the
body of the module:
As a facilitator, you are expected to orient the learners on how to use this
module. You also need to keep track of the learners' progress while allowing
them to manage their own learning. Furthermore, you are expected to
encourage and assist the learners as they do the tasks included in the
module.
ii
For the learner:
Welcome to the Statistics and Probability for Senior High School Alternative
Delivery Mode (ADM) Module on Drawing Conclusion About Population
Mean Based on Test Statistic Value and Rejection Region!
The hand is one of the most symbolical parts of the human body. It is often
used to depict skill, action, and purpose. Through our hands, we may learn,
create, and accomplish. Hence, the hand in this learning resource signifies
that as a learner, you are capable and empowered to successfully achieve
the relevant competencies and skills at your own pace and time. Your
academic success lies in your own hands!
This module was designed to provide you with fun and meaningful
opportunities for guided and independent learning at your own pace and
time. You will be enabled to process the contents of the learning resource
while being an active learner.
iii
Answer Key at the end of the module.
What I Have This includes questions or blank
Learned sentences/paragraphs to be filled in to
process what you learned from the
lesson.
iv
What I Need to Know
In this module, you will learn how interpret the result based on the
computed value of t-test and z-test. Perform each activity independently. If
you find any difficulty in answering the exercises, you may consult your
peers or ask the assistance of your teacher.
1
What I Know
4. If the t-computed value is 1.093 and the critical value is 1.699, what will
be the decision?
A. Reject both hypotheses. C. Do not reject the null hypothesis.
B. Reject the null hypothesis. D. Support the alternative hypothesis.
5. On the given figure below, the t-computed value is 2.130. What
conclusion can be drawn?
2
6. What does it mean when the null hypothesis is rejected?
A. The null hypothesis is incorrect.
B. The alternative hypothesis is correct.
C. There is sufficient evidence to support the null hypothesis.
D. There is sufficient evidence to disprove the null hypothesis.
7. If the z-computed value is 2.505 and the critical value is 2.011, what will
be the decision?
A. Reject both hypotheses. C. Support the null hypothesis.
B. Reject the null hypothesis. D. Do not reject the null hypothesis.
8. From the given figure below, the z-computed value is 1.375. What
conclusion can be drawn?
3
C. rejecting both the null and alternative hypotheses
D. supporting both the null and alternative hypotheses
4
Drawing Conclusion About
Lesson
Population Mean Based on
1 Test Statistic Value and
Critical Region
The final step in testing hypothesis is to interpret the results or draw
conclusions out of the computed value. In this module, you will decide
whether you reject or not the null hypothesis.
What’s In
Fact or Bluff?
Directions: Write FACT if the statement is true and BLUFF if not. Then,
answer the guide questions that follow.
___________ 1. The notation 𝜇 and 𝜎 are sample values.
___________ 2. The alternative hypothesis is a statement that there is no
significance difference between the two given properties.
___________ 3. In the given, 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 21.5 and 𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 > 21.5 show a one-tailed
test since it shows direction of the distribution.
___________ 4. The rejection region for a hypothesis test is also called the
critical region.
___________ 5. The two types of significance test are one-tailed and two-
tailed test.
___________ 6. The level of significance refers to the degree of significance in
which we reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis.
___________ 7. We don’t need to set the level of the significance because we
can get 100% accuracy level in testing hypothesis.
___________ 8. A two-tailed test shows that the null hypothesis may be
rejected when the test value is on the critical region on either
side of the distribution.
___________ 9. Hypothesis testing is basically testing an assumption that we
make about the population parameter.
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__________ 10. In a two-tailed test, the null hypothesis should not be rejected
when the test value is on either of the two critical regions.
Guide Questions:
1. Were you able to answer the questions correctly? If yes, you may proceed
to the next question. If not, you may go back to the previous discussion
so that you can recall the different terms related to hypothesis testing.
3. After obtaining the computed value of your statistic, how will you
interpret the result?
What’s New
Which Is Greater?
Directions: Write the symbols greater than (>), less than (<), or equal to (=)
in the following numbers. Then, answer the questions that follow.
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Were you able to write the correct symbols? If not, which part was
confusing? Why do you think so?
You must know how to use these symbols in preparation for this
lesson.
What Is It
Level of Significance
Type of Test
𝜶 = 1% 𝜶 = 2.5% 𝜶 = 5% 𝜶 = 10%
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12 1.782 2.179 2.681 3.055
13 1.771 2.160 2.650 3.012
14 1.761 2.145 2.624 2.977
15 1.753 2.131 2.602 2.947
16 1.746 2.120 2.583 2.921
17 1.740 2.110 2.567 2.898
18 1.734 2.101 2.552 2.878
19 1.729 2.093 2.539 2.861
20 1.725 2.086 2.528 2.845
21 1.721 2.080 2.512 2.831
22 1.717 2.074 2.508 2.819
23 1.714 2.069 2.500 2.807
24 1.711 2.064 2.492 2.797
25 1.708 2.060 2.485 2.787
26 1.706 2.056 2.479 2.779
27 1.703 2.052 2.473 2.771
28 1.701 2.048 2.467 2.763
29 1.699 2.045 2.462 2.756
30 1.697 2.042 2.457 2.750
31 1.695 2.040 2.453 2.744
32 1.694 2.037 2.449 2.738
33 1.692 2.035 2.445 2.733
34 1.691 2.032 2.441 2.728
35 1.690 2.030 2.438 2.724
36 1.688 2.028 2.434 2.719
37 1.687 2.026 2.431 2.715
38 1.686 2.024 2.429 2.712
39 1.685 2.023 2.426 2.708
40 1.684 2.021 2.423 2.704
42 1.682 2.018 2.418 2.698
44 1.680 2.015 2.414 2.692
46 1.679 2.013 2.410 2.687
48 1.677 2.011 2.407 2.682
50 1.676 2.009 2.403 2.678
60 1.671 2.000 2.390 2.660
Infinity 1.645 1.960 2.326 2.576
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In general, if the absolute value of the computed value is greater
than the absolute value of the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis
and support the alternative hypothesis. But if the absolute value of the
computed value is less than the absolute value of the critical value, we do
not reject or we fail to reject the null hypothesis and the alternative
hypothesis is not supported.
In a right-tailed test, if the computed value is greater than the
critical value, we reject the null hypothesis and support the alternative
hypothesis. But if the computed value is less than the critical value, we do
not reject or we fail to reject the null hypothesis and the alternative
hypothesis is not supported.
In a left-tailed test, if the computed value is less than the critical
value, we reject the null hypothesis and support the alternative
hypothesis. But if the computed value is greater than the critical value, we
do not reject or we fail to reject the null hypothesis and the alternative
hypothesis is not supported.
Rejecting the null hypothesis doesn’t mean that it is incorrect or the
alternative hypothesis is correct. The collected data suggest a sufficient
evidence to disprove the null hypothesis, hence we reject it.
Similarly, a failure to reject the null hypothesis does not mean that it
is true -only that the test did not prove it to be false. There is an insufficient
evidence to disprove the null hypothesis; hence we do not reject it.
Decision: 1.645
The computed z-value is 1.875 which is greater than the critical value of
1.645. Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis and support the alternative
hypothesis.
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Example 2: Compute for its value given the following information. Use 𝛼 =
0.01. Interpret the result.
𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 127 𝑥̅ = 124.5 𝜇 = 127
𝐻𝑎 :𝜇 < 127 𝑠=5 𝑛 = 12
Rejection Acceptance or
𝑥̅ − 𝜇 −2. 5
𝑡= 𝑡= Region Non-Rejection
𝑠 5 Region
ξ𝑛 3.46
124. 5 − 127 −2.5
𝑡= 𝑡=
5 1.44
ξ12 𝐭 = −𝟏. 𝟕𝟑𝟔
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
-2.718
Decision:
The computed t-value is greater than the t-critical value at 𝛼 = 0.01 (i.
e.−1.736 > −2.718. Since we have a left-tailed test, our conclusion is that we
fail to reject the null hypothesis.
It is a two-tailed test, since it does not mention about the direction of the
distribution. Since σ is unknown and n < 30, we will use t-test. The degree of
freedom (df = n - 1) is 25 and 𝛼 = 2.5%. Therefore, the t-critical value from
Table 2 is 2.485. Thus, we have:
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Non-Rejection
𝑥̅ − 𝜇 900 Region Rejection Region
𝑡= 𝑠 𝑡=
1 250
ξ𝑛 5.10
10 900 − 10 000 900
𝑡= 𝑡=
1 250 245. 10
ξ26 𝐭 = 𝟑. 𝟔𝟕𝟏
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
-2.485 2.485
Decision:
The absolute value of the computed t-value is greater than the absolute of the
critical t-value at 𝛼 = 0.025 (i.e. |3.671|> |2.485|). Therefore, we reject the null
hypothesis.
Conclusion:
We can conclude that there is enough evidence to reject the claim of the
government that P10,000 is the monthly expenses of a Filipino family with
four members.
What’s More
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Activity 2: Find Me
Directions: Complete the table below. Use Table 1: z-Critical Value and
Table 2: t-Critical Value. The first item is done for you.
Type of Test 𝜶 Sampl Compute Critical Decision
e Size d Value Value
1. one-tailed Reject the null
0.05 n = 17 2.015 1.746
hypothesis.
2. 0.01 n ≥ 30 1.361 ±2.575
3. two-tailed 0.05 n = 27 3.026
4. one-tailed Do not reject
0.1 2.318 2.552 the null
hypothesis.
5. one-tailed n ≥ 30 1.008 ±1.960
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Activity 4: Interpret Me
Directions: Draw a conclusion from the given information.
1. 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 80 𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 ≠ 80
The sample mean is 83, the sample size is 39, and the standard deviation
is 5. Use 𝛼 = 0.05.
2. 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 7. 5 𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 > 7. 5
The sample mean is 8.3 and the sample size is 52. The population follows
a normal distribution with standard deviation of 3.17. Use 𝛼 = 0.01.
3. 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 10 𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 > 10
The sample mean is 15, the sample standard deviation is 6.1, and the
sample size is 9. Use 𝛼 = 0.05.
5. 𝐻𝑜 : 𝜇 = 215 𝐻𝑎 : 𝜇 ≠ 215
The population is approximately normal. The sample mean is 219.3, the
sample standard deviation is 13.12, and the sample size is 22. Use
𝛼 = 0.05.
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What I Have Learned
What I Can Do
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Assessment
15
7. If the z-computed value is 1.253 and the critical value is 1.645, what will
be the decision?
A. Reject the null hypothesis.
B. Do not reject the null hypothesis.
C. Reject both the null and alternative hypotheses.
D. Support both the null and alternative hypotheses.
8. On the given figure below, the z-computed value is 2.431. What
conclusion can be drawn?
A. Reject the null hypothesis.
B. Fail to reject the null hypothesis.
C. Reject both the null and alternative
hypotheses.
D. Support both the null and alternative
hypotheses.
.
9. In a right-tailed test, if the critical value is greater than the computed
value, then we __________________________________.
A. reject the null hypothesis
B. fail to reject the null hypothesis
C. reject both the null and alternative hypotheses
D. support both the null and alternative hypotheses
10. A drink vending machine is adjusted so that, on average, it dispenses
200ml of fruit juice with a standard deviation of 13ml into a plastic cup.
However, the machine tends to go out of adjustment and periodic checks
are made to determine the average amount of fruit juice being dispensed.
The operator thinks that the amount dispensed is less than 200 ml. So to
verify, a sample of 25 drinks is taken to test the adjustment of the
machine and a mean of 195 is obtained. For α = 5%, an appropriate
decision rule would be _________________________________.
A. retain the null hypothesis C. support the null hypothesis
B. reject the null hypothesis D. fail to reject the null hypothesis
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C. Reject both the null and alternative hypotheses.
D. Support both the null and alternative hypotheses.
For nos. 14-15, refer to the given statement:
Additional Activities
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18
What I What's In What's What's More
Know (FACT or New (Activity 1:
1. A BLUFF?) (Which Is Rejected or
2. B Greater?) Failed to
3. D Reject?)
1. BLUFF 1. <
4. C
5. A 2. BLUFF 2. =
6. D 3. FACT 3. > 1. rejected
7. A 4. <
4. FACT 2. not rejected
8. B 5. >
5. FACT
9. D 6. < 3. rejected
6. FACT
10.A 7. >
11.D 7. BLUFF 4. rejected
8. <
12.A 8. FACT
9. > 5. not rejected
13.D 9. FACT
14.D 10.<
10.BLUFF
15.D
What's More(Activity 2: Find Me)
Type of Test 𝜶 Sampl Compute Critical Decision
e Size d Value Value
1. one-tailed 0.05 n = 17 2.015 1.746 Reject the null
hypothesis.
2. Two-tailed Do not reject
0.01 n ≥ 30 1.361 ±2.575 the null
hypothesis
3. two-tailed Reject the null
0.05 n = 27 3.026 2.056
hypothesis
4. one-tailed Do not reject
0.1 n = 19 2.318 2.552 the null
hypothesis.
5. one-tailed Failed to
0.025 n ≥ 30 1.008 ±1.960 reject the null
hypothesis
Answer Key
19
What I Have What I Can Do
Assessment Reject the null
Learned hypothesis. There is
1. D 9. B
1. reject 2. B 10. B enough evidence at
2. reject 3. D 11. A 0.05 level of
3. do not reject 4. B 12. A significance that the
4. greater than 5. B 13. A students spend more
5. less than 6. D 14. B than 11.28 hours in a
6. reject 7. B 15. B week doing
8. A performance tasks.
7. do not reject
What's More What's More
(Activity 4: Interpret Me) (Activity 3: Am I
1. Reject the null hypothesis. Rejected or Not?)
2. Fail to reject the null hypothesis. 1. Red 6. Red
3. Reject the null hypothesis. 2. Blue 7. Red
4. Fail to reject the null hypothesis. 3. Red 8. Red
5. Fail to reject the null hypothesis. 4. Blue 9. Blue
5. Blue 10. Blue
References
Textbooks
Albacea, Zita VJ., Mark John V. Ayaay, Isidoro P. David, and Imelda E. De
Mesa. Teaching Guide for Senior High School: Statistics and Probability.
Quezon City: Commision on Higher Education, 2016.
Online Resources
HackMath.net. “Normal Distribution Calculator.” Accessed May 22, 2020
https://www.hackmath.net/en/calculator/normaldistribution?mean=
0&sd=1&area=above&above=1.645&below=&ll=&ul=&outsideLL=&out
sideUL=&draw=Calculate
20
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