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Case Studies in Solar Radiation Modelling: Usher'
Case Studies in Solar Radiation Modelling: Usher'
Case Studies in Solar Radiation Modelling: Usher'
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Printed in Great Britain. All rights reserved Copyright 0 1989Maxwell Pergamon Macmillanplc
J. R. USHER’and T. MUNEER’
Schools of ‘Mathematical Sciences & Computer Studies and 2Mechanical & Offshore Engineering, Faculty
of Technology, Robert Gordon’s Institute of Technology, Aberdeen, Scotland
Communicated by E. Y. Rodin
Abstract-Mathematical modelling has played a significant role in many aspects of the study of solar
radiation. Attention here is focused on the problem of estimating solar irradiation on surfaces of arbitrary
orientation and tilt. In an attempt to solve this problem a group of appropriate modelling case studies
are presented and discussed. These case studies are presented in a form suitable for classroom
development.
1. INTRODUCTION
Solar radiation is essential to life on Earth. It affects the Earth’s weather processes which determine
our natural environment. Its presence at the Earth’s surface is necessary for the provision of food.
Thus, it is important to be able to understand the physics of solar radiation and in particular to
determine the amount intercepted by the Earth’s surface. Until 1960 there were only three stations
in north-west Europe, with irradiation records exceeding a 25year period. Since then there has been
a steady increase in interest in this area of study and mathematical modelling has had an
increasingly important role to play in various developments that have taken place [l-3].
It is intended that the following material will give the student an insight into some aspects of
the modelling process for estimating solar irradiation on surfaces of arbitrary orientation and tilt.
In view of the complexity of this area of study the material is presented as a group of related case
studies, not everyone of which illustrates all phases of the modelling process, though each illustrates
some aspect of the process. Nevertheless, when these case studies are looked at in their entirety
they should provide the student with an overview of the modelling process.
One very important procedure in the modelling process which has to be employed in complex
situations involves breaking down a problem into constituent parts, analysing each part individ-
ually and then re-constructing the parts as a whole. It is with such a procedure in mind that the
following material is presented.
A statement of the primary problem and general background is given in Section 2. The material
is presented in such a way that it should enable the student, with the lecturer’s aid if necessary, to
(i) compile a list of questions which he/she would require answering
and
(ii) categorize the questions compiled in (i) and identify different areas of relevant
interest.
This forms the essence of Case Study 1 presented in Section 3. One approach to answering the
questions raised in Case Study 1 is given in Section 3.3, which then leads directly to the
identification of two particular models. These models are developed in Case Studies 2 and 3 and
they enable us to discuss the primary problem of estimating solar irradiation on surfaces of
arbitrary orientation and tilt.
1155
1156 J. R. USHERand T. MUNEER
for energy conservation purposes [5]; the effect on human skin, which has now been shown in
certain circumstances to be a likely cause of skin cancer [6]. In the climatological study of solar
radiation there is a general dearth of data available, particularly for inclined surface irradiation.
It is this particular area of study that we shall be interested in. The main question we shall try to
answer is:
“How can we estimate solar irradiation on surfaces of arbitrary orientation and tilt?”
however, this ignores the effects of orientation and of bright days. By employing realistic prediction
methods for daylight, subsequent results can be employed in the design process for reducing energy
costs. The need for reliable prediction methods for daylight is genuine owing to the fact that there
is a dearth of measured illuminance data.
The current awareness of the energy consumption in buildings has called for strict conservation
measures. The optimal building design from an energy conservation viewpoint demands among
other requirements, precise knowledge of solar irradiation on windows, walls and roofs. The low
energy loss, multiple glazed window technology has helped pave the way for a greater use of
fenestration. Although, in winter seasons, the fenestrations may be employed for admittance of
solar energy they may tend to overheat the building in the summer. Thus, an optimum design would
require a year-round study of the energy balance: day-gains and nocturnal losses.
Also in the utilization of active or passive solar energy, estimation of the irradiation on collectors
of different orientations and tilts is required [13].
In the U.K. components of solar irradiation are measured and recorded by the Meteorological
Office at various locations. For many of these locations the records exceed a period of 37 years
[14]. It is also worth noting that the Meteorological Office also records snow cover data for a large
number of locations [ 151.
3.3. Solution
It is suggested that for students with little modelling experience the lecturer pools the students’
questions and it is hoped that the suggested questions would fall into the following broad
categories. For students with some modelling experience, groups of students could carry out the
above procedure themselves, with the lecturer helping if necessary.
Category Examples
Aims How is solar irradiation measured?
On what surface is solar irradiation measured?
Control variables What is the meaning of surface orientation and tilt?
What is the meaning of the daylight factor?
What is the meaning of components of solar irradiation?
What is the difference between diffuse and global irradiation?
How often are solar irradiation measurements taken by the
Meteorological Office at the various sites?
What is the significance of the Meteorological Offices’s snow
cover data?
Constraints Where are the locations of the Meteorological Office measurements?
Are there enough radiation recording stations?
To what extent is the Meteorological Office data valid?
Miscellaneous Are measurements being carried out frequently enough?
(irrelevant?)
1158 J. R. USHER
and T. MUNEER
If the lecturer, or group of students with the lecturer’s guidance, can categorize each question
as above the lecturer may (if he wishes) direct the student’s thinking along the lines suggested in
the following case studies where answers to some of these questions may be found. Such a
categorization may both reduce the need to find an answer to each individual question and
concentrate attention on the general conceptual components of the problem.
The following approach to the problem of predicting solar irradiation on an inclined surface
assumes that the most significant variables are:
However, before we can formulate the problem mathematically we will require answers to the
following questions:
4.3. Solution
The background material suggests that a validated model for diffuse irradiation on an inclined
surface would require:
L = L (1+ b cos 0)
0 z (1)
(l+b) ’
where
&---the zenith angle (i.e. angle between the line of observation and the vertical),
b-the radiance distribution index
and
LO, L,--the luminance at angle 8 and along the vertical axis, respectively.
Moon and Spencer [12] have suggested a value of b = 2 on the basis of certain measured
horizontal and inclined surface illuminance data. In particular, Fig. 1 shows measured data from
two sites in the U.S.A. and one site in Germany. The curve illustrates the model proposed by Moon
and Spencer [12]. In regard to Fig. 1 it should be noted that Moon and Spencer [12] reported the
position of the sun for the days on which measurements were carried out in Washington, D.C.,
and Chicago, Ill. (viz. OS), but not for measurements reported for Kiel.
Using the model due to Moon and Spencer and employing one year’s hourly data for Lerwick
(Shetlands) and Easthampstead (Berks., England), Muneer [3] has proposed the radiance distri-
bution of the sky for the three categories which a surface may be placed under. The values of “b”
for the three cases are provided in Table 1.
Table 1. Values of b for Moon and Spencer’s [12] model [equation (l)] for Lenuick
and Easthampstead
Case Lerwick Easthampstead
Surface in the shade 5.49 5.13
Sunlit surface under overcast sky I .04 1.68
Sunlit surface under non-overcast skv -0.73 -0.62
Equation (1) provides the radiance distribution of the sky. In order to obtain the total diffuse
irradiation on an inclined surface, equation (1) is integrated for the portion of the sky which is
“seen” by the surface. The resultant equation [see 171 is
where
a---the inclination of the surface
and
Zn, I,,--represent the horizontal and slope diffuse irradiation, respectively.
(For a synopsis of the derivation of this result see the Appendix; this derivation provides a good
student exercise.)
Thus, the above equation provides the value of slope diffuse irradiation emanating from the sky
vault (In,) if the horizontal diffuse irradiation (In) and the inclination of the surface (a) are known.
Consequently, equation (2) provides a complete model for the two cases when the surface is in the
shade and when the surface faces the sun under overcast conditions. However, for the case when
the surface faces the sun under non-overcast conditions the diffuse irradiation on an inclined
surface is composed of two components-a circumsolar component incident with the beam
irradiation and a background-sky component. These two components are “mixed” according to
the clarity of the sky, i.e. for clear skies there will be more circumsolar and less background
radiation and vice versa. The empirical model suggested by Muneer [3] is
[see equation (2)]; and i is the angle between the incident beam and a normal to the inclined surface.
Note that the first term on the r.h.s. of equation (3) represents the circumsolar component and
the second term the background-sky component.
Camborne
0.20
-1
0 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00
Clearness index
5.3. Solution
It has been reported by investigators [19,20] that the diffuse ratio (ratio of diffuse/global
irradiation) is uniquely related to the clearness index (ratio of global/extraterrestrial irradiation).
The earlier work in this field of solar radiation was carried out in the U.S.A. and Canada.
Recently, Muneer [3] has reported regression equations between the hourly diffuse ratio and
hourly clearness index for 11 locations in the U.K. Figure 2 shows a plot of the diffuse ratio vs
clearness index for Camborne, England. From this plot it is evident that there is a distinct
correlation between these two parameters. Clearly, the relationship is non-linear. If a regression
analysis is carried out for 1, /IG (diffuse ratio) on Ic /ZE(clearness index) employing several different
degrees of fit and R2 (coefficient of determination) calculated in each case, it is found that a cubic
provides the best fit. Thus, the relationship between &/lo and 1,/l, can be represented as follows:
IDI& = a, + a2KT + a3K: + a4K: for KT > 0.2, (6)
where
and ai (i = 1,2,3,4) are constants to be determined. From Fig. 2 it can be seen that for 0 < KT c 0.2
it is reasonable to assume that the diffuse ratio takes on a constant value.
Table 2 displays the locations of all the hourly solar radiation stations in the U.K. with the 11
locations chosen by Muneer [3] marked for identification. Muneer found the locations fell into two
groups, one containing all the mainland locations and the other group containing the locations in
the northern islands, i.e. Lerwick and Stornoway. For each of the 11 locations chosen by Muneer
Table 2. Hourly solar radiation stations in the U.K.
Latitude Longitude Parameter
station dee. min deg min Diffuse Global
Lerwicka 60 08 01 IlW X X
Stomoway” 58 12 06 19w X X
Aviemore 57 12 03 5OW X X
Aberdeen 57 10 02 05w X
Dunstaffnage 56 28 05 26W X
Dundee 56 27 03 04W X
Shamveil’ 56 26 02 52W X X
Eskdalemuir’ 55 19 03 I2 w X X
Moorhouse 54 41 02 23 W X
Aldergrove’ 54 39 06 13w X X
Cawood 53 50 01 08 W X
Aughton’ 53 33 02 52W X X
Finningley’ 53 29 01 OOW X X
Thornton 53 18 02 5ow X X
Hemsby 52 51 01 41 E X X
Graham Water 52 17 00 19w X
Cambridge 52 13 00 06E X X
Aberporth’ 52 08 04 34w X X
Cardington 52 06 00 25W X X
Hurley 51 32 00 49w X
London W.C. 51 31 00 07w X X
KeW 51 28 00 19w X X
Eastbampstead’ 51 23 00 47w X X
Crawley 51 05 00 13w X X
Camborne’ 50 13 05 19 w X X
Jersey 49 11 02 1lW X X
*Locations chosen by Muneer [3] for his work.
[3], a third degree regression equation was found to be the optimum. This result was obtained
by processing 2-3 years of hourly irradiation data for each of the 1I locations. The data were
recorded by the Meteorological Office using first class pyranometers and a digital logging
system; it should be borne in mind that there are still errors involved in taking these measure-
ments.
Muneer [3] found the regression curves for all 9 mainland locations to be close to each other
for each of the three seasons, i.e. winter, summer and spring/autumn. Furthermore, the winter and
spring/autumn curves were found to be in close proximity to each other. Thus a single regression
equation for the U.K. mainland for summer and for the rest of the year were found to be feasible.
The coefficients for the cubic given by equation (6) for each of the 11 locations and for the U.K.
mainland are provided in Table 3.
Thus, it is now possible to estimate the horizontal diffuse irradiation for those locations where
only the global irradiation is recorded. Also the diffuse irradiation model described in this section
may be used even for locations recording both parameters by alleviating the need for acquiring
additional diffuse irradiation data.
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
Derivation of Equation (2) for Diffuse Irradiation on an Inclined Surface
In order to obtain the total sky-diffuse irradiation on an inclined surface we may proceed as follows. (The analysis is
due to Steven [21].)
Consider the solar geometry for a surface having a slope of angle a to the horizontal and normal fi (see Fig. Al). Let
A be a unit vector in the direction of the sun, 0 be the zenith angle and r$ be the azimuthal angle. With respect to the
Cartesian co-ordinates x, y, z in the horizontal plane, as shown in Fig. Al.
If I(& 4) denotes the radiance distribution then the flux of radiation on the inclined surface is given by
and
C = R,B.
It is easily shown that
For subsequent evaluation of the integral in equation (A.2) it is convenient to transform to polar co-ordinates (r, q). Thus,
{l+b[-rcosnsina+cosz-,/m]}n(l:2P,3)rdrd+ (A.3
D.
The limits of integration are found to be. given by
O<r<l fors/2<1<3n/2,
and
where
cos a
4=
(1 -sin2asin2~)’
After some algebra the following result can be obtained:
)I
I 28
D” = co9 ;+ sin u - ci cos a - II sin2 E (‘4.6)
ID 0 3s(l + 2/?/3) [ (2 ’
where the subscript a has been introduced to signify that this is the total diffuse irradiation on a surface inclined at an
angle a to the horizontal. When /3 = 0, equation (A.6) reduces to the isotropic case.