A GIS-BASED PREDICTION OF SEISMIC CASUALTIES AND

BUILDING DAMAGES IN THE UNIVERSITY OF BATANGAS,

BATANGAS CITY
Lyka Jane M. Pesigana, Mhorien A. Macatangaya, Jania B. Mendozaa,
John Paulo L. Raymundoa, Russell Ross F. Reyesa,
Samantha Niccole P. Salubona, Darlene Mae D. Venturanzaa

a
Civil Engineering Department, College of Engineering, University of Batangas

ABSTRACT
The effects of an earthquake are terrible and devastating; destroying structures and killing
and injuring people. Due to the existence of disastrous earthquakes all over the world, the
essence of earthquake prediction to give warning of potentially damaging earthquakes
early enough to allow appropriate response to the disaster to enable minimized loss of life
and property is having greater importance. To evaluate potential seismic risks, this study
estimated seismic casualties and structural vulnerabilities in the University of Batangas
Main Campus. Earthquake scenario models were developed using Intensity Prediction
Equations (IPEs) for estimating shaking attenuation arising from seismic activities from
two fault zones: the West Valley Fault (with Segment IV as the assumed locus) and
Lubang Fault System. Seismic intensity maps were generated using geospatial tools. The
population data for campus buildings, damage ratio, and injury ratio was used to compute
the number of casualties. This study produced earthquake scenarios that could cause
earthquake intensity between 6.1 - 7.7 MMI. The results showed that the worst scenario
is a Mw 7.2 earthquake originating from Lubang Fault (Scenario I) which could cause
damage ranging 19-33% (19% into Medium Rise Concrete Moment Frame, C1-M and
33% to Low-Rise Concrete Moment Frame, C1-L); the aforementioned scenario could
also have affected and/or injured about 1.7% of the population.
Keywords: GIS, Earthquake, Intensity Prediction Equation, Lubang Fault, Batangas City