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Guide For Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (Empia) of Infrastructure Investments
Guide For Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (Empia) of Infrastructure Investments
Version 1.0
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Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA) of
Infrastructure Investments
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Preface
Employment is a key driver for development as it constitutes a bridge between
economic growth and poverty reduction. People and households get out of
poverty most often by moving into more productive and decent jobs or improving
existing jobs. Placing the aim of achieving full and productive employment at
the heart of development policy is therefore critical for reducing and eventually
eliminating poverty, reducing inequality and addressing informality. This is also
globally recognized with the adoption of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 8:
“Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive
employment and decent work for all.”
The European Commission (EC) and the International Labour Organization (ILO)
both recognize that, in order to achieve SDG 8, it is critical that full and productive
employment be at the heart of development policy. In the “New European
Consensus on Development”, the EC emphasizes the importance of targeted
policies in developing countries to promote the engagement of citizens - especially
the youth, women and potential migrants – in social, civic and economic life and
to ensure their full contribution to inclusive growth and sustainable development.
In this regard, the EC and ILO have jointly initiated a project entitled “Strengthening
the Impact on Employment of Sectoral and Trade Policies”. This innovative
project includes developing methods and capacities to determine the effects of
infrastructure investments on employment. This project, being implemented in nine
partner countries and working with national governments and social partners, aims
to strengthen the capabilities of country partners to analyse, design and implement
sectoral and trade policies and programmes for more and better jobs.
This Guide is one in a series of project publications that aim to capture the tools
and methods developed and used under this project, as well as the main lessons
from implementing these in the partner countries. By doing so, the experience and
learning of the project can be disseminated to other countries and partners for
their benefit, thus encouraging the integration of global and national employment
objectives into sectoral and trade policies and consequently supporting the global
employment agenda and the achievement of SDG 8.
This is Version 1.0 of this Guide, and as with all guides, it will require revisions from
time to time, based on lessons learned from when it is used. It is the intention to
revise this Guide based on the experiences and feedback of those who have used
it on their projects.
2 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Acknowledgements
This production of this Guide was supported by the project called “Strengthening the Impact
on Employment of Sectoral and Trade Policies” (STRENGTHEN), which is implemented by the
International Labour Office with financial support from the European Union.
This Guide builds on the collective work and experience with Monitoring of Employment
and conducting Employment Impact Assessments of the Employment Intensive Investment
Programme of the ILO. It also incorporates the experience and lessons learned from
conducting Employment Impact Assessment of Infrastructure investments as part of the
STRENGTHEN project. The inputs and comments provided by stakeholders, consultants and
experts in the partner countries when conducting and validating these assessment were also
incorporated.
This Guide was prepared by Maikel Lieuw-Kie-Song (Infrastructure Specialist ILO). Others
who contributed to parts of the guide are Haile Abebe (ILO), Shereen Abbady (Independent
Consultant, Jordan), Kirit Vaidya, and David Morris (Aston Business School, UK). Chris Donnges
and Terje Tessem provided valuable comments and suggestions on the Guide. In addition
valuable comments and inputs on relevant EmpIA studies were provided by David Cheong,
Matthieu Charpe, Marek Harsdorff and David Kucera (ILO).
Disclaimer
All views, findings and results expressed in this guide are of the authors alone and should not
be attributed to the EU, ILO or to any other organization with which the authors are affiliated.
3
Table of Contents
Preface. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Acknowledgements. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Disclaimer. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Abbreviations and acronyms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
UNIT 1
A Framework for assessing employment effects of infrastructure investments . . . . . . . . . . 9
1.1 Measuring and Monitoring Employment effects.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
1.2 M
echanisms for how Infrastructure Investment impact on Employment:
A Theory of Change. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
UNIT 2
Monitoring and reporting of the direct employment effects of infrastructure
investments.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
2.1 Core data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
2.2 Using the core data to calculate secondary indicators. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
2.3 Regular progress reporting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
2.4 Capturing Direct Employment impacts in Project Completion Reports. . . . . . . . . . . 25
2.5 Ex-ante estimations and employment targets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
UNIT 3
In depth EmpIA studies on direct employment effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
3.1 Defining the scope. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
3.2 Data and Indicators for more in depth assessments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
3.3Methodology: Interviews, site visits, document reviews and surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
3.4 Data collection. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
3.5 Data analysis and expert assessments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
3.6 Reporting of results. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
3.7Project level data and information useful for macro estimations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
UNIT 4
Assessing indirect and induced employment effects of infrastructure
investments using SAM Multiplier Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
4.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
4.2 Links between the micro and macro effects and indicators. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
4.3 Indirect and induced effects using multiplier analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
4.4 R
efining estimates by creating a construction sector sub account.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
4.5 Analysis of results and reporting on the indirect and induced employment effects. 50
Bibliography. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
Annexes.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
Annex 1. Template for Regular Progress Reporting. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58
Annex 2. Template for Project Completion Report. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
Annex 3. Methodology for disaggregating the construction sector account. . . . . . . . . . 60
Annex 4. Values of key indicators from different regions and for different investments. 76
4 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Introduction
Infrastructure investments are critical for achieving the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)
and it is estimated that the achievement of 92% these goals is influenced by the availability or
improvement of related infrastructure. It is also important to note that these infrastructure
investments are required across the globe. In least developed countries the infrastructure that
ensures access to basic services such as safe drinking water, electricity and all weather access
to markets and schools is still inadequate. ‘Today the infrastructure gap is huge: 940 million
people live without electricity, 663 million lack improved sources of drinking water, 2.4 billion
lack improved sanitation facilities, one billion live more than two kilometers from an all-season
road, and four billion people lack internet access1. On the other side, many developed countries
also require massive investments to improve their existing infrastructure, much of which is
approaching the end of its economic lifespans. For example recent estimates have placed the
infrastructure investment required to support the achievement of the SDSs at US$6.3 trillion
per year until 20302.
These massive investments will have important impacts on employment and the labour
market. While short-term job creation is seldom the primary objective of an infrastructure
investment, enhancing qualitative and quantitative employment outcomes is increasingly seen
as one of the developmental impacts of infrastructure investments that need to be optimized.
For this reason, there is an increasing interest in assessing and capturing these effects3. For
the International Labour Organization (ILO), working to increase and enhance the employment
outcomes of such investments is core to its mandate.
During their construction, infrastructure investments generate significant employment in
the construction as well as related sectors that provide its inputs. At the same time, they can
also be used strategically to improve the quality of employment in these sectors. Globally,
there is an increased interest in monitoring these employment impacts so that these can be
better understood and factored into National Development Plans and National Employment
Policies. At the same time such knowledge can help to strengthen the use of infrastructure
investment as a policy response to the negative employment effects of economic downturns
and other types of crises. The type of knowledge and data collected through applying this
guide will enhance this understanding and contribute to enhancing the employment outcomes
of infrastructure investments.
This guide supports the monitoring and assessment of the short-term employment impacts
of infrastructure investments, i.e. the effects during the construction process. Its target
audience is people involved in the planning, design, execution and operation of infrastructure
investments. These, many of whom are not economists are often still required to account
and report on the employment outcomes of these investments. The purpose of this guide is
to provide practical methods and approaches which can be used by project managers and
monitoring staff without a background in labour or macroeconomics. Only for the methodology
proposed in Unit 4 a macroeconomist or labour specialist is required. In this sense Unit 4 is
intended to empower staff responsible for infrastructure planning and implementation to
commission a study using the proposed methodology.
While it is known that in the long-term infrastructure investments also have impacts on lowering
production costs, increasing labour productivity and creating new business opportunities
which in turn have profound impacts on employment, these effects are not within the scope of
this guide, as they require fundamentally different approaches and methodologies to assess.
The task of assessing these also generally falls to a different audience.
1 World Bank Report (2019) Beyond the Gap – How Countries Can Afford the Infrastructure They Need while Protecting the
Planet
2 https://www.oecd.org/env/cc/g20-climate/Technical-note-estimates-of-infrastructure-investment-needs.pdf
3 For example the EU’s External Investment Plan has Job Creation as one of its objectives (link) and the IFC has included
employment one its core operational objectives.
6 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
This Guide is primarily based on the experience of the ILO in this area of work. It reflects
practices and learning from ILO technical cooperation, projects and studies in amongst
others Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, South Africa and Indonesia. It also includes
the learning and experience from the Strengthen project in Rwanda and Ghana, and so
aims to fill gaps that have been identified in the process. A number of other guides and
publications by other agencies were also reviewed in the process. What is proposed is thus
also an improvement on the current practices within the ILO. But it is written as a guide that
can be used by any organization interested in the employment impacts of its infrastructure
investments. The Guide also aims to introduce more rigour, consistency and coherence so that
results and data obtained can be compared, aggregated and analyzed.
The guide also recognizes that it is possible, and in some cases desirable, to conduct even
more in-depth and rigorous impact evaluations, using more sophisticated methodologies such
experiments or quasi experiments, as well as economic models such as Computable General
Equilibrium models (CGEs). But these methods require substantial involvement of specialists,
as well as additional data collection and are outside the scope of this Guide4.
This guide consists of four Units. Units 1 and 2 provide practical guidance to project managers
and staff responsible for Monitoring and Evaluation on reporting the direct employment
outcomes of their projects. Unit 1 provides background to employment and infrastructure
investments and presents the analytical framework of how infrastructure investments impact
on employment during the construction process. This framework provides the basis for how
the indicators and methods presented were selected. Unit 2 elaborates on the different
indicators that can be used to monitor and measure employment effects. It distinguishes
between indicators which can be measured from standard project information and thus be
used in the regular progress reporting, and those that can be included when more in-depth
studies are conducted. It also presents how the relevant employment indicators and results
can be integrated into regular monitoring and reporting, during planning, implementation
and upon completion.
Units 3 and 4 provide guidance on how more in-depth Employment Impact Assessments can
be done, with Unit 3 addressing the direct effects and Unit 4 the indirect and induced effects.
As these in-depth assessments would usually be done by a consultant these units are intended
to assist project manager with developing a Terms of Reference and interpret the results
from these assessments. Unit 3 provides guidance on conducting more-in depth studies of
the direct employment effects, in particular on how to commission such a study. The guide
concludes with Unit 4 which describes the links between the direct and indirect effects. It also
explains how multiplier analysis using an Input-Output Table (IOT) or Social Accounting Matrix
(SAM) can be adapted for assessing the employment effects of infrastructure investments.
This Unit is accompanied by a detailed methodological Annex.
4 For these methods reference can be made to a number of other Strengthen Publications in the bibliography.
7
The ILO’s Employment Intensive Investment Programme (EIIP) is implemented through global, regional, national and
local programmes, funded by governments and development partners, and include sectoral, national or local infrastructure
programmes, public work programmes and public employment programmes. Over the years, EIIP has developed a
comprehensive package of product lines, covering
the following six thematic areas:
More information on these can be found in the EIIP Programme document on the EIIP website: www.ilo.org/eiip
China. 2007. Crozet M. © ILO
9
UNIT 1
A Framework for
assessing employment
effects of infrastructure
investments
10 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
5 From a recent review undertaken by the ILO of eight leading International Financial Institutions, it was clear that
employment effects were only monitored to a limited extent and not in a consistent manner (ILO 2019b).
UNIT 1.
A Framework for assessing employment effects of infrastructure investments 11
6 Result measurement frameworks are also referred to Monitoring and Evaluation Frameworks, and come in many shapes
and sizes. The Logical Framework (Logframe) has been the most widely used in development projects, but increasingly other
approaches are also used.
12 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
INDIRECT EFFECT
Increase Local (Unit 3)
Demand for content
Local Construction Increased
content Sector Inputs Employment in Sectors
producing Construction
Sector inputs
Increased
Output of
Construction DIRECT EFFECT
Procurement Sector (Unit 1)
Increased
Use of LI
Employment in Increase in
Increase methods
Construction Consumption
Infrastructure Sector
Investments
Enforcement
Labour
requirements Requirements
in contract for Minimum
Standards and Effects on OSH, Social Increased Employment
Working Conditions Protection, Formalization, in Sectors Producing
Participation of goods and services
Target Groups for consumption
It is also worth discussing the different measures that investors have at their disposal to
influence employment outcomes, as in the end Employment Impact Assessments are meant
to provide the insights to enhance employment outcomes and so should assist in identifying
which of these measures to use and how to put them into effect. The four main mechanisms
available are: procurement and contracting, the choice of technology, in particular the use
of labour-intensive methods, local content requirements and choice of materials, and the
inclusion and enforcement of minimum labour standards and working conditions. These are
discussed in more detail in Table 1.1.
UNIT 1.
A Framework for assessing employment effects of infrastructure investments 13
Table 1.1
Measures to influence the employment outcomes of infrastructure investments
Measure Notes
Procurement and Contracting The procurement process and strategy is the primary measure that
investors have for influencing employment outcomes. Examples
are strategies to deliberately involve SMMEs or include provisions to
ensure the participation of domestic firms. The investors (client) can
also include certain employment outcomes in the contract document
such as provisions for equitable employment of women and youth.
Procurement choices may also include the option of government
implementing works directly rather than contracting a firm which will
also have different effects on employment.
Use of LI Methods and design Requiring the use of LI methods during construction is one of the key
measures promoted by the ILO to enhance employment outcomes.
This can increase the employment generated by up to 500%. How
infrastructure is designed also impacts on the construction process
and in turn on the employment generated.
Local content requirements and Through specifying materials that are produced locally, the indirect
choice of materials employment effects within the locality can be increased. Also some
materials are more labour intensive to produce than others, so even
the choice between two locally produced materials can have an
impact on the indirect employment
Labour standards and targeting By including standard and appropriate labour provisions, the investor
requirements can make it mandatory that these standards are complied with or
penalize the contractor in case these are not met. Requirements
for targeting specific groups can also be included. This approach
can impact and the quality of work but also on who is recruited. It is
important however that the investor puts in place the mechanisms to
enforce these minimum standards.
UNIT 2
Assessing and monitoring employment effects requires suitable data which can be used to
derive employment related indicators. It is proposed that four types of data, which we will refer
to as core data is used on all projects. The general principle used to select these is that this data
can be collected from existing evidence and records from projects and programmes and at the
same time is comparable with data obtained from other sources such as labour force surveys.
These four types of core data are:
X 1. Number of persons employed
X 2. Total quantum of employment
(measured in hours / days / months / years worked)
X 3. Total wages paid
X 4. Project expenditure
For the first three indicators it is recommended that they are broken down by gender and age
(or youth / non-youth). This may not always be possible, and is discussed in more detail further
down.
Table 1 provides the definitions of these four types of data as well as observations and
explanatory notes on their use and interpretation. The first three are employment related and
can be used for reporting by themselves. The fourth indicator is not an employment indicator,
but it is required for calculating performance-based indicators. As they are primary data, they
should ideally be collected at the project or site level and reported from there. Furthermore,
these indicators should be integrated into regular progress reporting requirements. Specific
issues related to some of these indicators are discussed below.
Table 2.1
Core data to be collected for all investments
4. Total expenditure on the This should be the total cost of the capital
Project expenditure* project in local currency investments, including salaries on the project
over the reporting period. over the reporting period in local currency.
Non site related overheads such as HQ staff
should not be included. This indicator is easily
aggregated over reporting periods by simply
adding up all expenditure in each reporting
period.
18 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Where possible, it is better to obtain the date of birth of workers and subsequently classify
them as youth or non-youth. This makes it possible to adjust the findings for different
definitions of youth. Furthermore this has the added advantage that for programmes that
take a longer period it allows workers who pass the youth age threshold, to be categorized
correctly over the entire project period.
and people find this hard to relate to job creation. For this reason hours or days worked are
usually converted to Full-Time Equivalents (FTEs). A FTE is the number of hours or days worked
in a year on what is considered a full time job. It is a useful measure as it is the time based
unit closest to a “job”. Over the period of a year it is the equivalent amount of time worked as
a person in a full time job. However, because it is sometimes equated to a job, there is scope
for confusion, and the term is sometimes interpreted or used inconsistently. The definition
adopted by the UN is:
Full-time equivalent employment7: Full-time equivalent employment is the
number of full-time equivalent jobs, defined as total hours actually worked
by all employed persons divided by the average number of hours actually
worked in full-time jobs.
The essential feature of calculating the FTEs is that is based on the total hours (or days) worked.
The number of persons (or posts, positions or work opportunities) does not feature in the
calculation. The other part of the calculation is the average number of hours (or days) worked
in full-time jobs.
However, the typical or average number of hours or days worked in a year by those in full-
time employment varies from country to country. (And even within counties is may vary from
sector to sector). To convert this to FTEs requires knowledge of the total number of hours
worked in a full-time job per year in the country or region under consideration. It is important
therefore that the most appropriate figure or definition is determined in consultation with
local stakeholders.
From ILO experience it was found that figures range between 7 and 8 hours of work per day
and 220 to 300 working days per year8. Table 2.2 provides an overview of the range of how
many hours or days worked could be considered the equivalent of one FTE. As shown, the
absence of a universal definition or convention can lead to very large differences in the total
number of FTEs calculated. It is therefore critical that the definition of a FTE used, as well as
any assumptions are made explicit so that proper adjustments and conversions can be done
when comparisons are made.
Table 2.2
Converting hours and days worked to FTEs
Hours per day Working days per year Hours per year (FTE)
7 300 2100
8 225 1800
7 220 1540
Once the definition of a FTE is agreed upon, it can be used to convert the hours or days
worked into FTEs and used for reporting purposes. So for example if it is decided that FTE is
equivalent to 220 days worked per year, a project that created 220,000 days of work would
7 System of National Accounts 2008, paragraph 19.43, EC, UN, IMF, WB and OECD
8 For example, in some studies it is assumed that there are 25 working days in a month, and based on this, a full time
equivalent for 12 months would yield 300 working days per year. In many countries an average of 25 days worked per month
is quite high however as there are usually months where the number of days worked is lower. Other has used much lower
estimates like 2000 hours per year or 225 days at 8 hours= 1800 hours
20 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
create 220,000 / 220 = 1,000 FTEs of employment or 1,000 “FTE Jobs”. However if 300 was
decided upon, this same project would report to have created 220,000 / 300 = 733 FTEs. Once
this conversion is agreed upon, everywhere where hours or days worked are used above, FTEs
can be used instead.
For monitoring employment on infrastructure projects in developing countries, it is not
recommended that hours worked are used as this is cumbersome to track in practice. Rather
it is proposed that the time unit that is the basis for wage payments is used which is typically
either days, weeks or months as this makes tracking time worked and wages paid consistent
and easily convertible.
The four core types of data presented above can in turn be used to calculate indicators which
will provide a more detailed overview of a project. These secondary indicators and how they
are calculated are presented below.
Table 2.3
Secondary indicators derived from the core data.
7. =Total number of hours These two indicators show how the hours
Percentages of days/ worked by female workers/ worked were taken up by women and
months worked by total number of hours worked youth.
youth and females (Indicator 2)
8. =Total wages/ Total hours or This indicator provides the average wage
Average project wage days worked. (Indicator 3/ paid to workers on the project. If indicators
(Local currency per Indicator 2) are broken down by gender and youth,
hour or day) the average wage for each group can be
calculated as well).
10. = Total wages/ total number of This indicator provides the average income
Average total income persons employed (Indicator 3/ workers earned from the project. If
per worker (local Indicator 1) indicators are broken down by gender and
currency) youth, the average wage for each group
can be calculated as well).
11. = Total project costs/ Total This indicator provides a measure of how
Cost per day of hours or days worked. much expenditure was required to create
work created (Local (Indicator 5/ Indicator 2) one day of employment for the project.
currency/ day of work) It can also be used as an estimate of the
output per day generated by the average
worker (apparent productivity) (This
assumes that the total project cost is equal
to the total project).
12. = Total hours or days worked/ This indicator provides a measure of how
Days of work Total project costs (Indicator 2/ much employment is generated per unit of
generated per local Indicator 5) local currency. It is the inverse of indicator
currency 11.
22 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Table 2.4
Categories of infrastructure investments
Energy Solar
Wind
Coal/Gas Power stations
Distribution/ Power lines
Other
* As per categories used in ILO 2011, Local investments for climate change adaptation
UNIT 2.
Monitoring and reporting of the direct employment effects of infrastructure investments 23
Table 2.5
Summary tables for reporting person-days and wages paid
Men 60 40 100
Women 20 30 50
Totals 80 70 150
Table 2.6
Sample of employment results for a regular Progress report
Indicator Value
1. Total 4500
Employment generated (days) % to female 1200 / 4500 = 27%
% to youth 2500 / 4500 = 56%
2. Total 90,000
Wages paid % to female 20,000 / 90,000 = 22%
(USD) % to youth 35,000 / 90,000 = 39%
3. 290,000
Project expenditure (USD)
One issue is to be decided upon is whether the reporting should be cumulative or just cover for
the reporting period. Given that the figures for reporting periods can simply be added up to
produce cumulative reports, either option can be chosen. For management and accountability
purposes, cumulative reports, reflecting progress from the start of the project are usually
more useful and these are recommended.
Table 2.7
Sample of employment related results for a completion report
Indicator Value
2. Total 420
Number of persons employed % to male 280/420 = 67%
% to female 140/420 = 33%
% to youth 250/420 = 60%
% to non-youth 170/420 = 40%
3. Total 1,243,000
Wages paid (USD) % to male 887,000/1,243,000 = 71%
% to female 356,000/1,243,000 = 29%
% to youth 510,000/1,243,000 = 41%
% to non-youth 733,000/1,243,000 = 59%
4. 3,650,000
Project expenditure (FINAL) (USD)
5. 1,243,000/3,650,000 = 34%
Labour intensity (FINAL), %
Indicator Value
The four core indicators and additional seven derived indicators already provide a good insight
into the employment generated from an investment. If this is done for all projects, this can
also be aggregated, typically into a MIS, to provide data for a programme (for example a
social housing programme consisting of many projects). Over time, institutions can build up
a database of these indicators, and these can be used for doing better ex-ante estimations.
Annex 4 contains a list of values for some of these indicators for projects in different parts of
the world.
Ex-ante estimations are not strictly part of the general monitoring, as they are done before
the project starts. However ex-ante estimates of the direct employment effects usually form
the basis for any agreed upon targets for direct employment creation. Where such a target
is set, it may be required that as part of the monitoring, the intervention reports on progress
against these targets. It is therefore important to understand how ex-ante estimates are done
and targets are set, so that reporting against the targets can be done in a consistent manner.
Estimates of the direct employment impact of infrastructure investments are generally done
based on past experience with similar projects or activities. The main difference is the level of
detail of the assessment.
The most detailed estimates can be done during the design and contract preparation phase
of a project, as part of the preparation of the Bill of Quantities (BOQ). In order to prepare the
BOQ the various types of labour inputs for all the various activities of the project are typically
quantified to arrive at the scope of work and cost estimate. The anticipated employment
effect can be quite accurately estimated as part of this process. For example, if one part of the
BOQ is the excavation of 9,000 m3 of soil for trenches, and it is known that under conditions
similar to the project a worker is capable of excavating 1.5 m3, then it can be estimated that
(9000 m3) / (1.5 m3 / day) = 6,000 days of work will be created through this activity. Such
employment estimations are not always done however as it may not be included as part of
the responsibility of those preparing the BOQ. Where feasible it is recommended that such
an estimate is included in their contract or Terms of Reference (TOR). A similar method can
be also be used at a less detailed level. For example, if from past experience it is known that
approximately 50 FTE of employment are generated through the construction of 1 km of rural
road. Then for a programme of constructing 90 km of rural road the anticipated employment
effect would be 50 FTE / km x 90 km = 4500 FTEs of employment.
Another way to estimate the direct employment is to use the budget estimate of the project
and the most relevant figure of FTEs per million USD (or local currency) available. The project
budget is then simply multiplied by this figure to arrive at an estimate of FTEs that will be
created by the intervention. If the project from which this figure is derived is similar to the
intervention to be undertaken, the estimate is likely to be reasonably accurate. (For example
if both are for irrigation related activities in the same country). Annex 4a provides some
figures from past projects that can be used for such assessments. It is advocated however
that institutions establish a practice of collecting their own project employment data so as to
make more accurate ex-ante estimations. In most circumstances and ex-ante estimation of
Indicator 2: total workdays (or FTEs) estimated is sufficient. If data on the other indicators such
as past youth participation are available, these can also be used to set targets, in particular if
it is an objective to improve on the rate of participation of youth.
A third approach, which is used when there is no project or programme level data available
is to use national level data, in this case the national construction sector employment-output
ratio. This approach uses the same data to what is used in Input-Output based estimates (See
Unit 4). It essentially entails taking dividing the total employment in the construction sector
for a given year (in FTEs converted from hours worked) and dividing it by total output of the
sector in the same year (in USD millions) to arrive at a figure of FTEs/ million for the sector as a
whole. This figure can then be used together with the project budget to make a rough estimate
of the direct employment effects. However as this will be based on the national average for the
construction sector as a whole, it may be substantially different from a figure that is based on
a specific set of activities such as construction of social housing or rehabilitation of rural roads.
Regardless of how the ex-ante estimates that inform employment targets are done, the
method and figures used should be clearly explained so that it clear where these targets come
from and any discrepancies for actual employment generated at the end of the project can be
understood and explained.
Construction workers having work meeting
29
UNIT 3
In depth EmpIA
studies on direct
employment effects
30 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Policymakers, investors, donors and other stakeholders may be interested in a more in-
depth understanding of the direct employment effects of a project and whether these could
have been improved. The progress or completion reports in Unit 2 may not be sufficient for
providing such insights. They may be interested in more detail on for example wage levels, as
well as qualitative dimensions of employment such as the types of skills used on the project, the
safety of workers and their involvement in accidents, levels of informality or whether project
staff had access to social security. A particular interest may be how the quality of employment
generated through the investment compares with that in the construction sector or the rest of
the economy. These questions can be assessed through a more in-depth assessment or what
we refer to as an Employment Impact Assessment (EmpIA). Such an in-depth assessment of
the direct effects can also be combined with assessing the indirect and induced effects. It can
be done while the project is active, or at the end of the project. This Unit provides guidance
conducting such an EmpIA of the direct employment. The main aims are to ensure that such
an assessment provides reliable results, but is also cost effective and delivers results which
are consistent and comparable with assessments of other projects.
The scope of an EmpIA will vary, depending on interest and available budgets. It may be the
case that there has not been any regular employment reporting so far, or that it was done
using only very few indicators. This section will present the approach and methods, which
are useful for developing a Terms of Reference for such an EmpIA. The idea is to assist project
stakeholders to identify what types of questions and topics can be covered in such a study.
Such studies could be done in house by relevant M&E staff but would most likely be done
externally through a consultant.
Typical questions that an EmpIA of direct effects would be expected to answer are:
X H
ow many jobs have been created?
This question captures the quantitative dimension of employment and should
analyze the number of people employed, person-days or FTEs of employment
created and the duration of the jobs. If regular progress reporting is in place,
these figures can generally be obtained from these reports.
X W
hat kinds of jobs have been created?
This question captures the qualitative dimensions of employment and should
consider indicators such as contract type, skill levels, occupation types, wage
levels, formality, occupational health and safety, access to social security and
whether jobs were full-time or part-time.
X W
ho was able to take up these jobs?
This question captures the accessibility and inclusivity dimensions of employment
and looks at whether youth, women and people with disability, former
unemployed, immigrants, indigenous groups or any other specific groups were
able to access the jobs created.
X H
ave measures been taken to improve the employment outcomes?
This question captures whether specific interventions or requirements where
put in place to enhance the employment outcomes and would consider the
procurement strategy, technology choice,/ use of labour intensive methods, local
content requirements and requirements for minimum labour standards and
working conditions.
Unit 3.
In depth EmpIA studies on direct employment effects 31
Not all these questions may be of interest in every study, and the first task is to decide on the
scope. This can be done by using questions such as:
X What are the employment dimensions or issues we are concerned about?
X W
hat were the expectations with regards to employment creation and do we need
to assess whether these are being met?
X B
ased on this, (if not yet decided) what is a suitable project or selection of projects
to assess? Ideally they are representative of the investment in question. If not
feasible to select a statistically representative sample, efforts need to be made to
ensure that they are typical.
The question of how to select the project to be reviewed in-depth may require consideration in
the preparation of the TOR. This may be obvious when there is only a single project of interest.
However if a larger programme, or activity is under review, selecting the project can be more
difficult. Ideally, if a large number of projects are involved (for example multiple smaller roads
projects which are all part of a rural roads programme), a statistically representative sample
could be considered. But this may be costly and so will depend on the available resources. In
general the following should be considered when selecting project(s):
X I s the project typical of other projects in the programme- considerations
here would be size, implementation approach, nature of the activity, physical
conditions where project was implemented. In such a case the findings could be
considered to also be relevant more widely, even if they cannot be considered to
be statistically representative.
X Is the project still active, or has it been completed, and if so how long ago?
X A
re the stakeholders (in particular contractors) open to collaborating on the study,
in particular with regards to making project data and information available?
Finally, a project could also be considered, precisely because it is not typical but was particularly
innovative, or had specific problems which if better understood could provide valuable
learning for how to improve in future.
At this stage it is also important to decide if there will also be a macroeconomic analysis as part
of the EmpIA to assess the indirect and induced effects. If this is the case, the type of data to
be collected as part of the project/ programme level studies should also include data on the
non-labour inputs which are required for the project. The type of data and information to be
collected it this case is discussed in Unit 4. The collection of this data can easily be combined
with the collection of the detailed employment data and it is thus cost-effective to combine
these.
3.2.1 Wages
One interest for investors may be to understand how wages on employment generated
through the project compare with wages in the rest of the economy or the construction sector.
In this case it is necessary to obtain and review national wage benchmarks and related data
and compare wages on the project with these.
32 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Table 3.1
Wage levels and benchmarks for comparison of project wages
1. The daily or hourly national minimum wage as set legally. Having the national minimum
National minimum wage wage makes it possible to compare this with the wages paid on the project.
2. These can usually be obtained from national statistical agencies. The average wage is
Average and median wage the total wages of all workers divided by the number of workers. Median wage, is the
(Or median>) “wage in the middle” meaning that half of workers earn below it. The median wage is
generally lower than the average. It may be possible to obtain data broken down by
gender and age.
3. Minimum wage that is applicable to the workers in the project. This could be the national
Average and median wage minimum, or a sector specific minimum (construction sector) or a regional minimum
(Or median>) (province or region). The minimum wage could also be based on a collective bargaining
agreement for the sector.
4. This will allow the project wages to be compared with the national sector average and
Average and median median. It may be possible to obtain data broken down by gender and age.
construction sector wage
These wages as presented in Table 3.1 can then be compared to the wage data reported
through the investment. If wage data is broken down by gender and youth, gender and youth
specific comparisons can also be made.
It may be of interest to also investigate the variation of wages by skill levels and or occupations.
In this case these breakdowns of the workers according to these categories are also required.
This is discussed below in the section on skills and occupations.
Table 3.2
National data and indicators on the participation of women and youth
1. This share can be based on number of This will allow the project to be compared
Share of total employment workers or hours worked. Hours worked with the sector in general with regards to
taken up by women (% of is preferable as this can be converted to female employment.
total employment) person days .
2. This share can be based on number of This will allow the project to be compared
Share of total employment workers or hours worked. Hours worked with the sector in general with regards to
taken up by youth (as % of is preferable as this can be converted to youth employment.
total employment) person days.
3. This share can be based on number of This will allow the project to be compared
Share of employment in the workers or hours worked. Hours worked with the sector in general with regards to
sector taken up by women is preferable as this can be converted to female employment.
(% of total employment) person days.
4. This share can be based on number of This will allow the project to be compared
Share of employment in the workers or hours worked. Hours worked with the sector in general with regards to
sector taken up by youth is preferable as this can be converted to youth employment.
(as % of total employment) person days.
Unit 3.
In depth EmpIA studies on direct employment effects 33
Table 3.3
Contract types
Permanent contracts These are permanent or long-term contracts that extend beyond the project in
question.
Temporary of fixed-term These are temporary contracts typically linked to the project in questions. They
contracts have an end date and are usually shorter or for the same duration as the project.
Casual workers (Very short term) These are very short-term (daily or weekly) contracts. They can be renewed multiple
(With written contract) times, but are usually linked to specific tasks or activities within the project.
Casual workers (Very short term) These workers do not have a written contract and are usually employed on a daily
(Without written contract) or weekly basis or specific small tasks.
34 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
An EmpIA should also aim to assess whether these are being adhered to. The right to freedom
of association can be assessed by whether workers are members of unions and are free to
organize if they so wish. This question can be included in surveys or interviews of workers.
With regards to collective bargaining, in the wage section it was already recommended that it
is assessed whether there are wages determined through collective bargaining in the sector
and if these apply to the investment. The wages paid in the project can also be compared with
the collective bargaining wages.
Assessing that there is no compulsory, forced or child labour can usually be done through site
visits and interviews with stakeholders and workers.
The elimination of discrimination is often harder to assess. A general concern in the sector
is the discrimination against women, but depending on the local context, concerns about
discrimination may also involve minorities, racial groups, indigenous persons, immigrants, and
LGBT persons. Assessing this requires knowledge of the local context as well as its sensitivities.
The main approach to assessing this is to review whether specific workplace policies to address
discrimination are in place, the extent to which there are being enforced and the extent to
which these specific groups have actually obtained employment on the project on the same
terms as other groups. In the EmpIA report a qualitative assessment of the extent to which
these fundamental principles are adhered to should be included.
measures that support a transition to formality and this analysis should incorporate the
findings on all the qualitative indicators above.
Information and data for an EmpIA can be collected through a combination of interviews,
document reviews and surveys. Key Informant Interviews (KII) are usually conducted with
various parties involved in the project. These include clients such as ministries and funding
agencies, resident engineers or client representatives who oversee the project implementation,
and contractors and the staff responsible for executing the works. These interviews are useful
for getting an overall understanding of the project and gaining insights into the local context.
The interviews should include open questions that aim to build a better understanding of
a broader set of sector and employment related issues. These questions are also useful for
assessing to what extent the different mechanisms for enhancing employment outcomes were
used effectively. Samples of questions are provided in Box 1.
Procurement strategy: Is the procurement strategy allowing for or encouraging the use
of local firms? Or small or medium enterprises? Does it include provisions for recruiting
local labour?
X Box 1: Suggested topics and interview questions
Choice of technology: Does the project require the use of labour intensive methods?
Were some materials or construction technologies specifically chosen to maximize or
optimize the labour content?
Local content: Were any requirements for the purchasing local (community or national)
in place. Where options existing, were locally produced materials chose over those
imported) or to be transported from far?
Skills: Is it easy or difficult to find workers with the right skills and levels of experience?
Did the contractor have to put in place specific measures to address this– on the
job training, assigning more experienced workers to assist less experienced ones,
additional supervision?
Quality and productivity: related to the question of skills, did managers have problems
meeting quality requirements? Or productivity norms? Was this due to skills, or other
issues? What constraints other than skills are there to improving quality and productivity?
Recruitment: What kind of recruitment processes were used? Where they effective?
Did they use Ministries of Labour or Public Employment Services? Were there any efforts
made to ensure levels of inclusivity in terms of youth, gender, or other groups?
Payment procedures and mechanisms: What was the basis for setting wages? Are workers
paid based on time or tasks? How is the task system managed? Can workers earn more
by doing more tasks? Are there any bonuses or extras? How often are workers paid?
How- cash, bank transfers, others? Any specific challenges encountered in this regard?
Occupational Safety and Health: What measures are required in the contract? Are these
in place? Are there clear procedures in place in case of an accident? What is nearest first
aid post or hospital? Are there first aid supplies present on-site? Are records kept on the
numbers and types of accidents? Are there sanitary facilities? Are there arrangements
for child-care and breastfeeding?
Social security: What workers qualify / contribute to what types of social security
measures (leave, health care, unemployment insurance, accident insurance, pension
contributions). How is it determined who qualifies for what? Are there specific non-
financial obstacles (bureaucratic, legal) that limit the extent to which social security
benefits are provided?
Once the focus and types of questions have been determined, a semi-structured interview
guide should be developed to be used during the meetings with the project stakeholders:
contractor, sub-contractor(s), construction supervisor and project manager and clients.
Unit 3.
In depth EmpIA studies on direct employment effects 37
Interviews should be recorded and transcribed, but to do this permission should be obtained
beforehand13.
The interviews should also be used to explain the data collection tools, the type of data as
well as definitions used. They are also helpful to discuss local definitions which may be most
appropriate such as for example how to categorize skills, what are conventions in terms of
hours worked per day and days per week or month, and practices with regards to contract
types, social security and the use of sub-contractors. The interview should also be used to
identify persons who can assist with completing the data collection tools, if the interviewee
is not able to do so.
One document of particular interest is the Bill of Quantities (BOQ) and this should be obtained.
Ideally it should be the BOQ which was completed by the Contractor as part of his bid and is
now part of the contract. The BOQ will assist in estimating the various inputs, including labour,
required for completion of the project.
Once the indicators are decided upon, the type of data to be collected to be able to calculate
the indicators need to be determined. These should then be used to develop an appropriate
data collection tool, typically a spreadsheet. The spreadsheet will contain space for all the data
to be collected, and will also ideally automatically calculate the values of the various indicators.
A sample of such a tool is provided in Table 3.4, and is also available electronically.
13 Transcription apps for mobile phones, such as Otter automatically transcribe (English) recordings which will make the
interviewing recording and transcription process a lot easier and faster.
38 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Table 3.4
Sample of a typical data collection tool (available electronically)
Number of Number of Total
Employment Average Min. Educational
Job category Job title non-youth youth workers person/ Benefits
type Salary Level Required
workers (18-35) month
Totals 98 15
Unit 3.
In depth EmpIA studies on direct employment effects 39
Before completing the data analysis it is important to assess the quality of the data obtained,
in particular that it is accurate, consistent and complete. It is also important to understand
the granularity of the data obtained (See Box 2 on data quality for more details on the various
dimensions of data quality). It is possible that employment data and information collected
from different sources such as muster rolls or attendance registers, personnel and wage
payment records or progress reports. In this case and it is important to check for consistency
and potential double counting when combining data from these sources. Box 2 provides some
guidance on assessing the quality of data obtained.
The data and findings should ideally be reviewed by someone familiar with the local
construction sector to ensure that they are reasonable and credible. If there are concerns or
doubts, these should be investigated further.
There are several approaches and methods to ensure and check the quality of data, and depending
on the type of data different dimensions of data quality are important. For the studies related to
this guide the following are deemed particularly relevant 14:
Accuracy and Precision
This characteristic refers to the exactness of the data. It cannot have any erroneous elements
and must convey the correct message without being misleading. This accuracy and precision
have a component that relates to its intended use. Without understanding how the data will be
consumed, ensuring accuracy and precision could be off-target or more costly than necessary.
For example, data on the dates of birth of all employees may not be available, and so it cannot be
determined how many were youth. Estimations could be made, for example by surveying the current
set of employees but this will not be as accurate and may not be acceptable if the main concern is youth
unemployment.
Reliability and Consistency:
Regardless of what source collected the data or where it resides, it cannot contradict a value
residing in a different source or collected by a different system. There must be checks to ensure
that the data is without contradiction or unwarranted variance. For example, a common problem
with employment reporting is double counting. For example an employee who switches contract
may be counted twice, or a young woman may be I such a manner that she is reported as two jobs,
once as a female employee and then again as a youth employee.
Completeness and Comprehensiveness:
Incomplete data leads to a partial view of the overall picture to be displayed. It is important to
understand the complete set of requirements that constitute a comprehensive set of data to
determine whether or not the requirements are being fulfilled. For example: the implications
for not obtaining some data, like number of distinct employees should be understood, as it may
compromise the study. This may need to be weighed against the (additional) costs of trying to obtain
this information by going back to some data sources.
Granularity and Uniqueness:
The level of detail at which data is collected is important, because confusion and inaccurate
decisions can otherwise occur. Aggregated, summarized and manipulated collections of data
could offer a different meaning than the data implied at a lower level. An appropriate level
of granularity must be defined to provide sufficient uniqueness and distinctive properties
to become visible. For example: how detailed are wage payments, is the data obtained for each
individual employee, or is what has been obtained aggregated? If it has been aggregated, is it possible
to go back and verify it?
14 These dimensions and descriptions were found to be particularly useful and were adapted from https://www.blazent.
com/seven-characteristics-define-quality-data/
40 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
While there is no standard format for reporting results from a more detailed EmpIA, for
consistency it is recommended that the report includes a summary of the key indicators
presented in this guide. This would typically include all the indicators in Table 2.7, as well
as those indicators in section 3.2 that were selected. Where data was not available, it is also
recommended to indicate this clearly as this then makes it easier for the reader to avoid
wasting time studying the report looking for such data.
In addition the findings from the interviews will also provide insights which will either help
contextualize the findings from the data, or help explain some of the anomalies. It is therefore
recommended that the findings of the interviews are synthesized, and where relevant quotes
are included.
3.7 Project level data and information useful for macro estimations
(indirect and induced effects)
Project level data on the various project inputs can be used to improve on estimations of the
macro (indirect) employment impacts. It is efficient to collect this data as part of the same
process of collecting the project or programme level employment data. This data pertains to
the inputs (other than labour which is already captured) that are required, typically material
inputs produced by other sectors of the economy, services provided by other sectors as well as
factor capital inputs (profits). This can typically be obtained from financial records and project
documentation, in particular the Bill of Quantities. The details on the type of information to
collect and how to categorize it is explained in Unit 4.
Unit 3.
In depth EmpIA studies on direct employment effects 41
Factory workers push a cart with bricks in kiln
43
UNIT 4
4.1 Introduction
This unit shifts the focus from direct employment to the indirect and induced effects. As
these effects occur mostly in other sectors of the economy and are more difficult to observe,
estimating their magnitude requires a shift from a project or programme level focus, to a
national or macroeconomic perspective. However there are important links between the
project/ direct effects, and the macro/ indirect effects, and these will discussed briefly before
presenting the methodology for assessing macro effects.
The methodology presented in this unit for assessing the indirect and induced effects is
essentially a multiplier analysis using Leontief multipliers derived from an Input-Output Table
(IOT) or Social Accounting Matrix. (SAM). This method also provides an estimate of the direct
employment effects, not just of the indirect and induced. This direct effect will be based on
national averages of the construction sector. Thus if the investment under consideration is
very different from the national average, the direct effects from the multiplier analysis may
differ greatly from those based on the project level data. The methodology presented aims
to address this by using project level data in the macro analysis, to obtain more accurate and
consistent estimates. They become more accurate by shifting from using construction sector
averages to parameters that are more specific to the infrastructure investment in question. In
order to do this, it is important to explain the similarities between the project level indicators
and relevant macroeconomic indicators and this is done in the next section.
Before proceeding on this a few points are worth noting. Leontief multiplier based analysis is
by no means the only method for assessing indirect and induced effects, and other methods
exist or are being developed. The methodology presented in this unit and the accompanying
annexes and references are not meant to be used by a project manager or staff involved in the
project. It will typically require the involvement of a macroeconomist familiar with multiplier
analysis. It is assumed that if a project want to do an assessment of its indirect and induced
impact, a consultant with experience in using these methods will be contracted. This unit
is meant to assist the project staff to develop a TOR for hiring such a consultant as well as
interpret the results which will emerge from such a study. At the same it is also meant to
provide guidance to the consultant, in particular if she or he has not done any assessments of
infrastructure investments.
4.2 Links between the micro and macro effects and indicators
The specific and derived indicators presented in the previous Units were partially chosen
because they are macro level equivalents. This allows the project level employment indicators
to be compared with national figures. The core indicators and their macro/ national level
equivalents are presented and discussed in Table 4.1.
UNIT 4.
Assessing indirect and induced employment effects of infrastructure investments using SAM Multiplier Analysis 45
Table 4.1
Core EmpIA indicators and their comparable macro level indicators
Comparable
Information / Indicator Sources* and Observations
Macro economic indicator
3. Total amount of wages paid in Total wages paid can be obtained from
Wages paid (broken the in the construction sector national accounts. It is usually also available
down by gender, for the construction sector. Total wages
youth)* paid can also be obtained from a SAM.
This can be based on data from Labour
Force Surveys, Establishment Surveys or
Household Surveys.
4. The total number of persons This may be available from labour force
Persons with disabilities with a disability that worked surveys.
broken down by gender on the project
and youth
6. Labour share or factor labour The labour share for a sector can be
Labour Intensity (%) (of the economy or the sector) obtained from the SAM or IOT. It is the
share paid to labour (factor labour) for the
sector divided by the total output of the
sector.
8. This is not usually reported If data on both hours worked and number
Average duration of separately of workers for a sector are available, this
employment can be estimated but care needs to be
(days or hours per taken to ensure that the period over which
worker) this is estimated is consistent with duration
of the project.
* For many countries this information and data is available on the ILO’s global employment database ILOSTAT, accessible on
www.ilo.org/ilostat. In addition, a Social Accounting Matrix is constructed using various sources of national data and some
of this information can also be found in the SAM.
46 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
The employment/output (EO) ratio (indicator 11), is an important indicator used in multiplier
analysis to convert changes in output into changes in employment. Without this ratio, the
multiplier analysis only provides estimates of how increased investment in infrastructure
impacts overall output of the economy.
One specific advantage of having an EO ratio related to the construction of the specific type
of infrastructure investment is that this can be used in the macro analysis presented in this
unit. As the macro analysis also provides an estimate of direct employment, using this, instead
of the average for the construction sector will provide more accurate estimates. This is one
important way in which project of programme level data can be used to enhance the macro
analysis.
The indirect and induced effects of an infrastructure investments can be estimated using
Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier analysis. The infrastructure investment is treated
as an exogenous shock to the economy, and the effects of the shock on the output of the
economy is calculated using output multipliers. Output multipliers are expressed as numbers
without units. For example the value of an output multiplier for the construction sector could
1.8, indicating that an increase in output of 1unit in the construction sector will lead to an
increase of 1.8 units of the overall economy. Usually two types of multipliers are calculated,
the Type I multipliers which capture the direct and indirect effects, and the Type II multipliers
which capture direct, indirect and induced effects. This allows for assessing the indirect and
induced effects separately which is important.
Once the change in output is estimated this and the EO ratios are then used to estimate
the employment effect. The output multipliers and EO ratios can also be used to calculate
employment multipliers. These are expressed as the number of jobs created for every
additional amount of output (usually expressed in USD million).So if the employment multiplier
for the construction sector is 31, it means that for every additional USD million of construction
sector output 31 jobs are created in the entire economy. Again Type I and Type II employment
multipliers can be calculated, depending on which output multiplier is used to calculate them.
Annex 4b provides some values of these multipliers for different countries.
This methodology well established and documented in economic literature and described in
detail in the ETE Toolkit. It will not be repeated in this guide and it is recommended that in the
TOR for such work explicit reference is made to this Guide and the Toolkit. Unit 1 of the toolkit
provides an overview of a Social Accounting Matrix which is useful for readers who may not
be familiar with a SAM. Units 2 and 3 provide detailed steps of how to proceed and estimate
the employment effects of such a shock.
The main points to take note of is that in the case of infrastructure investment,
X T
he value of exogenous shock would be based on the value of the infrastructure
investment, but it needs to be “annualized” in that the amount of the investment
that would be spend in a year needs to be estimated and this will be the value of
the exogenous shock.
X T
he shock is then applied to the construction sector account of the SAM, or if the
construction account is disaggregated to the most appropriate subsector. For
example if the investment is in road infrastructure and the construction sector
account is split into civil construction and building construction, the shock is best
applied to the civil construction account.
X I t should be noted that the results obtained will include the direct effects (jobs
created directly by the project in the construction sector) as well as indirect and
induced effects and will be the effect for one year.
UNIT 4.
Assessing indirect and induced employment effects of infrastructure investments using SAM Multiplier Analysis 47
If the SAM only contains an aggregated construction sector account, there may be good
reasons to split the construction sector account to obtain a more accurate estimate. This is
discussed in more detail in the next section.
It is also important to be aware of some of the well-known assumptions and limitations behind
using IOT or SAM analysis to estimate the employment effects. Understanding these will assist
in the interpretation and presentation of the results. The main assumptions and limitations
to be aware of are:
X T
he completeness and accuracy of the underlying data used to compile the IOT or
SAM. IOTs and SAMs are compiling from different data sets, and sometimes some
can be out of date or certain assumptions are made during the compilation to
address data gaps. So while they are meant to be objective representations of the
economy this is not always the case.
X I t is assumed there are no supply constraints and therefore increased demand
leads to increased supply and not to higher prices.
X T
here are no increased economies of scale and production technology does not
change, therefore one need 3 units of X to produce 1 unit of Y, it follows that we
need 9 units of X to produce 3 units of Y.
X T
he sectors in the SAM represent a diverse set of activities that are aggregated,
for example the construction sector includes both the construction of low-cost
private housing as well as the construction major highways. Such aggregation can
distort results.
X F
or estimating the induced effect, it is assumed that the consumption and savings
patterns of households do not change if their income increases. However in
general such patterns do change as household income increases. For very large
investments this should ideally be taken into account15.
Collectively, all these assumptions tend to lead to an overestimation of the employment
effects. Despite these assumptions and limitations, multiplier analysis is widely used because
of its simplicity and limited data requirements. As such it remains the most feasible approach
to estimate indirect and induced effects. It should also be noted that other methodologies
can be considered. These can either built on IOT and SAM based approaches, or be based on
entirely different data sets16.
15 This can be done by introducing a consumption function into the estimations. However this can increase the scope and
costs of the assignment significantly.
16 See for example the Strengthen publications on different methodologies by Gibson and Flaherty (2017), Charpe (2019)
and Shaffer (2019).
48 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
4.4 R
efining estimates by creating a construction
sector sub account
If it is thought that the inputs required and the labour content of the investment are deemed
to be significantly different from the construction sector averages contained in the SAM
construction sector account, it may be desirable to split the construction sector account and
create a sub account based on the inputs and labour content of the infrastructure investment
in question. To do this an initial comparison can be made. This can be done using estimates
of the input and labour contents of the planned investment and comparing this with the
technology coefficients in the construction sector of the SAM with those for the investment.
This comparison can be done ex-ante with estimates of the inputs obtained from the project
plan or detailed design (Bill of Quantities of the project), or using actual information if available
from actual expenditure (See Annex 4 for more details).
The comparison can be done by obtaining the technical coefficients for the construction
sector account from the SAM (See Box 4), and comparing these to the inputs required for the
infrastructure investment. Of particular relevance (and generally quite easy) is to compare the
estimated labour intensity with the labour inputs in the SAM.
The other comparison is the estimated EO ratio of the project (expressed in FTE/ USD million),
with the EO ratio of the construction sector which can be estimated from the construction
sector account of the SAM and construction sector employment data (See Box 5).
If the differences are found to be substantial it is likely that the estimations will vary significantly
as well. In this case a choice may be made to do a more accurate assessment. This would
involve using the coefficients and EO ratios that more accurately reflect the investment in
question.
The suggested approach for doing this is to split the construction sector account in the SAM
into an account more reflective of the investment, and a “rest of construction” account. The
account representing the investment would use the inputs, coefficients and EO ratios based
on the data from the investment. The rest of construction account would be the residual. The
rationale here is that the investment in question, for example construction of highways, is
already included in the construction sector account, as this account reflects all construction
sector activity in the economy. What is proposed is to disaggregate the account again and take
the construction of highways back out of the construction sector account.
UNIT 4.
Assessing indirect and induced employment effects of infrastructure investments using SAM Multiplier Analysis 49
X Box 4: Determining the sector and labour inputs into the construction
sector from a IOT or SAM
The construction sector inputs for an economy can be from the Construction sector account
(Column) of the SAM. This account quantifies what inputs the sector purchases from other sector as
well as from the factor accounts (labour and capital). This is illustrated in the table below. The first
column contains all the sectors and factors the in SAM. The second column contains the spending
by the construction sector on inputs from each of sectors and factors. These two columns can be
obtained directly from the SAM. The third column presents the share of these inputs expressed in
percentages and is calculated by dividing the inputs from each sector and factor by the total inputs
purchased from the sector. These percentages are sometimes also referred to as the technical
coefficients, as they are a reflection of the production technology used in the sector.
Table 4.2
Technical coefficients for the Construction Sector from a SAM for Rwanda
Construction spending Percentage
(RWF millions)
Agriculture 0 0.00
Forestry 2,071 0.31
Textile and clothing 39 0.01
Wood, paper and printing 367,91 5.51
Chemicals 16,352 2.45
Non-metallic minerals 28,691 4.29
Furniture and other manu. 132 0.02
Electricity, gas and water 248 0.04
Construction 54,393 8.14
Wholesale and retail trade 9,294 1.39
Transports 77,061 11.54
Communication 12,002 1.80
Finance and insurance 64,357 9.63
Real estate 277 0.04
Business services 23,387 3.50
Repair 2291 0.34
Labour – unskilled 141,584 21.19
Labour - Low Skill 42,827 6.41
Labour - High Skill 7,652 1.15
Capital - Non-Agriculture 134,664 20.16
Capital - Sector Specific 13,913 2.08
Total 668,027 100
So for example, according to this SAM the Construction sector spends 11.54 per cent of its
expenditure of RWF 668,027 million on inputs from the transport sector. And the total labour
intensity of the sector can be obtained from summing up the percentages of the three labour
accounts. So total labour intensity is 21.19 + 6.41 + 1.15 = 28.75 per cent. These values can be
compared with those estimated for the infrastructure investment under question to get a sense
of how similar or different it is for the construction sector average. If these are quite similar,
the multipliers for the construction sector can be used for employment estimations. However
if they are very different, a separate account can be created to estimate the multiplier for the
specific investment.
50 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
The EO ratio for the construction sector can be estimated by taking the total output of the
construction sector, which can be obtained from the SAM and dividing it by total employment in
the sector. This would typically be obtained from Labour Force Survey data. This can be compared
to the EO ratio for the investment which can be estimated from the total budget divided by the total
anticipated direct employment.
It is important of course that the same units are used. From the SAM, the output for the construction
sector would usually be obtained in millions of local currency units. And for the employment data,
it is recommended that employment in the sector is estimated in FTEs. This can be calculated from
data on total hours worked in the sector. So in the case of Rwanda, total output of the construction
sector as presented in Box 4 is RWF 668,027 million. Total employment in the construction sector
was estimated at 211,650 FTEs. The Employment to Output ratio is thus 211,650 FTE / RWF 668,027
million = 0.316 FTE/ RWF million. This can be converted into FTE/ USD million using the appropriate
exchange rate. This figure can also be inversed and expressed in USD/ FTE, which is the Output to
Employment Ratio. As explained earlier these figures are comparable with indicators 10 and 11 in
the Table 4.1.
Additional background to this methodology as well as the steps of how to apply it are explained
in Annex 3 of this Guide. This Annex is structured to be used together with the Assessing
the effects of Trade on Employment: An Assessment Toolkit and can be used together with
Units 2 and 3.
As is also explained in Annex 3, some difficulties can be encountered when applying this
methodology to a specific case. These will arise when there is no updated IOT or SAM available
for the year of the specific case to be considered. It may also arise when the IOT or SAM is not
very detailed and specifically the inputs for the construction sector are limited. For example,
some sectors are not providing inputs into the construction sector according to the SAM,
although in reality one would expect this to be the case. This is due to the fact that the SAM is
itself composed of various data sets and so also represents the best estimation of the circular
flow of the economy based on available data. Working with these limitations will thus require
good judgment on the side of those conducting the assessment as well as sensitivity analysis
to check how much the results change when different assumptions are made to address these
data shortcomings. It is therefore recommended that the assessments are conducted jointly
by experienced economists familiar with IOT and SAM analysis as well as professionals who
know the construction sector so that reasonable assumptions are made along the way.
4.5 A
nalysis of results and reporting on the indirect
and induced employment effects
The results obtained from applying the methodology as outlined in Annex 3 can be presented
in different ways. At a more global level these results can presented as the total number of
direct, indirect and induced FTEs that will be generated through the infrastructure investment.
In the case of an ex-ante assessment where just a global estimate of the employment effects
are of interest this may be sufficient.
UNIT 4.
Assessing indirect and induced employment effects of infrastructure investments using SAM Multiplier Analysis 51
Table 4.3
Estimated employment effects from Feeder Road investments in Rwanda
Sectors Increase in total Increase in total
hours worked hours worked
Feeder Roads Feeder Roads LB
Forestry 462,952 507,754
Fishing & Hunting 273,789 301,168
Textile Manufacture 962,172 1,009,108
Wood and Paper Products Manu. 1,577,024 1,823,434
Chemical Industries 807,386 886,027
Non-metallic Products. 366,573 185,568
Furniture and other Manu. – –
Gas, Water & Electricity 400,416 369,615
Construction 6,083,589 33,912,176
Wholesale and Retail Trade 4,200,704 3,543,610
Hotel & restaurants 518,758 492,820
Transport 3,558,160 4,474,806
Communications 146,382 131,744
Financial services 667,547 712,349
Real Estate 22,125 18,871
Business Services and repair 445,267 354,485
Total non-construction 14,409,256 14,811,358
Total 20,492,844 48,723,535
However, it is also possible to present disaggregated effects, showing in which of the sectors
the indirect and induced employment effects will be generated as shown in Table 4.3. This
show the results for two options, the construction of feeder roads using more capital intensive
of more LI methods. It shows the effects broken down per sector, as well as the totals. This
may be important as there may be a particular interest in showing how the construction
sector is linked to other sectors, and thus how increasing output in this sector, impacts on
other sectors in the economy. This will require that the multipliers are disaggregated for each
sector, and that the EO ratio for each of the sector is estimated. This can also be done if one
wants to be more conservative when presenting the results and take into account some of the
limitations of the methodology which can lead to overestimations. For this reason the effects
on employment in agriculture were not included17. Annex 3 also contains another example of
reporting results.
In particular in developing countries, with a high shares of agricultural and informal
employment, care should be taken in this regard. Because these have such low productivity
(and high employment-output ratios), the analysis tends to overestimate employment
effects for these sectors. Consideration can therefore be given to not including effects in the
agriculture and sectors with very high level of informality and employment output ratios in
the results.
17 This was also done as the Rwandan government was explicitly interested on effects on non-agricultural employment.
52 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Finally, it is important that any discussions on the results are had taking into account the
assumptions and limitations of using SAM multiplier analysis and which were presented in
Section 4.3. It should be noted that some of these assumptions and limitations can also be used
to raise important policy questions and inform policy and social dialogue. Some suggestions
of how these be turned into policy questions are presented in Table 4.4.
Table 4.4
Assumption in Multiplier Analysis and related policy questions
3. Aggregation and nature As with the construction sector, other sectors of a SAM also contain
of the sector a very wide range of activities with very different production
technologies and input structures. This will require careful
interpretation of the result for these sectors and a discussion on
which types of firms in these sectors would be likely to increase their
output.
Example wholesale and retail may contain wholesalers with
sophisticated warehousing and distributions centers, as well as informal
street vendors, but a large construction project is more likely to buy
its inputs from a large wholesaler. This would this result in increased
formal employment with wholesalers, but little increase in informal
employment in this sector.
53
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57
Annexes
58 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Annex 1.
Template for Regular Progress Reporting*
Indicator Value
1. Total 14 000
Employment generated (days) % to female 29%
% to youth 57%
2. Total 153 000
Wages paid (USD or local currency) % to female 22%
% to youth 49%
3.
250 000
Project expenditure (USD or local currency)
4.
61%
Labour intensity (To date), %
5. Global 10.93
Average project wage (To date) Average for women 8.25
(in USD or local currency)
Average for men 12.00
Average for youth 9.38
Average for non-youth 13.00
6. 17.86
Cost per day of work created (USD/ day)
7.
Days of work generated per million 56 000
(Days / USD or local currency million)
Annex 2.
Template for Project Completion Report*
Indicator Value
1. Total 163
Employment generated (FTE) % to male 68%
% to female 32%
% to youth 48%
% to non-youth 52%
(1FTE= 230 days)
2. Total 390
Number of persons employed % to male 72%
% to female 28%
% to youth 54%
% to non-youth 46%
3. Total 365 000
Wages paid (USD) % to male 70%
% to female 30%
% to youth 45%
% to non-youth 55%
4.
900 000
Project expenditure (FINAL) (USD)
5.
41%
Labour intensity (FINAL), %
6. Global 9.73
Average project wage (USD/day) Average for women 10.00
Average for men 9.17
Average for youth 9.17
Average for non-youth 10.26
7. Global 96
Average duration of employment (days) Average for women 91
Average for men 109
Average for youth 86
Average for non-youth 108
8. Global 936
Average income per worker (USD/worker) Average for women 911
Average for men 1 000
Average for youth 786
Average for non-youth 1 111
9.
5 520
Cost per FTE created (USD/ FTE)
10.
181
FTEs generated per million (FTE/ USD million
Annex 3.
Methodology for disaggregating the construction sector account
This Annex is complementary to Unit 4 of this Guide. It also refers to Units 2 and 3 of the
Assessing the effects of Trade on Employment: An Assessment Toolkit, which is another
Strengthen Project publication and can be accessed here.
Table A3.1(a)
Creating the infrastructure project sub-account: inserting inputs
Sub-Account
Sector Sector Construction Sector
- - (infrastructure - Factors - Total
1 2 (Y) n
Investment) (X)
- - - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
- - - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
- - - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
At this stage, it is important to recall two essential features of a SAM: first, as it represents
transactions and transfers in an economy, all entries in the SAM are in monetary values and,
second, each column elements of the SAM represent the value of intermediate material and
factor inputs that sectors purchase form other sectors of the SAM in the production process.
In Table 3.1(a), Y (represented by Y1, Y2…. Yn) is the input vector, represents the inputs which
construction sector purchases from other sectors of the SAM. X is the input vector for the
inputs the infrastructure investment under study purchases from other sectors. n represents
the number of sectors that are included in the SAM, and f represents the factor inputs used
by sectors. While the inputs of construction sector Y are already available in the SAM, the
input values of the infrastructure investment (X) need to be determined and this is explained
further below.
Once the material and factor input data of the project have been collected, the inputs are
matched with the sectors in the SAM and inserted into the subaccount. Then, the inputs of the
sub-account should be subtracted from the inputs of the construction sector as indicated in
Table A3.1 (a) in the form of Y1-X1, Y2-X2… Yn-Xn. This ensures that the SAM remains balanced.
(Note that adding back together the inputs of the construction sector (Y1-X1, Y2-X2… Yn-Xn) and
the inputs of the infrastructure project (X1, X2… Xn) should result in the original construction
sector input structure.
Table A3.1 (b) shows how the outputs of the infrastructure investment under study is to be
integrated into the SAM. As noted in the previous units, the row elements of the SAM represent
the intermediate sales of output to other sectors.
62 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Table A3.1(b)
Creating the infrastructure project sub-account: inserting outputs
Sector Sector Sector
- - Factors - SI - Total
1 2 n
Sector 1 - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
- - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
- - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
- - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
- - - - - - - - - - Row Sum
Sub account
(Infrastructure A1 A2 - - An Af - Asi - Row Sum
Investment)
- - - - - - - - - - -
Total - - - - - - - - -
In Table A3.1(b), A represents the output of the infrastructure investment which in most cases
can be assumed to be equivalent the total budget spent on the project in the year of the SAM.
O represents the output of the construction sector, n represents the number of sectors in
the SAM, and f represents the output from factors. Once the output of the infrastructure
sector is determined, it should be inserted into the SAM as indicated in the table. And like to
the inputs, the outputs of the infrastructure project should be subtracted from the output of
the construction sector. In the case of public infrastructure, the output is a public good and so
does not serve an input to other sectors. The output is therefore allocated to the savings and
investment account of the SAM.
Now, the SAM is adjusted and the construction sector is split in a way that distinguishes
between the infrastructure investment and the rest of construction sector activities. Using
this adjusted SAM, we can compute the multipliers for the infrastructure investment following
the steps that the ETE toolkit presents in Unit 2. Thus the Type I and Type II output multipliers
can be computed and these along with the employment-output ratios can in turn be used
to compute the employment multipliers. The employment multipliers can then be used to
estimated the employment effects of the investment.
A3.2. Example:
Assessing the employment effects of social housing projects in Ghana
To practically demonstrate the method, we will now present an example from Ghana where
the employment effects of social housing construction projects funded by the Ghanaian
government were assessed (Full report available here). The assessment was done in five steps:
Step 1: Collect the material and factor input data of the social housing projects for which the
employment impact assessment is conducted
Step 2: Match the material and factor input data of social housing with the sectors in the SAM
Step 3: Create social housing sub-accounts in the SAM
Step 4: Compute Type II and Type I multipliers of the social housing
Step 5: Estimate the indirect and induced employment effects of social housing investment.
Each step is discussed in more detail below.
Annexes 63
Table A3.2
Cost breakdown of the material and labour inputs of social housing
Building type
Material Total for all
source buildings (USD1)
8 units 16 units 24 units
Breakdown of construction value in USD1 based on BoQ for each building type
Electrical accessories,
cablings, fittings, consumer
32,179 64,359 74,656 Local 1,038,744
units, control gears and
power lighting systems
Table A3.3
Sectors and factors providing inputs to the construction sector in the SAM
Construction ccons - - 25 -
Total 28,369.55
The inputs of social housing were then matched with the sectors which provide inputs to the
construction sector. This is presented in Table A3.4 below. The last column of the table shows
how the inputs of social housing were matched with the sectors in the 2015 SAM of Ghana. As
indicated, material inputs such as cement, sand, stone and related products were allocated into
non-metal minerals account of the SAM. Steel products and electronic accessories allocated
in metal and metal related products account, timber products were also allocated into wood
and paper products account of the SAM. Paints were also allocated to the chemicals sector.
It should be noted that allocating the inputs of the infrastructure investment into the sectors in
the SAM is not always straightforward. One difficulty is that it may be found that infrastructure
investment buys inputs a sectors that the construction sector in the SAM does not. For
instance, in this example, it was found that social housing buys inputs that should be allocated
to sectors such as financial services and water supply and sewage. However, the construction
account is the SAM does not buy inputs from these sectors, so allocating the inputs to those
sectors would unbalance the SAM.
There are several options to address this and this will require some judgment on the side of
those conducing the assessment. One is to consult with the institution which constructed the
SAM on how the inputs should best be matched. If the input spending of the infrastructure
investment on those sectors is not very large and will not to distort the result the analysis, it
Annexes 65
may also be decided not to include them. Another option is to allocate them to another sector
that is closely related18.
Looking at the factor inputs, the labour cost of the project was allocated into the labour
account of the SAM. It is important to mention that in many SAMs the labour account is
disaggregated by locality and skills level of workers. Thus, when the input data is collected
for the infrastructure projects, the survey tools should be structured in such a way which
allows the labour inputs to be allocated to the labour categories of the SAM. However, if such
a breakdown of labour data is unavailable from projects, the labour categories in the SAM
can be aggregated into a single labour account. Any profits should be allocated to the factor
capital account of the SAM.
A final note is to made with regards to the exchange rates and dates for the SAM. While the
project was implemented over 2017, the SAM is for 2015 and no SAM was available for 2017.
As the structure of the economy, and in particular the proportion of the various inputs, would
not have changed much over this period, we expect the multipliers not to have changed much
either. However the exchange rate in 2015 was 3.75, significantly lower than the rate of 4.36 of
2017. As no SAM is available for 2017, it was decided to use the 2015 exchange rate to simulate
the investment and so the investment of USD 10,668 was converted into GHS at this rate.
Table A3.4
Matching the social housing input with the sectors in the SAM
Input cost for Input cost for Input cost for
Material and Labour Best fitting sector
all buildings all buildings all buildings (in
inputs in the SAM
(USD) (GHS) millions of GHS)*
Cement, sand and stones
1,724,572 6,467,145 6.47 Non-metal minerals
related products
Health and safety equipment 86,407 324,026 0.32 Machinery and equipment
Project management
(Supervision) costs in USD 528,479 1,981,796 1.98 Construction
for all buildings (B)
Total 10,668,576 40,007,160 40.01
* The 2015 Ghana SAM is in millions of GHS and the inputs costs of social housing were also converted accordingly at the 2015 exchange rate
of GHS 3.75 per USD.
Source: Abbadi et. al. 2019
18 Another option would be to include all the sectors and update and rebalance the SAM. This can be quite an elaborate
exercise however and may significantly increase the scope and expertise required to conduct the assignment.
66 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Step 3: Inserting the allocated inputs and output data of social housing into the SAM
Once the social housing inputs are collected and matched with the sectors in the SAM, the next
step is inserting the input costs into the SAM. To do so, first, the input costs collected from the
projects should be converted to the currency and unit used in the SAM. Transactions in the
2015 Ghana SAM are presented in millions of GHS, so the inputs of social housing should be
converted accordingly.
Social housing sub-account was subsequently created in the SAM as indicated in Table 3.5. The
material and labour inputs of social housing were inserted according to the sectors they were
allocated to, and the inputs were subtracted from the input costs of the construction sector.
For example, the construction sector purchases GHS 1,529 million worth of inputs from wood
and paper and the amount that social housing projects buy from the same sector is estimated
to be GHS 4.9 million GHS, so this 4.9 million was subtracted from what construction sector
spends on this sector. The same was done for all sectors from which the construction sector
and social housing purchase their inputs including labour inputs.
Table A3.5
Creating the new social housing subaccount and inserting the inputs costs
Water supply - - - - - -
Wholesale trade - - - - - -
Water supply - - - - - -
Wholesale trade - - - - - -
19 The method for calculating these multipliers, was developed by W. Leontief for which he won the Nobel Prize in 1973 and
remains widely used. Other references explaining the method are XXXX (Text book) which also explains the theory behind the
method and Social accounting matrices and multiplier analysis (IFPRI 2009) which provides more practical guidance much like
the ETE Toolkit.
68 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
The multiplier refers to an economic concept that shows how much or by how many times the final
output of a given sector would increase if some extra investment/spending is done in other sectors.
It also provides an indication of how an increase in one area, leads to increases in other areas.
Input-output (Type I) multipliers are computed from the intermediated demand table of the SAM
and capture the direct and indirect production effects only. They estimate the impact on the supply
chain resulting from a producer of a certain product increasing their output to meet additional
demand. However, Type I multipliers underestimate the effect on the economy as they do not
estimate the induced effects.
SAM multipliers (Type II) are calculated using the entire SAM and in addition to the direct and
indirect effects, they include the induced effects based on how households spend the income they
earn from the direct and indirect effects. Multipliers computed using the SAM are, therefore, tend
to be larger than multipliers computed using the input-output table.
The first step to compute multipliers is deriving the technical coefficients (matrix A) of the
sectors in the SAM including the newly integrated social housing subsector. Technical
coefficients (Matrix A) show the proportional value of inputs purchased by a given sector to
produce one unit of output in that sector. And each entry in the matrix A is calculated by
dividing the corresponding cell of the SAM by its column total.
Note that when deriving the technical coefficient (matrix A), it is important to identify the
endogenous accounts and exogenous accounts of the SAM. In most SAM framework, it
has been customary to regard transactions in the government account, tax, the saving
and investment account, and the rest of the world as exogenous accounts. Thus, all values
in these accounts of the Ghana SAM were made exogenous. In excel, we can make account
exogenous by simply inserting zero in all cells of the matrix A of these accounts as indicated in
Table A3.7. Table A3.7 presents the technical coefficients (matrix A) of social housing and for
comparison, the matrix A of the construction sector is also presented.
Table A3.7
The technical coefficient of social housing and construction sector
Constru- Social
- - gov mtax stax s-i dstk row
ction housing
Mining - 0.012 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 0
Petroleum - 0.006 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capital - 0.639 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
The technical coefficients of social housing presented can be interpreted as follows: out of
every 1 GHS spent by social housing sector on the inputs, 12 percent of the inputs spending will
be on wood and paper products; 22 percent will be spent on non-metal minerals; 19 percent
on the metals and metal products. Social housing spends a significant amount its of inputs
cost on labour which is around 30 percent of its total input spending.
There is a significant difference in the input spending pattern of the construction sector
as a whole compared to what was found for social housing alone. For instance, while the
construction sector spends only 7 and 5 percent of its input expenditure on non-metal
minerals and wood products respectively, whereas social housing spends 22 and 12 percent
of its input spending on non-metal minerals and wood products respectively. Looking at the
factor inputs, while the construction sector spends 9 percent of its input spending on labour
inputs, social housing spends 30 percent of its input spending on labour.
The biggest difference is that the SAM also shows 63 percent of construction spending is
allocated to the factor capital inputs. This seems very high, and probably reflects a common
practice in the construction of SAMs of allocating the residual output of the sector to the
capital account20. These factor payments theoretically represent profit share, purchases of
land by the construction sector, as well as the cost of capital associated with the high-interest
rates in Ghana. For the social housing, the building was done on government land which was
thus free to government. from the data collected for the project, the profit margins appeared
very low and were assumed to be zero21.
The resulting Type I and Type II multipliers for social housing and the construction sector are
presented in Table A3.8.
20 It also demonstrates one limitation of using the SAM in contexts where these are constructed on the basis of limited data
sets.
21 As the project was still ongoing and the data provided by the contractor on this was limited the profit margin could not be
deducted. Because of some delays encountered and what to the assessment team seemed to have been an underestimation
of the labour costs, there were strong indications that the contract would be making a loss on the project. For these reasons
the profit margin was taken to be zero.
70 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Table A3.8
Type I and Type II multipliers of social housing and the construction sector
The table shows that the Type I and Type II multipliers for social housing were found to be 2.63
and 3.13 respectively. And the difference between the two captures the induced effect which
is 0.5. In comparison, the Type I and Type II multipliers for the construction sector as a whole
were found to be 1.66 and 2.78 respectively. The multipliers are composed of contributions
from the different sectors and the sectoral breakdown of the multipliers is also shown.
Annexes 71
22 As presented in the 2015 Labour Force Report (GSS 2016) data which is available from the Ghana Statistical Services (GSS).
72 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Table A3.9
Employment-output ratios for Ghana in each sector
Sectoral Employment-Output
Sectoral output in
Sectors employment in FTEs ratios (FTEs per
million GHS (2015)
(LFS 2015) million GHS)
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 3 213 166 29 956 107
Source: Labour Force Survey (2015) and Social Accounting Matrix (2015)
It is important to note the large differences in employment output ratios between sectors in
Ghana, and in particular to note the low apparent productivity of the agriculture sector (107
FTEs per 1 million GH₵ output) and wholesale and retail (109 FTEs per 1 million GH₵ output)
compared to other sectors. This low productivity in agriculture and wholesale and retail, is
associated with the high levels of informality of these sectors and this will have important
implications for estimating employment effects because any increase in the output of these
sectors will result in a large increase in the estimated number of additional labour required.
Based on the findings form the project, the employment to output ratio for social housing
differed from that of the construction sector as a whole. For the project, it was found that
the total labour input was 1197 FTEs and the value of the total output was USD 10.67 million.
This implies an employment output ratio of 112 FTEs/ USD million, which is equivalent to
approximately 29 FTE / GHS million. This is substantially higher than the 10 FTE/ GHS million
for the construction sector as a whole as obtained from the national LFS data.
Annexes 73
Table A3.10
Employment multipliers of social housing
2 3 4 5 6 7
Social Housing
Employment multipliers
Multipliers
Type II Type I
Sectors EO ratios Total Indirect Induced
Multipliers Multipliers
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 0.23 0.12 107 24.6 12.8 11.77
Wholesale and retail trade 0.13 0.01 109 14.2 1.1 13.08
It is assumed that the project reviewed was typical of the government’s social housing
portfolio, the same approach can be used to estimate the employment effect of the entire
portfolio. According to the Ministry of Works and Housing, between 2018 and 2020 the
government plans to invest an average of GHS 1,570 million in social housing construction
per year. If we treat this as an exogenous shock(x) estimates of the employment effects then
can be computed using the following equation:
Based on this the total employment effects of the social housing investment by the Ghanaian
government is estimated at 174,000 FTEs. Of these, around 45,500 FTEs would be direct jobs
created in social housing, around 56,500 FTEs would be indirect jobs created in the sectors
which supply inputs to social housing, and 72,000 FTEs induced jobs. These results and the
breakdown by sector are presented in Table A3.11.
It should be noted however that a large share (35%) of the total estimated FTEs are created in
two sectors, namely agriculture and wholesale and retail trade. As was mentioned earlier the
employment output ratio of these two sectors is very low. This is due to the low productivity
and these two sectors. It is therefore also clear whether these two sectors would respond to
increased demand by increasing employment, or by also increasing productivity. For these
reasons, the employment estimates from these two sectors were not included in the overall
estimates in the final report as there was a high risk these were inflating the estimate and
creating an impression that the employment effects would be much greater than are probable.
Annexes 75
Table A3.11
Estimated employment effects of social housing by sector and effect
Exogenous
Sectors Direct Indirect Induced Direct Indirect Induced Total
Shock
Agriculture, forestry and
0 12.8 11.77 1570 0 20096 18479 38575
fishing
Mining and quarrying 0 0.2 0 0 0 314 0 314
Infrastructure Type: Sub Year of Cost (original Labour cost Cost (USD Labour cost
Global region Country Project/Programme Project Details Technology Currency Currency
Main Category category study currency (millions) (original currency) millions) (USD millions)
National Programme of Rural Roads, large scale project with many sub-projects
MENA Morocco PNRR2 Transportation Equipment based 2015 88 MAD 10.4 MAD 9.0 1.1
(information for 71.13 km of roads included in the study)
Solar Project
MENA Morocco Energy Solar Energy plant in Ouarzazate, 500MW Plant Equipment based 2015 1000 USD 106 MAD 102.0 10.8
(Ouarzazate)
MENA Morocco Sanitation Oujda Sanitation Sanitation in Oujda, Sewage network, treatment plant and storm water drainage Equipment based 2015 437 MAD 49 MAD 44.6 5.0
Sanitation in Sebou Basin, Infrastructure for collection and treatment in 17 urban
MENA Morocco Sanitation Sebou Sanitation Equipment based 2015 237 MAD 13 MAD 24.2 1.3
centers
MENA Tunisia Priority Roads Transportation Urban Priority Roads, 12 sub-projects to reduce traffic congestion Equipment based 2015 41.9 Euro 5.96 Euro 45.7 6.5
Power station in Sousse, Construction and operation of dual-fuel power plant (This
Sousse Power
MENA Tunisia Energy O&M figure is based on 150 full time staff for 25 years, plus 1.4 maintence staff per Equipment based 2015 300 Euro 28.2 Euro 327.0 30.7
Station
year for 25 years and the 63 staff on maintence contracts for 25 years).
MENA Jordan Amman Ring Road Transportation Ring road in Amman, 41m four-lane highway Equipment based 2015 160 JOD 41 JOD 223.6 57.3
MENA Jordan Tafila Wind Farm Energy Windfarm in Tafilah, 117MW wind farm with 38 turbines Equipment based 2015 230 Euro N/A 250.7 N/A
MENA Egypt Giza Power Station Energy Power plant in Giza, 2,250MW power plant Equipment based 2015 651 USD 65 USD 651.0 65.0
Power Egypt Power Transmission, 10 transmission lines, 1 underground cable, 10 substations
MENA Egypt Energy Equipment based 2015 49 USD 5.5 USD 49.0 5.5
Transmission and 22 transformers
EPAPII, Pollution abatement in various industries in Alexandria and Greater Cairo
MENA Egypt EPAP II Environment Equipment based 2015 86.5 USD 3.2 USD 86.5 3.2
governorates
Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) - Programme intended to generate
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Buildings employment through labour-intensive methods but potential not fully exploited as Equipment based 2011 13815 ZAR 359 ZAR 1945.8 50.6
indicated by labour intensity.
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Energy - Electricity Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) 2011 223 ZAR 51 ZAR 31.4 7.2
Transportation - Roads
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 (construction and Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) 2011 6 430 ZAR 714 ZAR 905.6 100.6
maintenance)
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Sanitation Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) 2011 816 ZAR 65 ZAR 114.9 9.2
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Stormwater Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) 2011 344 ZAR 13 ZAR 48.5 1.8
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Waste management Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) 2011 51 ZAR 20 ZAR 7.2 2.8
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Water supply Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) 2011 1 175 ZAR 136 ZAR 165.5 19.2
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Total Expanded Public Works Program (EPWP) (1) 2011 22 854 ZAR 1 358 ZAR 3218.9 191.3
Transportation - Roads Four road maintenance projects including rehabilitation and periodic maintenance in
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Labour-intensive approach 2007 0.18 USD 0.05 USD 0.2 0.05
maintenance different terrains of about 25km of road
Transportation - Roads Four road maintenance projects including rehabilitation, periodic maintenance and
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Semi-mechanized 2007 1.9 USD 0.47 USD 1.9 0.47
maintenance treatment of critical areas in different terrains of about 129km of road
Transportation - Roads Three road maintenance projects including rehabilitation and periodic maintenance in
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Equipment based 2007 9.9 USD 0.79 USD 9.9 0.79
maintenance different terrains of about 180km of road
Three schools including a total of 8 classrooms, 18 latrines, 2 tanks and one water
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools Local resource-based approach 2007 0.05 USD 0.006 USD 0.05 0.006
point
Three schools including a total of 14 classrooms, 3 latrines and 1 tank using mixed
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools Mixed approach 2007 0.12 USD 0.017 USD 0.120 0.017
approach (Concrete roof frames and metal work for windows and doors)
Two schools including rehabilitation and building of classrooms, offices and facilities
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools Mixed approach 2007 0.10 USD 0.012 USD 0.1 0.012
using mixed approach (Metal roof frames and metal work for windows and doors)
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools Three schools including 78 classrooms using prefabricated components Pre-fabricated 2007 0.80 USD 0.060 USD 0.8 0.060
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Irrigation Rehabilitation of irrigation network serving a total area of 610 hectares of land Labour-intensive approach 2007 0.22 USD 0.040 USD 0.22 0.040
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Irrigation Rehabilitation of irrigation network serving a total area of 760 hectares of land Equipment-based 2007 0.35 USD 0.030 USD 0.35 0.030
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Transportation-roads Pavement of two roads using cobalt stone (total surface of 2,386 square meters) Local resource-based approach 2007 5.810 USD 1.930 USD 5.81 1.930
Sub-Saharan Africa Ghana One project Social Housing Construction of 280 Housing Units (Apartments) in 18 buildings, suburban Accra Mixed approach as per local concventions 2018 10.668 USD 4.694 USD 10.67 4.694
Irrigation and watershed Employment through labor Intensive Infrastructure Program in Jordan (Phase I - Work
MENA Jordan Programme Labour-intensive approach 2018 0.581 USD 0.331 USD 0.58 0.331
management (Green Works) under agriculture sector-Farm improvement, Forestry and Irrigation) ILO project
Irrigation and watershed Water Cisterns, ILO project, Job Creation for Syrian Refugees and Jordanian host
MENA Jordan Programme Labour-intensive approach 2018 0.254 USD 0.079 USD 0.25 0.079
management (Green Works) communities through Green Works in Agriculture and Forestry
Irrigation and watershed Reforestation activities, ILO project, Job Creation for Syrian Refugees and Jordanian
MENA Jordan Programme Labour-intensive approach 2018 0.657 USD 0.510 USD 0.66 0.510
management (Green Works) host communities through Green Works in Agriculture and Forestry
MENA Jordan Project Rural Roads Routine road maintenance, Balama, Mafraq, EIIP, ILO project Labour-intensive approach 2018 0.345 USD 0.173 USD 0.35 0.173
MENA Jordan Project Rural Roads Routine road maintenance, Manshyeh, Mafraq, EIIP, ILO project Labour-intensive approach 2018 0.272 USD 0.139 USD 0.27 0.139
MENA Jordan Project Highway 22 km of ring road for Al Salt, Jordan Equipment based 2018 50.783 USD 10.055 USD 50.78 10.055
MENA Jordan Project Highway Upgrading of 110 km of major highway, Azraq (Highway 30) Equipment based 2018 148.785 USD 32.584 USD 148.79 32.584
MENA Lebanon Project Rural Roads Rehabilitation of 4.3 km of rural road, Ba'albak, direct implementation Labour-intensive approach 0.370 USD 0.272 USD 0.37 0.272
MENA Lebanon Project Rural Roads Rehabilitation of 7.28km, Jbeil District, Mt Lebanon 2018 7.300 2.400 USD 7.30 2.400
MENA Lebanon Project Highway Rehabilitation of 12 km of road, Nabatieh Equipment based 2018 7.540 USD 1.600 USD 7.54 1.600
MENA Lebanon Project Highway Rehabilitation and widening of 14.7 km of road, Chouf District Equipment based 2018 14.826 USD 2.520 USD 14.83 2.520
MENA Lebanon Project Urban Road Construction Rehabilitation of 1.7 km of road, Hazmieh Region Equipment based 2018 3.079 USD 0.579 USD 3.08 0.579
Minimum 7.2 1.1
Maximum 1945.8 100.6
MENA Morocco PNRR2 Transportation 12% 218 FTE 0.0% 10 400 000 MAD
Solar Project
MENA Morocco Energy 11% 950 FTE 0.0% 106 000 000 MAD
(Ouarzazate)
MENA Morocco Sanitation Oujda Sanitation 11.2% 850 FTE 49 000 000 MAD
MENA Morocco Sanitation Sebou Sanitation 5.5% 496 FTE 13 000 000 MAD
MENA Tunisia Priority Roads Transportation 14.2% 1096 FTE 5 960 000 Euro
Sousse Power
MENA Tunisia Energy 9.4% 6265 FTE 0.0% 28 200 000 Euro
Station
MENA Jordan Amman Ring Road Transportation 25.6% 4727 FTE 0.0% 41 000 000 JOD
MENA Jordan Tafila Wind Farm Energy N/A 230 FTE NA -
MENA Egypt Giza Power Station Energy 10.0% 4879 FTE 0.0% 65 000 000 USD
MENA Egypt Power Transmission Energy 11.2% 1439 FTE 0.0% 5 500 000 USD
MENA Egypt EPAP II Environment 3.7% 178 FTE 0.0% 3 200 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Buildings 2.6% 21523 FTE 359 000 000 ZAR
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Energy - Electricity 22.9% 2011 FTE 51 000 000 ZAR
Transportation - Roads
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 11.1% 46089 FTE 714 000 000 ZAR
(construction and maintenance)
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Sanitation 8.0% 3586 FTE 65 000 000 ZAR
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Stormwater 3.8% 573 FTE 13 000 000 ZAR
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Waste management 39.2% 1188 FTE 20 000 000 ZAR
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Water supply 11.6% 6474 FTE 136 000 000 ZAR
Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa EPWP 1 Total 5.9% 81444 FTE 1 358 000 000 ZAR
Transportation - Roads
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects 26.5% 20 FTE 48 335 USD
maintenance
Transportation - Roads
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects 24.7% 122 FTE 470 000 USD
maintenance
Transportation - Roads
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects 7.98% 41 FTE 790 000 USD
maintenance
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools 11.34% 6 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools 13.48% 17 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools 12.1% 12 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Buildings - Schools 7.4% 60 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Irrigation 18.0% 40 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Irrigation 11.0% 30 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Multiple projects Transportation-roads 33.0% 1 930 000 USD
Sub-Saharan Africa Ghana One project Social Housing 44.0% 1197 FTE 0.4% NA 4 693 920 USD
Irrigation and watershed
MENA Jordan Programme 57.0% 21946 days NA 100% 331 170 USD
management (Green Works)
Irrigation and watershed
MENA Jordan Programme 31.1% 3525 days 0.0% 100% 79 000 USD
management (Green Works)
Irrigation and watershed
MENA Jordan Programme 77.6% 26211 days 11.1% 100% 510 000 USD
management (Green Works)
MENA Jordan Project Rural Roads 50.0% 8122 days 23.7% NA 172 500 USD
MENA Jordan Project Rural Roads 51.0% 6551 days 17.3% NA 138 720 USD
MENA Jordan Project Highway 19.8% 268 015 days 2.2% NA 10 055 034 USD
MENA Jordan Project Highway 21.9% 601 787 days 0.0% NA 32 583 915 USD
MENA Lebanon Project Rural Roads 73.5% 26 7 950 days NA NA 272 000 USD
MENA Lebanon Project Rural Roads 32.9% 300 59 625 days NA NA 2 400 000 USD
MENA Lebanon Project Highway 21.2% 54 48 600 days NA NA 1 600 000 USD
MENA Lebanon Project Highway 17.0% 62 016 days NA NA 2 520 420 USD
MENA Lebanon Project Urban Road Construction 13 486 Days 4.0% NA 579 000 USD
2.6% 178
39.2% 46 089
Cost /
Cost /
Sector Investment
Region Year of Study (Year Original Investment
Global region Country Project / Programme /Infrastructure Technology (original
number of data inputs) Currency (USD,
type currency,
millions)
millions)
1 MENA (LMIC) Egypt Giza Power Station Energy High Technology 2015 (2011) 2200.0 USD 2200.0
1 MENA (LMIC) Egypt Power Transmission Project Energy High Technology 2015 (2011) 700.0 USD 700.0
1 MENA (LMIC) Egypt EPAP 2 Environment High Technology 2015 (2011) 150.0 USD 150.0
1 MENA (HMIC) Jordan Amman Ring Road Transportation High Technology 2014 (2010) 160.0 JOD 223.6
1 MENA (HMIC) Jordan Tafila Wind Park Energy High Technology 2014 (2010) 230.0 Euro 250.7
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco PNRR 2 Transportation Lower Technology 2014 (2003-2012) 650.0 USD 650.0
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco Solar Project Energy High Technology 2014 (2003-2012) 1000.0 USD 1000.0
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco Sanitation Oujda Sanitation High Technology 2014 (2003-2012) 65.0 Euro 70.9
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco Sanitation Sebou Sanitation High Technology 2014 (2003-2012) 87.0 Euro 94.8
1 MENA (HMIC) Tunisia Priority Roads Transportation Lower Technology 2014 (2011) 143.7 Euro 156.6
1 MENA (HMIC) Tunisia Sousee Power station Energy High Technology 2014 (2011) 388.0 Euro 422.9
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (Gujarat) Simulation - Irrigation Canal Irrigation No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
Simulation - Highways/
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (Gujarat) Transportation No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
Urban Roads
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (Gujarat) Simulation - Rural Roads Transportation No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (Gujarat) Simulation - Other Average No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (West Bengal) Simulation - Irrigation Canal Irrigation No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
Simulation - Highways/
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (West Bengal) Transportation No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
Urban Roads
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (West Bengal) Simulation - Rural Roads Transportation No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
2 South Asia (LMIC) India (West Bengal) Simulation - Other Average No information 2015 (2009-2010) 0.1 RP 0.0015
South East Asia Fiscal Stimulus Package
3 Indonesia Infrastructure No information 2011 (2000-2008) 10800000.0 RP 14644.8
(LMIC) (Varied Projects)
South East Asia Simulation - Construction:
3 Indonesia Transportation Labour Intensive 2011 (2000-2008) 1000.0 RP 1.4
(LMIC) Roads
South East Asia Simulation - Construction:
3 Indonesia Transportation Capital Intensive 2011 (2000-2008) 1000.0 RP 1.4
(LMIC) Roads
South East Asia Simulation - Construction:
3 Indonesia Sanitation No information 2011 (2000-2008) 1000.0 RP 1.4
(LMIC) Irrigation
South East Asia Simulation - Construction:
3 Indonesia Infrastructure No information 2011 (2000-2008) 1000.0 RP 1.4
(LMIC) Other
Simulation - Employment
Sub Saharan Africa Employmemnt
4 Liberia Intensive Approach to Transportation 2011 (2008) 48.0 USD 48.0
(LIC) Intensive
Infrastructure
Sub Saharan Africa Simulation - Conventional
4 Liberia Transportation Conventional Approach 2011 (2008) 48.0 USD 48.0
(LIC) Approach to Infrastructure
Simulation - Employment
Sub Saharan Africa Employmemnt
4 Liberia Intensive Approach to Other 2011 (2008) 45.3 USD 45.3
(LIC) Intensive
Infrastructure
Sub Saharan Africa Simulation - Conventional
4 Liberia Other Conventional Approach 2011 (2008) 45.3 USD 45.3
(LIC) Approach to Infrastructure
Sub Saharan Africa
4 Ghana Social Housing Assessment Housing Concentional 2017 (2019) 47.4 GHC 10.6
(LIC)
Sub Saharan Africa
4 Rwanda Simulation Feeder Roads Labour Intensive 2015 (2019) 41.0 USD
(LIC)
Sub Saharan Africa
4 Rwanda Simulation Feeder Roads Capital Intensive 2015 (2019) 41.0 USD
(LIC)
Cost /
Cost /
Sector Investment
Region Year of Study (Year Original Investment
Global region Country Project / Programme /Infrastructure Technology (original
number of data inputs) Currency (USD,
type currency,
millions)
millions)
7 HIC:OECD USA Simulation 21.0 2.3 8.2 10.5 4.57 9.13 47 619 434 783
7 HIC:OECD USA Simulation 17.7 1.9 7.4 8.4 4.89 9.32 56 497 526 316
Max 5 676.2 2 073.2 1 061.4 3 296.8 5.7 9.7 201 555 1 073 620
Min 5.0 0.9 2.4 1.1 1.2 1.5 176 482
Average 566.1 189.5 124.6 417.0 3.1 5.1 35 659 146 560
86 Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA)
of Infrastructure Investments
Country and programme or project information Programme or project level employment information
1 MENA (LMIC) Egypt Giza Power Station 67107 11237 17.0 44601 66.0 11269 17.0 I-O
Power Transmission
1 MENA (LMIC) Egypt 3473 652 19.0 2080 60.0 741 21.0 I-O
Project
1 MENA (LMIC) Egypt EPAP 2 6132 1152 19.0 3672 60.0 1308 21.0 I-O
1 MENA (HMIC) Jordan Amman Ring Road 10327 3821 37.0 3408 33.0 3098 30.0 I-O
1 MENA (HMIC) Jordan Tafila Wind Park 13131 5384 41.0 4727 36.0 3020 23.0 I-O
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco PNRR 2 49529 12927 26.1 20356 41.1 16246 32.8 I-O
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco Solar Project 39854 8210 20.6 27978 70.2 3667 9.2 I-O
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco Sanitation Oujda 5854 2031 34.7 3015 51.5 808 13.8 I-O
1 MENA (LMIC) Morocco Sanitation Sebou 7523 2806 37.3 3619 48.1 1098 14.6 I-O
1 MENA (HMIC) Tunisia Priority Roads 8464 5376 63.0 1821 21.0 1267 15.0 I-O
1 MENA (HMIC) Tunisia Sousee Power station 4622 2878 62.0 1009 22.0 735 16.0 I-O
South Asia Simulation - Irrigation
2 India (Gujarat) 0.566 17.5 0.336 10.4 2.338 72.2 I-O
(LMIC) Canal
South Asia Simulation - Highways/
2 India (Gujarat) 0.406 13.2 0.325 10.6 2.340 76.2 I-O
(LMIC) Urban Roads
South Asia Simulation - Rural
2 India (Gujarat) 2.275 45.2 0.402 8.0 2.355 46.8 I-O
(LMIC) Roads
South Asia
2 India (Gujarat) Simulation - Other 0.336 10.4 0.530 16.3 2.380 73.3 I-O
(LMIC)
South Asia India (West Simulation - Irrigation
2 3.128 36.5 0.593 6.9 4.843 56.6 I-O
(LMIC) Bengal) Canal
South Asia India (West Simulation - Highways/
2 0.700 11.1 0.689 10.9 4.920 78.0 I-O
(LMIC) Bengal) Urban Roads
South Asia India (West Simulation - Rural
2 2.188 28.5 0.686 8.9 4.804 62.6 I-O
(LMIC) Bengal) Roads
South Asia India (West
2 Simulation - Other 0.868 13.2 0.750 11.4 4.974 75.5 I-O
(LMIC) Bengal)
South East Fiscal Stimulus Package
3 Indonesia 293 000 DySAM
Asia (LMIC) (Varied Projects)
South East Simulation -
3 Indonesia 49 DySAM
Asia (LMIC) Construction: Roads
South East Simulation -
3 Indonesia 24 DySAM
Asia (LMIC) Construction: Roads
South East Simulation -
3 Indonesia 24 DySAM
Asia (LMIC) Construction: Irrigation
South East Simulation -
3 Indonesia 30 DySAM
Asia (LMIC) Construction: Other
Simulation -
Sub Saharan Employment
4 Liberia 67 601 16654 50947 I-O
Africa (LIC) Intensive Approach to
Infrastructure
Simulation -
Sub Saharan
4 Liberia Conventional Approach 42 878 3798 39079 I-O
Africa (LIC)
to Infrastructure
Simulation -
Sub Saharan Employment
4 Liberia 41 826 10870 30957 I-O
Africa (LIC) Intensive Approach to
Infrastructure
Simulation -
Sub Saharan
4 Liberia Conventional Approach 13566 2507 18.5 11060 I-O
Africa (LIC)
to Infrastructure
Sub Saharan Social Housing
4 Ghana 2883 1197 41.5 858 29.8 837 29.03 SAM
Africa (LIC) Assessment
Sub Saharan
4 Rwanda Simulation 24600 16933 68.8 SAM
Africa (LIC)
Sub Saharan
4 Rwanda Simulation 10250 3034 29.6 SAM
Africa (LIC)
Country and programme or project information Programme or project level employment information
5 UMIC Turkey Simulation 1800.95 610 15.3 2250 56.5 1120 28.1 I-O
5 UMIC Turkey Simulation 4180 640 15.3 2700 64.6 840 20.1 I-O
HIC:Non-
6 Latvia Simulation 3 750 520 13.9 1970 52.5 1260 33.6 I-O
OECD
HIC:Non-
6 Latvia Simulation 3 090 610 19.7 1330 43.0 1150 37.2 I-O
OECD
HIC:Non-
6 Lithuania Simulation 4 330 550 12.7 2530 58.4 1250 28.9 I-O
OECD
HIC:Non-
6 Lithuania Simulation 5 360 830 15.5 3180 59.3 1350 25.2 I-O
OECD
South
East Asia
6 Taiwan Simulation 4 240 490 11.6 2150 50.7 1600 37.7 I-O
(HIC:Non-
OECD)
South
East Asia
6 Taiwan Simulation 5 130 730 14.2 2840 55.4 1560 30.4 I-O
(HIC:Non-
OECD)
7 HIC:OECD Greece Simulation 2 650 290 10.9 1220 46.0 1140 43.0 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Greece Simulation 2 850 450 15.8 1380 48.4 1020 35.8 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Hungary Simulation 3 650 530 14.5 2090 57.3 1030 28.2 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Hungary Simulation 4 290 580 13.5 2710 63.2 1000 23.3 I-O
Simulation - Roads
7 HIC:OECD Ireland 13 983 8 773 62.7 3349 24.0 1861 13.3 I-O
(Construction)
Simulation - Roads
7 HIC:OECD Ireland 15 145 10 267 67.8 2 862 18.9 2 016 13.3 I-O
(Improvements)
7 HIC:OECD Ireland Simulation - Rail 12 858 8146 63.4 3001 23.3 1711 13.3 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Ireland Simulation - School 14 936 7 798 52.2 5 150 34.5 1 988 13.3 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Ireland Simulation - Hospital 14 522 7286 50.2 5303 36.5 1933 13.3 I-O
Simulation - Social
7 HIC:OECD Ireland 15 836 8912 56.3 4 816 30.4 2 108 13.3 I-O
Housing
Simulation - Drinking/
7 HIC:OECD Ireland 12 823 6266 48.9 4 850 37.8 1 707 13.3 I-O
Wastewater Treatment
Simulation - High
7 HIC:OECD Ireland 17 411 9525 54.7 5569 32.0 2 317 13.3 I-O
Volatage Power Line
Simulation - Gas Power
7 HIC:OECD Ireland 10 173 2757 27.1 6 062 59.6 1 354 13.3 I-O
Station
7 HIC:OECD Japan Simulation 1 920 250 13.0 820 42.7 850 44.3 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Japan Simulation 2 330 250 10.7 1050 45.1 1030 44.2 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Poland Simulation 4 370 600 13.7 2100 48.1 1670 38.2 I-O
7 HIC:OECD Poland Simulation 4 020 690 17.2 1970 49.0 1360 33.8 I-O
7 HIC:OECD USA Simulation 2 100 230 11.0 820 39.0 1050 50.0 I-O
7 HIC:OECD USA Simulation 1 770 190 10.7 740 41.8 840 47.5 I-O
Max 68.8 70.2 78.0
Min 10.4 6.9 9.2
Average 28.9 39.2 32.6
employment
Emergency
based approaches
Local resource-
and community
infrastructure
ILO Guide for Monitoring Employment and Conducting Employment Impact Assessments (EmpIA) of Infrastructure Investments
Green
works
Guide for Monitoring
Public employment
Employment and Conducting
programmes
Employment Impact
sector development
Public and private
Assessments (EmpIA) of
Infrastructure Investments
This document has been produced
by the International Labour Office
with the financial assistance
of the European Union
EIIP