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160 Gautam Makhija Gautam Makhija 201901161 Scribe 11 1697 540888691
160 Gautam Makhija Gautam Makhija 201901161 Scribe 11 1697 540888691
Lecture Notes
Subject: Probability, Statistics and Information Theory (SC222)
Contents
∴ k [y]nm = 1
∴ k[n − m] = 1
1
∴k=
n−m
So, (
1
n−m , if m ≤ y ≤ n
fY (y) =
0, otherwise
2
1.2 Probability of given interval
For [c,d] ∈ [m,n], probability
k
k−j
Z
P[j ≤ Y ≤ j] = fY (y)dy = ≤1
j n−m
3
2 n
1 y
E(Y ) =
n−m 2 m
1 2 2
E(Y ) = n −m
2(n − m)
1
E(Y ) = [(n − m)(n + m)]
2(n − m)
m+n
∴ E(Y) = µ =
2
Now, Z n
2
E(Y ) = y 2fY (y)dy
m
3 n
1 y
E(Y 2) =
n−m 3 m
1
E(Y 2) = [n3 − m3]
3(n − m)
2 n2 + mn + m2
∴ E(Y ) =
3
Now, Variance(σ 2) :
V ar(Y ) = E(Y 2) − [E(Y )]2
n2 + mn + m2 (m + n)2
V ar(Y ) = −
3 4
4n2 + 4mn + 4m2 − 3m2 − 6mn − 3n2
V ar(Y ) =
12
4
n2 − 2mn + m2
V ar(Y ) =
12
(n − m)22
∴ Var(Y) = σ =
12
(
1
S, if (y,z)∈ R
fY ,Z (y, z) = where S = Area of R
0, otherwise
For the above case,
ZZ
P [(y, z) ∈ B] = fY ,Z (y, z) dy dz
B
Area of B
∴ P [(y, z) ∈ B] =
Area of R
1.5 Examples
1. Let y be a uniformly distributed with mean 2 and variance
1
3 . Find P (y < 2)
Solution :
Here, mean
m+n
µ= =2
2
∴ m + n = 4............(1)
5
and varaince
2 (n − m)2 1
σ = =
12 3
2
∴ (n − m) = 4
∴ n − m = −2 or n − m = 2.........(2)
From (1) and (2)
n+m=4 or n+m=4
n − m = −2 n−m=2
So, n = 1 and m = 3 or n = 3 and m = 1
So , n=3 and m =1 ( ∵ n ≥ m)
Now, (
1
3−1 , if 1 ≤ y ≤ 3
fY (y) =
0, otherwise
(
1
2, if 1 ≤ y ≤ 3
fY (y) =
0, otherwise
Now, Z 2
P (y < 2) = fY (y)dy
−∞
Z 2
1
P (y < 2) = dy
1 2
1
∴ P (y < 2) = [y]21
2
1
∴ P(y < 2) =
2
6
2. In Library , the amount of time of a person takes to read
the whole novel book is uniformly distributed between 40 to 60 min-
utes. i) Show the the probability density function of given statement.
ii) Find out the probability that person will take between 42 to 53
minutes to read whole novel book. iii) Find out the probability that
a person will take at least 48 minutes to read whole novel book. iv)
Find out the mean, variance and standard deviation of given prob-
lem. v) Find out the value of 1st quartile.
Solution :
Here, m = 40 and n = 60
Now,
i)p.d.f
1 1
fY (y) = =
n − m 60 − 40
1
∴ fY (y) =
20
(
1
20 , if 40 ≤ y ≤ 60
fY (y) =
0, otherwise
ii)
53 − 42
P (42 < Y < 53) =
60 − 40
11
∴ P(42 < Y < 53) =
20
iii)
60 − 48
P (Y ≥ 48) =
60 − 40
7
12 3
∴ P(Y ≥ 48) = =
20 5
iv)
m + n 40 + 60
M ean E(Y ) = =
2 2
∴ E(Y) = 50
∴ k = 45
8
2 Normal random variable
2.1 Definition
A continuous random variable Y which has the following p.d.f
1 −1 y−µ 2
fY (y) = √ e 2 ( σ )
σ 2π
−∞ < y < ∞ , −∞ < µ < 0 , σ > 0
is called Normal random variable and it’s distribution is called Nor-
mal distribution.
y−µ
let =k ∴ dy = σdk
σ
Z ∞
1 −k 2
∴ E(Y ) = √ (kσ + µ)e 2 σdk
σ 2π −∞
Z ∞ Z ∞
1 −k 2 −k 2
∴ E(Y ) = √ σke 2 dk + µe 2 dk
2π −∞ −∞
Here, 1st term is odd so it’s integration will be zero and 2nd term is
even therefore, Z ∞ 2
2µ −k
∴ E(Y ) = √ e 2 dk
2π 0
9
k2 dr
let =r ∴ dk = √
2 2r
So, Z ∞
2µ −1
E(Y ) = √ √ e−r r 2 dr
2 2π 0
Z ∞
As we know that e−ppm−1 = Γ(m)......(i)
0
µ 1
∴ E(Y ) = Γ
π 2
µ
∴ E(Y ) = (π)
π
∴ E(Y) = µ
Now, Z ∞
1 −1 y−µ )2
E(Y 2) = √ y2e 2 (σ dy
σ 2π −∞
y−µ
let =k ∴ dy = σdk
σ
Z ∞
2 1 2 −k
2
∴ E(Y ) = √ (kσ + µ) e σdk
2
σ 2π −∞
Z ∞ Z ∞ Z ∞
1 −k 2 −k 2 −k 2
∴ E(Y 2) = √ (k 2σ 2e 2 dk + 2kσµe 2 dk + µ2e 2 dk
2π −∞ −∞ −∞
Here, 2nd term is odd so, it’s integration will be zero and 1st and
3rd term are even therefor,
2 Z ∞ 2 Z ∞
2 2σ −k
2 2
2 2µ −k 2
∴ E(Y ) = √ k e dk + √ e 2 dk
2π 0 2π 0
10
k2 dr
let =r ∴ dk = √
2 2r
2 Z ∞ 2 Z ∞
2σ −1 2µ −1
∴ E(Y 2) = √ √ 2re−r r 2 dr + √ √ e−r r 2 dr
2 2π 0 2 2π 0
2Z ∞ 2 Z ∞
2σ 1 µ −1
∴ E(Y 2) = √ e−r r 2 dr + √ e−r r 2 dr
π 0 π 0
2 2
2σ 3 µ 1
∴ E(Y 2) = √ Γ +√ Γ (F rom (i))
π 2 π 2
2
µ2 √
√
2 2σ π
∴ E(Y ) = √ + √ ( π)
π 2 π
∴ E(Y 2) = σ 2 + µ2
So, now Variance
V ar(Y ) = E(Y 2) − (E(Y ))2
∴ V ar(Y ) = σ 2 + µ2 − µ2
∴ Var(Y) = σ 2
2.3 Examples
11
Solution :
Here, µ = 40 and σ = 5
i)less than 30
y − 40 30 − 40 y − 40
P [Y < 30] = p < =P < −2
5 5 5
So,
P [Y < 30] = 1 − φ(2) = 1 − 09772
∴ P(Y < 30) = 0.0228
ii)greater than 55
y − 40 55 − 40 y − 40
P [Y > 55] = P > =P >3
5 5 5
P [Y > 55] = 1 − φ(3) = 1 − 0.99865
∴ P[Y > 55] = 0.00135
iii)First,
30 − 40 y − 40 50 − 40
P [30 < Y < 50] = P < <
5 5 5
y − 40
∴ P [30 < Y < 50] = P −2 < <2
5
∴ P [30 < Y < 50] = φ(2) − φ(−2) = 0.9772 − 0.0228
∴ P[30 < Y < 50] = 0.9544
So, number of players whose score will be between 30 to 50 is :
0.9544 × 50 = 47.72 ∼
= 48
12