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Risk-Rescue Rating in Suicide Assessment

Avery D. Weisman, MD, and J. William Worden, PhD, Boston

The Risk-Rescue Rating is a descriptive and quantitative method of with the level of treatment recommended (none, emergency ward
assessing the lethality of suicide attempts. Its underlying hypothe- only, hospital admission, and intensive care), with the subject's sex,
sis is that the lethality of implementation, defined as the probability and whether the subjects lived or died. There is less decisive correla-
of inflicting irreversible damage, may be expressed as a ratio of fac- tion with age and little correlation with marital status and multiple
tors influencing risk and rescue. Five risk and five rescue factors attempts. Taken by itself, the risk-rescue rating is not a predictive in-
have been operationally defined, weighted, and scored. Illustrations strument. However, when considered along with other kinds of leth-
of typical high risk/high rescue, high risk/low rescue, low risk/high ality, such as that of intentionality and psychosocial involvement,
rescue, and low risk/low rescue are presented, together with scoring the lethality of implementation can add to the basis of individualized
instructions and tables of values. Risk-rescue ratings correlate well suicide prognosis.

ONE
lethality.
OF THE urgent problems in the study of sui¬
cide is to find a reliable, quantitative measure of
Clinicians tend to divide suicide attempts into
suicide attempts in order to compare the attempt of one
patient with that of another, and to establish a continuum
of lethality for several attempts made by the same pa¬
those of patients who carry out a "serious" act and those tient. Existing rating forms did not seem adequate, be¬
who "only gesture." The fact is that every suicide attempt cause they called for information that was not always
is serious, if we mean that a person has so few alterna¬ available on intake.
tives in solving problems that he must put his life in jeop¬ There are various ways of defining lethality. Shneidman
ardy by a self-destructive act. A second fact, however, is talks about lethality as one's predisposition to kill himself
that high-risk suicide attempts are not always carried out at any given time.1 For Beck, lethality is the degree of ac¬
by highly disturbed people who are, for example, suffering tual physical damage one inflicts on oneself.- Others re¬
from psychotic depression or schizophrenia. Nevertheless, gard lethality as the intent to kill one's self while engag¬
high-risk patients are usually sent to mental hospitals, if ing in life-threatening behavior.' All of these definitions
their physical condition permits, while patients who un¬ of lethality have meaning. However, we found it useful to
dertake low-risk attempts are simply patched up, pumped distinguish three forms of lethality, instead of one. These
out, and sent home, especially if they deny or regret the forms are (1) lethal intentionality, (2) implementation,
suicide attempt. As a rule, there is little effort to quantify and (3) involvement. In this paper, we shall describe a
individual factors involved in the attempt, and, as a result, quantitative assessment of the second form, that of imple¬
clinical judgments of relative seriousness are apt to be mentation; this is the Risk-Rescue Rating.
highly impressionistic. A suicide attempt is a special form of life-threatening
There are many suicide attempts of intermediate lethal¬ behavior in which the probability of death is substantially
ity which cannot be dichotomized easily into "gestures" influenced by what the person does to himself and the con¬
and "serious" attempts. They are difficult to assess ad¬ text in which he does it. Any suicide attempt entails a cal¬
equately in themselves. Age, sex, self-reported intent, culated risk. But because any attempt must also take place
psychiatric diagnosis, suicidal history, inflicted damage, in a psychosocial context or within a specific set of circum¬
and the inherent danger of the agent or method used pro¬ stances, survival may depend upon the resources for res¬
vide substantive data for a judgment of seriousness but cue as well as upon the specific form of the attempt. For
fall short of some kind of a quantitative appraisal. example, jumping off a relatively high bridge into the
In our study of terminal illness and suicide, it became river beneath has about the same riskiness whether it is
necessary to assess the relative "deadliness" of individual done at 3 pm or 3 am. However, rescue factors are much
less if the attempt is made in the early morning hours
when it is dark and fewer potential rescuers are around
Accepted publication Aug 1, 1971.
for than during a busy afternoon. There are other reportable
From the Department of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, rescue factors which may also change the calculated res¬
Boston.
Reprint requests to Project Omega, Suite 3F, Zero Emerson Place, Bos- cue, and modify the lethality of the attempt further.
ton 02114. Calculations of risk and rescue factors are primarily re-

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lated to reportable observations of what happened, not to Severe lesions refer to extensive damage to larger blood
inferences and reconstructions about what the subject in¬ vessels, penetrating necrotizing lesions of vital organs,
or
tended or planned to do. Although one might presume fractures of large bones, the skull, or vertebral column,
that a person with a high risk, low rescue attempt wanted with neurological changes.
to kill himself more than someone with a lower rating, We score ingestions, which are the chief agents produc¬
this is still a conjecture which is open to dispute. ing toxicity, according to a toxicity chart, devised by Rob¬
By risk, we mean the method used and the actual dam¬ ert Sterling-Smith, for 30 drugs used most frequently in
age sustained during a single attempt. In our sense, the suicide attempts treated at the Massachusetts General
term "risk" differs from its more general, prognostic Hospital. This chart takes into consideration what the pa¬
meaning, namely, the "riskiness" of future suicide. tient ingested and clinically calculates the potential dan¬
By rescue, we refer to the observable circumstances and ger or toxicity as being mild, moderate, or severe.
available resources present at the time of the attempt. Reversibility.—This factor properly belongs to the set of
Rescue, in our sense, does not include treatment. Measures intangibles called "clinical judgment." It refers to the
and means used to relieve a suicidal person's distress, to time of medical recovery that is anticipated when the per¬
restore him to health, and to thwart further attempts are son is first evaluated by a clinician. Good means that medi¬
considered under the lethality of involvement. cal recovery is expected to be complete within 24 hours.
The ratio of risk to rescue is a balance of calculated fac¬ Fair is a delayed recovery, but expected to be complete in
tors related to the degree of irreversible damage and to less than one week (one to six days). Poor means a ques¬
the resources that facilitate or hinder rescue. These two tionable recovery because significant impairment or resid¬
factors, taken together, give one a judgment regarding ual damage is likely. The six-day point was decided upon
the lethality of implementation, ie, the estimated proba¬ because patients who are still in the hospital after six
bility of inflicting irreversible damage from a given at¬ days usually have damaged themselves severely enough to
tempt. From this one can assess the relative "seriousness" require extended hospitalization and treatment. Minor
or "deadliness" for a given attempt. scars or fractures that will heal in time are not considered
Risk-Rescue
signs of poor orquestionable reversibility.
Rating Treatment Required—Although rescue ends when
Out of a number of possibilities we selected five vari¬ treatment begins, we consider an assessment of the treat¬
ables to go into an assessment of risk and five variables to ment required as a further judgment about the extent of
assess rescue. These variables and their definitions are actual physical damage. Since this is a clue as to the de¬
listed below. gree of physical injury to which the patient has been ex¬
Risk Factors.—migrent.—The agent answers the question, posed, it is included as an aspect of the risk assessment
"What did the person do?" We grade inherent danger of rather than the rescue. Requirements may range from
different agents on the empirical basis that drug inges¬ first aid or other simple interventions, to hospital admis¬
tion, cutting, or stabbing, on the whole, is less likely to sion for observation and general care, to the therapy and
cause irreversible damage than are gunshot wounds and management required by patients with the highest risk,
jumping from high places. Cases of drowning, asphyxia¬ namely, special skills and facilities, such as an intensive
tion, and strangulation are apt to cause intermediate de¬ care unit provides.

grees of damage. Combinations of agents, such as ingest¬ Reversibility and treatment required apply only to
ing drugs and leaping from a bridge, are graded according physical damage or toxicity, not to the estimated revers¬
to the most lethal agent. ibility of psychiatric disorders. Concomitant psychiatric
Impaired Consciousness.—Impaired consciousness is disturbances are not included in the assessment of imple¬
graded according to the impairment at or during the time mentation. As a rule, psychiatric disorders, such as psy¬
of rescue. Three levels of impaired consciousness are chotic depression and schizophrenia, belong to assessment
scored: (1) None in evidence; (2) confusion and semicoma; of the lethality of intentionality. Their responsiveness to
and (3) coma, deeply comatose. The first level means that treatment also influences judgment about the lethality of
the subject is alert and oriented. At the second level, the involvement.
subject is somewhat disoriented, not wholly in contact, Rescue Factors.—Although resources for rescue ob¬
and his verbal responses are apt to be reduced or in¬ viously affect a patient's chances for survival, hospital
appropriate. Coma, deeply comatose, occurs when the sub¬ records seldom document the circumstances of the rescue,
ject does not respond to his surroundings, cannot speak, such as whether clues were given, the location of the at¬
and may barely react to painful stimuli. tempt, or the probability of any rescue. The following five
Lesions and Toxicity Although lesions and toxicity can factors were selected because they could be readily estab¬
be separately rated, because we are estimating only the

lished, and require minimal interpretation and inference.


actual damage inflicted, we grade them together. Physical Obviously, there are many other factors influencing rescue
lesions are scored as mild, moderate, or severe. Mild that are more subtle, but they do not lend themselves to
means superficial, transient, and self-limited damage, ie, scoring with any degree of operational clarity.
wrist scratching without significant blood loss or abra¬ Location— Location answers the question, "Where did
sions needing minimal care. Moderate lesions require the attempt occur?" We found that three types of location
treatment by a physician, but are not life-threatening in were likely to influence the Rescue: Familiar is a place
themselves. Examples are damage to smaller arteries, lac¬ that is part of the subject's routine. Examples are resi¬
erations that need sutures, and fractures of smaller bones. dence, office, shop, recreation site, anywhere that the sub-

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RISK-RESCUE RATING
Risk Score.
Rescue Score.
Risk-Rescue Rating
_

Patient. -Age_ .Sex_Previous Attempts.

Circumstances.

RISK FACTORS RESCUE FACTORS


1. Agent used: 1. Location:
_1 Ingestion, cutting, stabbing _3 Familiar
_2 Drowning, asphyxiation, _2 Non-familiar, non-remote
strangulation _1 Remote
_3 Jumping, shooting
2. Person initiating rescue :*
Impaired consciousness :
2. _3 Key person
_1 None in evidence _2 Professional
_2 Confusion, semicoma _1 Passerby
_3 Coma, deep coma
3. Probability of discovery by
3. Lesions/Toxicity : any rescuer:
_1 Mild _3 High, almost certain
_2 Moderate _2 Uncertain discovery
_3 Severe _1 Accidental discovery

4. Reversibility: 4. Accessibility to rescue :


_1 Good, complete recovery _3 Asks for help
expected _2 Drops clues
_2 Fair, recovery expected with _1 Does not ask for help
time
_3 Poor, residuals expected, 5. Delay until discovery :
if recovery _3 Immediate 1 hour
_2 Less than 4 hours
5. Treatment required : _1 Greater than 4 hours
_1 First aid, E.W. care
_2 House admission, routine Total Risk Points_
treatment
_3 Intensive care, special RESCUE SCOREt
treatment
1. Least rescuable ( 5-7 points)
rescue

Total Risk Points_ 2. Low moderate ( 8-9 points)


rescue
3. Moderate (10-11 rescue points)

RISK SCORE
4. High moderate (12-13 rescue points)
5. Most rescuable(14-15 rescue points)
5. High risk (13-15 risk points) *
Self-rescue automatically yields a Rescue Score of
4. High moderate (11-12 risk points) 5.
3. Moderate ( 9-10 risk points) t If there is undue delay in obtaining treatment af¬
2. Low moderate ( 7-8 risk points) ter discovery, reduce the final Rescue Score by one
1. Low risk ( 5-6 risk points) point.

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suicide at home, but at a time when no one is expected to
Table 1.—Computation of Risk-Rescue Scores*
call, diminishes the probability of discovery, although he
Risk-Rescue uses a familiar location. Probability of discovery might
Risk Score Rescue Score Score have been greater, had he used a non-familiar, nonremote
17 location. There are three grades of probability. High, al¬
20 most certain means that rescuers are nearby, or are faced
25 with the attempt immediately thereafter. An example is a
33
50
person who cuts his wrists in the bathroom and then ap¬
29
pears in the living room where the family is sitting. Un¬
certain discovery refers to moderate probability of being
33
40
found. The attempter may not present himself to a poten¬
50 tial discoverer, even though he may be nearby. The rescue
66 is not certain; the discovery may not take place until it is
38 too late. Low, accidental is when the rescue takes place
43 only by chance, as if the subject took precautions to avoid
50 discovery.
60 Accessibility to Rescue— Risk-rescue rating does not at¬
75 tempt to determine whether a person intended to die or
44 expected to be rescued. Accessibility to rescue refers to
50 what the person did, rather than what he intended to be
57 done in response to his actions. We recognize three grades
66 of accessibility which imply some openness to rescue. Asks
80
50
for help is a clear-cut statement about despair and suicide
ideation. By calling upon another in a direct way, the sub¬
56
63 ject vastly increases his chances for rescue. Leaves clues
means that the subject has given a sign that he intended
71
83 to attempt suicide. The signs may be direct or indirect,
through notes, empty bottles conspicuously placed, even
* These
ratings have been computed on the basis of A X 100
where A risk score and = rescue score.
7<+B tangential statements to alert rescuers. Indirect signs
— such as staggering or appearing groggy might be con¬
strued as a clue. Letters mailed out but not deliverable be¬
ject would be recognized. Non-familiar, nonremote loca¬ fore the attempt are not considered clues. Does not ask for
tions are places where the person would not be recognized, help is what it suggests. Physical signs of an attempt,
but still might be identified as someone in trouble. Exam¬ such as a trail of blood, the sound of an automobile run¬
ples are subways, office buildings, bridges, public facilities. ning in a closed garage, or a pile of clothing near the rail¬
Remote places are sites where discovery cannot be counted ing of a bridge are not considered asking for help.
upon. Examples are alleys, rural roads, deserted beaches, Delay Until Discovery—This category refers to the time
and office buildings during the weekend. lapse between the suicidal act and the start of rescue oper¬
Person Initiating Rescue—A "rescuer" is someone who ations. It is an important rescue factor because treatment
initiates steps for rescue after discovering the attempt. often depends upon how promptly the person can be dis¬
People who merely transport the subject to a treatment covered. However, delay until discovery does not include
facility are not considered rescuers. Other than a self-res¬ the interval from discovery until treatment, because this
cuing person, one who delivers himself to medical treat¬ period is often determined by availability of trans¬
ment, we have three types of rescuers. A Key Person is portation, adequate treatment resources, and so forth. We
someone who knows and is known by the subject. The key use the periods of one hour or less, and four hours, as crit¬

person need not be a "significant other," ie, someone with ical intervals, because less than one hour usually indicates
whom there has been a sustained and reciprocal relation¬ that available rescuers are nearby, while discovery de¬
ship. The key person may be a professional, eg, a psy¬ layed beyond four hours often means that the context of
chiatrist or clergyman, provided that the subject is well- rescue is seriously compromised.
known to that person. A Professional is a person whose job Scoring Risk-Rescue.—The risk-rescue rating is assessed
is such that he could be expected to initiate rescue oper¬ conveniently by using the form illustrated (Fig 1). The
ations. This includes, generally, physicians, policemen, form also includes identifying data, such as age, sex, and
bartenders, cab drivers, or telephone operators who might prior suicidal history, and space for a brief description of
be contacted by the subject. The third type of rescuer is the attempt itself.
the passerby, someone with no regular obligation to ren¬ Each of the five risk factors is rated on a scale of one to
der service, or to initiate rescue. Examples are chamber¬ three points and the total risk points are then converted to
maids, parking lot or washroom attendants, and pedestri¬ an overall risk score ranging from one to five. The highest
ans. risk score is five; the lowest is one.
Probability of Discovery by any Rescuer-This category Similarly, each of the five rescue factors is rated on a
refers to the potential availability of any rescuer at the one to three scale and the total rescue points are con¬
time of the attempt. For example, a person who attempts verted into a rescue score ranging from one to five.

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The risk-rescue rating is determined by the formula, Scoring
A X 100, in which A equals the risk score and Risk score, 5
A+B Rescue score, 5
Risk-rescue rating, 50
equals the rescue score. This formula provides for a trans¬ These two suicide attempts had the same score, although the
formation of scores which gives a more meaningful distri¬
second woman's age and widowhood suggest that her intent to die
bution of scores than the mere formula A. Consequently, was higher than the first woman's. Regardless of these factors,
however, their lethality of implementation was the same.
the lethality ratings for implementation run from a low of
17 (for a low risk score of one and a high rescue score of High Risk, Low Rescue
five) to a high rating of 83 (for a high risk score of five, Case 3.-A 21-year-old unmarried woman went to the home of
and a low rescue score of one). Table 1 lists all the possible her boy friend while he was away. She ingested 70 to 100 phéno¬
risk-rescue ratings. Once a risk score and a rescue score barbital tablets of unknown strength and a few Doriden tablets.
have been assessed, this table will provide the risk-rescue During the evening, her boy friend's brother happened to call, and
rating according to the A x 100 formula. noticed that she was becoming less responsive. He then brought
A+B her to the Emergency Ward where she was admitted to the In¬
tensive Care Unit.
Scoring Modifications.—Self-rescue, ie, delivering one¬
Scoring
self to medical treatment, is automatically given a rescue
Risk score, 4
score of five.
Rescue score, 1
Undue delay in obtaining treatment after discovery, re¬ Risk-rescue rating, 80
gardless of how the subject is found, reduces the rescue Had high risk alone been assessed and rescue not been
score by one point, ie, from five to four.
considered, the ultimate seriousness of this attempt might
Agents not listed should be rated one, two, or three ac¬ have been missed. The low rescue score adds to the overall
cording to their estimated probability of inflicting ir¬ lethality of this attempt. This woman turned out to be, in
reversible damage. Combinations, eg, overdose of drugs
with jumping from a high place, are rated on the basis of
fact, quite depressed and diagnosed as a "borderline per¬
the most lethal agent.
sonality." About one month later, she completed suicide in
another city.
Toxicity of commonly used drugs is derived from the Case 4.—A 38-year-old unmarried waitress ingested an un¬
Sterling-Smith Toxicity Chart (available upon request). known amount of sedative drugs, but went to a movie theater af¬
In cases where there is an immediate likelihood of ex¬ terward. Several hours later, patrons called the management's at¬
tensive physical damage prior to any rescue action, ie, tention to her because she was in coma. Police brought her to the
jumping in front of a train or from a high building, the fi¬ Emergency Ward, where she was pronounced dead.
nal rescue score should be reduced by one point. In sub¬ Scoring
jects who are dead on admission or who are merely re¬ Risk score, 5
ferred for psychiatric appraisal, risk factor five should be Rescue score, 1
omitted. Risk-rescue rating, 83
Illustrative Cases Only four risk factors were assessed, since "treatment
required" was not applicable. Despite circumstances that
The following is a series of cases taken from a file of suggested a high rescuability, the actual rescue was very
suicidal patients to illustrate some possible combinations low, thus increasing the lethality. Retrospective in¬
of risk and rescue and to show how these modify the over¬ vestigation showed that she had made several previous at¬
all lethality of implementation. tempts within the month prior to her death. She was di¬
vorced, lived alone, and was said to be extremely
High Risk, High Rescue depressed.
Case l.-A 36-year-old woman had been drinking heavily and
Low Risk, Rescue
arguing with her husband. She went into the bathroom and in¬ High
gested 25 to 90 mg of secobarbital as her husband was leaving for Case 5.—A 48-year-old unmarried woman who lived alone in a
the evening. Upon noticing the drugging effect, she went outside rooming house ingested 500 mg of phénobarbital, and then noti¬
and managed to hail a taxi and delivered herself to the Emer¬ fied friends. They came to her aid immediately and brought her to
gency Ward. Twenty minutes later she lapsed into a deep coma, the Emergency Ward; she walked in without assistance, and was
was sent to the Intensive Care Unit, and later transferred to the released within a few hours.
general hospital for an anticipated stay of more than a week be¬ Scoring
fore medical clearance. Risk score, 2
Scoring Rescue score, 5
Risk score, 5 Risk-rescue rating, 29
Rescue score, 5 On the surface, this attempt seemed to be a clear ex¬
Risk-rescue rating, 50
Case 2.-A 76-year-old widow living in a nursing home who
ample of "suicidal gesture," or "manipulation." Actually,
she had been hospitalized several times previously because
learned she had cancer stole a large knife from the kitchen. She
went out to the sun porch with the other patients, told them of her
of suicide attempts, and was diagnosed "borderline psy¬
plight, and proceeded to stab and cut herself in front of them. Al¬ chosis." There was a strong family history of suicide, espe¬
though she was rescued at once she lost a great deal of blood, cially that of her brother, with whom she had a frankly in¬
lapsed into a coma, and required special care for more than a cestuous relationship. She denied suicidal intention.
week. This case illustrates that the risk-rescue rating at a

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given moment may not accurately reflect the patient's in¬ concurs with our clinical judgment that the Massachusetts
herent "riskiness" and "suicidal disposition." However, General Hospital is used primarily for suicide attempts of
when the subject later made two subsequent attempts low and low moderate lethality, while cases of higher leth¬
that showed a rising lethality score, it was possible to ality are either taken to other hospitals or to the mortuary
weigh the risk-rescue rating, along with factors related to as dead on arrival.
the lethality of intentionality such as prior attempts, de¬ The risk-rescue rating significantly discriminated at¬
fective reality testing, psychiatric diagnosis, and to send tempts by sex, in that men had higher scores than did
her to a mental hospital for further management. None of women (Table 4).
these factors alone would have been sufficient to disclose Of the two main variables, risk and rescue, risk is the
the gathering urgency of her situation. stronger discriminator by sex, in that men tended to carry
Case 6.-A 14-year-old girl became angry after a family spat out riskier acts. Although there was more homogeneity
and ingested 14 aspirin tablets. She immediately informed her between men and women on the five rescue variables, men
parents who brought her to the hospital. There were no physical also did things in a slightly less rescuable context.
symptoms, but she was offered a psychiatric appointment before The risk score taken alone was a better discriminator of
discharge. age than was the risk-rescue rating. This suggests that
Scoring older subjects carried out riskier attempts, a fact that cor¬
Risk score, 1
Rescue score, 5
responds with other studies.' The rescue score did not sig¬
Risk-rescue rating, 17 nificantly correlate with age, suggesting that the circum¬
stances of an attempt for an older person favor rescue
Seemingly, this was a straightforward, impulsive ges¬ neither more nor less than those for younger people. Ob¬
ture designed to protest her parents' attitude. The lethal¬ viously, there are many other factors related to circum¬
ity score was approximately the same as in case 5, but
stances, as well as to intentionality and psychosocial in¬
lacked the other lethality factors that made case 5 a far
volvement, which are not measured by the risk-rescue
greater suicidal risk. Once again comparison of cases 5 rating, and these might discriminate more clearly be¬
and 6 emphasizes that the risk-rescue rating does not tween age groups.
foretell the future, nor does it eliminate the necessity for The treatment received by subjects studied ranged
further investigation. It does permit a quantitative as¬ from none, to first aid emergency treatment only, to hos¬
sessment of the immediate lethality.
pital admission for routine observation and treatment, to
'
Low Risk, Low Rescue special care in intensive care units. Risk-rescue rating cor¬
related significantly with the level of treatment received.
Case 7.—Following a barroom argument with a boy friend, a 24- While the risk score correlated .56 with level of treatment
year-old woman went to a nearby beach, intending to "swim until received and the rescue score only .07, a multiple R yields
she couldn't swim anymore." However, a passerby noticed her in
a correlation of .67, suggesting that the rescue factor may
the water and summoned the police who rescued her. She was abu¬
sive and combative, but because she had sustained no physical be acting as a suppressor variable with respect to risk. '

damage was soon released. Risk-rescue rating also discriminated significantly be¬
Scoring tween those who were alive or dead after a suicide at¬
Risk score, 2 tempt, and did so better than either risk or rescue taken
Rescue score, 1 alone. It did not, however, distinguish between those who
Risk-rescue rating, 66 were known to be multiple attempters and those who were
Low risk, low rescue cases are unusual. Most cases of not. In other words, multiple attempters did not cluster at
low risk are never brought to the hospital. This subject either end of the lethality scale. We are currently study¬
was rated low rescue because she would not have been res¬ ing a subgroup of multiple attempters to distinguish char¬
cued without accidental and opportune discovery by a acteristics of attempts whose risk-rescue ratings over
passerby. In short, she might have died, despite the low time tend to ascend, descend, remain on the same lethal
risk. It is likely that people who habitually place them¬ level, or show a mixed pattern.
selves in life-threatening situations may display lethality Interrater reliability coefficients can be found in Table
of this kind. 5. Besides the common-sense appeal of the risk-rescue rat¬
Results ing, we found that scoring could be easily taught to un¬
trained people, and most important, is not subject to the
In order to evaluate the effectiveness of the risk-rescue vagaries of overall clinical judgments and the idiosyncra¬
rating we applied it to 100 cases of suicide. These 100 cases sies of different clinicians. Table 6 contains information
were selected at random from a total of 403 suicide cases on item-total reliability.
seen at the Massachusetts General Hospital during 1965.
Comment
The demographic characteristics of the sample were suf¬
ficiently like those of the total population to make the The risk-rescue rating seems to be a good descriptive
sample representative (Table 2). measure for discriminating between suicide attempts, es¬
Ratings of these cases extended from a low of 17 to a pecially those of intermediate lethality. It has face valid¬
high of 83 with a mean rating of 40. The standard devia¬ ity and correlates with other clinical and empirical judg¬
tion was 14. Fifty percent of the cases received a risk-res¬ ments. (A subsequent study of 25 patients admitted to the
cue rating of 40 or below, giving a skewed distribution MGH psychiatric ward in 1970 shows that the risk-rescue
around the lower end of the scale (Table 3). This finding ratings done on these patients correlates .66 with an inde-

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Table 2.—Characteristics of Patient Sample pendent clinical judgment of the intent to kill themselves,
made by a staff psychiatrist (rated high, moderate, low),
% (N =
100) and a .60 with Aaron T. Beck's Medical Lethality scale.
Sex For an of 25 cases, a correlation greater than .49 would
Male 34 discriminate significantly at the .01 level.) But what about
Female 66 its use in predicting future attempts?
Age No suicidal rating scale yet devised is applicable to all
0-10 0
10-19 populations." ' Naturally, rating scales are largely based
upon the patient population with which investigators are
20-29_30
30-39 23 most familiar. Patients who have been in mental hospitals
40-49 Ï8~ may have different predictive criteria than people who
50-59 Ï2~ have been working in the community prior to their at¬
60-69 5 tempts. Patients who have been in prior psychotherapy
70-79 ~T may also have different predictability for suicide than
80+_3_ people who have had no contact with health professions or
Ethnic
White 100
agencies. For large groups of attempters, age and sex are,
Black ( perhaps, the most reliable indices for predicting future at¬
Marital Status tempts. Yet these factors alone are unlikely to be helpful
Single 36 for the clinician who must deal with individual patients in
Divorced 7 specific situations. He needs information that will help
Separated him decide about an individual prognosis. He is less con¬
Widowed cerned about the predictability of selected factors for
Married 44 groups of suicidal subjects.
Type of Treatment The most important considerations in the diagnosis,
No medical treatment
52
management, and prognosis of suicidal patients are in¬
Emergency ward only
House admission 28
tentionality, implementation, and resources for post-
Special care 13 attempt correction. At the present time, we refer to re¬
Living/Dead
sources as "psychosocial involvement," or more tersely,
Dead 5 "involvement." Shneidman calls postattempt resources
Living 95 and activities "post-vention," analogous to "prevention"
Multiple Attempter and immediate "intervention."1 Taken by itself, the risk-
No_64_ rescue rating is a descriptive and quantitative assessment
36" of a specific attempt that correlates well with clinical
judgments and which requires the clinician to heed rescue
factors more carefully. When considered along with the
other two dimensions of lethality, those of intentionality
and involvement, the risk-rescue rating might acquire
more predictive significance. However, its chief impor¬
tance at present is that it enables the clinician or in¬
Table 3.—Risk-Rescue Ratings For 100 Suicide Cases vestigator to evaluate the lethality of multiple attempts
by the same individual over time, and to compare differ¬
Males Females Total ent subjects with respect to their actual attempts. For ex¬
Rating_% (N =
34) % (N =
66) % (N =
100) ample, a subject may make repeated attempts using
83 0_ 1 1 ~

short-acting barbiturates in approximately the same


80 0 0 amounts. However, if we have a means of assessing the
75 0 0 0 circumstances of successive attempts, the diminished res¬
11
66
2
0
0
1
2
1
cue potential might be clearer. An initial ingestion may
occur in a familiar place with a member of the family at
63 4 0 4
2~ 0 2
hand for rescue without delay. In a later attempt, the sub¬
60
57 1 4 5 ject might check into a motel under an assumed name,
56 112 and, while ingesting the same amount of the drug, vastly
50 5 8 13 diminish his chances of rescue and treatment.
44 1 3 4 We suggest that suicide prognosis might be expressed
~~43 6~ 7 13 as an integral equation, S„ =
1( + , + ,, where Sp =

40 2 4 6 suicide prognosis, , =
lethality of intentionality, , =

38 1 9 10 lethality of implementation, and ;, =


lethality of in¬
33 2 4 6 volvement. This formula is based upon the theory that sui¬
29_6_11_170 cide is a product of different kinds of lethalities or systems
25 0
_0_ of interaction between fields and forces. It is incorrect and
20_0_1 12
_113
misleading to speak of either suicidal choice or suicidal
17 1
caw.se, or to ask why someone chose to attempt suicide, or

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Table 4.—Correlation of Demographic and Sociologie Variables With Risk-Rescue Rating (N =
100)
Variable Risk Score Rescue Score Risk-Rescue Rating Multiple R*
Sex(M =
0, F=l) -.30t .22 -.27t .23t
Age .24* .01 .19 .27t
Level of treatment! .56t .07 .71t .67t
Living/Dead (L = 1, D 0) .35t .35t .38t .40t
Multiple attempter

-.07 .12 .01 .19


*
Multiple R of risk score and rescue score against the criterion variable.
t P<.01.
<.05.
S Levels of treatment are (1) no medical treatment; (2) emergency ward only; (3) House admission; and (4) special care.

what caused him to do so." The many answers that are


Table 5.—Interrater Reliability Coefficient For
given often seem to reflect the investigator's preconcep¬ Risk-Rescue Rating
tions about suicide, rather than a careful assessment of
different contributor lethalities. Risk Rescue Risk-Rescue
We must emphasize that appraisal of lethality for an at¬ Score Score Rating
Between raters A and .90 .94 .95
tempt is only partially based upon the risk-rescue rating. Between raters A and C .88 .78 .93
A more comprehensive assessment of psychosocial in¬
volvements and personal intentionality is also required.
We are currently developing assessments for these other Table 6.—Item Total Reliability
forms of lethality. More subtle implementation factors,
such as the interaction between the subject and his res¬ Risk Rescue Risk-Rescue
Score Score Rating
cuers, or the significance of the agent used in his prior sui¬ .08 —.43 .17
Risk factor 1
cidal history, belong to additional assessments of in¬
Risk factor 2 ÜB2 -.41 ?79~
tentionality and involvements. Risk factor 3 ?75 -.18 !66~
How any clinician forms global judgments about sui¬ Risk factor 4 5 -.39 J9~
cidal ideation, implementation, and prognosis is difficult Risk factor 5 Hi -.14 .49
to substantiate without careful analysis of the kinds of Risk score 1.00 -.47 .91
symptoms and signs, latent and explicit, which the subject Rescue factor 1 —.06 .35 —.23
presents. Feinstein" has described how the so-called "art" Rescue factor 2 —.19 A3 —.37
of clinical judgment is a product of reasoning based upon Rescue factor 3 —.44 .63 —.64
experience and selective preference. Most clinical judg¬ Rescue factor 4 -.54 ?76 —.72
ments are both descriptive and prognostic, and their accu¬ Rescue factor 5 —.30 .66 —.54
racy depends upon sets of independent variables. Some Rescue score -.47 1.00 -.80
clinicians approach the problem of suicide prediction by
sweeping judgments based upon intuition, while others relates well, is not sufficient. Practical assessment re¬
confine themselves to only a few factors, such as presence
of psychosis, explicit wish to kill oneself, the method em¬
quires that we have operational methods for distinguish¬
ing lethal forces in living people. The risk-rescue rating is
ployed, or the extensiveness of the injury sustained. Our a step forward towards that objective.
impression is that overall assessment of prognosis, while
largely inferential, is usually based upon (1) explicit in¬ This study was supported by the Center for Studies of Suicide Pre¬
tent to die, (2) past history of mental disturbances or sui¬ vention, National Institute of Mental Health grant No. MH 15903.
Robert Sterling-Smith, MA, and Lee C. Johnston, MA, helped in data
cide attempts, (3) details and extent of physical damage, gathering, data processing and the coordination of material.
and (4) resources in community for providing appropriate
support and treatment. Nevertheless, there is little uni¬ References
formity in prognosis and management of suicide at¬ 1. Shneidman ES: Suicide, lethality, and the psychological au-
tempts, except for subjects on either end of the lethality topsy. Int Psychiat Clin 6:225-280, 1969.
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sent back into the community, while subjects with very lished.
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McGraw-Hill Book Co Inc, 1961.
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