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L&T Technology Services LTD
L&T Technology Services LTD
L&T Technology Services LTD
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RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20 19 JAN 2020
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
Key Assumptions
Particulars FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Headcount (Nos) 10,463 12,307 15,140 17,199 19,058 21,557
Utilisation (%) 75.9 77.7 80.1 79.0 79.9 80.7
USD revenue growth (%) 3.4 19.8 24.6 10.1 12.2 15.1
USD/INR rate 67.1 64.6 70.2 70.6 71.5 73.0
EBIT margin (%) 16.1 13.0 16.0 17.1 17.0 17.5
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
Change In Estimates
Particulars Earlier estimates Revised estimates % change
FY20E
Revenue (USD mn) 797 796 (0.1)
Revenue (Rs bn) 56.19 56.23 0.1
EBIT (Rs bn) 9.54 9.59 0.5
EBIT Margin (%) 17.0% 17.1% 7bps
EPS (Rs) 76.0 76.0 (0.0)
FY21E
Revenue (USD mn) 888 893 0.6
Revenue (Rs bn) 63.48 63.85 0.6
EBIT (Rs bn) 11.00 10.84 (1.4)
EBIT Margin (%) 17.3% 17.0% (35)bps
EPS (Rs) 88.5 86.6 (2.1)
FY22E
Revenue (USD mn) 1,000 1,028 2.8
Revenue (Rs bn) 73.01 75.05 2.8
EBIT (Rs bn) 12.87 13.12 1.9
EBIT Margin (%) 17.6% 17.5% (15)bps
EPS (Rs) 102.7 103.7 1.0
Source: HDFC sec Inst Research
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
LTI 331 1,902 2,090 BUY 87.1 85.6 101.6 120.7 21.8 22.2 18.7 15.8 34.6 28.0 28.4 28.7
Mphasis 167 898 1,165 BUY 57.6 58.3 65.5 75.0 15.6 15.4 13.7 12.0 20.0 19.7 19.9 20.2
L&T Tech 171 1,643 1,790 BUY 67.8 76.0 86.6 103.7 24.2 21.6 19.0 15.8 32.0 29.4 28.4 28.5
Mindtree 145 884 830 NEU 44.1 38.5 48.0 63.3 20.1 22.9 18.4 14.0 24.9 18.3 22.7 26.0
Hexaware * 102 341 450 BUY 19.6 21.6 24.5 28.3 17.4 15.8 13.9 12.1 26.5 24.7 24.1 24.0
Cyient 51 455 490 NEU 43.6 36.3 40.9 46.0 10.4 12.5 11.1 9.9 19.5 15.3 15.9 16.2
Zensar 43 188 245 BUY 14.3 14.9 17.9 21.4 13.2 12.7 10.5 8.8 17.6 16.0 16.9 17.6
Persistent 54 703 725 BUY 47.8 45.2 48.5 57.7 14.7 15.6 14.5 12.2 15.7 14.3 14.8 15.8
Tata Elxsi 59 947 875^ NR 46.6 39.4 49.5 57.0 20.3 24.1 19.1 16.6 34.5 24.2 26.1 25.4
Sonata 34 323 400 BUY 23.7 27.5 30.5 34.6 13.6 11.7 10.6 9.3 35.1 34.9 34.2 34.4
Intellect 21 160 255 BUY 7.7 2.6 7.3 11.2 21.0 62.6 22.0 14.3 11.1 3.3 8.7 12.1
eClerx 25 676 560^ NR 61.7 52.0 53.7 57.0 11.0 13.0 12.6 11.9 17.6 14.0 14.7 14.6
Majesco 12 416 655 BUY 18.3 19.9 30.0 36.7 22.7 20.9 13.9 11.3 8.4 7.9 11.0 12.2
HGS 13 645 745^ NR 84.6 100.3 110.9 129.5 7.6 6.4 5.8 5.0 8.5 13.1 13.3 13.7
Mastek 11 442 515 BUY 40.4 40.9 45.1 52.9 10.9 10.8 9.8 8.4 16.1 13.7 13.6 14.4
Tier-2 IT Median 15.6 15.6 13.9 12.0 19.5 16.0 16.9 17.6
Source: HDFC sec Inst Research, Bloomberg, *Dec YE, ^Fair value/Not Rated
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
RECOMMENDATION HISTORY
Date CMP Reco Target
L&T Tech TP 8-Jan-19 1,650 BUY 2,055
2,100 18-Jan-19 1,693 BUY 2,030
1-Apr-19 1,572 BUY 1,845
2,000
9-Apr-19 1,595 BUY 1,845
1,900 4-May-19 1,691 BUY 1,830
1,800 5-Jul-19 1,703 BUY 2,020
20-Jul-19 1,605 BUY 1,955
1,700
27-Aug-19 1,580 BUY 1,955
1,600 22-Sep-19 1,618 BUY 1,970
1,500 4-Oct-19 1,591 BUY 1,960
18-Oct-19 1,639 BUY 1,705
1,400
30-Dec-19 1,479 BUY 1,705
1,300 7-Jan-20 1,502 BUY 1,760
1,200 19-Jan-20 1,643 BUY 1,790
1,100 Rating Definitions
Feb-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jun-19
May-19
Dec-19
Mar-19
Oct-19
Aug-19
Apr-19
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jul-19
BUY : Where the stock is expected to deliver more than 10% returns over the next 12 month period
NEUTRAL : Where the stock is expected to deliver (-)10% to 10% returns over the next 12 month period
SELL : Where the stock is expected to deliver less than (-)10% returns over the next 12 month period
HDFC securities
Institutional Equities
Unit No. 1602, 16th Floor, Tower A, Peninsula Business Park,
Senapati Bapat Marg, Lower Parel,Mumbai - 400 013
Board : +91-22-6171 7330 www.hdfcsec.com
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES: RESULTS REVIEW 3QFY20
Disclosure:
We, Apurva Prasad, MBA & Amit Chandra, MBA, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject
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the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
Research Analyst or his/her relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also Research Analyst or his relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its Associate may have
beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Further Research Analyst or his relative or HDFC Securities
Ltd. or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest.
Any holding in stock –No
HDFC Securities Limited (HSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000002475.
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INSTITUTIONAL EQUITY RESEARCH
Quarterly performance
Rs mn 3QFY19 4QFY19 1QFY20 2QFY20 3QFY20
US$ revenues 186 191 194 198 199
QoQ growth % 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Net sales 13,169 13,431 13,475 14,021 14,230
QoQ growth % 4.0% 2.0% 0.3% 4.1% 1.5%
YoY growth % 36% 27% 17% 11% 8%
Cost of revenues 9,269 9,167 9,040 9,497 9,557
SGA & other exp 1,483 1,784 1,708 1,692 1,810
EBITDA 2,417 2,480 2,727 2,832 2,863
QoQ growth % 5.6% 2.6% 10.0% 3.9% 1.1%
YoY growth % 63% 51% 39% 24% 18%
Margins (%) 18.4% 18.5% 20.2% 20.2% 20.1%
Depreciation 239 273 428 444 472
EBIT 2,178 2,207 2,299 2,388 2,391
Margins (%) 16.5% 16.4% 17.1% 17.0% 16.8%
Interest expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Other income incl FX 353 334 474 378 354
Pre-tax profit 2,531 2,541 2,773 2,766 2,745
Tax provided 670 616 733 704 687
Profit after tax 1,861 1,925 2,040 2,062 2,058
QoQ growth % -3.0% 3.4% 6.0% 1.1% -0.2%
YoY growth % 47% 21% 3% 7% 11%
Margins (%) 14.1% 14.3% 15.1% 14.7% 14.5%
Minority interest -5 -9 -2 -3 -17
PAT (after MI) 1,856 1,916 2,038 2,059 2,041
EPS, Rs 17.9 18.4 19.6 19.8 19.8
Source: Company, PhillipCapital India Research
US$ revenue vs. qoq growth INR revenue vs. qoq growth
USD Revenue (mn) qoq growth % yoy growth % INR Revenue (mn) qoq growth % (rhs)
INR mn
160 20% 11,000 6%
15% 10,000
140 4%
10% 9,000
120 2%
5% 8,000
100 0% 7,000 0%
Q3FY18
Q4FY19
Q4FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
Q1FY20
Q2FY20
Q3FY20
Q2FY20
Q3FY18
Q4FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
Q4FY19
Q1FY20
Q3FY20
13.8%
11.3%
14.8%
15.9%
16.5%
16.4%
17.1%
17.0%
16.8%
2% 1%
0% 0% 0%
Q2FY18
Q3FY18
Q4FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
Q4FY19
Q1FY20
Q2FY20
Q3FY20
Q2FY20
Q2FY18
Q3FY18
Q4FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
Q4FY19
Q1FY20
Q3FY20
Top-5 client revenue Utilization and attrition
Top 5 client revenues ($mn) Contribution % (rhs) Utilization % (incl trainees) Attirition % (rhs)
60 30% 82% 16%
30 79%
24% 13%
20 78%
10 22% 12%
77%
Q4FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
Q4FY19
Q1FY20
Q2FY20
Q3FY20
Q3FY18
Q4FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
Q4FY19
Q1FY20
Q2FY20
Q3FY20
Financials
Income Statement Cash Flow
Y/E Mar, Rs mn FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E Y/E Mar, Rs mn FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Net sales 50,783 56,232 63,289 72,536 Pre-tax profit 10,315 11,058 12,010 14,011
Growth, % 36 11 13 15 Depreciation 1,042 1,790 1,821 1,882
Total income 50,783 56,232 63,289 72,536 Chg in working capital -833 2,216 -2,153 -1,834
Employee expenses -35,165 -37,868 -42,544 -48,514 Total tax paid -2,496 -2,909 -3,123 -3,643
Other Operating expenses -6,472 -7,096 -8,417 -9,865 Cash flow from operating activities 8,028 12,154 8,556 10,416
EBITDA (Core) 9,146 11,268 12,328 14,158 Capital expenditure -1,747 -5,772 -2,221 -2,282
Growth, % 58.9 23.2 9.4 14.8 Chg in investments -3,542 -678 -2,000 -1,600
Margin, % 18.0 20.0 19.5 19.5 Chg in marketable securities 0 0 0 0
Depreciation -1,042 -1,790 -1,821 -1,882 Other investing activities 0 0 0 0
EBIT 8,104 9,479 10,506 12,275 Cash flow from investing activities -5,289 -6,450 -4,221 -3,882
Growth, % 66.5 17.0 10.8 16.8 Free cash flow 2,739 5,704 4,334 6,534
Margin, % 16.0 16.9 16.6 16.9 Equity raised/(repaid) 3 0 0 0
Interest paid 0 0 -105 115 Debt raised/(repaid) 0 0 0 0
Other Income 1,277 922 1,048 1,261 Dividend (incl. tax) -2,248 -2,738 -3,042 -3,529
Pre-tax profit 10,315 11,058 12,010 14,011 Other financing activities 15 -2,521 0 0
Tax provided -2,630 -2,845 -3,123 -3,643 Cash flow from financing activities -2,230 -5,259 -3,042 -3,529
Profit after tax 7,685 8,212 8,887 10,368 Net chg in cash 509 445 1,292 3,005
Others (Minorities, Associates) 0 0 0 0
Net Profit 7,685 8,212 8,887 10,368
Growth, % 51.7 6.9 8.2 16.7
Net Profit (adjusted) 7,685 8,212 8,887 10,368 Valuation Ratios
Wtd avg shares (m) 104 104 104 104 FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Per Share data
EPS (INR) 73.9 79.0 85.5 99.7
Growth, % 48.3 6.9 8.2 16.7
FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E Book NAV/share (INR) 238.7 267.1 323.3 389.0
US$ Revenue ($ mn) 723 796 891 1,007 CEPS (INR) 83.9 96.2 103.0 117.8
Growth, % 24.6 10.0 12.1 13.0 CFPS (INR) 50.0 108.2 79.2 89.0
Re / US$ (rate) 70.2 70.7 71.0 72.0 DPS (INR) 18.5 22.5 25.0 29.0
Return ratios
Return on assets (%) 25.3 22.3 20.7 20.7
Return on equity (%) 31.0 29.6 26.4 25.6
Balance Sheet Return on capital employed (%) 32.6 29.6 27.9 26.9
Y/E Mar, Rs mn FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E Turnover ratios
Cash & bank 2,051 2,496 3,788 6,794 Asset turnover (x) 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.2
Debtors 10,643 11,923 12,714 14,500 Sales/Total assets (x) 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5
Loans & advances 3,783 4,310 5,081 5,176 Sales/Net FA (x) 6.8 5.7 5.3 5.9
Other current assets 0 0 0 0 Working capital/Sales (x) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total current assets 16,477 18,729 21,583 26,470 Receivable days 76.5 77.4 73.3 73.0
Investments 5,749 6,427 8,427 10,027 Payable days 16.5 17.7 17.8 18.9
Net fixed assets 7,800 11,782 12,182 12,582 Working capital days 51.3 34.7 37.8 41.5
Non-current assets 3,486 3,179 3,996 4,143 Liquidity ratios
Total assets 33,638 40,117 46,188 53,221 Current ratio (x) 2.3 1.7 1.9 2.3
Current liabilities 7,285 10,891 11,241 11,438 Quick ratio (x) 2.3 1.7 1.9 2.3
Provisions 1,341 1,451 1,326 1,323 Interest cover (x) 100.2 n/a
Total current liabilities 8,626 12,342 12,567 12,761 Dividend cover (x) 4.0 3.5 3.4 3.4
Non-current liabilities 190 0 0 0 Total debt/Equity (%) 13.9 11.2 9.5 8.0
Total liabilities 8,816 12,342 12,567 12,761 Net debt/Equity (%) 5.6 2.2 (1.8) (8.8)
Paid-up capital 208 208 208 208 Valuation
Reserves & surplus 24,614 27,567 33,413 40,252 PER (x) 22.3 20.9 19.3 16.5
Shareholders’ equity 24,822 27,775 33,621 40,460 PEG (x) - y-o-y growth 0.5 3.0 2.3 1.0
Total equity & liabilities 33,638 40,117 46,188 53,221 Price/Book (x) 6.9 6.2 5.1 4.2
Yield (%) 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.8
EV/Net sales (x) 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.3
Source: Company, PhillipCapital India Research Estimates EV/EBITDA (x) 18.9 15.3 13.9 11.9
EV/EBIT (x) 21.3 18.2 16.3 13.7
1800
N (TP 1320)
N (TP 1620)
N (TP 1520) N (TP 1530)
1600 N (TP 1600)
O-18
1400
N (TP 1320)N (TP 1300)
1200
800 B (T 870)
B (TP 850)
B (TP 850)
600
400
200
J-17 F-17 A-17 M-17 J-17 A-17 O-17 N-17 D-17 F-18 M-18M-18 J-18 A-18 S-18 N-18 D-18 F-19 M-19M-19 J-19 J-19 S-19 O-19 D-19
Rating Methodology
We rate stock on absolute return basis. Our target price for the stocks has an investment horizon of one
year. We have different threshold for large market capitalisation stock and Mid/small market capitalisation
stock. The categorisation of stock based on market capitalisation is as per the SEBI requirement.
securities mentioned within it. The information contained in the research reports may have been taken from trade and statistical services and other sources,
which PCIL believe is reliable. PhillipCapital (India) Pvt. Ltd. or any of its group/associate/affiliate companies do not guarantee that such information is accurate
or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Any opinions expressed reflect judgments at this date and are subject to change without notice.
Important: These disclosures and disclaimers must be read in conjunction with the research report of which it forms part. Receipt and use of the research
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Certifications: The research analyst(s) who prepared this research report hereby certifies that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the
research analyst’s personal views about all of the subject issuers and/or securities, that the analyst(s) have no known conflict of interest and no part of the
research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific views or recommendations contained in this research report.
Additional Disclosures of Interest:
Unless specifically mentioned in Point No. 9 below:
1. The Research Analyst(s), PCIL, or its associates or relatives of the Research Analyst does not have any financial interest in the company(ies) covered in
this report.
2. The Research Analyst, PCIL or its associates or relatives of the Research Analyst affiliates collectively do not hold more than 1% of the securities of the
company (ies)covered in this report as of the end of the month immediately preceding the distribution of the research report.
3. The Research Analyst, his/her associate, his/her relative, and PCIL, do not have any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this
research report.
4. The Research Analyst, PCIL, and its associates have not received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services or for
any other products or services from the company(ies) covered in this report, in the past twelve months.
5. The Research Analyst, PCIL or its associates have not managed or co-managed in the previous twelve months, a private or public offering of securities for
the company (ies) covered in this report.
6. PCIL or its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the company(ies) covered in this report or from any third party, in connection
with the research report.
7. The Research Analyst has not served as an Officer, Director, or employee of the company (ies) covered in the Research report.
8. The Research Analyst and PCIL has not been engaged in market making activity for the company(ies) covered in the Research report.
9. Details of PCIL, Research Analyst and its associates pertaining to the companies covered in the Research report:
Independence: PhillipCapital (India) Pvt. Ltd. has not had an investment banking relationship with, and has not received any compensation for investment
banking services from, the subject issuers in the past twelve (12) months, and PhillipCapital (India) Pvt. Ltd does not anticipate receiving or intend to seek
compensation for investment banking services from the subject issuers in the next three (3) months. PhillipCapital (India) Pvt. Ltd is not a market maker in the
securities mentioned in this research report, although it, or its affiliates/employees, may have positions in, purchase or sell, or be materially interested in any
of the securities covered in the report.
Suitability and Risks: This research report is for informational purposes only and is not tailored to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or
particular requirements of any individual recipient hereof. Certain securities may give rise to substantial risks and may not be suitable for certain investors.
Each investor must make its own determination as to the appropriateness of any securities referred to in this research report based upon the legal, tax and
accounting considerations applicable to such investor and its own investment objectives or strategy, its financial situation and its investing experience. The
value of any security may be positively or adversely affected by changes in foreign exchange or interest rates, as well as by other financial, economic, or
political factors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance or results.
Sources, Completeness and Accuracy: The material herein is based upon information obtained from sources that PCIPL and the research analyst believe to be
reliable, but neither PCIPL nor the research analyst represents or guarantees that the information contained herein is accurate or complete and it should not
be relied upon as such. Opinions expressed herein are current opinions as of the date appearing on this material, and are subject to change without notice.
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affiliates/employees or any third party involved in, or related to computing or compiling the information have any liability for any damages of any kind
including but not limited to any direct or consequential loss or damage, however arising, from the use of this document.
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Caution: Risk of loss in trading/investment can be substantial and even more than the amount / margin given by you. Investment in securities market are
subject to market risks, you are requested to read all the related documents carefully before investing. You should carefully consider whether
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Deal win momentum remains healthy, challenges bottoming out: Deal win momentum continued, with 9 large wins in
Q3FY20 with 2 deals having TCV of USD 30 mn+ each. Management is optimistic on growth deriving confidence from
new deal bookings (where Q3>Q2>Q1FY20) and strong deal pipeline (up QoQ and YoY). Moreover, prolonged
challenges in Telecom and Hi-tech verticals are bottoming out and, they will see stability hereon. We believe that
expanding deal booking trend and pipeline would aid gradual growth recovery.
Overall conversion stable – Telecom and Hi-tech conversion still witnessing deferrals: Overall deal pipeline continues to
grow and conversion is steady, (i) Transportation: LTTS closed all 3 deals in the pipeline during the quarter. Moreover, it
is witnessing tailwind from consolidation of vendors within Aerospace vertical; (ii) Telecom and Hi-tech: Out of 4 large
deals LTTS was targeting, it closed 1 deal in Media while others got pushed to Q4; (iii) Plant Engineering: It closed
2 new deals in the vertical in addition to 1 large renewal contract in O&G client. We see stable deal conversion along
with absence of headwinds from Telecom vertical to aid low double-digit revenue growth over FY19-22.
Shashi Bhusan Executive Director – IT & Telecom Santosh Sinha AVP – IT, Telecom & Internet Akshay Ramnani Sr. Manager – IT, Internet & Telecom
shashi.bhusan@axiscap.in 91 22 4325 1104 santosh.sinha@axiscap.in 91 22 4325 1121 akshay.ramnani@axiscap.in 9122 43251119
20
17 JAN 2020 Quarterly Update
L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
IT - SERVICES
Margin trajectory to be stable: Q3FY20 EBIT margin at 16.8% was down 23 bps
QoQ (AxisCap/Cons: 17.4%/16.9%) hit by margin dip in Telecom and Hi-tech
segment (-9.6% QoQ). We see the margin to be stable hereon, as growth tailwinds
from better business mix verticals of Industrial Products and Plant Engineering get
offset by growth revival in low-margin Telecom and Hi-tech vertical. Moreover, LTTS
is operating at 79.2% utilization which is near peak levels; this would act as
another headwind for the margin. We expect EBIT margin of 16.9/16.7/16.6% in
FY20/21/22E.
Result highlights
♦ Miss on revenue, margin down slightly: Revenue up 0.7% QoQ (+0.6% cc
terms) at USD 199 mn (AxCap/Cons: USD 203 mn/ USD 201 mn).
EBIT margin at 16.8% (AxisCap: 17.4%; consensus: 16.9%) was down 23 bps
QoQ. Adj EPS at Rs. 19.3 (AxisCap: Rs 20.9, consensus: Rs 19.7).
♦ Vertical growth: Transportation/ Industrial Products/ Telecom & Hi-tech/ Plant
Engineering/ Medical Devices: +3.0%/-0.4%/-9.6%/+6.9%/+7.5%.
♦ Geography growth: NA/ Europe/ India/ RoW grew -0.2%/
-1.4%/ +1.4%/ +7.2%.
♦ Utilization expanded ~140 bps and attrition inched up 50 bps to 13.9%.
21
17 JAN 2020 Quarterly Update
L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
IT - SERVICES
Vertical commentary
♦ Transportation: Growth was 3.0% QoQ. Pipeline in transportation remains
robust. Company closed 3 net-new deals in this vertical (2 in Auto and 1 in
Aerospace). Moreover, LTTS is witnessing a tailwind from vendor consolidation
within Aerospace.
♦ Telecom and Hi-tech: Sharp decline of 9.6% QoQ. Management believes that
the worst is over for the vertical and expects stability hereon with marginal
growth in Q4. LTTS closed 1 Chip design deal within Media space in Q3.
Other deals in pipeline got pushed to Q4. These deals are expected to close
in Q4.
♦ Medical: Strong growth of 7.5% QoQ; expect growth momentum to continue.
New account additions and higher penetration in existing accounts is driving
growth.
♦ Plant Engineering: LTTS closed 2 deals in Europe (duration: 12 months and 3
years respectively). Moreover, there was 1 large deal renewal with an oil &
gas client.
♦ Industrial products: Muted performance of -0.4% QoQ. The vertical is impacted
by slowdown in large accounts which is offset by ramp-up of smaller accounts.
LTTS closed 1 out of 3 deals which were in pipeline; other 2 deals have moved
to closure stage and would be closed in Q4.
Change in estimates
We cut our FY20E/FY21E USD revenue estimate by 1.1%/ 3.3% to factor in
slower-than-expected growth recovery. We also cut our margin estimates, which
have caused downward revision of EPS by 4.5%/ 7.1% in FY20/21. We have
assumed USD-INR rate of Rs 73 for FY21 and FY22 (vs. 73.3 earlier).
Source: Company
We roll forward to FY22E. Reiterate ADD rating with revised TP of Rs 1,790 (18x
FY22E) vs. Rs 1,770 earlier, implying an upside of 9% from CMP of Rs 1,635.
The stock trades at 18x/ 16x FY21E/22E EPS of Rs 91/ 99.
22
17 JAN 2020 Quarterly Update
L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
IT - SERVICES
Revenue by Geographies 151 162 169 177 186 191 194 198 199
North America 89 94 95 102 107 113 118 122 122 -0.2% 14%
Europe 26 30 31 30 30 31 30 29 28 -1.4% -7%
India 17 19 21 22 27 27 25 26 26 1.4% -2%
RoW 19 20 22 22 22 21 21 21 23 7.2% 5%
Revenue by verticals 151 162 169 177 186 191 194 198 199
Transportation 47 50 52 57 59 63 68 69 71 3.0% 21.2%
Industrial Products 33 34 34 37 38 37 38 38 38 -0.4% 2.0%
Telecom & Hi-tech 42 48 48 47 50 50 43 41 37 -9.6% -26.5%
Process Industry 19 20 23 25 27 28 30 32 34 6.9% 28.2%
Medical Devices 10 11 11 12 12 13 16 17 19 7.5% 50.6%
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17 JAN 2020 Quarterly Update
L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
IT - SERVICES
Clientele dependence
Top 5 Clients 25.5% 27.1% 28.3% 28.2% 27.4% 26.4% 24.7% 22.9% 21.1%
Top 10 Clients 37.9% 39.7% 40.5% 39.9% 38.9% 37.7% 36.7% 35.7% 33.9%
Top 20 Clients 53.3% 54.8% 55.6% 55.1% 54.4% 53.5% 52.5% 51.3% 49.8%
Remaining Clients 46.7% 45.2% 44.4% 44.9% 45.6% 46.5% 47.5% 48.7% 50.2%
Revenue by clients
Top 5 Clients 39 44 48 50 51 51 48 45 42 -7% -17%
Top 6-10 clients 19 20 21 21 21 22 23 25 26 1% 19%
Top 11-20 clients 23 25 26 27 29 30 31 31 32 3% 10%
Remaining clients 71 73 75 80 85 89 92 96 100 4% 18%
Total 151 162 169 177 186 191 194 198 199
Client Profile
Active Clients 233 235 235 239 244 251 258 259 265 6 21
50 Million dollar + 1 0 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 (1) (2)
30 Million dollar + 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0
20 Million dollar + 4 4 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 0 2
10 Million dollar + 12 12 12 14 16 16 17 17 20 3 4
5 Million dollar + 30 31 33 34 39 41 44 42 43 1 4
1 Million dollar + 79 84 89 94 98 106 110 106 107 1 9
Source: Company, Axis Capital
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L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
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Axis Capital Limited is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as “Research Analyst” with SEBI-registration
number INH000002434 and which registration is valid till it is suspended or cancelled by the SEBI.
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5. The RE and /or the research analyst or any of his / her family members or relatives may have financial interest or any other material conflict of interest in the
subject company of this research report.
6. The research analyst has not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month
immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report.
7. The RE and / or the research analyst or any of his / her family members or relatives may have actual / beneficial ownership exceeding 1% or more, of the
securities of the subject company as at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report.
8. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report ACL or any of its
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i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this
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viii. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement as
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Axis Capital is available on Bloomberg (AXCP<Go>), Reuters.com, Firstcall.com and Factset.com 07
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17 JAN 2020 Quarterly Update
L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
IT - SERVICES
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1. The analyst(s) declares that neither he/ his relatives have a Beneficial or Actual ownership of > 1% of equity of subject company/ companies;
2. The analyst(s) declares that he has no material conflict of interest with the subject company/ companies of this report;
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17 JAN 2020 Quarterly Update
L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
IT - SERVICES
DEFINITION OF RATINGS
Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12 months
BUY More than 15%
ADD Between 5% to 15%
REDUCE Between 5% to -10 %
SELL More than -10%
L&T Technology Services (LTEH.BO, LTTS IB) Price and Recommendation History
CMP Buy Add Hold Reduce Sell Under Review Not Rated
2,500
(Rs)
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Feb-19
Feb-17
Feb-18
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Nov-17
Nov-18
Nov-19
May-17
May-18
May-19
Jan-17
Apr-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Apr-18
Apr-19
Aug-17
Aug-18
Aug-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Jun-17
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Sep-17
Sep-18
Sep-19
28
RESULT UPDATE
L&T Technology Services’ (LTTS) Q3FY20 USD revenue growth of 0.8% EDELWEISS 4D RATINGS
missed Street’s 1.4% estimate while EBIT margin at 20.1% came in flat Absolute Rating BUY
QoQ (in line with estimate). LTTS continues to perform extremely well in Rating Relative to Sector Outperform
three of its five verticals, but client-specific issues in telecom and hi-tech Risk Rating Relative to Sector Medium
ail its overall growth story. We believe LTTS has finally found enough Sector Relative to Market Overweight
revenues to offset this impact, and should see a turnaround next quarter.
It maintained FY20 revenue growth guidance at 10%, a number we
believe it can top next year. The company also remains disciplined in its MARKET DATA (R: LTEH BO, B: LTTS IN)
CMP : INR 1,643
execution, and we expect it to consistently deliver stable margins. We
Target Price : INR 1,885
remain bullish on long-term prospects of the fast-growing ER&D, and
52-week range (INR) : 1,820 / 1,321
believe LTTS is in a pole position to benefit from the same. Maintain Share in issue (mn) : 104.3
‘BUY’ with a revised TP of INR1,885 (INR1,801 earlier, 20x Q1FY22E EPS). M cap (INR bn/USD mn) : 171 / 2,434
Avg. Daily Vol.BSE/NSE(‘000) : 120.7
Worst behind for telecom and hi-tech
While transportation (up 21% YoY) and Plant Engineering (up 28.2% YoY) continue to SHARE HOLDING PATTERN (%)
deliver quarter after quarter, geopolitical concerns and client-specific issues hampered Current Q2FY20 Q1FY20
revenues from telecom and hi-tech for most of FY19. We, however, argue that the Promoters * 75.0 75.0 75.0
worst is behind on this front, and growth should return to the vertical from Q4. This MF's, FI's & BK’s 4.8 4.8 4.7
along with an excellent performance in other verticals should drive robust overall FII's 8.9 8.9 8.5
growth in FY21E. Others 11.3 11.3 11.8
* Promoters pledged shares : NIL
(% of share in issue)
Laser-sharp focus on execution holds margins steady
LTTS delivered another resilient quarter on margins by dint of its execution disciple. We PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
believe LTTS has expertly navigated its operating margin in a narrow band despite its EW
recently shaky revenues and that this is one of the reasons the company continues to Stock Nifty Technology
Index
command a premium multiple. We expect LTTS’s operating margin to remain in the
18–20% range. Any revival in volumes should be of further help. 1 month (9.3) 7.0 (1.0)
3 months (6.6) 7.9 (4.5)
Outlook and valuation: Looking at an upturn; retain ‘BUY’ 12 months (13.9) 12.4 6.1
While the outlook for ER&D revenue growth continues to be marred by uncertainty,
demand in the ER&D segment has potential to revive strongly, based on which LTTS
should be able to realise its growth potential. The stock is trading at 17.4x FY21E EPS.
We maintain ‘BUY/SO’ with a revised TP of INR1,801.
Financials (INR mn) Sandip Agarwal
Year to March Q3FY20 Q3FY19 Chg % Q2FY20 Chg % FY19E FY20E FY21E +91 22 6623 3474
sandip.agarwal@edelweissfin.com
Revenue 14,230 13,169 8.1 14,021 1.5 50,783 56,281 64,754
EBITDA 2863 2417 18.5 2832 1.1 9,157 11,276 13,579 Pranav Kshatriya
EBIT (INR mn) 2391 2178 9.8 2388 0.1 8,083 9,574 12,623 +91 22 4040 7495
pranav.kshatriya@edelweissfin.com
Adjusted profit 2058 1861 10.6 2062 (0.2) 7,662 8,195 9,935
Diluted EPS (INR) 19.3 17.6 10.0 19.5 (0.8) 72.6 77.5 94.3 Abhishek Pathak
+91 (22) 4063 5456
Diluted P/E (x) 22.6 21.2 17.4
Abhishek.Pathak@edelweissfin.com
EV/EBITDA (x) 17.9 14.2 11.4
EV/Revenues (X) 3.2 2.8 2.4 January 17, 2020
Edelweiss Research is also available on www.edelresearch.com,
Bloomberg EDEL <GO>, Thomson First Call, Reuters and Factset. Edelweiss Securities Limited
29
IT
Key highlights
Revenue grew 1.5% QoQ/8.1% YoY to INR14.2bn. In USD, revenue rose 0.8% QoQ to
USD199.3mn.
Industry performance: Growth was led by Transportation (up 21.3% YoY, cc) and plant
engineering (up 28.2%). Telecom and hi-tech had another poor quarter (down 26.7%
YoY), dragging overall growth once more..
Performance by geography: QoQ, North America grew 13.7%, India declined 1.8%, and
Europe declined 6.3%.
Top-5 and -10 clients: The Top-5 and -10 clients declined 17.4% YoY and 6.5% YoY,
respectively; growth outside top-10 clients stood at 16.1% YoY.
30
L&T Technology Services Ltd
31
IT
Company Description
L&T Technology Services (LTTS) was established through a group restructuring exercise by
the L&T Group, wherein, integrated engineering services of L&T and product engineering
services business of L&T Infotech were trasferred to LTTS. As a result, LTTS has emerged as
one of the leading global pure-play ER&D services, providing services to manufacturing,
technology and process engineering companies to help develop and build products,
processes and infrastructure required to deliver products and services to end customers.
The company leverages on the strengths of parent company, L&T, a leading Indian
conglomerate in technology, engineering, construction, manufacturing and finance. The
company derives 58.9% from North America, 16.0% from Europe, 13.9% from India and
11.2% from Rest of the World (RoW). It has operations spread across five industry
segments, viz., transportation, industrial products, telecom and hi-tech, process industry
and medical devices.
Investment Theme
L&T Technology Services (LTTS), a niche play on ER&D services, is on the cusp of high-growth
trajectory steered by potent catalysts: 1) ongoing strong digital and IoT wave to spearhead
ER&D growth; 2) ‘T30A3’ strategy is well etched out to ramp up LTTS’s offerings to top-30
clients and target adjacent three customers in each vertical; 3) well-diversified presence
across verticals along-with lower top clients’ concentration insulates its revenues in
downturns; and 4) strong parent in L&T – LTTS leverages on strong engineering capabilities
and relationships of L&T.
Key Risks
Reduction in ER&D spends
Rise in captive R&D centres
32
L&T Technology Services Ltd
Financial Statements
Key assumptions Income statement (INR mn)
Year to March FY19E FY20E FY21E FY22E Year to March FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Macro - GDP(Y-o-Y %) 6.8 5.0 5.8 6.5 Net revenue 50,783 56,281 64,754 71,959
Inflation (Avg) 3.4 4.3 4.8 5.0 Cost of revenues 32,770 37,757 41,462 46,559
Repo rate (exit rate) 6.3 5.2 4.5 5.0 Gross profit 18,013 18,524 23,292 25,401
Total SG&A expenses 8,856 7,248 9,713 10,794
USD/INR (Avg) 70.0 71.5 71.0 70.0
EBITDA 9,157 11,276 13,579 14,607
Company
Depreciation 1,074 1,702 956 1,040
Employee nos
EBIT 8,083 9,574 12,623 13,567
Total employees 15,140 17,162 18,662 20,162
Add: Other income 2,247.00 1,458.00 788.00 788.00
Net additions 2,833 2,022 1,500 1,500 Profit Before Tax 10,330 11,032 13,411 14,355
Cost assumptions 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 Less: Provision for Tax 2,630 2,833 3,460 3,704
Cost of revenues 64.5 67.1 64.0 64.7 Reported Profit 7,700 8,199 9,951 10,651
Direct Cost per emplo. (INR '000) 593.4 575.4 578.7 599.5 Adjusted Profit 7,700 8,199 9,951 10,651
Cost per employee YoY growth 10.3 (3.0) 0.6 3.6 Shares o /s (mn) 104 104 104 104
SG&A expenses (% of rev) 17.4 12.9 15.0 15.0 Adjusted Basic EPS 74.1 78.5 95.4 102.1
Financial Assumption 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 Diluted shares o/s (mn) 106 106 106 106
Deprecia. (% of gross block) 19.9 25.8 12.2 11.5 Adjusted Diluted EPS 72.7 77.5 94.3 100.9
Tax rate as % of PBT 25.6 25.7 25.8 25.8 Adjusted Cash EPS 84.5 94.8 104.6 112.1
Capex (INR mn) 1,000 1,200 1,200 1,200 Dividend per share (DPS) 25.9 31.4 38.2 40.9
Receivable (days) 73 73 70 72 Dividend Payout Ratio(%) 35.7 40.5 40.5 40.5
Payable (days) 21 24 30 30
Cash conversion cycle (days) 52 48 41 42 Common size metrics
Year to March FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Cost of revenues 64.5 67.1 64.0 64.7
Gross margin 35.5 32.9 36.0 35.3
SG&A expenses 17.4 12.9 15.0 15.0
EBITDA margins 18.0 20.0 21.0 20.3
EBIT margins 15.9 17.0 19.5 18.9
Net Profit margins 15.2 14.6 15.4 14.8
33
IT
34
L&T Technology Services Ltd
Additional Data
Directors Data
A. M. Naik Chairman S. N. Subrahmanyam Vice Chairman
Dr. Keshab Panda CEO & MD Amit Chadha President- Sales
Sudip Banerjee Director Samir Desai Director
Arjun Gupta Director Narayan Kumar Director
Renuka Ramnath Director
Holding – Top10
Perc. Holding Perc. Holding
Larsen & toubro ltd 74.74 Hdfc asset managemen 2.05
Naik anilkumar manib 1.25 Icici prudential lif 1.1
Na 0.88 Vanguard group 0.71
Sundaram asset manag 0.61 Grandeur peak global 0.54
Jpmorgan chase & co 0.39 Blackrock 0.29
*in last one year
Bulk Deals
Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded Price
No Data Available
*in last one year
Insider Trades
Reporting Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded
28 Jun 2019 Larsen & Toubro Limited Sell 180000.00
07 Jun 2019 Larsen & Toubro Limited Sell 232673.00
06 Jun 2019 Larsen & Toubro Limited Sell 3630959.00
01 Feb 2019 Larsen & Toubro Limited Sell 1545281.00
35
RATING & INTERPRETATION
ABSOLUTE RATING
Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12 months
Sector return is market cap weighted average return for the coverage universe
within the sector
SECTOR RATING
Ratings Criteria
Overweight (OW) Sector return > 1.25 x Nifty return
36
L&T Technology Services Ltd
Edelweiss Securities Limited, Edelweiss House, off C.S.T. Road, Kalina, Mumbai – 400 098.
Board: (91-22) 4009 4400, Email: research@edelweissfin.com
Aditya Narain
Head of Research
aditya.narain@edelweissfin.com
Recent Research
Rating Distribution* 161 67 11 240 Buy appreciate more than 15% over a 12-month period
* 1stocks under review
Hold appreciate up to 15% over a 12-month period
> 50bn Between 10bn and 50 bn < 10bn
743
Reduce depreciate more than 5% over a 12-month period
Market Cap (INR) 156 62 11
594
1,800
297 1,700
149 1,600
(INR)
- 1,500
Apr-14
Sep-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Jun-14
Dec-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
May-14
Jan-14
1,400
1,300
Dec-19
Oct-19
Aug-19
Apr-19
May-19
Nov-19
Jan-19
Jan-20
Feb-19
Sep-19
Jun-19
Mar-19
Jul-19
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IT
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L&T Technology Services Ltd
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