Demographic Winter Viewing Guide

Part 01
 How did the book, The Population Bomb, and subsequent assumptions influence common views
regarding population growth? How widespread were/are these views?

 People say that bombs are a bad thing for the people, and even for the entire
environment. It's almost like the population bomb implying that the family should not
grow up because it takes resources away from the rest of the world, where there are
not so many children.

 What evidence do we have for the fulfillment of Dr. Ehrlich’s predictions?

 The video said that the population has grown very rapidly for more than 200 years.

Define
 Population: Population is the number of people living in a given area. For example, there are a
total of 2.18 million people in our district, which is the population of our district.

 Birth rate: The birth rate refers to the number of births per 1,000 people in the entire
population.

 Fertility rate: The fertility rate is the number of children a woman has in her lifetime.

With which numbers ought we to concern ourselves and why? The birth rate must be because the
population is increasing and the birth rate is falling.

The Baby Boom

 What was the “baby boom” and what have been some of the results?

 The baby boom is the post-World War II period when the number of women giving birth
to babies increased, resulting in an increase in the population compared to previous
decades.

 How long does it take a population with sub-replacement rates to actually decline?

 After the population reached the sub-replacement point, it did not decrease as quickly
as we thought, and in fact it did not decrease immediately.

 How was Japan different from the rest of the boom experienced around the world?

 Japan is different because there is no baby boom. This is because although the rest of
the world has not suffered much damage, Japan has suffered tremendous damage in the
war. After 60 years, the population has decreased.
  How do media influence perceptions of world population growth/decrease? Cite at least one
example.

 The reality is that even today in 2021, we will see untrue things in the news. Especially in
these days when we are suffering from the coronavirus, the news becomes these
headlines to scare people. In fact, the media misunderstood the facts, and it was the
same during World War II.

 What reasons were cited by interviewees for having few children?

When you have children, you must buy them clothes, and you must provide them with
food to make sure they go to school. All of these require a lot of money. This is hard
enough for a child, it is crazy to have more now. If they have a child, that child will have
more opportunities, because parents don’t have to consider going to college for two
children, only one.

Human Capital
 What is Human Capital, and how does that factor into the results of decreased fertility rates?
Who is affected by having fewer children in the world or in a given community?

 Human capital is their way of describing human resources. Anyone with a smaller family
will be affected by human capital, because the fewer children they have, the more their
human capital declines. But in this case, when we have fewer children, there are not
enough children to make human capital possible.

 How will immigration change as a result of the decline in births?

 Then the biggest and most obvious reason is that immigrants help when they need a
job. Their greatest help is to fill the missing roles in the workplace.

 Has this ever happened before?

 It happened, but not as strong as we are. This is with the Romans.

 What about Mexico? There will always be a lot of people eager to come here from Meso-
America, right?

 People always want to come here, but the fact that the fertility rate is declining due to
job vacancies is that they have no reason to come here because they will work from
home.

 Explain how the housing market could be expected to change drastically in the past few years,
even without a precipitating change in the economy?

 At some point, the baby boomers will reach retirement age and look for smaller houses
in the process. In this way, young people can buy their old houses. But as the fertility
rate drops, the number of people buying all houses will be insufficient, so the housing
market may collapse.
Part 02
 What tendencies did you hear in the street interviews, with regards to choices about child
bearing?

 It is mainly about birth control, the desire for a big family and the lack of a successful
marriage.

 Why did fertility fall in the first place? List 4 specific trends or “revolutions” noted by the
program. What overarching tendency is credited with the overall fertility trends? What do you
think of that assessment?

 People’s concerns are different from the traditional family structure.

 Because of the decline in the fertility rate, the expectations of the extended family have
fallen. The

 large families are no longer valued by people. Higher divorce rate

 What are possible solutions?

 We need to strengthen our traditional family values so that others can see and emulate
us.

 Several nations are offering significant cash incentives for couples—or at least women—to have
children. Why do you think these “bounties” are not working? What has contributed to slight
increases in fertility rates in several European countries?

 It just doesn't work like it used to, because it does not pay attention to the main reasons
for the weakening of the family structure.

 “The cradle of moral capital is the family.” What does that mean?

 In the family, we are taught our moral standards. What to believe, how to behave, what
to say, how to react. These things are learned in the family, and when they are taught by
mistake, things start to change.