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Height Diameter at breast heightBark thickness

122.0 20 1.1 SUMMARY OUTPUT


193.5 36 2.8
166.5 18 2.0 Regression Statistics
82.0 10 1.2 Multiple R 0.8864441
133.5 21 2.0 R Square 0.7857831
156.0 29 1.4 Adjusted R 0.7619812
172.5 51 1.8 Standard Er22.598168
81.0 11 1.1 Observatio 21
148.0 26 2.5
113.0 12 1.5 ANOVA
84.0 13 1.4 df SS MS
164.0 40 2.3 Regression 2 33718.478 16859.239
203.3 52 2.0 Residual 18 9192.1892 510.67718
174.0 30 2.5 Total 20 42910.667
159.0 22 3.0
205.0 42 2.6 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
223.5 45 4.3 Intercept 62.141128 13.503064 4.6020019
195.0 54 4.0 Diameter at2.0567127 0.4427975 4.6448153
232.5 39 2.2 Bark thickn 15.641802 7.1482854 2.1881894
190.5 36 3.5
100.0 8 1.4

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Percentile Height
2.3809524 81
7.1428571 82
11.904762 84
16.666667 100
21.428571 113
26.190476 122
30.952381 133.5
35.714286 148
40.47619 156
45.238095 159
50 164
54.761905 166.5
59.52381 172.5
64.285714 174
69.047619 190.5
73.809524 193.5
78.571429 195
83.333333 203.25
88.095238 205
92.857143 223.5
97.619048 232.5
F Significance F
33.013496 9.499E-07

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
0.0002213 33.772243 90.510013 33.772243 90.510013
0.0002014 1.1264297 2.9869958 1.1264297 2.9869958
0.0420866 0.6238118 30.659793 0.6238118 30.659793
Observation Price Promotion Predicted Bars Bars Residuals
1 59 200 3311.84761155 4141 829.15238845
2 59 200 3311.84761155 3842 530.15238845
3 59 200 3311.84761155 3056 -255.84761155
4 59 200 3311.84761155 3519 207.15238845
5 59 400 6440.20804362 4226 -2214.2080436
6 59 400 6440.20804362 4630 -1810.2080436
7 59 400 6440.20804362 3507 -2933.2080436
8 59 400 6440.20804362 3754 -2686.2080436
9 59 600 9568.5684757 5000 -4568.5684757
10 59 600 9568.5684757 5120 -4448.5684757
11 59 600 9568.5684757 4011 -5557.5684757
12 59 600 9568.5684757 5015 -4553.5684757
13 79 200 3352.98186635 1916 -1436.9818663
14 79 200 3352.98186635 675 -2677.9818663
15 79 200 3352.98186635 3636 283.01813365
16 79 200 3352.98186635 3224 -128.98186635
17 79 400 6481.34229842 2295 -4186.3422984
18 79 400 6481.34229842 2730 -3751.3422984
19 79 400 6481.34229842 2618 -3863.3422984
20 79 400 6481.34229842 4421 -2060.3422984
21 79 600 9609.70273049 4113 -5496.7027305
22 79 600 9609.70273049 3746 -5863.7027305
23 79 600 9609.70273049 3532 -6077.7027305
24 79 600 9609.70273049 3825 -5784.7027305
25 99 200 3394.11612114 1096 -2298.1161211
26 99 200 3394.11612114 761 -2633.1161211
27 99 200 3394.11612114 2088 -1306.1161211
28 99 200 3394.11612114 820 -2574.1161211
29 99 400 6522.47655322 2114 -4408.4765532
30 99 400 6522.47655322 1882 -4640.4765532
31 99 400 6522.47655322 2159 -4363.4765532
32 99 400 6522.47655322 1602 -4920.4765532
33 99 600 9650.83698529 3354 -6296.8369853
34 99 600 9650.83698529 2927 -6723.8369853
Multiple Regression

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8864440871
R Square 0.7857831196
Adjusted R Square 0.7619812439
Standard Error 22.598167516
Observations 21

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 33718.47751546 16859.2387577 33.013495768 9.4991165E-07
Residual 18 9192.189151211 510.677175067
Total 20 42910.66666667

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P - value Lower 95%


Intercept 62.141127826 13.50306425661 4.60200193413 0.0002212728 33.7722425182
Diameter at breast height 2.0567127398 0.442797529242 4.6448153027 0.0002014094 1.12642965127
Bark thickness 15.64180216 7.148285402978 2.1881893739 0.0420866288 0.62381180732
Calculations
b2, b1, b0 intercepts Err:502 Err:502
b2, b1, b0 Standard Error Err:502 Err:502
R Square, Standard Error Err:502 Err:502
F, Residual df Err:502 Err:502
Regression SS, Residual SS Err:502 Err:502

Confidence level 95%


t Critical Value 2.1009
Half Width b0 28.3689
Half Width b1 0.9303
Half Width b2 15.0180

Upper 95% Lower 95% Upper 95%


90.51001313 33.772242518 90.510013133
2.986995828 1.1264296513 2.9869958284
30.65979251 0.6238118073 30.659792513
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Diameter at breast height Bark thickness
1 20 1.1
1 36 2.8
1 18 2.0
1 10 1.2
1 21 2.0
1 29 1.4
1 51 1.8
1 11 1.1
1 26 2.5
1 12 1.5
1 13 1.4
1 40 2.3
1 52 2.0
1 30 2.5
1 22 3.0
1 42 2.6
1 45 4.3
1 54 4.0
1 39 2.2
1 36 3.5
1 8 1.4
Confidence Interval Estimate and Prediction Interval

Data
Confidence Level 95%
1
Price given value 25
Promotion given value 2

X'X 21 615 46.6


615 22387 1537.2
46.6 1537.2 120.2

Inverse of X'X 0.3570 -0.0025 -0.1065


-0.0025 0.0004 -0.0039
-0.1065 -0.0039 0.1001

X'G times Inverse of X'X 0.0816 -0.0008 -0.0050

[X'G times Inverse of X'X] times XG 0.0521


t Statistic 2.1009
Predicted Y (YHat) 144.84

For Average Predicted Y (YHat)


Interval Half Width 10.83
Confidence Interval Lower Limit 134.01
Confidence Interval Upper Limit 155.68

For Individual Response Y


Interval Half Width 48.70
Prediction Interval Lower Limit 96.15
Prediction Interval Upper Limit 193.54
Regression Analysis
Coefficients of Partial Determination

Intermediate Calculations
SSR(X1, X2) 33718.4775
SST 42910.6667 Cell entries to make:
SSR(X2) 14915814.1025 Cell B7:
SSR(X1) 28153486.1482 Cell B8:
SSR(X1 | X2) -14882095.6250
SSR(X2 | X1) -28119767.6707

Coefficients
r2 Y1.2 1.0006
r2 Y2.1 1.0003
Cell entries to make:
Cell C12 value from the exclude-first-X-regression worksheet
Cell C12 value from the exclude-second-X-regression worksheet
Regression Analysis
Coefficients of Partial Determination

Intermediate Calculations
SSR(X1,X2,X3) 33718.477515
SST 42910.666667 Cell entries to make:
SSR(X2,X3) SSR(X1 | X2,X3) 33718.477515 Cell B7:
SSR(X1,X3) SSR(X2 | X1,X3) 33718.477515 Cell B8:
SSR(X1,X2) SSR(X3 | X1,X2) 33718.477515 Cell B9:

Coefficients
r2 Y1.23 0.7857831196
r2 Y2.13 0.7857831196
r2 Y3.12 0.7857831196
Cell entries to make:
Cell C12 value from the exclude-first-X-regression worksheet
Cell C12 value from the exclude-second-X-regression worksheet
Cell C12 value from the exclude-third-X-regression worksheet
Regression Analysis
Coefficients of Partial Determination

Intermediate Calculations
SSR(X1,X2,X3,X4) 33718.477515
SST 42910.666667 Cell entries to make:
SSR(X2,X3,X4) SSR(X1 | X2,X3,X4) 33718.477515 Cell B7:
SSR(X1,X3,X4) SSR(X2 | X1,X3,X4) 33718.477515 Cell B8:
SSR(X1,X2,X4) SSR(X3 | X1,X2,X4) 33718.477515 Cell B9:
SSR(X1,X2,X3) SSR(X4 | X1,X2,X3) 33718.477515 Cell B10:

Coefficients
r2 Y1.234 0.7857831196
r2 Y2.134 0.7857831196
r2 Y3.124 0.7857831196
r2 Y4.123 0.7857831196
Cell entries to make:
Cell C12 value from the exclude-first-X-regression worksheet
Cell C12 value from the exclude-second-X-regression worksheet
Cell C12 value from the exclude-third-X-regression worksheet
Cell C12 value from the exclude-fourth-X-regression worksheet
Multiple Regression

Regression Statistics
Multiple R =SQRT(C12/C14)
R Square =L4
Adjusted R Square =1 - (B14/B13) * (C13/C14)
Standard Error =M4
Observations =COUNT(MRData!A:A)

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression =B14 - B13 =L6 =C12/B12 =L5
Residual =M5 =M6 =C13/B13
Total =B8 - 1 =C12 + C13

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P - value


Intercept =N2 =N3 =B17/C17 =T.DIST.2T(ABS(D17), B$13)
=MRData!B1 =M2 =M3 =B18/C18 =T.DIST.2T(ABS(D18), B$13)
=MRData!C1 =L2 =L3 =B19/C19 =T.DIST.2T(ABS(D19), B$13)
b2, b1, b0 intercepts
b2, b1, b0 Standard Error
R Square, Standard Error
F, Residual df
Regression SS, Residual SS

Confidence level
t Critical Value
Half Width b0
Significance F Half Width b1
=F.DIST.RT(E12, B12, B13) Half Width b2

="Lower " & TEXT(L8, "##%") ="Upper " & TEXT(L8, "##%") =F16 =G16
=B17 - L10 =B17 + L10 =F17 =G17
=B18 - L11 =B18 + L11 =F18 =G18
=B19 - L12 =B19 + L12 =F19 =G19
Calculations
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)

95%
=T.INV.2T(1 - L8, B13)
=L$9 * C17
=L$9 * C18
=L$9 * C19
Calculations
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
=LINEST(MRData!A2:A35, MRData!B2:C35, TRUE, TRUE)
Observation Price Promotion Predicted Annual Sales
1 59 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B2 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C2 + COMPUTE!$B$17
2 59 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B3 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C3 + COMPUTE!$B$17
3 59 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B4 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C4 + COMPUTE!$B$17
4 59 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B5 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C5 + COMPUTE!$B$17
5 59 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B6 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C6 + COMPUTE!$B$17
6 59 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B7 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C7 + COMPUTE!$B$17
7 59 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B8 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C8 + COMPUTE!$B$17
8 59 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B9 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C9 + COMPUTE!$B$17
9 59 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B10 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C10 + COMPUTE!$B$17
10 59 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B11 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C11 + COMPUTE!$B$17
11 59 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B12 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C12 + COMPUTE!$B$17
12 59 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B13 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C13 + COMPUTE!$B$17
13 79 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B14 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C14 + COMPUTE!$B$17
14 79 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B15 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C15 + COMPUTE!$B$17
15 79 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B16 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C16 + COMPUTE!$B$17
16 79 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B17 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C17 + COMPUTE!$B$17
17 79 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B18 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C18 + COMPUTE!$B$17
18 79 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B19 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C19 + COMPUTE!$B$17
19 79 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B20 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C20 + COMPUTE!$B$17
20 79 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B21 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C21 + COMPUTE!$B$17
21 79 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B22 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C22 + COMPUTE!$B$17
22 79 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B23 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C23 + COMPUTE!$B$17
23 79 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B24 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C24 + COMPUTE!$B$17
24 79 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B25 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C25 + COMPUTE!$B$17
25 99 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B26 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C26 + COMPUTE!$B$17
26 99 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B27 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C27 + COMPUTE!$B$17
27 99 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B28 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C28 + COMPUTE!$B$17
28 99 200 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B29 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C29 + COMPUTE!$B$17
29 99 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B30 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C30 + COMPUTE!$B$17
30 99 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B31 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C31 + COMPUTE!$B$17
31 99 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B32 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C32 + COMPUTE!$B$17
32 99 400 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B33 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C33 + COMPUTE!$B$17
33 99 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B34 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C34 + COMPUTE!$B$17
34 99 600 =COMPUTE!$B$18 * B35 + COMPUTE!$B$19 * C35 + COMPUTE!$B$17
Bars Residuals
4141 =E2 - D2
3842 =E3 - D3
3056 =E4 - D4
3519 =E5 - D5
4226 =E6 - D6
4630 =E7 - D7
3507 =E8 - D8
3754 =E9 - D9
5000 =E10 - D10
5120 =E11 - D11
4011 =E12 - D12
5015 =E13 - D13
1916 =E14 - D14
675 =E15 - D15
3636 =E16 - D16
3224 =E17 - D17
2295 =E18 - D18
2730 =E19 - D19
2618 =E20 - D20
4421 =E21 - D21
4113 =E22 - D22
3746 =E23 - D23
3532 =E24 - D24
3825 =E25 - D25
1096 =E26 - D26
761 =E27 - D27
2088 =E28 - D28
820 =E29 - D29
2114 =E30 - D30
1882 =E31 - D31
2159 =E32 - D32
1602 =E33 - D33
3354 =E34 - D34
2927 =E35 - D35
Confidence Interval Estimate and Prediction Interval

Data
Confidence Level 95%
1
Price given value 79
Promotion given value 400

X'X =MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)


'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)
'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)

Inverse of X'X =MINVERSE(B9:D11)


'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)
'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)

X'G times Inverse of X'X =MMULT(TRANSPOSE(B5:B7), B13:D15)

[X'G times Inverse of X'X] times XG =MMULT(B17:D17, B5:B7)


t Statistic =T.INV.2T(1 - B4, COMPUTE!B13)
Predicted Y (YHat) =MMULT(TRANSPOSE(B5:B7), COMPUTE!B17:B19)

For Average Predicted Y (YHat)


Interval Half Width =B20 * SQRT(B19) * COMPUTE!B7
Confidence Interval Lower Limit =B21 - B24
Confidence Interval Upper Limit =B21 + B24

For Individual Response Y


Interval Half Width =B20 * SQRT(1 + B19) * COMPUTE!B7
Prediction Interval Lower Limit =B21 - B29
Prediction Interval Upper Limit =B21 + B29
'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)
'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)
'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)

'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)
'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)
'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)

'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(B5:B7), B13:D15)
'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)
'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)
'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(MRArray!A2:C35), MRArray!A2:C35)

'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)
'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)
'=MINVERSE(B9:D11)

'=MMULT(TRANSPOSE(B5:B7), B13:D15)
Regression Analysis
Coefficients of Partial Determination

Intermediate Calculations
SSR(X1, X2) =COMPUTE!C12
SST =COMPUTE!C14 Cell entries to make:
SSR(X2) 14915814.1025 Cell B7: Cell C12 value from the exclude-first-X-regression worksheet
SSR(X1) 28153486.1482 Cell B8: Cell C12 value from the exclude-second-X-regression worksheet
SSR(X1 | X2) =B5-B7
SSR(X2 | X1) =B5-B8

Coefficients
r2 Y1.2 =B9/(B6-B5+B9)
r2 Y2.1 =B10/(B6-B5+B10)
sion worksheet
ression worksheet

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