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Sahil Writing Sample
Sahil Writing Sample
During the period of economic growth in the 1980s and 1990s, the American middle
class saved their earnings in the form of cash in savings accounts. Except for the dot com
bubble bursting in 2001, financial markets maintained relative stability without significant
inflation or deflation. Starting in 2001, private banking institutions began to sell financial
products with the help of quantitative mathematics. Private institutions would sell mortgages,
bonds, and stocks in one package individual entities. However, private institutions ended up
selling the same products multiple times in different bundles, causing inflation and higher
index values. How is the middle class related to financial markets? Middle-class Americans
were not literate in financial planning in 2001 nor are they today. In order to achieve the
American dream, the middle-class American has to own a house, in order, to call his or her
family middle-class. In 2001, banks survey reports highlighted an increase in savings for the
American middle class between the age of 25-45. However, the middle class was reluctant to
directly invest in the financial markets with its savings due to uncertainty and financial
illiteracy. Instead, they decided to invest their savings in buying a house to achieve their
American dream. After the middle class invested their savings in mortgages, the banks sold
their mortgages to larger banks at a higher price. The larger banks decided to sell those
mortgages with other financial products such as bonds and debentures to multinational
companies and even foreign governments. Here is the catch, middle-class Americans were
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offered the loans at a lower rate, however, the rates increased over the years. The rates were
increased by small banks with the help or guidance of multinational banks. The reason to
increase the interest rates was human greed and the desire to make large chunk of money in a
short time. Due to higher interest rates, the middle-class American failed to make payments
payments led to a decline in earnings in multinational banks. When markets realized the
discrepancy between the middle class’s ability to pay and market expectation, the markets
began to sink. Multinational banks such as Morgan Stanley, Chase and Lehman Brothers
were looking for a bail out from government or competitors. Some banks such as Lehman
brothers failed to survive, whereas, Chase merged with J.P Morgan. By this time, middle-
class Americans had lost their hard-earned savings to bankruptcy which resulted from
corporate manipulation of interest rates and speculation due to rebundling of products. What
if the middle class did not fall into the trap of buying cheap mortgages which would later
become overpriced? What if small banks didn’t sell the mortgages to larger banks at a
premium? Nowhere in this crisis, had any individual broken the law of the United States.
Still, middle-class Americans had virtually become bankrupt without any savings. Middle-
class Americans’ hard earned money vanished within a decade. Still, we call ourselves a
successful and free country where one can achieve dreams. Why did the economy suffer
billions of dollars of loss within a few days? We can learn from the history of the great
depression and analyze its solutions to avoid a similar crisis in the future.
Before the crisis of 1929, the companies inflated their earnings and stock prices to
avoid reporting the losses that occurred due to failed loans to countries like Germany. The
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American banking institutions had loaned millions of dollars to the bankrupt countries of
Europe after World War 1 to rebuild their respective countries. However, the countries failed
to make payments to American banking institutions. The great depression could have been
avoided if the government had set standards for banking institutions to loan money to
bankrupt countries. It was a similar situation to the financial crisis of 2008 where companies
took advantage of lack of regulation to overtrade by finding loopholes in the system. Like
regulation and loaned mortgages to individuals without adequate financials. How can we
avoid another crisis like of 2008 in the future? After the great depression of 1928, the
government set up the SEC(Securities and Exchange Commission) to regulate the financial
markets and ensure fair reporting of financial statements of listed companies. Similarly,
committees after the crisis and suggest new regulations to SEC. The first job would be to
identify the loopholes in the regulation. Secondly, the committee would have to have
officials from both the private sector and government to ensure successful implementation of
regulations. The government would lobby on behalf of middle-class and working- class’ and
the private sector officials would represent their goals and mission to compete globally with
similar institutions of other countries and lobby for regulation to compete globally. Such a
committee should not tie private institutions to strict regulation which would stop private
However, the committee cannot let the private sector make the same mistake in the
future and must pass necessary regulations to avoid such a crisis for atleast another 100
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years. Setting up a committee and regulations can stop another crisis to in the future by
fixing the loopholes in the system and avoiding any loopholes in the future. While the private
sector and the government promised each other financial returns to cover the loses of the
crisis of 2008, many middle-class Americans lost homes, jobs, and savings. Preventing such
widespread disaster demands oversight and regulation of multinational banks and financial
Middle-class Americans saw an increase in savings after the dot com bubble and
decided to invest savings to achieve the American dream of home ownership. The dot com
bubble saw an increase in earnings for the private institutions that translated into higher
wages and salary to middle-class workers. However, an increase in savings or wages did not
result in increased investment in financial markets. Raghuram Rajan was an economist for
the International Monetary Fund and warned about the speculative growth of financial
markets. Rajan talks about Feldstein and Horioka’s economic analysis and states, “Feldstein
and Horoika pointed out that there seemed to be a much closer correlation between a
country’s savings and its investment than might be suggested by the existence of global
In other words, the more people save, the less they invest. Due to the American middle
class’s financial illiteracy, middle class people have always been reluctant to invest in
complex financial products like debentures, bonds, and stocks. Madeline Farber an editor of
Fortune Magazine talks about the financial literacy of Americans. Madeline Farber states,
“All told, a new study, which was released today, estimate that nearly two-thirds of
Americans couldn’t pass a basic financial literacy test, meaning that they got fewer than four
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answers correct on a five question quiz. Worse, the percentage of those who can pass the test
has fallen consistently since the financial crisis to 37% last year, from 42% in 2009.”(Farber)
In order to avoid the complexity of financial markets, the middle class decides to invest in
real estate which is fairly easy, tangible, and visible as compared to financial products such
as stocks and bonds. According to federal reserve data, the average mortgage interest rate in
2003 was 5.24%, however, within three years interest rate increased to as much as 7.25%.
After the mortgages had been sold to the middle class through small banks, the mortgages
had been sold by smaller banks to multinational banks at premium with a profit. Hence, the
middle class’s savings invested in real estate to achieve the American dream had indirectly
ended up with corporate America through the capitalist practice of free trade.
Multinational banks began to use quantitative methods to sell financial products and
began to rebundle the mortgages and sell the same intangible products multiple times in
different packages. The practice of rebundling goes against the law of nature. For example: A
tangible pencil can only be sold to one person not three people. The first person can sell it to
the second person, but the original seller cannot the same pencil to the first and second
person. However, when dealing with intangible products like securities backed mortgages, it
becomes very difficult to source the true owner of the individual and rebundled products.
Rajan talks about the rebundling strategies of the banks and states, “Despite the fact that
rebundling can be a powerful tool to re-establish customers’ trust and increase profits…
banks tend to give a discount on the bundle and price promote the individual bundle items as
well: a very dangerous strategy.”(Rajan) In order to avoid the risk of selling high priced
bundles, the banks hedge their risk by individually selling the securities, which are a part of
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the bundle at a lower price. When banks sell financial products individually and through
rebundling, it becomes a very difficult to keep track of the products and to decide if the same
financial product is sold by two different brokers to two different parties. Financial markets
are comprised of multiple sectors including real estate, oil, and retail. Multinational banks
have interests in every sector of the financial markets. Multinational banks tend to offset
their losses in one business by putting pressure on another business without assessing the
feasibility of their actions. To cover losses in speculative trades and other sectors,
multinational banks began to increase the interest rate on mortgages purchased at a premium
from smaller banks. According to the federal reserve data, mortgages increased from 5.24%
in 2003 to 7.5% in 2006. The decision to increase the interest rates on mortgages proved to
be very expensive for multinational banks and middle-class homeowners. Due to increased
interest rates and mortgage payments, middle-class Americans began to default on their
mortgage payments and began to declare bankruptcy. Hence, multinational banks practice of
rebundling and unfeasible interest rates resulted in middle class Americans loosing their
Even if corporate America is to be blamed for the financial crisis, isn’t it the
corporate America? Were American homeowners literate enough to understand the mortgage
bought by them and understand that their mortgage was sold by small banks to multinational
banks? How many homeowners knew the difference between fixed interest rate and variable
interest rate? Madeline Farber talks about the mortgage interest rate and financial condition
of middle class and states, “The percentage of new lower-quality subprime mortgages rose
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from the historical 8% or lower range to approximately 20% from 2004 to 2006, with much
higher ratios in some parts of the U.S.[1][2] A high percentage of these subprime mortgages,
over 90% in 2006 for example, were adjustable-rate mortgages. Further, U.S. households had
become increasingly indebted, with the ratio of debt to disposable personal income rising
from 77% in 1990 to 127% at the end of 2007, much of this increase mortgage-related.” Was
general consensus amongst Americans say that a middle-class homeowner is not financially
literate enough to understand its own financials and most importantly, its mortgage.
Madeline Farber states, “Bonds presented one of the biggest problems for respondents of
the survey. Just 28% knew what happens to bond prices when interest rates fall. (They
rise.) And less than half of all Americans appear to be able to answer basic questions
about financial risk.” Why is American middle class not financially educated? Do we
and explains why americans need to be financially educated. Vitt talks about the risks of
financial illiteracy and states, “The worst recession since the 1930s followed, and many
individuals and families slipped into financial crisis from losses of income and wealth. The
dramatic downturn in home values removed the security of home equity and dashed the
retirement goals of many baby boomers. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics,
workers ages 45 and over formed a disproportionate share of “the nation’s long-term
unemployed.” A recent study by Wellesley College economists shows that the labor market
downturn during and after the recession could have significant adverse health effects for
older boomers, and in some cases, cut life expectancy by up to three years.”(Vitt 3) Financial
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illiteracy just doesn’t affect middle-class financially, but also affects the health of middle-
class Americans. Healthy financial practices, such as savings, would prepare middle-class
Americans for economic shocks and unemployment. Savings would help Americans to
afford health care even during unemployment and not hesitate to go to a doctor due to
unending medical fees. Financial savings would also reduce anxiety and stress for the future,
which would help avoid mental and physical deterioration of Americans. Steven H. Woolf is
an author for Center on Society and Health which does active studies on middle-class and
health. Woolf associates income to mental health and states, “Income is also associated with
mental health. Compared with people from families who earn more than $100,000 a year,
those with family incomes below $35,000 a year are four times more likely to report being
nervous and five times more likely to report sadness “all or most of the time” (figure 2).11
Somatic complaints (i.e., the pain and other physical ailments that people experience due to
stress and depression) also occur more commonly among people with less income. Low
income cultivates multiple hallucinatory fears about the future. Most of the fears are related
to financial weakness and financial illiteracy makes mental conditions worse. If middle- class
Americans knew how to handle financial stress and uncertainty, they would be able to avoid
unnecessary anxiety which would improve their health. Hence, healthy financial practices
and financial literacy is not only essential towards stable financial life but also towards stable
Despite multiple attempts by scholar in the past, middle-class and government have
failed to understand the importance of financial literacy and its impact on Americans. In
addition to financial status and mental health, financial literacy also affects middle-class’s
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proved that every individual’s final goal in life is to achieve self-actualization. Maslow
suggested that the only way to achieve self-actualization is by acting on your thoughts and
achieve every need, wish, and desire. Most of the Americans, as part of the American dream,
want to own a house, which is part of the “desire” to achieve self-actualization. However,
American middle-class is not prepared to own or secure a house due to financial illiteracy.
The American middle-class loses its desire to own a house every time an economic shock
like 1929 or 2008 comes along. Maslow talks about how individuals take decisions in time of
uncertainty and states, “the decision maker (The Self) juggles motivational triggers
(“Wants,” “Needs,” “Shoulds,” and “Values”), while balancing thoughts and feelings that
occur when one or more such motivator is unsatisfied: “Frustration” occurs when wants are
blocked; “Deprivation” ensues when needs remain unmet; “Guilt” can be almost unbearable
if we do not live up to someone else’s (real or imagined) expectation; and “Shame” follows
our perceived failure to act in accordance with the values we set for ourselves.”(Vitt 83).
Financial illiteracy results in frustration due to uncertainty of the future and eventually leads
to shame which stops Americans from achieving self-actualization or spiritual health for the
rest of their life. Hence, financial illiteracy is the cause of majority of the problems with
Americans, including poor financial, emotional, and spiritual health. Therefore, middle class
represented United States government should educate middle class to help them live life with
stable health.
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regulations to set oversight on the activities of businesses to avoid another crisis like 2008.
However, there are multiple economic theories through which the government can approach
the problem. First, public interest theory tries to argue that market is full of inefficiency and
it is job of the government to make market more efficient. Also, the theory assumes that it
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virtually costs nothing to regulate the market. Richard A Posner is an economist at National
Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Posner talks about the economic theories which have
been used in the past, including the great depression, to regulate the markets. Posner talks
about the government sponsored programs in relation to public interest theory and argues,
“With these assumptions, it was very easy to argue that the principal government
interventions in the economy——trade union protection, public utility and common carrier
regulation, public power and reclamation programs, farm subsidies, occupational licensure,
demands for the rectification of palpable, and remediable, inefficiencies and inequities in the
operation of the free market.”(Posner 3) Public interest theory argues that it is the
government’s job to find the efficiency in the market and pass regulation to avoid
minimum wage, farm subsidies supporting weaker section of the society. Public interest
theory gives extensive responsibilities to the government and diminishes middle class’s role.
It argues that middle class elects the government and it is government’s responsibility to help
middle class.
However, public interest theory sometimes works against itself in modern age. Posner
talks about the contradictory relationship between economic efficiency and benefit to weaker
section of the society, including middle-class and states, “Few, if any, responsible students of
the airline industry, for example, believe that there is some intrinsic peculiarity about the
market for air transportation that requires prices and entry to be fixed by the government.
The same may be said for trucking, taxi service, stock brokerage, ocean shipping, and many
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other heavily regulated industries. Even the danger of "market failure" in such traditionally
unquestioned areas of regulation as health care, the legal profession, and the safety of drugs
and dependably effective instrument for altering market behavior has also gone by the
boards.”(Posner 3) Posner talks about the airline industry and argues that it would be
beneficial and fair to middle class if air tickets are made affordable, however, it may result in
financial loss for the airline industry. Similarly, public interest theory can be used to remove
inefficiencies in the airline industry by increasing the ticket price which would make air
describing the events after the great depression and the government’s attempt to turn around
the economy. Bumgardner states, “Hoover, as the leader of the pro-business and laissez-faire
Republican Party, was overly reluctant to act in response to the market turmoil, or to address
the needs of millions of unemployed Americans who suffered from the resulting Depression.
Far too often, he indicated that the economy was on the verge of turning around, only to be
disappointed. By 1932, Hoover had become frustrated that the New York Stock Exchange
had not taken stronger self-regulatory action in response to reported market abuses. He then
contributed to the crash”(Bumgardner 4). President Hoover had to interfere in the financial
market or New York Stock Exchange after New York Stock Exchange failed to correct itself.
Hoover took the public interest theory approach where he used the government to act on
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behalf of the middle- class Americans after financial institutions such as New York Stock
After SEC(Securities and Exchange Commission) Act was drafted, many pro-
business lobbyists argued against the passing of such bill arguing that such act would cause
inefficiencies in the market. Bumgardner talks about the critics of SEC act and states,
“Similarly, a prominent corporate attorney of the day wrote in Fortune magazine that the law
might “seriously retard economic recovery” by making it difficult for companies to raise
capital – causing “American corporations to go abroad for capital.” Arguing in effect that the
law was overkill, attorney Arthur Dean added: “With the purposes of the Act, the writer is in
full sympathy, but it seems hardly necessary to burn down the house to exterminate
vermin.”(Bumgardner 4) The critics argued that the extra reporting of financials would put
extra pressure on businesses during depression, which would delay the economic recovery of
the country. Also, other critic argued that businesses have to be allowed to function
independently for speedy recovery of the economy. Similarly, the critics in favor of the
regulation argued that businesses cannot be trusted without regulation and United States
cannot afford another market crash which would double the damage and recovery time.
society with different ideas and government always tries to find a middle ground like in the
case of depression. President Hoover respected the liberty of New York Stock Exchange and
waited two years before he ordered a formal inquiry into the economic crash. Failure of New
York Stock Exchange to solve the problem resulted in President Hoover interfering with an
in solving economic crisis. Hence, the public interest theory can be used to approach the
2008 financial crisis like great depression, however, the complexity of financial markets
In addition to public interest theory, Posner talks about capture theory and states,
“This theory holds that regulation is supplied in response to the demands of interest groups
theory understands that a society is made up of different class and occupations and every
section of the society has different needs and demands. Unlike the public interest theory
where the society is divided into two sections: Government and citizens, capture theory is
more realistic and recognizes different sections of the society such as businesses, workers,
large businesses, and gender based groups. It argues that different sections of the society use
the government to advance their collective motive to increase welfare of that particular
group. Capture theory is more realistic option and can help finding a feasible solution for
financial crisis of 2008. Capture theory is a fusion of multiple theories including liberals,
The capitalists must therefore control regulation. The syllogism is false. A great deal of
including dairy farmers, pharmacists, barbers, truckers, and, above all, union labor. Such
forms of regulation are totally unexplained (and usually either ignored or applauded) in this
measured on the Marxist scale argues that private institutions have their own regulations and
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government regulations are unduly favored towards small business or nonbusiness. It also
states that middle class workers have undue advantage towards government regulation due to
its ability to form government. Middle class workers form the government based on higher
votes compared to rich. Therefore, it favors rich private institutions having their own
regulation without any interference from the government to secure their independence from
middle class backed government. However, the Marxist theory is irrelevant in present as
government is highly influenced by private institutions and fails to address the needs of
middle-class.
The capture theory has evolved with time and recognizes the interdependence on
government and private institution. Posner talks about regulations as a weapon used against
each other by different institutions and states, “The theory is based on two simple but
important insights. The first is that since the coercive power of government can be used to
governed by laws of supply and demand. The second insight is that the theory of cartels may
help us locate the demand and supply curves.”(Posner 16) Capture theory of regulation
argues that different section, including middle-class, large businesses, and unions, use
government as a battle background to protect its interest and advance control on other
institutions by passing laws and regulation. Sometime multiple institutions form cartels and
fight against each other to pursue collective interest. For example: large businesses of 1930s
would see SEC(Securities and Exchange Commission) Act as a weapon used against them by
trade-unions and socialists to control their actions and limit their control over economy.
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Whereas, the trade-unionists and socialists would see SEC as a weapon or regulation through
which members of those institutions can safeguard their interest against large businesses.
institutions such as businesses, unionists and socialist where each side is using regulations or
laws to “capture” its own interest. In present, capture theory of regulation helps to
understand the complex political machinery where different sections of society are
represented in the government and use government to advance or “capture” its interest.
Therefore, a feasible solution can be formulated and executed through capture theory of
In response to financial crisis, the United States government passed Dodd-Frank Act,
which regulated the financial markets, especially complex quantitative financial instruments
that were the main reason behind the financial crisis. A part of the Dodd-Frank Act a
Financial Stability Oversight council was established to oversee the financial markets and
especially pattern trading and big transactions that led to the previous crisis. The power and
duties of Financial Stability Oversight council are stated as “The Council is charged with the
goal of identifying risks to US financial stability that could arise from the material financial
non-bank financial companies, or risks that could arise outside the financial services
marketplace. The Council is also supposed to promote market discipline and respond to
emerging threats to US financial markets.”(Guynn 42). The council meets once a year and
goes over the overall conditions of the financial markets and keeps an eye on institutions
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with holdings of more than $50 billion to avoid collusion. The council is comprised of 15
members as stated, “15 members: ten voting and five non-voting. The voting members are
the Treasury Secretary, who serves as chairman, and the heads of the Federal Reserve, the
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), which regulates national banks, the new
Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection (Consumer Bureau), the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA),
the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and an independent member with insurance
expertise. The non-voting members are the Directors of the Office of Financial Research
(OFR) and the Federal Insurance Office (FIO), a state insurance commissioner, a state
banking supervisor and a state securities commissioner.”(Guynn 42) There are multiple
loopholes in formation of council and powers given to council. First, the council is
comprised of officials from government agencies only. The private institutions are not given
any role in the council despite the important role played by private institutions such as
Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan. There can be two reasons why private sector officials are
not allowed to participate in the council. First, government agencies do not want private
sector influence on the council, which is risky because private sector can add realistic spin to
the problems and combine their knowledge of future risks and opportunities. One needs to
understand that financial markets are a platform for United Stated to compete globally,
therefore, role of private sector in decision making of council is important and should be
Secondly, private institution officials are not part of the council because they do not
want to be held accountable or want to resist the influence of government as discussed earlier
in capture theory of regulation. Professor Seigel from Wharton school of business talks about
the Financial Stability Oversight Council and its virtual monopoly over the overview of
financial markets and states, “The creation of the new Financial Stability Oversight Council
— designed to watch for systemic risk that could topple the entire financial system and
comprising representatives of nine federal agencies and an independent member from the
insurance industry, in addition to five non-voting members — has the potential to help avert
a future crisis, Siegel states, "It might not be bad to have another set of eyes on excesses in
the market to see what is justified and what is not."(Seigel 2) Siegel tries to point out that
there would be only one institution that would be in charge of overseeing the market, which
could be risky if they make the same mistake as Federal reserve made by not foreseeing the
crisis 0f 2008. Siegel also said, “However, there is a danger that the council could become
"overbearing." It is possible that new innovations in finance might not be fully understood by
council representatives, Siegel says; as a result, the council might choke off potential sources
of new growth out of concern that the financial services industry is again tilting toward
institutions. The fact that the council is only comprised of government officials, it might fail
to understand the business side of the market, which may or may not lead to condemn of new
financial practices that might lead to stagnation in the markets. Hence, it is necessary to
include the private sector officials in the council to make the council more innovative,
academia who would represent the middle class and its issues such as unemployment and
pay parity. The financial stability oversight council is responsible for overseeing the market
and correct the market in case of discrepancy. However, the council lacks a human element
to its decision-making process. For example: If the market has a discrepancy and the market
are turning speculative due to the discrepancy, the academic representative would help
council to consider a human approach towards solving the problem. Without the academic
representative, the council might recommend a decision which might lay off thousands of
middle class workers at one time. However, with the help of academic professional the
council can decide a process through which minimum people would be laid off from work
and discrepancy solved with minimum damage to economy and individual middle-class
workers. Therefore, the academic professional representing middle class workers can give
the financial council a human touch to it when solving economic problems to spread
Hence, the capture theory of regulation can help us understand the structure of
Financial Stability Oversight Council and recommend changes and improvements to the
Stability Oversight Council can help financial markets solve discrepancies and bubbles in the
initial stages without doing any significant damage to the economy and minimal damage to
employment statistics. However, a serious thought needs to be given to allow private sector
officials in the council as it will help increase accountability and help reach realistic
council made up of both private and government officials will avoid the blame game and
held every player responsible for its actions. In addition to macroeconomic solution of the
financial crisis, the government must financially educate its citizen to save themselves from
financial blunders and avoid falling into debt traps in case government machinery fails to
locate discrepancy and bubbles in markets. The two approaches of education and regulation
Farber, Madeline. Study Says Nearly Two-Thirds of Americans Can't Pass a Basic Test of Financial
Literacy. 17 Aug. 2016, treasurer.sc.gov/newsroom/study-says-nearly-two-thirds-of-americans-
cant-pass-a-basic-test-of-financial-literacy/.
Vandenburgh, Brian. AM I MIDDLE CLASS? FINANCIAL LITERACY IN THE
U.S.chamberreview.org/6.3_financial.html.
Woolf, Steven H. “How Are Income and Wealth Linked to Health and Longevity?” How
Are Income and Wealth Linked to Health and Longevity?
Bumgardner, Larry. “A Brief History of the 1930s Securities Laws in the United States –
And the Potential Lesson for Today.” Pepperdine University.
Posted by Randall D. Guynn, Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, on. “The Financial Panic of
2008 and Financial Regulatory Reform.” The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate
Governance and Financial Regulation The Financial Panic of 2008 and Financial Regulatory
Reform Comments, corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2010/11/20/the-financial-panic-of-2008-and-
financial-regulatory-reform/.
America, Sep 07 2010 North. “' A Major Transformation': The Pros and Cons of the
Dodd-Frank Act.” Knowledge@Wharton, knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/a-major-
transformation-the-pros-and-cons-of-the-dodd-frank-act/.