Rainfall Analysis Using Gumbles Distribution

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Max.

Sr. No. Year City Daily


Rainfall
in 'mm' 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00
1 1980 Nagpur 78.9 27.35 34.46 39.45 43.42 46.77 49.70
2 1981 Nagpur 115 39.87 50.23 57.50 63.29 68.17 72.45
3 1982 Nagpur 75.3 26.11 32.89 37.65 41.44 44.64 47.44
4 1983 Nagpur 146.8 50.89 64.12 73.40 80.79 87.03 92.48
5 1984 Nagpur 83.3 28.88 36.38 41.65 45.84 49.38 52.48
6 1985 Nagpur 230 79.74 100.46 115.00 126.57 136.35 144.89
7 1986 Nagpur 81.8 28.36 35.73 40.90 45.02 48.49 51.53
8 1987 Nagpur 43 14.91 18.78 21.50 23.66 25.49 27.09
9 1988 Nagpur 89.7 31.10 39.18 44.85 49.36 53.18 56.51
10 1989 Nagpur 49.7 17.23 21.71 24.85 27.35 29.46 31.31
11 1990 Nagpur 98.6 34.18 43.07 49.30 54.26 58.45 62.11
12 1991 Nagpur 89.8 31.13 39.22 44.90 49.42 53.23 56.57
13 1992 Nagpur 97.9 33.94 42.76 48.95 53.88 58.04 61.67
14 1993 Nagpur 56.6 19.62 24.72 28.30 31.15 33.55 35.66
15 1994 Nagpur 135.9 47.11 59.36 67.95 74.79 80.56 85.61
16 1995 Nagpur 48.3 16.74 21.10 24.15 26.58 28.63 30.43
17 1996 Nagpur 53.9 18.69 23.54 26.95 29.66 31.95 33.95
18 1997 Nagpur 68.2 23.64 29.79 34.10 37.53 40.43 42.96
19 1998 Nagpur 75.9 26.31 33.15 37.95 41.77 44.99 47.81
20 1999 Nagpur 55.9 19.38 24.42 27.95 30.76 33.14 35.21
21 2000 Nagpur 216.3 74.99 94.48 108.15 119.03 128.23 136.26
22 2001 Nagpur 183.9 63.75 80.33 91.95 101.20 109.02 115.85
23 2002 Nagpur 117 40.56 51.10 58.50 64.39 69.36 73.71
24 2003 Nagpur 72.9 25.27 31.84 36.45 40.12 43.22 45.92
25 2004 Nagpur 73.5 25.48 32.10 36.75 40.45 43.57 46.30
26 2005 Nagpur 139.1 48.22 60.76 69.55 76.55 82.46 87.63
27 2006 Nagpur 170.1 58.97 74.30 85.05 93.61 100.84 107.16
28 2007 Nagpur 93.3 32.35 40.75 46.65 51.34 55.31 58.78
29 2008 Nagpur 59.7 20.70 26.08 29.85 32.85 35.39 37.61
30 2009 Nagpur 66.3 22.98 28.96 33.15 36.49 39.30 41.77
31 2010 Nagpur 101.4 35.15 44.29 50.70 55.80 60.11 63.88
32 2011 Nagpur 51.3 17.78 22.41 25.65 28.23 30.41 32.32
33 2012 Nagpur 101.2 35.08 44.20 50.60 55.69 59.99 63.75
Mean 33.83 42.63 48.80 53.71 57.85 61.48
Standard Deviation 16.46792 20.74828 23.75086 26.1412 28.15975 29.9242
Precipitation Depth , mm
7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00
52.32 54.71 56.90 58.93 60.83 62.62 64.32 65.92 67.46 68.93
76.27 79.74 82.93 85.89 88.67 91.28 93.74 96.09 98.32 100.46
49.94 52.21 54.30 56.24 58.06 59.77 61.38 62.92 64.38 65.78
97.35 101.79 105.86 109.65 113.18 116.52 119.67 122.66 125.51 128.24
55.24 57.76 60.07 62.22 64.23 66.12 67.90 69.60 71.22 72.77
152.53 159.47 165.86 171.79 177.33 182.55 187.49 192.18 196.65 200.92
54.25 56.72 58.99 61.10 63.07 64.92 66.68 68.35 69.94 71.46
28.52 29.81 31.01 32.12 33.15 34.13 35.05 35.93 36.76 37.56
59.49 62.19 64.68 67.00 69.16 71.19 73.12 74.95 76.69 78.36
32.96 34.46 35.84 37.12 38.32 39.45 40.51 41.53 42.49 43.42
65.39 68.37 71.10 73.64 76.02 78.26 80.37 82.39 84.30 86.14
59.55 62.26 64.76 67.07 69.24 71.27 73.20 75.03 76.78 78.45
64.92 67.88 70.60 73.12 75.48 77.70 79.80 81.80 83.70 85.52
37.54 39.24 40.82 42.27 43.64 44.92 46.14 47.29 48.39 49.44
90.13 94.23 98.00 101.50 104.78 107.86 110.78 113.55 116.19 118.72
32.03 33.49 34.83 36.08 37.24 38.34 39.37 40.36 41.30 42.19
35.75 37.37 38.87 40.26 41.56 42.78 43.94 45.04 46.08 47.09
45.23 47.29 49.18 50.94 52.58 54.13 55.59 56.98 58.31 59.58
50.34 52.63 54.73 56.69 58.52 60.24 61.87 63.42 64.89 66.30
37.07 38.76 40.31 41.75 43.10 44.37 45.57 46.71 47.79 48.83
143.45 149.97 155.98 161.55 166.77 171.68 176.32 180.73 184.93 188.96
121.96 127.51 132.61 137.36 141.79 145.96 149.91 153.66 157.23 160.65
77.59 81.12 84.37 87.39 90.21 92.86 95.37 97.76 100.03 102.21
48.35 50.55 52.57 54.45 56.21 57.86 59.43 60.91 62.33 63.68
48.74 50.96 53.00 54.90 56.67 58.34 59.91 61.41 62.84 64.21
92.25 96.45 100.31 103.89 107.25 110.40 113.39 116.22 118.93 121.52
112.81 117.94 122.66 127.05 131.15 135.01 138.66 142.13 145.43 148.60
61.87 64.69 67.28 69.69 71.94 74.05 76.05 77.96 79.77 81.51
39.59 41.39 43.05 44.59 46.03 47.38 48.67 49.88 51.04 52.15
43.97 45.97 47.81 49.52 51.12 52.62 54.05 55.40 56.69 57.92
67.25 70.31 73.12 75.74 78.18 80.48 82.66 84.72 86.70 88.58
34.02 35.57 36.99 38.32 39.55 40.72 41.82 42.86 43.86 44.81
67.11 70.17 72.98 75.59 78.03 80.32 82.49 84.56 86.52 88.41
64.72 67.67 70.38 72.89 75.24 77.46 79.55 81.54 83.44 85.25
31.50201 32.93585 34.25466 35.47907 36.62434 37.70213 38.7216 39.69004 40.61339 41.49657
17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00
70.33 71.69 72.99 74.25 75.47 76.64 77.79 78.90
102.51 104.48 106.38 108.22 109.99 111.71 113.38 115.00
67.12 68.41 69.66 70.86 72.02 73.15 74.24 75.30
130.86 133.38 135.80 138.14 140.41 142.60 144.73 146.80
74.25 75.68 77.06 78.39 79.67 80.92 82.13 83.30
205.03 208.97 212.77 216.44 219.99 223.42 226.76 230.00
72.92 74.32 75.67 76.98 78.24 79.46 80.65 81.80
38.33 39.07 39.78 40.46 41.13 41.77 42.39 43.00
79.96 81.50 82.98 84.41 85.79 87.14 88.44 89.70
44.30 45.16 45.98 46.77 47.54 48.28 49.00 49.70
87.89 89.58 91.21 92.79 94.31 95.78 97.21 98.60
80.05 81.59 83.07 84.51 85.89 87.23 88.54 89.80
87.27 88.95 90.57 92.13 93.64 95.10 96.52 97.90
50.45 51.42 52.36 53.26 54.14 54.98 55.80 56.60
121.14 123.47 125.72 127.89 129.98 132.01 133.99 135.90
43.06 43.88 44.68 45.45 46.20 46.92 47.62 48.30
48.05 48.97 49.86 50.72 51.55 52.36 53.14 53.90
60.79 61.96 63.09 64.18 65.23 66.25 67.24 68.20
67.66 68.96 70.21 71.42 72.60 73.73 74.83 75.90
49.83 50.79 51.71 52.60 53.47 54.30 55.11 55.90
192.81 196.52 200.10 203.55 206.88 210.12 213.25 216.30
163.93 167.08 170.12 173.06 175.89 178.64 181.31 183.90
104.30 106.30 108.23 110.10 111.91 113.66 115.35 117.00
64.98 66.23 67.44 68.60 69.73 70.82 71.87 72.90
65.52 66.78 67.99 69.17 70.30 71.40 72.46 73.50
124.00 126.38 128.68 130.90 133.04 135.12 137.14 139.10
151.63 154.55 157.36 160.07 162.69 165.24 167.70 170.10
83.17 84.77 86.31 87.80 89.24 90.63 91.99 93.30
53.22 54.24 55.23 56.18 57.10 57.99 58.86 59.70
59.10 60.24 61.33 62.39 63.41 64.40 65.37 66.30
90.39 92.13 93.80 95.42 96.99 98.50 99.97 101.40
45.73 46.61 47.46 48.28 49.07 49.83 50.58 51.30
90.21 91.95 93.62 95.23 96.79 98.31 99.77 101.20
86.99 88.67 90.28 91.84 93.34 94.80 96.22 97.59
42.34367 43.15817 43.94304 44.70082 45.43375 46.14377 46.83259 47.50171
Precipitation Depth (mm)
Frequency
Return Factor for EV Duration (hours)
Period in (Type 1
years distribution) 1 2 3 4 5
2 -0.16 31.13 39.22 44.90 49.41 53.23
5 0.72 45.68 57.55 65.88 72.51 78.11
10 1.30 55.31 69.68 79.77 87.80 94.57
25 2.04 67.48 85.02 97.32 107.11 115.38
100 3.14 85.47 107.68 123.26 135.67 146.15

Rainfall Intensity (mm/hr)


Return
Period in Duration (hours)
years 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 31.13 19.61 14.97 12.35 10.65 9.43
5 45.68 28.77 21.96 18.13 15.62 13.83
10 55.31 34.84 26.59 21.95 18.91 16.75
25 67.48 42.51 32.44 26.78 23.08 20.44
100 85.47 53.84 41.09 33.92 29.23 25.88
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
56.56 59.55 62.26 64.75 67.06 69.23 71.27 73.19
83.00 87.38 91.35 95.01 98.41 101.58 104.57 107.40
100.50 105.80 110.62 115.04 119.16 123.00 126.62 130.05
122.61 129.08 134.95 140.36 145.38 150.07 154.48 158.66
155.30 163.49 170.93 177.78 184.13 190.08 195.67 200.96

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
8.51 7.78 7.19 6.71 6.29 5.94 5.63 5.36
12.48 11.42 10.56 9.84 9.23 8.71 8.26 7.86
15.11 13.83 12.78 11.92 11.18 10.55 10.00 9.52
18.44 16.87 15.60 14.54 13.64 12.87 12.20 11.62
23.36 21.37 19.75 18.41 17.28 16.31 15.46 14.71
14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
75.02 76.77 78.44 80.04 81.58 83.06 84.50 85.88
110.09 112.65 115.10 117.45 119.71 121.88 123.98 126.02
133.30 136.40 139.37 142.21 144.95 147.58 150.13 152.59
162.63 166.41 170.03 173.50 176.84 180.06 183.16 186.16
205.99 210.78 215.36 219.76 223.99 228.06 231.99 235.80

15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
5.12 4.90 4.71 4.53 4.37 4.22 4.09 3.96
7.51 7.19 6.91 6.65 6.41 6.20 6.00 5.82
9.09 8.71 8.37 8.05 7.77 7.51 7.27 7.04
11.09 10.63 10.21 9.82 9.48 9.16 8.86 8.59
14.05 13.46 12.93 12.44 12.00 11.60 11.23 10.89
22 23 24
87.22 88.53 89.79
127.99 129.90 131.75
154.97 157.29 159.53
189.07 191.90 194.64
239.48 243.06 246.53

23 24
3.85 3.74
5.65 5.49
6.84 6.65
8.34 8.11
10.57 10.27
Return Coefficient
Return Period (years) / Intensity (mm/hr) Period of A
Duration
(Hrs) 2 yr 5 yr 10 yr 25 yr 100 yr 2.00 31.12
1 31.13 45.68 55.31 67.48 85.47 5.00 45.67
2 19.61 28.77 34.84 42.51 53.84 10.00 55.3
3 14.97 21.96 26.59 32.44 41.09 25.00 67.47
4 12.35 18.13 21.95 26.78 33.92 100.00 85.46
5 10.65 15.62 18.91 23.08 29.23
6 9.43 13.83 16.75 20.44 25.88
7 8.51 12.48 15.11 18.44 23.36
8 7.78 11.42 13.83 16.87 21.37
9 7.19 10.56 12.78 15.60 19.75
10 6.71 9.84 11.92 14.54 18.41
11 6.29 9.23 11.18 13.64 17.28
12 5.94 8.71 10.55 12.87 16.31
13 5.63 8.26 10.00 12.20 15.46
14 5.36 7.86 9.52 11.62 14.71
15 5.12 7.51 9.09 11.09 14.05
16 4.90 7.19 8.71 10.63 13.46
17 4.71 6.91 8.37 10.21 12.93
18 4.53 6.65 8.05 9.82 12.44
19 4.37 6.41 7.77 9.48 12.00
20 4.22 6.20 7.51 9.16 11.60
21 4.09 6.00 7.27 8.86 11.23
22 3.96 5.82 7.04 8.59 10.89
23 3.85 5.65 6.84 8.34 10.57
24 3.74 5.49 6.65 8.11 10.27

From above graphs equation for calculating Intensity by Gumbel's Extreme Value (Type 1) Distibution

28.88*((T^.270)/(d^0.66))
100.00
f(x) = 85.4667146930555 x^-0.666666666666667

f(x)==167.4772364815837 x^-0.666666666666667
R² ==155.3076829135023 x^-0.666666666666667
f(x)
R² ==145.6760817776084 x^-0.666666666666667
f(x)
R² = 1
f(x) = 31.1287474414051 x^-0.666666666666666
R² = 1

10.00

1.00
1 10 100

alue (Type 1) Distibution is as follows:


Coefficient of A
100
f(x) = 28.886343428986 x^0.250615322956824
R² = 0.958444510899928

10
Axis Title

1
1.00 10.00 100.00

100
4

100.00
Return Period (yrs) / Rainfall Intensity (mm/hr)
Duration
(mins) 0.5 1 2 5 10 25 100
5 123.47 148.89 179.53 229.92 277.24 355.06 516.25
10 78.14 94.23 113.62 145.51 175.46 224.71 326.72
15 59.80 72.10 86.94 111.35 134.26 171.95 250.01
20 49.46 59.63 71.91 92.09 111.04 142.21 206.77
25 42.68 51.47 62.06 79.48 95.84 122.74 178.46
30 37.84 45.63 55.02 70.47 84.97 108.82 158.23
35 34.18 41.22 49.70 63.65 76.75 98.30 142.92
40 31.30 37.74 45.51 58.28 70.28 90.00 130.86
45 28.96 34.92 42.11 53.92 65.02 83.27 121.08
50 27.01 32.57 39.28 50.30 60.65 77.68 112.94
55 25.37 30.59 36.88 47.23 56.96 72.94 106.06
60 23.95 28.88 34.82 44.60 53.78 68.87 100.14
70 21.63 26.09 31.46 40.28 48.57 62.21 90.45
80 19.81 23.89 28.80 36.89 44.48 56.96 82.82
90 18.33 22.10 26.65 34.13 41.15 52.70 76.63
120 15.16 18.28 22.04 28.23 34.03 43.59 63.37
28.88*((T^.270)/(d^0.66))

m 0.27
n 0.66
const. 28.88

I-D-F Curve
600.00

500.00

0.5
400.00
1
Intensity (mm/hr)

2
300.00 5
10
25
200.00
100

100.00

0.00
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 70 80 90 120
Duration (mins)

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