Great Diversity, in Comparison With Developed Countries

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Chapter 1 Millennium Development: Goals and Targets for 2015

Economics, Institutions, and Development: 1. Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger


A Global Perspective
2. Achieve Universal Primary Education
3. Promote Gender Equality and Empower Women
Economic Development
• Development = Growth plus Change 4. Reduce Child Mortality
• Growth: sustained improvement in the level of 5. Improve Maternal Health
per capita income 6. Combat HIV/AIDS, Malaria and Other Diseases
• Change: sustained improvement in institutions 7. Ensure Environmental Sustainability
and organizations that support growth 8. Develop a Global Partnership for Development
Growth Economic Development
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Market value
of all final goods and services an economy • Inclusion of non-economic variables in
produces in one year designing development strategies
• Real GDP: GDP in constant prices
• Achieving the Millennium Development Goals
• GDP Per Capita = (Real GDP / Population) or
income per person • “…One future-or none at all”
• Economic Growth = percentage change in Real
GDP per capita Chapter 2
Institutions Comparative Economic Development
• Family: respect the authority & share resources
• Culture: propensity to save & invest Common Characteristics of Developing Countries
• Religion: ability to bring about change These features in common are on average and with
• Law: protect property rights and civil liberties great diversity, in comparison with developed countries:
and enforce contracts – Lower levels of living and productivity
Organizations – Lower levels of human capital
• Government: produce public goods and – Higher levels of inequality and absolute poverty
regulate economic activities – Higher population growth rates
• Education: increase productivity and expand the – Greater social fractionalization
range of economic and social opportunities – Larger rural population - rapid migration to cities
• Health: enable proactive participation in – Lower levels of industrialization and manufactured
economic and social activities exports
• Business: provide incentive for profit making, – Adverse geography
resulting in growth and expansion – Underdeveloped financial and other markets
Happiness and Development – Colonial Legacies - poor institutions etc.
• There is not a perfect correlation between 2.1 Defining the Developing World
happiness and per capita income: people could • World Bank Scheme- ranks countries on
be poor, but happy; rich, but unhappy GNP/capita
• Once per capita income increases above $10,000 2.2 Basic Indicators of Development: Real Income,
to $20,000, the percentage of people who say Health, and Education
they are happy tends to increase • Gross National Income (GNI)
Factors affecting happiness: • Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
• Family relationships • PPP method instead of exchange rates as
• Financial conditions conversion factors
• Work satisfaction 2.3 Holistic Measures of Living Levels and Capabilities
• Community and friends • Health
• Health and health-care services • Life Expectancy
• Personal freedom • Education
• Personal values • HDI as a holistic measure of living levels
Three Core Values of Development •
• Sustenance: The ability to meet basic human
needs including shelter, food, health, education,
safety • HDI can be calculated for groups and regions in
• Self-Esteem: To be a person with a sense of a country
self-respect and self-worth. To live with dignity, HDI varies among groups within countries
respect, and honor HDI varies across regions in a country
• Freedom from Servitude: To be able to choose HDI varies between rural and urban areas
the path to prosperity and have the opportunity • The New Human Development Index
to improve • Introduced by UNDP in November 2010
Objectives of Development What is new in the New HDI?
• To increase the availability and distribution of 1. Calculating with a geometric mean
basic human necessities • Probably most consequential: The index is now
• To improve the standard of living for the computed with a geometric mean, instead of an
majority of the people arithmetic mean
• To expand the range of economic and social • A geometric mean is also used to build up the
choices and opportunities overall education index from its two components
• Traditional HDI added the three components and • But there is increasing evidence of “per capita
divided by 3 income convergence,” weighting changes in per
• New HDI takes the cube root of the product of capita income by population size
the three component indexes 2.7 Long-Run Causes of Comparative Development
• The traditional HDI calculation assumed one • Schematic Representation
component traded off against another as perfect  Geography
substitutes, a strong assumption  Institutional quality- colonial and post-colonial
• The reformulation now allows for imperfect  Colonial legacy- pre-colonial comparative advantage
substitutability  Evolution and timing of European development
What is new in the New HDI?  Inequality- human capital
2. Other key changes:  Type of colonial regime
• Gross national income per capita replaces gross Nature and Role of Economic Institutions
domestic product per capita • Institutions provide “rules of the game” of
• Revised education components: now using the economic life
average actual educational attainment of the • Provide underpinning of a market economy
whole population, and the expected attainment • Include property rights; contract enforcement
of today’s children • Can work for improving coordination,
• The maximum values in each dimension have • Restricting coercive, fraudulent and anti-
been increased to the observed maximum rather competitive behavior
than given a predefined cutoff • Providing access to opportunities for the broad
• The lower goalpost for income has been reduced population-
due to new evidence on lower possible income • Constraining the power of elites, and managing
levels conflict
2.4 Characteristics of the Developing World: Diversity • Provision of social insurance
within Commonality • Provision of predictable macroeconomic
1. Lower levels of living and productivity stability
2. Lower levels of human capital (health, education,
skills) Chapter 3
3. Higher Levels of Inequality and Absolute Poverty Classic Theories of Economic Growth and
– Absolute Poverty Development
– World Poverty
4. Higher Population Growth Rates Class Theories of Economic Development – Four
– Crude Birth rates Approaches
5. Greater Social Fractionalization
6. Larger Rural Populations but Rapid Rural-to-Urban 1. Structural change model
Migration Linear stages of growth
7. Lower Levels of Industrialization and Manufactured Saving-investment
Exports Rural-urban migration
8. Adverse Geography 2. Neocolonial dependence theory
– Resource endowments Dependence: Center vs. Periphery
9. Underdeveloped Financial and Other markets False Paradigm
– Imperfect markets 3. Neoclassical theory
– Incomplete information Market friendly approach
10. Colonial Legacy and External Dependence Dualistic approach
– Institutions Public choice approach
– Private property
– Personal taxation Rostow’s Linear-Stages Model
– Taxes in cash rather than in kind  Traditional society
2.5 How Low-Income Countries Today Differ from  Pre-condition to take-off
Developed Countries in Their Earlier Stages  Take-off
• Eight differences  Drive to maturity
 Age of high mass consumption
 Physical and human resource endowments
 Per capita incomes and levels of GDP in relation to Harrod-Domar Growth Model
the rest of the world The source of growth is saving and investment in
 Climate production of goods and services
 Population size, distribution, and growth
 Historic role of international migration The Lewis Development Model
 International trade benefits  Rural agricultural sector
 Basic scientific/technological research and Low or even zero Marginal Product of Labor so
development capabilities that labor is a redundant factor and wage rate is
 Efficacy of domestic institutions at the subsistence level
 Urban industrial sector
2.6 Are Living Standards of Developing and Devolved Rising demand for unskilled labor to be trained
Nations Converging? for industrial growth results in greater
• Evidence of unconditional convergence is hard employment and more profits and higher wages
to find  Rural-Urban migration
To find jobs and earn higher wages
Increase in the amount of physical capital per
unit of labor
 Technological Advancement
Neocolonial Dependence Model Increase factor productivity (labor, land, capital)
 MDCs form the “center” of global economic Production Possibilities Curve
relations and technological advancement  Maximum quantities of two good and services the
 LDCs serving as the “periphery” are dominated by: economy can produce, assuming:
unequal trade and finance relations full employment / efficiency
domestic politico-economic elite fixed resources
multinational corporations constant technology
Under these conditions economic development is Chapter 4
impossible Contemporary Models of Development and
False Paradigm Model Underdevelopment
 Economic development relies heavily on funds from
international donor agencies such as the World Bank Underdevelopment as Coordination Failure
and IMF  Economic development is difficult to achieve. It has
 The policy of these agencies is to support urban been impossible for some countries (e.g., Nigeria,
industrial growth and impose capitalistic austerity Sudan), but accomplished by others (e.g., S. Korea,
measures Singapore)
 They reinforce the pattern of “dependent  The success or failure of economic development
development” policies can be explained by the “principal-agent”
Dualistic Development Model model.
 Structural transformation models create a “dualistic” Principal: Government
pattern of development, resulting in an ever- Agents: Households
increasing degree of economic inequality both Private-sector firms
nationally and internationally: Public agencies
urban vs. rural Government-owned enterprises
industrial vs. agricultural International companies
modern vs. traditional  An effective principal is needed to coordinate
rich vs. poor actions taken by agents and achieve an optimal
Approaches To Development outcome, making all agents better-off.
 Free-market approach: rely of the allocation role of  Coordination failure occurs when the principal fails
markets and limited government involvement in to induce agents to coordinate their actions, which
economics. But, there are several areas in which leads to an outcome that makes all agents worse-off.
markets fail to achieve efficient outcomes: Models of Coordination Failure
income distribution  Technological Transfer for Modernization
public goods  The Big Push to Industrialization
externalities  The O-Ring Theory of Economic Development
market power  The Growth Diagnostics Framework
 Market-friendly approach: improve market operation Technological Transfer for Modernization
through “nonselective” interventions such as  Stable equilibrium: The S-shaped function crosses
income redistribution system the 45º line from above.
investment in social and human capital  Unstable equilibrium: The S-shaped function crosses
environmental protection policy the 45º line from below.
anti-trust laws  To achieve stable equilibrium, firms must be able to
 Public-choice approach: public officials and coordinate their investment decisions such that all
bureaucrats in the position of authority are “rent- firms benefit from each other’s investment.
seeking” citizens acting on self-interest rather than  Public policy creating incentives for investment is
public-interest the key for successful coordination. The government
 Need a system of checks and balances to monitor the must establish inclusive incentives to encourage
behavior of public officials and bureaucrats business investment.
 Need a democratic system to let people choose The Big Push to Industrialization
public officials and bureaucrats for limited duration  A big push to industrialization requires a set of
of authority leading firms to investment in productive activities
Components of Economic Growth and transfer of modern technology
 Capital Formation  Investment decisions made by modern-sector firms
1. Physical capital formation: investment are mutually reinforcing and public policy
in tools, equipment, machinery, buildings intervention is needed to correct market failure
2. Social capital formation: investment in Assumptions:
roads, dams, airports, railroads, bridges
3. Human capital formation: investment in  One factor of production: labor
education, training, health, nutrition  Two economic sectors: traditional vs.
4. Political capital formation: investment is modern
creating a secular and democratic government and  Same production function for each
free mass media sector
Determinants of Economic Growth  Consumers spend an equal amount on each
 Physical Capital Formation product they buy
 Closed economy
 Perfect competition  No “one size fits all” in development policy of
market coordination
 Insufficient investment in physical, social,
environmental, and human capital
The Big Push: Coordination Failure
 A firm is deciding to invest in new technology
 It faces a production function in the traditional sector
that passes through the origin as output increases
with labor employment
 It faces a production function in the modern sector
that requires some labor employment before
initiating production
Conditions Making The Big Push Necessary
 Intertemporal effects: investment in the modern
sector becomes profitable over-time as the market
size increases
 Urbanization effects: demand for manufactured
goods increases with urban population growth
 Infrastructural effects: improvement in
transportation, communication, and distribution
systems reduces the cost of investment
 Training effects: the labor force becomes more
productive and skilled with education
Coordination Problem Cannot Be Solved by a Super-
Entrepreneur
 Capital market failure: bankers are unwilling to
provide loans to a single firm
 Cost of monitoring managers: expensive agency
costs to ensure compliance of employees
 Communication failure: agents wanting to share
profit cannot convince the super-entrepreneur to do
so
 Limited knowledge: agents do not have sufficient
information about the importance of industrialization
 Lack of empirical evidence: agents do not know that
other firms are investing in modern technology
Further Problems of Multiple Equilibria
 Linkages: underdeveloped backward and forward
linkages to support industrialization
 Inequality and growth: trickle-up growth, resulting
in increased inequality and poverty, reduces the
buying power of workers and their demand for
manufactured goods
 Inefficient advantages of incumbency: existing firm
have lower production cost
 Behavior and norms: agents may be corrupt and
bribery may be the standard method of doing
business internationally
The O-Ring Theory of Economic Development
 Production is modeled with strong
complementarities of inputs (labor & capital) and
interdependencies among firms (output of one firm
is input of another)
 Positive assortative matching in production: skilled
labor works with its peers; profitable and
modernizing firms coordinate with their counterparts
 Implications of strong complementarities for
economic development and the distribution of
income across countries will induce countries at the
same level of development to coordinate their
actions
 MDCs cooperate and coordinate with each other in
the development and transfer of modern technology
The Growth Diagnostics Framework
 Focus on a country’s most binding constraints of
economic development: low rate of return on
investment and high cost of financing

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