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DMS Newsletter - September2010
DMS Newsletter - September2010
NEWSLETTER
CS-DRMS: 25 Years of Helping Countries
Manage Debt
Over 25 years since it was first developed, the Secretariat‟s debt recording system
continues to aid countries
I
n 1985, Sri Lanka became the first global prices for mineral commodity exports Our key objective
country to install and use the has underpinned the country's recent is to promote
Commonwealth Secretariat‟s Debt macroeconomic stability. The country has
prudent debt
Recording and Management System been using the CS-DRMS software since
(CS-DRMS). The software was developed 1987 to record and manage its debt. management
after a bout of economic instability resulted practices in member
in numerous countries in Latin America and Gibson Gotaha of Papua New Guinea‟s
Department of Treasury said that the countries. We do so
Africa defaulting on their debt repayments.
CS-DRMS has now been installed in 60 implementation of CS-DRMS enabled the by providing
countries but, at its 25th anniversary, the country “to keep an up to date and concise
database on its borrowing.”
advisory support in
world finds itself in the midst of a similar
period of economic uncertainty. developing sound
He added that the introduction of the
software has made it easier to monitor the debt management
debt service payments of the multi-island policies, strategies
state and avoid penalty fees. It is also being
and operations in
used to assist in the formulation of a medium
-term debt strategy and in formulating its line with best
borrowing policy. practice, backed up
Kenya also started using the software in by state-of-the-art
1987 and is now able to accurately record all
its debt. According to Felister Kivisi of the
software
Debt Management Department, the 1980s
crisis was a wakeup call for her government
to manage its debts more efficiently.
debt problems are mostly in the more system was cumbersome and not all
advanced countries. Many of the agreements were recorded, but we now EMERGING MARKET DEBT 3
NEWS
Commonwealth‟s poorest countries have know the extent of our indebtedness,” she
fared reasonably well, benefitting not only said.
SUPPORTING MTDS IN 4
from strong growth but also improved debt GHANA
and macroeconomic management that the Assisting Francophone Countries
Secretariat has supported through its Special In 1990, the Commonwealth Fund for CS-SAS INSTALLED IN THE 6-7
SOUTH PACIFIC
Advisory Services Division, which provides Technical Cooperation partnered with the
substantial technical assistance and capacity Canadian International Development
MEETING REPORTING 8
building in debt management in addition to Research Centre to extend CS-DRMS to STANDARDS
providing CS-DRMS. French speaking countries. As a result, the
software was translated into French and HOT TOPICS 10
Working Where it is Needed Most deployed in Benin, Mali and Cameroon and is
In Papua New Guinea - a Commonwealth now used in eight countries.
small state - a combination of prudent fiscal (Continued on page 2)
PLANNED ACTIVITIES 12
and monetary policies supported by high
The Debt Management Section (DMS) is an arm of the Special Advisory Services Division
D e b t M a n a g e m e n t S e c t i o n
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The publication of stress test results for European banks boosted market confidence, which was reflected in strong
performance of stock markets across the globe (see chart 1). In general, the market sentiment towards the credit risk of
emerging countries remained relatively stable (see chart 2). By contrast, the fall in credit default swaps for European
sovereigns following the publication of banks‟ results was offset by fresh concerns about the fiscal status of some European
countries and their banking sectors.
Other News
Part 2 of the Handbook on Securities Statistics was published in September by the Bank for International Settlements, IMF
and European Central Bank. This covers the holdings of debt securities and follows on from part 1, published in 2009.
The World Bank reported a surge in demand for its expertise in mitigating currency and interest rate risk in fiscal year
2010. Its Treasury arranged US$11.8 billion in hedging transactions on behalf of clients, including interest rate and cur-
rency hedges.
In September, debt managers agreed the “Stockholm Principles” for effective debt management at an IMF consultation co-
hosted by the Swedish National Debt Office. These encompass the framework and operations for debt management, the
importance of sound market communication strategies and the need for cautious portfolio risk management.
India The government is to establish a debt management office to manage its domestic debt in 2 years time. At
the moment this function is carried out by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
The government focused on deepening the debt market and lengthening the maturity of its portfolio in line
with its policy of issuing up to 30 years to develop and create liquidity at the long-end of the yield curve.
Nigeria Approved bond issuance of 88bn Naira ($585m) to finance current budge, while the Central Bank of Nigeria
is to float US$1.4bn to assist the automobile industry.
The debt market in Nigeria continues to deepen, with the government accounting for 95% share of the
market. The government issues bonds on a monthly basis to lengthen the maturity of its debt profile.
Pakistan The government is seeking some kind of debt relief on its foreign debt repayments to give it respite over
the financial challenges it faces following the worst flood in its history.
Sri-Lanka Bond issuance of US$1bn with 10 year maturity saw strong demand ($6.33bn), which was priced at 6.25%
(only 100bps above Australia's 10 year bond).
China Yields on bonds fell for much of July but began to rise on news of new stress test on banks,
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Ministry and the Central sensitivity analysis of the amount of time on in Ghana
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In September, two countries in the South Pacific started using the Commonwealth Secretariat-
Securities Auction System (CS-SAS) to help them manage the auction of Treasury bills and bonds.
O
ver the last manage the end-to-end capabilities, along with a
decade, many auctioning process for the user-friendly graphical
Commonwealth issuance of securities in the interface, allow users to
countries have primary market. carry out quick and easy
been meeting their analysis.
budgetary financing needs It assists in allocating
by borrowing an increasing securities to various bidders Mr Daniel Haridi, Chief
amount from their domestic at a market clearing price Manager at the Currency and
financial markets. This has based on the auction Banking Operations
been compounded more procedures of the issuing Department in the Central
recently by a fall in the country. The system also Bank of Solomon Islands,
availability of international allows debt offices to record said the new system has
credit, since the onset of the securities issued through the proven to be of much benefit
global economic crisis. In auctioning route and to the country.
many cases, borrowing more comprehensively analyse all
types of bids, whether “Prior to the installation of
domestically is also being
competitive or non- CS-SAS, we used a local
done with a view to optimise
competitive. system simply for capturing
foreign currency exposure
the data and most of this
and also to develop the
End-to-End Auctioning was done manually and
domestic debt markets.
there was no analysis. Now
Samoa and the Solomon
CS-SAS was developed by that we are using CS-SAS,
Islands are the first
the Commonwealth we are able to perform a lot
countries to use CS-SAS,
Secretariat to assist more functions because of
which is based on a workflow
countries in the process of the amount of information
system to help countries
issuing and managing the we are able to capture and
handle end-to-end auction
auction of Treasury bills and maintain. We now have a
processing: from
bonds. It allows debt offices comprehensive database and
notification, through bid
including central banks, or it allows us to do more
processing to electronic
other entities with analytical work”, Mr Haridi
generation of allotment
responsibility for auctioning said.
letters for successful (Continued on page 7)
government securities, to bidders. Its rich analytical
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Streamlined
Implementation
Like CS-DRMS, CS-SAS has
been designed for ease of
use. One week‟s training is
typically sufficient to allow
debt managers to start using
The Central Bank of Samoa has found that CS-SAS has made its
operations much more efficient the system. Although the
system is principally
Manager for Banking and countries. It has been designed to be compatible
Corporate Services at the designed to help debt with CS-DRMS, it can also be
Central Bank of Samoa managers make more used with other debt CS-SAS and other
(CBS), said: “The system, by accurate, transparent and management applications. services offered by the
offering a range of reports informed management Commonwealth
and analytic features, helps decisions in processing bids Online Bidding Secretariat are provided
the Central Bank to operate for issuance of government free of charge by the
The Secretariat is currently
more efficiently in the securities. It not only Secretariat to
developing a supplementary
Commonwealth
auctioning of CBS securities ensures the best price for product that would allow countries. Other
and government bonds.” the government based on central banks to post countries can procure the
the auctioning rules adopted, notifications of securities‟ software through the
Ms Collins believes that but also ensures that such issuance online and for Crown Agents (UK) which
CS-SAS will help the Central securities are allocated in a dealers to submit bids is the official distributor
Bank to significantly reduce fair and transparent manner of the Commonwealth
electronically. This facility,
the time spent on processing Secretariat debt
which is crucial to instil the Online Securities Bidding
these auctions. CS-SAS has confidence among investors
management software
System (OSBS), is the first outside the
been especially useful in and broaden the domestic web-based software from Commonwealth.
performing its function as debt market as a source of the Secretariat and can be
the repository for sustainable finance for used as an alternative to
information on CBS governments. paper-based bidding. It will
securities and government
be available in 2011.
bonds, by providing a single Sanjay Lollbeharree, Head of
system to record the IT in the Debt Management
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HOT TOPICS
Calculating Average Time to Maturity Using CS-DRMS Data
CS-DRMS enables users to recording modules. for and add them together to
analyse the cost and risk get total principal payments.
characteristics within debt You could run the reports in
portfolios, including through Management Tools through a Calculating ATM *
If there are loans that
scenario with no mature in more than 50
analysing the portfolio under Create a new Excel years, you will need to create
different scenarios. But disbursements (NODI), but reports from the 51st year
spreadsheet with one row for
the reports only cover 12 until maturity using a NODI
there are some indicators the year and a row below scenario in Management
like average time to maturity years so you would need to Tools
that for the number of years
which CS-DRMS does not run them several times,
until maturity (t). Then
generate automatically. shifting the start date
create another row for
These risk indicators will be forwards until there are no
principal payments (Pt) and
made available shortly in the more principal payments.
paste in your principal 1. Derive (Pt t)/Nom
next release of CS-DRMS in payments data from the
A simpler way is to use the
mid-2011. MTDS output. Create
MTDS export facility, which
Here, we highlight how you was developed for the World
can calculate average time Bank‟s Medium-Term Debt
to maturity (ATM) using Strategy tool and included in
CS-DRMS. Service Pack 1. This
provides a longer stream of
What is ATM? principal payments (50
years*) without future
ATM is a measure of
disbursements.
refinancing risk since it
indicates how long, on To run the MTDS bridge, go
average, until loans mature. to „Data Export‟ and select
The lower the ATM, the another row and calculate the
„MTDS Data Export‟. You
total of all principal payments
can choose data by calendar
(Nom). 2. Calculate ATM by summing
or financial year for different
the answers to (Pt t)/Nom
categories of borrowing To complete the calculation (see
(government external loans, also the Excel screenshots):
sooner debt will need to be guaranteed etc.). We will show how to
rolled-over or refinanced and 1.Multiply the principal payment calculate average time
The facility generates an in each year by its associated to interest rate
therefore the more the
Excel file for each category time until maturity to give you re-fixing in the next
portfolio is exposed to risk.
of borrowing. The output Pt×t. Then divide this by issue.
It is calculated using the
contains a number of Nom. Do this for each year. Contact us if you would
following formula:
columns, with principal like support in carrying
2. Sum the calculations you
Pt is principal repayments in payments starting under the out cost and risk
made in step 1 for each year analysis.
period t, and t is the length first column that is headed
to calculate ATM.
of time until the next by a year. You will see that
principal payment. Nom is after 50 years, the years Limitations
simply the nominal value of start again - this data is The MTDS export facility cannot Did you know?
outstanding principal. interest payments. be used to calculate mid-year Macaulay
ATM. You will have to use the Duration
Exporting Data for the Note that all data are in
reports in Management Tools for
Calculations tranche currency. You will CS-DRMS reports the
this. Macaulay Duration on
need to convert the data into
The formula indicates that an instrument and
local (or other) currency, Finally, CS-DRMS will only
from CS-DRMS, you only portfolio basis. It is
using the exchange rate data report what is in the system. If
need aggregated annual based on yield at issue
in the spreadsheet. you have data outside of CS- and can be found in
principal payments until all
principal has been repaid. DRMS, be sure to add the reports 750 and 751 in
Once you have done this,
For ATM we also assume no principal payments to your the domestic debt
calculate the total principal
spreadsheet before making the module.
further disbursements, which payments in each year. Do
means that you cannot use final calculations.
this for all categories of debt
the reports in the main you wish to calculate ATM
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C o m m o n w e a l t h S e c r e t a r i a t
Planned Activities
October sustainability analysis using January
the DSA-DSF framework,
Publication of, ‘Government OECD global forum on public
The Gambia
Debt Management: A debt management, France
Guidance Note on the Legal CS-DRMS interface review,
Framework’ by Arindam Roy Interfacing domestic debt
The Gambia
and Mike Williams data in CS-DRMS, Tanzania
CS-DRMS training, review of
Release of CS-DRMS Service Review of policies and
database and interfacing in
Pack 2 institutional framework,
Barbados
Mauritius
Debt Management Section
Special Advisory Services WAIFEM regional workshop CS-DRMS training and Book
Division on debt bulletins, Sierra Interfacing domestic debt
Entry System interface,
Commonwealth Secretariat Leone data in CS-DRMS and project
Mauritius
Marlborough House review, Sri Lanka
Pall Mall
World Bank sovereign debt Discussion of use of CS-
London Interfacing domestic debt
SW1Y 5HX management forum, USA DRMS for recording public
data with CS-DRMS and use
: +44 (0)20 7747 6430 sector debt, South Africa
Sub-national debt of CS-SAS, Maldives
: +44 (0)20 7747 6450 management review, India
: www.csdrms.org December
February
: csdrms@commonwealth.int Review of the use of CS- Debt expert group meeting
Meeting of IMF Government
DRMS and CS-SAS, Nigeria on CS-DRMS re-
Finance Statistics Advisory
development, UK
November Committee, USA
Advisory mission on
Strengthening middle office March
reorganising the Debt Unit,
capacity, Kenya
Jamaica Debt management
Installation of CS-SAS in programme: stakeholder‟s
Developing a debt bulletin, and user group meeting, UK
Central Bank of Guyana
In November, Sanjay Kumar (India) will be Dominica
joining the DMS team as an economist. Training on debt
Systems Development
Sanjay Lollbeharree (Team Leader)
Mac Banda (Business Analyst)
Nick Cusk (Systems Development Officer)
Alain Fofeh (Systems Development Officer)
Vikas Pandey (Systems Development Officer)
Andrew Hargreaves (Programmer)
Dipti Mathur (Technical Writer)
Kieran Smart (Programmer)
Brian Taylor (Programmer)
Damodar Thejaswee (Tester)
Mohammed Zamir (Programmer)