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Lecture W1-Chapter 1
Lecture W1-Chapter 1
Lecture W1-Chapter 1
Sunil Kumar
School of Economics
Key concepts
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The problem of scarcity
• Scarcity forces us all to make choices as we
never have the amount of goods and services
we want:
– individuals: more clothes, etc.
– governments: more security, etc.
• Economics aims to explain what occurs as a
result of scarcity because wants are forever
greater than the available resources.
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The economic problem
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Resources
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Resources: land
• Any natural resource provided by nature used in
the process of production, for example forests,
minerals, wildlife, oil, rivers, lakes and oceans.
• May be renewable or non-renewable.
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Resources: labour
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Entrepreneurship
• Entrepreneurship is a special type of labour:
– the creative ability of individuals to organize
and manage the combination of resources to
produce goods and services.
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Resources: capital
• Capital relates to human-made goods that
produce goods and services.
• Capital does not directly satisfy wants but is used
to produce the goods and services desired, such
as a factory that produce televisions.
• Money is not included in the economic definition
of capital as it is simply a measure of value
placed on goods.
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Economics: the study of scarcity and
choice
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Two branches of economics
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The methodology of economics
• Economists (like other scientists) use scientific
method.
• Scientific method is a step-by-step procedure for
solving problems.
1 Identify the problem.
2 Develop a model.
3 Test the model.
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The steps in the model-building process
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More about models
• A model is a simplified view of reality.
• It sets out the relationship between variables;
causes and effects.
• A model is valid when it enables economists to
forecast or predict the results of various changes
in variables.
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Example: petrol consumption
• Identifying the problem
– Petrol consumption has fallen. Why?
• Developing a model
– Select variables − price of petrol, price of cars.
– Express them verbally, graphically or
mathematically.
• Testing the model
– Gather data which tells us how well the model
estimates or predicts relationships.
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Hazards of the economic
way of thinking
• There are two potential problems to be aware of:
– the ceteris paribus assumption
– possible confusion of association and causation.
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Ceteris paribus
• Ceteris (pronounced ‘keteris’) paribus is a Latin phrase which
means ‘other things remaining unchanged’.
• Economists use this method as it enables them to see how a
change in one variable affects the overall outcome.
• Imagine: if all the variables change at the same time, how
would we know which one caused the change?
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Association vs. causation
• We cannot always assume that when one event follows another,
the first caused the second.
• For example, assume exports from Indonesia rose last month.
Two events might be associated:
– The hole in the ozone layer grew last month.
– Currency movements reduced the cost to Australians of
buying Indonesian goods.
• But are they both possible causes?
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Why do economists disagree?
• Economists agree on many things.
• As in other professions, disagreements occur.
• One explanation for disagreements is the difference between
positive and normative economics. There could be many
explanations.
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Positive Economics
• Positive economics is an analysis limited to statements that are
verifiable.
• Positive statements are testable − they can be proven true or
false.
• Examples
– ‘Airbags save lives.’
– ‘Smoking is harmful to your health.’
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Normative Economics
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Appendix to Chapter 1
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Graphs in Economics
• Graphs are one of the simplest ways to present, aid and help us to
understand relationships and to ‘see’ economic concepts at work.
• Graphs help economists to understand the relationships that exist
between variables.
• You should learn to draw, describe and interpret them.
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A Direct Relationship
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A Direct Relationship
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An Inverse Relationship
• An inverse relationship is a negative association between two
variables.
• When one variable increases, the other decreases.
• When one variable decreases, the other increases.
• Note the line on the next slide has a negative slope.
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An Inverse Relationship
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An Independent Relationship
• An independent relationship is a zero association between
two variables.
• When one variable changes, the other remains unchanged.
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An Independent or No Relationship
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The slope of a straight line
• The ratio of change in the variable on the vertical axis (the rise or
fall) to change in the variable on the horizontal axis (the run).
• Slope = rise/run
= ∆vertical axis/∆horizontal axis
= ∆Y/∆X
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The slope of a curve
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The slope of a curve
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Introducing a third variable
• How can a model drawn in two dimensions show the impact
of changes in a third variable?
• We must distinguish between movements and shifts.
– Movements along a graph show changes in one of the
variables on the graph’s axes.
– Shifts show changes in other variables.
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A 3-variable Relationship
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