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A1.10 International Mining Corporation (IMC) Copper Mining Project
A1.10 International Mining Corporation (IMC) Copper Mining Project
Introduction
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Although IMC has a strong interest in the project, it is concerned that the additional
off-site costs associated with the establishment and operation of the extensive economic
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Appendix 1 417
and social infrastructure will reduce the profitability of the project significantly. It is also
felt that much of EPMLs off-site investment will be of significant benefit to the local
population. In its proposal to GOI it has argued that it will participate in the project only
if it is granted concessions in the form of:
Investment costs
The project is an open-cut mining operation with most material drilled and blasted. EPML
will begin the construction stage of the project in 2003. Mining, milling and the overseas
refining operations are expected to begin three years later, in 2006.
Total initial investment in the project amounts to approximately US$1.25 billion,
consisting of both on-site and off-site expenditure and involving a combination of imported
and locally produced goods, local and expatriate labour, and is spread over three
years: 25% in 2003; 45% in 2004; and, 30% in 2005. A detailed breakdown is provided
in Table 24.
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418 Appendix 1
Table 24 Details of initial capital expenditure, 2003–05
It should be noted that there are both direct labour and indirect labour inputs to be
considered in the Efficiency Analysis.
During the operation of the mine certain items of infrastructure and equipment will
need to be replaced as shown in Table 25.
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Appendix 1 419
Salvage values, depreciation rates and provision for rehabilitation
For the purpose of this study it should be assumed that the mine and mill equipment has
a salvage value at the end of the project life amounting to 10% of the initial cost. Off-
site infrastructure (including construction but excluding excavation costs) has an end
value amounting to 30% of its initial cost; logistic and other equipment has an end-value
equal to 20% of its initial cost. Under Indonesian tax legislation IMC is permitted to
depreciate all initial investment over the 15 year operating life of the project, starting in
2006, using the straight-line method. Replacement investment is depreciated over the
3 years following the year of the investment, also using the straight-line method, and is
assumed to have no salvage value.
It is also understood that EPML will need to rehabilitate the mine site and the Eastern
Province Catchment Area on closure of the mine. It is expected that this will cost Rp625
million, in year 2020. EPML is permitted to include an annual provision for rehabilitation
as an operating expense for tax purposes. You should treat this as a sinking fund with an
annual real interest rate of 7%.
Operating costs
Overheads, insurance and compensation
Total overheads, including all transportation of inputs and outputs, but excluding
compensation payments and provision for rehabilitation, are expected to total about
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420 Appendix 1
Rp410 million per annum, with effect from 2004. The full details of these are provided
in Table 27. As IMC has another operation in Indonesia and will be running the project
administration from the same head office in Jakarta, a significant part of the overhead
costs itemized in Table 27 (50%) are already being incurred.
The company will have to increase its existing insurance premium from US$100,000
to US$200,000 per annum. This is paid to an overseas company. No taxes or duties apply.
It has been agreed with GOI and representatives of the local clans inhabiting the
catchment area that EPML will make annual compensation payments into a development
trust fund amounting to Rp30 million per annum (in real terms) once operations begin
in 2006. This is to be treated as compensation for use of communally held land by the
mine and its associated activities. A study has estimated that this level of compensation
represents approximately twice the opportunity cost of the land resources affected by the
mine, based on their present uses.
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Appendix 1 421
Freight
In addition to the costs of handling and transportation of the concentrate by pipeline in
slurry form to the port (included under milling costs), the concentrate needs to be shipped
to Japan. EPML will pay US$25 per ton of concentrate for freighting it to the refinery
gate.
Treatment
The concentrate is treated before being refined at a charge by the Japanese refinery of
US$95 per ton of concentrate.
Refining
Once treated the copper is refined at US$0.10 per lb of refined copper produced. The
refining of gold and silver is charged at US$5 and US$3 respectively per ounce produced.
Royalties
EPML pays royalties to GOI. These are 2% of the fob value of sales, i.e. the gross value
of sales less the cost of freight to Japan, and the cost of treatment and refining in Japan.
Taxation
EPML will pay corporate taxes of 30% on net profits. For purposes of calculating taxes,
losses incurred in one year may be offset against IMC’s other operations in Indonesia.
Royalties, interest payments, depreciation and provision for rehabilitation may also be
treated as tax deductible expenses.
Finance
The initial investment (2003 to 2005) will be financed partly by debt (US$500 million)
and the remainder through IMC’s own funds. The US$500 million foreign loan (repayable
in US dollars) is to be raised in 2003 on the international capital market at a fixed interest
rate of 7% per annum (in real terms), repayable as an annuity over 15 years, beginning
in 2006. IMC has negotiated an interest free period of grace until the beginning of 2006.
In the preliminary negotiations GOI has indicated that it expects to be allocated a 30%
share of the equity in EPML, without making any contribution to the equity capital.
Dividends are to be calculated on the basis of the net cash after debt service, royalties,
tax, and provision for depreciation and rehabilitation, and will be paid only in those years
in which this balance is positive.
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422 Appendix 1
the benefits of the project will be distributed. You are advised to set up separate working
tables to calculate the net benefits for some stakeholder groups (i.e. GOI, unskilled labour,
and local contractors) as each has numerous sources of net benefit, making the calculation
rather complex.
Efficiency pricing
Labour
Various categories of labour cost enter the analysis: the direct costs of those employed on
the project and the indirect costs of labour inputs in other components of project cost.
The details of these are provided in the preceding sections. For the purpose of efficiency
pricing, it should be noted that for only one category of labour can the opportunity cost
be considered significantly different from the market price, namely, unskilled labour. A
recent study by a labour economist at the local university estimates the opportunity cost
of unskilled labour in the Eastern Province at 20% of the legal minimum wage (which is
the wage paid by the company and associated operations). In the Efficiency Analysis you
should price all unskilled labour accordingly.
Local contractors
As part of its policy of promoting small-scale local enterprises, the GOI has stipulated
that local contractors should be engaged by the project wherever possible. It is envisaged
that they will be engaged primarily for the supply of locally produced and non-tradeable
goods and services. It has been estimated that 25% of the income they earn as “contractors’
margin” (i.e. as a mark-up or commission from these activities) is a rent (a payment in
excess of opportunity cost) attributable to the market power they have. In the Efficiency
Analysis this needs to be taken into account.
HINT: As unskilled labour and/or contractors’ margins also enter as cost components
of “Local Materials” which is, in turn, a major input in a number of expenditure items, it
is important that all the items of expenditure of which unskilled labour and local materials
are components are entered in the Variables Table of the spreadsheet on a disaggregated
basis. This should simplify the subsequent revaluation of these items in terms of efficiency
prices. This revaluation can be undertaken as part of Table 24 to simplify the remainder
of the spreadsheet.
Any other information requirements will need to be based on your own assumptions. It
is essential that these are made explicit in your report.
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Appendix 1 423
Scenarios and sensitivity analysis
Once you have undertaken a complete CBA for the Base Case Scenario (Project (Market),
Private, Efficiency, and Referent Group Analysis) you need to calculate the net benefits
to IMC and to the Referent Group under a number of alternative policy scenarios, as you
are also required to provide GOI with information and advice for its negotiations with
IMC. The policy variables IMC wishes to discuss in the negotiations are: company taxes;
import duties; royalties; and, GOI’s share of equity (dividends payable).
You should consider, at least, the following scenarios in addition to the base case:
Your final report should comment on the relative attractiveness (ranking) of these from
GOI and IMC’s perspective, and should offer advice to GOI on how you expect the
negotiations to proceed, based on these calculations.
You should also identify those variables (other than the above) to which the project’s
net benefits are most sensitive and discuss the possible implications for the project if their
actual values moved within a band of, say, 10–20% around the estimated “best guess”
values.
The sample report included as the Appendix to Chapter 13 of the text is a guide to
the appropriate style of presentation of your report. You must submit an electronic copy
of all your spreadsheets with your printed assignment.
Note
* This assignment case study is hypothetical and is not based on the activities of an actual company.
Any similarity with regard to the activities or name of an actual company is purely coincidental.
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