Homework 6 Solutions

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Homework #6: Solutions

Fin555

11-5. Using the data in the following table, estimate (a) the average return and volatility for each stock, (b)
the covariance between the stocks, and (c) the correlation between these two stocks.

−10 + 20 + 5 − 5 + 2 + 9
a. RA = = 3.5%
6
21 + 30 + 7 − 3 − 8 + 25
RB =
6
= 12%

∑ (R − R)
T
1

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SD( R ) =
2
Var (R) = Var ( R )

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T − 1
t
t =1

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( −0.1 − 0.035 )2 + 

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 
1(−0.2 0.08 ) + ( 0.05 − 0.035 ) + 
0.1 −−0.035
2 2

o.
Variance of A = 
rs e  
5 ( −0.05 − 0.035 )2 + ( 0.02 − 0.035 )2 
 
ou urc
 + ( 0.09 − 0.035 )2 
= 0.01123
Volatility of A = SD ( RA ) = Variance of A = .01123 = 10.60%
o
aC s

( 0.21 − 0.12 )2 + ( 0.3 − 0.12 )2 + 


v i y re

1 
Variance of B = ( 0.07 − 0.12 ) + ( −0.03 − 0.12 ) + 
2 2

5 
( −0.08 − 0.12 )2 + ( 0.25 − 0.12 )2 
 
ed d

= 0.02448
ar stu

Volatility of B = SD ( RB ) = Variance of B = .02448 = 15.65%

( −0.1 − 0.035)( 0.21 − 0.12 ) + 


 
( 0.2 − 0.035)( 0.3 − 0.12 ) +
sh is


 
1 ( 0.05 − 0.035)( 0.07 − 0.12 ) + 
Th

b. Covariance =
5 ( −0.05 − 0.035 )( −0.03 − 0.12 ) + 
 
( 0.02 − 0.035 )( −0.08 − 0.12 ) + 
 
( 0.09 − 0.035 )( 0.25 − 0.12 ) 
= 0.104%

Covariance
c. Correlation =
SD(R A )SD(R B )
= 6.27%

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Homework #6: Solutions
Fin555

11-6. Use the data in Problem 5, consider a portfolio that maintains a 50% weight on stock A and a 50%
weight on stock B.
a. What is the return each year of this portfolio?
b. Based on your results from part a, compute the average return and volatility of the portfolio.
c. Show that (i) the average return of the portfolio is equal to the average of the average returns of
the two stocks, and (ii) the volatility of the portfolio equals the same result as from the
calculation in Eq. 11.9.
d. Explain why the portfolio has a lower volatility than the average volatility of the two stocks.
a, b, and c. See table below.

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d. The portfolio has a lower volatility than the average volatility of the two stocks because some of the
idiosyncratic risk of the stocks in the portfolio is diversified away.

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11-22. For Problems 22-24 below, suppose Johnson & Johnson and the Walgreen Company have expected
returns and volatilities shown below, with a correlation of 22%.

o.
rs e E[R] SD[R]
ou urc
Johnson & Johnson 7% 16%
o

Walgreen Company 10% 20%


aC s

Calculate (a) the expected return and (b) the volatility (standard deviation) of a portfolio that is
v i y re

equally invested in Johnson & Johnson’s and Walgreen’s stock.


In this case, the portfolio weights are xj = xw = 0.50. From Eq. 11.3,
E[ RP ] = x j E[ R j ] + xw E[ Rw ]
ed d

= 0.50(7%) + 0.50(10%)
ar stu

= 8.5%.
We can use Eq. 11.9.

SD( RP ) = x j 2 SD( R j ) 2 + xw 2 SD( Rw ) 2 + 2 x j xwCorr ( R j , Rw ) SD( R j ) SD( Rw )


sh is

= .502 (.162 ) + .502 (.20) 2 + 2(.50)(.50)(.22)(.16)(.20)


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= 14.1%

11-23. For the portfolio in Problem 22, if the correlation between Johnson & Johnson’s and Walgreen’s
stock were to increase,
a. Would the expected return of the portfolio rise or fall?
b. Would the volatility of the portfolio rise or fall?
a. The expected return would remain constant, assuming only the correlation changes, 0.5 × 0.07 + 0.5 ×
0.10 = 0.085.
b. The volatility of the portfolio would increase (due to the correlation term in the equation for the
volatility of a portfolio).

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Homework #6: Solutions
Fin555

11-24. Calculate (a) the expected return and (b) the volatility (standard deviation) of a portfolio that
consists of a long position of $10,000 in Johnson & Johnson and a short position of $2000 in
Walgreen’s.
In this case, the total investment is $10,000 – 2,000 = $8,000, so the portfolio weights are xj = 10,000/8,000
= 1.25, xw = –2,000/8,000 = –0.25. From Eq. 11.3,
E[ RP ] = x j E[ R j ] + xw E[ Rw ]
= 1.25(7%) − 0.25(10%)
= 6.25%.
We can use Eq. 11.9,

SD( RP ) = x j 2 SD( R j ) 2 + xw 2 SD( Rw ) 2 + 2 x j xwCorr ( R j , Rw ) SD( R j ) SD( Rw )

= 1.252 (.162 ) + ( −0.25) 2 (.20) 2 + 2(1.25)( −0.25)(.22)(.16)(.20)


= 19.5%.

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er as
11-26. A hedge fund has created a portfolio using just two stocks. It has shorted $35,000,000 worth of
Oracle stock and has purchased $85,000,000 of Intel stock. The correlation between Oracle’s and

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Intel’s returns is 0.65. The expected returns and standard deviations of the two stocks are given in

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the table below:

o.
rs e
ou urc
a. What is the expected return of the hedge fund’s portfolio?
o

b. What is the standard deviation of the hedge fund’s portfolio?


aC s

a. The total value of the portfolio is $50m (=-$35+$85). This means that the weight on Oracle is
v i y re

–70% and the weight on Intel is 170%. The expected return is


Expected return = −0.7 × 12% + 1.7 × 14.5%
= 16.25%.
ed d

Variance = ( −0.7 ) × ( 0.45) + (1.7 ) × ( 0.40 )


2 2 2 2
ar stu

+ 2 × ( −0.7 ) × (1.7 ) × 0.65 × 0.45 × 0.40


b. = 0.283165
Std dev = (.283165)^.5 = 53.2%
sh is

11-27. Consider the portfolio in Problem 26. Suppose the correlation between Intel and Oracle’s stock
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increases, but nothing else changes. Would the portfolio be more or less risky with this change?
An increase in the correlation between the two stocks would result in a decrease of the variance of the
portfolio (due to the negative weight in one of the stocks in combination with the increase in the correlation
term in the equation for the volatility of a portfolio). Thus, the riskiness of the portfolio would decrease.

11-44. Your investment portfolio consists of $15,000 invested in only one stock—Microsoft. Suppose the
risk-free rate is 5%, Microsoft stock has an expected return of 12% and a volatility of 40%, and the
market portfolio has an expected return of 10% and a volatility of 18%. Under the CAPM
assumptions,
a. What alternative investment has the lowest possible volatility while having the same expected
return as Microsoft? What is the volatility of this investment?

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Homework #6: Solutions
Fin555

b. What investment has the highest possible expected return while having the same volatility as
Microsoft? What is the expected return of this investment?
a. Under the CAPM assumptions, the market is efficient; that is, a leveraged position in the market has
the highest expected return of any portfolio for a given volatility and the lowest volatility for a given
expected return. By holding a leveraged position in the market portfolio, you can achieve an expected
return of
E  R p  = rf + x ( E [ Rm ] − r f ) = 5% + x × 5% .

Setting this equal to 12% gives 12 = 5 + 5 x ⇒ x = 1.4.


So the portfolio with the lowest volatility and that has the same return as Microsoft has
$15,000 ×1.4 = $21,000 in the market portfolio and borrows $21,000 − $15, 000 = $6,000 ; that is,
–$6,000 in the risk-free asset.
SD ( R p ) = xSD [ Rm ] = 1.4 × 18 = 25.2%

Note that this is considerably lower than Microsoft’s volatility.

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b. A leveraged portion in the market has volatility of

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SD ( R p ) = xSD ( Rm ) = x × 18%.

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Setting this equal to the volatility of Microsoft gives

o.
40% = x ×18%
rs e
ou urc
40
x= = 2.222.
18
So the portfolio with the highest expected return that has the same volatility as Microsoft has
o

$15,000*2.222 = $33,333 in the market portfolio and borrows $33,333–15,000 = $18,333 ; that is,
aC s

–$18,333 in the risk-free asset.


v i y re

( )
E  R p  = r f + x E [ Rm ] − r f = 5% + 2.222 × 5% = 16.11%

Note that this is considerably higher than Microsoft’s expected return.


ed d

11-45. Suppose you group all the stocks in the world into two mutually exclusive portfolios (each stock is in
ar stu

only one portfolio): growth stocks and value stocks. Suppose the two portfolios have equal size (in
terms of total value), a correlation of 0.5, and the following characteristics:
sh is
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The risk free rate is 2%.


a. What is the expected return and volatility of the market portfolio (which is a 50–50 combination
of the two portfolios)?
b. Does the CAPM hold in this economy? (Hint : Is the market portfolio efficient?)
a. E[Rm] = 15% (from Eq. 11.3)
Volatility = 16.3% (from Eq. 11.9)
b. Value stocks have a higher Sharpe ratio than the market, so the market is not efficient.

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