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6 Some Probability Distributions B1-2
6 Some Probability Distributions B1-2
– RANDOM VARIABLE
– PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF A RANDOM VARIABLE
• Discrete Probability Distribution
• Continuous Probability Distribution
– SOME PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
• Binomial Distribution: A Discrete Distribution
• Poisson Distribution: A Discrete Distribution
• Normal Distribution: A Continuous Distribution
• Areas Under the Normal Curve
• Computation of Probabilities Using the Standard Normal
Curve Table
• Applications of the Normal Distribution
• Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution
6 SOME PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
– SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION
• The Central Limit Theorem
• Chi-Square Distribution
• Student t-Distribution
• F-Distribution
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Classification of Random Variables
Discrete Random Variable is a random variable that assumes only a
finite number of values, most frequently integers. The values of
these random variables are sometimes called count data.
Some examples of discrete random variables are:
• number of hearts drawn from a deck of cards;
• number of heads in 3 tosses of a fair coin;
• number of persons in a city objecting to a new ordinance;
• number of barangays who voted for the opposition candidates.
Continuous Random Variable is a random variable which can assume
any value between two points in a continuous scale. The values of
these random variables are sometimes called measured data.
Some examples of continuous random variables are:
• weight of a person;
• height of a person;
• percentage of persons in a city objecting to a new ordinance;
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF A RANDOM VARIABLE
𝑋 O 1 2 3
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) Ys Ys
In equation form TTT
1
8 , if x 0
3
8 , if x 1
P( X x) 3
8 , if x 2
1
8 , if x 3
Example 6.3 A pair of dice are rolled. Let 𝑌 be the random variable
denoting the absolute difference of the dots on the upturned faces of
the dice. Find the probability distribution of 𝑌.
Solution: The possible values of 𝑌are 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. The
probability distribution of 𝑌 in tabular form is
𝑌 O
𝑃(𝑌 = 𝑦) Ea Iss Iss Is 31 1
Remark:
1. There are two general rules which the values of all probability
distributions must obey: First, since the values of a probability
distribution are probabilities, they must be numbers on the
interval from 0 to 1. Second, since a random variable has to take
on one of its values, the sum of all the values of a probability
distribution must be equal to 1.
2. the graph of the discrete probability distribution is
represented by a histogram in which the values of the
random variables are used as the midpoints plotted in the
horizontal scale, and the height of the rectangle is the
corresponding probability drawn in the vertical scale.
Example
A
Figure 6.1 Probability Distribution of Example 6.3
When a random variable is continuous, its corresponding probability
distribution is called a continuous probability distribution or
probability density function or just density function.
• Probability values of a continuous random values are computed for
intervals not for a specific value.
• The graph of a continuous probability distribution is a smooth curve like
the one that is drawn in Figure 6.2 below.
• The probability that a random variable 𝑋 is contained in the interval
𝑎, 𝑏 is determined by finding the area of the shaded portion below the
curve, above the x-axis and between the two lines perpendicular to the
x-axis passing thru 𝑎 and 𝑏, respectively.
• Probability tables are used to facilitate the computation of the
probability of an interval for some commonly used continuous
probability distributions. region
Note that the total
area under the curve is
I equal to 1.
w probability of
getting p 6 X 2,212,22 5
Now
53
PCH 3 f I I
I Ed
O 03213
15 151 6 1 E
6
22 E
0.34375
Example 6.7 A multiple-choice quiz has 10 questions, each with four
possible answers of which only one is the correct answer. What is the
probability that sheer guesswork would yield at most 1 correct answer?
Solution: Let 𝑋 be the number of correct answers.
Possible of values O 1,2 10
w
probidbility of a correct answer p I
where
9 1 p
I I Z
Now
PCXED PX o tPCX D
Eo E Ed
9
4 t lo 4
0.05631 t 0.18771
0.24402
Remark: The mean, variance, and standard deviation of a binomially
distributed random variable are given by 𝜇 = 𝑛𝑝; 𝜎 2 = 𝑛𝑝𝑞 and 𝜎 =
𝑛𝑝𝑞, respectively. t t t
mean
Example 6.9 The probability that a patient recovers from a rare blood
disease is 0.4. If 15 people are known to have contracted this disease, find
the mean and standard deviation of the number of recoveries among 15
patients.
Solution: Let 𝑋 be the number of patients that survive.
Possible values of X 0 1,2 15
p probability of recovery
p 0.4
Now
mean
tip 1510.4 G
µ
15 0 4 10.6 3 6 since 1 p
ppg 9 0.4
8 15.6 1.897 Or6
Example 6.8 If 20% of the bolts produced by a machine are defective,
determine the probability that out of 4 bolts chosen at random,
a) exactly 3 are defective.
b) at least 3 are defective.
c) 2 bolts are non-defective.
d) at most 1 is non-defective.
Solution:
Let X number of defective bolts
p 20 0.20 f Y 4j
I 0.20 0.80
9
M 4
0.280.840 3 0.80 0.0256
P X 3 4cg 4 0.20
b P X 33 PCX DtPCX 4
0.0256 t 40.2040804
z 42 0.0256 0.204 0.02561 0.0016 0.0272
Let 2 number of non defective bolts
eG 80 0.80 1 0.80 0.20 D
I
c P 2 2 208020.202 6 0.80710205 0.1536
d P ZED PC2 o tPC2 D 0.20 t 4 0.8 10.23
4808000.204 4C o.gg o.zo3 0.0016 t 0.0256
SOME PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 0.0272
2 Poisson Distribution: A Discrete Distribution
Let 𝑋 be the number of occurrence of the event in a certain interval,
area or time. For example
• Number of births per hour in a given day.
• Number of errors per page in a draft manuscript.
If events are not random, it can be treated statistically using
descriptive methods like histogram or frequency distribution tables.
But, if events are random then the event can be modeled by a Poisson
distribution given by X x fives
𝜆𝑥 𝑒 −𝜆 Xcw X
𝑃 𝑋=𝑥 = ; 𝑥 = 0,1,2, ⋯ , e
a a 𝑥!
where 𝜆 = the mean number of occurrence per interval, time.
Note: Poisson random variables takes any positive integer value while a
binomial distribution has a maximum finite value 𝑛.
Example 6.9 The number of weekly breakdown of a computer has a
Poisson distribution with mean 𝜆 = 0.4. Find the probability that:
a) there will be two breakdown in a week?
S
b) there will be no breakdown in a week? PA axe
c) there are at least two breakdowns in a week? XT
x 0
Solution: Let 𝑋 be the number of breakdowns in a week.
Given 1 0.4
4
PCX 2 0.4250 067 16 6
2,7 0.0536
a 032
04
b PCX o O4 e 0.6703
eo
Now PCX 3
P Xss PCX o tPCX DtPCx 2
5
5
3
5
oe t
5Y 5
iii
A
I R
yx are required. However, probability
tables are furnished in Appendix B
fexl
I that gives the results of such
integration for different values of 𝑧.
Figure 6.4 𝑃 𝑎 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 𝑏 = area of the shaded region b
ACR ffCx dx
PCX a P a.IE s pCacXcb
a
continuous
Note:
• 𝑃 𝑍 ≤ 𝑧0 = 𝑃 𝑍 < 𝑧0
o
g
• 𝑃 𝑍≥ 𝑧0 = 𝑃 𝑍 > 𝑧0
• 𝑃 𝑧1 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 𝑧2 = 𝑃 𝑧1 < 𝑍 < 𝑧2 .
Now
• 𝑃 𝑍 > 𝑧0 = 𝑃 𝑍 < −𝑧0
• 𝑃 𝑍 > 𝑧0 = 1 − 𝑃 𝑍 < 𝑧0
• 𝑃 𝑧1 < 𝑍 < 𝑧2 = 𝑃 𝑍 < 𝑧2 − 𝑃 𝑍 < 𝑧1 .
Zoo
2 22
0.5482
PLZ K 0.9345
Pfk L2 Lk 0.95 1 P 244 0.9345
We can find the value of K p Zaka 0.9345
9 2h K 655
P 0.025
K 1.51
K 1.96
ke curve
Note that the standard normal 1.96 table can still be utilized even if the normal
distribution has a mean 𝜇 ≠ 0 and 𝜎 2 ≠ 1 by using the transformation
MFO 0 I
2 X X 2 6th
X X N µ g2 11
Z X Z . 24116,1 where 2
T Example 6.13 Let 𝑋 be normally distributed with a mean of 72 and a
o
b P X 52 52
P Xz5I 2,50 PCZyo 5 PELL O 5 0.3085
600 0 3085 2 183 students have weights exceeding 52 lags
Z
X
On
np
.
npq
Remark: If a discrete random variable is approximated by a continuous
random variable, an adjustment for continuity is necessary because the
probability that a continuous random variable is equal to some specific
value is 0. For example if 𝑋~𝑏(𝑛, 𝑝), the quantity 𝑃 𝑋 = 5 is greater
than zero provided 𝑛 ≥ 5. When using a normal approximation,
𝑃 𝑋 = 5 = 0. The adjustment for continuity, requires the computation of
𝑃 4.5 < 𝑋 < 5.5 to approximate the value of 𝑃 𝑋 = 5 .
Ii
5 4.55
Is L
roof IEEE
q I I Eg
a p XL 25 dtPCXD.tl
IK 24 zs terms
p 2h lol
84,15458
0.1357 r
b P 331 41 PX 33 tPCX 34 t tl 4
P 32.5EXE4t5 z 32.55302 0.5
For each sampling distribution we can compute the mean, the standard
deviation, or other numerical measures. The standard deviation of a
sampling distribution of a statistic is also called the standard error of that
statistic.
2
where 𝜒1 is the value of a chi-square distribution with 𝑣1 = 𝑛1 − 1
2
degrees of freedom and 𝜒2 is the value of a chi-square distribution with
𝑣2 = 𝑛2 − 1 degrees of freedom.
2 2
Theorem. If 𝑠1 and 𝑠2 are the variances of independent random
samples of size 𝑛1 and 𝑛2 taken from normal populations with
2 2
variances 𝜎1 and 𝜎2 , 2respectively,
2 2 2
then
s1 1 s
2 1
f
s 22 2
2
2 2
s
1 2