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Ieee The And: An American National Standard
Ieee The And: An American National Standard
Ieee The And: An American National Standard
Std 493-1980
Sponsor
Power System Technologies Committee
of the
IEEE Industry Applications Society
Copyright 1980 by
*Member emeritus
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Foreword
(This Foreword is not a part of IEEE Std 493-1980, IEEE Recommended Practice for the Design of Re-
liable Industrial and Commercial Power Systems.)
15
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
1.2 IEEE Reliability Surveys of Indus- wish to start with Chapter 2 and not
trial Plants. From 1973 through 1979 wish t o attempt to fully understand
the Power Systems Reliability Subcom- the derivation of the statistical formulas
mittee of the Power Systems Support given in 2.1.9,Table 1.
Committee, Industrial Power Systems The most important parts of planning
Department, IEEE Industry Applications and design are covered in 2.1 and 2.2 on
Society, conducted and published the fundamentals of power system relia-
results of extensive surveys of the relia- bility evaluation and on the economic
bility of electrical equipment in indus- evaluation of reliability. Chapter 7 gives
trial plants and also the cost of power six examples using these methods of anal-
outages for both industrial plants and ysis. These examples cover some of the
commercial buildi'ngs. The results from most common decisions that engineers
these surveys have been published in are facing when designing a power distri-
nine IEEE committee reports. The most bution system. Some discussion on the
important results from these surveys are limitations of reliability and availability
summarized in Chapters 2, 3 and 5 of predictions are given in the latter part
this book. In addition, the nine IEEE of 7.1.
committee reports are reprinted in Those wishing to obtain equipment
Appendixes A, B, C, D, and E. reliability data should go t o Chapter 3.
The IEEE survey reliability data pro- Those wishing t o obtain data on the cost
vide historical experience t o those who of electrical interruptions to industrial
have not been able to collect their own plants or commercial buildings should
data. Such data can be an aid in analyz- consult 2.2. Any data on costs may need
ing, designing, or redesigning a power t o be updated to take into account the
distribution system and can provide a effects of inflation.
basis for quantitative cost comparisons The importance of electrical preventive
between alternate designs. maintenance in planning and design is
covered in 2.3 and 2.4. Chapter 5
discusses the subject in further detail
1.3 How to Use This Book. This book is and contains data showing the effect
primarily directed toward consulting of maintenance quality on equipment
engineers and plant electrical engineers failure rates.
and covers the fundamentals of relia- Many reliability studies need t o be
bility analysis as it applies t o the plan- followed up by considerations for emer-
ning and design of industrial and gency and standby power. This subject is
commercial electric power distribution covered in Chapter 6 and may also be
systems. The methods of reliability anal- considered part of planning and design.
ysis are based upon probability and An approach to evaluating and upgrad-
statistics. Some users of this book may ing the reliability of an existing plant is
wish to read Chapter 8 on basic prob- presented in Chapter 4. Some users of
ability concepts before reading Chapter 2 this book may wish to start with this
on planning and design. Other users may Chapter.
16
2. Planning and Design
17
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
18
IEEE
PLANNING AND DESIGN Std 493-1980
scheduled outage duration. The period terruption duration can be used to com-
from the initiation of a scheduled outage pute other indexes which are also useful:
until construction, preventive mainte- (1) Total expected (average) interrup-
nance, or repair work is completed and tion time per year (or other time period)
the affected component is made avail- (2) System availability or unavailabil-
able t o perform its intended function. ity as measured at the load supply point
in question
scheduled outage rate. The mean number
(3) Expected demanded, but unsup-
of scheduled outages of a component per
plied, energy per year
unit exposure time.
It should be noted here that the
switching time. The period from the time disruptive effect of power interruptions
a switching operation is required due t o is often non linearly related t o the dura-
a component failure until that switching tion of the interruption. Thus, it is often
operation is completed. Switching opera- desirable t o compute not only an overall
tions include such operations as: throw- interruption frequency but also fre-
over t o an alternate circuit, opening or quencies of interruptions categorized by
closing a sectionalizing switch or circuit the appropriate durations.
breaker, reclosing a circuit breaker
following a trip out due to a temporary 2.1.5 Data Needed for System Reli-
fault, etc. ability Evaluations. The data needed for
quantitative evaluations of system reli-
system. A group of components con-
ability depend to some extent on the
nected or associated in a fixed configura-
tion to perform a specified function of nature of the system being studied and
distributing power. the detail of the study. In general,
however, data on the performance of
unavailability. The long-term average individual components together with the
fraction of time that a component or times required to perform various
system is out of service due to failures switching operations are required.
or scheduled outages. An alternative System component data which are
definition is the steady-state probability generally required are summarized as
that a component or system is out of f 0110ws :
service. Mathematically, unavailability = (1) Failure rates (forced outage rates)
-
( 1 availability). associated with different modes of com-
ponent failure
2.1.4 System Reliability Indexes. The (2) Expected (average) time to repair
basic system reliability indexes [2], or replace failed component
[ 31 , which have proven most useful and (3) Scheduled (maintenance) outage
meaningful in power distribution system rate of component
design are: (4) Expected (average) duration of a
(1) Load interruption frequency scheduled outage event
(2) Expected duration of load inter- If possible, component data should be
ruption events based on the historical performance of
These indexes can be readily computed components in the same environment as
using the methods which will be de- those in the proposed system being
scribed later. The two basic indexes of studied. The reliability surveys con-
interruption frequency and expected in- ducted by the Power Systems Reliability
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
20
IEEE
PLANNING AND DESIGN Std 493-1980
usually be terminated after the second- (3) Components are not taken out of
order minimal cut-sets have been found. service for maintenance or other defer-
2.1.9 Computation of Quantitative rable work if other components are on
Reliability Indexes. Computation of re- forced outage, but forced outages of
liability indexes may proceed once the components may occur during the
minimal cut-sets of the system have been scheduled outage of a component.
found. The first step is t o compute the (4)Components which act in parallel
frequency, expected duration, and ex- t o carry load are fully redundant. That
pected down time per year of each is, any one component of the parallel
minimal cut-set. Note that the expected combination is capable of carrying the
down time per year is just the product of entire load of the parallel combination
the frequency expressed in terms of without overload. (Methods for treating
events per year and the expected dura- overload outages are given in 2.1.12).
tion. If the expected duration is ex- Once the frequencies and expected
pressed in years, the expected down time durations have been computed for each
will have the unit of years per year and minimal cut-set, the system reliability
may be regarded as the relative propor- indexes at the load point in question
tion of time or the probability the sys- are determined.
tem is down due t o the minimal cut-set
in question. More commonly the ex- f, = interruption frequency
pected duration is expressed in hours,
= fCSi
and the expected down time has the unit min
of hours per year. cut-sets
Table 1
Frequency and Expected Duration Expressions for Interruptions
Associated with Minimal Cut-Sets
Forced Outages
Note 1: The time units of r and A in expressions for f,, must be the same.
Note 2: If service can be restored to the affected load point by a switching operation, set rcs= expected
switching time. Note t h a t this assumes t h a t switching times a r e short compared to repair or replacement
times.
23
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Fig 1
Sample System
Table 2
Sample System Evaluation
Forced Outages:
Component 1 A1 rl hl'l
Forced/Scheduled Outages:
Totals c f csrcs
System indices:
f , = Cfcs
rd = Cfc,rcs/fs
24
IEEE
PLANNING AND DESIGN Std 493-1980
Table 3
Sample System Evaluation
Considering Post-Fault Switching
NC CIRCUIT 1 NC
I- '-I
ClRCUlT 2
SOURCE
Fig 2
Example of Post-Fault Switching
0.9-
0.8 -
0.7 -
0.6 -
0.5 -
0.4 -
0.3 -
0.2 -
0.1 -
0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0,5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
PER U N I T L O A D
Fig 3
Typical Load-Duration Characteristic
Fig 4
Typical Load-Frequency Characteristic
27
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
28
IEEE
PLANNING AND DESIGN Std 493-1980
Table 4
Critical Service Loss Duration for
Industrial Plants*
(Maximum length of time a n interruption of electrical service will not stop plant production.)
Average Plant
Outage Time
for Equipment
Failure Between
25th 75th 1- and 10-Cycle
Percentile Median Percentile Duration
'55 plants in the United States and Canada reporting; all industry.
Table 5
Critical Service Loss Duration for Commercial Buildings*
(Maximum length of time before a n interruption to electrical service is considered critical.)
1 2 8 1 5 30 1 12
cycle cycles cycles second minutes minutes hour hours
% % % % % % % %
~~
3 6 9 15 36 64 74 100
*Percentage of buildings with critical service loss for duration less t h a n or equal to time indicated (54
buildings reporting).
down due to a power interruption aver- critical factor must be carefully explored
ages 17.4 hours. The median plant res- prior t o assigning a cost t o the interrup-
tart time was found to be 4.0 hours. tion. That 15% of the commercial
Clearly, specific data on plant or process buildings reported the critical service loss
restart time should be used if possible duration time to be 1 second or less is
in any particular evaluation. probably attributable to the fact that
Many industrial plants reported that computer installations were involved.
1 to 10 cycles were considered critical Further data from [12] graphically
interruption time, as compared t o 1.39 h , illustrates the time required t o start an
required for startup, (plant outage industrial plant after an interruption.
time being considered equal t o plant Step 1 of the cost analysis thus be-
startup time). This indicates that the comes the selection of the critical dura-
29
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
tion time of the outage and the plant (1) Revenue requirements (RR)
startup time, including equipment repair (2) Return on investment (ROI)
or replacement time required because of (3) Life cycle costing (LCC)
the interruption. It is not the intent t o stipulate here
2.2.12 Cost of an Electrical Service the method to be used nor the depth
Interruption. With the establishment of t o which each analysis is t o be made.
expected downtime per interruption, These are considered t o be the preroga-
costs are assigned t o all individual items tive of the engineer and will depend
involved, including but n o t limited to: heavily on management choice and the
(1) Value of loss production time less time available for the analysis. The
expenses saved (expected restart time is revenue requirements (RR) method is
used along with the repair or replacement given in this chapter as an example.
time) 2.2.2 “Order of Magnitude” Cost of
(2) Damaged plant equipment Interruptions. IEEE surveys, References
(3) Spoiled or off-specification prod- [21, 141, presented general data on the
uct cost of interruptions to industrial plants
(4) Extra maintenance costs and commercial buildings. The reader is
(5) Cost for repair of failed component again cautioned that such general data
If possible, the cost for each inter- should be used only for “order of magni-
ruption of service should be expressed tude” evaluations where data specific to
in a short interruption plus an amount the system being studied is not avail-
of dollar per hour for the total outage able. A review of the reliability data
time in order t o utilize the reliability can probably best be used in adjudicat-
data and analysis presented. ing the type of utility company service
2.2.1.3 Economic Evaluation of which should be provided.
Reliability . There are many methods The costs based on the kW inter-
of varying degrees of complexity for rupted and the kWh not delivered to
IEEE
PLANNING AND DESIGN Std 493-1980
Table 7
Average Cost of Power Interruptions for Industrial Plants*
31
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Table 8
Median Cost of Power Interruptions for Industrial Plants*
All plants $0.69/kW + $0.83/kWh
Plants > 1000 kW Max Demand $0.32/kW + $0.36/kWh
Plants < 1000 kW Max Demand $3.68/kW + $4.42/kWh
'41 plants in t h e United States and Canada reporting-published in 1973.
Table 9
Average Cost of Power Interruptions for Commercial Buildings
Table 10
Cost of Power Interruptions
as a Function of Duration
for Office Buildings (with Computers)*
Sample
CostPeak kWh
Not Delivered
Power Interruptions Size Maximum Minimum Average
*Published in 1975.
IEEE
PLANNING AND DESIGN Std 493-1980
G=X+CF (Eq 1)
(1) Damaged plant equipment
(2) Spoiled or off-specification product
where
minimum revenue require- (3) Extra maintenance costs
G =
ments (MRR) to achieve min- (4) Costs for repair of the failed com-
imum acceptable earnings ponent
x = nonfixed or variable operat- Considering the second way, plant
ing expenses downtime resulting from failures is
made up of the time required to restart
c = capital investment
the plant, if necessary, plus the time to
F = fixed investment charge fac- (1) effect repairs, if it is a radial sys-
tor tem, or (2) effect a transfer from the
source on which the failure occurred to
a n energized source.
The last term in Eq 1, the product of C During plant downtime, production is
and F includes the items (2), (31, (4), lost. This lost production is not avail-
and (5) listed in the preceding para- able for sale, so revenues are lost. How-
graph. Equation 1 is now discussed. ever, during plant downtime, some
X-Variable Expenses. The effect of expenses may be saved, such as
the failure of a component is to cause expenses for material, labor, power, and
an increase in variable expenses. How fuel costs. Therefore, the value of the
serious this increase is depends to a lost production is the revenues lost,
great extent on the location of the com- because production stopped less the
ponent in the system and on the type of expenses saved. Some of the variable
power distribution system employed. expenses may vary depending on the
The quality of a component as installed duration of plant downtime. For exam-
can have a significant effect on the ple, if plant downtime is only one hour,
number of failures experienced. A poor perhaps no labor costs are saved. But, if
quality component installed with poor plant downtime exceeds eight hours,
workmanship and with poor application labor costs may be saved.
engineering may greatly increase the If we assume that the value/hour of
number of failures that occur as com- variable expenses does not vary with
pared with a high quality component the duration of plant downtime, then
installed with excellent workmanship the value of lost production can be
and sound application engineering. expressed on a per hour basis, and the
When a failure does occur, variable total value of lost production is the
expenses are increased in two ways. In product of plant downtime in hours and
the first way, the increase is the result the value of lost production per hour.
of the failure itself. In the second way, I t should be noted that both the value
the increase is proportional to the dura- of lost production and expenses incurred
tion of the failure. are proportional to the failure rate. The
33
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
total effect on variable expenses, if the The term g, represents revenues lost
value of lost production is a constant on and it is not really a n expense. How-
a per hourly basis, may be expressed in ever, it is a negative revenue, and as
a n equation. such has the same effect on the econom-
ics as a positive expense item. It is con-
X = h[xi + (g,-x,)(r+s)I (Eq 2) venient to treat it as though it were a n
expense.
where A failure rate of 0.1 failure per year
X = variable expenses ($ per year) is equivalent to a mean time between
failures of 10 years. Since we are deal-
A = failures per year or failure ing with probability, this is what we
rate can expect, but in a specific case, we
xi = extra expenses incurred per might have two failures in one 10 year
failure ($ Der failure) period and no failures in another 10
year period. But considering many simi-
gp = lost per hour Of lar cases, we expect to have an average
downtime ($ per hour) of 0.1 failure per year, with each failure
xp = variable expenses saved per costing a n average of $80,000. This
hour of plant downtime ($ gives a n equal average amount per year
per hour) in the above example of $8,000.
The point is that even though the
r = repair or replacement time actual failures cost $80,000 each and
after a failure (or transfer occur once every 10 years, a given
time if not radial system), failure is just as likely to occur in any
hours of the 10 years. The equivalent equal
s = plant startup time after a annual amount of $8,000 per year is the
failure, hours average value of one failure in 10 years.
c-Investment. Each different alterna-
Assume that tive is a n industrial plant power distri-
A = 0.1 failure per year bution system involves different invest-
ments. The system requiring the least
xi = $20,000 per failure, extra investment will usually be some form of
expenses incurred radial system. By varying the type of
g, = $8,000 per hour, revenues lost construction and the quality of the com-
ponents in the system, the investment
xp = $6,000 per hour, expenses in radial systems can vary widely.
saved The best method is to find one total
r = 10 hours per failure investment in each alternative plan.
Another common method is to find the
s = 20 hours per failure incremental investment in all alterna-
Then, variable expenses affected would tives over a base or least expensive
be : plan. The main reason that the total
investment method is preferable, is that
x = (0.1)[$20,000 in comparing alternatives, the invest-
+ ($8,00Cr$6,000)(10 + 2011 ment is multiplied by an F factor which
= $8,000 per year will be explained later. This factor is
IEEE
PLANNING A N D DESIGN Std 493-1980
[
Assume
F= +e (Eq 3)
1-t L = 20 years, life of investment
c = 1 year
This may also take the following form: R = 0.15, minimum acceptable
rate of return
F= F + 2 +t +e (Eq 4) f, = 1, risk adjustment factor
35
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
36
IEEE
PLANNING A N D DESIGN Std 493-1980
37
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Table 11
Summary of All-Industry Equipment Failure Rate and Equipment Outage Duration
Data for 60 Equipment Categories Containing Eight or More Failures
(See Tables 4 t h r o u g h 1 9 i n A p p e n d i x A f o r additional details)
Actual H o u r s o f
Failure Downtime
Rate Per Failure
(failures Median
Equipment per Industry Plant
Equipment Subclass unit-year) Average Average
Table 11 (Continued)
Actual Hours of
Failure Downtime
Rate per Failure- -
(failures Median
Equipment per Industry Plant
Equipment Subclass unit-year) Average Average
effort is reduced the maintenance costs 141 IEEE COMMITTEE REPORT, Relia-
go down. This may increase the failure bility of Electric Utility Supplies to
rate of the components in the power Industrial Plants, Conf Record 1975 Z &
system and raise the costs associated CPS Technical Conference, pp 131-133.
with failures. There is a n optimum
amount of maintenance for minimum [51 GAVER, D. P., MONTMEAT, F. E.,
total owning cost of a complete power and PATTON, A. D. Power System Reli-
system. ability, I -Measures of Reliability and
The subject of Electrical Preventive Methods of Calculation, ZEEE Trans on
Maintenance is discussed in Chapter 5. PA & S, July 1964, pp 727-737.
Some data are shown in Tables 21 and [61 RINGLEE, R. J. and GOODE, S. D.
22 on the effect of the frequency and On Procedures for Reliability Evalua-
quality of scheduled electrical preven- tion of Transmission Systems, Zbid,
tive maintenance. These data have been April 1970, pp 527-537.
used to calculate the effect of mainte-
nance quality on the failure rate of [71 ENDRENYI, J., MAENHAUT, P. C.,
transformers, circuit breakers, and PAYNE, L. C. Reliability Evaluation of
motors shown in Table 23. Unfor- Transmission Systems with Switching
tunately the data do not relate the After Faults- Approximations and a
amount or cost of component mainte- Computer Program, Zbid, pp 196.31875,
nance to the failure rate. Nov/Dec 1973.
The effect of the cost of component
scheduled electrical preventive mainte- 181 BILLINTON, R. and GROVER, M. S.
nance on the failure rate has not been A Sequential Method for Reliability
included in this book. More industry Analysis of Distribution and Transmis-
studies and published data are needed sion Systems, Proceedings 1975 Annual
on this subject. Reliability and Maintainability Sympo-
sium, J a n 1975, pp 460-469.
2.5 References2
[91 CHRISTIAANSE, W. R., Reliability
111 IEEE COMMITTEE REPORT, Calculations including the Effects of
Report on Reliability Survey of Indus- Overloads and Maintenance, IEEE
trial Plants, ZEEE Transactions on Trans on PA & S, July/Aug 1971, pp
Industry Applications, MarchlApril 1974, 1664-1676.
pp 213-235.
1101 AYOUB, A. K., and PATTON, A. D.
121 DICKINSON, W. H. e t al, Funda- A Frequency and Duration Method for
mentals of Reliability Techniques as Generating System Reliability Evalua-
Applied to Industrial Power Systems, tion, IEEE Trans Power App Syst,
Conf Record 1971 ZEEE Z & CPS Techni- Nov/Dec 1976, pp 192S1933.
cal Conference, pp 1&31.
1111 IEEE COMMITTEE REPORT,
131 PATTON, A. D. and AYOUB, A. K. Report on Reliability Survey of Indus-
Reliability Evaluation, Systems Engi- trial Plants, ZEEE Transactions on
neering for Power: Status and Prospects, Industry Applications, JulylAug 1975.
U.S. Energy Research and Development
Administration, publication CONF- References [ l l , 141, [111, and [121 a r e re.
750867, 1975, pp 275-289. printed in Appendixes A, B, C, and D.
40
IEEE
PLANNING AND DESIGN Std 493-1980
[121 PATTON, A. D. et al, Cost of Apparatus and Systems), vol 77, August
Electrical Interruptions in Commercial 1958, pp 60G635.
Buildings, IEEE I & CPS Conference
Record of May 5-8, 1975. [141 DICKINSON, W. H. Economic
Evaluation of Industrial Power Systems
[131 JEYNES, P. H. and VAN Reliability, Trans AZEE (Applications
NEMWEGEN, L. The Criterion of and Industry) Vol 76, Nov 1957, pp
Economic Choice, Trans AIEE (Power 264-272.
41
3. Summary of Equipment Reliability Data
(4) Failure repair method and failure (1)Partial or complete plant shut-
repair urgency down, or below-standard plant operation
(5) Method of service restoration after (2) Unacceptable performance of
a failure user’s equipment
(6) Loss of motor load versus time of (3) Operation of the electrical protec-
power outage. tive relaying or emergency operation of
the plant electric system
In addition reference is made to sum-
(4) Deenergization of any electric cir-
maries of pertinent reliability data and cuit or equipment
information that are contained in other
chapters. This includes: A failure of an in-plant component
causes a forced outage of the
(7) Maximum length of time an inter-
component,and the component thereby
ruption of electrical service will not stop
is unable to perform its intended func-
plant production. tion until it is repaired or replaced.
(8) Plant restart time after service is
All of the 60 electrical equipment
restored following a failure t h a t caused
categories listed in Table 11 have at
a complete plant shutdown.
least 8 or more failures. This is con-
(9) Cost of power interruptions to
sidered a n adequate sample size in order
industrial plants and commerical build-
to have a reasonable chance of deter-
ings. mining a failure rate within a factor of
(10) Example showing that the two
two. Failure rate and average downtime
power sources in a double-circuit utility per failure data for a n additional seven
supply are not completely independent. categories of equipment are contained
(11)Equipment failure rate multi-
in [11 (Appendix AJ. These additional
pliers versus maintenance quality.
categories of equipment have between 4
(12) Percentage of failures caused by
to 7 failures and might be considered by
inadequate maintenance versus month
some as too small a sample size, they
since maintained include:
All of the reliability data summarized
in the above twelve items are taken (1) Circuit breakers used as motor
from the IEEE surveys of industrial starters
plants [11 [21 and commercial buildings (2) Generators driven by motor,
[31. The detailed reports are given in diesel, or gas engine
Appendixes A, B, C, and D. A later sur- (3) Disconnect switches-open
vey [41 of the reliability of switchgear (4) Cable joints, 601-15,000 V, above
bus is included in Appendix E. ground and aerial
( 5 ) Cable joints, 601-15,000 V, ther-
3.2 Reliability of Electrical Equip- mosetting
ment (6) Fuses
The pertinent failure rate and aver- (7) Protective relays
age downtime per failure information
for the in-plant electrical equipment are The “failure repair method” and the
given in Table 11. I n compiling these “failure repair urgency” have a signifi-
data, a failure was defined as any trou- cant effect on the “average downtime
ble with a power system component that per failure” for some equipment
causes any of the following effects: categories. Special studies have been
43
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
made of this subject for nine equipment for the one case analyzed the actual
categories t h a t are marked with a n failure rate of a double-circuit utility
asterisk (*I in Table 11. These studies supply is more than 200 times larger
are reported in Tables 48 through 56 of than the calculated value for two com-
111 (Appendix B). pletely independent utility power
sources. See Table 36 of Chapter 7 for a
3.3 Reliability of Electric Utility summary table comparing the actual
Power Supplies to Industrial Plants and calculated failure rates of a double-
The “failure rate” and the “average circuit utility power supply.
downtime per failure” of electric utility It is believed t h a t utility supply
supplies to industrial plants are given failure rates vary widely in various
in Table 12. Additional details are locations. One of the significant factors
given in [21 (Appendix D).A total of 87 in this difference is believed to be dif-
plants participated in the IEEE survey ferent exposures to lightning storms.
covering the period from January 1, Thus, average values for the utility sup-
1968 through October 1974. ply failure rate may not be valid to use
The survey results shown in Table 12 a t any one location. Local values should
have distinguished between power be obtained, if possible, from the utility
failures that were terminated by a involved, and these values should be
switching operation versus repair or used in reliability and availability stu-
replacement of equipment. The latter dies.
have a much longer outage duration An earlier IEEE reliability survey of
time. Some of the conclusions t h a t can electric utility power supplies to indus-
be drawn from these IEEE data are: trial plants was published in 1973 and
(1)The failure rate for single-circuit is reported in Table 3 of [11 (Appendix
supplies is about six times t h a t of mul- A). The earlier survey had a smaller
tiple circuit supplies which operate with data base and is not believed to be as
all circuit breakers closed; and the aver- accurate nor as up to date as the one
age duration time of each outage is summarized in Table 12. The earlier
about 2.5 times as long survey of electric utility power supplies
(2) Failure rates for multiple-circuit had lower failure rates.
supplies which operate with either a
3.4 Failure Characteristic of Electri-
manual or an automatic throwover
cal Equipment
scheme are comparable to those for
The failure characteristic or failure
single-circuit supplies, but throwover
modes of electrical equipment are
schemes have a smaller average failure
important. They identify the effect of
duration than single-circuit supplies
the failure on the system and are
(3) Failure rates are highest for util-
needed in system reliability studies.
ity supply circuits operated a t distribu-
Tables 13, 14, and 15 give the failure
tion voltages and lowest for circuits
characteristic of transformers, circuit
operated at transmission voltages
breakers, and 11 other categories of
I t is important to note t h a t the data electrical equipment.
in Table 12 show that the two power There are some “failure modes” of cir-
sources of a double-circuit utility supply cuit breakers t h a t require backup pro-
are not completely independent. This is tective equipment to operate; for exam-
analyzed in a n example in 7.1.15, where ple, “failed to trip” or “failed to inter-
44
IEEE
SUMMARY OF EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY DATA Std 493-1980
Table 12
IEEE Survey of Reliability of Electric Utility Supplies to Industrial Plants [21
(See Tables 11,111, IV, V in A p p e n d i x D f o r additional details)
45
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Table 14
Failure Modes of Circuit Breakers
(Percentage of Total Failures in Each Failure Mode)
discussed in 5.3.
Equipment failure rate multipliers
versus maintenance quality are given in
Table 23 of Chapter 5 for transformers, 0 0 0
circuit breakers, and motors. These mul-
tipliers were determined in a special
study part 6 of 111; (Appendix B). The
failure rate of motors is very sensitive W ( D r l
to the quality of maintenance. rl
47
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
2
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SUMMARY OF EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY DATA Std 493-1980
3.7 Failure Repair Method and duration, most plants lose motor load.
Failure Repair Urgency However, for power outages between 1
The “failure repair method” and the and 10 cycle duration, only about half
“failure repair urgency” have a signifi- a s many plants lose the motor load.
cant effect on the “average downtime Test results on the effect of fast bus
per failure.” Table 18 shows the transfers are reported in [ 5 ] . This
percentages of these two parameters for includes 4 kV induction and synchronous
thirteen classes of electrical equipment. motors with the following types of
A special study on this subject is loads: (1)forced draft fan, (2) circulat-
reported in Tables 48 through 56 of [11 ing water pump, (3) boiler feed booster
(Appendix B) for nine categories of pump, (4) condensate pump, (5) gas
electrical equipment (marked with a n * recirculation fan. A list of prior papers
in Table 11 of this chapter). on the effect of fast bus transfer on
The IEEE data on “method of electri- motors is also contained in [ 51 .
cal service restoration to plant” are
shown in Table 19. A percentage break-
down of the total shows:
3.9 Critical Service Loss Duration
Replacement of failed component Time
with spare 22% What is the maximum length of time
Repair of failed component 22% t h a t an interrupti00 of electrical service
Other 22% will not stop plant production? The
Utility service restored 12% median value for all plants is 10.0
Secondary selection -manual 11% seconds. See Table 4 in Chapter 2 for a
Primary selection -manual 7% summary of the IEEE survey of indus-
Primary selection-automatic 2% trial plants.
Secondary selection-automatic 2% What is the maximum length of time
Network protector operation- before a n interruption to electrical serv-
automatic 0+% ice is considered critical in commerical
The most common methods of service buildings? The median value of all com-
restoration are replacement of failed merical buildings is between 5 and 30
component with a spare or repair of minutes. See Table 5 in Chapter 2 for a
failed component. Only 22 percent of summary of the IEEE survey of com-
the time is primary selection or secon- mercial buildings.
dary selection used. This would indicate
that most power distribution systems in
3.10 Plant Restart Time
the IEEE survey were radial.
What is the plant restart time after
3.8 Loss of Motor Load Versus Time service is restored following a failure
of Power Outage t h a t has caused a complete plant shut-
A special study has been reported in down? The median value for all plants
Table 47 of [11 (Appendix B) on loss of is 4.0 hours. See Table 6 in Chapter 2
motor load versus time of power outage. for a summary of the IEEE survey of
For power outages longer than 10 cycle industrial plants.
49
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
rl * r- d rl
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SUMMARY OF EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY DATA
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51
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
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Std 493-1980
SUMMARY OF EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY DATA
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53
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IEEE
SUMMARY OF EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY DATA Std 493-1980
55
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
3.13 Other Sources of Reliability circuit breaker per year and the cost of
Data spare parts consumed per circuit
The reliability data from industrial breaker per year.
plants which are summarized in this ANSI/IEEE Std 500 1977 1171, is a
chapter are based upon References [ l l reliability data manual for use in the
[21 and [31 which were published during design of nuclear power generating sta-
1973-1975. Reference [SI is a n earlier tions. The equipment failure rates cover
reliability survey of industrial plants such equipment as annunciator
which had been published in 1962. modules, batteries and chargers,
Many sources of reliability data on blowers, circuit breakers, switches,
similar types of electrical equipment relays, motors and generators, heaters,
exist in the electric utility industry. transformers, valve operators and actua-
The Edison Electric Institute (EEI) has tors, instruments, controls, sensors,
collected and published reliability data cables, raceways, cable joints, and ter-
on power transformers, power circuit minations. No information is included
breakers, metal-clad switchgear, motors, on equipment outage duration times.
excitation systems, generators, and Future revisions to ANSIIIEEE Std
prime mover generation equipment 500-1977 will include mechanical com-
[SI - [141. Most EEI reliability activities ponent data.
do not collect outage duration time The Edison Electric Institute also
data; only Reference [41 on prime mover sponsors the Nuclear Plant Reliability
generation equipment contains such Data System (NPRDS) which collects
data. failure data on electrical components in
Failure rate data and outage duration the safety systems of nuclear power
time data of power transformers, power plants. Outage duration time data are
circuit breakers and buses are given in collected on each failure. It is expected
References [51 and [SI. These data have t h a t NRPDS will become a source of
come from electric utility power sys- reliability data for future revisions to
tems. ANSI/IEEE Std 500-1977.
Very little published data are avail-
3.14 References2
able on the failure modes of power cir-
[11 IEEE COMMITTEE REPORT,
cuit breakers and on the probability of a
Report on Reliability Survey of Indus-
circuit breaker not operating when
trial Plants, Parts 1-6 ZEEE Transac-
called upon to do so. An extensive
tions on Industry Application,
worldwide reliability survey of the
March/April, July/August, September/
major failure modes of power circuit
October 1974, pp 213-252, 45G476, 681.
breakers above 63 kV on utility power
systems has been made by CIGRE 13-06 [21 IEEE COMMITTEE REPORT, Relia-
Working Group [71. Failure rate data bility of Electric Utility Supplies to
and failure per operation data have Industrial Plants, IEEE -1CPS Techni-
been determined for each of the major cal Conference, Toronto, Canada, May
failure modes. Outage duration time 5-8, 1975, pp 131-133 in 75-CH0947-
data have also been collected. In addi- 1-1A.
tion data have been collected on the
costs of scheduled preventive mainte- References 121 a n d [31 a r e reprinted in Ap-
nance; this includes the manhours per pendixes A, B, C, and D.
56
IEEE
SUMMARY OF EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY DATA Std 493-1980
57
4. Evaluating and Improving
Reliability of an Existing Plant
58
IEEE
EVALUATING AND IMPROVING PLANT RELIABILITY Std 493-1980
59
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
60
IEEE
EVALUATING AND IMPROVING PLANT RELIABILITY Std 493-1980
(That is, is a spare feeder available and existence of a one-line diagram is essen-
what is the cost to make it available?) tial for any plant electrical engineer,
(a) Is this additional feed from the manager or operator. It is the “road-
same station or from another station? map” to any part of the electric system.
(b) What is the probability (fre- I n fact, a one-line diagram should be
quency and duration) of both the main prepared even if the ensuing analysis is
and the spare feeds being interrupted not done.
simultaneously? The one-line diagram should begin at
(c) What is the reliability improve- the incoming power supply. Standard
ment obtained from the additional (or IEEE symbols should be used in
alternate) feed? representing electrical components (see
(5) Will the utility protective equip- ANSI/IEEE Std 315-1975 Graphic Sym-
ment coordinate with the plant’s service bols for Electrical and Electronics
circuit breaker? If not, what can be Diagrams). It is usually impractical to
done to coordinate these series protec- show all circuits in a plant on a single
tive devices? schematic; so the initial one-line
(6) What is the available short circuit diagram should show only major com-
current, and are there plans to change ponents, circuits, and panels. More
the system so as to effect the short cir- detailed analysis may be required in
cuit current? critical areas (described later) and addi-
tional one-line diagrams should be
All of the above questions may not
prepared for these areas as required.
apply to all plants, but should be
Since a n analysis is being made from
matched with specific plant require-
the one-line diagram, the type, size and
ments.
rating of each device as well as its una-
There is a n important fact to consider
vailability should be shown on the
when a multiple ended feed is being
diagram. The diagram should include at
considered. While service is maintained
least the following information:
for a loss of one of the feeds, a voltage
depression will be seen until the fault is (1)Incoming lines (voltage, size-
cleared by proper relay action. There- capacity and rating)
fore, the plant will see a voltage dip for
(2) Generators (in plant)
any faults on all incoming feeds. If the
plant is affected with equal severity by (3) Incoming main fuses, potheads,
either a voltage dip or a short-duration cutouts, switches, main and tie breakers
(several seconds) interruption, a multi-
(4) Power transformers (rating, wind-
ple ended supply (with secondary tie)
ing connection and grounding means)
may actually worsen plant reliability.
This is just one example of the need to (5) Feeder breakers and fused
carefully evaluate the current supply switches
situation in conjunction with the net
(6) Relays (function, use and type)
improvement of various proposals.
(7) Potential transformers (size, type
4.3 Where to Begin-The Plant One-
and ratio)
Line Diagram
The “blue print” for electrical (8)Current transformers (size, type
analysis is the “one line diagram.” The and ratio)
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
62
IEEE
EVALUATING AND IMPROVIUG PLANT RELIABILITY Std 493-1980
63
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
line diagram is the analysis of the sys- refused critical circuit reliability (or
tem to pinpoint design problems. Key increased vulnerability) ?
critical or vulnerable areas, and overdu-
tied or improperly protected equipment Obviously, overloaded equipment
can be located by the following pro- should be replaced or load transferred so
cedure: that the equipment can be operated well
within its rating. The major projection
(1) Assign faults to various points in points-outside the critical areas-
the system and note their effect on the should be capable of keeping the system
system. For example, assume t h a t the intact by clearing faults and allowing
cable supply to the air conditioning the critical process to continue. The
compressor failed. How long could probability of jeopardizing the critical
operations continue? Is any production circuits by extraneous electric faults
cooling involved? Are any computer should be minimized, either by physi-
rooms cooled by this system? What cally isolating the critical circuits or by
would happen if a short circuit (or judicial use and proper maintenance of
ground fault) occurred on the secondary protective devices to electrically sever
terminals of a unit substation? Con- and isolate faults from critical circuits.
sideration should be given to relay With isolation criteria secure, the
action (including back-up protection), investigation should move to the critical
service restoration procedures, etc, in circuits themselves to see that proper
this “what if’ analysis. This review backup equipment is available and that
could be called a failure mode and restoration procedures are adequate. For
effects analysis. example, a conveyer system with large
(2) Calculate feeder loads to verify rollers may have one motor for each
that all equipment is operating within roller, or several hundred motors. The
its rating (do not forget current failure rate is 0.0109 per unit year for
transformers and other auxiliary equip- the motors, or 2 motor failures can be
ment). Graphic or demand ammeters (as expected annually for a plant with 200
required) should be used to gather up- motors. The typical downtime is 65
to-date information. Fault duties hours (but could be less for this specific
should also be considered. (see Chapter example). In this case, there should be a
5 IEEE Std 141-1976, Recommended means of separating the motor from the
Practice for Electric Power Distribution systems and allowing the conveyer sys-
for Industrial Plants. tem to continue operation (possibly
(3) Perform a relay coordination allowing the roller to idle until the end
analysis (See IEEE Std 242-1975 of a shift), and several spare motors
Recommended Practice for Protection should be available to minimize down-
and Coordination of Industrial and Com- time.
mercial Power Systems or Chapter 4 of Most plants have a sufficient number
IEEE Standard 141-1976). of motors to result in several failures
per year. The large variety usually pre-
(a) Are the relays and fuses prop- cludes the maintenance of a spare motor
erly set or rated for the current load stock (although their availability can be
levels? checked with local distributors). Highly
(b) Is there any new load that has critical nonstandard equipment may
64
IEEE
EVALUATING A N D IMPROVING PLANT RELIABILITY Std 493-1980
65
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
66
IEEE
EVALUATING A N D IMPROVING PLANT RELIABILITY Std 493-1980
ensure continuous optimum reliability tions on Zndustry Applications, vol IA- 13,
performance of the plant MayIJune 1977.
[31 LINDERS, J. R. Effects of Power
Supply Variations on AC Motor Charac-
4.8 References2
teristics, ZEEE Transactions on Zndustry
[l] IEEE COMMITTEE REPORT.
Applications, vol IA-8, JulyIAug 1972, pp
Report on Reliability Survey of Indus-
383-400.
trial Plants, Parts 1-6, ZEEE Transac-
[41 ANSIIIEEE Std 315-1975, Graphic
tions on Zndustry Applications, vol IA-10,
Symbols for Electrical and Electronics
MarIApr, JulyIAug, SeptIOct 1974, pp
Diagrams.
213-252, 456-476,681.
[51 IEEE Std 141-1976, Recommended
[21 LEE, R. New Developments in
Practice for Electric Power Distribution
Cable System Testing, ZEEE Transac-
for Industrial Plants.
[61 IEEE Std 242-1975, Recommended
2Reference [11 is reprinted in Appendixes A Practice for Protection and Coordination
and B. of Industrial and Commercial Buildings.
t:
67
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
68
IEEE
ELECTRICAL P R E V E N T I V E MAINTENANCE Std 493-1980
Table 21
Number of Failures Versus Maintenance Quality
for All Equipment Classes Combined
Number of Failures
Percent of Failures
Maintenance All Inadequate Due t o Inadequate
Quality Causes Maintenance Maintenance
~ ~~
Table 22
Percentage of Failure Caused
from Inadequate Maintenance Versus Month Since Maintained
All Electrical
Failure, (months Equipment Circuit Open Trans-
since maintained) Classes Combined Breakers Motors Wire formers
maintenance quality had a significant motors, open wire, transformers and all
effect on the percentage of all failures equipment classes combined. The per-
blamed on “inadequate maintenance.” cent of failures blamed on inadequate
As shown in Table 21 of the 1469 maintenance shows a close correlation
failures reported from all causes, inade- with “failure, months since main-
quate maintenance was blamed for 240, tained.”
or 16.4 percent of all the failures. From the IEEE data obtained, it was
The IEEE data also showed that possible to calculate “failure rate multi-
“months since maintained” is an impor- pliers” for transformers, circuit break-
tant parameter when analyzing failure ers and motors based upon the “mainte-
data of electrical equipment. Table 22 nance quality.” These “failure rate mul-
shows data of failures caused by inade- tipliers” are shown in Table 23 and can
quate maintenance for circuit breakers, be used to adjust the equipment failure
69
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
70
IEEE
ELECTRICAL PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE Std 493-1980
can progress and cause malfunction or ment operations such as arcing and
an electrical failure. Electrical equip- burning. Checking the mechanical
ment preventive maintenance pro- operation of devices and manually or
cedures should be developed to accom- electrically operating any device that
plish four basic functions, that is, keep seldom operates should be standard
it clean, dry, sealed tight, and minimize practice.
the friction. Water, dust, high or low Procedures and practices should be
ambient temperature, high humidity, initiated to substantiate that electrical
vibration, component quality, and count- equipment is kept clean, dry, sealed
less other conditions can affect proper tight, and with minimal friction by
operation of electrical equipment. visual inspection, exercising, and proof
Without an effective electrical preven- testing. Electrical preventive mainte-
tive maintenance program the risk of a nance should be accomplished on a regu-
serious electrical failure increases. larly scheduled basis as determined by
A common cause of electrical failure inspection experience and analysis of
is dust and dirt accumulation and the any failures that occur.
presence of moisture. This can be in the An electrical preventive maintenance
form of lint, chemical dust, day-to-day program certainly will not eliminate all
accumulation of oil mist and dirt parti- failures, but it will minimize their
cles, etc. These deposits on the insula- occurrence. Some of the key elements in
tion, combined with oil and moisture, establishing a program are as follows:
become conductors and are responsible (1) Establish a n “Equipment Service
for tracking and flashovers. Deposits of Library” consisting of bulletins, manu-
dirt can cause excessive heating and als, schematics, parts lists, failure
wear, and decrease apparatus life. analysis reports, etc. The bulletins and
Electrical apparatus should be operated manuals are normally provided by the
in a dry atmosphere for best results; electrical equipment manufacturer.
but this is often impossible, so precau- Often they are not taken very seriously
tions should be established to minimize after equipment installation and are
entrance of moisture. Moisture conden- lost, misplaced, or discarded, but this
sation in electrical apparatus can cause documentation is vital to develop
copper or aluminum oxidation and con- electrical preventive maintenance pro-
nection failure. cedures and to aid in training.
Loose connections are another cause (2) In addition to the above documen-
of electrical failures. Electrical connec- tation, each in-service failure should be
tions should be kept tight and dry. thoroughly investigated and the cause
Creep or cold flow is a major cause of determined and documented. Generally,
joint failure. Mounting hardware and it will be found that timely and ade-
other bolted parts should be checked quate electrical preventive maintenance
during routine electrical equipment ser. could have prevented the failure. If
vicing. correctable by electrical preventive
Friction can affect the freedom of maintenance the corrective action
movement of electrical devices and can should be included on the work list. If
result in serious failure or difficulty. the failure was caused by a weak com-
Dirt on moving parts can cause slug- ponent, then all like equipment should
gishness and improper electrical equip- be modified as soon as possible.
71
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
72
IEEE
ELECTRICAL PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE Std 493-1980
73
6. Emergency and Standby Power
greater in the first case. Other power devices have a failure rate of their own
utilizing equipment demands a high and, thus, actually reduce the reliability
degree of power supply availability with of delivered power. When the primary
little concern for reliability. A power power source is being utilized, a failure
failure to a process which stamps out of transfer device may cause loss of
metal parts will cause little loss due to power which would not have occurred if
the power failure itself; but there will the off-line system had not been
be a loss directly related to the length installed. The selection of a n off-line
of the power failure. Thus, a power sys- system for the metal stamping process
tem that experiences six power failures is a proper application. The off-line sys-
of one minute each is more suitable tem can reduce downtime, resulting in
than one that experiences two power higher availability.
failures of 30 minutes each, even A study must be undertaken to deter-
though the first case has a failure rate mine the systems capable of performing
three times higher and, thus, a lower the desired function. Systems are avail-
reliability. able to provide reliable power to over-
come the problems encountered due to
6.3 System Selection power failures ranging from mil-
The type of emergency or standby liseconds to many hours. More than one
power system to use depends on what type of system may be suitable for a
the system is expected to accomplish. particular application. Selection of the
Can the equipment or process tolerate a proper system will then depend on first
power failure of one millisecond, 10 cost, operating and owning cost such as
seconds, or of one minute? For how long maintenance and fuel requirements,
a period of time does the emergency or system reliability, output power quality,
standby power system have to perform expansion capacity, and environmental
its intended function? For hours, considerations.
minutes, or seconds?
An off-line system is one that is dor- 6.4 Descriptions and Applications of
mant until called upon to operate, such Available Systems
as a diesel generator which is started up 6.4.1 General. The following informa-
when a power failure occurs. An on-line tion contains data on some commonly
system is one that is operating at all used systems. While power sources
times, such as a n inverter supplied by such as solar and chemical may become
dc power via the primary power source viable in the future, they are not in
through a battery charger. The above common use and will not be discussed
system utilizes batteries on float charge here.
to supply the inverter if a power failure 6.4.2 Engine Driven Generators. These
strikes the primary power source. units are available in sizes from 1 kW
The selection of a n off-line engine- to several thousand kW. Fuels com-
driven generator for the rubber monly used are diesel, gasoline, and
manufacturing process mentioned above natural or liquefied petroleum (LP) gas.
would be a misapplication. The off-line If kept warm they will dependably come
system can improve the availability of on line in 8 to 15 seconds. Except for
delivered power, but cannot improve the small units, installed costs range from
reliability. The transfer device or $250 to $400 per kW. Diesel units are
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
generally heavier duty, have less costly since their physical size and weight per
fuel, and fire danger is lower than for kilowatt are less than for enginedriven
gasoline units. Gasoline-driven units units. Turbine driven generators are al-
range up to 100 kW and have a lower most exclusively applied as off-line
initial cost than diesel sets. Natural and systems.
LP gas engines provide quick starting 6.4.4 Mechanical Stored Systems. This
after long shutdown periods because of type of system is comprised of a rotat-
the inherently fresh fuel. One of the ing flywheel which converts its rotating
drawbacks may be the lack of assurance kinetic energy into electric power. It is
of fuel supplies when the system is generally applied as a n on-line system.
needed. Engine-driven generators are Depending on frequency requirements
generally applied as off-line units for of the load, a typical mechanical stored
reducing downtime or in combination energy system can ride through a power
with a mechanical stored energy system failure for up to two seconds. Thus, its
or a small uninterruptible power supply main use is as a buffer to mechanically
to improve both reliability and avail- filter out transients. See Fig 5. A supply
ability of delivered power. time of 15 seconds can be attained by
6.4.3 Turbine-Driven Generators.. Two using a n eddy current clutch and driv-
types of turbines can be used for prime ing the flywheel at a higher speed than
movers, steam or gas. Since steam is the generator it operates. This type of
generally not available when a power system may allow a n engine driven
failure has occurred, only the gas prime prime mover to come up to speed, either
mover will be discussed. Installed costs to drive a separate generator or to
for medium-sized units range from $200 maintain the speed of the flywheel and
to $400 per kW. its associated generator. See Fig 6.
Gas turbines can utilize various Such systems have a history of mainte-
grades of oil as well as natural and pro- nance problems. There are several other
pane gas. Sizes generally range from hybrid systems which utilize dc drive
100 kW to several thousand kW. Gas motors, batteries, engines, and turbines.
turbine generators can be placed on line System costs range from $200 to $1000
in 20 seconds for smaller units up to per kW.
several minutes for larger units. They 6.4.5 ZnvertedBattery Systems. A sim-
can more easily be rooftop mounted ple off-line inverter system is shown in
Fig 5
Simple Inertia Driven
“Ride Through” System
FLYWHEEL
INPUT
POWER
--*--I]---.@--
MOTOR
hr
ALTERNATOR
Bur FOEURT EP DU T
AC
POWER
76
IEEE
EMERGENCY AND STANDBY POWER
Std 493-1980
AC I N P U T
POWER
-- MOTOR
n /
ALTERNATOR
CRITICAL LOAD
AC P O W E R
CONTROL
Fig 6
Constant Frequency Inertia System
,
q-}r:rTh
DC CONTACTOR
AC
POW
I NEPRU T RECTIFIER INVERTER ~ TRANSFER DEVICE
CRITICAL L O A 0
BATTERY /--
AC P O W E R
s Y N c HRONIz IN
SIGNAL
GA
I
Fig 7
Short Interruption Static
Inverter System
STATIC UNINTERRUPTIBLE
POWER INVERTER AC O U T P U T P O W E R
--
-
BATTERY
Fig 8
Non-Redundant Uninterruptible
Power Supply
77
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Fig 7. The system is not a n uninterrup- power can be connected directly to the
tible power supply. The transfer time load.
for a mechanical transfer will cause a Figure 9 shows a redundant uninter-
power interruption of 60 to 190 mil- ruptible power supply with static
liseconds. A static transfer switch is switches to clear a faulted inverter. The
more costly, but will result in a much batteries for this system are required to
shorter interruption. The contactor supply power only until the diesel gen-
closes upon loss of primary power and is erators can be placed on line. The sys-
in the circuit to prevent continual tem in Figure 9 is much more reliable
energization of the static inverter than that shown in Figure 8, but is
whose efficiency is approximately 70 more expensive. Depending on amount
percent and, thus, wastes energy while of redundancy, auxiliary equipment, and
energized. required battery size, the cost per kW
Figure 8 shows the most widely used ranges from $1000 to $3000. Installa-
system for supplying uninterruptible tion requirements can be impressive for
power. The load is basically free of the battery. A battery sized to provide
power interruptions, transient distur- power for a 250 kW inverter for one
bances, and voltage and frequency vari- hour will weigh approximately 25 tons.
ations. Installed costs range from $200 6.4.6 Mechanical Uninterruptible Pow-
to $800 depending on system configura- er Supplies. Figure 10 shows a typical
tion and battery size. A failure of the rotating uninterruptible power supply.
inverter will cause a loss of power until The ac motor drives the dc generator
the inverter is repaired or until prime which in turn supplies power for the dc
Fig 9
Redundant Uninterruptible
Power Supply
-
No1
- RECTIFIER -- No1
INVERTER 4 &;$:
No I
-
A C INPUT----
POWER
No 2
RECTIFIER
--
- No 3
RLCTlFlER
NO 3
IEEE
EMERGENCY AND STANDBY POWER Std 493-1980
AC I N P U T
POWER
-
--*--@~@--e
MOTOR
DC GENERATOR
- OC
-
-
MOTOR
ALT E R NATOR
UONUITNPTUETR RPOWER
UPT'BLE
BATTERY
Fig 10
Rotating Uninterruptible
Power Supply
motor which drives the ac generator. 6.5 Selection and Application Data.
The battery will provide power for the The figures and system descriptions
dc motor upon loss of primary power. presented here are only a few of the
The ac generator provides uninterrupti- many types of system and hybrid sys-
ble power to the load. The lack of mov- tems available. For comprehensive selec-
ing parts in the static inverters and rec- tion and application data, reference is
tifiers has proven to be a strong selling made to IEEE Std 446-1980, Recom-
point over the mechanical uninterrupti- mended Practice for Emergency and
ble power supplies. Standby Power Systems.
79
7. Examples of Reliability
Analysis and Cost Evaluation
80
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS A N D COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
82
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
Table 24
Reliability Data from IEEE Reliability S u r v e y of Industrial Plants 111
(See Table 11)
r, A -r, Data
Hours of Forced Source
A, Downtime Hours of i n IEEE
Failures Per Downtime Survey Ill,
Equipment Category per Year Failure per Year Table No.
Cable terminations
e600 V,above ground 0.0001 3.8 0.0004 17
601-15 000 V,conduit below ground 0.0003 25.0 0.0075 17
Disconnect switches enclosed 0.0061 3.6 0.0220 9
Transformers
601-15 000 V 0.0030 342.0' 1.0260 4,48
601-15 000 V 0.0030 130.0*' 0.3900 4,48
Switchgear bus-bare
e600 V (connected to 7 breakers) 0.0024 24.0 0.0576 10
e600 V (connected to 5 breakers) 0.0017 24.0 0.0408 10
Switchgear bus-insulated
601-15 000 V (connected to 1 breaker) 0.0034 26.8 0.0911 10
601-15 000 V (connected to 2 breakers) 0.0068 26.8 0.1822 10
83
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Table 25
Failure Modes of Circuit Breakers
Percentage of Total Failures in Each Failure Mode
(See Table 14)
Percent of
Total Failures
(All Voltages) Failure Characteristic
Table 26
IEEE Survey of Reliability of Electric Utility Power Supplies to Industrial Plants
(See Table 12)
r,
Hours of A ‘r,
A, Downtime Forced Hours
Number of Circuits Failures Per of Downtime
(All Voltages) per Year Failure per Year
~~
84
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS A N D COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
These reliability surveys of electrical The failure rate and average down-
equipment and electric utility power time per failure data for the electric
supplies were extensive. The pertinent utility power supplies are given in Table
failure rate and average downtime per 26. This includes both single circuit and
failure information for the electrical double-circuit reliability data. The two
equipment are given in Table 24. In power sources in a double-circuit utility
compiling these data, a failure was supply are not completely independent,
defined as any trouble with a power sys- and the reliability and availability
tem component t h a t causes any of the analysis must take this into considera-
following effects: tion. This subject is discussed further in
7.1.15.
(1)Partial or complete plant shut-
7.1.6 Example 1 -Reliability and
down, or below-standard plant operation Availability Analysis of a Simple Radial
(2)Unacceptable performance of
System.
user’s equipment Description of Simple Radial System.
(3)Operation of the electrical protec- A simple radial system is shown in Fig
tive relaying or emergency operation of
12. Power is received at 13.8 kV from
the plant electric system the electric utility. It then goes through
(4)Deenergization of any electric cir-
a 13.8 kV circuit breaker inside the
cuit or equipment
industrial plant, 600 feet of cable in
A failure of a n in-plant component underground conduit, a n enclosed
causes a forced outage of the com- disconnect switch, to a transformer t h a t
ponent, and the component thereby is reduces the voltage to 480 volts, then
unable to perform its intended function through a 480 volt main circuit breaker,
until it is repaired or replaced. a second 480 volt circuit breaker, 300
In addition to the reliability data for feet of cable in above ground conduit, to
electrical equipment shown in Table 24, the point where the power is used in the
there are some “failure modes” of cir- industrial plant.
cuit breakers that require backup pro- Results-Simple Radial System. The
tective equipment to operate; for exam- results from the reliability and avail-
ple, “failed to trip” or “failed to inter- ability calculations are given in Table
rupt.” Both of these failure modes 27. The failure rate and the forced
would require t h a t a circuit breaker hours downtime per year are calculated
farther up the line be opened, and this at the 480 volt point of use.
would result in a larger part of the The relative ranking of how each
power distribution system being discon- component contributes to the failure
nected. Reliability data on the “failure rate is of considerable interest. This is
modes of circuit breakers” are shown in tabulated in Table 28.
Table 25. These data are used for the The relative ranking of how each
480 volt circuit breakers in all six component contributes to the forced
examples discussed in this section. I t hours downtime per year is also of con-
will be assumed that the “flashed over siderable interest. This is given in Table
while open” failure mode for circuit 29.
breakers and disconnect switches has a It might be expected t h a t the power
failure rate of zero. distribution system would be shut down
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
500 MVA
-- contributor to both the failure rate and
the forced hours downtime per year at
the 480 volt point of use. A significant
improvement can be made in both the
failure rate and the forced hours down-
time per year by having two sources of
600 Feet power a t 13.8 kV from the electric util-
Cable
Cable
ity. The improvements that can be
obtained are shown in Examples 2, 3
and 4 using “Primary-Selective” and in
Example 5 using “Secondary-Selective.”
13 8001480 V
The transformer is the second largest
contributor to forced hours downtime
per year. The transformer has a very
low failure rate, but the long outage
time of 342 hours after a failure results
in a large forced hours downtime per
year. The 13.8 kV circuit breaker is the
third largest contributor to forced hours
downtime per year, and the fourth larg-
est are the 13.8 kV cables and termina-
tions. This is a result of the average
outage time after a failure of 83.1 hours
for the 13.8 kV circuit breaker and 26.5
hours for the 13.8 kV cable.
I
The long outage time after a failure
Cable
for the transformer, 13.8 kV circuit
Feet
breaker, and the 13.8 kV cable are all
480 V based upon “repair failed unit.” These
outage times after a failure can be
Fig 12 reduced significantly if the “replace
Simple Radial System with spare” times shown in Table 24 are
Example 1 used instead of “repair failed unit.” This
is done in Example 6, using a simple
radial system with Spares.
86
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
Table 27
Simple Radial System
Reliability and Availability of Power at 480 V-Example 1
A*r,
A, Forced Hours
Failures of Downtime
Component per Year per Year
*Data for hours of downtime per failure a r e based upon repair failed unit.
87
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
1 3 . 8 kV
NC NO
Uti l i t y
--
300
Cable Coble
1 3 800/480 V
Fig 13
Primary Selective to 13.8 kV
Utility Supply
Example 2
88
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
Table 28 Table 29
Simple Radial System Simple Radial System Relative
Relative Ranking of Failure Rates Ranking of Forced Hours of Downtime
per Year
A, A.r,
Failures
per Year Forced Hours
~
of Downtime
1. Electric utility 1.956
per Year
2. 13.8 kV cable and terminations 0.0073
1. Electric utility 2.582
3. Disconnect switch 0.0061
2. Transformer 1.0260*
4. 13.8 kV circuit breaker 0.0036
3. 13.8 kV circuit breaker 0.2992'
5. Switchgear bus-insulated 0.0034
4. 13.8 kV cable and terminations 0.1908'
6. Transformer 0.0030
5. Switchgear bus-insulated 0.0911
7. 480 V circuit breaker 0.0027
6. Switchgear bus-bare 0.0576
8. 480 V circuit breaker (main) 0.0027
7 . Disconnect switch 0.0220
9. Switchgear bus-bare 0.0024
8. 480 V circuit breaker 0.0108
10. 480 V circuit breakers (5) (failed 0.0012
while opening) 9. 480 V circuit breaker (main) 0.0108
11. 480 V cable and terminations 0.0006 10. 480 V cable and terminations 0.0052
12. Protective relays (3) 0.0006 11. 480 V circuit breakers (5) 0.0048
(failed while opening)
Total 1.9896
12. Protective relays (3) 0.0030
Total 4.3033
Example 2b-If the time to switch to
a second utility power source takes less
than 5 seconds after a failure of the *Data for hours of downtime per failure are based
first source, then there would be no upon repair failed unit.
failure of the electric utility power sup-
ply. The only time a failure of the util- 1.8835 hours per year a t the 480 volt
ity power source would occur is when point of use; the failure rate would be
both sources fail simultaneously. It will reduced from 1.9896 to 0.3456 failures
be assumed that the data shown in per year. These results are also given in
Table 26 are applicable for loss of both Table 30.
power supply circuits simultaneously. Conclusion-Primary-Selective to the
This is 0.312 failures per year with a n 13.8 kV Utility Supply. The use of
average outage time of 0.52 hours. If primary-selective to the 13.8 kV utility
these values of utility supply data are supply with 9-minute manual switch-
substituted into Table 27, it would over time reduces the forced hours
result in reducing the forced hours downtime per year at the 480 volt point
downtime per year from 4.3033 to of use by about 50 percent, but the
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
90
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
d
Y
13.8 LV
NC
aNo
Source N o 2
500 MVA
300
Feet
1
Y1
/
Coble Point 600 F e e t
E Coble
J13 8001480 V
I
480 V
Cable
Fig 14
Primary Selective.to Load
Side of 13.8 kV Circuit Breaker
Example 3
91
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Table 31
Primary-Selective System to Load Side of 13.8 kV Circuit Breaker
Reliability and Availability Comparison of Power at 480 V Point of Use
Example 3a Example 3b
(9 min switchover (switchover in less
time) than 5 seconds")
A'r, A 'r,
A, Forced Hours A, Forced Hours of
Failures of Downtime Failures Downtime
Component per Year per Year per Year per Year
Loss of both 13.8 kV power sources simultaneously 0.312 0.1622 0.312 0.1622
Cable (13.8kV); 900 ft, conduit below ground 0.0055 0.1458' 0.0055 0.1458'
Cable terminations (6)a t 13.8 kV 0.0018 0.0450 0.0018 0.0450
Disconnect switch (enclosed) 0.0061 0.0220 0.0061 0.0220
Transformer 0.0030 1.0260* 0.0030 1.0260'
480 V metalclad circuit breaker 0.0027 0.0108 0.0027 0.0108
Switchgear bus-bare (connected to 7 breakers) 0.0024 0.0576 0.0024 0.0576
480 V metalclad circuit breaker 0.0027 0.0108 0.0027 0.0108
480 V metalclad circuit breakers (5)(failed
while opening) 0.0012 0.0048 0.0012 0.0048
Cable (480V); 300 ft, conduit above ground 0.0004 0.0044 0.0004 0.0044
Cable terminations (2)a t 480 V 0.0002 0.0008 0.0002 0.0008
*Data for hours of downtime per failure are based upon repair failed unit.
**Loss of 480 V power for less t h a n 5 s is not counted a s a failure.
92
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
d1 3 . 8 LV
NC
Source No1
-AT I utility
- -A-
Y
Source Nd
-
A A
500 MVA O N C
ONC
Point F
\(
m 1 3 800/480 V
480 V
Fig 15
Primary Selective to Primary
of Transformer
Example 4
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Table 32
Primary-Selective System to Primary of Transformer
Reliability and Availability Comparison of Power
at 480 V Point of Use
Example 4
(switchover time 1 h)
h.r,
A, Forced Hours
Failures of Downtime
Component per Year per Year
* Data for hours of downtime per failure a r e based upon repair failed unit.
7.1.10 Example 5-Secondary Selective power for less than 5 seconds is not
System. counted as a failure).
Description of Secondary-Selective Results-Secondary-Selective System.
System. Fig 16 shows a one-line The results from the reliability and
diagram of the power distribution sys- availability calculations are given in
tem for a secondary-selective system. Table 33.
What are the failure rate and forced Conclusions-Secondary-Selective
hours of downtime per year at the 480 System. The Simple Radial System in
volt point of use? Example 5a-Assume Example 1 had a n average forced hours
%minute manual switchover time. downtime per year that was 19 times.
Example 5b- Assume automatic switch- larger than the Secondary-Selective Sys-
over can be accomplished in less than 5 tem in Example 5b with automatic
seconds after a failure (loss of 480 volt throwover in less than 5 seconds. The
94
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
1 1 3 . 8 kV 1 13.8 LV
8 NC
500 MVA
0 NC
7
C:eoaeob+l eOf - ' C a b l eF e e t
-t
600 Feet
Cable
300
Feet
d l 3 800/480 V
T- /t\
)N C . , .N C
G. v NO
I
480 V
Cable
Fig 16
Secondary-Selective System
Example 5
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Table 33
Secondary-Selective System
Reliability and Availability Comparison of Power
at 480 V Point of Use
Example 5a Example 5b
(9 min. switchover (switchover in less
time) t h a n 5 SI*)
A.r, A 'r,
A, Forced Hours A, Forced Hours of
Failures of Downtime Failures Downtime
Component per Year per Year per Year per Year
*Data for hours downtime per failure a r e based upon repair failed unit.
**Loss of 480 V power for less t h a n 5 s is not counted as a failure.
96
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
failure rate of the Simple Radial System downtime per year a t the 480 volt point
was six times larger than the of use.
Secondary-Selective System in Example These data do not include outages for
5b with automatic throwover in less scheduled maintenance of the electrical
than 5 seconds. equipment. It is assumed that scheduled
7.1.11 Example 6-Simple Radial Sys- maintenance will be performed a t times
tem with Spares. when 480 volt power output is not
Description of Simple Radial System needed. If this is not possible, then
with Spares. Fig 12 shows a one-line outages for scheduled maintenance
diagram of the power distribution sys- would have to be added to the numbers
tem for a simple radial system. What shown in Table 35. This would affect a
are the failure rate and forced hours of Simple Radial System much more than
downtime per year of the 480 volt point a Secondary-Selective System because of
of use if all of the following spare parts redundancy of electrical equipment in
are available and can be installed as a the latter.
replacement in these average times? 7.1.13 Discussion-Cost of Power
Outages. The forced hours of downtime
(1) 13.8 kV circuit breaker (inside per year is a measure of forced unavail-
plant only) -2.1 h
ability and is equal to the product of
(2) 900 f t of cable (13.8 kV) - 19 h (failures per year) x (average hours)
downtime per failure. The average
(3) 1000 kVA transformer-130 h
downtime per failure could be called
The above three “replace with spare” restorability and is a very important
times were obtained from Table 24 and parameter when the forced hours of
are the actual values obtained from the downtime per year are determined. The
IEEE Reliability Survey of Industrial cost of power outages in a n industrial
Plants 111. The times are much lower plant is usually dependent upon both
than the “repair failed unit” times that the failure rate and the restorability of
were used in Examples 1 through 5. the power system. In addition, the cost
Results-Simple Radial System with of power outages is also dependent on
Spares. The results of the reliability the “plant restart time” after power has
and availability calculations are given been restored [51. The “plant restart
in Table 34. They are compared with time” would have to be added to the
those of the Simple Radial System in “average downtime per failure” r, in
Example 1 using average outage times Table 35 when cost versus reliability
based upon “repair failed unit.” and availability studies are made in the
Conclusions-Simple Radial System design of the power distribution system.
with Spares. The Simple Radial System The IEEE survey of industrial plants
with Spares in Example 6 had a forced [11 found t h a t the average “plant res-
hours downtime per year t h a t was 22 tart time” after a failure t h a t caused
percent lower than the Simple Radial complete plant shutdown was 17.4
System in Example 1. hours. The median value was 4.0 hours.
7.1.12 Overall Results from Six Exam- 7.1.14 Discussion-Definition of Power
ples. The results for the six examples Failure. A failure of 480 volt power was
are compared in Table 35 which shows defined in this guide as a complete loss
the failure rates and the forced hours of incoming power for more than 5
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
mwm *
**o *m
888 2
0 0 0
** ** *
1 9 *
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m*m w
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o m ~ m o o o m w m w*m
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98
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS A N D COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
c
2
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IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
100
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS A N D COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
examples was done for 480 volt low- ity of industrial power systems would
voltage power distribution systems. It have a n accuracy similar to that
is believed that 600-volt systems would obtained by the Air Force with elec-
have similar reliability and availability. tronic systems.
One of the assumptions made in the Some of the errors introduced when
reliability and availability analysis is making reliability and availability pre-
that the failure rate of the electrical dictions using published industry
equipment remains constant with age. failure rates for the electrical equip-
It is believed that this assumption does ment are:
not introduce significant errors in the
conclusions. However, it is suspected (1)All details that could contribute to
that the failure rate of cables may unreliability are not included in the
change somewhat with age. In addition, study.
data collected by the Edison Electric (2)Some of the contributions from
Institute on failures of power trans- human error may not be properly
formers above 2500 kVA show that the included.
failure rate is higher during the first (3)Equipment failure rates can be
few years of service. The reliability data influenced by the adequacy of the
collected in the IEEE survey [11 did not preventive maintenance program
attempt to determine how the failure [11,[111. Contamination from the
rate varied with age for any electrical environment can also have a n influence
equipment studied. on equipment failure rates.
A logical question asked very often is, (4) Correct conclusions can be made
how accurate are reliability and avail- from statistical analysis on the average.
ability predictions? It is believed that But some plants will never experience
the predicted failure rates and forced these average problems that are
outage hours per year are a t best only designed for. For example, several
accurate to within a factor of 2 to what plants will never have a transformer
might be achieved in the field. How- failure.
ever, the relative reliability and avail-
ability comparison of the alternative I n spite of these limitations, it is
power distribution systems studied believed that reliability and availability
should be more accurate than 2:l. analyses can be very useful in cost-
The Rome Air Development Center of reliability and cost-availability tradeoff
the United States Air Force has had studies during the design phase of the
considerable experience comparing the power distribution system.
predicted reliability of Electronic Sys- 7.1.17 Spot Network. A spot network
tems with the actual reliability results would have a calculated reliability and
achieved in the field. These results [91 availability approximately the same as
show that there is approximately a 12 the automatic throwover secondary-
percent chance that the field failure selective system[71,[81. In addition it
rate will be more than 2:l worse than would have the benefit of no momentary
the reliability prediction made using a outage in the event of a failure of any
reliability handbook for electronic of the 13.8 kV cables or equipment since
equipment such as [lo]. It might be bus voltage is not lost on a spot net-
expected that the prediction of reliabil- work.
101
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
7.1.18 Protective Devices other than be used in the analysis of four exam-
Drawout Circuit Breakers. The six exam- ples.
ples in this chapter used drawout cir- The four example systems included
cuit breakers as protective devices. are :
Other types of protective devices are Example 1-Simple Radial System-
also available for use on power systems. Single 13.8 kV Utility Supply.
The examples in this chapter attempted
to show how to make reliability and Example 2b-Primary-Selective to
availability calculations. No attempt 13.8 kV Utility Supply (Dual)-
was made to study the effect on reliabil- Switchover Time Less than Five
ity and availability of different types of Seconds.
protective devices nor to draw conclu- Example 4-Primary-Selective to Pri-
sions that any particular type of protec- mary of Transformer- 13.8 kV Utility
tive device was more cost effective than Supply (Dual)-Manual Switchover in
another. One Hour
Example 5b-Secondary-Selective
7.2 Cost Data Applied to Examples of
with Switchover Time Less than Five
Reliability and Availability Analysis of
Seconds.
Common Low-Voltage Industrial Power
Distribution Systems” Table 35 lists the expected failures
7.2.1 Cost Evaluation of Reliability per year and the average downtime per
and Availability Predictions“ Cost year for each of the examples. These
evaluations are made of the reliability data will be used to show which of the
and availability predictions of four examples has the Minimum Revenue
power distribution system examples Requirement (MRR) making allowances
from Chapter 7.1. The “Revenue for:
Requirements Method” described in Sec- (1)Plant Startup Time
tion 2.2.3.1 is utilized in order to deter-
mine the most cost-effective system. (2) Revenues Lost
7.2.2 Description of Cost Evaluation (3) Variable Expenses Saved
Problem. Management insists that the
engineer utilize an economic evaluation (4) Variable Expenses Incurred
in any capital improvement program. (5) Investment
The elements to be included and a
method of mathematically equating the (6) Fixed Investment Charges
cost impact to be expected from electri- One of the benefits of such a rigidly
cal interruptions and downtimes against structured analysis is that the presenta-
the cost of a new system were presented tion is made in a sequential manner
in Chapter 2.2. It was pointed out that utilizing cost/failure data prepared with
there are several acceptable ways of the assistance of management. With
accomplishing the detailed economic this arrangement the results of the
analysis for evaluation of systems with evaluation are less likely to be ques-
varying degrees of reliability. One of tioned than if a less sophisticated
those considered acceptable, the Reve- method were used.
nue Requirements (RR) Method was 7.2.3 Procedures for Cost Analyses.
presented in detail, and this method will Utilizing the single-line diagrams for
102
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS A N D COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
103
IEEE
Std 493-198G RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
Y
3 0 0
P
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104
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND COST EVALUATION Std 493-1980
Table 38
Sample Reliability Economics Problem*
(9)Items (7) + (8) $44 320 $50 900 $42 960 $41 380
(11) Items (9)x (10)= X , $/year $88 197 $17 815 $85 490 $13 241
(12)C * * = investment, $ $61 700 $141 700 $171 900 $200 900
105
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
106
8. Basic Concepts of Reliability Analysis
by Probability Methods
108
~
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS BY PROBABILITY METHODS Std 493-1980
8.2.6 Probability Distribution Function. The function f(x) has certain specific
Probability distribution function properties [111 including the following:
describes the variability of a random
variable. For a discrete random variable
X, assuming values xi, the probability
density function is defined by:
8.2.7 Expectation. The probabilistic
behavior of a random varaiable is com-
pletely defined by the probability den-
sity function. It is often, however, desir-
The probability density function for a
discrete random variable is also called 'Numbers in brackets correspond to those in
probability mass function and has the the References at the end of this Section.
109
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
111
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL A N D COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
f f = P ( C 1 )w 1 + P(C2) w2
= c
i=l
fcq rcs/c
i= 1
fCSi
(Eq 20)
+ . . . + P(Crn,W, where
and
The mean failure duration is given by :
d f= Pf Iff
For example, for a cut-set having three
When the mean time between the components 1, 2, and 3:
failure of components is much larger
than the mean time to repair or in A1 A 2 A 3 (Pl + P2 + P3)
other words, the component availabili- f c s i = (A1 + p1) (A2 + p 2 ) (A3 + pug)
ties approach unity, Eqs 16 and 17 can
be approximated [31 by simpler equa- =Al A, A, (rl r 2 + r 2 r3 + r 3 rl),
tions:
assuming A i <<P
rn rn
Pf= P(C2) = Z P c s , (Eq 18) and
2=1 i= 1
and rl r2 r3
rn rcs, = r1 r 2 + r2 r 3 + r 3 r1
f f = 2 P ( E i , Wl
2=1
= CfCS;
i= 1
(Eq 19)
8.4.2 State Space Approach. The
state-space method is a very general
where Pcsiand f C s i are the probability
approach and can be used when the
and frequency of cut-set event i. Also, components are independent as well as
d f = Pf I f f for systems involving dependent failure
and repair modes. The different steps of
= IC
CPCSL fCSL
this approach are illustrated using a
r=l i=l
IEEE
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS B Y PROBABILITY METHODS Std 493-1980
Fig 1 7
One Component in a Series with
Two Components in Parallel
SOURCE
ID 2 U 3U IU 2D 3 U lU 2U 3D
Is.
SUCCESS
FA1L U R E
Fig 18
State Transition Diagram for the
System Shown in Fig 17
/ IU 2 u 3u I,
I LU 2D 3 U I
SZ
F2
SYSTEM S U C C E S S
----
1, SYSTEM FAILURE
i
I D 2D 3U I U 2 D 3D
.s5
Fig 19
State Transition Diagram for the
System Shown in Fig 17 when
Components are not Independent
The mean failure duration can be 0.4.3 Network Reduction. The net-
obtained from P f and f f using: work reduction procedure is useful for
systems consisting of series and parallel
d f= p fI ff (Eq 26) subsystems. The method consists in suc-
cessively reducing the series and paral-
lel structures by equivalent components.
In the preceding analysis, it has been The knowledge of series and parallel
assumed that the failure of a component reduction formulas is essential for the
does not alter the probability of failure application of this technique.
of the remaining components. If, how- 0.4.4 Series system. The components
ever, it is assumed t h a t after the system are said to be in series when the failure
failure, no further component failure of any one component causes system
will take place, the state transition failure. It should be noted that the com-
diagram of Fig 18 will be modified as ponents do not have to be physically in
shown in Fig 19. Now once component 1 series, it is the effect of failure t h a t is
fails or components 2 and 3 fail, no important. Two types of series systems
further failure is possible. The probabil- are discussed.
ities in this case cannot be calculated by a. Independent components. For the
simple multiplication. It can be com- series system of independent com-
puted by solving a set of linear equa- ponents, the failure and repair rate of
tions [ l l . Once the state probabilities the equivalent component are given by:
n
have been calculated, the remaining A,= hi
procedure is the same. (Eq 27)
i= 1
IEEE
Std 493-1980 RELIABLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS
i= 1
A i l p i ) -1) (Eq 28)
for component MTBF much larger than
MTTR, the r s for the dependent and the
independent cases are practically equal.
where A, and p , are the equivalent 8.4.5 Parallel system. Two com-
failure and repair rates of the series sys- ponents are considered in parallel when
tem and either can ensure system success. The
n
equivalent failure and repair rates of a
denotes product of values 1 through parallel system of two components are
i=l given by:
n.
Part 1
Reliability of Electrical Equipment
Part 2
Cost of Power Outages, Plant Restart Time,
Critical Service Loss Duration Time, and
Type of Loads Lost Versus Time of Power Outages
Part 3
Causes and Types of Failures of Electrical
Equipment, The Methods of Repair, and the Urgency of Repair
BY
Reliability Subcommittee
Industry & Commercial Power Systems Committee
IEEE Industry Applications Society
W. H. Dickinson, Chairman
P. E. Gannon D. W. McWilliams
M. D. Harris R. W. Parisian
C. R. Heising A. D. Patton
W. J. Pearce
Published by
IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications
MarIApr 1974
117
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
Absrrocr-An IEEE sponsored survey of electrical equipment reliabil- 6) repair urgency information;
ity in industrial plants was completed during 1972. The results are 7) causes and types of failures:
reported from this survey which included a total of 1982 equipment 8) maintenance data and policies,
failures that were reported by 30 companies covering 68 plants in nine
industries in the United States and Canada. ‘It is not practical to publish all the results contained in the
survey in a single paper. They will be presented in six sep-
INTRODUCTION arate parts. The first three parts are published at this time
quantitative reliability comparisons between alternative designs Lost Versus Time of Power Outages [ I 1) ;
of new systems and then use this information in cost-reliahil- Part 3 , Causes and Types of Failures, Methods of Repair,
ity tradeoff studies t o determine which type of power distrihu- and Urgency of Repair [ I21 .
tion systems to use [ 1 ] - [ 1 0 ] . The cost of power outages at
the various plant locations can he factored into the decision as A major part of the data in these three papers are presented
to which type of power distribution system to use. These in summary form. It is expected that the additional three
decisions can then he based upon t o t a l owning over papers will be presented at a later date and will contain further,
useful life of the equipment rather than first cost. in-depth information where questions have been raised to point
O u t the need for data.
In 1969 a Reliability Working Group was formed under the
Industrial Plants Power Systems Subcommittee, Industrial and
Cominercial Power Systems Committee. In 1972 the activity SURVEYFORM
was changed to a Reliability Subcommittee under the same The survey form is shown in Appendix A . Three types of
Committee. One of the major activities of the Reliability cards were used for reporting the information.
Working Group and the Reliability Subcommittee has been to Card type 1 asks for data on plant identification and other
conduct a survey of equipment reliability in industrial plants. general plant information.
This survey was conducted during the latter half of 1971 and Card type 2 asks for data on a specific equipment class, in-
the early part of 1972 and attempted to update a similar sur- cluding the total number of installed units, on their failure
vey [ 1 I ] which had been conducted eleven years ago. The experience, on maintenance practices, and on estimated repair
results from the present survey contain data o n failure rate and times of failed equipment.
average downtime per failure for 74 equipment categories. The Card type 3 asks for data on each individual failure reported
Reliability Subcommittee also felt that additional information on a card type 2 .
was needed in the present survey beyond what was collected It was necessary to provide definitions for “failure” and
twelve years ago. Some of the additional information is the “repair time.”
following: A failure is defined as any trouble with a power system com-
ponent that causes any of the following to occur:
1) cost o f power outages of industrial plants;
2 ) plant restart time; I ) partial or complete plant shutdown, or below-standard
3) critical service loss duration time; plant operation;
4) type of loads lost versus time of power outages; 2 ) unacceptable performance of user’s equipment;
5) repair or replacement time data; 3) operation of the electrical protective relaying or emer-
gency operation of the plant electrical system;
Paper TOD-73-158, approved by the Industrial and Commercial Pouer 4) de-energization of any electric circuit or equipment.
Systems Committee of the IEEE Industry Applicatlons Society for
presentation at the 1973 Industrial and Commercial Power Systems A failure on a public system may the
Technical Conference, Atlanta, Ca., May 13-16. Manuscript released
for publication November 5, 1973. user to have either I ) a power interruption or loss of service. or
2 ) a deviation from normal voltage or trequency of sufficient
, ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ d ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ : Y c ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ a f : , e e f ~ h ~ ~ ~ ~ , ~
P. E. Gannon, id.D. Harris. C. K . Heisinp, D. \v. !dcwilliams, R . w. Pan- magnitude or duration to disrupt plant production. A failure
sian, A. D. Patton, and W . J . Pearce. on an in-plant component causes a forced outage of the compo-
118
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
nent, and the component thereby is unable t o perform its A typical value often chosen for the confidence interval IS
intended function until it is repaired or replaced. 0.90. Once values for hL_and XU are found, one can say that
Repair time of a failed component or duration of a failure is 1,whose best estimate is A, lies between X L and Xu with 1007
the clock hours from the time of the occurrence of the failure percent confidence. Clearly the narrower the izterval between
t o the time when the component is restored to service, either A, and X u , the greater one’s confidence that X is a good esti-
by repair of the component or by substitution with a spare mate of X, the true failure rate. Expressions for X L and Xu are
component. It is not the time required to restore service t o a given as follows [ 171 :
load by putting alternate circuits into operation. It includes
time for diagnosing the trouble, locating the failed component,
waiting for parts, repairing or replacing, testing, and restoring
the component t o service.
RESPONSETO SURVEY
A total of 30 companies responded to the survey question- where x 2 p , nis the p percentage point of a chi-squared distribu-
naire, reporfing data on 68 plants from nine industries in the tion with n degrees of freedom. xzp. n is tabled in statistical
United States and Canada as shown in Table I . There was a handbooks.
total of 1982 equipment failures reported i,n the survey; this By substituting the value of T from (1) into (4) and (5) we get
included more than 620 000 unit-years of experience. Many of
the plants reported data covering more than one year of
experience.
Most of the data were reported to the IEEE Reliability Sub-
committee during late 1971 and early 1972. Unfortunately, a (7)
downturn in the business cycle during thjs period of time
caused many companies to reduce their work force and The deviation of the lower confidence level f r o m a in percent
because of this fewer were able to participate in the survey than of% is
had been originally hoped
%devL = 100 ( 1 - %)
SURVEY DATAPREPARATION \ AI
ofthe returned survey forms were reviewed, Similarly, the deviation of the upper confidence level from ‘i
An attempt was made to clarify any discrepancies that were in percent O f % is
detected. usable data were punched onto IBM cards for use in
data processing. %devu = 100 (?- 1) . (9)
STATISTICAL O F EQUIPMENT
ANALYSIS FAILURES Equations (6)-(9) were used to develop Fig. 1 . These curves
Two equipment parameters are of prime importance in avoid the need of looking up xZp,n.Here hL and X u are
making system reliability studies. These parameters are 1) fail- plotted in terms of percent deviation from X as a function of
ure rate and 2) average outage duration or repair time. The the observed number of failures.
best estimate for the failure rate of a particular type of e q u i p The best estimate for the average outage duration or repair
ment is the number of failures actually observed, divided by time for a particular type of equipment is simply the average
the total exposure time in unit-years, that is, of the observed outage durations. Confidence limit expressions
for average outage durations are also available if the distribu-
A -
f
tional nature of outage durations is known [17].However,
T
such expressions are not given here primarily because the
where average outage durations given in this paper are intended as a
rough guide only. Equipment outage durations are believed to
1 best estimate of failure rate in failures per unit-year
be more a function of the nature of a power system’s operator
X true failure rate
f number of failures observed than an inherent function of the equipment itself. Hence,
T . total exposure time in unit-years. average outage durations for equipment used in reliability
studies should be values believed most reasonable for the
Statements regarding the accuracy of failure rate estimates can particular system being studied.
be made through the use of confidence limits [IO], [ 141 -[ 17). The data from the survey contained information on the
Failure rate confidence limits are upper and lower values of failure and repair characteristics of 217 categories of equip-
failure rate such that the following equations hold: ment. However, the number of observed failures for many
equipment categories was too small t o allow adequately accu-
rate estimates of failure rates to be made. The Reliability Sub-
committee felt that a minimum of eight to tenobserved failures
was required for “good” accuracy when estimating equipment
(3)
failure rates (see Fig. 1). Therefore, whenever possible and
where reasonable from an engineering point of view, equipment cate-
gories having less than ten observed failures were combined
A, lower confidence limit of failure rate with other categories so as to bring the number of observed
XU upper confidence limit of failure rate failures in the combined category up to a minimum of ten. In
7 confidence interval (or confidence level). some cases an equipment category with a large number of
119
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
+180
4160
+120
+loo
+@I
Deviation
i n Percent + 60
of Best
Estimate
o f Failure + 40
Rate
+ 20
- 20
- 40
- 60
-100
1 2 5 10 20 50 100 200
Number of Observed F a i l u r e s
Nurrber Number
of of
Type o f I n d u s t r y Companies Plants
120
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
observed failures was further subdivided. In most cases the circuit electric utility power supplies. In addition, there was
equipment size attribute was eliminated by combining cate- some confusion on the outage time after a failure of a single
gories that were identical except for equipment size. These circuit of a double- or triple-circuit utility power supply. See
steps reduced the original 217 equipment categories to the 74 the separate discussion elsewhere in this paper on these points.
categories published in this paper. A total of 66 equipment These are the only known major problems of misinterpretation
categories have eight or more observed failures each; the other of survey questions.
eight categories have between four and seven observed failures I t is suspected that the failure rate estimates may be biased
each. on the high side due to the tendency of companies to report
only on equipment that has actually experienced failures. In
SURVEYRESULTSOF EQUIPMENT
FAILURES other words, some companies may have omitted submitting
Table 2 gives a summary of the “All Industry” equipment unit-years of experience data ori equipment that had no
failure rate and equipment outage duration data for the 6 6 failures. This factor may be partially balanced out by the be-
equipment categories that contain eight or more failures. The lief that the companies that participated in the survey may be
“actual hours downtime per failure” is based upon the actual the ones that have the best maintenance programs and keep the
outage data of the failed equipment; the “industry average” best records and thus may have lower failure rates than the
uses all equipment failures, and the “median plant average” average.
uses all plants that reported actual outage time data on e q u i p It is expected that a future paper will contain a comparison
ment failures. of the equipment reliability from this survey with the results
The 1962 survey [ 1 I ] contained equipment outage duration from the previous survey [ I l l that was published in 1962. A
data on failures that have been challenged for two reasons. preliminary comparison has been made and shows the following
1) Repairing a failed component may take much longer than overall conclusion for 1973 versus 1962.
replacing with a spare (for example, a large power transformer). 1) The 1973 equipment failure rates are about 0.6 times the
2) The urgency for repair is a significant factor in the outage 1962 failure rates.
time (low priority repairs may take days or weeks). 2) The 1973 average downtime per failure is about 1.6 times
In order to help correct these deficiencies, two additional the 1962 average downtime per failure.
columns on “repair” and “replace with spare” were included 3 ) The product of failure rate times average downtime per
in the survey and contain average estimated clock hours to fix failure is almost the same in 1973 as 1962.
failure during a 24-hour work day. These estimates are averaged Both of these parameters are within a factor of two; and this
over all the plants participating in the survey, even where there is often the best accuracy that can be expected from reliability
were no actual failures. These results are reported in Table 2 data.
and are not included in the more detailed Tables 3-19. How accurate are the failure rates shown in Tables 2-19?
Tables 3-19 give more detailed data on equipment failure Fig. 1 shows the upper and lower confidence limits of the
rate and actual hours of equipment downtime per failure for failure rate versus the number of failures observed. It can be
74 equipment categories; this includes the 6 6 equipment cate- seen that ten failures has upper and lower confidence limits of
gories in Table 2 plus the eight equipment categories containing +70 percent and -46 percent for a 90 percent confidence
from four to seven failures. The additional detail includes interval. It is possible to determine the upper and lower confi-
dence limits for the failure rate data shown in Tables 3-19.
1) sample size in unit years;
2) number of failures; EXAMPLEO F CONFIDENCE
LIMITCALCULATION
3) number of plants reporting data; The use of Fig. I to determine confidence limits will be
4) additional data on actual hours of downtime per failure; illustrated with an example. Suppose that it is desired to
5) data for various industry groups where there were ten or compute confidence limits on the failure rate of liquid-filled
more failures in that industry. transformers with voltage above IS kV in the chemical in-
The data on average estimated clock hours to fix failure dustry. _The desired confidence interval is 9 0 percent. From
during 24-hour work day have been omitted from Tables 3-19. Table 4 , X = 0.01 19 failures per unit-year, and the number of
The reliability data in Tables 1 4 , 1 6 , and 18 on cables, joints, observed failures is 19. Entering Fig. 1 with 19 observed fail-
and terminations represent a different look at the same data ures and using the 90 percent confidence interval curves yields
that are contained in Tables 13, 15,and 17. Oneset of tables
looks at the type of insulation and the other set of tables looks
at the application of the cable. X, = % - 0.34%
= 0.01 19 - 0.0041 = 0.0078 failures per unit-yea1
A N D DISCUSSION
GENERALCOMMENTS
A survey that collects data from many plants often contains
X u = % t 0.46%
errors. Some of the errors are due to a misinterpretation of = 0.01 19 + 0.0055 = 0.0174 failures per unit-year.
the question by the respondent, and in other cases they can be
caused by omission.
Many of the respondents apparently misinterpreted the There is a 90 percent chance that the true failure rate lies
question on “number of installed units” for double- or triple- between 0.0078 and 0.0174 failures per unit-year.
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
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APPENdIX A (P. 1 o f 7 )
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR I E E E SURVEY FORM ON
RELIABILITY OF ELECTRIC EQUIPMENT I N INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
'URPOSE T h i s s u r v e y i s i n t e n d e d t o c o l l e c t d a t a on f a i l u r e s t h a t o c c u r i n i n - p l a n t e l e c t r i c
? q u i p m e n t and i n p u b l i c u t i l i t y e l e c t r i c power s u p p l i e s t h a t a f f e c t o p e r a t i o n s i n i n d u s t r i a l p l a n t s .
.le hope t h a t t h e s e d a t a w i l l d e t e r m i n e n o t o n l y a c c u r a t e f a i l u r e r a t e s and r e p a i r times on m a j o r
: l a s s e s o f e q u i p m e n t . b u t w i l l a l s o g i v e a n i n s i g h t i n t o t h e c a u s e s o f t h e s e f a i l u r e s i n s u c h a way
t h a t r e m e d i a l r e c o m m e n d a t i o n s may b e f o r m u l a t e d t o r e d u c e f a i l u r e s and t o i m p r o v e p l a n t p e r f o r m a n c e .
I n a d d i t i o n , s p a c e i s p r o v i d e d f o r r e m a r k s or c l a r i f y i n g comments o n t h e d a t a b e i n g r e p o r t e d . These
comments s h o u l d b e f i l l e d i n o n a l l d a t a s h e e t s , i f n e e d e d t o c l a r i f y d a t a .
DEFINITIONS
A component 1s a p i e c e of e q u i p m e n t , a l i n e or c i r c u i t , or a s e c t i o n o f a l i n e o r c i r c u i t , Or a
g r o u p o f i t e m s w h i c h i s viewed a s a n e n t i t y .
A system i a a g r o u p o f components c o n n e c t e d or a s s o c i a t e d i n a f i x e d c o n f i g u r a t i o n t o p e r f o r m a
s p e c i f i e d f u n c t i o n of g e n e r a t i n g , t r a n s m i t t i n g , or d i s t r i b u t i n g power.
(1) P a r t i a l or c o m p l e t e p l a n t s h u t d o w n , or b e l o w - s t a n d a r d p l a n t o p e r a t i o n
(2) Unacceptable performance o f u s e r ' s equipment
(3) O p e r a t i o n of t h e e l e c t r i c a l p r o t e c t i v e r e l a y i n g o r emergency o p e r a t i o n o f t h e p l a n t
e l e c t r i c a l system
(4) D e e n e r g i z a t i o n o f any e l e c t r i c c i r c u i t o r e q u i p m e n t
A f a i l u r e on an i n - p l a n t component c a u s e s a f o r c e d o u t a g e o f t h e c o m p o n e n t , a n d t h e component
thereby is unable t o perform i t s intended f u n c t i o n u n t i l i t is r e p a i r e d o r r e p l a c e d .
R e p a i r t i m e o f a f a i l e d component o r d u r a t i o n o f a f a i l u r e i s t h e c l o c k h o u r s f r o m t h e t i m e o f t h e
O c c u r r e n c e o f t h e f a i l u r e t o t h e t i m e when t h e component is r e s t o r e d t o s e r v i c e e i t h e r b r e p a i r
o f t h e component or by m u b s t i t u t i o n w i t h a s p a r e component. I t i s n o t t h e t i m e ' r e q u i r e d $0 r e s t o r e
a e r v i c e t o a l o a d by p u t t i n g a l t e r n a t e c i r c u i t s i n t o o p e i a t i o n .
I b i n c l u d e s t i m e f o r d i a g n o s i n g t h e t r o u b l e , l o c a t i n g t h e f a i l e d component, w a i t i n g f o r p a r t s .
r e p a i r i n g or r e p l a c i n g , t e s t i n g , and r e s t o r i n g t h e component t o s e r v i c e .
R e v i s i o n 3-4-71
135
A P P E N D I X A R E P O R T ON RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
2
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR I E E E SURVEY FORM ON
RELIABILITY OF ELECTRIC EQUIPMENT I N INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
(SPONSORED BY THE RELIABILITY WORKING GROUP,
INDUSTRIAL PLANTS POWER SYSTEMS SUBCOMMITTEE,
INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS COMMITTEE)
GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS
1 1-10, 36
2 11-18. 33-36
3 25, 29, 30-53, 57, 58
CODE DESCRIPTION
Main 20 = t r a n s f o r m e r
Sub 1 4 = parer
sub 2
Voltage
Size
2 -
34 = l i q u i d f i l l e d
601-15,000 v o l t s primary
3 = 300-750 kVA
I n g e n e r a l , CARD-TYPE 1 a s k s f o r d a t a o n p l a n t i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and o t h e r g e n e r a l p l a n t i n f o r m a t i o n .
CARD-TYPE 2 a s k s f o r d a t a on a s p e c i f i c e q u i p m e n t c l a s s , i n c l u d i n g t h e t o t a l number o f i n s t a l l e d
u n i t s , o n t h e i r f a i l u r e e x p e r i e n c e , o n m a i n t e n a n c e p r a c t i c e s , and o n e s t i m a t e d r e p a i r times of
f a i l e d equipment. The t o t a l i n s t a l l e d u n i t s a n d t h e i r f a i l u r e e x p e r i e n c e i s t h e most e s s e n t i a l
d a t a asked f o r .
A t y p i c a l p l a n t m i g h t h a v e a s many a s , s a y 30 d i f f e r e n t e q u i p m e n t c l a s s e s . T h e s e 30 e q u i p m e n t
c l a s s e s might h a v e , f o r exarrple 10 d i f f e r e n t f a i l u r e s . To r e p o r t t h i s i n f o r m a t i o n r e q u i r e s 30
p a g e s o f t h e S u r v e y Form, o n e f o r e a c h d i f f e r e n t e q u i p m e n t c l a s s . CARD-TYPE 1 i s f i l l e d i n
c o m p l e t e l y o n t h e f i r s t p a g e a n d p a r t l y t h e r e a f t e r . CARD-TYPE 2 i s f i l l e d i n o n e a c h p a g e .
CARDS-TYPE 3 a r e f i l l e d i n 1 0 times, o n c e f o r e a c h f a i l u r e , i f a n y .
F i l l i n I t e m s 1-8 o n r e v e r s e s i d e o f f i r s t p a g e o f d a t a f o r e a c h p l a n t .
136
IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S M A R / A P R 1974
WD
APPENDIX A (P. 2 o f
3
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR I E E E SURVEY FORM ON
RELIABILITY OF ELECTRIC EQUIPMENT I N INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
(SPONSORED BY THE RELIABILITY W J R K I N G GROUP,
INDUSTRIAL PLANTS POWER SYSTEMS SUBCOMMITTEE,
INDUSTRIAL AND CCUMERCIAL POWER SYSTEt4S COMMITTEE
I n a d d i t i o n , e a c h CARD-TYPE 2 i s u s e d t o r e p o r t o n m a i n t e n a n c e p r a c t i c e s and e s t i m a t e d r e p a i r t i m e s .
T h e s e a r e y o u r b e a t e a t i m a t e o f r e p a i r times. T h e s e e s t i m a t e d t i m e s w i l l be u s e d i f a c t u a l r e p a i r
tims a r e n o t known, o r i f a c t u a l r e p a i r times a r e much d i f f e r e n t from t h e a v e r a q e f o r some s p e c i a l
r e a s o n which is u n l i k e l y t o r e c u r . W e p r e f e r t o use a c t u a l d a t a i f a v a i l a b l e .
These d a t a a r e t o be l e f t b l a n k f o r f a i l u r e s on t h e u t i l i t y power s u p p l y , s i n c e t h i s i n f o r m a t i o n
1. n o t n o r m a l l y a v a i l a b l e .
Each CARD-TYPE 3 r e p o r t r s p e c i f i c i n f o r m a t i o n on o n e f a i l u r e , s u c h a s f a i l u r e d u r a t i o n , u r g e n c y o f
r e p a i r , c a u s e o f f a i l u r e , l o a d s a f f e c t e d by t h e f a i l u r e , and e f f e c t o f f a i l u r e o n p l a n t o p e r a t i o n s .
ShHPL E
7)DATE 3 - 4- 7/ IEEE SURVEY FORM 11-1-70 PAGES PAGE
CARDS - TYPE 3
138
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/AF'R 1974
UID APPENDIX A ( P . 3 of 7)
5
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR CARD-TYPE 1
(REFER Po SURVEY FORM IWSTRUCTIOW
CARD - TYPE 1 -
(NOTE * REFERS TO CODED DATA1
P l a n t No F i l l i n on a l l p a g e s a s e q u e n c e number s t a r t i n g w i t h "1" f o r P l a n t 1,
" 2 " f o r P l a n t 2 , e t c . f o r i d e n t i f i c a t i o n o f d a t a . A p l a n t may c o n s i s t
o f o n e o r more u n i t s a t t h e same s i t e .
Plant v p e F i l l i n on a l l p a g e s t h e p l a n t t y p e
1 Auto I n d u s t r y
2 Cement I n d u s t r y
3 Chemical I n d u s t r y
4 Metal I n d u s t r y
5 Mininq I n d u s t r y
6 Petroleum I n d u s t r y
7 P u l p and P a p e r I n d u s t r y
8 Rubber and P l a s t i c s I n d u s t r y
9 Textile Industry
10 Other Light Manufacturing
11 O t h e r Heavy M a n u f a c t u r i n g
99 Other
P l a n t Atmosphere 1 Clean t o s l i g h t l y p o l l u t e d a i r
(For e n t i r e 2 With s a l t s p r a y a n d c o r r o s i v e c h e m i c a l s
plant site) 3 With s a l t s p r a y a n d d u s t o r s a n d
4 With s a l t s p r a y o n l y
5 With c o r r o s i v e c h e m i c a l s and d u s t o r s a n d
6 With c o r r o s i v e c h e m i c a l s o n l y
7 With d u s t o r s a n d o n l y
8 With c o n d u c t i v e d u s t
9 Other
Plant Operating
Schedulc
Hours p e r d a y G i v e h o u r s p e r n o r m a l w o r k i n g day t h a t p l a n t o p e r a t e s
Estimated Plant
Outage C o s t , D o l l a r s
6
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR CARD-TYPE 1
OL
MN NAME CODE DESCRIPTION
20 P e r h o u r downtime Value o f l o s t p r o d u c t i o n i n d o l l a r s p e r h o u r of p l a n t d w n t i m e o n l y .
T h i s is t h e e s t i m a t e d r e v e n u e s (sales p r i c e ) of p r o d u c t n o t made, l e s a
e x p e n s e s s a v e d i n labor, m a t e r i a l , u t i l i t i e s , etc. If t h i s v a r i e s
w i t h t h e d u r a t i o n o f t h e p l a n t d w n t i m e , u s e an a v e r a g e v a l u e p e r h o u r
33 No o f u n i t s G i v a t h e maximum tifra i n u n i t s d e f i n e d i n C o l 36 o f l o s s o f s e r v i c e
t o t h e p l a n t which w i l l n o t c a u s e a complete p l a n t 8 h u t d w n . h Y
power i n t e r r u p t i o n of l o n g e r d u r a t i o n w i l l c a u s e a p l a n t shutdown.
I n o t h e r w o r d s , g i v e maximum l e n y t h o f power f a i l u r e t h a t w i l l n o t
stop plant production. T h i s time i s t y p i c a l l y i n the r a n g e Of
cycles t o minutes.
36 Units S e l e c t c o d e f o r a p p r o p r i a t e time u n i t t h a t w i l l g i v e a c c u r a t e r e s u l t s .
Days
HOUIS
Minutes
Seconds
Cycles
140
IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S M A R / A P R 1974
7
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR CARD-TYPE 2
CARD - TYPI ?
CODE DESCRIPTION
S e l e c t a p p r o p r i a t e c o d e f o r Column 11-18
1 Main C l a s s 10 U t i l i t y power s u p p l i e s t o p l a n t
20 Transformers
30 C i r c u i t Breakers
40 Cable (Excluding j o i n t s and t e r m i n a t i o n s )
41 Cable J o i n t s
42 Cable Terminations
43 C a b l e Duct o r Busway
44 Open Wire
45 Busduct
46 S w i t c h g e a r Bua - i n s u l a t e d
47 S w i t c h g e a r Bus - b a r e
50 notors
60 Generators
70 notor Starters
eo Diaconnect Switches
90 Mincellaneous
99 qther
For 20 - Transformers
4 Pcwer
5 Other
For 3 0 - C i r c u i t Breakers
6 Metal C l a d , drawout
7 F i x e d Type ( i n c l u d e s molded c a s e t y p e )
F o r 40-17 C a b l e o r Bus
F o r 50 - Motors
16 Induction, ac
17 Synchronous, a c
le Direct-current
F o r 60 - Generators
19 Steam T u r b i n e D r i v e n
20 Can T u r b i n e D r i v e n
21 Diesel o r Can E n g i n e D r i v e n
22 Motor-driven
F o r 70 - Motor S t a r t e r s
C o n t a c t o r Twe
23
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
nD
e
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR CARD-TYPE 2
CARD - TYPE 2
OL
IMN NN4E CODE DESCRIPTION
25 Open
26 Enclosed
For 90 - Miscellaneeus
27 Fuses
28 Protective relays
29 Batteries
30 Inverters
31 Rectifiers
99 Other
1 Automatically
2 By remote control
3 Manually
For 2 0 - Transformers
34 Liquid Filled
35 Dry Type
38 Rectifier
For 4 0 - 5 1 Cable
Type of Insulation
40 Thermoplastic (PVC)
41 Thermoplastic (Polyethylene)
42 Thermosetting ( S B R (Buna S ) Rubber)
43 Thermosetting (Buty1 Rubber )
44 Thermosetting (Oil Based Rubber)
45 Thermosetting (Cross-Linked Polyethylene)
46 Thermosetting (Silicone Rubber)
41 Thermosetting (Ethylene Propylene)
48 Thermosetting (Chlorosulphated Propylene)
49 Paper-Insulated Lead Covered
50 Varnished Cambric Insulated-Lead Covered
51 Mineral-Insulated
99 Other (Applies to Col 13-15, all classea, if not o t h e w l s e classified)
142
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/AF'R 1974
Lo APPENDIX A (P. 5 o f 7)
9
USER INSTRUCTION FOR CARD-TYPE 2
CARD-TYPE 2
3L
YN NAME CODE DESCRIPTION
1 100-600 m p e r e s
2 Above 600 amperes
F O ~Main C l a s s 20 - T r a n s f o r m e r s
3 300-750 kVA
4 751-2499 kVA
5 2500-up kVA
F o r Main C l a s s 40-45 - Cable, etc
6 Above No 1 A W ;
F o r Main C l a s s 50 - M o t o r s
FOK Main C l a s s 7 0 - Motor S t a r t e r s
7 50-1500 h o r s e p o w e r
8 Above 1500 h o r s e p o w e r
For Main C l a s s 60 - Generators
9 500-up kW
P e r i o d c o v e r e d by G i v e month and y e a r ( n u m e r a l s ) f o r p e r i o d f o r w h i c h f a i l u r e d a t a i s
t h i s report available
9 From: Mo S t a r t i n g Month ( T r y t o i n c l u d e d a t a from d a t e of i n s t a l l a t i o n )
1 Fromi Y r S t a r t i n g Year
3 To: N o E n d i n g Month (Try t o i n c l u d e d a t a t o d a t e o f t h i s r e p o r t )
5 To: Y r Ending Year
7 No o f i n s t a l l e d G i v e t o t a l number o f u n i t s i n s t a l l e d . For c a b l e or open w i r e , g i v e
units l e n g t h o f c l r c u i t or r u n i n N f t . For cable d u c t or busduct, g i v e
c i r c u i t length i n feet. For s w i t c h g e a r b u s , g i v e t h e number o f
c o n n e c t e d c i r c u i t b r e a k e r s or i n s t r u m e n t t r a n s f o r m e r c o m p a r t m e n t s .
For u t i l i t y power s u p p l i e s , g i v e t h e number o f s e p a r a t e s u p p l i e s .
11 NO o f F a i l u r e s G~~~ t o t a l number o f f a i l u r e s t h a t o c c u r r e d d u r i n g P e r i o d o f r e p o r t .
I f more t h a n 10 u s e a d d i t i o n a l p a g e .
S e l e c t codes f p L w
13 Average Ace 1 Less t h a n 1 y e a r o
2 1-10 y e a r s o l d
3 More t h a n 1 0 y e a r s o l d
~~ ~
10
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR CARD-TYPE 2
CARD - TYPE 1
OL
MN NAME CODE DESCRIPTION
With r e p l a c e m e n t o f f a i l e d e q u i p m e n t w i t h a s p a r e by removal o f
f a i l e d e q u i p m e n t and s u b s t i t u t i o n o f s p a r e e q u i p m e n t
Repair w i t h s p a r e
24-hr p e r day On r o u n d - t h e - c l o c k emergency b a s i s
8-hr p e r day On b a s i s o f r e p a i r d u r i n g n o r m a l work day
144
IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S M A R / A P R 1974
APPENDIX A (P. 6 of 7)
OL
M NNU CODE DESCRIPTION
9 F a i l u r e No F i l l i n o n e c a r d ( l i n e ) f o r e a c h f a i l u r e . The l a s t f a i l u r e number i n
Co1 1 9 i h o u l d c o r r e i p o n d w i t h t h e t o t a l f a i l u r e s r e p o r t e d i n C o l 3 1 o f
CARD-TYPE 2 . I f t h a t number waa " 0 " t h e n n o TYPE 3 c a r d s s h o u l d b e
t i l l e d in.
F a i l u r e Date
1 no F i l l i n month f a i l u r e o c c u r e d ( n u m e r a l )
13 Yr F i l l i n y e a r f a i l u r e occurred (numeral)
15 ~ a i l u r iF o r e w a r n i n q For p u b l i c u t i l i t y power i n t e r r u p t i o n o n l y
1 I t no f o r e w a r n i n g waa g i v e n
2 I f f o r e w a r n i n g waa g i v e n
F o r o t h e r t y p e a of f a i l u r e , l e a v e b l a n k
!6 No o f U n i t a F i l l i n t h e nwnber o f time u n i t s s e l e c t e d i n C o l 2 9 .
!9 Unit. S e l i c t c o d e f o r a p p r o p r i a t e time u n i t t h a t w i l l g i v e a c c u r a t e r e s u l t s .
For moat c a s e a a e l e c t h o u r s as u n i t .
1 Days
2 Houri
3 ninutei
4 Second.
5 Cycle.
S e l e c t c o d e f o r C o l 30-44 (Leave b l a n k f o r u t i l i t f a i l u r e s )
IO F a i l u r e Repafr 1 Repair o f f a i l e d component in p l a c e or s e n t o u t f%r r e p a i r
Method 2 R e p a i r by r e p l a c e m i n t o f f a i l e d component w i t h s p a r e
I2 F a i l u r e Repair 1 Requiring round-the-clock a11 o u t e f f o r t s
Urgency 2 R e q u i r i n g r e p a i r work o n l y d u r i n g r e g u l a r v o r k d a y , p e r h a p s w i t h some
overtinu.
3 R e q u i r i n g r i p a i r work on a n o n - p r i o r i t y b a s i a .
145
A P P E N D I X A R E P O R T ON RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
OL
MN NAME CODE DESCRIPTION
0 F a i l u r e Type 1 F l a s h o v e r or a r c i n g i n v o l v i n g gTOUr.3
2 ~ 1 o1t h e r f l a s h o v e r or a r c i n g
3 Other e l e c t r i c a l d e f e c t
4 Mechanical d e f e c t
99 Other
Your b e s t estimate of s u s p e c t e d r e s p o n s i b i l i t y
0 Failure 1 M a n u f a c t u r e r - d e f e c t i v e Component
Responsibility 2 Transportation t o S i t e - defective handling
3 Application Engineering - improper a p p l i c a t i o n
1 I n a d e q u a t e i n s t a l l a t i o n and t e s t i n g p r i o r t o s t a r t u p
5 Inadequate maintenance
6 Inadequate operating procedures
7 O u t s i d e agency - p e r s o n n e l
0 O u t s i d e agency - o t h e r
99 Other
#2 Failure
I n i t i a t i n g Cause I n s u l a t i o n breakdown c a u s e d b y
1 T r a n s i e n t o v e r v o l t a g e d i s t u r b a n c e ( l i g h t n i n g , mwitching s u r g e s ,
a r c i n g ground f a u l t i n ungrounded s y s t e m )
2 Overvoltage
3 Overheating
4 O t h e r i n s u l a t i o n breakdown
21 M e c h a n i c a l b r e a k i n g , c r a c k i n g , l o o s e n i n g , a b r a d i n g , or d e f o r m i n g
o f s t a t i c or s t r u c t u r a l p a r t 8
22 M e c h a n i c a l b u r n o u t , f r i c t i o n , or s e i z i n g of moving p a r t s
23 M e c h a n i c a l l y c a u s e d damage f r o m f o r e i g n s o u r c e ( d i g g i n g , v e h i c u l a r
accident, e t c )
41 S h o r t i n g by t o o l a or m e t a l o b j e c t s
42 S h o r t i n g by b i r d s , s n a k e s , r c d e n t a , e t c
51 Loss o f c o n t r o l p o u e r
52 M a l f u n c t i o n of p r o t e c t i v e r e l a y c o n t r o l d e v i c e . or a u x i l i a r y b e v i c *
61 Low v o l t a g e
62 Lou f r e q u e n c y
99 Other
I4 Failure 1 P e r s i s t e n t overloading
C o n t r i b u t i n g Cause 2 Above-normal t e m p e r a t u r e s
3 Belou-normal t e m p e r a t u r e
4 E x p o s u r e t o a g r e s s i v e c h e m i c a l . or .OlVOnts
5 E x p o s u r e t o a b n o r m a l m o i s t u r e or w a t e r
6 E x p o s u r e t o n o n - e l e c t r i c a l f i r e or b u r n i n g
0 O b s t r u c t i o n o f v e n t i l a t i o n by f o r e i g n o b j e c t or m a t e r i a l
9 Normal d e t e r i o r a t i o n from a g e
10 S e v e r e w i n d , r a i n , anow, s l e e t , or o t h e r w e a t h e r c o n d i t i o n s
11 P r o t e c t i v e r e l a y i m p r o p e r l y .et
12 LOSS or d e f i c i e n c y o f l u b r i c a n t
13 LOUS or d e f i c i e n c y o f o i l or c o o l i n g medium
14 M i s o p e r a t i o n or t e s t i n g error
15 Expo8ure t o d u s t or o t h e r c o n t a m i n e n t s
99 Other
146
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/AF'R 1974
:oL
IMN NAME CODE DESCRIPTION
T r a n s f o r m e r s ( S e l e c t code)
6 A u t o m a t i c r e m o v a l by p r o t e c t i v e e q u i p m e n t
7 P a r t i a l f a i l u r e reducing capacity
8 Manual r e m o v a l
C i r c u i t Breakers ( S e l e c t code)
9 F a i l e d t o c l o s e when i t s h o u l d
10 F a i l e d w h i l e opening
11 Opened when i t s h o u l d n ' t
12 Damaged w h i l e s u c c e s s f u l l y o p e n i n g
13 Damaged w h i l e c l o s i n g
14 F a i l e d w h i l e o p e r a t i n g ( n o t w h i l e o p e n i n g or c l o s i n g )
147
APPENDIX A R E P O R T ON RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
14
USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR CARD-TYPE 3
URDS - TYPE 3
L CAILUIE
:oL
JMN NAME CODE DESCRIPTION
54 NO of U n i t s F i l l i n number of t i m e u n i t s s e l e c t e d i n Col 5 1
57 Units S e l e c t c o d e for a p p r o p r i a t e t i m e u n i t t h a t w i l l g i v e a c c u r a t e
results. F o r m o s t cases s e l e c t h o u r s a s u n i t .
1 Days
2 Hours
3 Minutes
4 Seconds
5 Cycles
148
JBEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
DIsc ussI ON circuit and a double or triple circuit. This is evidently due to
the predominance of the throwover mode of operation of mul-
Motors tiple-circuit supplies. However, the actual downtime per failure
The data in Tables 7 and 2 show that synchronous motors, is about three to nine times higher for a single circuit than for a
0-600 V, have a failure rate approximately 1 5 times lower double or triple circuit; the downtime depends on whether
than induction motors, 0-600 V. It is believed that the failure manual switchover or automatic switchover is used on a mul-
0.0007 per year for synchronous motors, 0-600 V, is much too tiple-circuit system.
low and is in error. It is believed that synchronous and induc- I t appears that many respondents misinterpreted the “num-
tion motors, 0-600 V, should have failure rates that are nearly ber of installed units” for double- or triplecircuit electric
the same. utility power supplies. What was desired was the number of
separate and independent points of supply, but this was often
Generators interpreted to be the number of circuits in the utility supply
The data in Tables 8 and 2 show that steam turbine driven system. Thus the tendency was to report two installed units
generators have a failure rate almost 20 times lower than gas for double-circuit supplies. I t is believed that this error was
turbine driven generators. It is believed that the failure rate of made in almost every case. Therefore, the Reliabiliry Sub-
0.032 per year for steam turbine driven generators is too low; committee changed the number of installed units for multiple-
the failure rate should probably be several times higher than circuit utility supplies to 1 except in those cases where other
this value. The gas turbine data in Table 8 show that one plant evidence indicated the presence o f more than one point of
in the petroleum industry had 54 failures in 5.5 unit-years; supply. The sample size shown in Tables 3 and 2 reflects this
this compares with 3 failures in 83.9 unit-years for the other change for double- or triple-circuit electric utility power sup-
three plants that submitted data in the survey. It is believed plies. Thus a double- or triple-circuit supply for one year is
that the overall failure rate of 0.638 per year for gas turbines is counted as one unit-year.
too high. I t also appears that a few respondents incorrectly interpreted
failure duration on card type 3 for multiple-circuit electric
Open Wire utility supplies. What was desired was the period of time
A clear definition was not given for “open wire” on the during which service was interrupted. However, in a few cases
survey form (see Appendix A). I t is believed that all of the it appears that what was given was the time to repair one cir-
respondents interpreted “open wire” to mean “bare or weather- cuit of a multiple-circuit supply even though the supply
proof conductors supported on insulators.” interruption time is limited to the time required to throw over
to the alternate supply circuit. The Reliabilip Subcommittee
Cable changed the failure duration to the value given for plant out-
The data in Tables 13 and 2 show that cable above ground age duration in those cases in which such at1 error was
and aerial has a failure rate for 0-600 V that is ten times lower believed to exist. However, i t is suspected that not dl of these
than 601-15 000 V. I t is believed that the failure rate of errors were corrected. The effect of this change was t o reduce
0.00141 per unit-year for 0-600 V above ground and aerial is the actual hours of downtime per failure for multiple-circuit
too low. supplies. The majority of the multiple-circuit supply failures
There is a wide variation in the fallure rate for cable, 601- are due to loss of the normal feed, and the duration of the fail-
15 000 V, based upon the application (in trays above ground. ure is limited to the time to switch to the alternate feed. The
in conduit above ground, aerial cable, in duct or conduit below average outage duration in Tables 3 and 2 is shorter for auto-
ground). This variation covers a range of 8 to 1. I t is believed matic switching than for manual switching, as one would expect.
that the failure rate of 0.04918 per year is too high for cable. There were 25 recorded cases of simultaneous failure of all
601-15 000 V , in conduit above ground. circuits in a double- or triple-circuit supply. This gives a
There is a wide variation in the cable failure rate shown in failure rate of 0.1 19 failure per year for loss of all circuits at
Table 14 (and Table 2) for the different types of insulation one time. Further details on this are given in Part 3 [ 1 3 ] .
(601-15 000 V, all applications). These failure rates vary over Thus a multiple-circuit electric utility power supply has a
a range of 5 to I . The very low failure rate data for thermo- failure rate (loss of all circuits at one time) that is only about
plastic insulation and the high failure rate data for other five times lower than the failure rate (0.537 failures per year)
insulation came primarily from the chemical industry. for a single-circuit supply and about six times lower than the
all-inclusive failure rate of 0.643 failure per year. The ratio
Switchgear Bus between all-inclusive failure rate and the failure rate for loss of
The failure rate in Table 10 (and Table 2 ) shows that insu- all circuits at one time is not as large as one might suspect.
lated bus, 601-15 OOOV, has a failure rate about three times Some of the reasons for this are the following.
higher than bare bus, above 600 V. It is believed that this is 1) Some portion of utility supply failures are due to failure
the opposite of what it should be. The datasubmitted by the of the bulk power system which feeds all the supply circuits.
chemical industry has caused this distortion; they had a very 2) At least some cases of loss of all circuits at one time occur
high failure rate for insulated bus (601 -1 5 000 V) and a low when a forced outage of one circuit overlaps a scheduled or
failure rate for bare bus (above 600 V). maintenance outage of the other circuit (typical utility industry
data indicate that this type of overlapping outage is often more
probable than overlapping forced outages).
Electric Utility Power Supplies 3) The all-inclusive failure rate is, in effect, an average out-
The data for electric utility power supplies are shown in age rate reflecting the performance of some throwover schemes
Tables 3 and 2 . The failure rate is about the same for a single and some normally closed breaker schemes. Thus, since throw-
149
APPENDIX A R E P O R T O N RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
over schemes are expected to have higher outage rates than two points just reflect the facts of life.
normally closed breaker schemes, it follows that the computed A comparison of the all-inclusive failure rate (0.643 failures
all-inclusive outage rate is probably somewhat lower than the per year) with the failure rate for loss of all circuits at one time
outage rate which would be computed for throwover schemes (0.119 failures per year) gives a rough idea of the degree of
only. (Unfortunately we cannot compute the throwover supply failure rate improvement possible by going from a
scheme outage rate since we do not know which of the reported throwover scheme to a scheme using normally closed circuit
utility supplies are throwover schemes.) breakers.
Only point 3) reflects on the accuracy of the data; the other
REFERENCES
[ 11 W. H. Dickinson, P. E. Gannon, C. R. Heising, A. D. Patton, and
D. W. McWilliams, “Fundamentals of reliability techniques as
applied t o industrial power systems,” in Con5 Rec. 2972 IEEE
Ind. C o m m . Power Syst. Tech. Con5 71C18-IGA, pp. 10-31.
[ 21 C. R. Heising, “Reliability and availability comparison of common
low-voltage industrial power distribution systems,” IEEE Trans.
Ind. Gen. Appl., vol. IGA6, pp.416-424, Sept./Oct. 1970.
[3] W. H. Dickinson, “Economic evaluation of industrial power sys-
tem reliability,” AIEE Trans. (Appl. l n d . ) , vol. 76, pp. 264-271,
Nov. 1957.
[ 4 ] W. H. Dickinson, “Evaluation of alternative power distribution
systems for refinery process units,” AIEE Trans. (Power Appl.
S y s t . ) , vol. 79, Apr. 1960.
[ 5 ] W. H. Dickinson, “Economic justification of petroleum industry
automation and other alternatives by the revenue requirements
method,” IEEE Trans. Ind. Gen. Appl., vol. IGA-1, pp. 39-50,
Jan./Feb. 1965.
[6] D. P. Garver, F. E. Montmeat, and A. D. Patton, “Power systems
reliability I-Measures of reliability and methods of calculation,”
IEEE Trans. Power Appl S y s . , vol. 83, pp. 727-737, July 1964.
[7] F. E. Montmeat, A. D. Patton, J. Zemkoski, and D. J. Cummin,
“Power system reliability 11-Applications and a computer pro-
gram,” ibid., vol. PAS-84, pp. 6 3 6 4 4 3 , July 1965.
[8] Z. G. Todd, “A probability method for transmission and distribu-
tion outage calculations,”IEEE Trans. Power App. S y s t . , vol. 83,
pp. 695-701, July 1964.
[9] C. F. DeSieno, and L. L. Stine, “A probability method for deter-
mining the reliability of electric power systems,” IEEE Trans.
PowerApp. Syst., vol. 83, pp. 174-181, Feb. 1964.
[ 101 “ G e n e d principles for reliability analysis of nuclear power gener-
ating station protection systems,” IEEE Publ. 352, ANSI N41.4,
1972.
[ l l ] W. H. Dickinson, “Report on reliability of electric equipment in
industrial plants,”AIEE Trans. (Appl. Ind.), vol. 81, pp. 132-151,
July 1962.
[12] IEEE Committee Report, “Report on reliability survey of indus-
trial plants, Part 11: Cost of power outages, plant restart time,
critical service loss duration time, and type of loads lost versus
time of power outages,” this issue, pp. 236-241.
[13] IEEE Committee Report, “Report on reliability survey of indus-
trial plants; Part 111: Causes and types of failures of electrical
equipment, methods of repair, and urgency of repair,” this issue,
pp. 242-249.
[ 141 N. H. Roberts, Mathematical Methods in Reliability Engineering.
New York: McGraw-Hill, 1964.
[15] I. Bazovsky, Reliability Theory and Practice. Englewood cliffs,
N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1961.
[ 161 D. K. Lloyd and M. Lipow, Reliability: Management, Methods,
and Mathematics. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1962.
[ 171 A. D. Patton, “Determination and analysis of data for reliability
studies,”IEEE Trans. Power App. Syst., vol. PAS-87, pp. 84-100,
Jan. 1968.
150
IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S M A R / A P R 1974
Abstract-An IEEE sponsored reliability survey of industrial plants includes computer, motor, lighting, and solenoid loads,
was completed during 1972. This survey included the cost of power
outages, plant restart time, aiticai service loss duration time, and type
and gives plant outage duration times resulting from
of loads lost versus power outage duration time. Survey resultsreflect these failures).
data from 30 companies covering 68 plants in nine industries in the
United States and Canada. This information is useful in the design of Paper TOD-73-158, approved by the Industrial and Commercial Power
industrial power distribution systems. Systems Committee of the IEEE Industry Applications Society for
mesentation at the 1973 Industrial and Commercial Power Svstems
Technical Conference, Atlanta, Ga.. May 13-16. Manuscript rdleased
for publication November 5 , 1973.
INTRODUCTION Members of the Reliability Subcommittee of the IEEE Industrial and
Commercial Power Systems Committee are W. H.Dickinson. Chairman,
SURVEY
FORM
tion it is also desirable to know the critical service loss dura-
tion time and the type of loads lost versus the time of power The survey form used is shown in Appendix A of Part 1
outage. [ I 1. The information on the cost of power outages came
During 1972 the Reliability Subcommittee of the IEEE from card type 1, columns 13, 20, and 25. Card type 1 also
Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Committee com- contained plant restart time (column 31) and critical service
pleted a reliability survey of industrial plants. This is the
loss duration (columns 33 and 36).
second part, which reports results from the survey. Included The data on type of loads lost came from card type 3,
in this paper are the following results: columns 48, 49, 50, 51, and 52. The data on time of power
outage came from columns 26 and 29 of card type 3; these
1) cost of power outages to industrial plants in the United data are actually the outage duration time after a failure of
States and Canada (dollars per kilowatt interrupted plus the electric utility power supply or a failure of electrical
dollars per kilowatthour of undelivered energy); equipment in the power distribution system.
2) plant restart time after a failure that has caused complete
plant shutdown; RESPONSETO S U R V E Y
3 ) critical service loss duration time, that is, the maximum A total of 30 companies responded to the survey question-
length of power failure that will not stop plant naire reporting data on 68 plants from nine industries in the
production; United States and Canada. Every response did not supply all
4) type of loads lost versus the time of power outage (this the information requested on every question. Tables 22-29
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
give data on how many plants provided answers to the Of the 41 plants that reported outage cost data in the survey,
various questions 31 had a maximum demand greater than 1000 kW and 10 had
a maximum demand less than 1000 kW. Cost data for plants
STATISTICAL
ANALYSIS with maximum demands less than 1000 kW are not considered
The results were compiled for the United States and Canada. particularly reliable due to the small number of such plants
Data from one foreign plant are also included separately. represented in the data.
There is a wide spread in the cost of power outages. Con-
SURVEYRESULTS sequently few plants with high outage costs can have a
Cost of Power Outages significant effect on the overall average cost. In such cases
the median cost of power outages may be more representative
Each plant was asked to report data on the cost of power
than the average cost. The median cost is such that half of the
outages as follows:
1) Dollars per failure, Le., extra expense incurred because plants have a cost greater than this value and half have less.
of a failure only (not including plant downtime) such as for Table 21 shows the median power outage costs. Additional
d e t d s on the cost of power outages are given in Tables 22-27.
damaged equipment, spoiled product, extra maintenance, or
These additional details include: 1) number of plants reporting
extra repair costs.
the outage cost per failure and the outage cost per hour of
2) Dollars per hour of downtime, i.e., value of lost produc-
downtime, 2) minimum plant cost, 3) maximum plant cost,
tion in dollars per hour of plant downtime only. This is the
estimated revenues (sales price) of product not made, less 4) costs for various industries.
Tables 22, 24, and 26 give the cost of outage per failure per
expenses saved in labor, material, utilities, etc. If this varies
with the duration of the plant downtime, an average value per kilowatt maximum demand. Tables 23, 25, and 27 give the
hour was to be given. cost of a sustained outage per hour down per kilowatt maxi-
mum demand.
3) Maximum electric power demand when the plant is
operating at its rated or design capacity in kilowatts.
l h s made it possible to calculate an estimate of the cost of Plant Restart Time
power outages in terms of the dollars per kilowatts inter- Each plant was asked to report data on the time required to
rupted plus the dollars per kilowatthours of undelivered get the plant back into operation after service is restored
energy. The average cost of power outages from the survey following a failure that has caused a complete plant shutdown.
is given in Table 20. A total of 43 plants reported these data. The average plant
1
~ ~~~
Max. Demand
152
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
restart time was 17 h. The median was 4 h. Additional de- times after an equipment failure affected the loads lost. The
tails are given in Table 28. average plant outage duration resulting from these failures is
Critical Service Loss Duration Time also given in Table 30.
153
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
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IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MARlAPR 1974
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155
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
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156
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
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157
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
Average
Plant 0.0 Hours 1.39 Hours 22.6 Hours
Outage
Duration
5) Additional information on the cost of power outages in had computer loads t o give such a low value. In fact, many
Sweden, Norway, and the United States is contained in [2]. plants must not have had motor loads or solenoid loads either.
The important parameter to look at is the change in these
Plant Restart Time (Table 28) percentages from 0 to the maximum value as the length of
The textile, petroleum, and chemical industries have a much power outage time is increased.
longer plant restart time than the other industries included in 2) It is suggested that loss of load data be compiled for the
the survey. following additional categories of outage duration time:
158
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
Absrrocf-An IEEE sponsored reliability survey of industrial plants The failure repair urgency also has a significant effect on the
was completed during 1972. This included the causes and types of aveiage downtime per failure and thus is an important factor in
failures of electrical equipment, the methods of repair, and the urgency reliability and availability calculations.
of repair. The results are reported from the survey of 30 companies
covering 68 plants in nine industries in the United States and Canada. A preventive maintenance program can have an effect on the
This information is useful in the design of industrial power distribution failure rate of electrical equipment. Thus a knowledge of
systems. whether or not maintenance has been performed recently prior
to the failure is a significant factor in helping to determine
INTRODUCTION whether or not the maintenance program is adequate.
159
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
SURVEY RESULTS protective relay control device initiated the failure with 4 0
The results are tabulated for the 14 main equipment classes percent of the respondents reporting that normal deterioration
in Tables 3 3 - 4 1 . Each table represents one column (of 3 0 - 4 6 , from age was a contributing cause. Over half of the respondents
card type 3). felt that improper application was primarily responsible for the
failure. In the cases reported 36 percent had been discovered
SUMMARY OF CONCLUSIONS during testingar maintenance, and 2 0 percent were only partial
Transformers failures. Lack of preventive maintenance was not a big problem.
Those starters that had been maintained less than 12 months
In the cases reported, there were approximately an equal
prior t o the failure accounted for 67 percent of the cases
number of incidences of repairing the failed transformer and
reported.
replacing it with a spare. The repair urgency slightly favored a
round-theclock repair over the regular workday schedule.
Motors
Inadequate preventive maintenance did not seem t o have much
influence on the reported failures since no preventive mainte- Of the reported motor failures, about three quarters were re-
nance was reported on only 5 percent of the failures; 11 percent paired versus about one fourth being replaced by a spare.
of the failures were blamed on inadequate maintenance. About three quarters were repaired on a regular workday
Damaged insulation both in the windings and bushings ac- basis. The types of failures varied from flashovers to electrical
counted for the majority of the transformer damage, with the defects, to mechanical defects, with winding insulation and
majority of failures being flashovers involving ground. 24 bearings sustaining the majority of the damage. Insulation
percent of the reported cases considered normal deterioration breakdown, overheating, and mechanical seizing were blamed
from age as the contributing cause of the failure, yet 39 per- as the primary initiating causes with normal deterioration from
cent reported that they felt the manufacturer was primarily re- age, loss or deficiency of lubricant, exposure to abnormal
sponsible. Transient overvoltages, from lightning or switching moisture, and exposure to aggressive chemicals ranking high on
surges, and other insulation breakdown account for 41 percent the list of contributing causes. 30 percent of the failures were
of the reported failures. In 90 percent of the reported cases discovered during testing or maintenance, which probably
the transformers were removed from the system by automatic resulted in less actual damage in those cases. lnadequate
protective devices; only 7 percent had manual removal. maintenance, improper application, and defective equipment
were listed as having primary responsibility. However, over
Circuit Breakers half of the respondents could not assign responsibility into one
of the survey classes. The motors that had been maintained be-
About the same number of circuit breakers were repaired in tween 12 and 24 months prior to the failure accounted for
place as were replaced by spares. The relative importance of 57 percent of the reported cases with less than 12 months and
circuit breakers was indicated by 73 percent of the survey re- more than 24 months accounting for 22 percent and 19 per-
spondents making repairs on a round-the-clock basis. The bulk cent, respectively. No preventive maintenance accounted for
of the reported failures involved flashovers to ground with only 2 percent, yet this does not correlate well with inadequate
damage primarily to the protective device components and the
maintenance being listed as having primary responsibility in
device insulation. Transient overvoltages, insulation break-
17 percent of the reported cases.
downs, and protective device malfunctions were considered a
major initiating cause with normal deterioration from age and Generators
misoperation or testing errors considered as contributing causes.
Of the reported generator failures 8 4 percent were repaired
However, 33 percent of the respondents could not classify the
in place. About the same number were repaired on a round-
initiating cause into any of the survey classes, and 55 percent
theclock basis as were repaired on a regular work-day basis.
could not classify the contributing cause into any of the survey
69 percent of the respondents reported damage other than the
classes. In addition, 3 6 percent of the suspected causes of
survey classes with electrical auxiliaries, winding insulation, and
failure were blamed on “other.” 4 2 percent of the reported
moving parts sustaining some damage. Mechanical breaking,
failures involved circuit breakers opening when they should not;
transient overvoltages, and about half unclassified items were
it is possible that several of these fadures were external t o the
considered the primary initiating causes with normal deteriora-
circuit breaker and of unknown cause and were blamed on the
tion from age and persistent overloading considered contribut-
circuit breaker. 32 percent of the reported failures involved
ing causes. Responsibility was spread between inadequate
circuit breakers that failed during a loadcarrying condition.
maintenance and defective components with about half of the
23 percent of the failures were blamed on the manufacturer
respondents unable to place primary responsibility into any of
and another 23 percent on inadequate maintenance, but 36
the survey classes. Infrequent or no preventive maintenance
percent were blamed on “other.” Inadequate preventive
were not involved in any of the reported cases, a point that
maintenance (PM) could be a factor of same significance since
does not correlate with the fact that some of the respondents
no PM was reported on 16 percent of the failures.
felt inadequate maintenance was the primary responsibility.
Motor Starters Disconnect Switches
Of the reported motor starter failures, about two thirds were Of the reported disconnect switch failures. 70 percent were
repaired by replacing the starter with a spare and two thirds repaired by replacement with a spare, with work in 80 percent
were repaired on a round-theclock basis. About half of the of the cases being performed on a regular work-day schedule.
cases reported indicate that the damage was other than the Electrical defects, mechanical defects, and flashovers t o ground
classes listed in the survey, primarily resulting from flashovers resulted in damage to mechanical components and insulation.
or electrical defects. 6 4 percent felt that a malfunction of a Some form of mechanical breaking or contact from foreign
160
I E E E - I A S T R A N S A C T I O N S MAR/APR 1974
r Number
f
Col u r n Title
F a i 1ure Repair Method.. ...........
F a i l u r e Repair Urgency ............
F a i l u r e , Months Since Maintained..
F a i l u r e , Damaged P a r t.............
38 F a i l u r e Type ......................
40 Suspected F a i l u r e R e s p o n s i b i l i t y . ,
42 ........
F a i l u r e I n i t i a t i n g Cause.. 53
44 ......
F a i l u r e C o n t r i b u t i n g Cause..
46 Failure Characteristic.. .......... 145
Main
Equi pment
Class Maxi mum M i n i mum &
Trans formers 101 97 100
C i r c u i t Breakers 176 161 171
Motor S t a r t e r s 88 88 88
Motors 561 (col .36) 493(co1.40) 517
Generators 83( c o l .36) 31(all other) 37
Disconnect Switches 101 100 101
Swgr. Bus-Insulated 20 20 20
Swgr. Bus-Bare 24 20 23
Bus Duct 20 18 20
Open Wire 109 104 108
Cable 223 21 1 21 8
Cable J o i n t s 45 44 45
Cable Terminations 51 47 50
A P P E N D I X A R E P O R T ON RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF INDUSTRIAL P L A N T S
sources accounted for about half of the initiating causes, with percent) and inadequate maintenance (35 percent) were held re-
exposure to dust and contaminants and a large number of un- sponsible for the failures.
classified items considered contributing causes. Inadequate Bus Duct
operating procedures, inadequate maintenance, and defective
Of the reported bus duct failures, 65 percent were repaired in
components were considered primarily responsible, which
place with the majority of them being repaired on a round-the-
seems t o correlate with over 66 percent of the reported cases
clock basis. 90 percent of the respondents reported some form
not having any preventive maintenance and 21 percent not
of damaged insulation resulting from a flashover to ground.
having any preventive maintenance 24 months prior to the
Mechanical failure, insulation breakdown, and overheating were
failure.
blamed as initiating factors, with normal deterioration due to
Switchgear Bus, Bare age being listed as a contributing factor in half of the cases.
Responsibility for the reported failures varied from defective
Of the reported uninsulated switchgear bus failures, about
components (26 percent), improper application ( 1 6 percent),
two thirds were repaired in place, with a little more than half
to inadequate maintenance (16 percent).
of them being repaired on a round-theclock basis. 79 percent
of the respondents report some form of insulation damage all Open Wire
resulting from flashovers either to ground (79 percent) or be- Of the reported open-wire failures, 70 percent were repaired
tween phases (21 percent). Mechanical failure, Shorting by in place with a little over half involving a round the clock ef-
metal objects, and insulation breakdown were the predominant fort. About half of the failures involved flashovers either to
initiating causes with exposure t o abnormal moisture, exposure ground or between phases and about 25 percent involved other
to dust, exposure to aggressive chemicals, and normal deteriora- electrical defects. In the reported failures, transient overvolt-
tion due to age listed as contributing causes. Interestingly, ages, overheating, or shorting by metal objects were con-
15 percent of the respondents listed misoperation or testing er- sidered the most significant initiating causes, with severe
rors as a contributing cause. 39 percent felt that an outside weather and exposure to aggressive chemicals being the pre-
agency was responsible for the failure, while 22 percent blamed dominant contributing causes. 81 percent of the respondents
inadequate maintenance. indicated that no preventive maintenance had been performed
in over two years, which supports the fact that over a third of
Switchgear Bus, Insulated
them blamed inadequate maintenance as being responsible.
Of the reported insulated switchgear bus failures, essentially
all were repaired in place with over two thirds of the repairs Cables
being completed on a round-theclock basis. 90 percent of the The relative importance of primary cable was again indicated
respondents reported insulation damage resulting primarily by about two thirds of the reported cases making repairs on a
from flashovers to ground and between phases. Insulation round-theclock basis. There were a few more reported cases
breakdown was considered t o have initiated the failure in about where repairs to cables were made by complete replacement
half of the cases, with exposure t o contaminants, moisture, rather than by in-place repairs. About three quarters of the
severe weather, and normal deterioration from age being con- failures involved flashovers to ground, resulting in insulation
sidered as contributing factors. Improper application (45 damage.
162
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
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IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1974
An interesting point is that in over two thirds of the failures initiated by an insulation breakdown, with normal deterioration
there had been no preventive maintenance, yet inadequate due to age, severe weather, and exposure t o abnormal moisture
maintenance was only listed in 10 percent of the cases as being or aggressive chemicals contributing significantly to the prob-
responsible for the failure. 16 percent placed the responsibility lem. 39 percent felt that inadequate installation and testing
with the manufacturer, 14 percent with inadequate installation prior to start-up was primarily responsible, while 22 percent
and testing prior t o start-up, with 38 percent of the cases re- felt that inadequate maintenance should be blamed. This also
porting reasons for the failure in classes other than those listed seems to correspond to the reporting that in 40 percent of the
in the survey. cases no preventive maintenance had been performed in over
The initiating causes varied from transient overvoltage two years.
disturbances to insulation breakdown, to mechanical failures,
with 30 percent reporting normal deterioration from age as a GENERALCONCLUSIONS
contributing cause.
Electrical Equipment
Cable Joints The general picture from Tables 38 and 35 spotlights in-
Of the failures reported, 87 percent were repaired in place, adequate maintenance as a significant factor in the suspected
with just over half being repaired on a round-thezlock basis. responsibility for failures. Yet the owner appears willing to
Almost all of the failures resulted in damaged insulation, pri- work round the clock to fuc failures after they have occurred.
marily from flashovers t o ground, which were initiated by in- Lack of cleaning and lubrication is apparent on disconnect
sulation breakdowns, transient overvoltages, or mechanical switches, buses, open wire, cable, cable joints, cable termina-
failure. tions, and motors.
29 percent of the respondents felt that normal deterioration
from old age contributed to the failure, while 35 percent Electric Utility Power Supplies
-
blamed abnormal moisture or exposure to aggressive chemicals. Many of the results shown in Tables 33-38 are not really
Inadequate installation and testing were considered responsible applicable for electric utility power supplies because the
for 50 percent of the failures. 60 percent of the respondents questions asked are not well suited. The importance of the
reported that no preventive maintenance had been performed, utility supply was indicated by 91 percent of respondents
but only 18 percent blamed the failure on inadequate making repairs on a round-theclock basis. The failures were
maintenance. predominantly flashovers involving ground, caused by lightning
during severe weather or by dig-ins or vehicular accident. Out-
Cable Terminations side agencies, probably the local utility, were predominantly
Of the reported cable termination failures, 60 percent were responsible for the failure with preventive maintenance having
repaired in place with just over half of the repairs being made no apparent effect on the cases reported.
on a round-the-clock basis. The primary damage was insulation The data reported under “failure characteristic” in Table 41
involving either a flashover to ground or other electrical de- are of special significance in the case of double- or triplecircuit
fect. About half of the respondents felt that the failure was electric utility power supplies. In particular, the failure rate can
U t i l i t y Power Supplies -
Failure Characteristic
a b l e 41 Failures from T a b l e 41
3. F a i l u r e o f both c i r c u i t s
of a d o u b l e - c i r c u i t
redundant supply
4. Failure o f a l l circuits o f
a t h r e e o r more c i r c u i t
redundant supply
T o t a l n u h e r o f simul-
taneous f a i l u r e s o f a l l
c i r c u i t s i n a double o r
more c i r c u i t redundant
supply
171
A P P E N D I X A R E P O R T O N RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
be calculated for the simultaneous failure of all circuits in a Table 36: The damaged part of one percent of failed circuit
double- or triplecircuit electric utility power supply. breakers is a tap changer. The damaged part of three percent
From Table 3 of Part 1 [ I ] the sample size is 210.7 unit- of failed cables is a bearing. Winding insulation is shown as the
years for a double- or triplecircuit electric utility power supply. damaged part in failures of cables, bus ducts, and motor
A double- or triplecircuit supply operating for one year is starters.
counted as one unit-year. It is possible to calculate a failure Table 39: Three percent of the failures in disconnect
rate from these data as follows: switches were initiated by low voltage.
~-
25 - 0.1 19 failures per year for simultaneous failure REFERENCES
210‘7 of all circuits in a double- or triplecircuit [ 11 1EEE Committee Report, “Report on reliability survey of industrial
plants, Part I: Reliability of electrical equipment,” this issue.
electric utility power supply. pp. 213-235.
TABLE A
GENERATORS
Forced Outages
EEI R e p o r t
Number of
Sample Size Occurrences Outage Hours
(unit-years) per Unit-Year per Occurrence
Number of
Sample Size Occurrences Outage Hours
Type of Drive (unit-years) per Unit-Year per Occurrence
172
IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S M A R / A P R 1974
The requirements for better records, along with the detall involved in sembling and correlating the mountainous volume of data in a simple,
the report forms, indicate that acquuing useful data of this kind is time easy to understand tabulation. I would like to add some discussion
consuming. that I feel would help the value ef these tables and add to the accuracy
It is suggested that, d a choice is necessary, i t might be preferable to of future studies. My two main points are 1) the downtime per failure
have a limited (but statistically adequate) number of plants establish a (111 a single-circuit utility supply is extremely high (possibly by a factor
reliably complete recording and reporting system rather than increase of five), and 2) the equation for the dollars lost per interruption may
the sue of the sample under current record systems. be improved by using other than the kilowatt demand and kilowatt-
2) Survey Results on Equipment Failures The failure rate is given in hour usage as bases.
failures per unit-year. Is year in this context a calendar year or 8760 My company gathers, codes, and analyzes by computer all inter-
hours of plant or equipment operating time? If the failure rate is given ruptions t o our three quarter million customers. The average down-
per calendar year, were adjustments made for plants operating for 4 0 time per customer on our distribution system (which is a single-circuit
hours per week against those operating for up to 168 hours per week? radial supply) has been between 5 1 and 61 min for five of the past
3) Discussion of Equipment. six years. Our service area experienced a catastrophic storm during
Motors: It is suspected that the discrepancy in fadure rates results 1969 which caused the average downtime per customer to jump to 124
from the different application of the two types of motors. Synchronous min. In addition, my company is of the opinion that no plant
motors are usually applied only in engineered situations and are care- should be down for more than 4 h earring major catastrophies). A
fully designed for the application. Large synchronous motors are report is therefore written for each interruption exceeding 4 h in dura-
usually slow speed. Induction motors are mass produced. purchased off tion, and these reports are extremely few in number. Furthermore, 13
the shelf at the lowest cost, and usually operated to take advantage of utilities have polled their reliability statistics for customers fed from the
any service factor. The survey figures are probably correct but cannot distribution system and found the average downtime per interruption
be used for comparison of reliability, leading to a conclusion that for 1971 to be approximately 1% h long. The average downtimes
synchronous motors are more reliable. I t is a comparison of apples and ranged from 0.75 t o 3.2 h.
This information Ahows that the downtime per failure for industrial
oranges.
Switchgeor Bust The paper states that the reported data are the plants is probably outside the predicted tolerance on the IEEE data.
opposite t o what they should be. The reported figures may be correct. This variance may be due to either a major long disturbance affecting
Manufacturers regularly reduce the spacing between buses and the a majority of those industrial plants participating or t o misinterpreta-
spaces between phases and ground when they use insulated bus. As the tion of the information requued.
conductor insulation is usually also reduced by design and occasionally For over five years I have worked with our customers in regard to
by inferior material standards compared to that on insulated cables. and reliability problems. My experience has shown that the plant invest-
workmanship is frequently less than perfect, failures on this type of ment, labor cost, and v J u e of product is a better gauge of the cost per
gear are probably at least as common as those on air-insulated minute down than would be either maximum kilowatthour demand or
equipment. usage. For example, I worked with a manufacturer of magnesium parts
Circuit Breakers. The fadure rate for cucuit breakers appears much for mllitary aircraft (1 will call this plant A ) and another manufacturer
too low. I t must of course be a function of the frequency of opera- of parts for conveyor systems (plant B ) . The dollar loss for A per
tion as well as lapsed time. We did not find a definition of circuit minute down was 100 times greater than that for B. However, plant
breaker fadure, which we believe should differ from cable, transformer, B’s demand is 2500 kW and A’s demand is 500 kW. which is an in-
or other static device fadures. Circuit breaker fadures should be based dication that the kilowatthour consumptions in these particular cases
on fadure to operate satisfactorily either to remain closed or to open are not related at all t o the economical loss due to a power interruption.
or to close when called upon. I t should be clear whether these figures In general I find that the cost of downtime is tied heavdy to one of the
include failures caused by ausiliaries such as instrument transformers. following: 1 ) the number of employees, 2) the cost of the product in
relays, and control switches. Since any calculation of the reliability production (piecework), or 3) the dollar output per hour (high produc-
of a power system would be made unreasonably complex by attempts tion). A combination of these three items would indicate that loss I S
to treat all these devices individually. a figure for cucuit breaker failures tied to the dollars out of the plant per unit of time. Therefore I feel
which includes them is usually required by the designer that future studies should relate downtime t o dollars per minute of
Generators. For the generators in the electrical power industry a plant production. gross plant, etc.
good source of data exists in the EEI “Report on Equipment Avail-
ability for Twelve-Year Period 1960-197 I .” The comparison between
the failure rates and average repau time contained in that report and
J. W. Beard (Union Carbide Corporation, South Charleston, W. Va
the survey discussed are shown in Table 43 EEI data quoted for
steam turbine driven generators are for the sue class 60-89 MW, which
25303): The report format and the manner in which the information
is probably larger than the average sue of a corresponding generator in- is presented is generally quite adequate. Appendix A (Part I ) IS some-
what difficult to read because of the reduced print, but I am not sug-
cluded in the industrial survey.
gesting it be upgraded for this report. Because of the many and various
I t can be seen that the EEI failure rate for steam turbine driven pen-
pieces of data used for the report. i t 1s understandable that the reader
erators based on forced outages is higher by a Factor of 5 than in the
must spend a great deal of time in studying and analyzing the informa-
industrial survey. For gas turbines, fadure rates contained in both
tion in order t o properly apply it. The “readily” understandable factor
reports are of the same order, while the outage duration quoted in the
should perhaps be given niore consideration in defining the criteria for
EEI report is higher. 5 4 failures in 5.5 unit years in the petroleum in-
future surveys
dustry can probably be explained by the start-up troubles
It is my opinion that the most useful types of lnformation presented
In summary. experience in the utility industry seems to explain
are.
results obtained in the industrial survey to a large degree
4 ) Causes of Failure 1 ) failure rate and failure rat? confidence limits;
a ) How important is the age of equipment’! I t is mentioned only 2) failure, damaged part;
a \ a “contributing cause,” second in frequency only to “other.” 3) failure type:
Are there economic replacement times. or does obsolescence usually 4) failure initiating cause;
come f l r S t 7 5 ) failure contributing cause;
b) Should the inference be drawn that reliability of industrial 6) failure characteristics.
equipment. which is reasonably well suited to its lob. depends mainly
on 1) stringent acceptance testing. especially overvoltage testing, I believe it is a good assumption that the raw data submitted for
2 ) adequate cleaning. and 3) proper lubrication of bearings? many of the other types of information represented were of much lesser
5 ) Additional Suggestions f o r Analvsis Consideration should be accuracy than for these. For example, most plants reporting data
given to add the manufacturer of the main class of equipment to pro- for information types such as plant outage cost, critical service loss
vide information on reliability ot.ddferent manufacturers. duration, and loads lost versus time of power outage probably had to
draw on someone’s memory of each failure and then apply the “best
Carl Becker (Cleveland Electric Illuminating Company, Cleveland, Ohio estmate” principle. This factor alone raises the question as to whether
44101): The Reliability Subcommittee did an outstanding job in as- these types of information can ever be constructed to have useful
173
APPENDIX A REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
meaning. Except for near catastrophic fadures, which result in heavy m the investigation of most equipment failures, and IEEE could per-
financial losses, it is doubtful that most plants will spend the money form an important service to industry by developing a socalled “evalua-
to document this type of data. Furthermore, in a practical sense, when tion of possibility of transient overvoltage contribution to equipment
configuring systems and applying electrical equipment. the reliability failures” guide.
requuement must be carefully considered for each producing unit
served inasmuch as there are many variables that enter into the cal-
culation of downtime losses. Stanley Wells (Union Carbide Corporation, Port Lavaca, Tex. 77979):
The following suggestions are offered for consideration in any future The Reliability Subcommittee should be congratulated for performing
surveys. such a comprehensive reliability survey of industrial plants and for pro-
1) Basically concentrate on fiulure rates and failure causes. viding a very thorough report.
2) Simplify and reduce scope of the survey questionnaue forms I would like t o limit my discussion to Part 3 and, in particular, the
(present forms tend to scare users from contributing). preventive maintenance effect on the failure rate. A preventive main-
3) Omit asking for types of information such as cost of outage, repau tenance program can very definitely have a direct effect on the failure
time, plant start-up time, etc rate of electrical equipment. In the modern automated plant of today,
4) Instruct usersnof to report failures of equipment where reasonable production demands and losses associated with downtime mfluence
preventative maintenance is not performed. maintenance schedules. Equipment is often allowed to remain in op-
5 ) Instruct useisnot to report failures of misapplied equipment. eration for periods that exceed desired preventive maintenance time
6) Instruct users not Io include equipment installed prior to Jan- schedules. It is interesting to note that the survey indicates that pre-
uary I , 1968. ventive maintenance can be performed, yet equipment failures occur
7) Instruct users to give “in-service” date (energued) of all equip- within a tune period which is less than 12 months since preventive
ment units, not just on the reported failures. maintenance was performed. Our first attempt at a preventive main-
8) Define “failure” as “damage to equipment sufficiently severe to tenance program met with the same results. The program was reviewed
force an outage by either manual or automatic removal of voltage.” in depth and it was found that it was inadequate and that the preventive
(Keep in mind that failures caused by the conditions in 4 ) and 5 ) are maintenance procedures and time schedules should be reviewed and
not to be reported.) correlated with our failure experience. As experience was gained, the
Part I There seemed t o be a gieat deal of confusion by the respon- equipment preventive maintenance program developed into a very
dents on the information desired for electric power supplies. Thus the useful tool to practically eliminate electrical equipment failure. We
published failure rates may be questionable. I t is my opinion that the won recognized that where preventive maintenance periods were over
questionnaue form for this was too nondescript. Perhaps one way to 24 months or where no preventive maintenance at all was performed,
clearly describe the power supplies on which information IS desued chances of failure were extremely high. This fact is born out in the
would be to include on the form simple single-line diagrams of the more results of this survey. Table 35, “Failure-Months Since Maintained,”
common types of utility services has been rearranged to show that a large reduction in failures may be
I t is my opinion that the lack of response by many companies was
possible if preventive maintenance periods are on a 12- to 18-month
due primarily to poor andlor nonexistent records. A major contribut-
basis (Table B).
ing cause may have been the massive amount of information asked for.
Let’s define preventive maintenance. Preventive maintenance is a
The Reliability Subcommittee’s judgement that a minimum of 8 to 10
system of routine inspections designed to minimize or forestall future
observed failures was requued for “good” accuracy when estimating
equipment operating problems or failures, and which may, depending
equipment fadUrK rates seems reasonable.
upon equipment type, require equipment exercising or proof testing.
The value chosen for the confidence interval ( 0 9 0 ) uas a good
From this definition, the four following items listed under Table 38,
choice. The inclusion of confidence limits curves (Fig. I ) adds mea-
“Suspected Failure Responsibility,” can be considered a definite part
surably to the report.
of a maintenance program:
I generally concur with the Subcommittee’s discussion comments
Theu discussion of yome of the results presented in the tables rein- 1) manufacture, defective components (locate by inspection or test);
forces my feeling that the survey was too broad in scope, and the in- 2) application engineering, unproper application;
1.orrnation submitted by the plants too ambiguous for meaningful 3) inadequate installation and testing prior t o start-up (proof test);
interpretation. 4) inadequate maintenance.
Whde the sample sues would be made mailer, as a general rule 1 feel
that equipment should be grouped by voltage c l a ~ .For example, in It is interesting to note that the survey indicates that these four items
are responsible for a very large percentage of failures. The total for
Table 2 one grouping of cable terminatlons 15 for 601-15 000 V. In
each category is listed below.
this instance it would be especially helpful to know the failure rate on
15-kV cable terminations alone
Part / I As stated in my general comment,. 1 feel that i t is not prac-
tical to generate reasonably accurate informrtion of these types. Percent
The bases for the units used in cost calculations. dollars per kilowatt
plus dollars per kdlowatthour, are somewhat contusing Clarification Transformers 55
of this would be helpful. Circuit breakers 53
In the Subcommittee‘s discus\ion of the cost of power outages, Motor starters I1
item 2), I must disagree w t h their thought that electrochemical or Motors 42
heating processes tend t o have low outage costs because heat not sup- Generators 41
plied now can be supplied later. Disconnect switches 52
In the discussion of loads lost versus time of power outage the ”time” Switchgear bus insulated 95
factor is questionable Most plant\ are not equipped to measure short- Switchgear bus uninsulated 52
duration power outages (cycles or even seconds). Bus duct 63
Parr 111 Many of the information types in this part are very impor- Open wire 41
tant. Some, I feel, are not 1 suggest that the questions on failure Cable 48
repair method, failure repair urgency; failure. months Since mainte- Cable joints 68
nance; and suspected failure responsibility be omitted from future
Cable terminations 79
surveys The remdining types of information may be refined using
knowledge gained from this survey
In the Subcommittee’s Summary of Conclusions they report that
transient overvoltages were a major cause of fadure in equipment such To increase the electrical system reliability, each failure should be
as, for example, transformers and cucuit breakers; but I got the im- very carefully analyzed to determine the failure cause, and corrective
pression that much of this was speculation on the part of those re- action to prevent additional failures should be applied t o all applicable
sponding. The possibility of transient overvoltage should be considered equipment.
IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S M A R / A P R 1974
TABLE B
FAILURES
Transformers 34 65
Circuit breakers 18 81
Motor starters 67 33
Motors 22 78
Generators 58 42
Disconnect switch 8 92
Switchgear bus insulated 10 90
Switchgear bus uninsulated 35 65
Bus duct 25 75
Open wire 1 98
Cable 11 89
Cable joint 18 82
Cable terminations 12 88
R. E. Kuehn (IEEE Reliability Group): The reliability. maintainability, switchgear bus. My quandary is that if I accept your Judgment in all
and downtime logistics in the power area is very important and should logic. I must question the validity of all the data collected, not just for
lend itself to cost analysis, which is the ultimate Judge of the value of motors. generators, cable, and switchgear bus. A possible procedure
reliability and maintainability programs. A great deal of data have been would have been t o test the hypothesis that a part of the data was
analyzed with all the obvious advantages and disadvantages that aTe significantly different enough from the total grouped data t o justify its
entailed in such a data base. Parts I and 2 present me with a severe rejection as part of the group data.
problem as a reliability professional and manager. In both papers a I would like to recommend analysis of variance or multiple regression
large effort was spent indicating that the survey results do not agree m analyzing the data. I t would appear that a number of possible
with what the engineering judgment says the results should be; for variables exist and their effects are suitable for quantization. n e s e
example, the discussion of Part 1 on motors, generators, cable, and procedures are covered in [ I ] - [ 4 ] .
REFERENCES
(1) R. G . Stokes and F. N. Sehle, “Some life-cycle cost estimates for
electronic equipments,” in Proc. I968 Annu. Symp. on Reliability,
pp. 169-183.
[2] B. L. Retterer, “State of art assessment of reliability and maintain-
ability as applied to ship systems,” in Proc. I969 Annu. Symp. on
Reliability, pp. 133-145.
[3] H. Dagen, “Multiple regression,” in Proc. I972 Annu. Symp. on
Reliability,” pp. 51-58.
[4] “Cost effectiveness evaluation procedures for shipboard electronic
equipment,” ARINC Research Publ. 509-01-2-564 and 541-01-
1-766.
175
APPENDIX A R E P O R T ON RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF INDUSTRIAL P L A N T S
Tai C. Wong (American Electric Power Service Corporation, New York. the failure rate. The assumption of a constant failure rate with age can
N.Y. 10004): The members of the Reliabllity Subcommittee are to be be justified for most electrical equipment based upon reliability surveys
commended for conducting and analyzing the results of a survey that made by others.
covers so many elements in industrial power systems. Mr. Becker and Mr. Beard have raised questions about the accuracy of
Perhaps the authors want t o clarify why the chi-squared distribu- the cost of power outage data and the attempt t o relate it to kilowatts
tion was used in fitting the data and what kind of statistical testing and kilowatthours. Information was collected but not published on the
technique was employed t o ensure the adequacy of the distribution estimated plant outage costs 1) per failure and 2) per hour of down-
chosen. The authors did compare the results of the recent survey time. The authors consider that the cost of power outages is an im-
against those obtained in 1962. The readers should be warned that portant factor that should be considered in the design of power
this is only an observation based on empirical data and that any in- distribution systems for industrial plants. Since power distribution
ference of a trend in the equipment reliability may not be valid. The systems are designed on the basis of kilowatt capacity and kilowatthour
paper indicates that many of the reported data cover more than one of delivered energy. it was felt that it is necessary to attempt to relate
year of operating experience. Because the first survey was conducted the cost of power outages to these two parameters. The approach used
twelve years ago, it is felt that the number of years that the different by the Reliability Subcommittee is the same as that which has been
equipments were in service should be published (or the data collected used by electric power companies in several European countries. The
during the next survey if they are not yet available) so that the reader survey result of the median cost of 83/ per kilowatthour of unde-
can have a better understanding of the data background when he has to livered energy is In the same range as values obtained from surveys that
draw further conclusions, beyond the tables presented. have been made in Sweden, Norway, France, Italy, and West Germany.
The authors indicated that the purpose of this survey is to make pos- The authors agree that the published data of the cost of power outages
sible the quantitative reliability comparisons between alternative designs are more meaningful if related t o specific types of plants.
of new systems and then use this information in cost-reliability tradeoff The authors acknowledge Mr. Beard’s suggestion that a one-line
studies t o determine which type of power distribution system to use. diagram should be used in the survey of the electric utility supply. A
It appears that the authors focus on making the economic tradeoff new survey of the electric utility supply is being started.and MI. Beard‘s
comparisons based on the available system components a t a given time. suggestion wlll be included. This new survey should clear up the prob-
However, the authors pointed out that the product of failure rate times lem of the questionable accuracy mentioned by MI. Beard. The au-
the average downtime per failure is almost the same in 1973 as in 1962. thors acknowledge Mr. Beard’s comment questioning the accuracy of
Perhaps the equipment manufacturers and the industries can establish the “time” factor in loads lost versus time of power outage in Table 30.
more dialogues, leading to an answer to the following two questions. In answer to several questions raised by MI. Krasnodebski, the au-
1) Should the equipments have a lower failure rate, but when failing, thors make the following comments.
take longer t o repair? or 1) The failure rates are based upon a calendar year of 8760 h,
2) Should the equipments have a higher failure rate. but when failing, not upon an operating time, which could be lessand would thus result
need shorter repair time? in a higher failure rate than reported in the survey.
In a few instances during the survey, the respondents misinterpreted 2) The failures of circuit breakers are meant to include the auxiliaries.
either the question(s) and/or the definition of the terms, thus leading 3) The failure modes of circuit breakers are included in Table 41;
to unreliable or biased results. This is especially true in the area of this includes “fail t o close,” “fail t o open,” etc. However, data were
preventive maintenance. I might suggest that during the next survey not collected on the number of circuit breaker operations.
I ) the definition of all terms that are likely to cause confusion in the 4 ) The Reliability Subcommittee does not consider that it would be
questionnaire be included, 2) a pilot survey be instituted and any neces- appropriate for a technical society such as IEEE to collect and publish
sary modifications be made t o the questionnaire before a full-scale reliability data by name of manufacturer.
survey is launched, or 3) the survey form he sent out without request- 5 ) The authors agree that better record keeping of fadures would
ing data, but instead requesting the respondent’s interpretations of the improve survey results It is expected that future surveys will cover
questions and the terms used. Then the survey form may be redesigned only a few categories of electrical equipment that are considered
and data requested. trouble areas.
6) The authors acknowledge the logic in the very interesting com-
1. 0. Sunderman (Lincoln Electric System, Lincoln, Nebr.). The au- ments made on synchronous motors and switchgear bus and generators.
thors have presented an interesting cross section of costs involved with 7) The steam turbine generators in industrial plants probably have
industrial electric equipment downtime as accumulated by the com- constant operation and thus could be expected to have a much lower
puter. The data are to be utilized by interested parties in the choice
failure rate than 60-89 MW units in utility applications where the
of a reliability design for industrial power distribution systems. The
operation was cyclical.
wide range of costs as split into the two parts over 1000 kW and under
The authors wish to thank Mr. Kuehn for his suggestions in analyzing
1000 kW suggests consideration of other kW brackets at 500, 2500,
the data. These suggestions included 1) test hypothesis that part of
5000, 7500, 10 000 kW, etc. The sufficiency of data will dictate
data can be rejected, and 2) analysis of variance or multiple regression.
breaking points, as the author already questions the cost data below
MI. Becker has raised a point where this approach for analyzing the data
1000 kW.
could possibly be tried. Mi. Becker feels that the survey results are too
In Part 3 the authors have reviewed and presented in excellent tables
high on the downtime per failure of a single-circuit electric utility
the results of electric equipment outage reports and repair. I t must have
been disturbing t o note the numerous “other than categories classified.” supply. This may be true for his system, but perhaps other utilities are
not as good as his company’s system.
Perhaps further reporting on the “other” category comments, if avail-
Mr. Wong has raised a warning about drawing the conclusion that
able, would bring additional results t o light.
equipment reliability has improved since the previous survey con-
IEEE Reliability Subcommittee: The authors wish t o thank those who ducted 11 to 12 years earlier. A separate paper has been prepared on
presented discussions on these three papers. Some of the suggestions this subject and wffl be published in the near future. This paper con-
given can be considered for incorporation into future surveys and they tains the conclusion that the failure rate of electrical equipment has
can also be used in the analysis of the results. shown a definite trend of improvement during the 12-year interval.
Several discussers have raised the question about the effect of “in The authors wish to thank Mr. Wells for his discussion on preventive
service date” or age on the reliability of electrical equipment. Popula- maintenance. A lot more data on preventive maintenance are being
tion data were collected on the average age of equipment in service; processed and will be included in Part 4 . Mr. Wells’ Table B shows
these will be published in Part 4. However, the Reliability Subcom- more failures in the “ I 2 months or more” category than for the “less
mittee did not request these data in the survey questionnaire on equip than 12 months ago” category. The authors would like to point out
ment failures. This subject was considered by the Subcommittee when that the electrical equipment has more unit-years of exposure in the
making up the questionnaire; it was not included because this would “12 months or more” category and thus could be expected to have
have added additional complications to a questionnaire that was al- more failures. Thus it is not possible to conclude that more frequent
ready considered too long. This meant that the assumption was made preventive maintenance will reduce the failure rate. The Reliability
that the failure rate was constant with age. Thus a chi-squared dis- Subcommittee is investigating this subject in further detail and will
tribution is appropriate for use in calculating the confidence limits of publish the results in Part 4.
176
Appendix B
Part 4
Additional Detailed Tabulation of Some Data
Previously Reported in the First Three Parts
Part 5
Plant Climate, Atmosphere, and Operating
Schedule, the Average Age of Electrical
Equipment, Percent Production Lost, and
the Method of Restoring Electrical Service After a Failure
Part 6
Maintenance Quality of Electrical Equipment
BY
Reliability Subcommittee
Industrial & Commercial Power Systems Committee
IEEE Industry Applications Society
A. D. Patton, Chairman
C. E. Becker C. R. Heising
W. H. Dickinson D. W. McWilliams
P. E. Gannon R. W. Parisian
S. Wells
Also Published
IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications
Jul/Aug and Sept/Oct 1974
Part 4 pp 456462
Part 5 pp 463466
Part 6 pp 467468,681,469476
Abstracf-An IEEE sponsored reliability survey of industrial Table 47 lists loss of motor load vvrsus tinw of power
plants was completed during 1972. This survey included 30 com- outage, adding the following length of power outage
panies covering a total of 68 industrial plants in the United States
and Canada. Additional detailed results are reported on some data categorirs:
that were previously reported in the first three parts. This includes 1) 10 to I 5 cyclrs
failure modes of circuit breakers, cost of power outages, critical 2 ) I,?+ to 30 cyrlcs
service loss duration time, loss of motor load versus time of power
outage, and the effect of failure repair method and repair urgency 3) 0.5f t o 2.0 s
on the average downtime per failure of electrical equipment. This 4) 2 +-t o 4.0 s
information is useful in the design of industrial power distribution 5 ) >4.0 s.
systems.
Tables 48 throuyh 56 report t h r effwt r i f failure repair
method and failure repair urgency on the average down-
I K T R O D U C T I O Y S X D RESTJLTS time per failure for the follon.ing equipnwnt cateyoriw:
ERIN(; 197’2 the Reliability Subcommittee of the 1) transfrmnrn -liquid filled
D Industrial and Conlmercial Power Systems Com-
mittee completed a reliability survey of industrial plants.
a ) 601 i.io00 ir
1,) ah,vt. 13 no0 I’
This paper presents P a r t IV of the results from the survey. 2 j rircuit hrrakrra--nit,tal(lad drair o u t
T h e first three parts [1]-[3] were published previously. a ) O--tjOO V
Sonip of t h r d a t a in the first three parts caused questions b) ahove (in0 V
to be raised about t h e possibility of obtaining additional 3) motors
details. These additional details are being reported in this a ) induction, 0 600 I‘
paper a n d include t h e following results. h ) induction, 601-15 OOO V
Tubk 4.3 gives failure modes of circuit, breakers, in- c ) synchronous, 601-15 OOO V
cluding 4 1 rable
a ) ahovr ground and arrial. (io1 1.5 OOO 1’
~
178
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS JUL/AUG, SEPT/OCT 1974
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179
- .
APPENDIX B REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
,? percent. rrsprctivrly, of tlir failurrs w r e “damaged for power outagrs between 1 to 10 cyclrs duration. only
vhile succrssfully opening.” 01113. i to S prrcrnt of the about half as many lose thr motor load. Thus, power
failurrs \wrv “failed to (,losr whr~iit Fhould.” outages of lrss than 10 cyrlrs duration nray often not
It appears that the dominatr failure mode for mrtalclad result in losing t h e motor load.
dra\vout circuit breakers, (t600 V, is “oprned \\-hen it There w r r many power outages of mort’ than 4.0 s
shouldn’t.” It is possihlr that somr of thrsr failurrs were duration, and 35 prrcciit did not lnsr motor load. It is
rxtrrnal to thr brraker arid nf unknown causr and were suspected that many of thrsc did not h a w a motor load.
blamrd on thr hrrakrr. Somc of thrsr may have bern dur Somr may have had a duplicatr frrd and thus did not lose
to impropvr srtting of thr trip rurrrnt. the motor load.
Thr doininatr failurr modis for fiwd-typr circuit, breakrrs
(includrs moldrd caw), 0-600 V. is “failrd whilr oprrating DISCGSSIOS-EI:FECT 01: I ~ A I L U I t EItEI’AIR
(not while opening or closing) _ ” AII<THOD A S D I’AILURE I1EPAIIt
U R G E S C Y O S AVERAGE HOURS
dletalclad Drarroul Circuit Rrmkers. 601-15 000 1. DOWSTIXIE PER 1;AILUltE
;\Ictal dra\+oiit rircuit hrrakrrs. 601-15 000 V, had 21 Data were givrri in Part I on the avrrage hours downtime
prrcrnt of thr failurw classifird as “failrd while opriiing” prr failurr for 74 catrgorirs of rlectrical rquipmrnt. I t is
and 4 prrrrmt classifird as “damagrd ivhilr succcwfully kno\vii that thr downtime after a failure ran be affected
oprning.” Anothcr 24 pcrrcmt of thr failurrs x r r r chssi- to a largv cxtrnt h) thr failure repair mrthod and the
fird as “failrd n-hile oprrating (not tvhilr opc~titrgo r failurr repair urgrncy. The failure repair method includes
rlosing) .” 49 percent of thr failurrs \\-rrv classifird as eithrr rrpair of the failed component or rlse rrplacrment
“oprnrd whrn it shouldn’t;” it is suspcsctrd that some of ir-ith a spare. Somr data were given in Tables 33 and 34 of
thrsc may havr bwn duv t n improprr setting of the- trip Part 111 on thr failurr repair mrthod and thr failurr repair
rurrrrit. urgrncy for wholr classrs of rlrctriral rquipmrnt.
It appear:: that mrtalrlad drawnit circuit hrrakers. .I mow dvtailed study is rrportrd in Tables 48-36 of
601-1.i @MI t‘, havr about half of thrir failurrs as “operird this paper o n the rffrct of the failurr rrpair method and
w h m it shouldn’t” and thr othrr half as “failed \vhile thr failure rrpair urgency on thr average hours downtime
oprrating or while oprning.” prr failurv. This is only reportrd for 9 rlrctrical equipment
catrgorirs, rathrr than thc 74 catcgorirs givrn in Part I.
DISCUSSIOS-LOSS 01: ;\IOTOR LOAD These 9 electrical equipment categories were selected he-
V E R X S TIAIE OF POWER OUTAGE cause an adequatr .sample size rxistrd of the number of
Thr data on loss of niotor load shown in Table 47 failures and hrcause the average downtime per failure
indicate that for powrr outagrs greater than 10 cyclrs was effectrd significantly by the failure repair method
duration most of t h r plants lose the motor load. Howvrr, and/or the failure repair urgency.
180
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS JUL/AUG, SEPT/OCT 1974
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APPENDIX B REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
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IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S J U L / A U G , S E P T / O C T 1974
Rep1ace Replace
, ReDair w i t h Spare Total ReDair w i t h Soare
Average Hours Downtime FAILURE R E P A I R URGENCY
Nunher o f F a i l u r e s per Failure
17 57 74 26.5 19.0 1. R e q u i r i n g round-the-clock a l l out e f f o r t s
2 33 35 77.8 2. R e q u i r i n g r e p a i r work o n l y d u r i n g r e g u l a r
workday, perhaps w i t h some overtime
3 3 6 * * 3. R e q u i r i n g r e p a i r work on a n o n - p r i o r i t y
basis
This paper presents Part V of the results from the survey. The surve!. form is shown in Appendix A of Part I [l].
The information reported in this paper camp from 1) card
The first three parts [1]-[3 J were published previously;
some of the data of lesser importance were not published type 3, columns 2.5, .i3, and 58; 2) card type 2, column 33;
a t that time but are presented in this paper. Included in and 3 ) card type 1, columns 9-11 and 13. The definition
Part V are of failure is given in Part I.
RESPOSSE TO SURVEY
Table 57-Failure Forewarning for Public Utility
Power Interruption Only, A total of 30 companies responded to the survey
Table 58-Percent Production Lost, questionnaire, reporting data covering 68 plants in nine
Table S9--1\Iethod of Service Restoration, industries in the United States and Canada. For the
Table 60-Average Age of Electrical Equipment , purpose of reporting results in this paper, Part V, the
Table 61-Plant Climate, number of industries were rcduccd from nine down to fiw
Table 62-Plant Atmosphere, plus an “all other” category. The five industrirs selected
Table 63-Plant Operating Schedule. w r r the ones for which equipment failure rate data were
reported in Tables 3 through 19, Part I. All of the remain-
These data are useful when using the results published in ing industries were combined into an “all other” category
Parts I, 11, 111, IV [4], and VI [SI. This information is in Tables 61-63 on plant rlimatc, plant atmosphere. and
also useful in the design of industrial power distribution plant operating schedule.
systems. The data on average age of electrical equipment
and plant operating schedule provide answers t o some DISCUSSIOS-FOREWARSISG FOR PUBLIC
points raised in the written discussion to Part I. UTILITY POWER ISTERRUPTIOS
Only 3 percent of the time was a failure forewarning
given for a public utility power interruption to the indus-
Paper TOD-74-33, approved by the Industrial and Commercial trial plant. Data from Table 3, Part I, and Table 57,
Power System.. Committee of the IEEE Industry Applications
Society for presentation at the 1974 Industrial and Commercial Part V, indirate that a large pcrcentage of these interrup-
Power Systems Technical Conference, Denver, Cola., June 2 4 . tions w r e on double- or triple-circuit supplies. Forewarn-
Manuscript released for publication April 15, 1974.
Mernhem of
....___._... the
.~..Reliahilitv Subcommittee of the IEEE Industrial
~~ ing can be important to plants xith a single circuit. I t can
and Commercial Power &terns Committee are A. 1). Patton, also be important to plants containing a double circuit
Chairman. C. E. Becker, W. H. IXckinson. P.E. Gannon, C. 11.
Heising, D. W. MeWilliams, R. W. Parisian, and Y. Wells. with manual switchover.
188
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS JUL/AUG, SEPT/OCT 1974
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189
A P P E N D I X B R E P O R T O N RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
SNOIlVNIWU31
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IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS JUL/AUG, SEPT/OCT 1974
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191
APPENDIX B REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
-
RA1 EDULE
I
1
w
-1
c( T i t l e , Card-Type 1 Column No.
I-
%
W
-
I-
Less than 5
-
6
7
192
IEEE-IAS T R A N S A C T I O N S J U L / A U G , S E P T / O C T 1974
193
APPENDIX B REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
195
APPENDIX B R E P O R T ON RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
failures due to inadequate maintrnancr, vrrsus 1) failure, fair. Lrss than 5 prrcent of thr population in each equip-
months since maintained, and 2) maintenance quality. ment class (except for motor startrrs) were classifird as
Failure rate calculations are also given in Tables 67 through poor. Four cquipmrnt catrgorirs had betwrcn 24 percent
78; these calculations usrd the population data from to 43 prrcrnt of the population classifird as “nnnr” under
Table 64. maintrnawe quality; this included cablr trrrnination (43
Table 79 summarizes the number of failures for all percc~it),disconncct switches (40 percent), cable (3.5 per-
equipment classes combined versus the maintenance qual- cent), and cable joints (24 percent).
ity. Table 80 summarizes thr nurnbrr of failures for all 1Iaintenanrc quality had a significant rffect nn the
equipment classes combined versus thr months since percent of all failures that were blamed on inadequate
maintained. maintrnancr. In the “poor” category 3.7 percent of all
failurrs w r c blamed on inadequatr maintenance. This
GENERAL CONCLUSIONS-hlAINTENASCE coniparrs with 1s prrrrnt for fair maintenancc and 12
QUALITY percrnt for rxcrllcnt maintrnancr. Thr “none” category
The maintenance quality is an opinion that was reported for maintrnancr quality also had 12 percent of all failures
by each participant in the survey. The major portion of blamed on inadequatc rnaintenancr; hut %‘percent of these
the electrical equipment population in the survey had a failurrs wei-r for rquiprnent classes that do not require
maintenance quality that was classified as excellent or much maintenance (cablr, cable terminations, cable joints,
M I NTENANCE VI
QUALITY =
VI
-1
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W b-
Card-Type 2 0
b- m m-
Col. 36 x
0 U
V u
UoT
- - -
% % %
- - -
Excellent 41 5 20 26
59 58- 53 -30.
0 2 3 1
None 0 40 35 24 43
-
Total 100 E 100 100 00 100
- - __ 100
----
I
MAINTENANCE.
Card-Type 2
tlr!y3:YCLE
100
3
__ 55
5
IO
O+
100
.-;; 22
0
0
100
13:.-13
100
40.
0
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10
100
.-
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1
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~-3
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34
100
-
2
196
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS JUL/AUG, SEPT/OCT 1974
QUALITY
Card-Type 2
12
Months
Ago
Card-Type 3, Col. 34
I
12 - 24
Months
Ago
More
I
Than 24
Months
Ago
1
NO
Preventive
Maintenance
I
Total
I F a i 1u r e s
per
Uni t - Y e a r
ALL
I
C o l . 36 Number of F a i l u r e s Due t o ALL CAUSES CAUSES
1 Excellent 22
- F a i r - - - 10 __- 26
11
_ _- 16
5
- __ - 1 -
0
__
38
-53 - - - -
Poor 2 1 1 5
None 0 0 0 3 3 .. -
Total 34 38 22 5 99 ,00473
Excel l e n t
-Fair -
Poor
__- 01
0
__ - 0
0
1 2
6 -
0
__ - 0 -
0
1
__
3
- 7 - .- ,00075.
1
.00027*
,00294;
-
None 0 0 0 0 0 00000
Total 1 1 8 1 11 ,00053
Small S a m l e S i z e
r
IMAINTENANCE
QUALITY
Card-Type 2
ILURES VERSUS MONTHS SINCE MAINTAINED AND MAINTENANCE QUALITY
Less
Than 12
Months
Ago
FAILURE. MONTHS SINCE MRINTAINED
12 - 24
Months
A qo
Caid-Type 3 C o l . 34
More
Than 2 4
Months
Ago
no
Preventive
Maintenance Total
F a i 1u r e s
per
Uni t - Y e a r
ALL
COl. 36 Number o f F a i l u r e s Due t o ALL CAUSES CAUSES
Excellent 13 1 4 0 18
Fair - 45 __ - 13 __- 8 __ - 66
- 0 ~- __ ~- ~
Poor 1 1 2 0 4
None 0 0 0 0 0
crotal 59 15 14 - 0 88 ,00741
I N u r i e r o f F a i l u r e s Due t o INADEQUATE MAINTENANCE INADEQUATE
I I (Card-Type 3 C o l . 40) I MAINTENANCE
Excel l e n t 1 0 0 1 ,00035;
Fair
Poor
~ - -0 -
0
- 1 - - 3 - - o - ~ 4
2
__ ,00051 -
.00170*
MQUe 0 0 0 a 0 -
Total 2 1 4 0 7 .00059*
* Small Sarrple S i z e
APPENDIX B REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
MAINTENANCE
QUALITY
Less
Than 1 2
Months
1
12 - 24
Months
1
Card-Type 3 C o l . 34
More
Than 24
Months
No1
Preventive
Fai 1ures
Unit-Year
Card-Type 2 Aqo I Ago I Ago I Maintenance Total
C o l . 36 Number o f F a i l u r e s Due t o ALL CAUSES CAUSES
1 Excellent 56 2 80 0
11 I-4;iJ
t
Fair- -5 8 - - 4
Excellent
Fair
Poor
8
-2 - - 25
0
1
_ _ - 41
1
_ _- 2 - -
0 10
70 __ ,00058
.00280
.01390*
-
None 0 0 0 0 0 .DOOOO'
Total 10 26 44 2 82 ---.uuT94
S m a l l Sarrple S i z e
MAINTENANCE
QUALITY
Card-Type 2
C O l . 36
______ i
E x c e l 1e n t
~-
Poor 0 0 16 .O 16
None 0 . 0 0 67 67
Total 8 5 21 67 101 ,00542
198
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS JUL/AUG, SEPT/OCT 1974
Card-Type 2
CAUSES
- Excel l e n t
F a i r __
Poor
~-
0 --
2 3
-4 -
0
-1
10
0
-
15
- 0 ~- 5
0
0
~ ./ ~ ~
None 0 0- 0 -Op--Lp
Total 2 11 0 20 ,00127
I
Number o f F a i l u r e s Due t o INAOEQUATE MAINTE?IANCE 1 IliAOEQUATE
(Card-Type 3 C o l . 40) I -MAINTENANCE
Excellent 0 0 6 0 6 ,00048'
- Fair __ - 0 - 0 .- 1 ~~ ~ 0 -~ 1 ~ .00059'
Poor 0 0 0 0 0
None 0 0 0 0 0 -9 -
Total 0 0 7 0 7 ,00044'
* S m a l l Sample S i z e
* * U n i t = Number o f Connected C i r c u i t B r e a k e r s o r I n s t r u m e n t T r a n s f o r m e r C o n p a r t m n t s
Exce 1 1en t 2 1
- Fair -
Poor
__24 __ 0
None __ 0 00
Total 8 __7 _~ 3 .~ ,00044
__ -
Excellent 0 0 0 0
- F a i r __ __
0
1 - --1-
0
- 2
0
- - o-- 40 -- ..OOOlB*
00000' -.
.00000~
Poor
None 0 0 0 1 1 00271 .
Total 1 1 2 1 5 .00009*
S m a l l Sanple S i z e
* * U n i t = Number of Connected C i r c u i t B r e a k e r s o r I n s t r u m e n t T r a n s f o r m r COnpartmentS
MAINTENANCE
QUALITY
Less
Than 1 2
Months
1
1 2 - 24 I
More
Than 2 4
M;cm;hs
No I
/A P r l v e n t i v e
1I Failures
"Unit-YeK
c A t ; s F Maintenance Total
-
u er k
a i u r e s ue t o LL c USES
7-
CAUSES
Poor
S m a l l Sample S i z e
** U n i t = 1.000 C i r c u i t F e e t
199
APPENDIX B REPORT ON RELIABILITY SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
F a i 1u r e s
Card-Type 2
C o l . 36
Excel l e n t 6
-Fair -
Poor
__1058 - - 19 - - 1 6
3
2
2
- - 6 -
21
21
__
34
59
26
___ _
None 0 0 2 e5 9l
Total 23 28 22 143 216 ,00755
1
More F a i 1u r e s
MAINTENANCE Than 12 12 - 24 Than 2 4 No I per
QUALITY Months Months Months Preventive Uni t-Year
Card-Type 2 Less
. Ago Ago Ago Maintenar,ce Total ALL
COl. 36 Number 01' F a i l u r e s Due t o ALL CAUSES ~ ~
CAUSES
. -.
_
Excellent 2 4 0 0 6
- F a i r __ 6 __ - 5 __ - 1 __ - 5 - - 17 __ ~
Poor 0 0 0
None 0 ~.o_-.-o 15 15 .
Total ..
8 - ~~~
27 45 ,00091
Exce 1 1e n t
- Fair
Poor
None
~
+ I
;-- -f-- -I
1
0
0
0
0
+1
,
-~- I -~:
1
7
1
8
--
.00000'
.00004* -
,00405:
mQ!E
.00016
Total
S m a l l Sample S i z e
None
Total .00040
I
INADEQUATE
I MAINTENANCE
Excell e n t
Fair ~ ~
Poor 0
NOne
Total 1
-- __ 6 .L
S m a l l Samp:e Size
200
I E E E - I A S T R A N S A C T I O N S JUL/AUG, SEPT/OCT 1974
TABLE 79 -
NUMBER OF FAILURES VERSUS
MAINTENANCE QUALITY FOR ALL EQUIPMENT
CLASSES COMBINED
I MAINTENANCE
I Nunber o f F a i l u r e s
1 PERCENT
o f Failures
QUALITY i n Tables 67 t h r u 78 Due t o
Card-Type 2
Col. 36
ALL
CAUSES 1 INADEQUATE
MAINTENANCE
Inadequate
Maintenance
1 None
Total
1 2 38
1,469
4 I
1
36
5 224
28
240
11.6%
18.1%
32.8%
11.8%
16.4%
PERCENT
Number o f F a i l u r e s o f F a i 1 ures
FAILURE, MONTHS i n Tables 67 t h r u 78 Due t o
SINCE MAINTAINED ALL INADEQUATE Inadequate
Card-Type 3, Col. 34 CAUSES MAINTENANCE Maintenance
+ :;;-t
I 1
and disconnect switches). Thus this 12 percent for “nonr” 3 percrnt of the population for transfornicrv. motors, and
is explainable and is not inconsistent with what could bc grnrrators. This niay possibly arcount for some of thr
expected. listings of “nonr” undrr niaintc~nnncc.clwtlity rrportrd for
As maintrnance quality drcrcases from “excellrnt” to failures of circuit hrrakers.
“fair” to “poor,” the following cquipment classes showcd
an increasing failure rat(, from failurrs blamed on inade- Motors
quate maintrnance: transformers. circuit brrakers, motor .\lotors n i t h a maintenancr quality of “fair” had a
starters, motors, disconnect switches, switchgear bus-- failure ratc dur t o inadcquatc rnaintrnancc that \\-as five
barr, open wirr, cable, and cahlc joints. In sninc of t h r v timrs highrr than motors with exccllcrit maintcnancc
caws the sarnplc sizr is smallw than dcsirahlc (Irss than quality.
eight failures) in order to conclusively prove this general
statpmrnt. Open W21.e
Oprn n-irc \\ ith a maintrnancr quality of “fair” had a
OTHER COSCLUSIOSS failure ratc due to inadequate maintcnanrc that \vas morc
than tcn tinics highrr than open wirr xith cwdlrnt
Circuit Breakers maintenancc quality.
Approxiniatcly 1.i prrrrrit of thc circuit hrrakcr popula-
tion had a maintcnanrr quality classifivd as “nonr.” This D I S C U S S I O S ~ ~ I A I S T E S A S CQCALITY
E
comparrs with lrss than 1 prrcrnt of the population for From Tablr 79 it is possible t o r:ilculatr for 311 rquip-
tranFformcrs, motors, and generators. ment classes conibincd the ratio of thr numhcr of failures
It is of intrrrst to notr that data from Table 60, Part V from inadcquatc maintcnancc to thr numbrr of failurrs
also show that 15 pcrcrnt of the circuit brcaker population from all othrr causra. This ratio vrrsus maintcnancc
was lrss than onr ?car old; this rompares with 1rss than quality is as follows: poor-4.49. fair-0.22, (,xcrllrn-
201
A P P E N D I X B R E P O R T ON RELIABILITY S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
202
Appendix C
Cost of Electrical Interruptions
in Commercial Buildings
75 CHO 947-1-1A
pp 123-129
BY
Power System Reliability Subcommittee
Industrial & Commercial Power Systems Committee
IEEE Industry Applications Society
203
APPENDIX C COST O F E L E C T R I C A L I N T E R R U P T I O N S T O COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS
bY
Abstract Survey D a t a P r e p a r a t i o n
1 Outage c o s t s f o r “ o f f i c e b u i l d i n g s ” a s a f u n c t i o n
Response t o Survey o f d u r a t i o n of o u t a g e f o r t h r e e time p e r i o d s .
204
7 5 - C H 0 9 4 7 - 1 - 1 A , I E E E - I & CPS C O N F E R E N C E R E C O R D MAY 1 9 7 5
TABLE 3
TABLE 2
OUTAGE COSTS FOR "OFFICE BUILDINGS"
OUTAGE COSTS FOR "OFFICE BUILDINGS" AS A FUNCTION OF DURATION
AS A FUNCTION OF DURATION (WITHOUT COMPUTERS)
(WITH AND WITHOUT COXPUTERS)
--
Samplm
Sample Size Yaximun .linimum Average
Size E I a x i m u m Minimum Average -
15-Minute Duration
1-Hour Duration
Costlpeak KW hr.
not delivered 13 $ 13.3: $ 0.91 $ 5.30
not delivered 29 $ 6.74
Cost/1,000 sq. ft. of Cost/1,000 s q . ft. of
bldg. Ihr. 15 120.0 5.24 49.42
bldg. /hr. 32 53.12 28.5; 1.25 10.64
Costlemployeelhr. 15
-
32 -
TABLE 4
Samplm
Size ,laximum Xinimum Average
15-Minute Duration
Costlpeak Kli hr. n o r
not delivered 14 s 22.22 $ 1.88 $ 8.89
Cost/l,000 sq. ft. of
bldg.1hr. 15 250.00 16.57 78.21
Costlemployeelhr. 15 52.00 4.00 18.53
1-Hour Duration
Cost/peak KW hr.
not delivered 16 $ 24.93 $ 1.88 $ 8.30
Cost/1,000 s q . ft. of
bldg.1hr 17 125.00 15.88 54.52
tl
Cost/employee/hr. 17 34.30 4.00 13.62
lration 1 Hour
Costlpeak KW h r .
not delivered
Cost/1,000 s q . ft. of
bldg./hr.
Costlemployeelhr.
205
A P P E N D I X C C O S T OF E L E C T R I C A L I N T E R R U P T I O N S TO COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS
TABLE 5
1 ? 8 1 3 5 3 3 1 1 2
Cycle Cycles Cycler Stc. Scc. Xln. !:ln. Hour 8 m r .
I.-
Percent of bulldlngs
w i t t i rrirlcJ1 scrvlce loss
32 61 9: 15. 161 It2 642 79: 1OG:
durarlon 1c.r than or equal
10 t h c t i r e lodlcated.
TABLE 6
CRITICAL SERVICE LOSS DURATION TIME
FOR "OFFICE BUILDINGS"
TABLE 7
Buildings w i t h
computers
Number
~~ I 1
AND SINGLE FEEDER SERVICE TO "ALL BUILDINGS"
Buildings No Auxiliary
w;t~
Auxiliary
Generltion
and Only
Responses Generation Single Feeder
Buildings w l t h -
out computers
TOTAL
Survey R e s u l t s -- C r i t i c a l S e r v i c e Loss
D u r a t i o n Time ably define. The r e s u l t s o f t h e s u r v e y i n d i c a t e t h a t
i n d i v i d u a l r e a u i r e m e n t s f o r e l e c t r i c a l energy
.. a r e such
The amount of t i m e a n e l e c t r i c a l s e r v i c e can be i n t e r - t h a t i t i s p r o b a b l y n o t p o s s i b l e t o e s t a b l i s h a gen-
r u p t e d b e f o r e i t c a u s e s s i g n i f i c a n t l o s s e s 1s a ques- e r a l c r i t i c a l s e r v i c e l o s s d u r a t i o n t i m e . The s u r v e y
t i o n which o u r p r o f e s s i o n h a s n o t been a b l e t o s u i t - r e s u l t s a r e shown i n T a b l e s 5 and 6.
206
75-CH0947-1-1A,IEEE-I & CPS CONFERENCE RECORD MAY 1975
TABLE 8 TABLE 9
Number of f l o o r s
Annual usage -
Megawatt hours
TABLE 11
207
A P P E N D I X C C O S T O F E L E C T R I C A L I N T E R R U P T I O N S T O COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS
TABLE 12
$8.86/kWH n o t d e l i v e r e d
208
75-CH0947-1-1A, IEEE-I & CPS C O N F E R E N C E R E C O R D MAY 1975
209
A P P E N D I X C C O S T OF E L E C T R I C A L I N T E R R U P T I O N S TO COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS
210
Appendix D
Reliability of Electric Utility Supplies
t o Industrial Plants
75 CHO 947-1-1A
pp 131-133
BY
Power Systems Reliability Subcommittee
Industrial & Commercial Power Systems Committee
IEEE Industry Applications Society
A. D. Patton, Chairman
C. E. Becker C. R. Heising
M. F. Chamow R. T. Kulvicki
W. H. Dickinson D. W. McWilliams
P. E. Gannon R. W. Parisian
M. D. Harris S. Wells
211
A P P E N D I X D RELIABILITY OF E L E C T R I C UTILITY SUPPLIES T O I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S
by
Power S y s t e m s R e l i a b i l i t y S u b c o m m i t t e e
I n d u s t r i a l and Commercial Power Systems Committee
A. D. P a t t o n , C o o r d i n a t i n g A u t h o r l l
___
ABSTRACT
Mode o f o p e r a t i o n i f more t h a n o n e S u p p l y
The p a p e r s u m m a r i 7 e s t h e r e s u l t s of a 1 9 7 4 s u r v e y c i r c u i t : a l l c i r c u i t b r e a k e r s normally
of t h e r e l i n h i l i t y of r l c c t r i c u t i l i t y s u p p l i e s t o in- c l o s e d , manual t h r o w - o v e r s c h e m e , or a u t a -
d u s t r i a l plarils. Results include the average ratP5 of m a t i c t h r o w - o v e r scheme
a c c u r r e n r r drld d u r a ~ i o n so f power l n t r r r u p t i o n s a s II V o l t a g e of u t i l i t v c i r c u i t s supplyin. t h e
f u n c t i o n o f t y p r of r l r ~ tt-lc titilit* iupply. l h ~ . it,- plant
format i o n s l i n r i l d h e l p i n d u r t r l a l p l a n t n p e r a t < v . I l l o o b ? Type o f s u p p l y c i r c u i t s : overhead o r
tlir t \ p e - i o f t . I t , , t i i c ~ i t i l i t g\ i i p p l ~ r s h c i t b u i t t ' c ! t c undcrgrounU
thpir pl?nl,. i: 5 k e t r h of t h e e l e c t r i c i i t i l l t y s u p p l y
5\.;,rm
I N-rEcTuLtt.1 i i i v Thc p r r i o d o f t i m e c o v e r e d bv t h e q u r v e v r e -
port. (Respondents werr asked t o l i m i t t h e i r
l i i r c l c l r i L i i t i l i t y s i i p p l y r c l i a b i l l t y survt-'. I ? - - r e s p o n s e t o t h e p e r i o d J a n u a r y 1 , 1968 t o t h e
bCirteti 11"re i i ., t o l l o w u p t o t l i e 1 Y 7 ? S L I I V I , ~ i o i t h e rt- present.)
i i a h i l i t > of c i e i t r i c a l e q u i p m e n t i n i n d u s t r i a l p l d n t s . The number o f i n t e r r u p t i o n s t o t h e p l a n t d u e
1 , 2 .Thi. 1 9 7 2 s u r v e y showed t h a t t i i t e l e c t r i c u t i l l t y t o los5 o f t h e e l e c t r i c u t i l i t v s u p p l y d u r i n g
s u , i p l y I > t h e most f a l l i b l e "component" o f a n I n d u s t r i - t h e t i m e p e r i o d of ( 3 ) .
a l p l a n t system and t h e r e f o r e d e s e r v e s c a r ? i u l c o n s i d - The d u r a t i q n o f e a c h e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y s u p p l y
eration. i n t e r r u p t i o n , an i n d i c a t i o n whether s e r v i c e
w a s r e s t o r e d t o t h e p l a n t by a s w i t c h i n g o p e r -
C e r t a i n of t h e J a t a i n t h e e a r l i e r survey were a t i o n o r by r e p a i r o r r e p l a c e m e n t o i f a i l e d
i l i b j c c t t o p o s s i b l e e r r o r due t o m i s i n t e r p r e t a t i o n o f e q u i p m e n t . a n d , i f known, t h e e q u i p m e n t w h i c h
lrie h u r v e y form. Hence, a p r i m e o b j e c t i v e o f t h e p r e s - failed causing the interrupt1o:l.
e n t s u r v e y was t o i m p r o v e t h e a c c u r a c y o f d a t e a n e l e r -
t r i c u ~ i l i t ys u p p l i e s . A s e c o n d o b j e c t i v e was t o p r o -
\ , d e more d e t a i l e d a n d d e f i n i t i v e d a t a o n r l e r t r i c
i i t i l i t y s u p p l y i n t e r r u p t i o n r a t e s and a v e r a g e d u r a t i n n b Some r e s p o n d e n t s t o t h e s u r v e y l i , t r - d v o l t a g e d i p s
a 5 a f u n c t i o n u f t h e number a f s u p p l y c i r r i i i t h . t h e w h i c h c a u s e d d i s r u p t i o n o f p l a n t p r o d u L t l o n ds w e l l a s
t y p e of s w i t c h i n g scheme, and t h e v o l t a g e o f t h e sup- complete i n t e r r u p t i o n s of e l e c t r i c u t l l l t v s e r v i w .
ply c i r c u i t s . A third objective was t o obtain data O t h e r r e s p o n d e n t i commented on p r o d u c t i o n d i s r u p t i o n s
f r o m a l a r g e r "timber o f p l a n t s t h a n i n t h e 1972 s u r v e ) d u e t o v o l t a g e d i p s w i t h o u t g i v i n g d e t a i l s . However,
t h e r e b y p e r m i t t i n g i n t e r r u p t i o n r a t e s and a v e r a g e d u r a - most r e s p o n d e n t s r e p o r t e d o n l y on c o m p l e t e i n t c r r u p -
t i o n s t o he determined w l t h g r e a t e r p r c L i s i o n . A t o t a l t i o n s o f s e r v i c e and t h i s was t h e i n t e n t o f t h e s u r v e y .
o f 87 p l a n t s p r o v i d e d u s a b l e d a t a , a l m o s t t r i p l e t h r The S u h c o m m i t t e e f e e l s t h a t t h e s e n s i t l v i t v t o v o l t a g e
number o f p l a n t s p r o v i d i n g d a t a o n e l e c . t r i i utility d i p s is a r a t h e r uniqup c h a r a c t e r i s t i c o f each plant
s u p p l i e s i n t h e 1972 s u r v e v . Survey r c s p and p i o r e s s and t h a t a v e r a g e i n t e r r u p t i o n r a t e s i n c l u d -
d u m by i n d u s t r v i s a s f o l l o w s : cempnr = 2 . c h e m i r a l = i n g v o l t a g e d i p s would n o t b e v e r y m e a n i n g f u l . Thtre-
1 4 , m e t a l = 4 , p e t r o l e u m = I O , p u l p and p a p e r = I , rrih- f o r e . a l l v o l t a g e d i p e v e n t s w e r r removed from t h e s u r -
b e r a n d p l a s t i c s = 4 , and o t h e r manufai t i i r i n g = J2. v e y d a t a l e a v i n g o n l y t h o s e i n t e r r u p t i o n s duP t o c i m -
p l e t c 10s.; o f e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y s e r v i c e . H e n r r . t h r
l t s h o u l d b e e m p h a s i z e d t h a t e l e c l r i c u t i l i t y s"p- i n t e r r u p t i o n r a t e ' g i v e n i n t h e summarv t a b l e . r e f l e c t
p l y r e l i a b i l i t y i s a f u n c t i o n o f a numhrr o f f a r t o r = complk,tr l o s s o f e l e c t r i c u t i l ~ t vs e r v i c e o n l y . If a
not d i r e c t l y identified i n the data presented here. p l a n t is s e n s i t i v e t o v o l t a g e d i p s . t h e r a t e o f s u c h
Included i n t h e s e r e l i a b i l i t y - i n f l u e n c i n g fd?tOrS a r r t w n t - m u s t he added t o t h e r e p o r t e d i n t e r r u p t i o n r a t e s
l i n e e x p o s u r e , w e a t h e r and o t h e r e n v i r o n m e n t a l condi- t o o b t a i n t h e t o t a l r a t e of p r o d u c t i o n d l s r u p t i o n due
t i o n s , a n d u t i l i t y o p e r a t i n g and m a i n t e n a n c e p r a c t l r ' e . t o u t i l i t v supplv troublrs.
T h u s , t h e e l e c t r i c u t i l l t y s u p p l y r e l i a h i l i t y d a t a giv-
en i n t h i s p a p e r r e p r e s e n t s average performance and Almost a l l r e - p o n d e n t s i n d i r a t e d t h a t u t i l ~ t s<up-
s h o u l d n o t be used i n p r e f e r e n c e t o q p e c i f i c d a t a wnrn p l y i r c u i t s a r e overhead ratI7er than undcrgrouiid.
this is available. Methods a r e a v a i l a b l e f o r c o m p u t i n g Hence, no e f f o r t w a s made t o s e p a r a t e s u p y l i e s v i t h
t h e r e l i a b i l i t y p e r f o r m a n c e o f a n e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y '.up- overhead d n d underground c i r c u i t s . The < l a t a g i v f n i n
p l y when t h e r e l i a b i l i t y p e r f o r m a n c e p a r m w t c t , o f 8 1 - t h e S U ~ J K t a~ b l e s essentially r e f l e c t s o v e r h e a d S U O -
t i l i t y s y s t e m c o m p o n e n t s a r e known.3 p l v c i r c u i t s due t o t h e preponderance o i s u r h c i r c u i t s
I" t h P s u r v e y r r b p o n s e .
SURVEY QUESTiONNAIKE
P r r l i m i n a r v a n a l y s e s of i i t i l i t y supplv i n t e r r u p -
The s u r v e y q u e s t i o n n a i r e r e q u e s t e d t h c followiny. t i o n r a t e s by i n d u s t r y c a t e g o r y i n d i c a t e d no s i g n i f i -
d a t a f o r each e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y supply. r a n t d i t f e r e n c e s hetween i n d u s t r i e s . Further. there
I . Type o f i n d u s t r y seem- L O h e n o good r e a s o n whv u t i : i t y s u p p l ~ e so f t h e
2 . Type o f e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y s u p p l y .;me t y p e and v o l t a g e s h o u l d d i f f e r h e t w e e n i n d u s t r i e s .
d. NllmhrK o f u t i l i t y c i r c u i t s s u p p l v ~ n g rile r l i f i e f a r e . t h e d.ita p r e s e n t e d i n t h e s u m , ? r y t a b l e s i s
___-_ plant n d t b r o k e n down by t n d u s t r , .
-
11 Members o f :he Power S y s t e m s R e l i e h i l i t s S u b c o m -
mittee are: A . D. P a t t o n , r h a i m d n , C . F. Bedki,r, I h r s u r v e y r e s p o n s e b r o k e n Gown hy n u m b e r of
M. F. Chamow, W . H . D i c k i n s o n , P. E. i;annon, !l. D . Har- i i t t l i t v s u p p l y c i r c u i t s . v o l t a g e of u t i l j r y s u p p l y c i r -
r i s , C . R . t l e i s i n g , R . 1. K u l v i c k i , D . W . ? I c k ' i l l i a m s , c u l t b , a n d mode o f o p e r a t i o n o f m u l t i p l e s u p p l y c i r r u i t
R. W. P a r i s i a n , a n d S . Wells. i i t l l i t y s u p p l i e s is g i v e n i n T a b l e I .
212
75-CH0947-1-1A, IEEE-I & CPS CONFERENCE RECORD MAY 1975
The d a t a of T a h l e s I 1 t h r o u g l i L' s h o w t h e e x p e c t e d
t rends.
(1) U t i l i i v s u p p l y i n t e r r a p t i o n r a t e s a r e l o w e s t
for m u l t i p l e c i r c u i t s u p p l i e s which o p e r a t e
w i t h a l l c i r c u i t b r e a k e r s closed and h i g h e s t
f o r s i n g l r - c i r c u i t s u p p l i e s . T a b l e s 1 1 and
l a h l e 1 shows t h a t t w o - c i r c u i t s u p p l i e s a r r t h e most I l l show t h a t t h e i n t e r r u p t i o n r a t e f o r s i n -
common among t h e r e s p o n d i n g p l a n t s . A much b m a l l e r g l e - c i r c u i t s u p p l i ? + i s a b o u t s i x tlmrs t l t d t
number o f p l a n t s r e p o r t e d t h r e e o r more s u p p l y c i r - o f m u l t i p l e c i r c u i t s u p p l i e s which o p e r a t e
cuits. A l l m u l t i p l e - c i r c u i t s u p p l i e s a r e combined i n w i t 1 1 d11 c i r c u i t b r e a k e r s c l o b e o . Interrup-
t h p d a t a t a b l e s which f o l l o w b e c a u s e s u c h s u p p l i e s a r e tion rateh f o r multiplr-clrr!!it supplies
r - i p c r ' d t o have s i m i l a r i n t e r r u p t i o n r a t e s a n d b r - whicii o p e r a t e w i t h n t h r o v o v r r schemi, a r e
cause o f t h e r e l a t i v e l y s m a l l sample of s u p p l i e s w i t h comp,!rahli, t v t h o s e f o r i i n q l r - r l r c u i t s u p -
t h r c e o r more c i r c u i t s . Responses have been broken p l i e s . h u t tiirowover schemes h a v e a s m a l l e r
i n t o t h r e e v o l t a g e c a t e g o r i e s corresponding roughly t o averag? i o t e r r u p t i o n d x l r a t l o n t h a n h ~ n g l c -
d i s t r i b u t i o n v o l t a g e s , L u b t r a n s m i s s i o n v o l t a g e s . and c i r c u i t s!lpplirs,
transmission voltages. 'This w a s done b e c a u s e e l e c t r i ( (2) I n t e r r u p t i o n r e t e ? are h l g h e i t f o r utility
u t i l i t y d e s i g n and o p p r a t i n g p r a c t i c e i s r a t h e r d i f - supply c i r c u i t s operated a t distribution
f e r e n t ~t t h e s e t h r e e f u n c t i o n l e v e l s . Hence, i t c a n vo1tag.r.; and l o w e s t f o r r i : c u i t - . u p e r a t e d a t
b e e x p e c t e d t h a t u t i l i t y s u p p l y r e l i a b i l i t y w i l l be a transmiision voltages.
f u n c t i o n o f t h e s y s t e m l e v e l a t which s e r v i c e i s p r o -
vided.
213
APPENDIX D RELIABILITY OF ELECTRIC UTILITY SUPPLIES TO INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
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75-CH0947-1-1A, IEEE-I & CPS CONFERENCE RECORD MAY 1975
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Appendix E
Report of Switchgear Bus Reliability
Survey of Industrial Plants
and Commercial Buildings
3Y
Power Systems Reliability Subcommittee
Power Systems Support Committee
Industrial Power Systems Department
IEEE Industry Applications Society
Published by
IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications
Mar/Apr 1979 pp 141-147
216
Report of Switchgear Bus Reliability Survey of Industrial
Plants and Commercial Buildings
Power Systems Reliability Subcommittee
Power Systems S u p p o r t Committee
Industrial Power Systems Department
Abstruct-The Power Systems Reliability Subcommittee of the categorize information into major areas of application. An area
IEEE Industry Applications Society has been conducting surveys of primary concern is maintenance because of its obvious rela-
of the reliability of electrical equipment in industrial plants and com-
tion t o failure rate. However, this is the most difficult datum to
mercial buildings. Switchgear bus was included in a previous survey
published in 1973 and 1974 [ I ] and generated some controversy con- obtain in complete and uniform format for meaningful results.
cerning bare and insulated bus. For this reason, and also for an ongoing Responses in this survey did not permit these results to appear,
effect to continually update the 1973 and 1974 survey [ I ] , switchgear partly due to the respondents’ failure to submit information
bus reliability has been investigated in a new survey in 1977, and the and partly due to the survey format.
results are presented. Reference is made to a paper (21 given at the Failed unit data were requested in the form shown in the
1977 Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Technical Conference
on reasons for conducting the new survey. second portion of the questionnaire. The major categories are
causes of failure, types of failure, duration of failure, and
failed components. This form is less extensive, but more
INTRODUCTION
specifically oriented for switchgear bus than in 1973 and 1974
SURVEY RESPONSE
the manufacturer of the equipment concerned. Table I summarizes the survey response including number
Many parameters were included in this new survey in an of buses, companies, and plants. In this survey, bus “unit-year’’
effort to uncover the most influencing factors on the reliability is defined as the product of the total number of switchgear
of bare bus and insulated bus and to allow any new obvious connected circuit breakers and connected switches reported in
and significant applications considerations to be identified. a category times the total exposure time. In the previous
The questionnaire submitted was condensed t o a practical and survey, the unit-year did not include the number of connected
useful form to obtain optimum response in as short of time switches; that is, only the connected circuit breakers were
period as possible, counted. Table 11 shows the 1973 and 1974 [ l ] survey and is
Results of the survey are presented in tabular form, and included for comparison of responses. The total number of
discussion is included primarily where adequate response and plants in the new survey response is considerably greater than
population data were obtained. Many questions and uncertain- in the 1973 and 1974 survey, but it is interesting to note that
ties still exist, and the intent of the following presentation is unit-year sample size is slightly less. Also some discrepancy
to report the results of the survey with some discussion, but appears in the total number of failures reported in Table I and
drawing of definite conclusions is left to the reader. those of some subcategories in tables to follow. This is due to
all companies not responding to every category.
SURVEY FOKM
The questionnaire form (Fig. 1) and cover letter used in the
survey are included in the Appendix. Total populations data SURVEY RESULTS
Insulated and Bare Bus
Paper ISPD approved by the Power Systems Protection Committee A major controversy emerged in the results of the 1973 and
of the IEEE Industry Applications Society for presentation at the 1978
Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Technical Conference, 1974 survey [ I ] concerning bare and insulated switchgear bus.
Cincinnati, OH, June 5-9. Manuscript released for publication October Insulated bus, 601-15 000 V , showed a higher failure rate than
25, 1978. bare bus, above 600 V, but data were heavily influenced by
The author is with El Paso Natural Gas Company, El Paso, TX
79978. the chemical industry. The new survey shows the opposite of
1 Other members of the subcommittee are Phillip E. Cannon this, as seen in Table I , with less chemical industry influence.
(Chairman), I. W. Aquilino, Carl E. Becker, W. H. Dickinson, Bruce Bare bus, above 600 V, shows a relatively high failure rate, but
Douglas, Ian Harley, C. R . Heising, Don Kilpatrick, D. W . McWilliams,
R. N . Parisian, A. D. Patton, Dr. Chanan Singh, Wayne L. Stebbins, the sample size is not large, thus making this observation some-
Harold T. Wayne, and Stanley J . Wells. what questionable. With more companies responding in the
APPENDIX E SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS AND COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS
Company Name a n d P l a n t :
I n d u s t r y Type:
Total Population:
F a i l e d U n i t Data:
218
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1979
new survey but with less overall unit-year sample size, the without sufficient supplement from respondents concerning
failure rate for all bus shows to he slightly higher than in the operating procedures, maintenance type, spare parts inventory,
previous survey. But on breaking this down further, bare bus etc., the data relate to a very general or all-inclusive type of
failure rate is higher and insulated bus failure rate is lower in information.
the new survey.
Table I shows the chemical industry data broken out since Grounding Type
it is believed to be a major contributor in the controversy of
the 1973 and 1974 survey [ l ) . In the new survey the chemical Survey results are shown in Tables 111-V. Inadequate response
industry dominated the number of failures in each category, and the general nature of the questionnaire format prohibit
but did not dominate sample sizes. This supports the argument sufficient results for this category. It is believed that grounding
of some that bus utilized in the chemical industry should have type related to failures is important data, but data should be
a relatively high failure rate. especially in the use of hare bus. specific, for example, in types of failures in ungrounded sys-
Table I also shows median outage duration time after a tems and in impedance value of impedance grounded systems.
failure of each category, in hours per failure. It is important to This category may he pursued in greater detail in the next
emphasize that these data are based on many factors, and survey.
TABLE I
SWITCHGEAR B U S : INDOOR A N D O U T D O O R
TABLE I1
R E S U L T S O F P R E V I O U S S U R V E Y P U B L I S H E D IN 1973 A N D 1974 [ I ]
SWITCHGEAR BUS: INDOOR A N D O U T D O O R
219
A P P E N D I X E S U R V E Y OF I N D U S T R I A L P L A N T S A N D COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS
TABLE 111
TYPE OF G R O U N D I N G OVERALL, BUS INSULATED AND
BUS B A R E
NOT
UNGROUNDED SOLID-GROUND IMPEDANCE-GROUND REPORTED TOTAL
(Unit-Year)
Samp 1 e- Si zc 20262 9787 17280 4062 51391
# FAILURE 17 12 23 2* 54
TABLE IV
BUS INSULATED
NOT
UNGROUNDED SOLID-GRCUND IMPEDANCE-GROUND REPORTED TOTAL
( it - Y ear)
Sample-Size 4626 4274 14270 1685 24855
# FAILURE 7* 4* 16 1* 28
TABLE V
BUS B A R E
NOT
UNGROUNDED SOLID-GROUND IMPEDANCE-GROUND REPORTED TOTAL
-
( U n i t Year)
Sample- Si ze 15636 5513 3010 2377 26536
# FAILURE 10 8 7* I* 26
T A B L E VI
A V E R A G E A G E OF S W I T C H G E A R B U S
Age of Bus
Tables VI-VIII illustrate how failures of insulated and bare
bus relate to age in this survey. An interesting observation here
is that newer bus appears to experience a higher failure rate
T A B L E VI1
than older bus. This might be expected if one considers
N U M B E R OF F A I L U R E S V E R S U S A G E
improper installation, new components failure rate, type of
construction of new switchgear. etc. As discussed below under ALL INSULATED BARE
“causes” of failures, the logicality of this observation is not
AGE 1-10 yrs. 15 5’ 10
consistent.
As incoming data were analyzed. it became apparent that >10 y r s . 37 23 14
the period reported (it was assumed that the period reported * Small sample size.
was the period of best kept records) and the age of bus did not
correlate as well as expected in every case, a fallacy in the
questionnaire format perhaps. Note that the older bus sample
size is much larger.
Indoor and Outdoor Bus
The results of this category are summarized in Tables IX-XI T A B L E VI11
below. Table XI shows an overall result of outdoor bus failure F A I L U R E RATE ( F A I L U R E PER U N I T - Y E A R )
rate versus indoor bus failure rate. Outdoor bus shows a higher
failure rate than indoor bus, an observation not too surprising. ALL INSULATED BARE
TABLE XI
SWITCHGEAR BUS (OVERALL)
CXt"lOOR INDOOR
Sample- Size
Unit -Year 7825 42695
FAILURE 15 30
ROUND CLOCK 24 h r . 87 h r . 32 h r . 39 h r .
TABLE XI11
FAILURE DURATION: ROUND CLOCK VERSUS NORMAL HOUR
(HOURS DOWNTOWN PER FAILURE)
BUS INSULATED BUS BARE
ROUND NORMAL ROUND NORMAL
CLOCK HOUR CLOCK HOUR
50 PERCENTILE 2 4 h r . 2 4 0 h r . 32 h r . 24 h r .
TABLE XIV
FAILURE REPAIR URGENCY
TABLE XV
NUMBER OF SWITCHGEAR BUS-INSULATED FAILURES VERSUS
MAINTENANCE CYCLE
Sample-Size
(hit-Year) 3563 8812 7253
I FAILURE 2' 13
_I
6'
222
IEEE-IAS TRANSACTIONS MAR/APR 1979
G E N t R A L DlSCUSSlON
BUS BUS
INSULATED BARE A i this point 11 IS well f o note the contidence ~nterualsof
failure race far bare and insulated bur Table XX shows t h e
26% I'% 1 Defective colnponent i a 90 percent confidence ~nierval T h e rable l l l ~ ~ l r a l ~ ~
l h ~ t lor
the statisiical lirnm uithin which 90 percent o f [he failures
4". 4: 2 . Improper Appllcatlon could he expected to occur
Lack of specific derails limits the integrity of some data.
7'. 9
'
. 3 . Improper H a n d l I n g
and as previously indicated not all categories surveyed were
7: 13% 4. ~ m p r o p e r Installation reported in this paper due primarily lo small rample m e i and
numbers o f fadurer As with most ~ u l v e y raccurale data corn
19% 22: 5.- ~ n a d e q u a t ewintenance bined with large response are difficult to ohtam smce rerponre
definitelv rclafes I O simplicity in quertionnaire format Data o f
. 18% 6 . I m p r o p e r operating Procedure the effect of maintenance on fatlure rate are hi&hly desirable
for obvious rearonr. and effort wiil bo made IO acqutre thlr
11% 4% 7 . ~ u r s l d e~ g e -~ Personnel
y data in the future in a meaningful and usable form
~ 13% 9. OYerheatlng
TABLE XVIll
C O N T R I B U T I N G CAUSE TO F A I L U R E
BUS BUS
INSUWTLD BbRL
6 6i - I mcrmoc).clIng
TABLE XX
3% 8% 2 . Mechanical Structure Failure
CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR FAILURE R A T E A
6 6% ~ J Necham'al Oalnage From Foreign
Source
~~-
15% 1 Shorting By T o o l s or Merat FAILURE RATE ( A ) INSULATED RARE WJS PARE BUS
Ob,ecrs FAILURE PER W I T - Y R BUS > 6 0 0 V > 600V < 600V
3% ~ 5 . Shorting By Snakcr. B i r d s ,
Rodentr, e i c A L ' .DO0779 .000958 .000521
10% 18 6 . Matfuncrlon of P r o f r c f ~ u eD c v l c e
A .001129 .001917 .000802
4'. 7 ,mproper serr,ng o f PTotective
223
APPENDIX E SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL PLANTS AND COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS
224