5 9

B (4)
13 17
START 0 5
0 A (5)
LF 0 5
5 12 12
C (7) D (5)
5 12 12
 0 5
0 0 A (5) 1 5

12
3 12
 20 28
G (8)
20 28

17 20 20 25
E (3) H (5)
17 20 23 28
28 33 FINISH
I (5) 33
28 33 33
17
D (5)
17
17 25
F (8)
20 28

17 20

2 5 6
17 20
 17 20
B (4)

C17(7)
4 17 D (5)
 Kegiatan Durasi ES EF LF
A 5 0 5 5
B 4 5 9 17
C 7 5 12 12
D 5 12 17 17
E 3 17 20 20
F 8 17 25 28
G 8 20 28 28
H 5 20 25 28
I 5 28 33 33

ES EF
ACTIVITY
(DUR)
LS LF

28 33
6 28 7 33
E (3)
28 33
E (3)

F (8)
LS TF FF
0 0 0
13 8 8
5 0 0
12 0 0
17 0 0
20 3 3
20 0 0
23 3 3
28 0 0

G (8)

H (5)
 Minggu Ke
Kegiatan 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
Ke
21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
 Expected
Optimistic Most Likely Pesimistic Deviation
Activity Duration

(a) (m) (b) te = (a+4m+b)/6 s = (b-a)/6

A 4 5 6 5 0.333
B 3 4 5 4 0.333
C 3 7 11 7 1.333
D 3 5 7 5 0.667
E 2 3 4 3 0.333
F 6 8 10 8 0.667
G 4 8 12 8 1.333
H 3 5 7 5 0.667
I 4 5 6 5 0.333
Jumlah 6.000

z 0.500
0.1915
0.8085

Durasi Rencana
Durasi Ekspektasi
Probabilitas durasi jadi
 Probability to
Variance Reach Target
(Z)
v = s2
0.111
0.111
1.778
0.444
0.111
0.444
1.778
0.444
0.111
36.000

33
30
98%