1800 K Street, NW

Suite 400
Washington, DC 20006

Phone: 1.202.775.3270
Fax: 1.202.775.3199
Email:
acordesman@gmail.com
Web:
www.csis.org/burke/reports

IED Metrics for Iraq:

June 2003 – September 2010

Anthony H. Cordesman, Charles Loi,

& Vivek Kocharlakota
Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy
November 11, 2010

www.csis.org |
 1000
1500
2000
3000

2500

500

0
Jun-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep-04
Dec-04
Mar-05
Jun-05
Sep-05
Dec-05
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
CAS
CF KIA
CF WIA
IED Incidents and Casualty Figures

Effective Incidents

Total IED Incidents

Found and Cleared
Ineffective Incidents
 IED Incidents in Iraq
June 2003 – October 2005

3
 IED Incidents in Iraq
November 2005 – March 2008

4
IED Incidents in Iraq
April 2008 – May 2010

5
 IED Incidents in Iraq
June 2010 – September 2010
(U.S. only)

Month U.S. KIA U.S. WIA

June 2010 2 22
July 2010 1 16
August 2010 0 17
September 2010 0 16

6
 0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
2008-2010

Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
CAS
CF KIA
CF WIA

Total IED
Effective Incidents

Found and Cleared

IED Incidents and Casualty Figures

Ineffective Incidents
 1000
2000
3000
5000
6000

4000

0
Jun-03

Sep-03

Dec-03

Mar-04

Jun-04

Sep-04

Dec-04

Mar-05

Jun-05

Sep-05

Dec-05

Mar-06

Jun-06

Sep-06

Dec-06

Mar-07

Jun-07

Sep-07

Dec-07

Mar-08

Jun-08

Sep-08

Dec-08
2003 - 2010

Mar-09

Jun-09

Sep-09

Dec-09
IED Incidents by Type

Mar-10
Total

Effective Incidents
Found and Cleared
Ineffective Incidents
 Total IED Incidents
3000
2003 - 2010
2612 2588
2556
2482
2500 2392 23712394
2326
2273 2262
2216 2229
2137
2070
2059
2000
1832
1780
1683 1685
1579
1471
1500 1413
1412 1419
1373
1321
12491277 1246 1255
1175 1143 1175
1136 1122 112910931161
1055
1003
1001
1000 958
882 901

746 746 774

652 631
629 602
557
557
519
503 481
500 407
404 417
413 386
360 358
356 345
335 324
294 262 232
221
193
146 171 199 149 158
135 168
158
125 122
64
22
0
Oct-06
Jun-03

Oct-03

Jun-04

Oct-04

Jun-05

Oct-05

Jun-06

Jun-07

Oct-07

Jun-08

Oct-08

Jun-09

Oct-09
Aug-03

Apr-04

Aug-04

Apr-05

Aug-05

Apr-06

Aug-06

Apr-07

Aug-07

Apr-08

Aug-08

Apr-09

Aug-09

Apr-10
Feb-06
Feb-04

Feb-05

Feb-07

Feb-08

Feb-09

Feb-10
Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09
-500
 Casualties
700 2003-2010
655

595
600
558
548

492
500 483
464 470
458 457 452 448 456
426 431
413 408 413 413 420
397 397
400 383 391
374
361 360
352 346
340
326 328
293 299 291
300
265 273 271
255 250 243
233 228 235 220
214 213 208 206
200 190
179
165 158
150 144 137
128 122 119

100 88
74
59 61 62 646567
4749
35 38 46 30 3138
20 21282224 2216 18
10
0
Aug-03

Feb-04
Apr-04

Aug-04

Feb-05
Apr-05

Aug-05

Feb-06
Apr-06

Aug-06

Feb-07
Apr-07

Aug-07

Feb-08
Apr-08

Aug-08

Feb-09
Apr-09

Aug-09

Feb-10
Apr-10
Dec-04
Dec-03

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09
Jun-08
Jun-03

Oct-03

Jun-04

Oct-04

Jun-05

Oct-05

Jun-06

Oct-06

Jun-07

Oct-07

Oct-08

Jun-09

Oct-09
-100
 100
120

20
40
60
80

0
0
Jun-03
Aug-03

787
15
Oct-03

35
Dec-03

21

11
Feb-04

24 25
34
Apr-04

31

17
Jun-04

2929
Aug-04

44

35
Oct-04

40

16
Dec-04

38
Feb-05

20
29 30
Apr-05

38
Jun-05

36 35
44
Aug-05

31
52
Oct-05

42
40
Dec-05

29
36
Feb-06

13
57
Apr-06 5354

Jun-06

30
47
Aug-06 43
72

Oct-06
55
69

Dec-06
49
45

Feb-07
59
76

Apr-07
98

83

Jun-07
49

37

Aug-07
29

20

Oct-07 8
Dec-07
22 22

12

Feb-08
28
30

Apr-08
14
16

Jun-08
2
7

Aug-08
2003 - 2010

Oct-08
Dec-08
2233
7

Feb-09
0
12

Apr-09
10
8

Jun-09
0

Aug-09
34

Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
100101
Coalition Forces Killed in Action

Apr-10
1
 Coalition Forces Wounded in Action
2003 - 2010
700

600
572

505 497
500 486

434
418 416 419
405 410 403
401
400 382 384
383 389
369 367 375
362 360 355 358
348
330 323 338 333
322
292 299
300 283
257
255 259 262
240 241 242
230
216
207
206
200 188 186 188 184 192
172 179
154 160
142 136
136
121
107 110 105
100 81
72
52 4759 59 525559
43 35 39
35 30 37
20 21251823 2215 1728
10
0
Jun-03

Oct-03

Jun-04

Oct-04

Jun-05

Oct-05

Jun-06

Oct-06

Jun-07

Oct-07

Jun-08

Oct-08

Jun-09

Oct-09
Aug-03

Apr-04

Aug-04

Apr-05

Aug-05

Apr-06

Aug-06

Apr-07

Aug-07

Apr-08

Aug-08

Apr-09

Aug-09

Apr-10
Dec-03
Feb-04

Dec-04
Feb-05

Dec-05
Feb-06

Dec-06
Feb-07

Dec-07
Feb-08

Dec-08
Feb-09

Dec-09
Feb-10
 IEDs Found and Cleared
1600 2003 - 2010
1506

1400 1357 1345

1293
1274
1203
1200 1164
11281133
1127
1078
1054
1035
1008
1000 971 975
939
926
878
857

800 759 762 766

719 737
712 710
684 684
662 652

600
534
512
507 498
474 488
464 452
449
422 427
400 363 364 371
343
335
306 324 313
292 295 288
259 251 269 275 287 267
259
253 248 233 231
229
191 197
200 149
122
116
110
87 88 89 8473
69 68 60
00002
0
Aug-03

Apr-04

Aug-04

Apr-05

Aug-05

Apr-06

Aug-06

Apr-07

Aug-07

Apr-08

Aug-08

Apr-09

Aug-09

Apr-10
Feb-06
Feb-04

Feb-05

Feb-07

Feb-08

Feb-09

Feb-10
Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09
Oct-06
Oct-03

Oct-04

Oct-05

Oct-07

Oct-08

Oct-09
 Effective IED Attacks
2003 - 2010
300

254
250 242
227 228
228

211 209 210 211

204 203
200 194 194 192
188 190
179 179
174
173 174
167 170 166
170
156 158 159 158

150 145 146

135 138
131 132
123
116 119
115 112 115
110
106
95
100 92 9193
86
81
76
70 72 73
65
5658
51
47 47
50
36
32 29
252222 22 26
21 18 2021
12 13 15
7 9 111112 7 9 1012 11

0
Aug-03

Apr-04

Aug-04

Apr-05

Aug-05

Apr-06

Aug-06

Apr-07

Aug-07

Apr-08

Aug-08

Apr-09

Aug-09

Apr-10
Feb-04

Feb-05

Feb-06

Feb-07

Feb-08

Feb-09

Feb-10
Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09
Oct-03

Oct-04

Oct-05

Oct-06

Oct-07

Oct-08

Oct-09
 Ineffective IED Attacks
2003 - 2010
1200

1078
1037
1029 1027
1001
1000 971 970
919 927 935
868
861 871 856
834
812
800
737
720
683 687
654
627 621
574 586
600 569
548
503 517 505 511
475 478
445
425
402 404
400 358
345
321 325 318 316
298 292 299 309
250
246
201 197
182 184
178 173
200
149
107 9310093120 103 98 105999410687 9994
76 75 77 75 77 59 6184
5457 45 47
32
10
0
Apr-04

Apr-05

Apr-06

Apr-07

Apr-08

Apr-09

Apr-10
Feb-06
Aug-03

Feb-04

Aug-04

Feb-05

Aug-05

Aug-06

Feb-07

Aug-07

Feb-08

Aug-08

Feb-09

Aug-09

Feb-10
Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09
Jun-03

Jun-04

Jun-05

Jun-06

Jun-07

Jun-08

Jun-09
Oct-06
Oct-03

Oct-04

Oct-05

Oct-07

Oct-08

Oct-09
-200
 100%

10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
90%

0%
80%
Jun-03

Sep-03

Dec-03

Mar-04

Jun-04

Sep-04

Dec-04

Mar-05

Jun-05

Sep-05

Dec-05

Mar-06

Jun-06

Sep-06

Dec-06

Mar-07

Jun-07

Sep-07

Dec-07

Mar-08

Jun-08

Sep-08

Dec-08

Mar-09

Jun-09

Sep-09

Dec-09
IED Incident Types

Mar-10
Relative Frequency of

Effective Incidents
Found and Cleared
Ineffective Incidents
 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
2008-2010

Dec-09
Jan-10
Incident Types

Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Relative Frequency of IED

Effective Incidents
Found and Cleared
Ineffective Incidents
 3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
Jun-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep-04
Dec-04
Mar-05
Jun-05
Sep-05
Dec-05
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09

Dec-09

Mar-10
2003 - 2010

CAS
Total IED
IED Effectiveness Over Time

Effective Incidents
 700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0
Jun-03
Oct-03
Feb-04
Jun-04
Oct-04
Feb-05
Jun-05
Oct-05
Feb-06
Jun-06
Oct-06
Feb-07
Jun-07

Oct-07

Feb-08

Jun-08

Oct-08

Feb-09

Jun-09

Oct-09

Feb-10

KIA
2003 - 2010

WIA
KIA

CAS
WIA
IED Effectiveness by Casualty Type

Effective Incidents
 100%

10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
70%
80%
90%

0%
60%
Jun-03
Aug-03
Oct-03
Dec-03
Feb-04
Apr-04
Jun-04
Aug-04
Oct-04
Dec-04
Feb-05
Apr-05
Jun-05
Aug-05
Oct-05
Dec-05
Feb-06
Apr-06
Jun-06
Aug-06
Oct-06
Dec-06
Feb-07
Apr-07
Jun-07
Aug-07
Oct-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
2003 - 2010

Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Lethality of IEDs Over Time

Feb-10
Apr-10
KIA
WIA
 0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Mar-03
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-04
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-05
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-06
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-07
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-08
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-09
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Statistics 2003-2010

Jan-10
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
IED US Forces KIA and WIA

U.S. KIA
U.S. WIA

21
 0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Mar-03
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-04
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-05
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-06
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-07
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-08
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan-09
Mar
Statistics 2003-2009

May
Jul
Sep
Nov
IED US Forces KIA and WIA

U.S. KIA
U.S. WIA

22
 IED US Forces KIA and WIA
Statistics 2010
50

45

40

35

30

25 U.S. KIA
U.S. WIA
20

15

10

0
Jan-10 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

23
 1800 K Street, NW
Suite 400
Washington, DC 20006

Phone: 1.202.775.3270
Fax: 1.202.775.3199
Email:
acordesman@gmail.com
Web:
www.csis.org/burke/reports

IED Metrics for Afghanistan

January 2004 - September 2010

Anthony H. Cordesman, Marissa Allison, &

Jason Lemieux
Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy

November 11, 2010

www.csis.org
IED Incidents in Afghanistan, Jan 2004-May 2010
Part One

JIEDDO, July 2010

IED Incidents in Afghanistan, Jan 2004-May 2010
Part Two

JIEDDO, July 2010

IED Incidents and Casualty Figures
Jan 2004-May 2010
IED Incidents in Afghanistan
Jan 2004-May 2010

5
IED Casualties in Afghanistan
Jan 2004-May 2010

6
IED Incidents by Type
Total IED Incidents

8
Casualties

9
Coalition Forces Killed in Action

10
Coalition Forces Wounded in
Action

11
IEDs Found and Cleared

12
Effective IED Attacks

13
Ineffective IED Attacks

14
IEDs Turned In

15
Percentage of IEDs Turned In

Percentage Not Turned In includes effective

incidents, ineffective incidents, and found and
cleared. Note that a significant number of IEDs
may have been emplaced but never found or
detonated.

16
Relative Frequency of IED Incident Types
IED Effectiveness Over Time
IED Effectiveness by Casualty Type
 KIAs seem to have stabilized at a relatively low
Lethality of IEDs Over Time percentage of IED casualties in April 2009.

20
 0
50
100
200
250
300
350
450

150
400
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
Jul-02
Oct-02
Jan-03
Apr-03
Jul-03
Oct-03
Jan-04
Apr-04
Jul-04
Oct-04
Jan-05
Apr-05
Jul-05

KIA
Oct-05
Jan-06
Apr-06

WIA
Jul-06
Oct-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
IED US Forces KIA and WIA Statistics 2001-2010

Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
21

Jul-10
 15
20
30
35

10
25
40

0
5
Oct-01
Nov-01
Dec-01
Jan-02
Feb-02
Mar-02
Apr-02
May-02
Jun-02
Jul-02
Aug-02
Sep-02
Oct-02
Nov-02
Dec-02
Jan-03
Feb-03
Mar-03
Apr-03
May-03
Jun-03
Jul-03
Aug-03

KIA
Sep-03
Oct-03
Nov-03
Dec-03

WIA
Jan-04
Feb-04
Mar-04
Apr-04
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
Oct-04
Nov-04
IED US Forces KIA and WIA Statistics 2001-2005

Dec-04
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
22

Nov-05
Dec-05
 0
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450

50
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07

Source: JIEDDO, e-mail October 2010

Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08

KIA
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08

WIA
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
IED US Forces KIA and WIA Statistics 2006-2010

Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
23

Sep-10
 IED US Forces KIA and WIA Statistics 2010

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
January February March April May June July August September
KIA 16 19 12 9 18 29 41 33 13
WIA 114 158 244 211 267 350 365 362 388

24
Source: JIEDDO, e-mail October 2010