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DEAL OF THE WEEK

6th October, 2021


President: Crystal Charisse Lim ; Deal Team Leader: Valentin Thiault
Deal Team Members: Anaanya, Christopher, Idriss, Omkar, Akshay

TARGET BUYER

TRANSACTION VALUE
Total: US$ 13.5bn

EBITDA Multiple Industry Transaction Advisors Financing


13.6x Food and retail HSBC/ RBC Europe Debt and equity

TARGET’S Revenue: $20,561m Market Capitalisation: $9.24bn


KEY METRICS EBITDA: $990m Deal Attitude: Friendly
EBITDA Margin: 4.8% Offer per share: $2.7

• Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R) won Fortress Investment Group after a three-
round auction on 2nd Oct to purchase Wm Morissons Supermarkets Pls (LSE:MRW)
DEAL • CD&R offered £2.87 for each of Morrisons' ordinary shares against Fortress’ bid of
DESCRIPTION £2.86; this offer is a premium of around 61% to the closing price of £1.78 for each
Morrisons share closing price on 18th June
• Morrisons' shareholders will conclude their final verdict on the deal on 19th October
• Supermarkets in the UK amounted at a market value of £205bn ($278bn) in 2020. It
is dominated by the ‘big four’ chains: Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons as
SECTOR they represent over two thirds of the market share
SUPERMARKETS • Suppliers are currently facing rising cost pressures attributed by the increase in
commodity and global shipping prices, and labour and raw material shortages. As
such, industry experts are forecasting a 5% rise in supermarket prices in 2021 Q4

• CD&R has been investing in Europe for more than 20 years, partnering with 21
businesses for an aggregate transaction value of approximately £22bn including
DEAL businesses in the UK and across retail and foodservice
MOTIVATION • CD&R's expertise in online sales will help Morrisons expand its business online.
Further, CD&R is also planning to leverage Motor Fuel Group, a large petrol station
business, to roll out the grocer's convenience store brand; ‘Morrison's Daily’

• CD&R highlighted its recognition in the legacy of Sir Ken Morrison as deeply
entrenched in Morrisons' history and culture. This recognition is a glimpse into
CATALYSTS & CD&R’s confidence in the management’s vision and strategic decisions
FNG OPINION • On the other hand, as Morrisons has 87% freehold ownership across the whole
estate, CD&R’s post-acquisition management of these real assets can potentially
mean uncertainty in Morrisons’ ultimate financial position
• Regardless, we are positive about the amalgamation of CD&R’s sector expertise and
years of experience, alongside Morrisons’ management’s strategy

© Financial Networking Group. All rights reserved.


External sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence, Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg and Investing.com 1
TARGET OVERVIEW
COMPANY DESCRIPTION
• Founded in 1899 by William Morrison, Wm Morrisons Supermarkets PLC (LSE:MRW) is the 4th largest
supermarket in the UK. Listed on the London Stock Exchange, it has a market capitalization of £6.91bn
• As of February 2021, Morrisons operates through 497 supermarkets, 58 Morrisons Daily kiosks, 338 petrol
filling stations and an online home delivery service. It is supported by 110,000 employees serving around 11
million customers each week
Competitive Strengths
• Strong control over products’ prices and quantity: Following a vertically integrated business model, it is the
only major grocer to produce more than 25% of its products sold in-store – eliminating costs incurred for third
party suppliers. Further, with its own network of 8 regional and 1 national distribution centre, Morrisons is well-
equipped to act flexibly during the pandemic; efficiently increasing deliveries of products to its stores in times
of need
• Widely recognised and consistent branding: Publicly recognised as one of the ‘best value supermarket’ in the
UK, it has the highest mean score in customer satisfaction index compared to its competitors (as published in its
2020-21 annual report). Consistency in maintaining its brand reputation is exemplified in its quick management
decision to reduce the price of more than 400 grocery essentials by an average of 23% in September 2021
• Extensive yet deep community touch: Integration with local communities is consistently worked at as the
management invests resources to respond to the society’s vulnerable (such as sending food delivery to elderlies
and children during the pandemic). Such personal touch enables Morrisons to be more than a brand

FINANCIAL METRICS
Operating analysis
• Morrison's revenue grows by 6% in
2017, then it start decreasing from 2017
to 2021 for a cumulative decrease rate
of -3.67%
• EBIT is up 11% in 2017 and them grows
at a cumulative average of 12.88% for
the next four years
• In 2020, with the global, pandemic
Morrisons’ revenue rose by 1% and the
EBIT grew by 1.13%
Development Hypothesis (Investment Theses) Source: Yahoo Finance
• Employee-oriented management team: Led by Chairman Andrew Higginson who has served the company for
more than 40 years, the company has garnered employees’ loyalty through its effective leadership. The recent
pandemic outbreak has witnessed the management triple average annual bonus for all front line colleagues as
Morrisons pledges to guard the welfare of its employees
• At the forefront of the supermarket sector: Morrisons has not only managed to stand at the forefront of the
industry trend that is digitalization, but also thrived very quickly. The partnership with Amazon is one good
example as 2020 celebrated a more than tripled online sales year-on-year. Further, the management’s
ambitions continued as it signed a deal with Starstock in September 2021, an online marketplace that enables
hospitality businesses to order directly from wholesalers – as it diversifies and strengthens its revenue
capabilities
MAIN COMPETITORS
Competitor Country Revenue ($m) EBITDA ($m) EBITDA margin Ticker

UK 57,887 3,387 5.67% TSCO.L

. UK 29,048 1,341 4.61% SBR.L

UK 24,889 1,228 4.96% -


© Financial Networking Group. All rights reserved.
External sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence, Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg and Investing.com 2
BUYER OVERVIEW

• Founded by Joseph L. Rice, III in 1978, Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD7R) is an
INVESTMENT COMPANY investment firm with an investment strategy predicated on building
DESCRIPTION stronger, more profitable businesses
• Since inception, CD&R has managed the investment of more than $30
billion in about 95 companies with an aggregate transaction value of
approximately $150 billion
• Specializes in buyouts, acquisitions, and growth capital financings of
mature and underperforming companies
• $67bn enterprise value created at realized portfolio companies. It is
currently holding 34 portfolio companies employing over 225,000
headcount and generating more than $60bn revenue
• Headquartered and founded in New York, it currently employs more than
130 employees spread over North America and Europe

• Donald J. Gogel (Chairman)


TOP • Roberto Quarta (Chairman, CD&R Europe)
MANAGEMENT • Nathan K. Sleeper (Chief Executive Officer)
• Jillian C. Griffiths (Chief Operating Officer)

• Seek to craft investment opportunities where the Firm’s distinctive skills


COMPANY can produce sustainable value for portfolio companies and investors
STRATEGY AND • Industries targeted include; consumer/retail, healthcare, industrials, and
technology/business services
VISION • Strong advocate that there can be a strong, positive correlation between
financial performance and corporate responsibility related to
environmental, social, and governance (“ESG”) issues

LATEST PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS RAISED


Size
Fund Name Fund Type Launch Date Status
(USD $m)
Clayton, Dubilier & Rice Fund XI, L.P. Private Equity Mar-2020 Final Close 16,000

Clayton, Dubilier & Rice Fund X, L.P. Private Equity Oct-2016 Final Close 10,000

CD&R CHC Co-Investor, L.P. Private Equity Jan-2014 Launched -

Clayton, Dubilier & Rice Fund IX, L.P. Private Equity Mar-2012 Final Close 6,430

RECENT DIRECT INVESTMENTS


*NON - EXHAUSTIVE

Date: 3/2021 Date: 07/2020 Date: 04/2017


Revenue: $2.0bn Revenue: $2.3bn Revenue: $295m

Date: 12/2020 Date: 02/2018 Date: 08/2009


Revenue: $1.2bn Revenue: $1.8bn Revenue: $4.8bn

© Financial Networking Group. All rights reserved.


External sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence, Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg and Investing.com 3
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
COMPARABLE TRANSACTIONS
Transaction Enterprise Revenue Revenue EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA
Target Company Target Country Bidder
Date Value ($m) ($m) Multiple ($m) Multiple Margin

Jul-21 Portugal 4,562 6,262 0.7x 543 8.4x 8.7%


United
Feb-20 8,800 29,333 0.3x 1,544 5.7x 5.3%
Kingdom
Apr-14 France 47,229 104,581 0.5x 5,130 9.2x 4.9%
Average 0.5x 7.8x 6.3%
Median 0.5x 8.4x 5.3%
* SONAE MC, SGPS, S.A. was acquired by Camoens Investments
(indirectly owned by CVC Capital Partners)

Data from CapIQ showed Europe’s supermarket sector to range between EV/EBITDA 3-15x over the past
decade, averaging at around EV/EBITDA 8x. This sector has seen witnessed a spike in interest among investors
as it has proven itself not only resilient but also profitable during this pandemic. A case in point would be
Britain’s highly-competitive supermarket sector; In a short span of one year, UK’s third and fourth largest
supermarket, ASDA and Morrisons, have found themselves intensely pursued by Private Equity giants including
Fortress Investments, Apollo Capital and TDR Capital etc. George Godber, co-manager of the Polar Capital UK
Value Opportunities fund, cited the combination of low valuations, strong asset backing and strong cash
generation as the factors attracting investors’ interest.

NUMBER OF DEALS WORLDWIDE

Total # of deals since 2017: 496

Global valuations range between EV/EBITDA 8-15x since 2017, as shown above. The sector has steadily
garnered investors interest over the decade as supermarkets generate stable cash flow and many times, holding
prime real estate. However, it could potentially weaken retailers’ financial positions in the long-term if private
equity funds choose to strip and sell their respective real estates to finance their takeover.

© Financial Networking Group. All rights reserved.


External sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence, Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg and Investing.com 4
APPENDIX & DISCLAIMER
APPENDIX

Company
• Annual report 2021
• Fortune Business Insights
• Yahoo finance

DISCLAIMER
This report has been prepared by Financial Networking Group for information purposes only. No information
published in this report constitutes a solicitation or offer, or recommendation, to buy or sell securities of any
other financial instruments. Although we have used sources believed to be accurate, we do not guarantee
either the accuracy or completeness of this report. No reliance should be placed on the information in this
document to transact in financial products and no liability is accepted for any loss arising from reliance on it.
Any opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Investors are expected to make their own
investment decisions without relying on this information. You should obtain specific advice from qualified
experts before making any investment decision.

© Financial Networking Group. All rights reserved.


External sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence, Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg and Investing.com 5

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